第 259 期·中文精讀

托馬斯·圖爾:從蝙蝠俠黑暗騎士三部曲到 AI 與滾石樂隊

Thomas Tull: From Batman Dark Knight Trilogy to AI and the Rolling Stones

傳奇影業創始人回顧投身影業的經歷,談蝙蝠俠三部曲、AI 投資與滾石樂隊紀錄片。

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2004年,一個從沒拍過電影、也沒在電視臺幹過一天的紐約上州人跑去華爾街募資,說要辦一家電影公司。當時好萊塢的產業規模是300億美元,而這塊蛋糕周圍幾乎看不到機構資本的身影。二十年後,他參與制作的片單包括《蝙蝠俠》黑暗騎士三部曲、《宿醉》系列、《哥斯拉》、《盜夢空間》、《侏羅紀世界》、《300》。同一時間,他給哈佛的 George Church 投了5000萬美元種子輪,要去北極苔原上覆活猛獁象;他是匹茲堡鋼人隊的少數股東;他還是 Ghost Hounds 樂隊的吉他手,跟著滾石樂隊一起巡演。

這個人叫托馬斯·圖爾(Thomas Tull)。Lex Fridman 在第259期播客裡,用兩個多小時把他的這些平行人生串了一遍。串起來之後會發現,這些看似毫不相干的事,背後跑的是同一套判斷系統。

他看到的那個洞:300億美元的行業,周圍沒有機構資本

圖爾講創業動機時很直白:2004年電影是個300億美元的行業,但行業周圍沒有成建制的機構資本。他看別的同等規模的行業,私募股權、長期基金、養老基金,一層一層圍著轉,唯獨電影是個例外。

我很困惑也很好奇,為什麼這件事沒有發生。電影行業的運作方式,跟我此前研究過的任何一個行業都不一樣。(托馬斯·圖爾)

這個觀察本身就是生意的起點。他花了很長時間說服自己,只要足夠自律、方法對路,這個行業能賺錢,然後才出去募資。他把這一步稱為職業生涯裡最難的事:一個零經驗的人,要說服資本市場的錢相信他行。

他接著解釋了什麼叫機構資本。你創業,拉一圈有錢的朋友入夥,那也是錢,可那是零散的、隨時會被抽走的錢。真正的機構資本來自富達、主權財富基金、大學捐贈基金,體量大、週期長、有耐心。

如果你拿的是隔壁成功牙醫的錢,明年牙醫可能跟你說,最近手頭緊,我要把錢拿回去。如果你跟的是富達或者摩根士丹利,他們有能力說,好,我按五到十年的週期來看這件事。(托馬斯·圖爾)

耐心資本帶來兩個好處:打交道的對手方少,單筆投資大。圖爾說真正有意思的差別在別處。投一家 AI 公司或者晶片公司,機構投資人沒有那個技術能力去理解你在做什麼,所以除了商業常識之外,他們不會對每個細節發表意見。電影和電視不一樣,它完全平易近人,人人都有看法。

是你們選錯演員了吧,為什麼要拍那部片子。所以這個行業會招來大量的二次猜測。(托馬斯·圖爾)

他說的是一種反向的成本:技術門檻越低,外部噪音越多。圖爾把這件事認作這門生意的固有屬性來接受,沒有花力氣去抱怨。

每部大片都是一家獨立的小創業公司

談到《蝙蝠俠》三部曲怎麼做出來的,圖爾把功勞推得很乾淨:一個偉大的導演,加上一個能承載這些經典角色、又能在神話體系裡留下自己印記的劇本。這兩樣是地基,缺了就不用談後面的。

他補充說,光有這兩樣不夠。你手裡先是一摞印著字的紙,叫劇本,然後要把它變成讓觀眾相信的東西。演員單拎出來再有天賦,湊在一起也得有化學反應。導演是戰場上的將軍,可如果有個事無鉅細的強製片人在旁邊,效果又會不一樣。

每一部電影都是它自己的一家小創業公司。(托馬斯·圖爾)

這句話可以停一下。它說的就是字面意思:有獨立的預算、獨立的團隊、獨立的死線,失敗了獨立承擔。圖爾說自己入行時零經驗,能跟克里斯托弗·諾蘭連著做五部片子,運氣成分很大。諾蘭後來被公認為這個時代最重要的導演之一,而當時沒人知道這一點。

永遠喝不完的巧克力河,會殺死創造力

Lex 問了一個聽起來有點怪的問題:錢是不是越多越好。

圖爾的回答很乾脆:不是。他喜歡約束。

如果你覺得自己有無限的資源,或者資源可以再生,那這個局面裡就沒有槓桿。我失敗了,再去拿一筆錢就是了。我覺得這種狀態下,人很難有韌性,也很難想出新的解法。(托馬斯·圖爾)

他給出的平衡點是兩頭都不能走極端。一頭是把氧氣掐斷,逼得團隊為了付房租做短期決策、做不戰略的決策。另一頭是永遠喝不完的巧克力河,要多少有多少,那樣摩擦點就消失了,而摩擦點恰恰是好作品的必要條件。

圖爾把這個邏輯延伸到了社會層面。他說人經歷難的時候,被迫去做那些不想做、累了也得做的事,某種程度上是在練一塊肌肉:對不舒服的耐受度。他覺得這塊肌肉社會整體在退化。這個判斷他做了一個限定,說不能用一把大刷子刷所有人,但這是他觀察到的一個走向。

Lex 接了一句:如果一件事真的很難,它本身就是篩選器,大部分人會在上面失敗,所以難是特性,不是缺陷。圖爾的回應是他喜歡聽別人說某件事不可能。

當有人告訴你這件事不可能,我很喜歡,因為那意味著很多人會相信這一點,而這就給了你一個機會,成為那個證明它並非不可能的人。當然你可能是錯的,但如果你沒錯,你就有機會站到人群外面。(托馬斯·圖爾)

貴和不負責任是兩回事

Lex 問參與過最貴的電影是哪部,不用報數字。

圖爾說《侏羅紀世界》挺貴的,《黑暗騎士崛起》也是。然後他自己加了一個區分:貴和不負責任是兩回事,有些貴是因為那個構想就需要那麼多錢,而且最後賬面上也證明值。

《侏羅紀世界》的成本大頭在電腦特效。恐龍不可能實拍,絕大部分畫面是從零建起來的。這類片子如果還要在製作過程中不斷髮明新東西,成本曲線會更陡。圖爾拿詹姆斯·卡梅隆舉例:拍《泰坦尼克號》的時候,劇組需要的水下攝影機根本不存在,卡梅隆就去把它們發明出來。他有工程直覺,更重要的是,他不只是能想象,還能帶著一支團隊把想象做出來。

圖爾去過《阿凡達》早期的拍攝倉庫。工作人員給他解釋他們怎麼捕捉表演,為什麼拍完之後還能回爐重做,因為那個環境是數字建起來的,可以反覆進入。圖爾說他當時被震住了,跟對方說,這才是真正的大跨越。

智力誠實這四個字,比聽起來難得多

播客中段,圖爾反覆提到一個詞:intellectual honesty,智力誠實。他的意思是,如果一個人做決策的依據是別人的期待,靠慣性被推著走,走到了自己本來就沒想到要去的地方,那會出大問題。

這套判斷落到具體選擇上,會切出兩類人。一類從頂尖大學出來,迫不及待要創業,他們要的就是那種壓力,就是要磨。另一類同樣聰明、同樣有才華,但他們明確說:我不想半夜躺著盯天花板,算下個月工資怎麼發,我不想讓這種東西進我的生活。

如果你能把這件事想清楚,並且接受它,然後問自己:什麼讓我有動力,什麼讓我開心,什麼讓我狀態變差。因為挑戰自己和違背自己的天性,是兩件事。(托馬斯·圖爾)

Lex 把這個話題推到了更難的地方。他說智力誠實有好幾層。第一層,你想做的那件事沒人做過,這本身就說明你可能只是個空想家。第二層,你已經做了十年了,為什麼還沒成。

Lex 舉了創業的例子:公司開了四五年,還可以,但遠沒有爆發成你夢想的樣子,你得有勇氣把它關掉。同一枚硬幣的另一面是,你可能需要反過來把自己逼進那個夢想裡,砍掉手上分散精力的事,全押上去。兩個方向看起來相反,用的卻是同一種誠實。

圖爾的回答落在風險管理上。他說全押和魯莽是兩回事。要全押,先量兩次、切一次。他還提到一個自己記了很多年的說法:永遠不要把清晰的視線和距離搞混。大意是,看得清不等於離得近,別把判斷力當成已經抵達。

巴菲特那個下午:別想聰明的事,先想蠢事

圖爾跟巴菲特吃過一頓午飯,只有一個下午,他說這個下午他會記一輩子。

他先講了一套看人的方法。有時候你見一個非常成功的人,聊二十分鐘就會想,哦,你只是站對了位置、趕上了時機,這也沒什麼。但也有另一種人,你把他扔回零起點,他照樣會走到一個好地方。巴菲特屬於後一種。

那個下午讓圖爾印象最深的一段,是他正說著自己在投資上怎麼想辦法做得聰明一點,巴菲特打斷了他。

查理(芒格)和我,從來不試圖去想什麼是聰明的事。我們想的是,這裡什麼是蠢事。(沃倫·巴菲特,轉述自托馬斯·圖爾)

圖爾笑了一下,巴菲特說,不,我是認真的。他們思考的角度是:在眼下這個局面裡,我們做什麼,將來回頭看會覺得自己蠢透了。

圖爾說這句話鑽進了他腦子裡,到現在拆解問題的時候還會想到。這個思路的妙處在於它把決策的成本結構翻轉了。找聰明事,你要比別人更有洞察力,那是稀缺能力。避蠢事,你只需要誠實加一點想象力,去想自己可能怎麼把自己坑了,這是人人可練的。而且它能長期複利:不犯大錯,剩下的交給時間。

看人:壞訊息要比好訊息跑得快

Lex 說自己常去舊金山,那裡人人都在做夢,人人都有大計劃。他因此不羨慕投資人的工作,因為很難分清哪一個夢會成真。他問圖爾怎麼判斷。

圖爾說,如果他有任何一套框架,一定從人開始。理由是商業計劃書一定會變。

我很少見到這樣的生意:我們在這個地方做這個小零件,三十年後我們依然成功,依然只做這個小零件,事情就是這樣。事情會發生。而且今天的發生速度這麼快,你必須能在資訊不完整的情況下做艱難的決定。(托馬斯·圖爾)

既然計劃會變,那就要看這個人在變化裡會怎麼動。他給出了一串具體的問題:你會怎麼算這些賬?你有多自利?你用什麼樣的倫理?你的短期和長期怎麼權衡?你能不能誠實地評估一個局面?因為有一件事是可以確定的,問題一定會發生。

他還有一個具體的溝通準則。

我總是跟人說,如果有事,就用這句話開頭:Lex,我們有個問題。好,我現在坐直了,我全部的注意力都給你,我們談。壞訊息應該比好訊息跑得快。(托馬斯·圖爾)

為什麼這條重要,他給了更深一層的解釋。如果一個人不敢報告壞訊息,原因往往是他承受不了讓你失望,於是選擇拖。而拖著這件事會反過來印證另一個問題:他大概也沒法在照鏡子的時候對自己狠一點,承認公司正在往錯的方向走。

Lex 順著往下推:那些最後爆掉的公司,多數人一開始並沒有打算騙人。圖爾同意,他說自己見過的情形,絕大多數是一小步一小步挪過去的:這周我們把它搞定,但今天得先把材料交上去,那就先微調一點。這就是滑坡。他提到 Theranos,說大家現在都盯著那個案例看。

5000萬美元去復活猛獁象,投的其實是人

話題轉到一個聽起來像科幻的專案。圖爾領投了 Colossal 的5000萬美元種子輪,這家公司做的是去滅絕(de-extinction),用基因編輯把猛獁象帶回北極苔原,恢復已經消失的生態系統。

他講了來龍去脈:五六年前在哈佛認識 George Church,覺得這個人極其聰明,而且有想象力。Church 後來跟企業家 Ben Lamm 搭檔。圖爾說,媒體和公眾被抓住眼球的部分是「把猛獁象帶回來」,這確實抓人,這條路最後通向哪裡,還得看。

我更感興趣的是,作為投資人參與他們在基因、蛋白質、CRISPR 這些方向上的工作。在未來十年裡,能待在 George Church 和他的團隊旁邊看這些事情展開,我覺得這是該做的事。(托馬斯·圖爾)

Lex 追問了一個更根本的問題:技術再強,如果做技術的人不理解人性和歷史,那會出事。圖爾回應說,他花了不少時間跟 Church 團隊聊邊界在哪裡。他也清楚,別的國家有團隊在沒有同等審查流程的情況下推進同樣的研究。所以他至少確認了一件事:Church 和 Lamm 是負責任的人。

Lex 在這裡說了一句玩笑話,意思其實不輕:你需要一個麻省理工博士學位的馬可·奧勒留。技術能力和古典修養得裝在同一個腦袋裡。

吉他那條線:從羅伯特·約翰遜到吉米·佩奇

播客後半段,兩個人都放開了。

圖爾說自己是那種「老靈魂」小孩,很小的時候就在聽 Muddy Waters、Robert Johnson、Lightnin' Hopkins、B.B. King。他形容 B.B. King 彈五個音就能殺人,那種情緒是別的樂器給不了的。他也承認自己不是拿起琴就能彈的人:沒上過正式課程,技術和耳朵全是硬磨出來的,右手節奏是他唯一能算作長處的東西。

樂隊名字來自 Robert Johnson 的傳說,那位在十字路口把靈魂賣給魔鬼換琴技的藍調樂手。圖爾說 Robert Johnson 的歌裡常提到「地獄獵犬在追我」(hellhounds on my trail),他就想,那幽靈獵犬怎麼樣。Ghost Hounds 這個名字就是這麼來的。他自嘲說,希望背後有個更聰明的故事,但也就這麼多了。

關於裝置,Lex 丟擲了一個經典站隊問題:Les Paul 還是 Strat。圖爾選了 Strat,理由是亨德里克斯的影響太深。但他自己主用的是一把1959年的 Les Paul,名字叫 Hazel。他說1959這個年份有點魔法,像小提琴裡的斯特拉迪瓦里。音箱是59年的 Fender Twin 或者65年的 Marshall,巡演路上換成 Two Rock,因為老管子太嬌氣。效果器只有一個:一塊老 Klon,直接進音箱,能多老派就多老派。

《It Might Get Loud》是怎麼來的

這部2008年的紀錄片,把吉米·佩奇、U2 的 The Edge、白條紋的 Jack White 湊到一起,製片人是圖爾。

他講起源頭:某天下樓,桌上放著《滾石》雜誌評選的史上最偉大吉他手榜單,旁邊是一份財經報道,說當時最暢銷的電子遊戲是《吉他英雄》。他問自己,吉他這個東西為什麼在搖滾樂裡這麼中心,為什麼它是那個符號。然後他說,我想問問吉米·佩奇,當年為什麼拿起吉他。

他給 Davis Guggenheim 打了電話。Guggenheim 導過《難以忽視的真相》,當時是影史票房最高的紀錄片。圖爾說自己沒做過紀錄片,只是想聽聽建議。結果 Guggenheim 說,這個念頭我甩不掉,我來導。

三個人選代表三個時代、三種風格。圖爾說,三個全中這種事很少發生,這次是。

坐在那兒認識吉米·佩奇,那感覺,他就像甘道夫。(托馬斯·圖爾)

他描述了片場一個畫面:佩奇翻吉他箱,拿出《Stairway to Heaven》用的雙頸琴,遞到他手上。圖爾說那會兒的感覺,像有人遞給你一枚核彈。另一邊,The Edge 是他見過最和善的人之一。Jack White 是另一種能量,永遠在推自己。

片子最後那段,三個人本來該收工了,他們說不想走,問能不能再彈點什麼。於是現場列印歌詞,他們坐在沙發上彈了 The Band 的《The Weight》。圖爾說還有一幕他永遠不會忘:佩奇彈起《Whole Lotta Love》的 riff 那一刻,The Edge 和 Jack White 臉上全沒了搖滾之神的架子,跟他一樣是十五歲的小孩。

滾石六十年:沒有捷徑這件事

Ghost Hounds 在2019年跟滾石樂隊一起巡演,後來又受邀再去。圖爾說這是他這輩子最喜歡的樂隊,沒有第二。

他描述了在體育場演出的具體感受。場地太大太曠,為了保護耳朵要用入耳監聽,這反而讓你跟觀眾有點隔開。觀眾一旦起來,那種雙向的能量沒法形容。他之前跟 ZZ Top 巡演過,五千到七千人的場子,人就在你面前;跟 Bob Seger 的最後一次巡演走過體育館,兩三萬人壓下來,很吵很爽;體育場是完全另一種動物。他說如果要選,體育館是最佳平衡點。

Lex 問,米克·賈格爾六十週年了,怎麼還能這樣。圖爾的答案非常不浪漫。

他練得像瘋了一樣。就是那個一萬小時。可能就是今天我狀態不好,但我還是起來,把該做的做完,練完。所以到了他這個年紀還能滿場跑。很多人想找那個魔術,想知道捷徑在哪。大多數時候答案是:沒有捷徑。(托馬斯·圖爾)

他補了一句,賈格爾不只是體能,他非常聰明,懂得怎麼跟觀眾互動,怎麼把人握在手心裡。天賦加上職業化,兩樣都佔。

關於具體的歌,圖爾點了三首。《Sympathy for the Devil》,他喜歡那種近乎伏都教的節奏一層層堆上去,歌詞裡那種跟魔鬼調情的語氣,既好玩又危險。《Gimme Shelter》,他提到 Merry Clayton 那段和聲,還推薦了一部關於伴唱的紀錄片,裡面講了那個錄音的夜晚:他們晚上十點把人從床上叫起來,她進棚,一遍過。《Paint It Black》,他說那首歌定義了一整代人。

寫歌:先有標題,然後住進那個角色裡

圖爾的創作流程不太像典型的音樂人。他不喝酒,說自己不喝也能把事搞砸,不用再加東西。

他的起點通常是兩個:一個 riff,或者一個標題。他很喜歡先有一個標題,標題像一個座標,告訴你這首歌要待在哪兒,然後再往回填。寫之前他要搞清楚視角:這是角色在唱,還是敘述者在講;這個人開心還是難過,處在人生的哪一段。他說真正厲害的作家可能覺得這些都是多餘的,直接寫就完了,但這是他自己的方式。

他舉了新專輯裡一首觀眾很喜歡的歌《Good Old Days》。寫這首歌的動機跟疫情有關。他發現人回憶往事時,浮上來的常常是些極普通的畫面:記得那個夏天我們老去湖邊,記得那天誰在場。當時在場的人、當時你處在人生的哪一段,才是讓那段記憶發亮的東西。

我們現在正在過的日子,將來也會變成你回憶裡那個「那時候真好」。所以這些就是好日子。(托馬斯·圖爾)

他說自己寫歌必須知道歌裡的人物是誰。光把韻腳對上、對上調性和和絃,他做不來。三四分鐘要講一個故事,語言效率必須極高,而且得知道自己在往哪兒推。

鋼人隊:如果你表現得像個球迷,你就會和球迷坐在一起

圖爾在紐約上州長大,小時候看的第一場橄欖球賽就是鋼人隊打超級碗。那還是三臺電視機的年代,常規賽看不到,只能等他們上了本週重點場次。Jack Lambert、Joe Greene、Franco Harris 那些人,在他眼裡像從奧林匹斯山上走下來的。

後來他認識了魯尼先生(Dan Rooney)。魯尼家族1933年創立了這支球隊。2007年底,他被邀請加入所有權集團,2008年球隊贏了超級碗。他說這超越了「現實感」這個詞能覆蓋的範圍。

他談魯尼家族時語氣變了。他說這個家族在體育界最受尊敬,原因不在贏了多少場。老魯尼是聯盟的建築師之一,更重要的身份是民權推動者,那個要求球隊在招聘主教練時必須面試少數族裔候選人的「魯尼規則」,就是他推動出來的。

Lex 問,經營球隊最難的是什麼。圖爾的答案不在戰術板上。他說最難的是你認識了一個球員,他做了教練要求的一切,然後到了職業生涯末期,或者球隊需要換個方向,你得把他交易或者裁掉。這件事讓人難受。而你要有能力退後一步,不帶球迷情緒地做決定。

我記得是 Jerry Reinsdorf 說的,如果你表現得像個球迷,你就會和球迷坐在一起。(托馬斯·圖爾)

他隨即自己把這句的邊界劃出來了。球隊最終屬於那座城市,屬於那些球迷,老闆只是託管人。一支球隊給球迷製造的記憶、製造的聯結,是一份責任。疫情那段時間他看得特別清楚:大量的人失業,大量的不確定性,而體育能把人重新聚起來。

下一個螢幕在哪裡

Lex 問,未來十到二十年,真正能定義一代人的作品會出現在哪個媒介上。

圖爾的答案里加了一個別人不常提的:真正沉浸式的虛擬現實。他的判斷是,等算力足夠支撐、能社交、能讓人走不同的分支路徑的時候,會冒出一批我們今天還不認識的故事講述者。他分了三種形態:一種是《頭號玩家》式的,你以自己身份進入一個完整渲染的世界跟它互動;一種是介於被動觀看和自由移動視角之間;第三種是遊戲和敘事的混合,有任務、有障礙、有推進,但它是沉浸的,同時在講故事。

關於流媒體,他講了一段好萊塢的集體誤判。2015年前後,Netflix 決定做《紙牌屋》,一次性放出整季,把觀看節奏的決定權交給觀眾。

如果你在好萊塢找到任何一個人說,當時大家都覺得這是個好主意,那他在撒謊。我聊過的每個人都說,這幫人是白痴,他們懂什麼電影和電視。(托馬斯·圖爾)

圖爾看到的另一件事是:Netflix 意識到製片廠周圍其實沒有護城河,你真的可以做出很好的東西。於是他們開始自制內容,這逼得亞馬遜進來,谷歌透過 YouTube 進來,然後是 Hulu,然後是迪士尼決定做 Disney+。結果就是,全球資產負債表最漂亮的一批公司,全部進了創意行業。

如果你是個獨立製作方,那你就是帶著一把刀去參加槍戰。(托馬斯·圖爾)

他也承認,過去那種「電影承載大事件、電視是小螢幕」的分工已經被《權力的遊戲》這類作品沖掉了。電視劇還擺脫了兩小時的時長限制,可以做三集、五集,形式自由了,創作者反而能做更多有意思的事。

他沒有唱衰影院。走進一間黑下來的放映廳,跟一群陌生人一起,燈暗下來,你被帶著走一段旅程,這件事有它獨特的東西。《沙丘》他就認為該在大銀幕上看,《阿凡達2》上映他也想去大銀幕。他提到自己在傳奇影業時拿到《沙丘》版權那天高興壞了,那本書他愛了很多年。

Lex 提了一個觀察:電影會拿奧斯卡,會被寫進歷史;電視劇即使拍得跟《權力的遊戲》一樣史詩,在歷史裡被忘掉的速度也快得多。圖爾沒有正面反駁,他的整體判斷是,未來五到十年會出現多種形態並存,誰也替代不了誰。

製造業迴流:韌性是要花錢買的

圖爾說他對美國重新制造東西這件事很有熱情。他個人大額投資了一家叫 Rebuild 的公司,合夥人是 MIT 出身的一批人,包括前亞馬遜高管 Jeff Wilke。

他的思路是把「做不了基本的東西」這件事的風險算進成本里,而不是把所有東西一股腦搬回美國。

在今天這個時代,我認為你沒法做孤立主義者,那對我來說講不通。但自給自足、自主決定,確保這個國家永遠不會因為依賴別國供應鏈而做不了基本的事,這很重要。不管是朋友翻臉了,還是自然災害,還是病毒,我認為這些都是在做生意的成本里必須算進去的項。(托馬斯·圖爾)

他特別點出了一個容易被忽略的地方:讓供應鏈有韌性,成本很高,你必須真的把這塊成本算進去,算完之後才會發現,長期投資本土製造是划得來的。

關於自動化和就業的關係,他的立場偏中間。技術效率最高的地方在人機介面,不在「全部自動化,誰都不用人幹活」。後者在很長時間內既不可行也不可取。該做的是增強崗位,讓人跟機器的介面變得極高產,配套上足夠的培訓。

大公司為什麼轉不了身

圖爾的控股公司叫 Tulco,他自嘲名字毫無想象力,可所有好名字都被註冊了。他解釋了控股公司和基金的區別:基金有募集期、有投資期、到期要把錢還回去,這種結構本身會製造人為的時間壓力;控股公司是更永久的資本。

Tulco 的做法是幾乎總是買下整個公司或者多數股權,找那些傳統上沒有太多創新的行業,然後把自己內部的實驗室團隊(資料科學家、AI 工程師、機器學習專家)派進去。他講的場景是「你們沒法單獨招到的這批人,我這邊有」,而不是給一筆錢讓你們自己去搞數字化。

Lex 問,為什麼傳統行業的大公司自己不轉型。圖爾給了兩個原因,都很樸素。

第一個是人性。如果這件事讓我不舒服,不在我的舒適區,也不是我的專業領域,我就會迴避。尤其是我已經很成功了,感覺良好的時候,更會迴避。

第二個是資本市場的計量方式。上市公司每個季度被稱重一次,這套機制在獎勵那些把數字穩穩打出來的管理者。你要站起來說,各位,接下來兩年別指望我們的財務預測了,因為我們要把自己重做一遍,五到七年後你會看到這是一筆聰明的投資。這跟當下資本主義的接線方式不相容。

如果你用年度獎金和跟股價掛鉤的期權來獎勵管理者,然後又讓他們去打破常規,我覺得這很難。(托馬斯·圖爾)

他舉了兩個具體的例子。一個是 Figs,做醫療工作服的,兩位女性創辦,早期 Tulco 幫著搭平臺、招人,讓整家公司從骨子裡擁抱技術,同時創始人對產品、對每天在前線的醫生護士極度執著,兩件事撞在一起就有了結果。另一個是 Acrisure,全球最大的保險經紀商之一,創始人 Greg Williams 來自密歇根大急流城。圖爾說他見過很多保險業高管談技術,但 Greg 是真懂精算、預測分析、機器學習能怎麼改造整個業務,而且這家公司早就有資料採集體系和部門,轉型的起點比同行靠前很多。

十歲那年冬天,鏟六條車道

播客快結束時,圖爾講了自己的來路。他在紐約上州長大,家裡窮,單親媽媽,打好幾份工。他從小就得剷雪、剪草坪,幫著確保家裡那間小屋不被斷電。他祖母在一家醫院做了五十年清潔工。

他說家裡沒有大學這條脈絡,他那時候不知道什麼叫信託基金、什麼叫預科學校,這些概念在他的世界裡不存在。但他媽媽從他很小的時候就說,你要去上大學。這句話變成了一個預設的預期。

大概十歲的時候,天很冷,如果不去鏟六條車道,家裡就不夠錢付賬單。(托馬斯·圖爾)

圖爾說,他不是心理學家,說不清這些經歷在他今天的生活裡具體怎麼顯形。但他能說出那是什麼:不想幹、沒心情幹,可這活必須幹完。沒有藉口,也不坐下來把自己當受害者講一遍。事情就是這樣,該做完的就得做完。

他講這段的時候沒加任何昇華。祖母五十年清潔工,媽媽打幾份工,十歲小孩剷雪。這些事實本身不需要修飾。

給年輕人的那份清單,第一條跟野心無關

Lex 問,一個高中生或者本科生,該怎麼過一種自己將來會感到驕傲的生活。

圖爾的答案順序很有意思。他先說的是,你要儘可能地搞清楚:我是誰,什麼對我重要,我想做成什麼。然後在這個基礎上,建立一套有點像規則的東西,一套哲學:這些是我會做的,這些是我不做的。改變世界、創新,這些詞他放在了後面。

他說有了這套東西,你才能靈活、才能應變,因為後面你一定會需要應變。只要那個羅盤還在,你至少知道自己走在哪條路上。

Lex 接了一句,這些規則就是底線,是這條路上你不越的線。圖爾說對,而且正因為你有這些絕對項,很多決定會瞬間變清楚:這個不是我的路;或者,為了做成這件事,我願意付出任何代價。

然後他把話題拉到了比事業更基礎的地方。

除了那些大詞,我要改變世界、我要創新,我給的任何建議都可以被質疑該不該給,但讓我從這兒開始:你是個好朋友嗎?你能被依靠嗎?你說要做的事,你做了嗎?你對自己承諾的東西負責嗎?你也要求別人負責嗎?(托馬斯·圖爾)

這段話的分量在順序。他先問的是可依靠性,再問閱讀,再問韌性。很多人做職業規劃時,把這三樣的順序完全倒過來了。

韌性和堅毅,不是同一件事

圖爾說他聽人講過這兩個詞有細微差別,他認同這個區分。

他沒有展開定義,但把這兩樣東西放在了同一個前提下面:生活裡會有各種挑戰,有悲劇性的,有不公平的,這一點沒有疑問,這就是我們所在的世界。他自己儘可能不做的一件事,是進入受害者心態。

我們都想活在一個理想的、公正的世界裡。那應該是我們努力的方向。我還沒見過那樣的世界,我還沒經歷過,但你仍然要在眼下這個世界裡運轉。(托馬斯·圖爾)

這話容易被聽成冷酷,其實不是。他的意思是,理想值得追求,可它不能拿來噹噹前處境的解釋。這兩件事可以同時成立。

他還加了一條:把自己放出去。如果打球的時候一直怕輸,怕失敗,那這條路走不遠。

抬頭看星星的那幾分鐘

圖爾說他在西部的時候特別喜歡蒙大拿、愛達荷那種大天空的地方。晚上抬頭,幾乎沒有光汙染,那種景象他別處沒見過。

然後他講了一個自己的習慣。當他抬頭看的時候,手上那些最嚇人的問題會突然縮小。那些星星在那兒待了十億年,他會消失,這些問題也會。兩百年前地球上最有名的那個人,現在呢。

所以這些都是很短暫的。那就確保這趟旅程走得好。(托馬斯·圖爾)

他順勢說到疫情。這兩年很多人被切斷了連線,從這段經歷裡出來,他覺得應該告訴那些你在意的人你在意他們,應該去維護、去經營你的朋友和關係,別讓它變成純交易性的。他說,等到有一天你躺在那兒,你希望能說:我是個好的家人,我是個好的朋友,我是個可以被依靠的人。

每天想一次死亡,但別天天怕它

Lex 把話題推到了最硬的地方:你抬頭看星星的時候,會想到自己的終點嗎?會想到死亡嗎?會怕嗎?

圖爾說他是斯多葛主義的重度讀者,還點名 Ryan Holiday 把這些東西重新帶回公眾視野做得很好。他說很多斯多葛的內容讀起來就是:對,就是這樣。

關於 memento mori,死亡冥想,他的表述有兩個人。一個,終點是確定的,所以你應該去想它。另一個是別在兩個極端裡選:不要每天為它焦慮恐懼,也不要鬆垮到覺得自己會永遠活著。中間那個位置,會影響你做決定的方式,影響你處理事情的方式,也影響你怎麼活。

我不會說我痴迷於此,也不會說它無處不在。但因為讀了很多斯多葛,我覺得停下來問一句是對的:誰知道呢,總有一個到期日。如果它明天就來,我想做的事做了嗎?我想成為的那個人,我是嗎?(托馬斯·圖爾)

他說這種檢查應該在路上反覆做,不是等到臨終前才做一次。這個區別聽起來小,實際差得很遠。臨終前做檢查,你能改的東西已經不多;每週做一次檢查,你還有時間調整方向。

Lex 回應說自己有個習慣,每天結束的時候會想一遍:如果這就是我生命裡的最後一件事,我是否甘心。他對著圖爾開了個玩笑,說如果是跟你聊完這一場,那我甘心。

這段對話的落點其實很樸素。把終點放在心上,是為了讓當下的每一天、身邊的人、手裡正在做的那件有意思的事,都變得更清楚一些。包括明天要跟滾石樂隊同臺這件事。

Lex 在收尾時說了一句很直白的讚美,然後道謝。圖爾說他是這檔節目的聽眾,這次聊得很開心。

節目最後,Lex 用滾石樂隊《You Can't Always Get What You Want》的歌詞收尾:你不能總是得到你想要的,但如果你有時試著去爭取,你可能會發現,你得到了你需要的。

這句歌詞放在圖爾身上有點巧。他想拍電影,後來拍了電影;他想搞清楚吉他為什麼是那個符號,後來拍了那部紀錄片;他小時候只能靠翻報紙上的技術統計想象鋼人隊,後來成了那支球隊的股東。這些東西他大概都沒在十歲那年剷雪的時候規劃過。

他真正規劃過的,是更底層的那套東西:不越線,不說謊,壞訊息早點說,別想聰明的事、先想蠢事,量兩次再切,然後把自己放進那些很難、大多數人會失敗的事情裡去。

可以把這套東西直接拿去用的地方

兩個多小時的對話,能落到手上的東西不多,但下面這幾條是當天就能開始做的。

  • 把「想蠢事」變成決策流程的第一步。下次面對一個重要決定,別先問「最聰明的做法是什麼」,先花十分鐘列出來:在這個局面裡,我做什麼,一年後回頭看會覺得自己蠢透了。列完再決定。這個動作的門檻低到人人可做,它能避開的坑往往是最貴的。
  • 給你的團隊定一條溝通規則:壞訊息跑得比好訊息快。具體到操作上,允許任何人用一句話開場,不帶鋪墊、不帶道歉,直接說問題是什麼。你收到時的第一反應是「好,我們來看」,不去追問責任。這條規則能不能立住,取決於你收到第一個壞訊息時的反應。
  • 寫下來你的不做清單。寫你不做的事,別寫要做的事。哪些錢不賺,哪些話不說,哪些線不越。圖爾說,有了這些絕對項,很多決定會瞬間變清楚,因為你可以直接判斷這條路是不是你的。清單不用長,三五條就夠,但要具體到能在真實場景裡被認出來。
  • 檢查你手上那件事的資源結構。兩頭都要看:是不是窮到必須為下個月的現金做短期決策,是不是富到失敗了也無所謂。兩種情況都會殺死創造力。目標是中間那個有摩擦但不窒息的位置,如果你現在在某一端,主動往中間調。
  • 把你正在經歷的日子當成將來的「那時候真好」。圖爾寫《Good Old Days》的出發點就是這個。它有個實操版本:這一週裡,記下一個具體的、普通的場景,和當時在場的那個人的名字。別等它變成回憶才知道它值錢。
  • 每季度做一次智力誠實檢查。三個問題:我現在做的決策,有多少是為了滿足別人的期待?這件事我做了幾年了,如果它不會成,我有沒有勇氣承認?我是在挑戰自己,還是在違背自己的天性?第三問最容易被混淆,前兩問容易答,第三問需要安靜地想。
  • 去讀點斯多葛。不用讀完,馬可·奧勒留或者愛比克泰德隨便翻幾十頁就夠。圖爾說的那個中間位置,你自己找一個:既不為終點焦慮,也不假裝它會不來。

圖爾在播客裡說過一句自嘲的話,說他的人生像一集惡搞節目,只是到現在還沒人衝進來。

這話聽著輕鬆。可把這些線索擺在一起看:一個十歲在雪地裡鏟六條車道的小孩,四十年後同時出現在好萊塢片場、哈佛實驗室、鋼人隊包廂和滾石的舞臺上,中間隔著的是一套他自己反覆講、反覆用的判斷方式,不是運氣。

那套東西里沒有一條是關於怎麼變聰明的。

文稿來自公開 Kaggle 資料集(rajneesh231/lex-fridman-podcast-transcript),為早期自動轉錄存檔,可能存在識別錯誤。
The following is a conversation with Thomas Tall, founder of Legendary Entertainment, known for producing blockbusters like Batman's Dark Knight Trilogy, The Hangover franchise, Godzilla, Inception, Jurassic World, 300, and many more. He runs Tolko, which is an investment company that focuses on how artificial intelligence can revolutionize large industries. He is part owner of the Pittsburgh Steelers. He's the guitarist for the band Ghost Hounds that tours with the Rolling Stones. But most importantly, he's humble, down to earth, and someone who has quickly become a mentor and friend. This is the Lex Friedman podcast. To support it, please check out our sponsors in the description. And now, here's my conversation with Thomas Tall. In 2004, you founded Legendary Entertainment, known for producing blockbusters like Batman's Dark Knight Trilogy, that includes Batman Begins, Dark Knight, and Dark Knight Rises, The Hangover franchise, Godzilla, Inception, Jurassic World, 300, and the list goes on. It's just some of the biggest movies in history. What does it take to make an epic movie like that? Or what does it take to make it happen from start to finish? Well, look, I've been enamored with movies since I was a kid as a fan, and I think what you need is to be able to tell a great story. And if you're gonna tell a great story, you need a great director. You gotta start with a fantastic script that is able to take some of these iconic characters that we did and put your own stamp on it while still respecting the mythology. And I had zero experience in movies and television before I started Legendary, so it was a very interesting trip. Total luck that we had the opportunity to make five movies at the time with Chris Nolan, who turned out to be one of the greatest filmmakers of all time. But each one is its own little startup company, and I don't think there's any formula to get there, but I know that if you don't have a great director and a great script, if you don't have that foundation, it's hard to pull off. Who's the CEO of that little startup company? Is it the director? Who would you say defines the success or the failure of a movie? Well, when you build a big movie like that, it's an enormous effort, 360 degrees. I mean, from digital effects, certainly the actors. I mean, if you have an amazing script and amazing director, but you don't believe anybody playing the parts, that's a problem. So the reason I think it was so difficult to pull off is I always used to say you start with a stack of papers with words on it called the script, bring that to life, and you're asking an audience to believe in everything that you're trying to put out there, and you've got a cast that, even if they're immensely talented individually, they have to mesh together, they have to have chemistry together. And the director is kind of a general on the battlefield, but if you have a strong producer who's very hands on, but it truly, to me, is each one had its own story and its own sort of how it came to be and why it worked or didn't work. See, you said you were new to the industry, but you did a lot of revolutionary things with Legendary. So at that time and now, what is the good, the bad, and the ugly of the business of filmmaking? What are some interesting holes that you were able to, or like problems that you were able to fix? What problems still exist that can still be solved? Well, look, the business has changed so radically since 2004. When I started Legendary, DVDs were still a cash cow. So that's how far things have come. But I would say a couple of things. The reason that I started it from a business perspective was at the time it was a $30 billion industry, and there was no institutional capital around the movie business. And I was fascinated by that because almost every other category that you look at of that size has institutional capital, private equity, et cetera, is kind of a cottage industry set up around it. And I was perplexed and fascinated that that didn't occur. And the way the movie business worked was unlike any business I'd ever looked at before. So after kind of convincing myself that you could actually make money if you were disciplined and had the right approach, you know, went out, raised the money from the capital markets, markets which was Herculean, still maybe the hardest thing I've ever done in my career, to walk around and say, look, I have no experience. I've never done this before, but, you know. And the second thing, being very fortunate at the time, was able to partner up with Warner Brothers. Warner's at the time was run by a man named Alan Horn, who besides being creative is also a Harvard MBA. So really understood what I wanted to do. And Alan, you know, was just an absolute gentleman, someone that I still look up to to this day. After Warner Brothers, he went and ran Disney with their run, you know, between Marvel and Star Wars and everything. And so between Alan being responsible for Harry Potter, the Dark Knight stuff, and then onto all the Disney stuff, he probably had as great a career as anyone I've ever heard of in the movie business. So my first focus was around sort of two concepts, global, worldwide, large tentpole films and franchises, and then the business aspect of being, bringing longterm institutional capital to bear. I'm gonna ask you dumb questions, which is part of the style, I guess. But just for people who don't know, including me, what is institutional, what is capital? What is institutional capital? What is equity, what is private equity? Got it, okay. Well, so if you're starting a company and you go around to a bunch of your successful friends and say, hey, you should invest in my company. Well, that's sort of, that's great and it's capital, but it's not getting money from Fidelity or TRO or a sovereign wealth fund or an endowment fund from a university that has large pools of organized capital that has a longterm point of view on your business. So if you get money from your neighbor who's a successful dentist, next year the dentist may say, hey, times are hard, I need my money back. If you're partners with Fidelity or Morgan Stanley or any of these institutions, they have the capital and the wherewithal to say, okay, I'm looking at this over the next five to 10 years. And I thought there was an opportunity to bring that type of capital to the movie business to be patient. And the benefit of that patient, so it's longterm, you have to deal with fewer parties and they would do much larger investments. So what are the benefits? What are the sort of the challenges of that kind of investment? Well, I think the benefits in some ways are they're professionals who are largely dispassionate. It's like, look, if you're hitting the numbers you told me and you're hitting your plan, great. And the other thing that always was interesting to me about the movie business is if I'm investing in an artificial intelligence company or a chipset company or something like that, a lot of the institutions don't have the technical expertise to really truly grasp what's being done. So they don't, other than good business practices, they're not offering every little opinion. The movies and television are completely approachable, meaning everybody has an opinion. So whether it's, I think you guys chose the wrong actor for that or why did you do that movie? So it invites a lot more sort of second guessing and things like that. So that was always one of the idiosyncrasies of the business that I thought was interesting. And then when you talk about private equity versus public equity, if you're a public company where the companies are traded, you wanna buy Microsoft shares, you just go to your broker, go on TD Ameritrade and buy them. If on the other hand, you're talking about private equity, that's institutions or individuals investing in private companies. So thus, if you have pools of capital that mostly invest in private equity deals, that's how you'd think about it. It's difficult to make those happen because it's individuals, you have to sort of, what, have dinners and agree. So it's much less, it's much more human, much less mechanical, I would say. Yeah, now, and again, massive difference between large private equity shops who are professionalized and in the same category that I mentioned earlier versus private individuals who are wealthy or whatever. But again, it's much more individualized when you're going to people who like your idea and just say, I'd like to invest in this. Is that, from all the kinds of investments you've seen, what do you think is the most conducive to creating works of genius, whether that's in technology, AI space, or whether that's in movies? So creating something special in this world. I would say a couple of things. Enough money that whatever endeavor you're going into, that you're not so nervous about the edges, right? If I have $100 to spend and I think I can create a perpetual motion machine or something for $104, I can't do it because they're all over me about the budget. So I would say making sure that you have enough capital, making sure that that capital is patient enough so that it's, if you're gonna do things that are extraordinary, it takes some time. And you're gonna break stuff, right? You're gonna make mistakes, you're gonna have a whole bunch of film on the cutting room floor, so to speak, or if you're in the lab, you're gonna have a whole bunch of broken stuff. And I also think it's very important at the beginning, and I always try to do this with companies I invest in or buy, is make sure that you have a philosophical and somewhat mechanical alignment with the management team. So that going in, you both understand, hey, this is how we think about this problem or this company, this is what we feel like our culture is, this is what our goal is, and these are the metrics by which we'll agree to measure them by. Because if you don't have that shared, you know, hey, we're gonna take this journey, then I think that's where people get upset, disappointed, et cetera. What about, this is a weird question, but constraints. So this is both for filmmaking and investment. Do you think more money is always better? No. So I like constraints a lot. It's like constraints and almost like a desperation, and deadlines are catalysts for creativity, for productivity, for sort of innovation. So can you kind of speak to that as an investor, as a creator, like what's the right balance here? Well, I think if you're focused on a particular problem or a company or a thesis, if you have that focus and you feel like I have unlimited resources or renewable resources, so there's really, there's no leverage in the situation, right? There's no, if I fail at this, I'll just go get more money, right? I'll just go, I think that's a hard way to be resilient and to think of new ways to solve problems. So I think capitalizing things just, you know, to the nth degree does create some problems. So I think there's that perfect blend of don't starve the oxygen to the point where you make short term decisions or non strategic or thoughtful decisions because you gotta pay the rent. And on the other hand, you can't have it be like this, you know, everlasting gobstopper of whatever you want will just keep flowing the cash because that doesn't create any friction points that I think do result in works of genius, works of genius in things that, you know, that are transformative. And one of the things that is interesting to me about society sort of writ large is I think that when you go through hard times and you have to do things that are uncomfortable and you don't wanna do them because you're tired, because you're, that in some ways builds up that you're comfortable being uncomfortable muscle. And I sometimes think we're losing that a little bit and you can't sort of paint with a wide brush, but you know, that's one of the things that I kind of observe and hope that we don't go that way. I do think challenge and discomfort are a kind of gift because like overcoming that, it's like from every perspective, from a human perspective, it's a source of happiness and fulfillment, overcoming challenge. But from a business perspective, I see like if something is really difficult, to me it's also a sign that most others would, or many others would fail at this point. So like it's a feature. It's nice that something is difficult. When people tell you that something is impossible, I love that because it's like, all right, well then that's what a lot of people would believe. And that gives you an opportunity to be the person who shows it's not impossible. And you, of course you might be wrong, but if you're not wrong, you have the opportunity to stand out. So going through that hardship, taking those big risks, it's going to really pay off. So like discomfort is a feature, not a bug of both personal life, it's just good for life, but for business, it seems like just good business sense. If something is hard, it's probably a good idea to do that. Yeah. Because most others will fail. Fun question. I don't know if you can answer this, but what's the most expensive movie you were involved with to make? And why was it, you don't have to say numbers, but like is something stand out as being exceptionally expensive and why is it expensive? Um, I think Jurassic World was pretty expensive. Nice. I mean, worked out great. And, uh. That's an epic film, by the way. It, look, it's one of my favorites. They just did an amazing job. And frankly, the crazy thing about my life is all the stuff that I loved as a kid somehow came full circle back into my adult life. And having the opportunity while I was out there to develop a friendship with Steven Spielberg and then have my name on the same film as Steven Spielberg. I mean, that was pretty surreal. So that was an expensive film. You know, Dark Knight Rises was an expensive film. But again, to me, there's a difference between expensive and irresponsible, and expensive because the vision warranted and it turned out financially it certainly did. Yeah, with Jurassic World, it's. I mean, I can't even imagine having those meetings because like you have to create so much and so much of it is obviously not real. You can't bring dinosaurs in a. Yeah. Is that where a lot of the cost is, is in the computer side of things? Yeah, those are generally pretty massive components of the budget, and especially if you're doing it and inventing things as you go. I mean, Jim Cameron is one of those filmmakers who is designing the plane as it's flying in such a brilliant way. And I've got to know him over the years and just in awe of the way his brain works. And so yeah, it's a big component. Can you speak a little bit more to him in terms of, because you're such a fascinating person because you care a lot about technology. You care a lot about the cutting edge of technology. So how does he, a creator, a director, build the plane while it's flying? Like what's the role of innovation in this whole process? Well, so I never made a film with Jim. I'm just a huge fan and got to know him and John Landau, his producing partner. And one of the things that just fascinates me about Jim is, so he makes Titanic and there's a bunch of underwater cameras and things that they need that don't exist. So he goes and invents them and has a good grasp of engineering and has not only the imagination, but the ability to lead a team to build them. I got to go down early when they were shooting Avatar at a warehouse, I think it was, where they were shooting. And as they were explaining to me how they were capturing it and that they could go back later because they created the environment, it blew my mind. And I said, okay, this is truly, people talk about a big leap. This certainly is one. So he has continued to push the envelope in terms of the art of the possible. And I just think he's an incredible genius in that way. Again, another hard question. So you, in the realm of music, care about story, storytelling. Is there some aspect in which money and beautiful graphics get in the way of story? In filmmaking, so if you think about Jurassic World, obviously that's an experience like any other. Like what do you think about the tension between story, experience and like visual effects? There's a scoreboard. And I'm a huge believer in opportunity, meritocracy, all those things that I think are ideals that we wanna aspire to. And I think that there's a lot of things I'm involved with right now that I just wanna see if I can do it. I wanna see if, and you know, my own little mantra is cause the outcome, right? As much as you can, and at the same time, have the humility and not to have the hubris or arrogance to say I'm always gonna cause the outcome. Because you'll get your ass kicked pretty quickly and humbled. The world and the universe is a big place with forces beyond, but I think, I also think a lot about being intellectually honest, which when I do university talks and so forth, I think that's a superpower. Because if you find yourself making decisions based on other people's expectations, based on places you don't wanna go, but you feel like momentum is taking you there, I think that's a big problem. And there are people that go to our top universities and can't wait to get out and start their own company and they want that pressure and they want to grind. And there are other people that are smart and talented, but just say, look, I don't wanna lay awake staring at the ceiling wondering how I'm gonna make payroll. I don't want that in my life. And I think if you can square that up and be okay with it and say, what makes me tick? What makes me happy? What puts me in a bad head space? Because there's a difference between challenging yourself and going against your nature. So that's why I think that being intellectually honest and being able to really sit down and go inside your own head and say, what am I good at? What am I not good at? How am I gonna put myself in a position to be successful? Because I'm working on my weaknesses, but I'm not gonna put myself career wise in a position where I'm just fundamentally gonna have a hard time being successful. Yeah, intellectually honest is a tricky one. And it gets, there's like levels to it too. Sure. Because some of the things I think about when you dream of doing certain kinds of big things, a part of intellectual honesty is to say several things. One is like, hey, the thing you're dreaming about, like one, the fact that nobody's done it probably shows that you're just a dreamer. This is not going to, like think clearly. The fact that it hasn't been done probably shows that it may not be the right path. And two is like, if you're dreaming about stuff, there's a certain point where it's like, hey, you haven't done it. Like, why haven't you done it already then? Like you have to be honest with yourself. Like you have to be ambitious. Like a lot of people work hard a long time for a dream, but you have to wake up and be like, all right, I've been at this for 10 years. Like with a startup, you launch a startup and you think, okay, one year, two years, three years, four years, pretty successful, but it hasn't exploded like you dreamed and you have to shut it down. You have to be intellectually honest there. At the same time, you might want to be, like step it up, lean into it. Say almost like the flip side of like intellectual honesty is like maddening ambition of just saying, fuck it, I'm going to go all in. But that is a kind of intellectual honesty saying like, you know, the big problem here is I've been kind of going, doing too many things. Maybe with this dream, you have to go all in on it. All those kinds of things. I mean, this is human experience, it's complicated. Yes, all human things are complicated. And I think there's a difference between being reckless and making well thought out informed decisions. If you're going to go all in, make sure you've measured twice, cut once, as they say. And one of my other favorite, I forget, many years ago, I heard this saying and it stayed with me. It was never mistake, clear line of sight with distance and you know that. So I think that the key, whether you're starting a business or you're thinking about leaving the company you're at and starting a business or just leaving for another job, any of these things is as much as you can, right? And psychologists, I think would tell us, it's hard to be self aware completely, right? That's the rub that if we were all completely self aware of everything that we did and strengthen weaknesses, it'd be a different world. But I do think you can work on that and at least challenge yourself to think about it and not be in a position where I'm going to medical school because that's what you do in my family and even though I'm miserable doing it, things like that. So definitely you don't want to be sort of, because you don't think fall victim to conformity. Let's just go on doing the same thing over and over. That's right. But at the same time, is measure twice and cut once. It does feel like some of the biggest leaps taken are where you cut once and measure later. Is you leap in first. Sure. It's almost like a gut, I suppose that is a measurement, but you build up a good gut instinct of what to do and then you just do it and then you figure out, it's the building the airplane as you're flying it. Right. Well, and I think each one of those instances that you could probably cite has its own unique circumstances, right? I don't have a deep biotech background, so if I suddenly stood up and said, I'm gonna put everything I have into this idea, well, those are, it's game theory, right? What are the odds of success? If on the other hand, you're brilliant in your field or you've seen some opportunity that you think is wide open and you're gonna go for it and break stuff, that's great. You just wanna, to me, always say like, how crazy is this on the spectrum of, do I have any expertise? What is the downside if I fail, right? If you're at a certain point in life with young children and you've got a mortgage and whatever else, that is one circumstance versus I just got out of Stanford or I just got out of whatever and I'm gonna go for it. It's just the whole thing, right? It is complex as you point out. And sometimes you just wanna have the right matrix in your head of decision making process to try to arrive at the right place. And even if you get close, that's where I think you say, you know what, the hell with it, I'm doing this. Yeah, yeah. I do wanna ask you about one specific idea that sounds super fascinating that you're involved with recently. You led the $50 million seed round for a company called Colossal that is focused on deextinction. This is funny relative to our connection and conversation about Jurassic World. They're seeking to restore lost ecosystems and use gene editing to restore the woolly mammoth to the Arctic tundra. How are they gonna do that? Well, I met this fascinating guy at Harvard named George Church five, six years ago, and found him to be incredibly smart, have an imagination. And he partnered up with a guy named Ben Lamb, who's an entrepreneur. And basically the press and to me the imaginative, like you're capturing my imagination by telling me you're gonna bring back the woolly mammoth and other extinct animals. And I, you know, we'll see where that road leads. I was more interested in an investor in the things that they're working through around understanding genes and proteins and CRISPR and all these other things because being adjacent to George Church and his team as these things unfold over the next decade, I thought was the right thing to do. So people are important here, just like investing people and seeing what the hell they come up with. Absolutely, I mean, you can look through history and great things are done by great people, right? And companies, they end up over time becoming a logo and immediately what you think of them, but they started out with a person, with an idea and a team that cultivated that and made that happen. And I think there are certain folks that are just immensely talented that if you can be around them, and I also know his and his team's ethics in terms of, you know, after spending time talking about where the lines are, people in other countries that, you know, may not have the same process, may not have the same checks and balances, are doing this and pursuing this regardless. So at least I felt like with George and Ben and their teams, they're also very responsible people. This is where the human side of things comes into play. I've interacted with a lot of really brilliant people in the technology space where you kind of, you know, there's a lot of ways to feel this out. You can ask them whether they kind of read literature. You can feel out how much do they really understand about like human nature here. Like whatever the technology is, when it actually starts to play, interact with society at scale, like do they have an understanding or an intuition about how that happens? Some of that requires studying history. Some of that requires like just looking at the worst and best parts and events in human history to understand like, hey, it doesn't always turn out like everybody hoped the technology turns out. If a person has a depth of understanding about history, about human nature, then I think that's the right person to mess with some of this cutting edge stuff. Now you want Marcus Aurelius with a PhD from MIT. Exactly, exactly. Just small tangent, but you mentioned having a conversation with Warren Buffett, you spoke really highly of him as an investor, as a human being. What about him do you admire? What from him, what insights have you drawn from him as a great investor yourself? Well, the afternoon that I got to spend with him, which is something I'll treasure forever. Look, sometimes when you meet people, even that are immensely successful, you may decide that after 20 minutes or a half hour, oh, you were in the right place at the right time and that's fine. There are other people that are clearly different, special, and I don't care if you made them start from zero, you know, would end up in a good place. And so it was an absolute privilege to spend the time with him. You know, and a couple of things that stood out in the conversation, he is incredibly intellectually curious and well read, and I like how simplistic he likes to keep his thought matrix. And then also, instead of trying to outsmart the market, it seems like a simple axiom, but just look, good companies that are led by talented managers that are good businesses over time are gonna get there. So I'm not gonna day trade, I'm just gonna, I'm looking for value. And then just on life stuff, he just, you know, and also his ability to take in and then use information was incredibly impressive. So I only spent the, you know, I'd met him before, but I only spent one afternoon with him, but it's, you know, pretty incredible. And one of the things that stuck out to me is we were in the middle of talking about Tolko or investing or how we thought about it. And I said, you know, I'm trying to be smart about, and he stopped me and he said, Charlie Munger, his partner of many years, Charlie and I don't try to think of the smart thing to do. We try to think what's the dumb thing we could do here. And I kind of laughed and he said, no, I'm dead serious. We think about it from the standpoint of what could we do in this situation that later we'd be like, that was a really dumb thing to do. And I actually thought that was, it got in my head. And I still think a lot about that as I'm dissecting problems. So there is, like, that's a kind of longterm thinking if you just avoid the dumb things, or if you simplify, just focus on those simple steps, all it takes is just do that for a long period of time and you'll be successful. Well, it certainly worked for him, that's all I can say. What about you? You've been a great investor yourself. How do you know, when you judge people, so I, whenever I go to San Francisco, I was thinking of moving to San Francisco. That's why I decided to, after really giving it some thought, talking to people, decided to move to Austin. You know, everybody's dreaming big and they have big plans. And it's actually, I don't envy the job of an investor of any kind, because everybody has big dreams and it's hard to know who exactly, what idea is going to materialize, what team is going to materialize into something great. How do you make those decisions about people, about ideas? Well, if I had any kind of a lattice work on this, it absolutely starts with the people. And I think the reason for that is your business plan is going to change, right? There's very few businesses I know of that say, we're gonna make a widget in this location and 30 years later, we're successful and we just make a widget and that's what it is. Things happen, right? And today they happen with such velocity that you have to be able to make hard decisions based on imperfect information. And are you, how are you going to calculate those answers? How self interested are you going to be? What kind of ethics will you apply? What's your short term versus long term thinking? Are you able to give an honest assessment of a situation? Because the thing that you can count on is problems are gonna happen. Things you didn't anticipate are gonna happen. How pliable are you, right? How much elasticity is there in your ability to be successful? And I think it's important when you invest in something that you both see, you understand the roadmap ahead and agree to it, right? Doesn't mean there won't be twists and turns, but you're not like, whoa, wait a minute, what did we do here? This isn't what was in the thing I signed up for. And then I think honesty and communication is a huge thing to me with, I always tell people if bi directionally, if there's something going on, start the conversation with, Lex, we have a problem. Okay, now I'm sitting up, you have my full attention, we're gonna talk about whatever it is. Bad news should travel faster than good news. And because it's going to happen, being in business with someone that is gonna shoot you straight and sometimes say, I don't know. I don't know what the answer is. I gotta go figure it out. That I can process a lot better than, look, I don't want you mad at me or disappointed or I can't handle not having success. So we're just gonna kick the can. And I think, especially in today's business environment, that's very, very dangerous. So that's a bad sign, not just because it's good to communicate and be honest, but if they're not willing to do that, then it goes back to the intellectual honesty. They're probably not also able to be brutally honest with themselves when they look in the mirror about the direction of the company. But look, I wasn't there, so I don't know. But I think if you unpack many situations that turned out negatively, most of the people, whether you're faking lab results, you have a biotech company, everybody's staring at Theranos these days. Do I think in a lot of cases, you're either the villain, like you started out saying, I'm gonna screw my shareholders over and I'm gonna be a liar, that isn't my experience. Most things are little incremental moves that you say, we're gonna get this right next week, but today we gotta make the presentation. So we're gonna just tweak things a little bit. That's a slippery slope, right? And so that's why I think from a standpoint of people, you wanna go into the foxhole with folks that, you know, understand things are gonna happen and I'm gonna let you know about them and we're gonna try to solve them together. And then just in terms of the idea, it's, I always ask like, okay, if this company executed the way, that's the other thing that always cracks me up about financials, whenever somebody pitches you, inevitably they'll say, our projections are really, really conservative. I'm still waiting for somebody to come in and say, look, my projections are wildly optimistic. We'll never hit these numbers, but anyway, it's, you know, if this company did what it says and executes and does it matter, right? Does it move the needle enough? And what are the things that uniquely position this company to be successful? And you just have to be able to answer, I think a number of those questions pretty crisply. But at the end of the day, it's still a big risk. So you're just trying to minimize the risk. Let me jump to another topic. You're an incredible human being that you're involved with this. Your band, Ghost Hounds, is touring with the Rolling Stones. So before we talk about your band, let me ask about that. What's that like, playing with the Rolling Stones? Surreal, just because they're my favorite band of all time. To me, the greatest rock and roll band, it's not even close, of all time. And, you know, to share the same stage, to be on tour and to go out and get that energy from the crowd, you know, and every night and come off stage and later when they go on and you hear that iconic, ladies and gentlemen, the Rolling Stones. And then it's incredible. And, you know, what's amazing to me about the band, next year will be their 60th anniversary, 60 years. And it's hard to be around anything for that long, but making music and packing stadiums. And what's amazing to me, they can play a two hour set and it's not just that, oh, that's a hit or you recognize it. It's like every song is an anthem, right? And so it's been amazing. We got to play with them in 2019. And when they ask us to do this again, it's just an absolute privilege. I asked you this offline, so I know you are a kind of rockstar, but just me, maybe I'm projecting, but do you get nervous, such a large audience with the Rolling Stones? It feels like there'll be a lot of pressure. Yeah, I mean, you definitely don't want to screw it up. I think our band is tight knit and all that stuff. And I think that the individual nervousness dissipates when you go out as a group and you're making music together and you sort of, okay, we're all in this and we're doing a thing, which is why even in sports, I always look at individual events like ice skating or anything where it's just you out there alone. And that's different than being with a team and nerve wracking. So I'm sure if it was me with an acoustic guitar just going out, it would feel different, but absolutely you get the right kind of butterflies, I would call it. And just the energy of playing music and having it be this relationship and look, I get it. I've been to a ton of concerts where I'm like, look, can we just get to the band please? But what's been great is just an amazing reception. And we have this guy named Trey Nation who's the lead singer who's just incredibly talented. I mean, he's just not only an amazing voice, but just has that charismatic thing. Yeah, he's great. It's fun. What's it feel like to play in front of a huge audience? What's, as a guitarist, are you lost in the music? Like you almost don't feel the audience. Does it add extra energy? Does it add extra anxiety? What does it feel like? You know, stadiums are interesting just because it's so big and cavernous. And because you want to protect your ears. So we use an in ear system so that you are a little disconnected from the crowd. Because if you're playing that loud and you're standing in front of your amps without ear protection, that's bad. How are you monitoring the sound? The in ear stuff, is that producing sound or is it strictly ear plugs? No, it's producing the sound. So it's like putting ear pods in and listening to a song and you're playing to it, right? It's just us playing, but it protects your ears. But the energy from the crowd, when they get going and get into it, which Knock On Wood so far has been amazing, there's nothing like it. I mean, it's just this bi directional thing that happens. And music and sports were kind of my first loves. And yeah, it's very difficult to describe, I think accurately, because it's like no other feeling. Musically, how is it different than playing in a garage with the band by yourself practicing? Like, do you feel like you're creating something different when you got the guitar and the amp and just the sound dissipating out and everybody's listening, is that? It's, listen, the first time we did it and there's nobody in the stadium, first time I ever played in the stadium. And I'm just like, I'm out there in front and just hitting different chords and playing different licks. And I'm like, it's like I won a contest and I get to do this. But what's different about it, and each venue is different. So if you, we went on the road with ZZ Top a few years ago, which was incredible. Love Billy Gibbons, he's a Texan. Incredible person and guitar player. But when you're playing in like five to 7,000 seats, it's really, I mean, it's, you're right there with them, with the crowd. And then when you play in an arena, we toured with Bob Seger on his last tour, which was cool. Played some shows with him. And again, the arena, like they're all kind of packed on top of you. And it's super loud, which was cool. Meaning the crowd is, stadiums is a completely different animal. And it's just a completely different experience. Do you enjoy it versus like a smaller room? What, as a guitarist, as a musician, what's your favorite like room to play of the size? Any room that'll have me. You know, look, I think arenas are the perfect blend. If I had to say, because it's loud and, you know, 20, 30,000 people, but like right up, right up on you. A stadium, look, playing the stadiums with the Rolling Stones, it just is gonna go on the head marker somewhere is one of the more, you know, I say this, and I really mean it. My life is like a punked episode that just hasn't, no one's burst in yet, but yeah, it's as cool as you think it is. So 60 years, how do you think Mick Jagger still got it? How do you explain it? I gotta tell you something. I mean, the funny thing is whatever, wherever there is excellence, people wanna know how'd you do it, right? What's the secret? Not only is Mick Jagger, and I think the songs that Keith Richards and Mick Jagger wrote together, if you go back and listen to the lyrics, it's just incredibly poignant, and I'm just a huge Stones fan, so, but he works out like a maniac, right? And it's that 10,000 hours thing, and it's that, hey, maybe I don't feel my best today, but I'm gonna get up and do my routine and work out so that at his age, which, I mean, you can look at people at different ages chronologically that are, maybe we're both at this age, but I'm a lot older than you are, and vice versa. And he just, I think it's the combination of raw talent and the ability, and he's very smart, right? Like he understands how to have interaction with a crowd and hold them in the palm of his hand and be an entertainer, but then on top of that, the reason he can at this age run around stadiums and be just as energetic is he puts the work in. And that's one thing, step that I think a lot of people miss sometimes, where they want that magic trick, they wanna know what's the shortcut. Most of the time, the answer is there's no shortcut. Yeah, you have to work hard on the way there and work hard to stay on top. That's it. And sometimes it's not even like work hard, it's just like be a professional, which that involves, in his case, at his age, with the amount of stuff you have to do on stage and the way he does it. For two hours. You have, this is a professional athlete. A professional athlete that has to do things that are probably designed for 20 year olds and 30 year olds has to do it at an older age, which means what do you have to do? Well, he probably has a whole physical routine he has to do. Diet, the whole thing. And it's hard, look, if you wanna do great things, you probably have to do hard things to get there. I'm not gonna make you pick, just stick on the stones for one more minute. But what are some great Rolling Stones songs that were impactful to you, lyrically, musically, maybe something you like playing, like air guitar. Oh, sure. I don't know. Probably my favorites, I love Sympathy for the Devil. Yeah. It's a very, I don't know, sort of Faustian. I love the lyrics. I love how the, almost a voodoo beat just kind of builds throughout the song. That's always been one of my favorites. So in that song, he never mentions Devil, does he? No, wait, sorry. Like, you know my name. Yeah. There's like a flirtation going on in the lyrics. It's kind of interesting. Yeah, here's all the trouble I've caused along the way with you humans. And I just think it's really, really great. And musically, it builds really nicely. Yeah. And it's like both fun and dark. It's cool. It's a, there's a playful nature to it. It's, that's very stones. The only, they can pull it off because it's like playful, but it's also like dark and dangerous, dangerous, dangerous. Yeah. And Gimme Shelter is just, you know, and to this day, when I listen to the studio version and Mary Clayton just comes on and sings that epic, iconic part. And there's a documentary that was done about backup singers, phenomenal. And it tells the story of that moment in that song with Mary Clayton. And it's just her voice and the way it unfolded, they got her out of bed at like 10 o clock at night in LA. And she's like the Rolling Stones, and went in and just killed it. And I can't sing at all. I'm by ordinance not allowed around a microphone. So I'm always in awe when someone can sing like that. But, you know, those are, those are some of my favorite Rolling Stones songs and Painted Black's awesome. I mean, I could go on and on. Yeah, Painted Black is great. Again, a song that builds as bad as, I mean, it defines a whole generation. What made you pick up a guitar? What made you fall in love with the guitar? It's just the coolest instrument, right? I mean, when you watched back then, and I was kind of an old soul. I was listening at a fairly young age to Muddy Waters, Robert Johnson, Lightning Hopkins, BB King, and just the soulfulness. Thrills gone. Oh my, I mean, BB plays five notes and just kills it and the emotion that it evokes. So I just was just in awe of the instrument. And I also, there's always somebody around who's a musician that just picks the instrument up and can play, right? And they're just so talented at it. And they can just listen to a record and play it. That was never me. I never took formal lessons. I had to grind to just make it sound like I wanted it to sound. So both technically and ear, everything was hard work. Yeah, I mean, I could hear it and what they call, you know, you play. So my right hand, the rhythm side of it is, that's probably if I have anything, my strength. But there's something pretty amazing that happens when you get together with other people and play a song in that moment where it hits the pocket and you all kind of know it. And it's just such a cool feeling. And it was interesting growing up because I was, again, I always had eclectic interests. So I loved math and physics and science. So I had those friends and I was an athlete and played football and baseball and basketball. So I had my jock friends, and then I had my music friends and so it was just kind of that. And so when I was still living in Los Angeles and had Legendary, I just missed playing. And so I put this band together and called it the Ghost Hounds because again, huge Robert Johnson fan and that legend of Robert Johnson selling his soul at the crossroads in exchange for his musical talent. And you guys have that in one of the videos. Yeah, yeah, yeah. Such a cool video. Exactly, so I just thought that's such cool lore. I just love the blues. So Robert Johnson would often talk about hellhounds on his trail. And so I always just thought, huh, what about ghost towns? So I wish it were a more clever, deeper story, but that's about it for the name. That's pretty deep, Robert Johnson's incredible. But you also talk about that you connect to the storytelling of blues. So what makes a good story in a song? Like what aspect of storytelling connects with you in song? So I'm a big lyrics guy too. I love like deep lyric people like Tom Waits and like people that are like Leonard Cohen, like even Bob Dylan, they're like obviously, it's poetry. And then there's some people like the Rolling Stones there. It's like seemingly simpler, but it's still so much more to it. It's like less is often more. It still tells a strong story. Yeah, and there's certain people and Jagger and Mick Jagger and Keith Richards are in this boat. Billy Gibbons is in this boat. They just say things in a certain way that are just cool, right? It's just, and so I write our music and lyrics. I have to tell a story. I have to know the characters in the song. I'm not good at just writing some rhymes and having it match up to the right key and the right music. I have to understand like, that's just me. And so I think that, look, if you have three or four minutes to tell a story, you have to be more efficient with your use of language. And you have to understand what you're building to it understand what you're building to, if anything, and evoke emotion. And hopefully for those three minutes, get the listener to understand not only the point of the song, but where you're coming from and to make you feel a certain way. There's a song that the audience has seemed to like a lot on the new album called Good Old Days. And I wrote that because especially during COVID and reflecting on what normalcy looks like and what happens when you're cut off, I just was kind of taken with this idea of that when you sit around and reminisce with friends, oftentimes it's not just like some big event happened. It's, remember that summer, we'd go up to the lake all the time and it's who you were with. And at the time, it probably seemed pretty pedestrian. It just seemed like kind of a normal day, but it was the company you were keeping. It was the time in your life. It was whatever it was. And I just kind of struck me that right now we're doing stuff that you're gonna reminisce about later that seems kind of ordinary to be like, man, that was such a great time. So the idea is be in the moment and all that stuff. But these are the good old days. And enjoy it and soak it in and kind of be present for it. Yeah, it's a great perspective to take on the present because we are in the thing that we'll remember. We're living through the thing we'll remember. And sometimes the things we'll remember is the simple stuff, the little stuff. Outside of Keith Richards, who is the greatest, ridiculous question, but just indulge me, who is the greatest blues guitarist of all time, rock guitarist of all time? Well, you got a little bit of a hybrid with Jimi Hendrix, right? Because he played the blues and he played rock and roll. So I think most guitarists would say Jimi Hendrix was pretty ridiculous. That probably for me, I'm a huge, huge, huge Hendrix fan to play. He can't, I mean, even to this day, I don't care, technology, pedals, whatever, he just somehow fused with the instrument. I can't be sitting here in Austin, Texas without mentioning one of the great guitar players of all time, Stevie Ray Vaughn. See, that's how, I know you're like a rock star. You're sucking up to the audience. Well, no, you have listeners all over the place, but Stevie Ray Vaughn is another one of those. That is incredible. Just blows me away. And then with the older guys, BB King, Hubert Sumlin, Clapton. I saw him on his last tour and just walked out on my, just like unbelievable how he still sounds. And both electric and acoustic, just so strange. Absolute master. And the greatest storyteller, you mentioned Bob Seger. That's an interesting one. He almost doesn't get enough credit, I feel like, for how great he is. Obviously he's super famous, but. No, he's, and his voice. I also, I had the privilege of getting friendly with John Fogerty, you know, John Fogerty and CCR fame. And he's another one that's just the way he phrases things. And you just look at the catalog of stuff he wrote. Amazing talent. I read Bruce Springsteen's book and was, I'm a fan, but after reading the book, it was really, you go back and listen to his lyrics and the way he pours himself out is pretty incredible. And then again, with the old blues guys, I just think the emotion they could get out of playing like, staying on the one, right? Just playing the same rhythm. John Lee Hooker. You listen to Manish Boy by Muddy Waters and it's just, there's something so, it just draws me in every time. And the emotion they're able to get out of things. And I'm also a huge Chuck Berry fan. I just think that sound is, I love it. Do you know how to play Johnny B. Goode? I do. That's good. Maybe one of the great moments, at least of my childhood, was back to the future and watching Michael J. Fox plug in and then at the end, play at the dance to save his parents with Johnny B. Goode, pretty awesome. Yeah, the guitar is so much more than a musical instrument. It feels like, it's like the, in the 20th century, it's like the car. Like it defines so much of Hollywood, so much of a generation of what it means to be, I don't know, what it means to be a man, what it means to be a human in America. It's fascinating. Emblematic to me of a certain type of music. Yeah. And that's, I made a documentary years ago called It Might Get Loud with Jimmy Page, The Edge. I highly recommend that everybody watch that documentary. It's an incredible celebration of the guitar. Yeah, it says Jimmy Page, Jack White from White Stripes. The Edge. And The Edge from U2. Okay, all right. Well, now you have to tell the story of that one because how the heck did that all come together? Because it's so fascinating, such different musicians all coming together, talking about their story, talking about how they approach the music and also playing together a little bit in this casual kind of setting. Well, look, one day I came downstairs and the Rolling Stone magazine is sitting there and it was the 50 top guitarists of all time, their list. And then I had some other financial report with video games and the top video game at the time was Guitar Hero, right? And then there was a third thing, I can't recall it, but I just, and I said to myself, what is it about the guitar that is so central to the rock and roll, whatever you wanna call it? Like, why is that the symbol? And I said to myself, I wanna ask Jimmy Page why he picked up the guitar, because he's Jimmy Page, right? And so I called a friend of mine, Davis Guggenheim, who had directed Inconvenient Truth, and I think still is, but at the time was the biggest documentary ever. And I called Davis and I said, look, I have this idea. I wanna make this movie about the guitar, about different eras and styles and whatever, but I've never made a documentary. I don't know how to do that. So I was just looking for advice. And thankfully, because he's one of the best documentarians ever, Davis is like, you know what, I can't get this out of my head. I'll direct it, which was amazing. And we wrote three names down that represented different eras and different styles. Rarely do you get, you go three for three, but it was those three guys. And it was just such a incredible experience to sit there and get to know Jimmy Page. You know, I mean, it was like, and he was like Gandalf, man. He was like always Jimmy Page. And... That was so cool to see him. Gandalf was, there's like a wisdom, there's a calmness to him compared to like the restlessness of Jack White. Like the, I mean, that combination was just fascinating. It was one of the coolest experiences ever. And one of the things, there was a moment where Jimmy, he was going through his guitar case and he had the double neck from stairway to heaven and he handed it to me and I was like, mm hmm. I mean, it's like somebody handing you X caliber or something. Amazing experience. And The Edge, one of the kindest human beings you'll ever meet in your life. Just an amazing person. And I think he hit it right on the head with Jack is he's got that energy, you know, and constantly pushing himself. But it's hard to believe it's been, I think 10 or 11 or maybe even 12 years since it came out, but. After watching it, I realized like how much it was needed. And I was almost surprised it didn't already exist. It was like, yeah, the guitar wasn't quite celebrated like explicitly. We almost didn't acknowledge it. How important it was culturally. It's kind of amazing. And the way it closed from the song, the. The Wait. It was called The Wait, yeah, by the band. Yeah. Yeah. That's because they didn't want to go home. We were shooting on a Warner Brothers soundstage for three days when we called it The Summit where the three of them came together. And the two things I'll never forget is when Jimmy starts to play the riff from Whole Lotta Love. Yeah. Edge and Jack ceased to be rock, you know, rock gods or whatever, and had the same 15 year old kid feeling that I did. You could see in their face. And then at the end, they're like, hey, can we play? We just want to, we don't want to go. Can we just play something acoustically? So we printed out the lyrics. That's what they wanted to play. And they just sat there and sat on those couches and just. Such a good way to end. Yeah. Incredible. What's your guitar rig setup like? You have a few guitars. First, let's just put on the line. So what's better, Les Paul or Strat? Well, I'm not going to get into what's better because I'm sure that'll start a flood of whatever. For me. I'm going to say it's Strat. All right. I'm a Les Paul. My main instrument is a Les Paul. But I, okay, let me just put it on the table. I'm speaking as somebody who literally, I don't think I've ever actually strummed a chord on a Les Paul. So I've been, maybe I'm uninitiated. Exactly. So I don't, I don't speak from experience, but it's probably because of Hendrix is so deeply influenced by Hendrix that I just kind of follow in his footsteps and clap them and so on. The amazing thing to me is if you look back at Leo Fender and what the Gibson Guitar Company and Les Paul did in the fifties, those are still the shapes and the perfect thing today, right? The Strat and the Telecaster and the Les Paul. And it's, they got it right way back, way back then. So I have my main guitar, you got to name your guitar. So my main guitar is named Hazel and it's a 59 Les Paul. And there's something magical in that year, like a Stradivarius and they're just, there's something different about them. So I play that and then I play it through sort of my main rig is either a 59 Fender Twin or a 65 Marshall. And then when we're on the road now, cause when you use older vintage stuff, you just got to be super careful with the tubes and everything, it has to be reliable. So very nicely, the guys from Two Rock sent me some of their amps and they're really, cause I don't use any new stuff, but the Two Rock stuff is pretty great. So that's actually what I'm using. Oh, it gets close to the sound that you like with the Marshall. Yeah, it's new and reliable. So that's what I'm using on the road right now. Do people use like emulation? Do they use software? Is it still? They do. I personally don't, I go, I don't have many pedals. I use a Klon, an old vintage Klon straight into the amp. As old school as possible. Is there other cool guitars you have that kind of stand out? I have a bunch of what they call Blackguard Telecasters from the 50s, which are pretty great. What are those, Blackguard Telecasters? Yeah, so they just, you know, it's in the 50s. Oh, they actually legit have a Blackguard. Pickguard. Got it. But they're incredible, so. What's the color of the Telecaster itself? Most of them are yellow with black and then they got into different configurations, but there's something, I have a 51 Telecaster that I play in Open G, and in songs with Open G, that just, again, there's something, you know, and I'll take all the help I can get in terms of making it sound great. So I'll try to find the magic ones. What's your writing process like for the music and the lyrics? Is there, do you have to go to the mountains? Is there whiskey involved? What do you have to do? Or do you just write a little bit whenever you have a moment of free time? I'm a boring guy, because I don't drink. I don't, I just, I figure I can screw things up plenty on my own without adding anything. It's a good call. But, you know, for me, it either starts with a riff, just something that I think is an interesting, you know, riff or tone that I can kind of sink my teeth into a little bit. And a lot of times I'll write a title and love a title and then start to back it up. So the title is almost like an idea. Yeah, like this is where I want to be and then start kind of writing it out. And again, I just have to know, am I writing from a character's point of view? Am I writing about someone or something, you know, as like the narrator? And, you know, what is this person? Are they happy? Are they sad? Are they happy? Where are they in life? I don't know if all that, like, great writers, I'm sure, would say, why don't you just write? You don't need all that. But that's, for me, that's my process. Well, I'm not so sure about that. I bet you quite a lot of writers have created a world in their mind before they even put the simplest of words down. So yeah, there's quite a lot to that. Yeah. What's your favorite song to play? Is there some favorite ones you go to? But both play and kind of, I'm sure you love singing. Oh, no, no, no. No, you don't? I'm not, I'm neither talented nor do I have the desire. And I think, you know, if you come see the show, you won't see a microphone anywhere near me. But do you, I mean, do you hear, like when you're thinking about lyrics, do you hear the idea of the words? 100%. And especially what's great with Trey is I write for his voice. And then we have these amazing backup singers that are just, and I can hear all of it, I just can't do it. And so I'd say of our stuff, there's a song called Half My Fault that I play in Open G that just, I love playing the song. I love that energy. And then there's, we have a new blues album coming out and there's a song called Baby We're Through and it just stays on the one. And if for non musicians, that means, like in a lot of rock and roll and blues, it's what's called a one, four, five progression from your kind of root note. And you would hear, if you're a non musician, if you heard it, you'd be like, oh yeah, that's a lot of songs. And this song just stays on the same groove. Like La Grange or Shake Your Hips or any of those songs. And it's just got this unbelievable energy and it's fun to play, but I have to keep the same rhythmic thing going for the whole song. With that simplicity, I mean, the personality of the song can really shine. I mean, Trey's, I mean, that guy, really cool. He just comes through. I mean, I guess you need that from a lead singer. He's just, he's just. You gotta have that, and my other guitar player, Johnny Bob is, he's a phenomenal, I mean, like a legitimate guitar slinger. You know, we probably split the leads 70, 30, and he is just, you know, there's times sometimes I look over at him and I'm like, I'm being a fan right now because what you just laid down is pretty good. From a lead perspective, what's the most fun thing to play? What kind of stuff do you, do you like slow? Do you like, I mean, if you, like, thrill is gone. So if you look at B.B. King, sometimes one note just bending the shit out of that. What do you call that, vibrato? If I'm gonna play the lead, it's a certain kind of feel. Slow blues is probably my favorite to play, or something that's got a little more of that Chuck Berry drive where you can be rhythmic in the lead. You know, I can't, the shredding thing that those guys do is, that's not my. I was actually always able to do that really well. Like, you mentioned people that pick up fast, like, maybe it's the classical piano training. I can play super fast on guitar, super technical. But to me, the hardest thing and my favorite thing is just, it's probably less to do with the guitar, more living on life that's worth playing a guitar for. It's like a certain kind of emotion that you can put into the notes. And that has to do with bending notes well. Like, bending notes is a whole other art form of, I worked surprisingly a long time on Comfortably Numb. And there's, so David Gilmour, there's a lot of bending. And they're simple, they sound simple. But the dynamics of them, to express like a build up in the way it's held and there's often a vibrato at the top for a bit. Just that, it's almost like a sigh and a sigh of relief and the build up. I mean, that's an art form for him that's hard to get right. It's not just playing a note, playing a note, playing a note, it's in that like dynamic movement of a note that so much can happen. That's where the blues happens to. Look, I'm a huge Freddie King fan too, right? And you listen to these guys and they're, you sit there and they're like, man, you're playing in a small range on the neck. But, you know, it's like, I know the notes you're playing and I'm playing them too, but not like that, right? I mean, it's, and Gilmour is certainly one of those guys that's an incredible guitar player. And yet another chapter of an amazing life. You love football, like you mentioned. You play football? Yes. What position do you play? Wide receiver. Wide receiver. Awesome. So, maybe we can talk a little bit about your love of football and the fact that you are part owner of the Pittsburgh Steelers. Yeah. So, I mean, where do we start? You start at the beginning, let's start at the end. Why the Steelers? What attracted you to the, first of all, I think not to be controversial, but one of the best uniforms in football in terms of just the black and gold, just. Decal only on one side. Yeah, it's great. Yeah, the helmet. Look, I've bled black and gold since I was a little boy. I grew up in upstate New York. And the first football game I ever saw was the Steelers in the Super Bowl is a really little kit. And it just, I mean, Jack Lambert and Joe Green and Franco Harris and those guys were like, came down from Olympia, Mount Olympus or something. And I just was enamored with the team. And because we only had three channels, the only time I'd get to see them is occasionally when they were the game of the week or something. And I just loved to me what they stood for, the toughness and they played football the way that I thought was great. I was a huge Jack Lambert fan, our Hall of Fame linebacker who just intimidated everybody. So that was like the, that was the decade of the steel curtain. I mean, arguably one of the great sort of defensive in football history and also one of the greatest football teams period of in football history. I've been a lifelong fan and was very fortunate to meet Mr. Rooney. The Rooney family started the team in 1933, got to know him and just was asked to be part of the ownership group. I think it was the end of 2007, first year as part of the group in 2008, we won the Super Bowl. And it was like beyond surreal and just beyond surreal. And it's amazing to be able to do. I mean, the Rooney family is one of those most revered in sports for the way they conduct themselves. Mr. Rooney passed away, I think five years ago now and we lost him, but was a champion, helped build the league. I mean, put the league as we know it together. More importantly, it was a civil rights champion who created what we now call the Rooney rule to make sure that we're being fair about giving minority coaches a chance to get hired. And just is one of the most kind and amazing human beings I ever met. It's incredible what sport does. Like to bring out the best in people, to give people hope, to inspire people. There's something about football that has all the elements of a great sport. Well, look, if you're using big effect shots and all kinds of tricks to cover over the fact that you don't have a very interesting story to tell, that's where I think it gets in the way. Where I think you have these incredible filmmakers, we mentioned Chris Nolan and Jim Cameron, Guillermo del Toro, you could go on and on, folks that just see the world differently and use technology to enhance the storytelling, right? To make you believe differently, rather to make you not just suspend your disbelief, but to feel like you're immersed in it. So I've certainly seen it done expertly and I've seen it done poorly. You've talked about this a little bit in the past. You kind of left the moviemaking business at an interesting time, perhaps you saw the changes. There's been a lot of excitement with Netflix, with TV, so the role of film in society has changed. So what do you think is the future of movies versus TV? Like if you were as a business person, as a creator, as a consumer, as a technologist, are thinking about the next 10, 20 years, what do you think is going to be the godfather, the great pieces that move us as a society in the next 10, 20 years? Is it going to be TV? Is it going to be movie? Is it going to be a TikTok clips? What is it? Well, so, and I think the other category that I would add to that, that will be the next great medium is truly immersive virtual reality in which new storytellers will emerge, especially when you can go into VR and there's enough computing power to sustain it and to allow it to be social and for you to have different paths to go down. That'll be, I think, the next realm of what storytelling and experience will look like. Do you think a video game kind of world or is it more movies or is it more social network or is it all of it kind of blending reality and gaming and movies? Yeah, I thought if you saw Ready Player One, which I love the book and the movie was cool too, but that's one version of it, right? Where you go in, now everybody's talking about the metaverse and all that, but you go into a world that's fully rendered as yourself and you interact with that world. The other side of it is to go in somewhere between being a passive observer, but being able to move around your point of view and experiences, which I think is interesting. And then I think another adventure, so to speak, I could think of is a blend of video games. So there's a mission, right? There's obstacles, there's everything and you move through it, but it's immersive and it tells a story at the same time. And that's why I think you're gonna see new amazing storytellers that we don't know yet that understand how to innovate and how to make you feel something in that environment. And to your earlier point, I saw probably around 2015 when Netflix decided to be bold, put out House of Cards, put out all the episodes, leave you in charge of the pace at which you would view them, which I thought was great. That was a gutsy move. Yes, it was. And I can't tell you around Hollywood, anybody that says that everybody thought it was a great idea is not being truthful because everybody I talked to said this is, they're idiots, right? What do they know about movie making and TV? And what I saw happening was if you look at what Netflix pulled off and they realized that there isn't really a moat around the studios, you really could make stuff and really good stuff. And so they started to create their own content that pulled in Amazon, which pulled in Google through YouTube and then you had Hulu, then you had Disney deciding that they're gonna have Disney Plus. And the next thing you know, you have some of the biggest companies with the largest balance sheets on the planet being in the creative business. If you're an independent, that's bringing a knife to a gunfight to be sure. And so I thought that was interesting. The other thing that it used to be that movies were where the big things happened and television was sort of, it was small screen, different experience. And you had something like Game of Thrones come out, which was not only on the same epic level visually and storytelling wise, but had the budget to be able to do it. And now I think you're seeing all kinds of different storytelling taking place. And I also like that you're not pigeonholed into a time. You got two hours to tell the story. You can do a three part mini series, a five part mini series. You can do television that's all kinds of different format. That I think allows creators to do a lot more interesting things. It is also interesting to consider the role of companies that enable that, like the capital that enables that. Without Netflix and HBO, you wouldn't have some of these epic shows. And so if we're thinking about the virtual reality world that you're talking about, it's interesting to consider who will enable that. Now, like you said, Facebook is talking about meta and metaverse, but it's unclear that just having money is enough. Netflix did a lot of really revolutionary stuff. Amazon has money. There's a lot of companies that have money that don't quite do as good of a job yet at enabling creators of creating revolutionary new content. That changes the whole industry. And that's probably going to be the case with virtual reality. There is a lot of money needed to enable experiences, like in terms of compute infrastructure. There needs to be a huge amount of money there, but you also need to somehow give freedom to creators to have fun, to do their best work, and at the same time provide the perfect amount of constraints, all of that together. However Netflix makes it happen, they do a pretty good job because it's a very constrained platform, but yet all the creators I've ever talked to, comedians and so on, that work with Netflix, are really happy because they feel free to create their work. Yeah, and I think a lot of times companies are a letterhead, but it boils down to the people. And I think I've known Ted Sarandos a long time who ran the studio at Netflix and now took over for Reed running the company. But Ted, very smart, talented guy, and understood early how to cultivate talent and relationships with talent, which is important. When you're dealing with creative people, their motivations and their goals are not always the same, right? They're not always capitalistic, right? And so in terms of being able to communicate with creative people that are not always A to B to C is a talent. And so I think they did a great job. Ted did a great job with that early. But I think that you're gonna see different formats. I don't think, I mean, going to a theater to see a massive movie on that screen in that format is a fundamentally different experience. And I think you're gonna find movies, my old shop, Legendary, just put out Dune, which I thought was phenomenal. When we secured the rights to Dune years ago, I was over the moon because I love the book. I love the entire world that is Dune. And that's a movie that I think you see on the big screen. I think when Avatar 2 comes out, I wanna see that on a big screen. But I think you're gonna see a ton of content is obviously being produced, and it's not all gonna go to a theater going experience. So you're gonna see, I think, different versions of this over the next five to 10 years. In case James Cameron is listening to this, so he officially agreed to talk at the time of, on this podcast, at the time of Avatar 2 release. I'm just holding you to that in this recorded conversation. Also just super excited, both the movie and the director. There's something special about movies. They win Oscars, they're historic in nature. There's something about TV shows, even when they're epic like Game of Thrones, that they're forgotten much quicker in history. I don't know, maybe that's because we haven't had enough of them, but the De Niro performances, It's the teamwork, it's the sort of the combat aspect of it. It's like, it's the purity of it. It's of like strength and power and speed and all the elements of like last minute, close calls required to win the game. And where referee decisions, of course, that's essential for a sport can screw up the whole thing. Just got all of it together. I think just, I don't know, it gives the drama and the triumphs are just beautiful. Like some of my favorite memories, I don't know if it's an accident or this is common with people, it's just with friends watching football and connecting over that. Yeah, well, look, it's an incredible game because there's nowhere to hide, right? You're out there on the field. You know, it's a great game that requires not only all those attributes that you said, but it's incredibly complex game. So if you don't know what you're looking at and you don't understand how complex defenses are trying to disguise what they're doing, offenses are trying to overcome that and you can set up one play the entire game, but a team that plays well together, right? Knows their plays inside and out, knows their assignments inside and out, can overcome and beat a more physically gifted team because of that aspect of working together. One of the things that I always loved about sports is just you're out there, there's a set of rules and there's a scoreboard. So at the end of that game, it says, and you can make excuses about the refs or this happened or that happened, but at the end of the day, did you go out and compete? And when you went out and were a competitor, how did it work out, right? And the simplicity of that and the purity of that is something that I always have been drawn to. What about the business of sort of owning a team or putting together a team or trying to like build up a team that's going to be a great team? Like what are some interesting aspects that people might not realize that you can carry over from all the other experience you have in business? I think the hardest thing about professional sports, right now it's individuals getting paid money to play a sport, which is different than, it's certainly different than amateur. And the decisions that are hard is when you get to know somebody who's a player on the team and either they're at the end of their career or you need to go in a different direction and that person who's done everything that you've asked, whatever the coaches have asked of that person and you get close to them. And then when they have to be traded, released or whatever happens, it's, that's sad. And being able to stand back and in some ways be dispassionate and not be a fan, right? There's a, I'm on the baseball hall of fame board and one of the guys that's on the board of me is Jerry Reinsdorf. And I think it was Jerry who said, if you act like a fan, you'll be sitting with them, which I thought was kind of funny. Well, I got to push back on that a little bit as a, by way of a fan asking a dumb question. Okay, let me just give some examples. It's very common in sport. It's funny you said this example of like certain great players going to another team right at the end of their career. And it always makes me sad. It almost makes me want to wish that he kind of retired right there from a perspective of just like, do you ever, as a owner, but just in that space, think about like the Steelers in the full arc of human history. So not like as a business. I mean, okay, this question might be absurd. I don't have to think about it as a business. You know, I'm a minority owner, so I can think about it almost as a fan, but I'm sorry, go ahead. Yeah, well, that's what I mean. I suppose this is a dumb question to think of, like of a business in that way, not just investment, but like legacy of like what footprint would you leave on this world, on this history? That is one thing that I can say unequivocally, and I only have the experience that I have. But one of the things that I'm so proud of about the way the Steelers conduct themselves is, and that's the Rooney family, that's the legacy of the Rooney family, is asking constantly about what's right for the league, what's right for the players, what's the right thing to do here? And that's something that I would hear Mr. Rooney say all the time. So I think that legacy is important because ultimately the team belongs to that city, right? Belongs to those fans and the owners are the custodians of that. So I think, and when you realize what sports teams mean to the fans, the memories that it creates, the bonds that it creates, it's a responsibility. And I think that you do have to think beyond the, certainly not just dollars and cents, but just sports is a very big deal in our society. And it has to be, I think, held to a standard that's not just, well, were we profitable this year? That's, there are other businesses for that. It is certainly a business. I don't mean to romanticize to the point that it's not, but to me, it's more than that. Or at least my experience has been that it's more than that. It's a source of meaning for millions of people. And you see that most, like during COVID, for example, when there's so much desperation, so many people losing their jobs, so many people having to deal with the uncertainty of what the future holds. There's something about those sports that just unites us that again, the tragedy and the triumphs of sport, of united, of gathering together with your friends, with family, shared experience of over like this, yeah, over just team, over rooting for your team, for your city ultimately. And the access, again, as I alluded to, we didn't have anything when I was growing up, but I would pour through the box scores. I was a huge Yankee fan and Steeler fan and feeling some ownership of that, right? That I could read the box score and relive what they did and occasionally see them on TV and feel like I was part of that celebration when they won and everything. It's a very powerful thing. You've been exceptionally successful in a bunch of avenues and a bunch of efforts. What advice would you give to a young person today, a high school student, a college undergraduate that's thinking about career, maybe advice, not about just career, but about how to live a life they can be proud of? You know, we talked earlier about intellectual honesty and to me, that's the first step of just saying to the best of your ability, who am I? And what's important to me and what do I wanna do and accomplish? If you can start with that and develop some sort of rules based philosophical, here's what I'll do, what I won't do. And that way you can be flexible and pliable and you're gonna need to be, but if you still have a compass that tells you, hey, at least I know this is the path I'm gonna take, I think that's very important. The rules you're referring to, the principles, that's kind of like underlying integrity. So knowing what lines you don't cross on this path. Exactly right, because if you have those absolutes, there are many decisions that come into focus very quickly because hey, that's not for me, or hey, I'm willing to do whatever it takes to do X, Y, and Z. And it has to do with the thing you were talking about. It's kind of interesting, you mentioned earlier in the conversation about slippery slope and that's how often it happens, like how the slipping into unethical behavior happens. It's a slippery slope of little adjustments, you put stuff off and I found that to be, I've been fortunate to not have to encounter these moments very much in my life, but I still encounter them. That's what integrity I think looks like, is as the slippery slope is happening, those little things is without drama, without making a show of it, making a decision that stands behind your principles and just walking away. Yeah, and besides the big ideas, I'm gonna change the world, I'm gonna innovate, I'm gonna do all those other things, I also start, if I'm giving any advice, which we can debate whether or not I should be giving advice, but just in terms of, well, let me start with this. Are you a good friend? Can you be counted on? Do you do what you say you're going to do? Yeah. Right? Are you accountable to what you sign up for and do you hold others accountable? What does all that look like? And then I think it's being as intellectually curious and well read as you can be. We live in a world that is designed to distract you, right? And being able to sit with your thoughts or go on a walk and think deeply about something and not just surface area, you text me, I text you back and we decide the fate of the world based on a couple of text messages or something. You don't wanna lose touch, I think, with being well read and understanding and standing on great thinkers shoulders and learning from those works. And then I also think that there's resiliency and then there's grit. And I heard someone say one time that those are slightly different. And I'm also, I know that there are all kinds of challenges in life, right? That are tragic, that are unfair. There's no question that's the world we live in. But for me personally, to try as much as possible not to be in the victim mindset because unfair things are gonna happen. And we all wanna live in an idealistic, just world. That should be what we aspire to. I haven't seen that yet, I haven't experienced that yet, but yet you still have to function in that world. So I think that that resiliency thing is very important. And then putting yourself out there, right? Because if you play scared and you're always afraid to fail, you know, this is probably a dumb way to get to the end of the podcast, but there are times, especially I'm out West, I love the big sky out in Montana, Idaho, places like that. And when you look up at night, it's almost like I've never seen anything like this before because there's no light pollution, so to speak. And sometimes when I look up, the most daunting problems that I'm experiencing, I'm like, those things have been there for a billion years or whatever, and I'll be gone and it doesn't, the most famous person on earth 200 years ago, eh. So it's pretty fleeting. And so make sure you have a good journey and especially coming out of COVID, I think telling people that you care about them and maintaining and cultivating your friendships and relationships and they're not just transactional, right? And making sure that someday when you're laying there, you can say, yeah, I was a good family member. I was a good friend. I was someone that could be counted on. I think all those things go into the mix of, you know, however you wanna take the journey. So when you look up to the stars, do you think about that quickly approaching end of yours? Do you think about your own mortality? Do you think about your death? Are you afraid of your death? I'm a huge fan of stoicism, right? I read a lot of stoicism. I think Ryan Holiday's done a great job of bringing some of that back into the forefront. It's just really thought provoking to me and rings, a lot of it rings, just hits me and says, I think that's right. And that Momento Mori thing, which is, hey, we're all gonna die, so you should contemplate it. There's a finality to this thing. And so I think if you can rightly frame that between fretting about it every day and being afraid and being so laissez faire that you think, you know, you're gonna live forever, it'll influence some of the decisions you make. It'll influence the way you attack things and hopefully the way that you live your life. So yes, I wouldn't say I obsess over it and I wouldn't say it's omnipresent, but because I read a lot of stoicism and just, I think it's right to pause and say, who knows, right? There's gonna be an expiration date. And if it happened tomorrow, have I done the things I wanted to do? And am I the person I wanted to be? And I think it's important along the way to check those things. Yeah, I try to make sure that I actually visualize this, that I'm okay dying at the end of the day, at the end of each day. Like, if this is the last thing I do in my life is talking to you. Oh, good Lord. I'm happy. I know you're joking, but I, you know, that, yeah, I'm happy I get to live the life I do and I think momentum more, I think the stoics have it right. So you, and you have it right in saying, meditate on death enough to remember that this ride ends pretty quickly, to help you appreciate every day and the people you love, the people close to you and the cool shit that you're doing in your life, the cool shit you're creating. And the fact that you, Mr. Thomas Tall, are playing with the motherfucking Rolling Stones tomorrow. You are the man in so many disciplines, so respected, so successful. It's truly an honor that you sit down and talk with me today. Thomas, thank you so much for showing up in Texas and for talking on this silly little podcast. Oh, it's great, man. I'm a huge fan of the show and have had a great time hanging with you and really appreciate it. Thanks for listening to this conversation with Thomas Tall. To support this podcast, please check out our sponsors in the description. And now, let me leave you with some words from Mick Jagger and the Rolling Stones. You can't always get what you want, but if you try sometimes, you might find you'll get what you need. Thank you for listening and hope to see you next time. and the Scorsese films, all the great films that we think of throughout the generations that define generations are films. Is that just old school thinking? Is that always going to be the case? I mean, look, to me, going in a darkened theater with a bunch of strangers, and the lights go down, and you go on this journey, there is something special and magical about that. And I think movies have been a part of our cultural fabric forever. And for some reason, Hollywood in America was uniquely positioned to do a great job with it. Not that there aren't great foreign movies, but far and away, American movies dominate, not only the world market, but you know, and so whatever it is that we do well, or Hollywood does well, there's something in the water, apparently. But I agree that I love movies, and I will for the rest of my days. It's interesting how creators can move back and forth now as well. That used to be a complete no no. You're either a movie guy, or you're a person, or you're a TV director, and that's that. But those lines have completely blurred. And they're also blurring, I mean, they're blurring all kinds of lines. Like they're moving to TikTok and Instagram, and I know right now it seems ridiculous to consider that these one minute things could be considered even in the same realm creatively as a film, but maybe that changes over time too. Maybe experiences can completely become fluid in terms of their size, as long as they have some deep lasting impact on you as a human being, as a consumer. Look, to me, the whole thing is about either the moving image, or even sometimes a picture will bring out an emotion, a reaction, something. So short form is harder, because you have less time to set things up and all that. But I'm sure there will be short videos and creators that come up with things, and if a moving image can get a reaction out of you, and make you feel a certain way, and stay with you, or inspire you, well, that to me is just the next evolution of whatever it's gonna be between humans and cameras, et cetera. See, I think that's why we've talked offline about this. That's why I love robots, is I think there's certain things in the short form with robots that immediately can bring out a feeling in people. There's something about our consideration of our own intelligence, of our own consciousness, of all the fears and hopes, and the beautiful things about human nature, the dark things about human nature that somehow, especially Lego robots bring out. Because we have both a fear and excitement towards that. Are these going to be our overlords, our gods that overtake humanity? Are these going to be things like horses or something like that, something that empower humanity? Like you don't know what to make sense of it. That's why they're super exciting. I agree. Speaking of robots and film, you've gone into traditional industries and disrupted them quite a few times. Was there, is there a system for deciding which industry is right for disruption? When you look at the world and see what are the big problems you would like to solve, do you have a system of how you see which problems to solve? How do you look at the world? Yeah, well, on the business side of that, so I have a holding company called Tolko, I know, very imaginatively named. Part of that is literally every name ever is now taken, registered and all that stuff. So we're a holding company. What's a holding company? So instead of being a fund that has money flowing in and out of it, and there's what's called a vintage year, I raise capital and I agree to invest that capital for so long, and then I give it back to you, which sometimes creates artificial time pressures and things like that. A holding company is more permanent capital. So the idea was, behind Tolko, was to buy almost always whole companies or majority stakes with great management teams in spaces that did not traditionally have a lot of innovation. And to have our labs group, who were data scientists, AI practitioners, engineers, machine learning, et cetera, and to be able to bring that wherewithal to that company. So to provide them with the right capital and to provide them with access to technology, that would be hard to individually recruit for that company. So I would say that the thesis was to look for industries that were large enough, that hadn't traditionally had access to that type of technology or innovation, and to try to look for companies that not only looked that part, but had management teams that embraced this and wanted to take that kind of journey. Yeah, there is quite a few industries like that, but that finding the industries and the management pair, because those industries often have a lot of old school folks who don't, it takes quite a bit of work for them to leap into technology. I work quite a bit with the autonomous vehicles and just the automotive industry. Depending on the company, there's old school folks. It's like Detroit thinking versus like, what do you call it, I don't know, California thinking. Well, I think you have to look at the nexus of two things there. One is just plain old human behavior. If I am uncomfortable and this isn't a comfort zone for me and it's not something I have as a field of expertise, I'm gonna shy away from that. Especially if I'm successful and I feel good about myself and it's a big successful company or person or whatever it might be. And the second thing is that especially if you're a public company and you're being weighed and measured every quarter, you are rewarding the managers of that company to hit metrics and to be reliable and to say, hey, I'm counting quarter to quarter that you're gonna deliver what you say. It's difficult to say, you know what, everybody, for the next two years, I wouldn't count on our financial projections at all because we're gonna reinvent what we're doing. It's gonna work in the long run and you're gonna see that this was a really smart investment five to seven years from now. That's not the way capitalism is currently wired, generally, right? And a lot of, so again, if you reward managers with yearly bonuses and stock options based and tied to stock price and all these other things, you know, and then ask them to go break stuff, that's hard, I think. So you're saying like, so the talker approach to this, the private investment is the best way or perhaps the only way to enable this kind of long term innovation, investment, taking big risks, investing in innovation. Well, look, we certainly are not, by any means, the only one doing it. I'm just saying that when you think about big companies, more successful, you know, that are in old line businesses, and I hear people sort of talk about, well, why can't they just pivot? They recognize they need to be in the technology business because it's hard, it's hard to steer a ship and turn it that big, and especially if it's not part of your DNA at that company. So, you know, I just think that what we tried to do is to enable management teams that know where they wanna go and to be patient with capital and also, again, bring innovation to bear that they have access to. There's plenty of capital structures doing interesting things. That's one of the things I love about our country. This country innovates and this country invents things, and I'm constantly in awe of just the, you know, the human ability to innovate and to iterate. You know, I get to hang around some universities, including your old shop, MIT, and it's like. I'm still there. Yeah, you're still there. Still there, still teaching there. Still teaching, but that place is like Hogwarts. I mean, it's just, it's inspiring, right? And certainly the energy in Silicon Valley, which now Austin, Texas, where we're sitting, has its own incredible ecosystem. So that's one of the things I love about America is the ability, and that really is, I think, in the American DNA, to create things and invent things, and I just, I think that's invigorating. And I think that's even bigger than capitalism, sort of the machine of how capitalism works. That's just human nature. Capitalism is just one of the ways to sort of make that human nature shine, I suppose, but it's like, you mentioned MIT. There's a drive there to invent, to innovate, that's so purely human, that human spirit to sort of build something new. It's like that hopeful, optimistic spirit, especially in the engineering space. Like if you pay attention to the internet, like Twitter and all that kind of stuff, intellectuals and so on, there's a cynicism to when we talk about stuff, but there's an optimism to when we do stuff. And the doing part, when you actually build things, especially, like you care a lot about manufacturing too, like you actually build physical products, that's where we truly shine. Yeah, no question about it. And I'm passionate about our country making stuff again, doing our own manufacturing and making sure that we don't lose the ability, not just to create things intellectually and do the world's greatest blueprints, but actually make things here. Actual factories. Yeah, that's exactly right. How do we do that? How do we bring more manufacturing to the United States? Well, there's a company that I have a big personal investment in called Rebuild with some folks that all went through the MIT school years ago. There's a good friend of mine named Jeff Wilkie who used to be at Amazon. And we all felt the same way that America needed to make sure that it didn't lose its edge in that way. So it's a company that invests in American high tech manufacturing. And I think the way that we do that is provide capital, provide training. To me, this is also fertile ground for good, sustainable, high paying jobs. And we have to make it economically feasible to do that, again, here in this country. And not to say to companies that, again, are being weighed and measured quarter by quarter. Hey, this is three times as expensive to do it here, but you should do it here. We need to innovate and we need to create processes and companies and opportunity that balance that equation. And I think as we saw during the pandemic, I don't think in this day and age you can be an isolationist. That doesn't make any sense to me. But being self reliant and self determinant and making sure that you are never in a position as a nation that we can't do basic things because we're relying on supply chain in other countries. And whether it's we're not friends anymore, or a natural disaster or a virus or something pops up, I think those are costs of doing business that we have to put into the calculus of being able to make things here. There's an extremely high cost to making supply chain resilient that we really have to consider. And so if you really consider that cost, it makes a lot of sense to invest especially long term in building up manufacturing in a way where like you're making most of the stuff in one place. Sort of bringing it all, not all, but as much in as possible. And building it almost like from scratch here in the United States. I mean, what I guess your thought is with innovation, it's possible to sort of revolutionize the way we do manufacturing. So reduce the amount of supply chain stuff and like build stuff from scratch. Like do high tech manufacturing. So like optimize all aspects of the manufacturing and all that kind of stuff. Yeah, and I think where technology is the most efficient is the human machine interface, right? It's not let's automate everything and have nobody work anywhere. I, for a long time, that's neither feasible nor desirable. But where we can enhance jobs and make that interface immensely productive with the right training and so forth, I think that's a worthwhile endeavor and something that's gonna be important to our country. Yeah, I mean, you know who you're talking to. I love human robot interaction, human machine interaction, human AI interaction. So what do you think is the role of robotics in this high tech manufacturing? Sort of like industrial robots, robotic arms, all that kind of stuff. Or even more complicated kind of robots. What do you think is the role of robotics? What do you think is the role of AI in this manufacturing future you're thinking about? Well, robotics to me is an extremely exciting field. I don't have the same expertise that you do. I have an adjacency, but not the depth of knowledge. Have never really delved deeply into it or made investments in it. But I think what's exciting about it is everything from doing jobs that are very dangerous for humans, enhancing the human experience. When you look at really repetitive labor, things that, you know, it might take away a job, but is it a good job for that person? Is, you know, spending 30 years doing something highly repetitious, is that a good experience in life? So I think, and then when you think about everything from military applications, you know, rescue, we're already seeing a bunch of those things. And then just lastly, when you talk about that human interaction with robots, when you start to have the combination, so you have some level of intelligence and interaction, I mean, that's why we always love the droids in Star Wars, right? I mean, it's exciting, it captures the imagination. And I think, look, many, many hours have been spent on debating artificial intelligence and the ramifications, if things go sideways and so forth. And I think those are all, you know, those are appropriate conversations to be having. AI is happening. I think it's actually happening slower than most people realize, because there are tasks that humans do every minute of every day, standing up without losing your sense of balance. I mean, these are really hard things, but I think there's enough investment, both in private industry as well as nation states now on artificial intelligence that it is coming. So both in the software space, in the digital space and in the physical space. So we talk about manufacturing, so industrial robotics is very true that even in the factory, even the tasks that you think are pretty basic, you know, the amount of small intuitive decisions that humans make is quite incredible. So we have to be kind of explicit about saying which tasks are actually really hard and humans are just really good at them. And so on the flip side in the digital space with social networks, we recommend our systems with all kinds of like personal assistance in terms of voice based AI systems, all of that. There's opportunities there to find niches where AI can really have a transformative effect. I think one of the places that really haven't, this is where like you're worried to say stupid things, but I believe this very much that when we have AI systems in the home currently, you have somebody like Alexa and Google Home and so on, they're kind of very basic servants. They tell you about the weather, they can play some music, they can turn the lights on and off, all the kind of like smart home stuff. I think there's a lot of value in systems that form relationships with us in the way that pets do, dogs and cats. I don't know, just for people who have cats, cats don't care about you. They really don't, they don't form any kind of relationship. I don't know why you have relationship with them. It's one way. Anyway, sorry, I threw out some shade. I'm just kidding by the way. That's a basic kind of connection you have with another living being. Then there's also just friends. You have different levels of friends, acquaintances, you have lifelong friends, all that. That friendship you have, I really believe that there is some aspect of the human experience that is deeply enriched by interacting with other beings. And for systems, computing systems, artificial intelligence systems in our world, to have the capability to engage in some of that, I think is not just an opportunity to help people grow, become better people, but it's also just a good business opportunity too. And that hasn't really been explored enough. So that to me is really, that's a whole exciting space that I think will enable better industrial robotics. It will empower a better Facebook or a better social network, a competitor to Facebook that overthrows Facebook. So it'll create better technologies that currently don't have that human robot interaction touch. So I don't know, that's super exciting to me, but that has to deal with the mess of human nature. The reason that most robotics people and AI people stay away from humans, they stay away from the human robot interaction problem, is because humans are complicated. They're messy, they're hard to control, they're hard to predict stuff about, they're hard to make sense of or like test repeatedly because one human can be drastically different from another human. And so to deal with that as a robotics problem is super hard. And so one of the questions is which problems can you remove the human from consideration when you're trying to solve the problem? So like Elon Musk is an example of somebody who believes autonomous driving, we can remove the human from consideration, we can solve autonomous driving as a robotics problem. It's stay in the lane. When there's a red light, you stop at a red light. If there is humans in the picture like pedestrians, that's a ballistics problem. It's just treat them as a moving object that has with like 90% probability keeps moving in the way they were in the past few seconds with some smaller probability that might stop or turn. Just do some basic models about them and you'll be able to do just fine. So I tend to believe that even driving has to consider the full messiness of humans. The dance, the game theoretic dance of chicken that we all do when we jaywalk, we look at the car, that car doesn't, that driver doesn't have the guts to murder me so I'm going to walk in front of it and not look at the car. We do that kind of dance and AI systems need to be able to play, do that kind of dance. In Tolko, there's the labs. So there's a data science component, there's an AI component. So how do they go into a company and help revolutionize that industry? Well, there's different examples. So one of our companies, Figs, makes healthcare workwear, started by these two brilliant women and early days helping to build the platform and recruit and make sure that everything that we did at the company embraced technology and at the same time, they were obsessive about their customer, which is doctors, nurses, healthcare workers who are putting it on the line every day and obsessive about their product. And when you have those two things come together, you get the result that we did at Figs. We have a company called Acashure, which it's AI lab and base is down here in Austin, Texas. It was an insurance, one of the largest insurance brokers in the world. And we did a deal with them and sold some of our insurance holdings that was completely AI driven. And in that case, you basically put the team inside the company, right? Because it's a massive company and we've gone into all kinds of things. So it just depends on the different situations. But the biggest thing was just to make sure whatever the company needed, they had access to the talent. Sometimes we'd build it, sometimes we'd help recruit for it. You know how in technology, it's whatever works, right? There's no one way to do things. Well, Acashure is really interesting as an example. So insurance is a fascinating space. It seems like very ripe still for disruption across the board. So how do you, it seems like a lot of the disruption has to do with almost the first dump step of we've been using mostly paper. It's not digitized. You have to basically create a infrastructure and a framework where everybody is using the same digital system, like databases and just organize the data. It seems like that's a huge leap that basically can revolutionize major industries that still hasn't been done. Insurance is obviously the great example of that. And one of the things that struck me, the founder CEO of Acashure is a guy named Greg Williams. They're out of Grand Rapids, Michigan. And as we were looking at expanding our footprint in insurance, I met with a lot of insurance executives. And they would talk about technology, but Greg truly understood the power of what would happen across actuarial sciences, predictive analytics and using machine learning to really run every aspect of your business. And then automating a lot of the, just the back office tedious steps. And as you said, one of the things that was great for us, they already had a data collection system and department. So it was much easier to pivot. And I'm very excited about the future of that company. It's, they're doing some pretty innovative, groundbreaking things. And those are the things that I like doing, right? Is that, yes, I wanna make money. Just, that's what that is. But at the same time, what did you do with your time on earth, right? Did you do anything to leave any kind of mark that you did anything interesting? I can only speak for myself. There are many more ways to measure one's life. And I can only speak about how I think about things. I grew up poor in upstate New York with a single mom and watched her work a couple of jobs and had to, from a young age, shovel snow and mow lawns and do all kinds of things to help her make sure the lights weren't turned off in our little place. And so that's just something that I've always been driven towards. And I just, I have really eclectic tastes and interests. And it's just been an interesting journey. So help be part of and help enable some cool new creations across the board, like film, music, AI, manufacturing, just insurance, all the specific industries that you disrupted, yeah. Small tangent, back to your childhood with your mom. Any memories kind of stand out, stick with you as something that helped define who you are as a man? Yeah, even though the university and college experience was not part of the family tree, and we had no connections, I didn't understand, I didn't know what a trust fund was or prep school, I didn't know what any of that was. But my mom from a young age would always say, you know, you're gonna go to college. There's no, you know, if you choose to, and I think from a young age, that was just an expectation that I had and that she instilled and the work ethic. I watched her. And then my grandmother was a janitor, a cleaning lady in a hospital for 50 years. And then I remember there were times of, you know, I'm probably 10 years old, it's freezing cold out. And if I don't go out and shovel six driveways, we don't have enough money to pay the bill. So I don't know, I'm not a psychologist, so I don't know how that manifests itself in my life today. But I think the grit to say, I'm not in the mood to do this, I don't wanna do this, but that's the work that needs to be done. And no excuses, not I'm a victim and I'm gonna sit around and talk about, no, it is what it is, and you have to get done what you need to get done. And again, I think it's, you can never fully put yourself in someone else's shoes or experience, so I don't know what that is or feels like. But for me, those were two, I think, formative things that were important in my childhood. So that's pretty, the reality of life like that is pretty humbling. You still, you've been so exceptionally successful that it's easy to get soft now. How do you get humbled these days? By getting up. You know, I think for me personally, trying to push the envelope and being weighed and measured, right? That's why I always loved sports too.

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