第 308 期·中文精讀

瑞安·格雷夫斯:UFO、戰鬥機與外星人

Ryan Graves: UFOs, Fighter Jets, and Aliens

前海軍戰鬥機飛行員講述機組多次目擊不明飛行物的經歷,以及 UAP 目擊報告與觀測資料的爭議。

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中文精讀由 AI 基於原始訪談改寫,非官方翻譯,可能存在偏差或錯誤;表述以原音訊與官方文稿為準。說明

兩架 F/A-18 編隊進入訓練空域的入口點,那裡是東海岸最忙的一塊天空。一個物體懸在入口的那個高度、那個位置上,從兩架飛機中間穿了過去。飛行員落地後做了一件平時很少做的事:取消剩餘科目,飛回基地。

他們描述的東西后來被反覆引用:深灰色近乎黑色的立方體,套在一個透明的球體裡,立方體的頂點抵著球的內壁。那天天氣好,能見度極佳,兩架飛機的雷達當時處在故障狀態,所以沒有告警,也沒有規避。

瑞安·格雷夫斯(Ryan Graves)在 Lex Fridman 播客第 308 期講了這段。他是前美國海軍 F/A-18 飛行員,幹過戰鬥領隊、著陸訊號官、搜救任務指揮官。2014 年前後,他和同中隊的人在弗吉尼亞海岸外的訓練空域反覆探測到不明目標,幾年間密集到幾乎天天能看見。他是少數願意公開談論這事的現役出身飛行員之一。

換了雷達之後,天上多出一批東西

故事的起點很無聊:一次裝備升級。

格雷夫斯所在的 VFA-11「紅撕裂者」中隊從海外部署回來,進入維護階段,趁機把 F/A-18 上的雷達從 APG-73 換成 APG-79。前者是機械掃描陣列,後者是有源相控陣(AESA)。他打了個比方,這幾乎是從模擬跨到數字。

換完就出問題了。同一片空域,同一個時間點,老雷達上什麼都沒有,新雷達上多出一批目標。飛行員的第一反應很樸素:新東西還沒調好,軟體有毛病,產生了假航跡。

這個判斷在當時站得住腳。新雷達確實更靈敏,也確實可能有濾波沒做乾淨的地方。格雷夫斯說,那陣子他們對軟體 bug 已經習慣了,什麼裝置剛上線都這樣。

可假航跡有假航跡的樣子,這批目標沒有。

逆風懸停,然後以 0.8 馬赫飛四個小時

座艙裡沒有影象,只有符號。

雷達顯示器下方是前視角態勢,地形和目標像鋪在你面前;另有一塊叫態勢感知頁(SA),把資料鏈和自身雷達的資訊整合成一張自上而下的上帝視角圖。格雷夫斯說他後面主要講 SA 頁,因為看得清楚。

每個目標航跡會拖出一條線,叫目標方位指示線,告訴你它在往哪走。正常飛機上,這條線穩定地指一個方向,轉彎時平滑地跟著轉。這批目標的線在 360 度裡亂跳,一會兒東一會兒西,像指示器自己也不知道該指哪兒。

更怪的是速度。目標常常看起來靜止,而且是在有風的高空靜止。一萬五千英尺、兩萬英尺,風速不小,天上的所有東西都像海里的船一樣跟著水流走。格雷夫斯說,任何不跟著風走的東西,第一眼就會被認成異常。

有人會問,現在的消費級無人機不也能懸停嗎。他自己就有一臺大疆。他的回答是,三四十節的風裡,無人機會被吹得到處漂,從幾英里外看不出來,也不會穩如磐石。

後面那半句才是分水嶺。這東西能先逆風懸停,再以 0.6 到 0.8 馬赫飛上四個小時。偶爾出現 1.1、1.2 馬赫。無人機、氣球、氣象現象,一條條被劃掉。他承認自己斷不定那是什麼,只是觀察時間夠長,一個個排除了變數。

飛行軌跡也不是標準件。它們走圓形、跑道形,或者乾脆一路向東。姿態不像自動駕駛:自動駕駛極其精確,鎖得筆直;有人的飛機你能看出人在飛,因為不完美。這批東西比「人在飛」還要飄,轉彎時沒有乾淨的圓弧,是往某個方向莫名其妙地漂。

紅外吊艙確認:那裡確實有能量

雷達上看到的東西,不能排除是電磁幻覺。飛行員開始用 ATFLIR 吊艙去看。那是他們平時對地打擊用的紅外相機,空對空不好用,但能用。

雷達指的那個位置,真的有紅外能量輻射出來。

到這一步,中隊的判斷變了。格雷夫斯估計,當時中隊裡八成到九成的人都至少在雷達上見過一次。跨中隊也有交流,隔壁中隊用同款雷達,同樣能看到,會互相提醒「那邊有個目標,注意點」。有人開始主動飛過去想看個究竟,他自己也飛過。

大多數時候什麼也看不見。飛過去,那裡空空如也。是它不在,是被騙了,還是它在最後一刻降了高度。飛機速度很快,很難判斷。

然後是那次穿越。

兩架飛機進空域,物體正好在入口點上。按格雷夫斯的推測,那兩架飛機的雷達當時是壞的,所以沒有告警,也沒有規避,直接從那個東西旁邊穿過去。肉眼描述出來了:深灰色立方體,套在透明球體裡,頂點觸著球壁。

他們飛回來,還穿著飛行裝具,直奔前臺找中隊長:差點撞上那玩意兒。格雷夫斯說,那一刻整個中隊的氣氛變了。之前大家想的是「可能是氣球」「可能是無人機」「可能是雷達故障」,現在的問題變成:如果真會撞上它,那就得有人管。

他們提交了安全報告,然後沒有下文

中隊的動作是提交危險報告(hazard report),進海軍的航空安全通報系統。

格雷夫斯對這個系統的評價很剋制:它收集資料,不推動調查,指望有人看到趨勢之後自己動起來。他們當時的心態是,也許某個我們不知道的機密專案在測試什麼,那就把話傳過去:你這玩意兒快鬧出人命了,收一收。

結果是沒有回應。

這裡有個結構性的問題,他講得很清楚。軍隊裡有大量成熟的報告渠道處理安全問題和戰術問題,唯獨沒有一條渠道是給「天上有個我們不知道是什麼的東西」用的。你能填一張表,但沒有人會去查。

他還提到一件很小但很有說服力的事。他當教官時帶過一個學員,八個月前給他打電話,說剛下部隊,在東海岸某基地跟一位資深飛行員飛。那天天氣不好,做不了空戰科目,帶飛的人說,那咱們出去找 UFO 吧。

他們真去了,也真看見了。學員在電話裡說:長官,我看見了那個立方體球,幾年過去了它們還在這兒。

格雷夫斯說,這幾乎成了東海岸戰鬥機飛行員的一個代際問題。好處是年輕飛行員至少能開口談了,有個地方可以報。壞處是,報上去也就是報上去。

最讓人不安的一句話:我們太忙了,沒空看

Lex 問了一個很扎人的問題。他說,你有一整天的任務要飛,有戰術要練,有油量要算,然後天上有個奇怪的東西,你們的處理方式是「行吧,那邊有點怪東西,我們別過去」,然後繼續幹活。

格雷夫斯說,這話說到點子上了。

他自己也是離開部隊、去當教官、時間多出來之後,才開始認真想這件事。之前他的日程被重要且緊急的事填滿,容不下一個不進任何科目、不進任何清單的異常。

Lex 補的那句更狠:我們把日子填得太滿,以至於真正美的東西、真正異常的東西出現時,我們不看,因為它不在日程上。

這段對話值得單獨拎出來。它解釋的不是 UFO,是組織行為。一個高度專業化的系統,最擅長的就是把無法歸類的東西推到邊緣,直到它消失。

Gimbal 影片:為什麼它看起來像在瞬間轉向

談到公開流傳的三段影片,格雷夫斯對「Gimbal」這段有第一手資訊。

那天他本人也在空中。錄影片的是他的好朋友,兩人一起走過訓練、進過同一個中隊,後來那人轉飛行員,正好到格雷夫斯當教官的地方,他還帶過幾課。

那是一場空對空訓練,自己人扮演紅方,互相打。這種任務飛出去是一大群,打完了各自散場,通常一兩架一起回航母。錄影片的機組是在返航途中。那陣子屬於上艦前的最後一個高強度訓練階段,整個月都在模擬戰時節奏,很緊張。他們先在雷達上看到幾個目標,第一反應是演習方又派了假想敵來突防,飛過去一看紅外影象,才發現不對。

影片裡的東西長得像一個雲臺:兩片盤子扣在一起,上下各有一小段漏斗狀的紅外能量。沒有尾焰,沒有排氣,沒有明顯的外形特徵。格雷夫斯說,通常在這個距離上,你能看到機身的蒙皮,能看到尾噴口的火焰,這裡什麼都沒有。

很多人爭論那圈光暈是不是鏡頭眩光。他的說法是,那是一張非常緊的紅外影象,形狀就是沒有特徵,這才是有意思的地方。

更多資訊在 SA 頁上,不在影片畫面裡。

在那個雲臺目標的北側偏一點,還有四到六個同樣的東西,排成一個粗略的楔形編隊。它們一起飛,然後做出一個相當急的轉向,但仍然有轉彎半徑,轉過去之後朝反方向走。轉彎過程中隊形散了,不是那種嚴守位置、跟著長機的緊編隊,鬆散得像一群各自為政的東西;轉完 180 度,隊形又收攏回來。

與此同時,雲臺目標從畫面一側往另一側平移。等編隊轉過來經過它,雲臺也調頭往反方向去了。

影片裡雲臺的姿態變化很大,一會兒平著,一會兒傾斜四十多度,轉來轉去。後來有人做了詳細分析,認為那個物體在那次機動裡其實在向上爬升,所以從俯視角看像是瞬間掉頭,實際是做了一次垂直方向的轉向。

這個細節對飛行員很刺眼。飛機不會靠爬升來改變方向,因為那太費油。如果是一架想在某片空域待很久的偵察平臺,你不會每轉一次彎就爬五百英尺。

海軍上將看了五秒鐘就走了

格雷夫斯講了一個細節,比任何分析都更能說明問題。

Gimbal 錄下來的那天,他聽說情報簡報室在放這段紅外影像,就過去看。屋裡圍了一圈人。然後聽說有位將軍要下來,他退到後面,想看看這位將軍的反應,判斷這東西是全新的還是早就見過。

將軍進來,看了五六秒,發出一個「嗯」,轉身走了。

「他肯定見過。沒人會對這麼反常的東西只看五秒鐘。」(瑞安·格雷夫斯)

後來他聽說,這位將軍離開後,當場就把這個案例上報給了五角大樓相關部門。所以在格雷夫斯看來,那個傳說中的高階航空航天威脅識別專案(AATIP),至少在他能觀察到的範圍內,存在一條資訊通路。他作為飛行員不可能接觸到那個層級,但有地方可報,這一點他比較確定。

「嘀嗒糖」:他拆不動

Lex 請他評價 David Fravor 等人遇到的「嘀嗒糖」(Tic Tac)。

格雷夫斯的回答很坦誠:那是真正異常的東西。他試過用自己那套方法去拆,假設是幾千架無人機、假設是某種巧妙的欺騙、假設是某種精巧的運維安排,全都推不下去。他能想到的唯一解釋,是飛行員在撒謊或者看錯了,而這條路他不接受。他認識 Fravor,是朋友,經常聊天,找不到任何理由去懷疑他說的話。

他自己更感興趣的,是這件事的水面以下部分。

公開討論幾乎全部集中在空中的運動學上:它怎麼動,多快,違反了哪些物理常識。但那些案例裡還有一段是往水裡去的。格雷夫斯說,如果他有先進技術,他一定會在水下也留一手,因為水下太好藏東西了。而從飛行員的角度,水下就是黑箱:他沒有跨域跟蹤能力,看見一個東西扎進水裡,就跟丟了。

他把這個叫跨域跟蹤。過去不需要擔心,因為飛機在天上、潛艇在水下、航天器在太空,各管一段。現在這個邊界在模糊,比如把一個四萬英尺的雷達接觸移交給另一套系統,讓它接著跟到二十萬英尺。這個能力目前是缺的。

四種可能,以及第四種為什麼最不受待見

把所有材料擺在一起,格雷夫斯把可能性分成幾類。

第一類,美國自己的技術。某個單位在錯誤的地方測試了錯誤的東西,或者專案管理不到位。他說這在軍事體系裡完全可能發生,部門之間資訊不通是常態。放在今天的語境下,這個解釋站不住了:聽證開了,宣告發了,如果真是內部溝通問題,那問題比 UFO 嚴重得多。

第二類,別國的技術,中國、俄羅斯,也包括盟友。他特意補了一句,不該只盯著中俄,也不該假設「他們搞不出來就沒人搞得出來」。這裡他給了一個挺有說服力的推理:如果這項技術真的存在,它應該有外溢痕跡。那麼先進的東西,一定有大量可以商用的部分,會在經濟體的其他地方露出馬腳。除非領先者已經遙遙領先,才可能把它整個鎖起來;一個正在追趕、處在第二位的力量,反而更可能冒進,願意承擔更大風險。

第三類,非政府實體。他認為可能性很低,但必須列進去。

第四類,自然現象。他不排除這類解釋在其他案例裡成立,但認為東海岸這批、Gimbal 那段,以及 Nimitz 事件,都不像。

他還有一個自我設限的表述習慣,值得記下來。他不喜歡「外星人」這個詞,更願意說「非人類智慧」。理由是「外星」這個詞裡塞了太多假設:來自某個遙遠星球、跨越星際空間、某種特定物理形態。這些假設一旦成立,後面所有探測思路都會被帶偏。他寧願從一個更樸素的問題開始:這東西表現出智慧了嗎。

他的分析方法:從單個物體到群體行為

格雷夫斯描述了一套方法論,這套流程的分量壓過了任何結論。

第一步,看單個物體的運動學。它怎麼飛,效能如何,從這能推出什麼。能量來源可能是什麼。裡面的 G 力有多大。

第二步,往外一層,看它和我們的戰鬥機怎麼互動。有沒有互動,怎麼互動。

第三步,看它和天氣、和環境的互動。

第四步,看它和彼此的互動。它們是不是像一個群體在協作。東海岸的情況特別適合這一步,因為那裡長期有多個目標同時出現。如果能看出它們如何協同,也許可以反推它們的感測器能力、關注區域。

他的抱怨也在這裡:公眾對這類事件的認知,全被綁在一張圖上、一段影片上。一張截圖給不了時長資訊,給不了目標之間的相對關係,而這些恰恰是最有資訊量的部分。

更麻煩的是資料被鎖著。效能最好的感測器都在軍方手裡。諷刺的地方就在這兒:最有能力把這件事搞清楚的機構,恰恰是最不可能把資料交給科學界分析的機構。他相信內部還有大量資料沒被拿出來,甚至在軍方內部也沒有被認真分析過。

為此他在跟美國航空航天學會(AIAA)合作,建一個跨領域專家資源庫。等資料能拿出來的時候,能立刻拉出一支隊伍做分析。

那場聽證會:他覺得有點走過場

2022 年 5 月,眾議院情報小組委員會就不明空中現象開了聽證,由議員 Andre Carson 主持,格雷夫斯參加了。

他的評價不太好聽:看起來很真誠,實際上有點敷衍。議員們繞著話題轉,聊自己對科幻的喜愛,但沒有按「這可能是外國勢力的戰術威脅」這個量級來對待。

他也給了對方臺階。國會山的這些人有非常具體的職責,他們的工作不是做探索性科學。他擔心的是他們扮演了一個自己並不擅長的角色:做科學。

至於五角大樓新設的全領域異常解析辦公室(AARO),他的態度是謹慎樂觀。他認為這是朝對的方向走了一步,但這一步之所以要邁,是因為前面那步沒邁。前身那個名字長得離譜的「機載物體識別與同步管理組」(AOIMSG),在他看來就是一堆為了讓人不想談論這個話題而拼出來的詞。

AARO 至少開了推特賬號,公開表態願意溝通。他提醒說,接下來一定會撞上保密牆。他對主任 Sean Kirkpatrick 的印象不錯,覺得那是個做科研出身的人,思路可能對。他也點名感謝了 NASA 的 David Spergel 團隊,認為這些都是善意努力,是在大量博弈之後才立起來的,是一道小門縫,抓住它,可能撬出更有效的關係。

關於懷疑論:他同意方法,不同意立場

Lex 提到 Meg West 那類懷疑論者(原文應為 Mick West),逐幀分析每段影片,給各種解釋分配機率,結論普遍偏向平淡無奇。

格雷夫斯分成兩半來回應。

方法那一半,他完全贊成。做模型、做重建,這個環境裡太需要了。沒有人要求誰去相信誰,信任但要驗證,這應該是基本準則。

他不同意的是出發點。他的原話大意是:當你從「駁斥者」的立場出發,就說明你已經朝著一個特定結論在開車了。而在過去很多年裡,這是一門很安全的生意,告訴別人他們沒看見外星人,沒有任何職業風險。

他更不能接受的是具體手法:為了維持那個世界觀,把機組人員說的話整個丟掉。他認為這是個謬誤,不能把人的因素從分析裡剔除出去,因為整個事件的第一手資訊就來自人的觀察。

從戰鬥機到量子材料,中間有一條線

訪談後半段轉了方向,但格雷夫斯講的東西和前面是通的。

他大學讀的是機械與航空航天工程,進海軍是因為想離技術的最前沿近一點。他承認自己有點異類:飛行本身、雲上倒飛看地球,這些都沒能真正吸引他。他著迷的是那臺機器代表的人類工程極限。他來自小地方、小學校,能親手摸到這種量級的技術,本身就是一種賦權。等他在飛機上有了掌控感,飛機變成身體的延伸,對飛行的愛才跟著來。

現在他在一家叫 GenMat(量子通用材料)的公司做材料研發,用機器學習加量子化學模擬,從原子層面設計材料。他的說法是:材料就是一堆原子,但每個原子都帶著巨量資料,要算它們之間怎麼相互作用,經典計算機在很多情況下算不動,得靠量子計算。他們做的是在經典算力和未來量子算力之間架橋,同時把 AI 和機器學習塞進這個流程。

這家公司還自己造資料。下個季度要發一顆衛星,上面裝高光譜感測器,用他們對量子化學的理解去反演分析,先從看地球、找礦藏開始。

他還講了一段更遠的東西:這代人在學怎麼操縱資訊,下一代人要學怎麼操縱物質。把物質當成資訊來處理,設計出自然界裡不存在的材料,繞過現在卡住微型化核聚變的那道材料牆。再往後是場:能不能不靠往後扔石頭來飛行,能不能和引力場打交道。

Lex 順著說,未來的人回頭看我們燒化學燃料飛這麼短的距離,會覺得像《摩登原始人》。格雷夫斯接了一句:我們只能往後扔那麼多石頭,總得有更好的辦法。

隨機性作為一種戰術資源

這是他反覆提的一個想法,也是這次訪談裡技術含量最高的部分之一。

傳統空戰靠戰術手冊。手冊裡的動作必須可重複、可訓練、可傳授,所以它天然不是最優的,它只是能被足夠多的人學會並且不出錯的那個版本。

把 AI 放進去,情況變了。系統可以針對具體的戰術環境現場生成解,從對手視角看,每一次遭遇都像隨機發生,同時又極其致命。他把這叫隨機性的戰術優勢。他甚至說,到那個程度,連自己這邊的友機都沒法參與那場戰鬥,因為對任何其他平臺來說都太不安全了。

這個推演的終點是:知識不再是變數。現在的空戰本質上是猜對方戰術、比誰知道得更多。這個維度被消掉之後,整個遊戲規則就換了。

關於有人無人協同,他的立場很清楚:人應該在儘可能高的層級下指令。他想說的是「我要那棟樓消失」,不想說的是「你去那個座標」。他不關心平臺有沒有油、有什麼掛載,他只想從一個能力池裡選一個意圖,然後由系統去處理目標周邊的防護系統、電子戰,直到達成任務指揮官要求的足夠高的成功機率。

Lex 追問了一個道德問題:如果指令從「一棟樓」變成「一座城裡所有恐怖分子」,自主性越堆越高,怎麼辦。

格雷夫斯沒有迴避,也沒給一個舒服的答案。他說這個擔憂是合理的,但他自己不從那個角度切入。他的邏輯是:假設我們有正義且道德的領導層,那麼自主性提高意味著更高的精度,意味著更少的附帶損傷。他在阿富汗上空飛過,見過校車被卡車炸彈炸掉,那不是容易面對的事。他承認這個答案不夠令人滿意,可能會讓人不舒服。

Lex 接了一句:親眼看過烏克蘭那些畫面之後,在有道德領導的前提下,精度的價值就變得非常具體了。戰爭裡殺害平民這件事本身就有一種獨特的不道德,所有死亡都是可怕的,但學校和醫院連同裡面的人一起被摧毀,是另一種東西。

編隊飛行和那 250 G

訪談裡有一些純飛行員的段落,讀起來很有意思。

他說第一次上 T-45 教練機,是跟別人飛編隊,他坐在後座看。回去的路上起落架放不下來。他講這件事的語氣輕得離譜,Lex 都聽不下去,說這對我來說挺刺激的。格雷夫斯的解釋是:當時太年輕,沒意識到嚴重性。他從觀察員模式切換成「我是機組一員,我來幫你查單子」的模式,一路做檢查、跟人通話,還一邊甩杆試圖把起落架晃下來。最後起落架自己下來了一半,他們做了一個安全攔阻著陸。

五六年之後他回到同一個中隊當教官,職務是航空安全官,負責調查事故。一個學員在後座飛同樣的科目,遇到配平失控,飛機在六百英尺高度幾乎整個翻過來,兩人在三百到四百英尺彈射出去,人沒事。之後兩個月一次彈射,再三個月又一次。

彈射是什麼感覺。他說他不知道,謝天謝地。他只能轉述:瞬間大約 250 G,靠血液慣性才能承受,只持續幾毫秒,然後降到四五十 G 把你推離座艙。你可能會昏過去,醒來在樹上、在水裡、或者還在往下掉。

編隊飛行的部分講得更細。四機編隊,一號是有資質的長機,二號是他的僚機,三號是另一個資深領隊,四號在最後。每架飛機都在修正自己相對前機的誤差,誤差會累積。二號只處理自己的小誤差,三號處理二號的全部誤差再加上自己的,四號在最末端,像鞭子的梢,動作幅度最大,最難飛。

作為教官,他發現自己能靠一句話修好學員的編隊。學員飛得越來越吃力時,他會注意到學員靠近前機那條腿繃直了,潛意識在蹬舵,整個人在往遠離對方的方向躲。他會說:動動腳趾。學員一動,腿部肌肉鬆開,編隊立刻好很多。

航母降落:一個球,一陣下洗氣流,一部 1980 年的電話

這可能是全文最生動的技術段落。

起飛不難。格雷夫斯說那像一塊懷錶,你是一個齒輪,按對按鈕、做對動作,人就被彈射出去了,一堆人參與同一張檢查單,照著做就行。

降落完全是另一回事。

飛行員要盯住一個叫「球」的外部光學助降系統,本質是一面鏡子加一排燈,燈的位置隨你相對理想下滑道的位置變化。中間就是對了,偏下就是低了。麻煩在於這個球是滯後指示器,發動機響應也滯後,你不能把油門推上去就放著不管,得推一下、收一下。

而且降落區在動。航母是斜角甲板,甲板本身還帶角度,所以你要一路修正,每次修正都是一次三十度左右的坡度,每次坡度都在損失升力,每次損失都要用油門補回來。同時你的下降率從每分鐘 200 英尺一路加到 650 英尺。

還有一陣叫「burble」的氣流。機翼快要過甲板的時候,艦島那股巨大的風會往下壓,把飛機往下拽,加大下降率。這時候你得加油門頂住。

最狠的是最後一類情況。如果你在無線電裡聽到「99 號滑行燈開啟」,那是天氣爛到極致了。標誌就是所有人把滑行燈開啟,因為著陸訊號官(LSO)也看不見你。你看不見航母,觸艦那一刻也看不見,這叫零零點著陸。LSO 手裡拿著一部像 1980 年代電話的電臺,直接跟你說話:高了、低了、加油門、收油門、左一點、右一點,一路把你念到甲板上。

對飛行員來說,這次降落往往是突然發生的,因為你一直在聽聲音,看不見球,看不見船,忽然就撞上了。以每分鐘 1600 英尺的下降率撞上去。你不知道哪一秒會撞,只能朝著黑暗裡去,等著。

他說有時候不是黑暗,是白光。

還有夜航那一段,寫得幾乎像散文。你可能在航母后面十五英里,座艙燈調到最暗,雲底六七千英尺,把星光也擋住了。沒有月光,沒有星光,海上什麼都沒有,就像閉上眼睛。飛機可能已經倒扣,你也不知道。他必須把儀表調到幾乎看不見,好讓眼睛適應,然後盯著遠處那一個光點。發動機在身後嗡嗡響,整個人進入一種近乎冥想的狀態。等到四英里,光點稍微變大一點,他得把自己拽回來:好了,該幹活了,要降落了。

關於戰爭、敵人和那些沒有推特賬號的人

Lex 問他,敵人這個概念在你心裡有恨嗎。

格雷夫斯的回答是,他執行任務時沒有恨,也沒有不滿,但他也承認自己從來沒有真正處在「我不殺他他就殺我」的處境裡。他說那種狀態未必來自恨,更多來自求生的本能。他飛得很高,一切都很小。他理性地接受了這個位置,知道兩邊都會有人死。他說得很清楚:這是一種奢侈的浪漫化,坐在城堡裡往下看,地上的人經歷的東西完全不同。

他還提到戰術航空裡的一種奇怪親近感。你知道對面那個人受過什麼訓練、會在哪裡犯錯、是什麼樣的人,因為幹這行的人很特殊,你基本能認出來。他不是因為被我激怒才開著上億美元的飛機上來的,這不是情緒反應。兩個人都在這兒,可能都是自己選的,但都是奉命行事,超出自己的控制。

Lex 提到烏克蘭,提到那種「我們本來可以是兄弟姐妹」的情感怎麼在幾個月裡變成了代際的仇恨,提到那些沒有推特賬號的人:他們只是在想辦法把飯擺上桌,而供應鏈斷了、食物沒了、冬天沒有電的時候,痛全落在他們身上。

格雷夫斯沒有反駁,也沒給一個漂亮的總結。他只說,當自主性越來越高,決策被一層層抽象掉,從刀到槍到遙控無人機到給自主叢集下達戰略任務,那些沒有聲音的人,在這些計算裡最容易被徹底忘掉。

關於戰爭會不會永遠存在,他的答案很悲觀:在資源有限的前提下,衝突的根源一直在。人有蜥蜴腦,有演化留下的攻擊性,只能靠制度去壓住。他給了一個有點科幻但邏輯自洽的出口:等到不止一個世界,資源約束鬆了,也許就有個洩壓閥。

退出軍隊那兩年,比飛行更難

Lex 問他人生的低谷。

格雷夫斯說自己大部分時間走得很穩,沒什麼戲劇性的個人悲劇。他從小鎮出來,讀到工程學位,進了海軍,飛了戰鬥機,一切都在軌道上。他花了半輩子把情緒反應從系統裡清出去,因為飛行要求的就是這個:保持一條穩定的線,做該做的事。有研究說戰鬥機飛行員退役後若干年內腎上腺素分泌水平都偏低。

最難的是離開。

他沒想到會這麼難。軍隊裡尤其是戰鬥機社群,全是硬漢氣質,所有人從入伍那天起就在盤算怎麼走,計劃裡寫的是下家工資從哪來、搬到哪個城市,沒有一格是留給心理的。

真走出來的時候,他出現了焦慮。他的描述是:你長期高度投入在一件事裡,一旦離開,你不知道拿什麼去填那個空。他說這不算創傷,但被嚴重低估了,他要提醒後來人認真對待這件事,尊重這個轉變,它很大。

他找到了一個解法:回到波士頓附近,買了一大塊地,蓋了房子。他和妻子在海軍裡搬了八九次家,早就想清楚自己要

他和妻子在海軍裡搬了八九次家,早就想清楚自己要什麼。要的是土地,不是房子,要隱私,要挨著自然。他們找到一塊很大的地,在上面蓋了房,那個地方給了他一種只有自然才能給的平靜和清晰。房子裡有光纖,出門就是荒野,兩邊都要。

Lex 問他這種反差怎麼解釋,一邊被最尖端的技術吸引,一邊在自然裡最安穩。

他說這說得通,因為自然在技術上遠勝我們造的任何東西,你身處其中,相當於被完美包圍。也許正是那種對比,對速度和技術體驗的渴望,和對最基本狀態的渴望。

關於死亡,和為什麼我們在

格雷夫斯說,年輕時他願意承擔過量的風險,覺得自己會永遠活著。去打仗也沒有改變這一點。他把自己在高空這件事說得很直白:他在馬背上,位置很高。有過可能死掉的時刻,飛行中的、飛機故障的,但他事後很少坐下來想死亡這件事。

他的比喻是:一開始就簽了一張支票,本分就是把活幹到最好。一旦坐進那臺機器,它不給你時間就地哲學化。這和他們在東海岸看見那些物體卻不深究是同一套邏輯:一直盯著可能殺死你的東西,會讓你變得更差,而不是更好。

Lex 把話題引到更遠的地方。他提到,我們之前有過一千億人,你和我都會被忘掉,這件事本身很荒謬,可它同時又顯得意味深長。

格雷夫斯沒有繞到宗教或哲學上去。他說,至少他自己的理解是:人的位置就是保持好奇,把環境理解得儘可能多。他覺得人腦獨一無二的地方在於,它能在一個資訊趨於沉寂的宇宙裡輸出新資訊。我們能想象出自然界根本不可能自發出現的東西,然後把它變成現實。他說,只要信念足夠,那件事就能被例項化。

所以他的結論是,他要做的就是鼓勵這件事本身,鼓勵人和現實多發生一點互動,讓這個宇宙裡多出一些新的、更大的互動。

而這一切都始於一點點好奇心。Lex 用這句話收了尾。

他給年輕人的建議,只有一句話

Lex 請他用過來人的身份給年輕人建議,不管是對技術著迷的,還是對戰鬥機著迷的。

他的回答出人意料地短:不要害怕看起來像個傻子。

他解釋說自己花了很長時間,把別人的笑聲和評論當成「這條路不該走」的訊號。等他意識到這個機制的時候,已經晚了幾年。他希望大家能相信自己和自己在乎的事,做得好不好根本不重要,重要的是你能不能找到一件願意傾注愛和關心的事,然後你自然會變得更好,世界也因此變得更好一點。

Lex 順著補了一段:人年紀越大,越被期待「什麼都想明白了」,於是越不敢碰新東西。只要還願意看起來像個傻子,還願意帶著初學者的心態,哪怕起步很晚,也能走得非常遠。

這話不只給年輕人。

三段影片並排看,哪一段最難拆

把三段素材放在一起,格雷夫斯的判斷有層次。

「嘀嗒糖」最反常。那是他唯一沒法用自己那套方法論拆解掉的案例。其他案例他至少能構造出一個假想方案,算一算需要多少基礎設施、多少資產、多少運維成本,然後掂量它是否可能;嘀嗒糖連這條路都走不通。

Gimbal 次之。它的價值不在畫面裡那個雲臺形狀的東西,而在 SA 頁上那四到六個的楔形編隊。編隊轉彎時鬆散、轉向之後重新收攏,這個行為模式比單個物體的外形更有資訊量。它還做了垂直方向的機動,這個動作對任何想長時間待在空中的平臺都是浪費。

東海岸這批,單看每一次都平淡。它們懸停,它們逆風,它們飛得很久,它們偶爾以 1.1 馬赫掠過。他的論證是:把時間軸拉長,這些東西疊起來就構成了一條很強的證據鏈。一個東西能逆風懸停、能以 0.8 馬赫飛四小時、能以看起來很自然又不像自動駕駛的方式飄移、能同時出現四到六個並保持編隊,候選解釋會迅速坍縮。

他反覆強調的也正是這一點。公眾的討論幾乎全被單張影象綁架,時長、相對關係、群體行為,這些才是真正有分辨力的資訊。

關於保密,他給了一個不那麼陰謀論的解釋

Lex 問了一個很直接的問題:你覺得美國政府藏了外星飛船的技術嗎。

格雷夫斯的回答是:我沒有這方面的任何資訊,如果有,我大概也不會告訴你。他接著說了一句更誠實的話:他的心告訴他有些事在發生,但他沒有證據。他也承認,這可能是他自己希望有些事在發生。

對於為什麼這類資訊會被壓住,他給出的解釋不走「為了壟斷技術」那條老路。

他的假設是:這類資訊對一個國家的社會經濟系統是衝擊,對全世界都是衝擊。你不理解一個全新的東西,第一反應是藏起來,別讓對手拿到、別讓對手用來對付你。他懷疑還有另一層原因:不知道社會能不能承受。

他反問了一句:也許我們現在反脆弱性夠強了,通訊網路、資訊流通、公眾的辨別能力,都跟過去不一樣了,那為什麼不能是現在。

這也解釋了他為什麼認為公眾有實際作用。他的觀察是:五角大樓的人未必討厭這個話題,也未必覺得它有毒,但他們身處一種文化裡,這種文化早就把它定性為有毒,而他們又都是在這個體系裡幹了一輩子才爬到高位的。讓這些人主動在一個這樣的話題上表態,是反本能的。真正能推的,反而是外面的人表現出持續的、有質量的興趣。

他用同樣的邏輯解釋 2017 年那三段影片為什麼會被公開。這些影片早就流出來了,五角大樓面對的是一個選擇題,要麼直接撒謊說不是我們的、是假的,要麼承認。今天的資訊流通速度讓第一種選擇變得很難看,他們被將了一軍,只能回應。

訪談裡他還提到一個更遠的隱患,說的是無人機。今天街上送快遞的那些自主飛行器,未來會多到無處不在,其中任何一個都可能被改成武器,除非安全機制做在前面。這個判斷不需要任何科幻設定,只是把今天的技術往前推十年。

關於外星文明會不會打仗

Lex 問了一個很大的問題:如果人類真的遇上另一個文明,對方會想要戰爭嗎。

格雷夫斯從自己的經驗出發。他說,兩個像你我這樣的人湊在一起,產出往往大於個體之和。合作能做到一個人做不到的事。他知道戰爭推動了技術進步,可能還有別的機制能做到同樣的事。

他的推演是這樣的:一個領先我們幾千年甚至幾百萬年的社會,大概也會發現同樣的道理,協作對整體是有益的。如果一個星球上的所有力量都朝著同一個目標運作,那顆星球作為一個整體的產出,會遠高於內耗的狀態。

順著這個邏輯,他推到一個有點驚人但自洽的結論:這樣的智慧,可能習慣以「星球對星球」的方式接觸我們,而不是「人對人」。那是它們演化的方式,它們預設任何智慧物種都會明白合作優於不合作。

他的原話是,他的心告訴他,在某個階段之後,愛、關心、想要協作的意願,會遠比戰爭帶來的技術進步更有力量。

Lex 說他也希望如此。

鳥、風和那些不在清單上的事

訪談裡有些細節看起來是閒筆,其實挺有意思。

Lex 問撞鳥是不是常事。格雷夫斯說這是個嚴重問題。他認識一個人,一隻紅頭美洲鷲直接撞穿座艙蓋砸在臉上,前座飛行員當場昏過去,後座的武器系統官只能把自己和對方一起彈出去。他說那東西就像一顆時速 250 英里的保齡球。

所以有一整套東西,之前完全不在外人的認知裡:每個海軍機場起飛前要查鳥情,鳥太多就取消飛行;有些軍用機場專門裝了探鳥雷達;某些基地你得打電話問當天的鳥情,另一些基地把它放進通播的天氣報告裡。有些基地還配有環保署的員工,專門負責把跑道上的候鳥和其他動物安全遷走。

飛行員還有一條靠觀察得來的規矩:正面遇到鳥,永遠往上躲,不要往下躲。因為鳥被驚到時的反應是把翅膀收起來,直接往下掉。你往下,它正好掉進你身上。

他講颶風、講 burble、講夜航,講這些的時候語氣和講 UFO 時是一樣的:具體的、帶細節的、不做渲染的。這大概是飛行員說話的方式,所有東西都當成操作問題來講,包括可能撞上的立方體。

他到底在推什麼

把整場訪談串起來,格雷夫斯在做的事有三層。

最外面一層是安全問題。他和同中隊的人差點撞上那個東西,他們提交了報告,沒有下文。這一層最樸素,也最無可辯駁。他反覆說,這跟「我出來講外星人」沒有關係,一個飛行員在講一件仍然每天在發生的事情,而現有體系裡沒有一個地方能受理它。

中間一層是情報與戰術風險。他們那片空域裡做的所有事,加密、戰術、電子戰、雷達訊號,都可能是被採集的物件。如果對手用幾十年時間低成本地監聽同一片空域,能學到的東西可能極多。這一層是軍方最該關心的,也是他反覆強調國會聽證會沒抓住的重點。

最裡面一層才是他個人的興趣所在:科學問題。他把這個問題拆成了一套可操作的分析框架,從單個物體的運動學,到群體行為,到跨域跟蹤,然後指出:最有能力回答這個問題的感測器,被鎖在最不可能開放資料的機構裡。

這三層是同一個人的同一件事。他不想讓人把它當成信仰問題,也不想讓人把它當成陰謀論。

他講得最有力的一句話,其實是關於「忙」的那段。一個能飛 0.8 馬赫四個小時的物體每天出現在訓練空域,而整個體系被日程填滿,只能把它歸到「那邊有點怪東西,別過去」這一欄,然後繼續飛。

這不只是某個組織的問題。這是所有組織的問題,也包括每個人自己的日程。

如果這些對你有用,可以從這幾件事開始

  • 看資料要看時間軸,不要看單幀。格雷夫斯最重要的方法論貢獻,是指出單張影象、單段短影片幾乎不含分辨力。真正有用的資訊是時長、是相對關係、是目標之間的互動模式。這條原則對技術判斷同樣成立,一條曲線只截一個點,什麼都說明不了。
  • 先排除變數,再談結論。他的路徑是:新雷達有假航跡,先假設是軟體問題;雷達持續指向同一點,用紅外驗證那裡確實有能量;紅外確認之後,才把它當成物理實體。每一步都在收緊可能性,沒有一步是跳過去的。
  • 警惕自己的出發點。他對駁斥派的批評有一半是技術性的:一旦立場先行,你的分析就會系統性地丟掉不配合的證據,比如第一手的人證。這個提醒對任何做分析的人都適用。
  • 注意那些被日程擠掉的東西。他自己承認,在部隊時沒時間想這件事,離開、有了空檔,才開始認真處理。一個異常長期進不了任何清單,它就會一直存在、一直不被處理。這件事在個人層面同樣成立。
  • 關心這個議題的話,用有質量的興趣去推。他的判斷是,體制內的人受制於一種「這個話題有毒」的文化,真正能改變氛圍的是外部持續、嚴肅、講證據的關注,獵奇和嘲諷起不到作用。
  • 想參與科學側,去找跨領域的組織。他本人在和 AIAA 合作建跨領域專家資源庫,為的是資料一旦開放能立刻拉出分析隊伍。他說過一句話很實在:信任但要驗證,沒有人要求誰去相信誰。
  • 不要害怕看起來像個傻子。這是他給年輕人唯一的建議,也是他自己在三十多歲換賽道、在公開場合談這個話題的底層理由。找到一件願意傾注關心的事,做得不好也沒關係,你會變好,世界也因此好一點。
  • 想理解一場戰爭的真相,別隻看空中的視角。他自己說得很清楚,坐在上億美元的座艙裡往下看,一切都很小,那種浪漫是奢侈的。地面上的人承受的東西,和螢幕上的光點完全是兩回事。這個提醒對今天看任何戰爭直播的人都成立。

節目最後,Lex 用 Buzz Aldrin 的一句話收尾:Bravery comes along as a gradual accumulation of discipline. 勇氣是一點點積累起來的紀律。

放在格雷夫斯身上挺貼。他沒有在某一天突然決定相信什麼。他只是做了一件飛行員該做的事:看見東西、記錄、上報、追問,被推回來之後繼續追問。幾年之後,這件事從一箇中隊的困惑,變成了國會聽證會上的一頁材料,變成了一份沒人回覆的危險報告,也變成了那個剛下部隊的學員打來的電話。

他講那通電話時的語氣很平靜:長官,我看見了那個立方體球,幾年過去了它們還在這兒。

天上的東西還在那兒。地面上的人還在按日程飛。

文稿來自公開 Kaggle 資料集(rajneesh231/lex-fridman-podcast-transcript),為早期自動轉錄存檔,可能存在識別錯誤。
How are these interacting with our fighters if they are? How are they interacting with the weather and their environment? How are they interacting with each other? So can we look at these and how they're interacting perhaps as a swarm? Especially off the East Coast where this is happening all the time with multiple objects. The following is a conversation with Lieutenant Ryan Graves, former Navy fighter pilot, including roles as a combat lead, landing signals officer and rescue mission commander. He and people in his squadron detected UFOs on multiple occasions. And he has been one of the few people willing to speak publicly about these experiences and about the importance of investigating these sightings, especially for national security reasons. Ryan has a degree in mechanical and aerospace engineering from WPI and an interest in career roles in advanced technology development, including multiagent collaborative autonomy, machine learning assisted air to air combat, manned and unmanned teaming technologies, and most recently, development of materials through quantum simulation. This is a Lex Friedman podcast. To support it, please check out our sponsors in the description. And now, dear friends, here's Ryan Graves. What did you think of the new Top Gun movie? How accurate was it? Let's start there. I thought the flying was really accurate. I thought the type of flying they did and how they approached the actual mission, of course, had a lot of liberties. But one thing that seems to be hard to capture on these types of things are the chess game that's going on while that type of flying is happening. The chess game between, like in a dog fight, between the pilots and the enemy, or between the different pilots? I'll even speak to just that particular mission. They flew there. And for that particular mission, it's kind of a chess game with yourself to get everything in place. So what kind of flight they flew is called a high threat scenario, which means they have to ingress low due to the surface to air threats, the integrated air defense systems that are nearby. And they have to ingress low and pop up like we see in the movie. And in that particular movie, that was a preplanned strike. They knew exactly where they were going. But there's a scenario where we have to operate in that type of environment, and we don't know exactly where we're going to strike or we're going to be adapting to real time targets. And so in that scenario, you would have one of those fighters down low like that operating as a mission commander, as a forward air controller. And he's out there calling shots, joining on those other players in order to ensure they're pointed at the right target. So that's a bit of the chess game that he'll be playing. Can you actually describe for people who haven't seen the movie what the mission actually is? Yeah. What's involved in the mission? So in this particular mission, it's kind of what we would call a preplanned strike. So there's a known location that's in a heavily defended area. And the air crew, in this case, I believe it was four F18s on the initial package, their job was to ingress very low down a canyon to stay out of the radar window of the surface to air threats. What does ingress mean? Ingress means that they're going to be pushing from a start location towards the target or the objective. So there's an ingress portion of the mission and an egress portion of the mission. Oh, okay. Like the entrance and the exit type of thing. Got it. But it changes our mindset tactically quite a bit, right? Cause when we're entering someplace, we have the option to enter. But when we go drop a bomb on location, we're exiting. We don't have that luxury. We don't have that option. So it actually changes our tactics and our aggression level. Got it. And so they were flying low to the ground and then there's a surface to air missiles that forced them to have to fly low. Is that a realistic thing? It is realistic. So driving those aircraft in the clutter, you know, all radar systems or most I should say are essentially line of sight. And so they're going to be limited by the horizon or any clutter out there. And even a number of radars, if they are located up high and looking down towards that aircraft, the clutter or all the objects such as trees and canyons can have effect on radar systems. And so it can be a type of camouflage. So that's a camouflage for the radar, but what about the surface to air missile? Is that a legitimate way to avoid missiles flies so low, like fly I guess below their level? As far as I know, you know, you can fly under any radar right now. We don't have necessarily radars that can look through anything. So there is always going to be the ability to mask yourself, but with a larger number of assets and distributed communication networks, where those radars are looking, it makes all the difference. And I said, they're ingressing past an IAS and that's an integrated air defense system. And that linking of air defense systems is what makes it so hard, so complicated is that the sensors and the weapons are disassociated from each other. So that if you took out the target that was shooting at you, it still has ability to intercept you from another radar location. So it's distributed and it's stronger that way. You mean the surface to air missiles, like it's a distributed system in that if you take out one, they're still able to sort of integrate information about your location and strike at you. Correct. And there's a lot of complication that can go, you know, once we start thinking about distributed systems like that and the ability to self heal and repair and adapt to losses, it's an interesting area. Are you responsible for thinking about that when you're flying an airplane? To some degree, when we ingress to an area like that, we're presented with information about targets, air to air or air to surface, or surface to air, I should say. And we can essentially see where essentially the danger zone, if you will, is located. And so essentially we would stay out of that. And so having a full picture of the environment is extremely important because, you know, at the end of the day, if we go in that circle, we can die pretty quickly. So it's absolutely crucial. So there's regions that have higher and lower danger based on your understanding of the actual, whatever the surface to air missiles systems are. So you can kind of know. That's interesting. I wonder how automated that could be too, especially when you don't know. It seems like in the movie they knew the location of everything. I imagine that's less known in most cases. And also, a lot of those systems might be a little bit more ghetto if I can use that technical term. Like I've gotten, ad hoc maybe is the, I don't know. But having just recently visited Ukraine and seen a lot of aspects of the way that war is fought, there's a lot of improvised type of systems. So you take high tech, like advanced technology, but the way you deploy it and the way you organize it is very improvised and ad hoc and is responding to the uncertainty and the dynamic environment. And so from an enemy perspective or whoever's trying to deal with that kind of system, it's hard to figure it out. Because it's like me, I played tennis for a long time and it's always easier to play, this is true for all sports, play tennis against a good tennis player versus a crappy tennis player. Because the crappy tennis player is full of uncertainty. And that's really difficult to deal with. It seemed like in the movie the systems were really well organized. And so you could plan. And there's a very nice ravine that went right down the middle of them. That's how movies work, isn't it? Yeah. But no, I absolutely agree. So what you say is a very good point. And if we were to take a chunk of airspace and break it up into little bits, there'd be places that are better to fly or less good to fly. And we are seeing that now with what they call manned unmanned teaming. We see tactical aircraft or some type of aircraft or platform that's being automated. And it's not being automated in traditional sense where people think aircrew are flying them around to conduct missions. But it's very high level objective orientated mission planning that allows the aircrew to act more as a mission planner, mission commander versus having to just pick the right assets or fly them around or manipulate them somewhat physically. So actually going back to the chess thing, can you elaborate on what you mean by playing a game of chess with yourself? What's, when you're flying that mission, what exactly do you mean by that? Well, there's a few people you're usually fighting against in the air, you know, there's the bad guys and then there's physics and mother nature, right? So when we're down at about 100 feet, it's a chess game to stay alive for the pilot and it's a chess game for the whizzo to process the information he needs and then communicate it to all those other aircraft that were flying around to ensure that they're putting their weapons on the right target. What's the whizzo? Wizzo is a weapons systems officer. He's a backseater who is not a pilot, but they're responsible for radar manipulation and communications and weapons appointments of certain natures. So the chess game is against physics, against the enemy. Time. Time, what about your own psychology, fear, uncertainty? No. No, there's no time for that type of self reflection while we're flying. I want to get to that, but I don't want to forget the point that you made about increased randomness being a tactical advantage. You know, as we, as you mentioned, you know, you can introduce autonomy into there and when you bring autonomy in there and my expectation would be as we bring different abilities and machine learning, as we gather more data, we're going to be able to bring the tactical environment around that jet, the war space that it goes into will almost be at a stochastic level from the enemy's perspective, where it'll almost seem like every tactical environment they go in will be random and yet very deadly because the system is providing a new tactical solution essentially for that particular scenario. Instead of just training to particular tactics that have to be repeatable and trainable and lethal, right? But not necessarily the most lethal because they have to be trainable. But if we can introduce AI into that and to have a level of randomness or at least appearance of randomness due to complexity, you know, I would consider it like a stochastic tactical advantage because even our own blue fighters won't be able to engage in that fight because it would be unsafe essentially for anything else. And I think that's where we have to drive to because otherwise it's always this chicken and mouse cat game about who's tactics and who knows what. But if knowledge is no longer a factor, it's going to make things a lot different. That's really interesting. So out of the many things that are part of your expertise, your journey, you're also working on autonomous and semi autonomous systems, the use of AI and machine learning and manned on man team and all that kind of stuff. We'll talk about it. But you're saying sort of when people think about the use of AI in war, in military systems, they think about like computer vision for perception or processing of sensor information in order to extract from it actionable knowledge kind of thing. But you're saying you could also use it to generate randomness that's difficult to work with in like a game theoretic way. Like it's difficult for human operators to respond to. Exactly. That's really interesting. Okay, so back to Tom Cruise and Tom Gunn. What about the dog fighting? What aspects of that were accurate? So dog fighting is kind of an interesting conversation because it's not the most tactically relevant skill set nowadays by traditional standards because the ranges with which we engage and play weapons are very significant. And so if we're in a scenario where we're in a dog fight like that, a lot of things have probably gone wrong, right? And that's kind of how this mission was set up, right? It was a no win type scenario, most likely. And so for a dog fight, the aircraft size and the ranges and the turn radiuses make it so it's not very theatrical, right? The aircraft looks small. And while it's intense with the systems I have and the sensors and what I'm feeling and all that, if I, you know, we've done it and we've done it, right? We take video of that and it's just like a blue sky and you see a little dot out there. So not very interesting. And so anytime it really looks interesting in dog fight arena, that's most likely a fiction because we really only get close for a millisecond as we're dipping past each other at the merge. You're breaking my heart, right? I know, I'm sorry. You're breaking my heart. No, I understand. In a dog fight, you can go and have fun, but you know, in a dog fight specifically. Maybe that was more common in the earlier wars, the World War II and before that, where the, is it due to the sort of the range and the effectiveness of the weapon systems involved? Correct. And the accuracy of the targeting systems at range. But there's also a train of thought that hasn't actually been tested out yet, which is with the advent of advanced electronic warfare, EW and or unmanned assets, the battle space may get so complex and missiles may essentially just get dropped out of the sky or wasted such that you're gonna be in close with either IR missiles or guns, if it's a no kidding, you know, must defend type scenario. First of all, what's electronic warfare? You know, it's basically trying to get control of electromagnetic spectrum for the interest of whatever operation is going on. So in the tactical environment, a lot of that is trying to deceive the radar or can we deceive the missiles or just, you know, stop their guide and things of that nature. Man, it's a battle in the space of information, of digital information. Yeah, well F22 and F35, right? F22 is a big expensive aircraft and it was made to be a great fighter. But the F35 is not as great of a fighter, but it's an electronic warfare and mission commander platform of the future where information is what's gonna win the war instead of the best dog fighter. And so it's interesting dichotomy there. What's the best airplane ever made, fighter jet ever made? I know the aviators in the audience are gonna hate my answer because they're gonna want that sexy, you know, muscly F14 Tomcat type fighter or maybe P51 type aircraft. But the F35 is maybe not the best dog fighter, but it doesn't have to get in a dog fight, right? It's like how you'd be the best knife fighters, not getting a knife fight sometimes. Lockheed Martin F35 Lightning II, it looks pretty sexy. There's two real strengths you can have as a fighter. You can have the ability to kind of out muscle your fighter, your opponent and beat them on Gs and power and raid around on them. And then there's the other side of that, which is you can be overly maneuverable. You can bleed energy quickly. And that's what the F18 was good at because it had to be heavier to land on aircraft carrier. We had to give it extra bulk, but it also needs a special mechanism to slow down enough to land on aircraft carrier. And so it made it very maneuverable. And what that leads to a lot of times is the ability to get maybe the first shot in a fight, which is very good, but if you do make that sharp turn, you're gonna bleed a lot of your energy away and be more susceptible for follow on shots if that one's less susceptible. And so there's just kind of aggression, nonaggression game you can play depending on the type of aircraft you're fighting. Where does the F35 land on that spectrum? The F35 lands somewhere behind the F22s. So there'll probably be a row of F22s or F18s and F35 will be out back, but it'll be enabling a lot of the warfare that's happening in front of you. Is it one of the more expensive planes because of all the stuff on it? It certainly is, yeah. In the movie, they have Tom Cruise fly it over Mach 10. So maybe can you say what are the different speeds, accelerations feel like, Mach 1, 2, 3, or hypersonic? Have you ever flown hypersonic? No. How tough does it get? I'm just gonna call out the BS of ejecting at Mach 10 just for the record, because in the movie, there's been I think at least one ejection that was supersonic, and I'll just say it was not pretty, but he survived. So there would have to be some interesting mechanisms to eject successfully at Mach 10, but I'll digress on that for the moment. Yeah, that seemed very strange. And he just walked away from it, but anyway, so. He seemed disheveled. Okay, it's Tom Cruise. It's like Chuck Norris or something. Indestructible, yeah. Indestructible. He also doesn't age. But anyway, so what's interesting to say about the experience as you go up? Does it get more and more difficult? In the end of the day, crossing the sound barrier is much like crossing the speed limit on the highway. You don't really notice anything. To cross that, at least in F18, because we have a lot more weight than most fighters, typically we'll do that in a descent. We'll do that full afterburner, just dumping gas into the engine. And so that'll get us over the fastest I think I've gone with about 1.28. But what's interesting, people realize, is that if I take that throttle in an afterburner and I just bring it back, just bring it back to mil, which is full power, just not afterburner, the deacceleration is so strong due to the air friction that it'll throw you forward in your straps. Almost, I would say, maybe like 70% as strong almost as trapping on the boat, it's pretty strong. So it's almost like a reverse car crash just for the deacceleration. So the acceleration is usually kind of slow and you don't feel anything, of course, when you're crossing through it, but the deacceleration's pretty violent. The deacceleration's violent, huh, okay. But is there a fundamental difference between mach one and hypersonic, mach five and so on? Does it require super special training? And is that something that's used often in warfare or is it not really that necessary? No, so hypersonic human flight, if it exists, is not something that's employed tactically in any sense right now that I'm aware of. So I think of hypersonic technology, I think of missiles and weapons systems and delivery platform, I don't think of fighter aircraft necessarily, I can think of bomber or reconnaissance aircraft perhaps, but those would be more efficient, very long range. So I imagine acceleration would be kind of gentle, honestly. The thing you experience is the acceleration, not the actual speed. There's been just a small tangent, a lot of discussion about hypersonic nuclear weapons, like missiles from Russia bragging about that. Is this something that's a significant concern or is it just a way to flex about different kinds of weapons systems? Hypersonics, I do think pose a challenge for our detection systems because there are, you know, there are design considerations in these sensor systems as always, right? And when you build them and the technology progresses to a point where maybe it's not feasible to use that technology, you know, there's a problem. But with the all domain and kind of cross domain data linking capabilities we have, it's less of, you know, it's more of an integrated picture, I'll say. And so the hypersonics are really, what it is is how fast can we detect and destroy a problem? You're just shortening the time available to do that. We call something like that the kill chain, right? It's from locating a target and identifying it and, you know, essentially authorizing its destruction by whatever means, employing, and then actually following up to ensure that you did what you said you were going to do in some sense, right? Does it need another reattacks, something of that nature. And so there's an old dog fighting framework when I was catching planes land. I would, they would trap and it'd be nighttime. And it's just all this chaos in the middle of the ocean and nothing. And I would have these moments where I'd be like, how the hell did I end up here? You know, there's one moment in time next to an aircraft landing on a boat in the middle of the ocean, you know, where did my life, you know, how did my life go to end up here? How interesting. But what I did start to enjoy was the night vision goggles and putting those on and looking up at the stars flying around, especially over the ocean. What do they look like? And there's just so many, there's just so many stars that, you know, you normally can't see. They're shooting stars all the time. Almost every flight you'd see them with the goggles on. And so it was a great pleasure to take advantage of the lack of light pollution in some cases, especially on deployment to go grab some goggles at night, go out some quiet spot in the ship that no one can see me and just kind of look around, you know. Yeah, it's humbling. Quick break, bathroom break? Yeah, wouldn't mind a quick stretch of legs. You got a few cool patches. I do, so this is a VFA 11 Red Rippers patch. Typically going actually on our arm. So this is actually what we call the Boar's Head or Arnold. So this is actually the Boar's Head from the Gordon's Gin bottle. In 1918, we were in London or the UK somewhere and we apparently partied with the owner and founder of Gordon's Gin and we had a great time and there's a signed letter in our ready room that says we can use the logo in perpetuity. Oh, nice. And yeah, so I'd like to give you that patch. I drank quite a bit of gourd, so this is good. And I'd like to give you that coin from our squadron. The Red Rippers, that's a badass name. Thank you, brother. You're welcome. So let's jump around a little bit, but let me ask you about this one set of experiences that you had and people in your squadron had. So you and a few people in the squadron either detected UFOs on your instruments or saw them directly. Tell me the full story of these UFO sightings and to the smallest technical details, because I love those. I'll do my best. So we returned from, and when I say we, I mean, not my squadron, but VFA 11, the Red Rippers. I was a somewhat junior pilot at the time. I joined them on deployment in 2012, where they had been already out there for about six months or so, operating in the vicinity of Afghanistan. I joined them and then we flew back and still as a relatively new guy, we came back and we entered what's considered a maintenance phase where we slow down the tactical flying a bit, kind of recuperate, do some maintenance on the aircraft. And our particular model of the F18, the lot number, was plumbed for the particular things that were needed to upgrade the radar from what's known as the ABG 73 to the ABG 79. And the ABG 73 is a mechanically scanned array radar. It's a perfectly fine radar, but the AESA radar is kind of a magnitude jump in capability, kind of an analog digital kind of mindset. So it's a leap to digital. ABG 73, so I mean, are these things on a carrier? Like what are we talking about here? How big is the radar? So this is actually the radars in the F18 itself. Okay, so when you say they were chosen, this is to test the upgrade to the new, the 79, ABG 79. Less of a test and more of just, hey, it's your turn to get the upgrade. Like we're all going to these better radars. They were building ones off the line with the new radar, but we were this weird transitionary squadron in the middle that transitioned from the older ones to the new ones. But it's not particularly rare to fly with different types of radar because in the, and we call the fleet replacement squadron, essentially the training ground for the F18, you have all sorts of F18s with different radar. So you are used to having multiple ones, but in the actual deployable combat squadron, we upgraded. And when we upgraded, we saw that there were objects on the radar that we were seeing the next day with this new radar that weren't there with the old radar. And these were sometimes the same day. You might go on two flights. The one in the morning might be with the older radar, the one in the evening with the new radar. And you'd see the objects with the new radar. And that's not overly surprising in some sense. They are more sensitive. Perhaps they're not filtering out everything they should be yet, or perhaps there's some other type of error. Maybe it needs to be calibrated, whatever. It was relatively new and we were somewhat used to there being software problems with these types of things occasionally, just like anything else. And so, okay, maybe this is a radar software malfunction. We're getting some false tracks, as we call them. What were you seeing? And so what we would see are representations of the objects. So this is off of our radar. We're not seeing a visual image here. This is kind of like what's being displayed to us almost like in a gaming fashion, right? Like the icon, right? So the icon is showing us, hey, something is there. And here's the parameters I can understand about it. So this is in the cockpit. There's a display that's showing some visualization with the radars detecting. Correct. And there's two different ways to do that. The first one is like the actual data, like the radar where I am, it's showing me the data kind of as if it's in front of me and I'm selecting those contacts. And there's another screen called the situational awareness page. And that's kind of a God's eye view that brings all that data into one spot. And so I'm gonna talk about this from the SA page, from the situational awareness page versus the individual radar ones, because it's easier, but. Can you, sorry to linger on that. So the individual displays are like first person and then SA is, when you say God's eye view, it's like from the top, the integration of all that information as if it's looking down onto the earth. Yes. Is that a good way to summarize it? It is, but for the aviator, it's slightly different because those two radar displays I talked about are at the bottom of that display is kind of representative of where I am. And so I see what's in front of me. Whereas the situational awareness page, the aircraft is located in the center of that. And then all around me, based off of the data link and wherever I'm getting information from, I can see that whole awareness page. I can see all the situation. So I'm gonna kind of talk about this from the situational awareness page, which is a top down view, just to kind of frame our minds instead of jumping around. And so what we would see out there is we'd see these indications that something would be there and they would have a track file. That track file, that thing that represents the object has a line coming out of it. And that represents, it's called the target aspect indicator. So there's some tracking from the radar. Correct, so it's showing you where the object's going. This is all pretty cool that the radar can do all this. So radar locks in on different objects and it tracks them over time. Correct. That's coming from the radar. That's like a built in feature. Okay, cool. So out there we're seeing it. We don't have to necessarily pull things into our tracker in some sense, right? It's all out there and then we can kind of choose to highlight on stuff or to kind of focus in on it more so. But the information should all be out there. And so we'd see that that target aspect indicator, that line on a typical aircraft, it would kind of look like this. It would be coming out and it would go steady and if they turned, it would be like boop, boop, boop, and you see them turn, right? It's not magic. But this object, the target aspect would kind of be like all over the place, like kind of randomly in the 360 degrees from that top down view, that line would be in any place. So kind of, is it unable to determine the target aspect? Is it stationary? And that's just how it puts it out and it's not used to seeing it. So I'm not saying that's necessarily super weird, but it was different than what we were used to seeing because we weren't used to seeing stationary objects out there very much. And what was also interesting is that these weren't just stationary on a zero wind day, right? These are stationary at 20,000 feet, 15,000 feet, 500 feet with the wind blowing, you know? And so much like the sea, when we're up there fighting, it affects everything. We consider the wind when we're shooting missiles, when we're flying or fuel considerations, it's like operating in that volume of air, like the ocean, everything's going with the current. And so anything that doesn't go with the current is immediately kind of identifiable and strange and that's why these were initially strangers because they would be stationary against the wind. So if you had something like a good drone in a windy conditions, what would that look like? Would it not come off as stationary? Would it sort of float about kind of thing? No, I think with the drone technology we have today, they could stay within a pretty tight location. Well, I meant like DJI drone, I'm saying like generically speaking, not a military drone. No, I have a DJI drone myself even, and you know, maybe not a hundred knots, but if that thing's in 30 or 40 and not winds, the amount of distance it's going to be kind of doing one of these, like that change is not something I'm gonna detect from maybe many miles away. Interesting. So it could look very stationary, but that wasn't necessarily, and what's interesting about this story is that there's not like the one smoking gun, right? You have to kind of look at everything. And that's what I don't like about the Department of Defense and just generally people's take on this is that everything is kind of based around a single image, you know, or that one case, but a lot of the interestingness comes from the duration or the time it's been out there, how they're interacting relative to other objects out there. And you don't get that information when you just look at a frame for a second, you know? Everyone kind of bites off on the shiny object, but. So you yourself, from your particular slice of things you've experienced and seen directly or indirectly, you've kind of built up an intuition about what are the things that were being seen. I wouldn't go that far. I've just been able to eliminate some variables because of how long I've observed it. So like you said, yes, can a drone stay in a particular position against the wind like that? Certainly, but I don't think it can do that and then go 0.8 Mach for four hours after that, you know? And so when you look at outside of that one, that moment in time, then it eliminates a lot of the potential things it could be, at least from my perspective. So what kind of stuff did you see in the instruments? We'd see them flying in patterns, kind of racetrack patterns or circular patterns or just going kind of straight east. Occasionally see them supersonic, 1.1, 1.2 Mach, but typically 0.6 to 0.8 Mach, just for extremely extended periods of time, essentially all the time. And this is airspace where there's not supposed to be anything else at all. And it's pretty far out there. It starts 10 miles off the coast, goes like 300 miles. Can you say the location that we're talking about? Off the coast of Virginia Beach. Got it, and so nobody's supposed to be out there? It's possible for people to be there. It's not necessarily restricted, but it's well monitored and we're out there every day, all day. And so people know to stay clear. If a Cessna goes bumbling in there, everyone's gonna know about it. FAA is gonna call them out, gonna tell us about it. So incursions happen, not a big deal, but they're pretty rare, honestly, because everyone knows the area and we've been operating there for decades. And what are the trajectories at 0.6 to 0.8 Mach that these objects were taking? Typically, they would be in some type of circular pattern or kind of racetrack pattern when they were at those speeds, or I just see them kind of, and it wasn't always like a mechanical flight description. And when I say that, I mean like an autopilot is gonna be just very precise, right? It's gonna be locked on straight. Whereas I could see an airplane, I could tell if the pilot's flying it, right? Because it's not gonna be perfect. The computer's not controlling it. And these seemed more like that. Not that they were imprecise, but that they were even much more erratic than that. So like, it wasn't like a straight line in a turn. It was just kind of like a weird drift like that in that direction. So it wasn't controlled by a dumb computer, or not disrespect to computers. So it wasn't controlled by autopilot kind of technology. That's not the sense that I got. So how many people have seen them in the squadron? Sort of how many times were they seen? How many were there times when there's multiple objects? Once we started seeing them on the radar enough, and we would get close enough, we'd actually see them on our FLIR as well. So our advanced targeting pod. It's essentially a infrared camera that we use for targeting, mostly in the air to surface environment. We don't use it in the air to air arena. It's just not that good of a tool, frankly. But we would see IR energy emitting from that location where the radar was dropping us off. So the radar, we'd lock onto the object and our sensors would all look there. And so then we could see that it's looking at that right piece of sky, but there's energy actually coming from there. So now we started thinking that, okay, maybe not radar malfunctions, maybe more, maybe something is physically here, of course. And then people started to try to fly by it and see it. And at this point, I would say maybe 80 to 90% of our squadron had probably seen one of these on the radar at this point. Everyone was aware of it. There was small communication, I think, between squadrons of the same area that had the same radar. So I knew it wasn't just our squadron for whatever strange reason, because other squadrons would be out there and we would talk to them, like, hey, careful, there's an object. Are you aware of that? So they would be aware of it. And then, of course, people would want to go see what they look like, right? So people would try to fly by it. I try to fly by it. I like how that's an of course. Of course. Of course you don't want to fly by it. There's an argument against that kind of perspective that maybe the thing is dangerous, so maybe we don't. But perhaps that's part of the reason you want to fly by it, is to understand better what it is if it's a threat. We have a lot of context now that we didn't back then. So it was still, hey, is this a balloon? Is this a drone at a certain point? And we're also aware of potential intelligence gathering operations that could be going on. We're up there flying our tactics. We're emitting. We're practicing our EW. We're turning at particular times. There's stuff that can be learned. It's not a secret. And countries keep different fishing vessels and whatnot in international waters off there. So it's not exactly a secret that we're being observed out there. So to think that a foreign nation would want to somehow intercept information, whether that's our radar signals or jamming capabilities to try to break that down or understand it better, be ready for that next fight, I mean, that's what scares me about this scenario because we didn't jump right to aliens or UFOs. We thought, this is a radar malfunction we need to be aware of. It's a safety issue. And then this could be a tactical problem right here because everything we do is based off a crypto and locations, everything's classified we do out there. And so over time, if you gather enough data about those fights and just monitor them forever, just like some nations do with other piece of technology or software, they could probably learn a lot. So we have to be cognizant of the fact and defend against it. So what can you say about the other characteristics of these objects like shape, size, texture, luminosity, how else do you describe object? Is there something that could be said? So you said like this is a tech town radar step one. Now you have FLIR images that can give you a sense that that's actually a physical object. What else can be said about those physical objects? So eventually someone did see one with their own eyeballs, multiple people and they saw it in a somewhat interesting way. The object presented itself at the exact altitude and geographic location of the entry points into our working areas. So we enter at a very specific point at a certain altitude and people leave the areas at the same point at a lower altitude. Probably one of the busiest pieces of sky on the eastern seaboard. So two jets from my squadron went out and they went flying and they entered the area and one of these objects went right between the aircraft. So they're flying in formation and the object went between the aircraft. They went between the object I think. I don't think that the object was moving. I don't think it aggressively went at them. I think it was located still there and then they flew through it. But they didn't have it on their radar. And I think the radar might have been malfunctioning. I don't know that for sure. I would like to look into it but my supposition is that if their radar was malfunctioning it would make sense that they wouldn't avoid the object that was there because they knew these were physical at that point. And we would go up to these objects all the time and try to see them and couldn't see them. And we didn't know what it was. Was it, were they just not there or being fooled? Was something happening? Were they moving, dropping altitude at the last minute? We're going by pretty quick so it's difficult to tell. But perhaps if his radar wasn't working it wasn't receiving energy from the jet. And the jet of course didn't know that it was there. And so whatever the case was, they flew right by and they described it just as a dark gray or black cube inside a clear translucent sphere. And the kind of the apex of the cube or touching the inside of that sphere. That's an image that's haunting. So what do they think it is? What did they think at that moment? That they, is it just this kind of cloud of uncertainty that they're just describing a geometric object? It's not on radar so it's unclear what it is. Yeah, what was the, any kind of other description they've had of it in terms of the intuition from a pilot's perspective? You have to kind of identify what a thing is. To answer the first part, they actually canceled the flight and came back because they were, it's like if there's one of these out here and we're almost hitting them and it's right there, then perhaps we need to get a different jet with better radar. So they came back and they're in their gear and they're talking to the front desk and talking to Skipper and like, hey, we almost hit one of those damn things out there. And this kind of was one of those kind of slight watershed moments where we all were kind of like, all right, like this is a serious deal now. Maybe it was a, maybe we thought they were balloons or drones or malfunctions, or maybe we thought it was fine. But at the end of the day, if we're gonna hit one of these things, then we need to take care of the situation. And that's actually when we started submitting hazard reports or hazard reps to the Naval Aviation Safety kind of communication network. And it's not like a big proactive thing where people are gonna go investigate. It's more of a data collection mechanism so that you can kind of share that aggregate data and make sure that things are progressing. So it wasn't a mechanism that would result in action being taken, but we were hoping to at least get the message out to whomever was maybe running a classified program that we were not aware of or something like that, that hey, like you could kill somebody here. Like you've grown too big for your bridges here. Take a step back. So that was our concern at that point. That's kind of where we were thinking this was going. What's the protocol for shooting at a thing? Was there a concern that it's a direct threat, not just surveillance, but a thing that could be a threat? At least from my perspective, like that never really crossed into my mind. I thought it was potentially an intelligence failure that could be being watched and information gathered. But I didn't think that it was something that would proactively engage me in a hostile manner. It wouldn't really make sense either too. It would be shocking to like have one of these objects take out an F18, but there's no real tactical advantage other than fear perhaps. Psychological, yeah. I've learned a lot about the psychological warfare in Ukraine as a big part of the war in terms of when you talk about siege warfare, about wars that last for many years, for many months, and then perhaps could extend to years. But yes, it didn't seem, it didn't fit your conception of a threatening entity. Correct. So looking back now from all the pieces of data you've integrated, you've personally added, what do you think it could be? I don't know. I don't know what it could be. I think we've been able to categorize it successfully into a few buckets. We've been able to say that this could be US technology that someone put in the wrong piece of sky or perhaps was developed and tested in an inappropriate spot by someone that wasn't being best practices. Is there, sorry to interrupt, is there a sort of modularity to the way the military operates, the way it's possible for one branch not to know about the tests of another? Yeah, I think it's perfectly reasonable to think that that could occur, right? And so if we just make that assumption, we can integrate that into our analysis here and just say, okay, but at the point we're at now, we have to assume that that's not the case, right? With everything that's been going on and the statements have been made and the hearings, I think that if it was a noncommunication issue, we're in big trouble at this point. What about it being an object from another nation, from China, from Russia? Or even one of our allies, perhaps, right? Maybe that's, you know, I don't think it's controversial to say that our allies could be gathering information about us or anything of that nature, but that would be an extreme case, but I think it's just important to say, right? To not just say Russia or China and just call them the bad guys and assume that if they don't have it, no one can do it. And so from my perspective, you know, anyone else, anyone else, and it doesn't necessarily need to be a foreign power. It could be a non government entity, perhaps, although I think that's very unlikely. But again, these are things you must consider if you kind of throw everything, everything other than the US under scrutiny. But you know, from what has been reported and the behaviors that have been seen, it would be, I would expect to see remnants of that technology elsewhere in the economy. There seems to be too many things that require advanced technology that would be beneficial commercially, as well as in other military applications for it to be completely locked away by one of our competitors. Now I could see us perhaps locking something away if we're already in the lead and having it to pull out as needed. But for someone that's perhaps in a power struggle and they're in second place, they might be more aggressive with the development of different types of technology willing to accept bigger risks. Do you think it could be natural phenomena that we don't yet understand? I think that there are a number of things that this is going to be, right? I don't think there's one thing at the end of the day, but I certainly think that that is part of what some of this could be. I don't think it's what we were seeing on the East Coast, and I don't think it is related to the Roosevelt incident, or I'll even go out and say the Nimitz incident, but. What's the Roosevelt incident? The Roosevelt incident, typically referred to as the gimbal and or the go fast video. And then the Nimitz is from what the David Fravor has witnessed directly and spoken about. We'll talk about that as well. I'd just love to get your sort of interpretation of those incidents. But yeah, so in this particular case, natural phenomena could be a part of the picture, but you're saying not the whole picture. Yes, yes, and we can't discount it. Oh, the other thing is what about the failure of pilot eyesight? Like sort of some deep mixture of actual direct vision, human vision system failure, and like psychology. Like seeing something weird and then filling in the gaps. Because in order to make sense of the weird. I've tried to expose myself to scenarios like that that I don't necessarily think are right, but I've explored them to see if they could have some truth. And one example is let's imagine a scenario where if we're seeing these objects every day off the East Coast, I can imagine a technology or an operation where you had some type of traditional propulsion system operating drones in order to gather data like we had discussed. And I could envision a clever enough adversary that could perhaps destroy or somehow remove these objects and replace them with new objects essentially when we're not looking, right? And that accounts for the large airborne time. And so I explore options like that and I try to see what evidence and assumptions need to be made in order to prove or disprove that. And you would need so much infrastructure. You'd need so many assets. And so I try to explore some of those fallacies and some of those concerns. And as aviators, we're trained into many like actual physical, like eyesight and kind of illusion training. So like at nighttime flying, there's so many things that can happen flying with false horizons. And so we receive hours of training on that type of stuff, but this just falls outside the category from my perspective. What was the visibility conditions in the times when people were able to see it? And we just earlier discussed complete nighttime, darkness. In this case, was it during the day? It was a perfectly clear day that particular incident, yep. In a world that's full of mystery, I have to ask what do you think is the possibility that it's not of this earth origin? I like the term nonhuman intelligence in a sense, because again, there's a lot of assumptions in there that may cause us to go down the wrong roads. It could, you know, these could be something that are weather phenomena of earth, right? Or something else that is just something we don't understand and can't imagine right now that's still of this earth. If we consider extraterrestrials or something that came from a physical place far away in space time, you know, that leads us to some detection assumptions that we would need to make. And so I just try to not categorize it under anything and just say, hey, is this demonstrating intelligence? And start from there as a single object. What can we learn about it kinematically? How it's performing? What does that mean for its energy source? What does that mean for the G forces inside? And then step it out a level and say, okay, how are these interacting with our fighters? If they are, how are they interacting with the weather and their environment? How are they interacting with each other? So can we look at these and how they're interacting perhaps as a swarm, especially off the East coast where this is happening all the time with multiple objects. Right? And so we might be able to determine some things about their maybe, you know, sensor capabilities or the areas of focus, you know, if we can determine how they're working in conjunction with each other. But, you know, seeing one little flash of an object doesn't provide that type of insight. But we have the systems for it, and it's kind of, you know, an irony, but it's a fact of life, the reality that many of these well deployed, highly capable systems are held under the military umbrella, which makes it difficult to provide that data for scientific analysis. So there's probably a lot more data on these objects that's not being, that's not made available, probably even within the military for analysis. I think so. Yeah, I think there's a lot of data that could be made available. And, you know, that's one of the reasons why, you know, I've been engaged with the American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics to build, you know, a large resources of cross domain expertise so that if or when that data is available or that there's additional analysis needed, you know, we can spin up those teams and make that analysis. So there was a recently a house intelligence subcommittee hearing on UFOs that you were a part of. What was the goal of that hearing? And can you maybe summarize what you heard? The hearings, from my perspective, seemed a bit disingenuous, kind of top level. I think... Who was it run by, sorry to interrupt, like who were the people involved and what was the goal, the stated goal? Congressman Andre Carson did chair the committee and he was, I think, ultimately responsible for bringing it all together. You know, I think the intent from Congress was to try to bring light to what has been happening with the Navy and to help show the American people that Congress is taking this serious because something serious is happening. But, you know, the sense I got seemed a bit disingenuous. They talked around it a lot. They, you know, advertised their love of science fiction, but they, you know, they didn't treat this, I would say, in the manner it deserved as a potential tactical threat if it's coming from a foreign power. And I get it though, at the same day, they have very specific objectives within the DOD, right? They have a very important job. Their job isn't necessarily to do exploratory science for no reason. So I applaud and I encourage their efforts on the intelligence side to help understand this, but my concern is that they play a role they're not well suited for, which is doing science. And the Pentagon has opened a new office to investigate UFOs called All Domain Anomaly Resolution Office. What do you think about this office? Do you think it can help alleviate in a way which this hearing perhaps has failed to improve more the scientific rigor and the seriousness of investigating UFOs? I think that remains to be seen. I think it's a step in the right direction, but it's a step that was taken because the previous step didn't happen, right? So the AOI MSG was the progeny, essentially, of the AARO or AERO. And the name was changed because nothing was happening and it was essentially just a confusing mess of words that were created to make this topic unpalatable. The Airborne Objects Identification Synchronization Management Group. Quite the mouthful. I practice that. But the new All Domain Anomaly Resolution Office, from my perspective at least, at least the perspective that they're putting out, they seem to want to be open. They put out a Twitter handle, they're going out on Twitter and communicating, saying they want to keep this open. But that's gonna run into a classification wall. Well, so Dr. Sean Kirkpatrick seems like an interesting guy. He does, yes. So he's got a, Evan looked in too deeply, but he seems to have sort of, he's coming from like a science research perspective, like a background. So he might be, at least in the right mindset, the right background to kind of lead a serious investigation. I think so. I'll just say generally, the office has been receptive to AIAA reaching out in order to collaborate, which has been a positive sign. Also pass the same kudos to Dr. Spergel and NASA's effort as well. I see these organizations that are standing up, I do see them as good faith efforts that are coming about through a lot of difficulty and negotiation most likely, right? And I see these as a small door opening that if we can take advantage of, can lead to a much more productive relationship between these organizations. How do you put pressure on this kind of thing? Does it come from the civilian leadership? Does it come from sort of Congress and presidents? Does it come from the public? Does the public have any power to put pressure on this? Or is the giant wall of bureaucracy going to protect it against any public pressure? What do you think? I think we've been in that latter state for a while, but society seems to be a bit different nowadays. We have the ability to communicate and to group and to form relationships in a way that hasn't been able to be present in the past. We've been able to do research for better or worse on our own in a way that hasn't been able to happen before. And so I sense that people are a bit less willing to kind of buy the bottom line statement from those in power as they used to be back when they didn't have access to those tools. And so I do think there is a massive role for the general society, general populace to play to show that they are interested in this. Because it's not that I don't think the politicians or the leaders in the Pentagon, it's not that they don't like this topic necessarily or think it's toxic per se, but they exist in a culture where this has been toxic and they don't feel comfortable talking about it. And these are people that have spent their entire careers working towards a goal and getting to very high positions within government. And so this is very against their nature to take a stance on a topic like this. And so the fact that these are standing up, even if they do have a small budget or if they struggled a bit at first, I still think it's a massive change and it's a big step away from that stigma that has been pervading this topic for so long. And you're actually part of alleviating the stigma for somebody that's as credible, as intelligent, as varied in background, able to speak about these things. That's a big risk that you took, but it's extremely valuable because it's alleviating the stigma. I thank you for saying that, but it didn't feel like much of a risk for me. I didn't come out about aliens or whatever. I had a safety problem that I started asking questions about. And I went down a road as a Navy trained aviation safety officer, right? That sent me to school for six weeks and Pensacola would be a safety officer. We're almost hitting these objects and it's not something that happened in the past and we want to understand it, it's happening right now. Like these occurrences are still happening. Aviators are flying right now, are still flying by these things. And in fact, I mentioned I was an instructor pilot. And I had a student call me about eight months ago or so. And he's like, hey, sir, I made it to the fleet finally. I had trained him how to fly. And then he goes to F18, he goes another year of training. And then he gets out to his squadron on the East Coast and he's flying with a senior member of the base, NAS Oceana, where the fighters fly out of Senior 0506. And it was kind of a bad weather day. And so they said, hey, if the weather's not good enough for us to do this dog fighting set, we'll go out and do a UAP hunt, and see if we can't find any things or take a look at them. I don't know if it was ingest or not, but I actually would say it's not ingest because there were notices that were being briefed about this being a safety hazard at this point. And so now that I think about it, it likely wasn't ingest. Long story short, they went flying. The weather was too bad. They did go on a UFO hunt and they physically saw one. And he called me up and said, hey, sir, I saw a Cuban sphere. They're still out here years later. And so it's almost like a generational issue for these fighter pilots, at least on East Coast. But that's great that they can talk about it, right? Exactly, exactly. They feel at least comfortable. They have a reporting mechanism. And so that was one of the problems that I noticed that we have a lot of reporting mechanisms to take care of safety issues and even tactical issues when the time's right in order to keep track of what's going on, but there's no way to communicate about this. Sure, we could submit a hazard report, but nothing's actually being investigated and if this is a tactical vulnerability or something more, it deserves attention. If I could ask your sort of take your opinion of the different UFO sightings that the DOD has released videos on. So what do you think about the Tic Tac UFO that David Fravor and others have sighted? That's a truly anomalous experience. I can't do like mental models in my head to find potential solutions to discredit that, right? Like as much as I try, right? Just as a logical process, as a practice, I can't pick it apart in the way that we were just talking about a moment ago about thousands of drones being like sent up in very tricky manners, right? I can't really bring myself to a clever solution that other than just saying the pilots are lying or it was error, you know? And I believe, you know, I know Dave Fravor, you know, I consider him a friend, we talk a lot. I have zero, zero reason to disbelieve anything he says. Yeah, I agree with you, but in terms of the actual UFO, is there something anomalous and interesting to you about that particular case? Maybe one interesting aspect there is how much do I understand about the water surface and underwater aspects of these UFOs? It seems like a lot of the discussions is about the movement of this particular thing that seems to be weird, anomalous, seems to defy physics, but what about stuff that's happening underwater? That's interesting to me. If I had advanced technology, I would certainly like to operate in part underwater because you can hide a lot of stuff there. You think it would be somewhat as easy as traveling through interstellar space, at least, right? Yeah. You know, I wish I had a great answer for that, but as an aviator, that's kind of a black box for us. We don't have great, what I would call cross domain tracking, right? I can't see something go underwater and then follow it underwater. So it's literally not your domain, like underwater, like leave that for somebody else. Yeah, and you know, I use that terminology because it's kind of important, right? Cross domain tracking is something that we haven't had to necessarily worry about, right? Because airplanes operated in the air and submarines operated underwater and space planes operate in space, right? But you know, there's going to be, you know, that's going to blur, I think, as we move along here, especially in the air and space regime and being able to perhaps transition my radar contact at 40,000 feet to another radar system that can track it up to 200,000 feet, you know, that might be a value. And so we seem to be missing that right now. So what about the go fast and the gimbal videos that you mentioned earlier? There was a, like, what's interesting there to you? So the gimbal, I'll talk about that one first. I was airborne for that one. The person that recorded it was a good friend of mine, but I mean, both air crew, I knew both of them, but the wizard himself, very close friends, went through a lot of her training together. We went to the same fleet squadron. He ended up transitioning to be a pilot and then came to where I was instructing. So I got to instruct him a bit on his transition. And, you know, the way that was, was we went out on a air to air training mission. So simulating a air fight against our own guys, they're acting like the bad guys and kind of go head to head against each other. And when we fly on those missions, we all fly out together, more or less, we set up and then we kind of attrite from the fight as we either, you know, run out of gas or something happens. And so people usually go back onesies or twosies. And so the air crew that recorded the gimbal, they were going back to the boat and we were on what's called a workup training event. And so this is like a month on the boat where we're essentially conducting war time operations, more or less, to stress ourselves out and to kind of do the last training block before we go on deployment, essentially. So it's pretty high stress. They actually do send aircraft from like land bases to kind of try to penetrate and we're expected to go intercept them. And so we're kind of practicing like we play. And so he saw these objects on the radar, the gimbal and a fleet of other aircraft or vehicles. And they initially thought it was part of the training exercise that they were sending something in to try to penetrate the airspace. And so they, you know, they flew over to it and as they got close enough to get on the FLIR, you know, I think everyone has heard their reaction and they realized that it wasn't something they were expecting to see. Can you actually describe what's in the video and what's the reaction in case they haven't seen it? Yeah, a lot of swearing. But so what you see on the FLIR footage is a black or white, depending on when you look at it, object that's somewhat shaped like a gimbal. It appears almost as if someone put two plates together and then there seems to be almost like a small funnel of IR energy that's at the top of the bottom of those plates in a sense. So almost as if, you know, there's a stick going in between two plates, but not that pronounced, right? So there's an energy field that kind of went to a funnel on the top and the bottom, at least that's how it's being portrayed on the FLIR. There's a lot of conversation about that being glare, things of that nature, but it was actually a very tight IR image. It just was nondescript shape, which was interesting. Typically we would see the skin of the aircraft, we can see the flames coming out of the exhaust, especially at those ranges. But... And there was no flames or there's no exhaust here. There was no exhaust, there was no, you know, there was no outgassing of repellent in any manner, right? It was just an object that had nothing emitting from it that was stationary in the sky. Well, not stationary, but it was moving along a path, right? It wasn't falling out of the sky. And it continued along, if we were to consider it from a God's eye view, again, on the SA page, it continued along in a path. And from the perspective, that top down view, it just went in another direction. So no, just an instantaneous direction change from that perspective. You also hear them, you know, very excitedly talking on the tapes about, you know, whatever the heck this thing is and look at the SA, there's a whole formation of them. And so the SA is a situational awareness page. And again, it's a large display that gives that God's eye view of all the radar contacts. So the video is actually showing just one and then they're speaking about many of them on the SA display. Correct. And what they essentially saw was, if we were to consider above the object north, so kind of offset to the north of the object, there was a formation of about somewhere between four and six of these objects in a rough wedge formation, you know, so kind of side by side like this. And again, not in a like autopilot type manner where it was very stiff. It was very kind of non mechanical, the flight mechanics again. And these objects were in that formation and they were going along and then they turned pretty sharply, but they still had a radius of turn and then went back in the opposite direction. And during that turn, they were kind of like all over the place. Like it wasn't tight. They weren't even like super, they weren't flying in a way I would expect them to be flying in relation to a flight lead. They were flying as if they were flying close to each other, but not in formation, which was kind of strange, right? And then when they rolled out, they kind of tightened back up. Like, so when they basically, they started that turn and then 180 degrees out, essentially they start flowing in the opposite direction and kind of got back in that formation. And while that was happening, the gimbal object was proceeding, let's say left to right. And as those, the formation kind of turned up to the north and was just passing back it, the gimbal just kind of went back in the opposite direction. So to follow it back in that direction. And in the FLIR itself, you see the object changes orientation quite a bit. So you see it more or less level, maybe candid about 45 degrees. And then you see it kind of moving around like this, almost as if it was a gimbal. I've come to learn after some, having seen some research online and people really looking into this, that it seemed that the object actually climbed during that maneuver. And so the reason it looked like it turned immediately is because it turned like this. It turned in a vertical fashion like that, which is pretty interesting. That's kind of like another example of a flight mechanics that we don't normally operate because we don't change our directions by maneuvering in the vertical. If we can help it, you're just killing the fuel. And so if you're like a surveillance platform looking to spend as much time around something, you're not gonna climb 500 feet every time you make a turn. Unless you're Tom Cruise. Unless you're Tom Cruise, naturally. Okay, so is that one of the more impressive flight mechanics you've seen in video forms or not the direct eyesight reports, but like in terms of video evidence that we have? I think so. We were seeing a lot of these, but we weren't just going on recording them all day. We just kind of put them in that safety bucket, be like, all right, there's objects over there. We're just not gonna go near it. And so we weren't putting our sensors on them that much. We were gathering the data kind of secondarily, but we weren't primarily focusing on it to see all the details. That's so fascinating because you have a busy day. You have a lot to do. All right, well, there's some weird stuff going on there. We're just not gonna go there. And that says something about human nature, about the way that bureaucracies function, the way the military functions. It fills up your day with busy, important things, and you don't get to, I mean, that is something that I'm in a sort of absurd way worry about, which is like we fill our days with so much busyness than when truly beautiful things happen, whatever they are, truly anomalous things. We just won't pay attention because they don't fit our busy schedule. Beautiful, I think that's right on the nose. And it's on my nose because I didn't give this topic the attention it deserved until I left, right? Until I left and I went to be an instructor pilot where I had more time. I had more downtime to kind of process and think and get out of exactly what you just described. And that's kind of what broke me out of it and got me thinking more about it. Why do you think the DOD released these videos? It's a great question. Did the DOD release it or did they kind of get out on their own in some sense? So I don't know the answer to that question, but my understanding of the situation is that the DOD talked about them so much because they were already out there in a sense. And so they had a choice where they could have just straight up lied and said it wasn't theirs or it was fake. But again, I think our culture now is too open and the information moves too freely to do things like that. And it kind of left them in a pickle that they had to respond to. So what was the role of Pentagon's Advanced Aerospace Threat Intelligence Program, AATIP? From your perspective, from what you know, maybe your intuition, is AATIP a real thing that existed? I was in a position as an aviator that never would have exposed me to anything like that. But I was curious about what people knew. And I think in my mind, maybe you hoped or, hope someone was looking into this in some sense. But on the day that Gimbal was recorded, I heard that they caught something extra interesting on the FLIR, and I went to the Intel debrief space to go see the film. And everyone's gathered around watching it, very interesting, and I heard the admiral was coming down. And so I was like, I'm gonna hang out back quietly, mind my own business, and just wanna see his reaction, try to read it to see if this is brand new or if it is something that they've been dealing with. And you know, he came in and he watched a video for like five or six seconds, and he went, mm, and then like turned around and walked out. And you know, I was like, he's definitely seen these before. There's no way that you only watch that for a few seconds and don't have more interest. It was, you know, too bizarre. So kind of going back, does the office exist? Well, you know, I've heard that the admiral essentially reported back to the Pentagon about that case real time, essentially, after he left, right? So he basically went back and I was told he reported that to either ATEP directly or to other, you know, somehow the information got there. So from my perspective and from what I've experienced, it seems like, yes, it was a thing. But you know, as an aviator, I wouldn't know either way, right? That's just my experience from what happened. But it seems like there's somewhere to report to. At the time, it seemed like there was at least someplace to complain to, if not report to. Let me ask you about sort of people that are taking a serious look at the videos and just the different UFO sighting reports. So there's a person named Meg West who is a skeptic and tries to take a skeptical view on every single piece of evidence on these UFO sightings. What do you think about his analysis? He tries to analyze in a way that debunks some of these videos and assign probabilities to their explanations, sort of leaning towards things that give a very low probability to alien extraterrestrial type of explanations for these UFOs. What do you think about his approach to these analysis? Well, two parts to his approach. One, I commend him for all the good work and effort he put into it. I've seen him build some models and things of that nature. And so I think that's something that's absolutely needed in this environment. No one's asking anyone to believe anyone here, right? Trust but verify should certainly be the mantra. But where I have a disagreement with his approach is that he's approaching from a debunker standpoint. And from my perspective, not speaking for everyone, but when I hear that, that tells me that you're driving towards a particular conclusion, which has been a very safe process for the past X years. It's been like a very safe business to be in to tell people that they haven't seen aliens, but times have changed a little bit. And the tactics I've seen to try to retain that view on reality has included things such as completely dismissing what the aircrew are saying. And I think that is a fallacy to think that we have to take the human outside of that analysis. So those are the two things I disagree with. When you put the night vision on and you look at the stars and you look out there in the vast cosmos, only a small fraction of which we can see, how many intelligent alien civilizations do you think are out there? Do you think about this kind of stuff? I do. You know, I'm of the theory that we are not the only people out there. I think it would be a statistically silly comment to assume we are, although I get that we are the only data point that we currently have. Although I'm willing to jump over that fence and say that yes, there most likely is intelligent life elsewhere. Although I'll concede that it is a possibility we are early or it could be limited or it could be in a manner that we don't recognize or can really understand. I spend so much time thinking about how we anthropomorphize things on this UFO topic. And we've done it to ourselves with media in a sense. We've trained ourselves what to think about, what we think is true or what this would be like. And by doing so, I think we're closing ourselves off to a lot of what the possibilities could be and the things that we could miss. You beautifully put that the thing that drew you to fighter jets is the technology. So if you were to think, to imagine from an alien perspective, what kind of technologies would we first encounter as human beings if we were to meet another alien civilization in the next few centuries? What kind of thing would we see? So you're now at the cutting edge and you see the quick progress that's happening. That was happening throughout the 20th century, that's happening now with greater degrees of autonomy with robots and that kind of stuff. What do you think we will encounter? I think we're gonna see the ability to manipulate matter like we used to manipulate information. Like I think that's what, whether that means being able to pop something on the table that didn't exist or to influence a chemical reaction somewhere, but being able to manipulate and treat matter as if it was information. And so being able to design specific materials, being able to move past a lot of the barriers that seem to limit our progress with things such as miniaturized fusion or even just fusion in general is a lot of it is matter based, is material based and our ability to not manipulate, we can only discover materials in a sense. And so I think that a complete mastery of physical reality would be one of the key traits of a very intelligent species. Well, you're actually working on some, maybe you can correct me, but sort of quantum mechanical simulation to understand materials. So is that, do you see sort of the early steps that we're doing at quantum computing side to start to simulate, to deeper understand materials, but maybe to engineer and to mess with materials at the very low level that aliens will be able to do and hopefully humans will be able to do soon? Yeah, I think that's, you know, so if we think about how, what materials are made of, it's just a collection of atoms, but each one of those atoms has a lot of data associated with it. So if we wanna kind of calculate how they interact with each other, it requires a massive amount of computational resources, so much so that it can't be done in a lot of cases with classical computers. And that's where quantum computers come in. Although we don't have a perfectly functioning quantum computer at this point, one of the things that we're working at at quantum general materials is to essentially bridge that gap between what a classical computer can do as far as simulating materials. And of course, what a fully functioning quantum computer would mean for being able to design materials. And so, you know, having the ability to study matter at a very fundamental level and unleashing artificial intelligence to machine learning on that problem, I think is, you know, in a sense, you know, alien in a way that we're able to advance our science using, you know, a process that we may not fully understand with perhaps a non human based intelligence in some sense. And so we may find patterns in the processes, right? How does our machine learning output, you know, can we match behaviors with what we're observing with what may be a machine learning algorithm with output, right? Can we try to classify the intelligence in that manner, perhaps? And so, you know, at GenMatt, as we're looking at these materials, we're considering what these algorithms could have used for later on. Could we perhaps reverse the process and determine what a unique or anomalous material, what type of properties it potentially could have? And you said GenMatt, right? Mm hmm. What's, what is GenMatt? GenMatt is a quantum general material. So it's the company I work for. We essentially are working on a couple of verticals. One of them is our quantum chemistry work. We're essentially, we're bridging the gap between essentially physics and chemistry. We're working on those problems and again, implementing artificial intelligence machine learning into that process so that we can design those materials from the ground up. Additionally, we are what we consider a vertically integrated material science company, which means we can generate our own data. And so within the next quarter coming up, we are launching a satellite in the space. They'll have a fairly advanced hyperspectral sensor in there, which is intended to be the first launch that will help us detect different types of materials using our advanced knowledge of quantum chemistry, right? We're gonna be leveraging that experience in order to better analyze that data. Oh, interesting. So materials that are strange or novel out there in space. Not necessarily, but we'll be looking back at Earth to be able to detect mineral deposits on Earth. Got it, got it. Getting the greater perspective from out in space to do analysis of different materials. Interesting. Yeah, I was really impressed by the DeepMind. I got to hang out with DeepMind recently and they really impressed me with the possibility of the application, as you were saying, of machine learning in the context of quantum mechanical simulation for materials, so to understand materials. It's really, really, really interesting. So manipulate matter, huh? I would say the next thing is horses, right? Or maybe fields. So manipulating or managing gravity. Can we maneuver within fields in some manner that allows us to perhaps move propellant less or in other manners, right? And so I think essentially having a deeper understanding of different fields and being able to interact with them, I think would be a potential avenue for travel or advanced travel, right? Propellant less travel. Can we quantum entangle gravity fields together and propel a ship by the gravity field of a planet, the mass of a planet, and a drive on a ship? You know, there's all sorts of interesting things, but. Yeah, people will look back at people like you and say, well, they used to fly, like with this kind of propellant, it seems like to be a very antiquated way of flying, and they were very impressed with themselves, these humans, that they could fly like birds. It's like so much energy is used to fly such short distances from that perspective. We can only throw so many rocks out the back. There needs to be a better way. Exactly. It just seems dumb, like these. It's like Flintstones or something like that. We're good at it, but there's a limit, right? Like we need to be good. I mean, that's an interesting sort of trade off. How much do you invest in getting really good at it? I tend to believe the reason why it would be very important and very powerful to put a human on Mars is not necessarily for the exploration facet, but in all the different technologies that come from that. So there's something about putting humans in extreme conditions where we figure out how to make it less extreme, more comfortable. And for that, we invent things, like the DOD sort of helping invent the internet and all the different technologies we've invented. It's almost like an indirect consequence of solving difficult problems, whether that problem means winning wars or colonizing other planets. And so I don't think Mars will help us figure out propulsion systems or to crack open physics to where you can travel close to the speed of light or faster than the speed of light, but it will help us figure out how to build some cool technology here on Earth, I think. So I'm a big proponent of doing really difficult things, really difficult engineering things to see what kind of technologies emerge from that. But let me ask you this. Do you think US government is hiding some technology like alien spacecraft technology? I have no information either way. And if you did, you probably wouldn't tell me. But my assumptions, like what did my heart tell me? My heart tells me something's going on, but I have no evidence for that. Maybe that's me wanting something to go on. Maybe that's a human feeling to want to know you could call it, it's called the OODA loop that kind of made its way in the engineering of business now but the old observe, orientate, decide act was initially a fighter mechanism in order to get inside that kill chain of your opponent and break it up so that he can't process his kill chain on you. And so hypersonics are a way of shortening those windows of opportunity to react to them. I wanted to, like, how much do you have to shorten it in order for the defense systems not to work anymore? It seems like it's very, you know, I'm both often horrified by the thought of nuclear war, but at the same time, wonder what that looks like. When I dream of extreme competence in defense systems, I imagine that not a single nuclear weapon can reach the United States by missile with the defense systems, but then again, I also understand that these are extremely complicated systems, the amount of integration required, and because you're not using them, I mean, there could be, you know, there's like an intern somewhere that like forgot to update the code, the Fortran code that like is going to make the different, because you don't have the opportunity to really thoroughly test, which is really scary. Of course, the systems are probably incredible if they could be tested, but because they can't be really thoroughly tested in an actual attack, I wonder. I guess one assumption there would be that these hypersonic missiles would only be launched in the case of an attack. It'd be interesting if there were other hypersonic objects that we could use to flex those systems. Another thing that actually happened, and I just have a million questions I want to ask you, it's fascinating to me, is there's a bird strike on the plane, does that happen often? Yeah, it's a serious issue. And it damaged the engine, and they made it seem like it's a serious, exactly a serious issue. I've hit birds, I know someone that took a turkey vulture to the face, through the cockpit, right, shattered the cockpit, knocked him out. I think that, actually, I don't know him personally, but it was a story I know from the command I was at, and I believe the backseater had to punch out and punch them both out because he was unconscious in the front seat from the bird. It can kill you from hitting you, it's like a bowling ball going 250 miles an hour. It can take out an engine very easily. Every airport I've flown at in the Navy, I've had to check the bird condition, if you will, to see how many birds, and we've had to cancel flights because there's too many of them around the airport. Some airports even have bird radars, military airports. Is there systems that monitor the bird condition? There is, yeah, there's actual radar systems, and you can go in the, certain bases you have to call up, and they'll tell you what it is for the day or for that hour, and other ones have it in their weather report that goes out over the radio. What are some technological solutions to this, or is this just, because it's a low probability event, there's no real solution for it? I would say it's not a low probability event. This is happening a lot. Although the hits themselves aren't necessarily that common, or I'll say a catastrophic hit, either a near miss or a hit or the pilot having to actively maneuver to avoid it is pretty common, and in fact, it seems stressful. It is, it's so common in fact that we know that you never want to try to go over, or you never want to go under a bird if you see it in front of you. You always want to try to go over it because what they'll do immediately if they see you is, and you startle them, is they'll bring their wings in and just drop straight down to try to get out of the path. It's interesting, I didn't know they did that, but so if you immediately, if you try to go under them, they're gonna be dropping into you, so you typically want to try to go above them. Is this something you can train for, or no? Is this one of those things you have to really experience? It's a skill set that you somewhat train for in the duties of being a fighter pilot in a sense, right? Being able to react to your environment very quickly and make decisions quickly, so. Is that one of the more absurd things, challenges you have to deal with in flying? Is there other things, sort of maybe weather conditions, like harsh weather conditions? Is there something that we maybe don't often think about in terms of the challenges of flying? Birds, in a way, aren't a ridiculous threat for us. It's a safety threat that anything physical in the air is something that we really have to be careful about, whether we're flying formation off of the aircraft right next to us or whether it's a turkey vulture at 2,000 feet or a flock of 5,000 birds, like at the runway, we have to wave off, you know? And although they're low probability, a lot of bases will have actual Environmental Protection Agency employees that are responsible for safely removing migratory birds or different animals that may be in the runways or flying about. Wow, I didn't know what a turkey vulture is, and it really does look like a mix between a vulture and a turkey. Turkey. And look kind of dumb, no offense to turkey vultures. In that movie, who was the enemy nation? Was it, I mean, I guess they were implying it's Iran. Or was it Russia? I didn't think they were implying any particular nation state, frankly. I think they did a somewhat decent job of having some ambiguous fifth generation fighters. The location and the stockpile, I get how the story kind of insinuates certain things, but they seem to do a good job of not having anything directly pointing to another nation, which I thought was the good move. I enjoy these type of movies as an aviator and as an American, right? Because it's a feel good movie, but we shouldn't be celebrating going to war with any particular country, China, Russia, whoever may have these weapons. It's fun to watch, but it would be an incredibly serious event to be implying these weapons. Yeah, and we'll talk about war in general, because yeah, the movie's kind of celebrating the human side of things and also the incredible technology involved, but there's also the cost of war and the seriousness of war and the suffering involved with war, not just in the fighting, but in the death of civilians and all those kinds of things. Well, you were a Navy pilot. Let's talk a little bit more seriously about this, and you were twice deployed in the Middle East flying the FAA 18F Super Hornet. Can you briefly tell the story of your career as a Navy pilot? Sure. So I joined the Navy in 2009, right after college. I went to, essentially, officer boot camp, officer of Canada school. I applied as a pilot, and I got in as a pilot. That was the advantage of going that way is that I could essentially choose what I wanted, and if I got in, great. If not, I didn't get stuck doing something else. So you knew you wanted to be a pilot. I did. I joined. I went through my initial training. I went through primary flight training that all aviators go through, and I did well enough that, one of the first lessons they teach you in the Navy is that you can have a great career in the Navy and you can see the world and do what you want, but at the end of the day, it's all about the needs of the Navy and what they need, so they may not have the platform you like or you may not necessarily get to choose your own adventure here, but I was lucky enough that there was one jet slot in my class, and I was lucky enough, fortunate enough to get it, so. It was a jet slot. So yeah, what that means is that I was assigned actually a tail hook at that point, which meant I would go train to fly aircraft that land on aircraft carriers, and there's essentially three aircraft that do that at the time. There's the F18 and the E2 and the C2. C2 is kind of like the mail truck for the boat. E2 is one of the big radar dish on top, and then there's all the F18s. So E2 is comms, is C2 mail truck? Yeah. C2 basically brings all the mail. They pack on the shore, and they're the ones that bring supplies to the ship via air and people. Sorry if I missed it. Is it a plane or is it a helicopter? It's a plane. Okay. All right, and the F18 is a fighter jet. Correct. Okay. So I selected tail hook, which meant I could get one of those other ones, but 80% of them or so are jets, so I was in a good spot at that point, and that's when I went to Merde, Mississippi to fly my first jet, which was the T45 Gauss Hawk. Cool, so what kind of plane is that? Is that what you were doing your training on? That's the jet aircraft you get in before you actually go to the F18. It is a carrier capable, so go to the boat for the first time in it during the day, drop fake bombs, do dog fighting, low levels, formation flying, day and night. Oh, it's a pretty plane. Yeah, and it looks like a cone so that no one hits it. Okay, so it's usually not used for fighting, it's used for training? It's used for training how to fight. Got it. So what was that like? Was that the first time you were sort of really getting into it? Yeah, that was really interesting, because before that it was a 600 horsepower prop plane. Going from that to the T45 is one of the biggest jumps in power and like Navy machine operation. How much horsepower does the T45 have approximately? Maybe like 15,000 or so. So it's a huge jump from 600 you said horsepower about? Cool, so it's a big, big leap. But it's a jet, so it performs differently, it's faster. What that means, not just because it's faster, your whole mind needs to be faster. Everything happens faster in the air now, right? Those comms happen faster, your landing gear has to come up faster, everything just happens faster in a jet. So it's a big jump. And I'll never forget going on my first flight in that aircraft, it was a formation flight for someone else. And I was just in the back watching and there was an instructor in the flight. And so what that means is the instructor is in a single aircraft and then there's three or four other aircraft and they're learning that my government's in control of what some strange unknown thing is. What's your sense if such a thing happened? Would this kind of information leak? Would this kind of information be released by the government? I mean, that's the worry that you have is because when you don't understand a thing and it's novel, you want to hide it so that some kind of enemy doesn't get access to it and use it against you. I wonder if that is the underlying assumption. It's the one people always jump to, that it's for to maintain secrecy of technology. And I assume that's part of it. I wonder if there's any other reasons that we would want to not talk about it. I imagine that such information would have a shock to the social economic system of any country, if not the world. And so I wonder if perhaps that was part of the concern as well, how society can react to it. Maybe we're anti fragile enough now with everything that's going on and with our communication networks that, why not now? I don't know. That's something I think about as well. Yeah, the effect on the mass psyche of something like this, that there's another intelligence out there. We had trouble enough to deal with a pandemic, to have something of this scale, basically having just an inkling of a phenomena that we have no understanding of and could lead to complete destruction of human civilization or a flourishing of it. And what do you do? What does a bureaucracy of government do with that? Especially when they're the ones holding the range of power and such a communication would relinquish that power essentially, to some degree. Since you think there's aliens out there and you're somebody that's thought about war quite a bit, do you think alien civilizations, when we meet them, would want war? Would they be a danger to us? Would they be a friend to us? What's your intuition about intelligences out there? My intuition tells me that when two people like yourself or myself or anyone get together, often the output is greater than the individuals. And when we work together, we can typically do things that are more impressive and better than if a single person works alone. And now I know that war has driven technological progress, but perhaps there's other mechanisms that can do so. But regardless, I wonder if we truly think about an advanced society that has been perhaps thousands or millions of years ahead of us, I would imagine that same truth to be there, that people working together or creatures working together is a good thing for society or its society as a whole. And if we consider that, as we imagine a society growing and expanding, in a sense, the ultimate output of a planet could only be achieved in some senses if everyone was working towards the same goal. And there might be wonders and secrets and things that we can't imagine just simply because of the timeframes that we live under and we think in. But if a planet has a single unit and it almost is as an entity itself at a certain level, if everything's working towards the same output, I could almost imagine an intelligent species that approached us planet to planet instead of person to person, because that's how they've evolved and they've assumed any intelligent species would understand that working together is better than not. And so my heart tells me that at a certain point, love and caring and the desire to work together is much more powerful than the technological progress that war would bring. I hope so as well. Well, let me jump to the AI topic that you've done. So you've done research and development efforts focused on multiagent intelligence for collaborative autonomy, machine learning AI stuff that we've been talking about for combat, for air to air combat, manned, unmanned teaming technologies, all that kind of stuff. What's some interesting ideas in this space that fascinate you? Randomness, being able to not predict what the enemy is doing almost no matter what, because there's a level of randomness that's within the tactical envelope. Even if utility of randomness. The utility of randomness in an increasing. Sounds like a book you should write. That would be a good title. Name my band. Name your band? Yeah. So yeah, can you elaborate that? So like trying to deeper understand how you can integrate randomness through AI in the context of combat. In order to make yourself, in order to take away the enemy's ability to try to predict what you're gonna do to disrupt their technological progress cycles so that they don't have a clear target to aim at. And if you don't have a clear target to aim at, it's hard to hit it. Additionally, more distribution of assets and capability. So imagine being able to digitally model your weapon or your system or your entire tactical engagement or scenario, or allow a machine learning to help you better understand the technology that you need to build in order to defeat a particular scenario. And I'm talking hardware now, not just the tactic itself. And being able to use large amounts of simulation and machine learning to build individual assets that are small boutique using advanced manufacturing techniques for a mission or for a particular battle. Instead of just having these large things against an enemy, you're building systems and technology for individual cases. What about manned and unmanned teaming? So man and machine working together. Is there interesting ideas there? I approach it from the position that the human should be commanding from the highest level possible, right? So mission, objective, base, targeting. And so if, just for an example, if there's a building here and I want that building to go away, that's the message I wanna communicate. I don't wanna tell certain vehicles to be in a certain spot. I don't wanna know how much fuel they have. I don't even wanna know what capabilities they have necessarily. I just wanna know that I have the ability to select from a cloud of capabilities and the right assets are gonna arrive such that they deal with the contingencies around the target such as protection systems or EW and then can prosecute the target to the high enough probability of satisfaction that's needed by the mission commander. And that's the power of the human mind is it's able to do some of these strategic calculations but also ethical calculations, all that kind of stuff. That's what humans are good at. Does it worry you a future where we have increasingly higher autonomy in our weapons systems, in our war? So you said building. What about telling a set of fully autonomous drones to get rid of all the terrorists in the city? So you said multiple buildings, region, that kind of, so greater and greater autonomy. Mm hmm. So that's a fear, right? You're viewing it from a we can cover more perspective which is fair and a lot of, I don't approach it from that topic. At least I don't think of it that way, at least morally. I think that with the advancement of warfare, assuming we have a just and moral leadership, if that's the case, then I am an advocate for increased autonomy and technology because I see it as an ability to be more precise. And if we trust the moral leadership of our government, then we would want to be as precise as possible in order to mitigate effects that we don't want. So I know that's not a satisfying answer and it leaves us maybe with bad feelings but. No, because having experienced sort of directly seen what it looks like when deliberately or carelessly war leads to the death of a large number of civilians as it does currently in Ukraine, the value of precision given ethical leadership becomes apparent. So there's something distinctly unethical about the murder of civilians in a time of war. And I think technology helps lessen that. Of course, all death is terrible but there's something about schools, hospitals being destroyed with everybody inside being killed. It's particularly terrible. It is and you approached it from the angle of more autonomy enables a wider swath of destruction. And that's where we get back into who's making the decisions based off of this. And my hope again would be that we would have the leadership that would use these things when needed in the precise way as possible to minimize that. And I've seen that firsthand, I've seen that in country, I've seen not blue forces but I've seen truck bombs go off on school buses, driving around Afghanistan while escorting convoys and it wasn't easy then and I'm sure it's not any easier now especially after what you've just seen. Do you have thoughts about the current war in Ukraine maybe from a military perspective, maybe from the Air Force perspective? So I can just mention a few things. There's the Barakhtar drones that are being used. They're unmanned. I think they have capability to be autonomous but they're usually remotely controlled. They're used for reconnaissance but they're also used by the Ukraine side for reconnaissance and I think also to destroy different technologies, tanks and so on, different targets like this. So there's also on the Russian side the Orlan 10. There's the fighter jets, MiG 29 on the Ukraine side and the Su 25 on the Russian side. Is there anything kind of stands out to you about this particular aspects of what this war looks like that's unique to what you've experienced? Maybe not unique but it's just been absolutely incredible to see the footage. We're watching war on Twitter essentially and to see these aircraft flying down low, spitting flares out, getting shot down, it's incredible to see this happening live for everyone to see. So that's just kind of a quick meta comment but as far as the actual, I think these small form factor UAVs where they're just like strapping weapon to it and flying over and trying to drop it at the right time or any of these type of commercial applications of technology into this ad hoc warfare area is incredibly interesting because it shows how useful that technology can be outside of the military. Especially like DJI, right? Like there's obviously a lot of technology in there is being leveraged for other capabilities within PLC military or at least we would assume. What happens if that is more widespread, right? Like what if we were creating our own drones and they were being used against us? Would we want to have some type of kill switch or something like that, right? So what I think governments are gonna have to consider like all these tools that are gonna be easily available to just any person could be turned into a tool of war or how do we stop that from being turned against us? Especially as we look at 10 years from now when we have a large number of autonomous UAVs delivering packages and doing everything else over our country and any one of those could be potentially a weapon if we don't have the proper security. Well, we're now in Texas and Texas values its guns and it sees guns as among other things a protector of individual freedom. You could see a future perhaps where, and I've certainly have experienced this in the empowering nature of this in Ukraine where you can put the fight for independence into your own hands by literally strapping explosives to GGI drones that you purchase on your own salary. I mean that one of the interesting things about the voluntary army in Ukraine is that they're basically using their own salary to buy the ammunition to fight for their independence. It's the very kind of ideal that sort of people speak about when they speak about the Second Amendment in this country that it's interesting to see the advanced technology version of that, especially in Ukraine. Sort of using computer vision technology for surveillance and reconnaissance to try to integrate that information to discover the targets and all that kind of stuff. To put that in the hands of civilians is fascinating to see. So to sort of fight for their independence, you could say that to fight against authoritarian regime of your own government, all that kind of stuff. It shows you how complicated the war space in the future is gonna be invading a land like that where people have that many different types of resources. It could absolutely change warfare. I mean hopefully that creates a disincentive to start war. To go to war with a, yeah, sort of it changes the nature of guerrilla warfare. It does, yeah. I don't think Putin was expecting to be in that engagement quite as long as he has, of course, but it can show you how you can get caught up. If land wars turn into an inescapable quagmire each time due to the complications around the society's ability to access interesting tools, it could be a huge demotivator for aggression. Well, let me ask you about this. Do you think there will always be war in the world? Is this just a part of human nature? I think so. I think it is. Until we move past resource limitation, there's always gonna be at least that one particular cause of conflict. And then we can also consider all our psychological lizard brain emotions that cause us to act out, although hopefully we have enough things in place to stop that from rising to the level of war. But we have our own biology, our own psychology and evolution to combat. But there are pragmatic reasons to exert violence sometimes, unfortunately, and one of those cases could be resource limitations. And so your question was, do I think there will always be war in this world? My unfortunate answer is perhaps yes, but once there's more than one world and we're less resource constrained, then perhaps there'll be a valve of sorts for that. I talked to Jacco on this podcast. I told him about a song called Brothers in Arms by Dire Straits, and the question I asked him, I'd like to ask you the same question, is like the song goes, do you think we're fools to wage war on our brothers in arms? And Jacco said, our enemy is not our brothers in arms, they're the enemy. And so this kind of notion that we're all human, that's a notion, that's a luxury you can have, but there is good and bad in this world, according to Jacco. I hear that anger and hate when I was in Ukraine amongst some people, where there was a sense where you could be brothers and sisters, you can have family, you can have love from Ukraine to Russia, but now that everything's changed and generational hate for some people have taken over. So I guess the question is, when you think about the enemy, is there hate there? Do you acknowledge that they're human? I had never had any hate or discontent when I was doing my job, I'll say, but I was also never in a true life or death situation where they were gonna kill me if I didn't kill them. But I think that environment isn't one born out of hate, being in that type of scenario, in a sense it's how to be alive, right? I mean, our natural state is to be fighting for our survival in a sense. And so I think there's great power and strength and clarity perhaps in that, and it's not always born out of hate, but out of necessity, and we can't always control that. And I think as we focus on ourselves so much, we only dance on that pinhead when we find ourselves fighting for things that we need, and we're always taking from someone else at this point. And so as someone that's been in combat and very high above it, I'll say, right, where I didn't feel like I was in particular danger, I rationalized it and I made my way through it, knowing that there were people on the other side that were going to die that were on our side than not. So it was always a very human thing. It was never a reaction, emotional reaction of any sense. So you were able to see the basic, it's human versus human. There's some aspect of war that is basically one people fighting each other. Yes, at the end of the day, especially I would say in aviation, tactical aviation, there's almost a kinship with your enemies in a sense, because you know them in a sense, right, you know what they've been through, you know what training they've been through, you know where they failed, and you know what type of person they are, because it's a very unique person that does that job and usually can spot them. I guess it's the kind of respect you have for the craftsmanship of the job that's taken on. Certainly, and that person didn't come out in his $100 million jet because I pissed him off. It's not an emotional response. We're both there, maybe because we chose to be in some sense, but at the behest of someone else and outside of our control and power. And so in a sense for me, it's almost a challenge that we've engaged upon agreeably, but that's such a romantic version that I have the luxury to have being high in my castle in the jet up there, not on the ground. So I understand that it's a bit more romantic than perhaps, you know, someone on the ground experiencing all the horrors down there, because everything looks very small from above. And that's another aspect of war with greater autonomy when you're controlling the mission versus, you know, have a Genghis Khan type of intimacy in terms of the actual experience of war where you directly have, you murder with a sword versus a gun versus a remotely controlled drone versus a strategic mission assignment to an autonomous drone that executes. Abstracted away until it's just a small decision. And my worry is the people without a voice are completely forgotten and silenced in all of these calculations. I spoke to a lot of people, poor people that feel like they've never really had a voice and they're too easily forgotten, even within the country of Ukraine. It's the big city versus the rural divide, you know. It's easy to forget the people that don't have a Twitter account and that their basic existence is just trying to survive, trying to put food on the table and they don't have anything else, anything else. And they are the ones that truly feel the pain of war, of the supply chain going down, of the food supplies going down, of a cold winter without power. You're still young, but you've seen some things. So let me ask you to put on your wise sage hat and give advice to young people, whether they're fascinated by technology or fascinated by fighter jets, whether they're fascinated by sort of engineering or the way the stars look at night. What advice would you give them? How to have a career they can be proud of or how to have a life they can be proud of? I'd suggest that they don't fear looking foolish. I spent a large portion of my life considering the laughter or the comments at my statements as indication that I shouldn't pursue that. And so I kind of woke up to that fact a bit later, but I would advise that people trust in themselves and trust in the things that they care about. It doesn't matter if they're good at it. All that matters is that they find something that they can apply love and care to and they will grow better at it and then most likely make the world better because of it. And don't be afraid to look stupid. Don't be afraid to look stupid. Yeah, that's one of the things that I think as you get older, you're expected to be, to have it all figured out and so you are afraid to take on new things. But I think as long as you're always, okay, looking stupid and having a beginner's mind, you can get really, really far even later on in life. So this isn't just advice for young people. This is really advice for everybody. Maybe a dark question, but has there been a difficult time in your life, a really dark place you've gone in your mind that stands out that you had to really overcome? I would suggest that I've been pretty firm ground for most of my life. I haven't had too many personal tragedies. I'll say that have really defined me. Certainly none that I would think are outside the norm. So there was no truly low point. Actually, I have one and it's tough for me because I've spent most of my life beating motions and high emotional responses out of my system because that's what flying is, right? It's keeping a steady line and doing what you need to do. In fact, there's been studies that show reduced adrenaline production in fighter pilots for a number of years after they get out. But getting out of the Navy was difficult for me. And I wasn't expecting it to be. A lot of bravado and machoism, of course, in the military, especially in fighter community. And we all have our plans made up to get out and none of it really accounts for any type of mental health or anything like that. It's all very much, where am I gonna get my paycheck from? Where am I gonna move to? And whether it's the Navy or just individuals, truly understanding the difference that makes. And when I got out, it was difficult for me. I think a lot of guys in that job, when they get out, they almost, at least I had anxiety when I got out because I was so used to being highly involved in something that just was I was always involved with that when I got out, I didn't know how to fill that space essentially. And while I wouldn't say it was an overly traumatic experience, I think it's one that's not accounted for enough that people that are getting out, so I would encourage them to take it serious and actually think about it and respect the change because it is a big one. Well, if I may say, you found a place in nature currently, a home, is there, can you speak to that being a source of happiness for you? Absolutely. An escape from the world? Certainly, it very much is. Was it deliberate that you found it there? That's home for me. So, I moved back up to the Boston area and my wife and I had an idea after moving about eight or nine times in the Navy of kind of what we wanted just generally. And it was all really about the land and not about the house, we just wanted privacy and to be nearby. And so we ended up finding a lot of land, a parcel of land, we put a house on it and it provides me with a sense of peace that I think I can only get when I'm in nature. And a sense of clarity that helps me think, helps me relax, maybe it's so relaxing that helps me think, I don't know. But being surrounded by nature and birds and animals for me has always allowed me to, I don't know, feel most in touch with my own thoughts in a sense. It just provides clarity. And so this little sanctuary you could say I've built allows me to interface via a fiber line at my house but also feel like I'm a million miles away sometimes, which is the best of both worlds. A, you can just walk outside to escape at all. Yes. To experience life as hundreds of generations of human species have experienced it. Maybe it's the dichotomy, my desire for the fastness of technology and experience compared with the most basic baseline that we have. Isn't that strange? How do you square that? I don't know. How drawn you are to the cutting edge and still the calm you find in nature. I think it makes sense. Nature is vastly superior to almost all of our technology. From a technology perspective? Yeah, it is. And so in a way, it's being surrounded by perfection in a lot of senses. In the military and in general, have you contemplated your mortality? Have you been afraid of death? What's your relationship like with death? Well, I was willing to accept an oversized amount of risk, I'll say, when I was younger as an aviator. Not in the jet, but just that was my life. I felt like I was gonna live forever. And going out in the war, strangely, didn't really change that because as an aviator, again, we're riding up high on our horse up there. So there were times when I was in situations that could have resulted in death from flying or from emergency in the aircraft. But I'll be honest, I never really kind of sat down to think about the mortality of it afterwards. I feel like I kind of signed a check at the beginning and it was my job to perform as well as I could. And if something happened in that, then I better damn well be sure I would do my best at the time then. So I maybe didn't personally reflect on it as much as I one would think, because once you get in that machine, it doesn't give you a lot of time to sit back and philosophize on your current situation. And the same, just like we weren't seeing these, or when we seen these objects off the coast, we weren't necessarily examining them every day, right? We'd put them into that bucket because it wasn't something that was gonna kill us right away. And thinking about death when you're so close to it all the time would be debilitating. It would probably make you worse at your job. It would. Well, maybe you can think about death when you look out, when you go out into nature and think like the fact that this whole ride ends, it's such a weird thing. And the old makes way to new. And that's all throughout nature. And if you just look at the cruelty of nature or the beauty of nature, however you think about it, the fact that the big thing eats the little thing over and over, and that's just how it progresses. And that's how adaptation happens. Death is a requirement for evolution. And whether evolution allows us to see objective reality or not, it still gives you some interesting thoughts about perspectives of death, and especially considering it's a biological necessity as far as evolution is concerned. Yeah, it's weird. It's weird that there's been like 100 billion people that lived before us, and that you and I will be forgotten. This whole thing we're doing now is meaningless in that sense, but at the same time, it feels deeply meaningful somehow. I guess that's the question I wanna ask. When you go out to nature with family, what do you think is the meaning of it all? What's the meaning of life? Or maybe when you put on the night goggles, the night vision goggles and look up at the stars, why are we here? I can't speak for everyone, but at least the way I interpret it, or at least I feel like I interpret my way here, my job is, I feel like my role is just to be curious about the environment in a manner that allows us to understand as much as possible. I think that the human mind, whether it's just the mass inside our skull, or whether there's some type of quantum interactions going on, our mind has incredible ability to output new information in a universe that is somewhat stale of information, right? Our minds are somewhat unique in that we can imagine and perceive things that could never ever have possibly naturally occurred, and yet we can make it happen. We can instantiate that with enough belief that it's true and it can happen. And so for me, I feel like I just need to encourage that, to encourage interaction with reality such that it leaves us a newer and grander interactions with this universe. And all that starts with a little bit of curiosity. Exactly. Ryan, you're an incredible person. You've done so many things, and there's so much still ahead of you. Thank you for being brave enough to talk about UFOs and doing it so seriously, and thank you for pushing forward on all these fronts in terms of technology. So from just the fighter jets, the engineering of that, to the AIML applications in the combat setting, that's super interesting, and then now quantum. I can't wait to see what you do next. Thank you so much for sitting down and talking today. It was an honor. It was my pleasure. Thank you, Lex. Thanks for listening to this conversation with Lieutenant Ryan Graves. To support this podcast, please check out our sponsors in the description. And now, let me leave you with some words from Buzz Aldrin. Bravery comes along as a gradual accumulation of discipline. Thank you for listening, and hope to see you next time. how to do joins and they're learning how to fly in formation. And as a new student in the back, it's amazing, right? Cause you know, photo op time and all this, like I'm seeing aircraft up close for the first time, it's awesome, and on the way back, we couldn't get our landing gear down, ironically. So to make a long story short, cause it's overall not that exciting, we couldn't get the gear down, we actually went to go do a control ejection to the target area where that is, about 15, 20 miles to the north of the base. Wait, did you just say that's not that exciting? Well. Cause that to me is pretty exciting. That, I mean, how, first of all, I mean, that must be terrifying, like early on in your careers, I haven't seen those things that, yeah, like how often does that kind of thing happen? Decent, more than you would think. More than you would think. There was no significant panic? This is like, this understood? This is what has to be done in this case? I think I was probably just too dumb to realize the significance of it, cause as a new student, you know, not really appreciating, you know, just what is ahead of me if we are ejecting. But at the time it was more, it was just like rote, right? Cause I was back there, and then I went from a observer mode to a, I'm gonna provide you the help that I can provide you as a member of this crew, you know, mode. And so it was less about, you know, on this 20 mile trip and thinking about my, how vulnerable I am, you know, we're going through checklists, we're talking to people, we're getting ready. So no, it wasn't fearful. And the whole time we were doing one of these to try to get the gear down. So we're unloading the jet and then loading it back to try to get the gear out with the stick. And it came down, it came down halfway there, just on its own. So it came back around and we did like a safety trap in case there was a problem with the gear. And that was my first flight, you know, a little bit of serendipity, but I'm gonna fast forward a bit. And I went back to that squad as an instructor about five or six years later, and I was an aviation safety officer at this point, which meant I was responsible for investigating mishaps. And a student went in and he went in the back seat of a form flight, just like the one I went on. And he went out and he ended up ejecting on that flight. Exact same type of flight. They went out and they had a runaway trim scenario. And it caused the aircraft essentially just inverted itself almost 180 degrees at about 600 feet over the ground. And they punched out just slightly outside the ejection window at about 300, 400 feet or so, but they were completely fine. So, you know, and then about two months later, we had another ejection. About three months after that, we had another ejection. So unfortunately, you know, it can be more common than people think. What does it feel like to get ejected? Thankfully, I don't know. I can describe it to you. I can tell you what it's like from what I've heard, but I truly think it's one of those things that you just don't understand until it happens. It's like instantaneous about 250 Gs, which is only possible because of inertia in our blood. All right, so you can actually get like 250, 300 Gs for like a few milliseconds, and then it backs off to like 40 or 50 Gs to get you away from the vehicle itself. And so, you know, you may lose consciousness. If you do, you know, who knows where you wake up. You know, you could be in a tree, you could still be falling, you could be in the water, so. The physics of that is fascinating, how to eject safely. Do you know the story about how that was tested at all? I don't know the full story, but there was an airport. I'm guessing nobody knows the full story. It's probably a lot of shady stuff going on. But anyway, you mean like in the early, early days, or? They took a flight dock up to a rocket sled and just see how much their body could take it. And he turned a lot of his body in the mush in the process of getting that science done, but he saved a lot of lives. People used to be tougher back in the day. Yeah, that's how science used to be done. So how did your training continue? So how, take me farther through your career as you worked towards graduating towards the F18s. So in VT9, where I was a student, there's two phases. There's an intermediate and an advanced. Intermediate is getting very comfortable with the aircraft. And at that point, you truly hear, all right, you're going jets now, or you're gonna go one of the other aircraft that land on the aircraft carrier. I was told I was going jets at that point. And then we go into same squadron, same aircraft, same instructors, but it's called advanced now. And now we're learning how to dog fight for the first time. We're doing what we call tactical formation, which is just like aggressive position keeping. We are doing dog fighting in low levels and all sorts of great stuff. So it's really that first introduction to that tactical environment and really putting Gs on the jet and on your body and maneuvering. Is there like tactical formation, is collaborating with other fighter jets a part of that? It is. So flying in a, that's what you mean by formation. So literally having an awareness. Is this done for you or are you as a human supposed to understand like where you are in the formation, how to maintain formation, all that kind of stuff? Yeah, there's a. Is it done autonomously or manually? There's a great autonomy point on the end of this I've thought about. So, but what we do, it's all manual. And so I'm looking at his wing and I'm looking at different visual checkpoints that form like a triangle, right? Like an equal out triangle essentially. And then as that triangle is no longer equal, I can tell my relative position against that aircraft. That's really cool. And so that's what I'm staring at first, sometimes hours on end, several feet away, doing one of these if I'm in the weather, that's all it is. So you get, it's almost like, is it peripheral vision or is it your? No, we're staring directly at it. The peripheral is going on my, on my. That's interesting. Stuff, right? My sensors and all my instruments. And so he is my gyroscope at that point, right? While you're flying, not looking straight. Correct, I'm flying like this for hours. It can hurt your neck. We don't like doing this as much. And I don't think it's just me, right? It's a weird thing where when you're like this, it's actually harder to fly formation slightly than here because being in line of your hand movements and of the aircraft somehow has an effect on our ability to be more precise and comfortable. It's strange. But so there's a symmetry to the formation usually. So one of the people on the other side really don't like being on that side. Is it, does it, who gets like the short straw? How do you decide which side of the formation you are? It's a good question too because there's kind of rank in some sense. So if it's a four person formation, right? You have the vision lead who's qualified to lead a whole division, but maybe the other ones aren't. And he has a dash two and that's his wingman essentially. And then in a division, there's two other aircraft. And then you have another senior flight leader. That's the dash three position. And then you have dash four, the last one. And if you were all lined up on one side, like fingertip, one, two, three, four, that dash four guy is gonna be at the end of that whip. So if you're flying formation, each one's making movements relative to the lead. Dash four is kind of at the end of that error. And so his movements are kind of like a whip. It's very difficult to fly in that position in close. Can you elaborate? Is it because of the error, the aerodynamics? So what's a whip? If this is a flight lead and this is dash two, flight lead is rock steady and just doing his thing. And flight two is gonna be working that triangle moving a little bit, right? And he has this small error bubble that he's doing his best to stay. And then, but dash three is flying off dash two. And so his error bubble is dash twos plus his own. And dash four. So it gets more and more stressful as you get farther out. Okay, what's the experience of that staring for long periods of time and trying to maintain formation? How stressful is that? Because we're doing that when we drive, staying in lane. And that becomes, after you get pretty good at it, it becomes somewhat, it's still stressful. Which actually is surprisingly stressful. When you look at lane keeping systems, they actually relieve that stress somehow. And it actually creates a much more pleasant experience while you're still able to maintain situational awareness and stay awake, which is really interesting. I don't think people realize how stressful it is to lane keep when they drive. So this is even more stressful. So are you, do you think about that? Or is this, yeah, I guess how stressful is it from a psychology perspective? It's very stressful. So I taught students how to do this as well. And so at our feet, we have two rudders. And if I'm flying off a flight lead over here, what you'll find a lot of times is you'll be flying, or like if I'm the instructor and the student's flying, I'll start to notice that he's having a harder and harder time keeping position. What I'll notice typically is he's locked out his leg. They'll lock out the leg that's closest to the aircraft they're flying against and push on the rudder subconsciously, because their whole body's trying to get away from the aircraft because they're so uncomfortable being close to it. And so I'll tell them, I can fix their form with just a couple of words. I'll say, wiggle your toes. And they'll wiggle their toes and they'll realize, and they'll loosen all the muscles in their legs because they realize they've been locked up and their formation flying will get a lot better. And so, there's a lot of stress associated with that. There's some interesting psychological or visual issues such as vertigo as you're flying. So if you're flying with him and then you fly right into a cloud, right? That's when it's very stressful because you have to be very close in order to maintain visual and you might be on a thunderstorm, right? And so you have to be very tight. You might start raining and then he's turning, but you might not even know that. You might not even be able to see that turn. And so all of a sudden you might look while you're in a turn thinking you were straight and level and you look just maybe back at your instruments very quick and you realize you're like in a 30 degree turn and your whole concept of where you are in the world starts getting very confused. And you immediately get this sense of, it's weird. Like I look at the HUD and it feels, all my senses are telling me it's spinning, but it's not. And so I have to trust my instruments even though it feels like it's spinning. And the same thing can happen when you're flying formation off of someone and it can be very dangerous and disorientating. But the point is to try to regain awareness by trusting the instruments, like distrust all your human senses and just use the instruments to rebuild situational awareness. Not in this particular case because our situational awareness is based, it's predicated off of our flight lead. So in a sense, I'm just trusting his movements. And so he's my gyroscope, but you're absolutely right. And if I was by myself, I would trust my instruments, but I can't just stop flying form and trust my instruments because now I'm gonna hit him. Oh yeah, you have to pay attention to him. So he's my reference. So the instruments are not helping you significantly with his positioning. Not, it's all completely manual. So is there a future where some of that is autonomous? Yeah, and I've thought about automating that flight regime. But when I started thinking about it, I realized that all the formation keeping that we do is designed to enhance the aviators ability to maintain sight, right? So we fly very tight formation so that we can go in weather and to reduce groups of traffic coming into the boat. We fly in one particular position so that all of the flight crew can look down the line and see the flight lead. So everything has based, everything has to do with the two air crew visually maintaining sight of each other and defending each other, right? In a combat spread, I might be looking, I may be three miles away from him flying formation directly beam and looking around to make sure nothing's there. So as I'm looking into automating this process, I thought, well, sure it's easy to get a bunch of aircraft to fly in formation off each other, right? It's trivial, but why? What is the best formation? Why are they doing that? And that opened up a much more interesting regime of operations and flight mechanics. And that's when we get back to that kind of stochastic mindset where we can bring in aircraft close to do some type of normal flying or reduce congestion around airports. But when we consider flying or formation in a tactical environment, we can be much more effective with nontraditional formation keeping or perhaps no formation keeping perhaps. So autonomy used for formation keeping, not for convenience, but for the introduction of randomness. Like to a real time mission planner, yeah. And then that's where you also have some human modification. So it's like unmanned teaming enters that picture. So you use some of the human intuition and adjustment of this formation. The formation itself has some uncertainty. I mean, it's such an interesting dance. I think that is the most fascinating application of artificial intelligence is when it's human AI collaboration, that semi autonomous dance that you see in these semi autonomous vehicle systems in terms of cars being driving, but also in the safety critical situation of a airplane, of a fighter jet, especially when you're flying fast. I mean, in a split second, you have to make all these kinds of decisions and it feels like an AI system can do as much harm as it can help. And so to get that right is a really fascinating challenge. One of the challenges too, isn't just the algorithms of the autonomy itself, but how it senses the environment. That of course is gonna be what all these decisions are based off of. And that's a challenge in this type of environment. Well, I gotta ask. So F18, what's it like to fly a fighter jet as best? I mean, what to you is beautiful, powerful? What do you love about the experience of flying? For me, and I think I'm an outlier a bit. It wasn't necessarily the flying itself, right? It wasn't necessarily the soaring over the clouds and looking down at the earth from upside down. I came to love that, but it wasn't necessarily the passion that drove me there. I just had no exposure to that. The only exposure I had was reading and going in the woods and science fiction and all that. And so, what seemed to kind of drive me towards that was just a desire to really be operating as close to what I thought was the edge of technology or science. And that's the path that I chose to try to get close to that. I thought that being in a fighter jet and all the tools and the technology and the knowledge and the challenges and the failures and victories that would come with that just seemed like something that I wanted to be a part of. And it wasn't necessarily about the flying, but it was about the challenge. And like I said, as a person from a small town, small high school, being able to get my hands or even just near something of such technological significance was kind of empowering for me. And that's kind of what bore the love of flight from there. Becoming, having some level of mastery in the aircraft, it really feels like an extension of your body. And once I got there, then kind of the love of flying kind of followed. So you sort of, one, is the man mastery over the machine. And second is the machine is like the greatest thing that humans have ever created arguably. The things that Lockheed Martin and others have built. I mean, the engineering in that. However you feel about war, which is one of the sad things about human civilization is war inspires the engineering of tools that are incredible. And it's like, maybe without war, if we look at human history, we would not build some of the incredible things we built. So in order to win wars, to stop wars, we build these incredible systems that perhaps propagate war. And that's another discussion I'll ask you about. But this, to you, this is like, this is a chance to experience the greatest engineering humans have ever been able to do. Like similar, I suppose, that astronauts feel like when they're flying. And I wanted to be an astronaut. I wanted to take that route. I was gonna apply to test pilot school. It just didn't work out for me. I ended up having a broken foot during my window. But long story short, I ended up after my time in my fleet squadron, and we can get back to the rest of the timeline if you want, but I went to be an instructor pilot instead, right? And then, I was talking about this with a squadron mate earlier today about how, I certainly wouldn't be talking with Lex today if I ended up going to test pilot school. I never would have, I never would have had the, I wouldn't, maybe recklessness, I don't know, but the willingness to have a conversation about UAP while I was, that led me to the decision to get out once I went there. And it kind of enabled me to talk about UAP more publicly. And if I stayed in the Navy, then I don't think that would have happened. I wouldn't have been able to if I went that route. Well, as a small tangent, do you hope to travel to Mars one day? Do you think you'll step foot on Mars one day? If you asked me that five years ago, I would have said, yes, I want to. In fact, I would like to die on Mars. Now, today, now I have some hesitations and I have some hesitations because I'm hopeful and optimistic. And I think that, you know, I think that we are truly like on the brink of a very wide technological revolution that's going to kind of move us how we used to move information and data in this last century. We're going to be manipulating and managing matter in that next century. And so I think that, I think our reach as humans are going to get a lot wider, a lot faster than people may realize, or at least. Wait, are you getting like super ambitious beyond Mars? Is that what you're saying? Well, I mean. Like Mars seems kind of boring, I want to go beyond that. Is that what, do you mean the reach of humanity across all kinds of technologies? Or do you mean literally across space? Across space, you know? So, you know, we're going to be, I think that as artificial intelligence and machine learning start broaching further into the topic of science, the area of science, and we start working through new physics, we start working through, or I should say pass the Einsteinian frameworks as we kind of get a better idea of what space time is or isn't, we may have, we may find, you know, answers that we didn't know that we were looking for. And we may have more opportunity. And I'm not saying this is something I'm, you know, betting the farm on, of course, but maybe that's a road I want to explore on Earth instead of on Mars. Maybe there's technology that can be brought to bear with new science and harder engineering that is a road that doesn't go past Mars to get outside the solar system. So there are different ways to explore the universe than the traditional rocket systems. If we can continue sort of your journey, you said that you were attracted to the incredibly advanced technologies of the F18s and just the fighter jets in general. Let me ask another question, which seems incredibly difficult to do, which is landing on a carrier or taking off from a carrier and landing on a carrier. So what's that like? What are the challenges of that? Taking off's pretty easy. It's procedurally somewhat complex where there's a lot of moving parts, almost like a clock, you know. You're almost in a pocket watch. So then you're a part of the machinery. And so long as you press the right buttons and do the right things, you're gonna go shooting off the front. So there's like a checklist to follow and there's several people involved in that checklist and you just gotta follow the checklist correctly. Essentially, yep. Lots of ways to screw it up, but you'll know how to screw it up. But landing on the back of the boat is a whole different animal. There's a lot more variables. There's essentially one or two people responsible for the success of that. The landing signal officer who actually represents a team of specially trained aviators who are responsible for helping that aviator land on the boat. And the pilot himself. And it is a hard task to actually fly precisely enough to be good at it. So to fly quote unquote the perfect pass, you essentially have to fly your head through a one foot by one foot box. That's essentially the target you're shooting for. Plus or minus probably about five knots on airspeed, although we don't really judge it by airspeed. It's something called angle of attack. But generally pretty tight parameters there. And you can do everything perfect and still fail. So when we go to touchdown, we immediately bring the power up and we rotate as if we were doing, as if we were bouncing off the deck. And if we catch it, then we slow down. And then someone tells us to bring the power back, which we do, we don't do it on our own. Cause it's such a violent experience. Think you're trapped or not, or something breaks and you bring your throttle back. And that's a very serious thing. It happened to best of us, I'll admit I've done it once. When I first got to the squadron, it's called ease guns land. And so I came in the boat and I brought the power. I cracked the power back a little bit before I've been told to her that my aircraft had finished settling in. And that was a big faux pas, right? So, especially as a new guy. So it's a very serious business. There's a lot of eyes on you and there's a lot of ways to screw it up. But the physical rush of like having a great pass and then like the crash of into the boat and all that, the physical sensation from it, when everything's going great, it's top of the world, it's a great feeling. How much of it is feel? How much of it is instruments? How much is other people just doing the work for you, catching you, as long as you do everything right? There's a few systems we use. One is called the BAL. And the BAL is external to our aircraft. And it's B A L L, BAL, like BAL, okay. It's a iFloss landing system, which stands for something very long convoluted. But essentially it's a mirror with lights on it. And you see the light at a different cell based on your position relative to an ideal glide slope. So if you're right on it, you're right in the middle. And if you're below, you're low. And as I add power and maneuver the aircraft, that BAL, I see that BAL rise, I see that BAL low. It's a lagging indicator though, right? And your jet is a lagging engine too, right? It takes time to spool up the engine. So that adds to the complexity. You have to think ahead a bit. So you don't want to, you can't just bring the power up and leave it there. You have to bring the power up, touch it, bring it back. And oh, by the way, your landing area is moving, not just away from you, but also on an angle, right? Cause we have an angled deck. And so you're constantly doing one of these to correct yourself as you go. That seems so stressful. And every time you do one of those, maybe it's a 30 degree angle bank, right? I'm losing lift, right? And so I have to compensate with power each time I do that. So I'm doing another one. Cause you have to maintain the same level you're always lowering. It's a constant rate of descent that's increasing from about 200 feet per minute to about 650. And every time you do this, that's messing with that. Okay. So you have to compensate. And you're doing that manually. Do that manually. All right. And then of course, as you come down that glide slope, it becomes more and more narrow. And you have to, of course, modulate your inputs such that they're smaller and smaller cause they have a bigger and bigger effect as you get closer in. And what happens too, when you get in close is that right before you cross over, if this is the boat right here, your table, right before you kind of get your wings over the boat itself, this big wind from the main tower of the boat is where it dips down. So the wind actually goes down and it's called the burble. And it'll actually pull the aircraft down, increase your rate of descent. So at that particular point, you need to increase your speed. You know, increase your power and try to compensate against that. And so that's kind of a third variable that's trying to screw you up on your way down. What's the most difficult conditions in which you had to land or you've seen somebody had to land? Because I think you were also a signal officer as well. I was, yeah. I was the head landing signal officer for my squadron. So you've probably seen some tough landings. I have. I've seen a ramp strike, which is when a part of the aircraft hits before the landing area, which is basically the round out of the boat. That is before the landing area. So they basically struck the back of the boat coming in. It was just their hook. So it wasn't their craft. And they were fine. That one was kind of ugly. But it like rips that part of the aircraft. Absolutely. And then you land on your bellies, that kind of thing. In this particular case, it hit and then it gave and essentially dragged the hook on the surface after that. And so he was able to grab a wire at that point. When does that kind of thing happen? Is it just a miscalculation by the pilot or is it weather conditions? I wouldn't even call it a miscalculation. I mean, I'm going to put the blame on the pilot because he's the only one in the cockpit. But then the day he's reacting to the situations he's dealing with. And so it may be errors or he may be doing the best with the conditions that he's been given. On that particular one, you just got too high rate of send. It's very common. And that's what you see it with new pilots. You see it with older pilots, right? New ones and complacent ones. What you see is they'll try to make the ball go right where they want it in close. They think they can beat the game a little bit. And they try to, and so we have sayings, we teach pilots as a landing signal officer, we tell them like, don't recenter the high ball in close. It's one of the rules to live by. And so when the ball's up high, don't try to bring it back in close to like the center point when you're in close. Cause what you're doing is you bring the power off and you're going to crash right down. And that's what happens, right? Cause you got the burble pulling you down. You might be correcting, which is decreasing your lift. And then you have that type of maneuvers. How are you supposed to do all of this in harsh weather conditions? And so that's the one I wanted to tell you about. That's the hardest one. And what you hear is if you hear 99 taxi lights on, that's a really shitty day. 99 taxi lights on, what's that mean? Everyone put your taxi lights on because you're about to land on the boat. And you don't see the boat? Weather is so bad that the landing signal officer on the boat can't see you either. And you can't see the boat. And you won't be able to see it when you touch down. So we call that a zero, zero landing. And you turn on the taxi lights so that the LSO who has a radio in his hand that looks like a phone from 1980 is talking directly to the pilot. And he's looking at that little light in the rain and he's telling them you're high, you're low, power, things like that. Come right, back to left. And literally talking him down to land on the boat right there. And the pilot, usually it comes as a surprise to the pilot, the landing, because he's just listening to the voice, can't see the ball, can't see the boat. And all of a sudden you just hit the boat. You crash, I mean you crash. We're going about 1,600 feet per minute descent at that point. So you're going super fast. So all of this is happening fast. You don't know the moment it's gonna hit. So you're just going into the darkness and just waiting for it to hit. Maybe not dark though, a lot of times it's white. Into the light. You're just going into the light. And then there's a voice from an 80s phone. I got it. This is terrible. But so you still have to, so this kind of thing happens. You still have to land. Sometimes you just don't have a place to divert. But in a sense we're trained for that because we do the night landings as well. And I think you'll find this interesting, but I always found that the night landings where in these particular cases, you're usually lined up behind the boat, maybe 10, 15 miles, whereas the other ones, it's like a tight circle, the landing pattern. And so we can potentially see the boat way out there if the lights were on, which they're not. But we can maybe see like the string of aircraft in front of us. But what's interesting is that it can take a while. You might be 15 miles out and your lights are turned down as dim as possible. You have a cloud deck maybe at six or 7,000 feet so that the starlight, there's no moon, but let's say the starlight's blocked out because just the starlight alone, no moon, you can see the boat, you can see the water. But when that goes away, it's like closing your eyes. You can't tell anything. It could be upside down. It could be in any position. And for me, it was almost a meditative process that I had to snap myself back out of when I was on like a long straightaway. And then I would see the light pop up in the sea of darkness. No lights anywhere. Can't even see the horizon. And I just see a light out there. My instruments were telling me, and they're turned down as far as they can go, right? So I can barely see them. So my eyes can adjust. And I'm just staring at this light in the distance. And it's just very meditative and it's the hum behind you. And then at like four miles, you know, almost like, oh, the light is a little bit bigger. And you almost kind of have to snap back to it and be like, oh, I need to like kind of like look around a little bit and engage my brain, link it back to my body and like do this thing. Because you're going to have to actually land. Well, is there just, you said you don't necessarily feel the romantic notion of the whole thing, but is there some aspects of flying where you look up and maybe you see the stars or yeah, that kind of thing that you just like, holy crap, how did humans accomplish all of this? Like, am I actually flying right now? I used to have those moments on the boat

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