特別節目·中文精讀

雷吉娜·巴爾齊萊:用深度學習診斷與治療癌症

Regina Barzilay: Deep Learning for Cancer Diagnosis and Treatment

講述機器學習如何用於癌症早期篩查與藥物設計,以及醫療資料與臨床落地中的現實難題。

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中文精讀由 AI 基於原始訪談改寫,非官方翻譯,可能存在偏差或錯誤;表述以原音訊與官方文稿為準。說明

乳腺癌風險評估裡有個叫“密度”的指標,用來判斷一個女性患癌的可能性。它怎麼來的?1967 年,一位叫沃爾夫(Wolfe)的放射科醫生回頭去看那些已經確診的女性,憑肉眼找出片子上的某些特徵,歸納成四個類別。這套東西一路演化,2019 年成了美國的聯邦法律,規定醫生必須告知女性,乳腺密度高就屬於高風險人群。

而在預測五年內乳腺癌風險這件事上,今天的深度學習模型比這套指標好上好幾個數量級。雷吉娜·巴爾齊萊(Regina Barzilay)是 MIT 的教授,也是把深度學習帶進腫瘤學最前沿的人之一。她在訪談裡說,卡住的從來不在演算法那一頭:演算法已經好了幾個數量級,整套採納機制還停在原地。

那卡住的是什麼?

一本書改變了她看科學的方式

巴爾齊萊說,她在 MIT 待的時間太長,跟人打交道的頻寬有限,很多對世界的理解來自書。她提到一本叫《萬病之王》(The Emperor of All Maladies)的書,講癌症治療史和藥物研發史。

這本書擊中的地方在於,它讓她看清了科學發現的真實面目。她自己就在做科學研究,讀完才發現,發現的過程有多麼不精確,今天在用的方案有多麼不完美,一件事能成功、能被真正採用,靠的是什麼。

有時候推動一件事往前走的,靠的是某個人的投入程度,他非要看到這件事被實現不可。想法本身強不強,反而是次要的。(雷吉娜·巴爾齊萊)

書裡寫化療藥物是怎麼被開發出來的。波士頓有一批,法伯(Farber)醫生在丹娜法伯癌症研究院也做了一批。那些實驗怎麼做出來的?巴爾齊萊的原話是“有些計算失誤,我們姑且這麼說吧”。他們試在孩子身上,那些孩子是白血病患者,死了,然後換一個改法再試。

她說,如果看的是六七十年前的事,你多少能理解。但書裡有幾個故事,發生的時間近得多,可能就是十幾二十年前,那才真讓她震驚。而到現在,我們仍然沒有一個載體能讓這個過程變得更快、更有效。

為什麼電腦科學家敢碰生物學

訪談裡有一組很直接的對照。

巴爾齊萊說,電腦科學之所以在很多領域成功,原因之一是它壓根沒打算“理解”。亞馬遜推薦你一本書,它並不理解你。傳統營銷是把人群切成子群體,找出特徵,再針對這個子群體制定策略。推薦系統不聲稱自己理解誰,它只是從你的行為模式裡做匹配。

再看傳統生物學,她說那裡對“機制性理解”的強調重得讓她吃驚。考慮到系統的複雜度,對這些過程做到確定性的、完整的理解,很可能超出人類的能力上限。電腦科學做人臉識別、做推薦,本質上都是機率匹配。

在某些情況下,我們也許根本不該去試圖理解。或者我們可以去理解,但同時並行地去做這種匹配,它能幫我們找到解藥、做早期診斷。(雷吉娜·巴爾齊萊)

她知道在生物學期刊和醫學共同體裡,“理解”是極重要的詞。但她會追問一句:在這裡,理解到底指什麼?

訪談裡提到了符號主義 AI 的那個夢:把人類知識壓縮成邏輯,再用一套人能看懂、能解釋的方式去推演。那是很美的夢。而今天真正管用的路徑,是把問題儘量變成資料,然後上統計方法。

43 歲那年,她第一次意識到自己會死

2014 年,巴爾齊萊被診斷出乳腺癌。她說自己接受過很多次採訪,沒有一個人問過她這個問題。

那年我 43 歲。我人生第一次意識到,我可能會死。在那之前我從來沒想過這件事。(雷吉娜·巴爾齊萊)

確診之後有兩個半月的時間,她不知道自己在什麼位置上。檢查一項接一項地做,一個說不好,下一個又說不是。在知道自己到底處在什麼位置之前,她腦子裡滾過所有可能的結局。希望、絕望,一輪一輪地過。

治療結束她回到 MIT,人還在治療的後勁裡,腦子不太在。她回頭看自己組裡在做什麼,別的組在做什麼,冒出來的感覺是:這些東西太瑣碎了。人們在用二三個百分點的改進壘自己的職業生涯。

她當時在做的是破譯真核生物的語言,一種沒人說的語言。她苦笑著回憶,那時候會有人問她,這有什麼意義?

走出 MIT 的圍牆,圍牆外的人是真的在乎的。他們問的是:你的下一篇論文是什麼?你對世界有什麼義務?那裡有大量的痛苦,而我在此之前,每天都被完全遮蔽著。(雷吉娜·巴爾齊萊)

她說那是她第一次看見真實的生活和真實的苦難。

這裡有一段很真實的掙扎。一邊是她帶的博士生,他們想發論文,想繼續做手上的事,而那些事本身做得不錯。另一邊是她自己,剛剛重新評估了什麼叫重要。

她往回看自己這些年在科學上的時間,十年前最火的是主題模型(topic model),幾百萬篇論文,各種變體。現在回頭看,大部分都無關緊要。你覺得重要的東西會隨時間漂移,而且一直在漂移。每個人的時間都有限,優先去做那些對你真正重要的事就變得極其關鍵。而這件事可能跟整個學術共同體認為重要的事完全不一樣。

醫院走廊裡那些“白白撿回一條命”的人

放療期間她每天都要去醫院。她在那裡看見了一個社群,很多人比她當時嚴重得多。她也第一次看見,有人僅僅因為今天感覺好一點就高興。

對處在正常生活裡的人,身體好是理所當然的。你想跑步就能去跑步,你想對身體做什麼基本都自由。她說,然後她的社群變成了那些人。

她講了一個細節。朋友迪娜·卡塔比(Dina Katabi)帶她去 Prudential 商場買生日禮物,那是她幾個月來第一次出去見其他人。

我當時的反應是:哇,這些人好開心,他們在笑。他們跟醫院裡那些人完全不一樣。而在我眼裡他們簡直是瘋了,笑著把錢浪費在愚蠢的禮物上。他們可能明天就死了,他們可能已經有癌症了,而他們不知道。(雷吉娜·巴爾齊萊)

她接著說,你在此之前問這些人“你知不知道你會死”,他們當然知道。但那是一個理論上的概念,不具體。而在那個時刻,當你真的看見了,看見死亡有多致命,你才會真的覺得:我們必須把這裡的才華,轉化成真正有用的東西。

美國的數字是這樣的:每年新增癌症病例七百萬,每年癌症相關死亡六十萬。

胰腺癌的生存率只有幾個百分點

被問到文明什麼時候能治癒癌症,巴爾齊萊沒有給時間表。她說自己評估不了。但她相信機器學習會帶來兩件事:很多型別的癌症能被極早地預測出來,現有的治療手段能被更有效地使用。AI 加藥物發現,能讓相關分子的發現速度快得多。

她不確定的是另一件事:醫療體系和監管機構要多長時間才能跟上、才能把這些東西真正推到醫院裡。她說這是一塊目前完全沒被解決的拼圖。

早期檢測為什麼關鍵,胰腺癌是個殘酷的例子。絕大多數胰腺癌患者被發現時已經是無法治癒的階段,這就是它五年生存率只有幾個百分點的原因。幾乎等於死刑判決。

但如果早期發現,是有手段治療的。她認識好幾個人,是因為食物中毒去了急診,掃描時偶然看到早期跡象,命就這麼保住了。問題在於,這靠的是偶然。

等我們做得越來越好,能幫到的人會多得多。這些人本來很可能發展成疾病,他們只是需要被更早看見。(雷吉娜·巴爾齊萊)

她還補了一句,越往這個領域裡走,她越意識到癌症當然可怕,但外面還有一整排可怕的疾病,神經退行性疾病就是其中之一。我們很多人盯著癌症,只是因為它在社會里太普遍了。

作為電腦科學家,我們某種程度上預設了治療這些病是別人的工作,因為傳統上想這些事的是生物學家、化學家、醫生。她說這個假設是錯的,所有人都該加入這場戰鬥。

80% 的乳腺癌患者,是家族裡第一個得的人

機器學習在診斷裡能做什麼?巴爾齊萊先講了一個事實:對很多癌症,我們今天根本不知道你的患癌機率是多少。

對絕大多數患者,尤其是年輕患者,確診是完全出乎意料的。乳腺癌患者裡,80% 是家族裡第一個得這個病的人。她本人就是這樣。她從來沒覺得自己風險高,因為家族裡沒人得過。她腦子裡一直以為這是個遺傳病。

就算你去查今天臨床在用的那些模型,它們也基本給不出答案。胰腺癌一樣,不吸菸者的肺癌一樣,很多癌症都一樣。

機器學習在這裡的作用,是把所有資料用起來,告訴你誰更可能易感。影像、其他檢查,未來還有液體活檢。單個訊號弱到人眼分辨不出來,而把多個來源組合起來,一個在海量資料上訓練過的機器可以做到早期識別。乳腺癌上已經看到了,其他疾病上也有人在報。

她花了兩年,才拿到資料

這一切都歸結到資料。而資料是這場戰役裡最難看的部分。

巴爾齊萊說,在她決定做這件事之後,花了整整兩年才拿到資料訪問許可權。

這個國家現在沒有一個公開可用的現代乳腺鉬靶資料集。你沒法開啟電腦、籤個檔案就拿到它,它就是不存在。(雷吉娜·巴爾齊萊)

每家醫院當然都有自己的鉬靶片子,臨床試驗也產出過一些資料。但一個電腦科學家只是想跑跑自己的模型,看看行不行,這樣的影像資料不存在。

唯一能用的公開資料集是 1993 年的,完全不能代表今天的技術水平。在它上面訓出來的東西,規模上不去。而今天管資料訪問的機構很多,你的資料在醫院手裡,醫院決定給不給研究者。

流程是有的。走 IRB 審批,一項項過,最終能拿到。但能順利拿到資料的人很少,因為整個過程太難了。

訪談裡追問了一個關鍵點:醫院的資料是不是已經數字化了,不需要額外處理?答案是早就數字化了,格式就是對的。技術不是卡點,卡點在法律責任。醫院對資料負法律責任,給錯人代價很大,但給對了人,作為法人的醫院並沒有多少收益。

巴爾齊萊提了一個很具體的設想:就像考駕照時可以勾選要不要捐獻器官,一個人去醫院時,也應該能很方便地勾選要不要把資料捐給研究。而且要能選粒度:只給檢驗結果,還是給鉬靶影像,還是給完整病歷。

我們最終都會從這些洞察裡受益。我不願意把自己的資料拿出來,但我特別希望別人的資料能被用上,因為別人也是這麼想的。(雷吉娜·巴爾齊萊)

每週都有鉬靶片子寄到她辦公室

隱私怎麼辦?巴爾齊萊說,兩條路:技術方案和社會方案。

影像的去標識化做得已經相當好,去掉臉、去掉名字。文字資料做不到 99.9%,但有一類技術已經比較成熟:在編碼後的資料上做學習。影象在本地被編碼,網路只在編碼上訓練,結果送回醫院再解碼。學習發生在編碼形態裡,這是她很看好的一個方向,目前還早。

但她說真正的大問題還是那個:醫院沒有動力把資料交出來。

然後她講了兩個場景。

第一個是很多年前她自己的處境。她需要一個答案,她必須做一個選擇,而沒有任何資訊能支撐這個選擇,只能猜。在那個時刻,你覺得自己的命就押在這裡,可你就是沒有做選擇所需的資訊。

第二個是現在。她做演講之後,會收到女性的郵件,說“我處在這樣的處境裡,你能不能幫我跑一下統計,看看結果是什麼”。她說這並非個別現象,幾乎每週都有人把鉬靶片子寄到她的辦公室,請她幫忙跑一下,因為他們要做改變人生的決定。她不打算開診所,但她會跑,然後把結果給他們的醫生。

我們所有人,或者我們愛的人,總有一天會處在那個需要資訊才能做出最好選擇的位置上。如果這個資訊不存在,你會覺得脆弱、無保護。(雷吉娜·巴爾齊萊)

密度這個指標,科學含量有多少

回到那個 1967 年誕生的指標。它是怎麼變成聯邦法律的?

邏輯鏈是這樣的。傳統乳腺癌風險評估裡有個“密度”,決定一個女性患癌的可能性。所謂密度,基本就是在鉬靶片子上你看到多少白色,白色越多,組織越密。

沃爾夫當年回頭去看已確診的女性,想從片子裡找出能提前判斷的特徵,他能做到的最好程度就是這樣,然後被形式化、被編成四個類別,一直用到今天。

2019 年,特朗普總統批准、前一任 FDA 局長推動,它成了聯邦法律:女性就診時,醫生有義務告知她,如果密度高,她就屬於高風險人群。在某些州,因為你在這一檔,你的保險可以報銷補充篩查。

這套東西背後的生物學或流行病學證據有多強?40% 到 50% 的女性乳腺密度高。也就是說,大約 40% 的人做完篩查出來,有人告訴她們:你是高風險。

然後呢?這個“高風險”到底意味著什麼?如果你對一半的人口說他們是高風險,那可能我根本不是。或者,我到底該拿這件事怎麼辦?系統並沒有給我解決方案,因為像我這樣的人太多了,我們沒法為這麼多人提供很昂貴的方案。(雷吉娜·巴爾齊萊)

這東西之所以變成大事,是因為患者群體在推動。很多女性做了鉬靶,結果是正常,然後發現時癌症已經相當晚期。她們沒有任何辦法知道自己是否真的在高風險裡,也沒有辦法知道醫生跟你說“你沒事”的時候,你是不是真的沒事。

十五年前,這可能是當時最好的科學。巴爾齊萊也承認,從科學到聯邦法律花了十五六年,這件事本身有它的道理。但現在它成了標準,而深度學習模型可以準確得多地預測誰會得乳腺癌,因為機器是被訓練來看片子、看未來一到五年風險的。機器能系統性地識別模式,這正是當年那位放射科醫生想做的事,只是機器做得更系統。

把密度換掉要多久?她說問題不在演算法,演算法已經好了幾個數量級。問題是:你需要說服誰?你需要在多少家醫院跑實驗?這套採納機制怎麼運轉?你怎麼向全國的女性和患者解釋,這個指標真的更好?

回去把演算法再做好一點,解決不了這個問題。她說自己真的不覺得這裡有技術瓶頸。

一本講激勵結構的書

訪談裡她提到正在讀的一本書,伊麗莎白·羅森塔爾(Elisabeth Rosenthal)的《美國病》(American Sickness),是她的臨床合作者康妮·雷曼(Connie Lehman)醫生推薦的。她說自己以為對美國醫療體系已經全都知道了,但每一頁都還在讓她意外。

這本書對從電腦科學進來的人有很深的教訓:要真正理解一個系統裡的激勵結構有多複雜,要理解你到底該怎麼玩這場遊戲,才能推動新方案被接受。

那該推誰?醫生、政策制定者、患者、消費者?她說沒有簡單答案。但醫療體系裡有很多好人,他們真的想改變。很大一部分力量會來自“我們作為消費者”,因為我們所有人都是,或者未來都是,醫療服務的消費者。

我們可以做很多事去解釋這件事的潛力,但別用炒作的口氣,別宣稱我們這就把癌症全乾掉了。我讀那種文章真的讀煩了。要拿具體的例子示人:這個方案進入臨床後做了什麼,它怎麼改變了照護。(雷吉娜·巴爾齊萊)

她的理由很樸素:不管你是什麼政治立場,我們都可能得這些病,沒有人是免疫的。我們最終都是人,都在尋找減輕痛苦的辦法。

藥物發現:真正有意思的技術戰場

診斷之外,她花了很多精力在藥物設計上。她的邏輯是:早期檢測到問題很好,但你還需要有藥。而今天,沒有任何一個藥是由機器學習模型開發出來的,哪怕只是讓模型在其中扮演了重要角色。

她認為“生成具有目標性質的分子”和“做篩選”是這個領域的大開放問題。而且她很坦率:診斷和影像這塊,他們主要是把其他領域已經發展出來的想法拿過來,稍作調整就用。藥物設計不一樣,它在技術上真的有意思。你要處理圖,要捕捉各種三維性質,有很多可以發揮技術創造力的空間。

怎麼發現一個藥?她講了小分子的路徑,因為今天大多數藥是小分子。分子就是一張圖,節點是原子,邊是化學鍵。

今天的工業流程是高通量篩選。你知道你想要某個生物活性,手上有一大堆化合物,幾十萬個,在真實的實驗室裡、用真實的機器去篩,找出有正確活性的那些。然後化學家進場,憑經驗去改造這個起始分子,讓它更可溶、降低毒性、減少副作用。

化學家的創造力決定了設計的成敗,因為他們有大量領域知識:什麼管用、怎麼降毒性。今天所有 FDA 批准的藥物,都是這樣由領域專家設計出來的。(雷吉娜·巴爾齊萊)

這套流程有效嗎?如果用成本衡量,貴得離譜。用時間衡量,很多病我們一個藥都沒有,神經退行性疾病的藥物試驗大量失敗,後期失敗在財務上是災難性的。她說這套流程算不上最有效,但它目前是唯一管用的。

她跟製藥行業的人打過不少交道,對他們的敏銳和對領域的深刻理解印象極深。那是觀察驅動的,背後有大量科學。但如果你問她要不要改掉它,她非常確定要改。

就算最有經驗的化學家,也沒法把幾百萬個分子和反應裡能學到的東西全都裝進腦子裡。而圖這個空間對機器學習來說完全是新的。(雷吉娜·巴爾齊萊)

他們已經做出來的東西是這樣的。第一個工具是性質預測:給一個分子,預測某個性質,可以是生物活性,也可以是別的。人們剛進這個領域時做法很簡單,用現有的分子指紋,也就是手工特徵,把圖拆成子結構,然後過一遍前饋神經網路。

結果很清楚:這條路不夠有效。你需要更復雜的模型,能自己歸納出表示,把圖對映到嵌入向量裡,再做預測。

第二個方向和第一個相關:嵌入本身只用來做判斷,有點可惜,真正有空間的是去修改它,直接生成更好的分子。你可以把它想成機器翻譯:從一個分子出發,目標是它的改進版,把它編碼到隱空間,學會怎麼改,讓分子在某些性質上變好。他們已經看到性質預測工作得不錯,現在在生成分子,並且真的在合成這些分子。

1997 年,一個公式就能發一篇論文

訪談轉向她的本行,自然語言處理。

她 1997 年開始做 NLP,那是個特別的時間點,正好是統計方法開始衝擊 ACL 的時候。她的英語當時還不太好,但正好站在轉折點上:一半的論文是規則驅動的,人們用重語言學的路子啃小領域,再往上壘;另一半是第一批基於語料庫的論文,在她看來很簡單,收集一些統計量,在上面做預測。

讓她著迷的是,同一個共同體可以對同一個問題想得如此不同。她記得自己第一篇論文就一個公式,沒有評測,只有一些輸出示例,而這就是當時領域裡的標準。

後來的故事大家都知道了,統計方法全面壓過來,各項基礎任務的效能一路上漲。她說這個故事裡比較讓人難過的部分是,語言學在其中的角色被大幅削弱了。今天你翻遍論文集,很難找到幾個還在認真做語言學引用的。

那這是不是缺失?她的反駁很直接:所謂“可解釋、可理解”,最終是什麼意思?我們是在完成功能,機器完成功能和你的方式不同,這沒有關係。就像計算器,它算的方式跟你完全不同,但它很有效,這就夠了。

她還補了一層:要求機器跟人一樣理解,某種意義上甚至是不公平的,因為訓練系統的時候,很多人類擁有的其他資訊源是缺席的。它能交付就行。

她舉了機器翻譯的例子。1997 年她剛到以色列的時候,機器翻譯還很原始,感覺上要做出真正能用的系統,跟飛上月球、在花園裡蓋房子然後幸福地生活下去差不多,是不可能的。她完全無法想象十年之內就能看到能用的系統。

現在沒人會為每天用機器翻譯而驚訝了。這是巨大的進步,人們花了很長時間用別的方法都解決不了。(雷吉娜·巴爾齊萊)

回到生物學的類比:語言學家試圖寫句法樹、做抽象、找正確的表示,走了那條路,走不遠。而這些用其他訊號源的模型,取得了很大進展。

機器翻譯做得好,配方一換就崩

她不天真。她知道 NLP 不處在天堂裡。領域稍微一變,訓練量一少,模型就能做出非常古怪、非常好笑的事。但她認為這只是泛化能力的問題,是個技術問題。

訪談追問得很緊:人類的語言理解裡,有多少能被深度網路解決?特別是當我們逼近圖靈測試、對話、那些需要真理解的東西時。

她的答案很剋制:她被結果驅動。如果你看機器翻譯,在大量資料上訓練,效果相對幾年前是驚人的。如果以同樣的速度往前推,會很好。它會像人一樣翻譯嗎?那會困擾她嗎?

認知科學到現在也沒完全搞清楚我們自己翻譯的時候在幹什麼。有很多理論,有很多進展,但大腦處理語言時到底發生了什麼,我們還沒精確到能翻譯成機器指令的程度。(雷吉娜·巴爾齊萊)

真正困擾她的是另一件事:機器會很脆弱。一旦出了它的舒適區,一旦訓練和測試之間出現分佈漂移,就崩了。她講了自己教 NLP 課的例子:年年給學生看報紙上的希伯來語翻譯示例,完美。然後朋友寄來一份芬蘭語的食譜,講的是怎麼做卡累利阿餡餅,翻出來一團糟,什麼都看不懂。錯得離譜,整段都讀不通。

年復一年,學生翻譯那份食譜都翻得很糟,因為食譜在他們的訓練資料裡佔比太小。

那圖靈測試呢?如果最好的表述方式是:你願不願意跟一個神經網路聊一個小時?

哦天,不。不會有那麼多人願意的。(雷吉娜·巴爾齊萊)

她認為難點在資料:要造出一個成功的訓練集,讓機器能進行長達一小時的、有上下文的對話,非常難。同時也是訓練方式和真正泛化能力的問題,組合性是有限的。能翻譯、能檢索、能抽取,這些能力都很好。但聊天,不是她會選的事。

不過她補了一個故事。她去過中國,看到那邊的聊天機器人,據說有大量使用者會跟它聊四個小時。她說自己無法相信,但似乎有記錄顯示,確實有人享受這種對話。

這讓她想到魏澤鮑姆(Weizenbaum)和伊莉莎(ELIZA)的故事。魏澤鮑姆是 MIT 的教授,他做的伊莉莎只是字串匹配,幾乎沒有規則,沒有句法,就是把你說的話換個說法還給你。據說 MIT 有位秘書會坐在那裡跟這個極其簡陋的東西聊上幾個小時,而且當時介面很爛,要忍受使用上的痛苦。

魏澤鮑姆本人被這個現象嚇到了:人居然能相信一臺機器,你只需要給他們一點暗示說機器懂你,剩下的他們自己會補完。他因此停止了這項研究,轉而去思考人工智慧會對我們的大腦做什麼。

所以關鍵不在技術有多好,而在我們有多願意相信它提供了我們想要的東西。(雷吉娜·巴爾齊萊)

訪談者在這裡給了一個很漂亮的回應。他說這件事讓他覺得鼓舞,人類的連線,透過語言也好,透過愛也好,似乎都很適合機器學習,剩下的只是心理學問題。那些能聊幾個小時的秘書,跟我們的日常生活沒多大區別,我們跟所愛之人待上幾個小時,很多時候也不過是在做關鍵詞匹配。

少樣本學習才是真正的門檻

那什麼才是眼下夠不著、但一旦夠著會讓人興奮的基準?

她的回答落在少樣本學習上。今天論文裡寫的“我們只有 55 個樣本,然後能推到 65”,這些方法實際上沒有一個真能派上用場。真正的門檻是從很少的例子裡真正學到東西,以及自主地去找資料集、去掌握一個新任務或一門新語言。這個方向必須往前走,而我們現在還沒到。

被問到是否對造出人類級別智慧這件事好奇,她的回答很穩。她說這裡有個經典的兩難:什麼算智慧?是我們終於讓機器做人做的事,而我們自己都還沒搞懂人在做什麼?還是我們有了在非常多的領域裡交付結果的能力,不只翻譯、不只答題,而是橫跨很多領域,能達成人能達到的功能,並且還能學、還能做別的事?

她認為後一個是可以衡量的,這也是讓她興奮的地方:在她的有生之年,已經看到各個功能維度上的巨大進步。

然後她換了個角度。一個角度是機器在提升功能。另一個角度是我們這些腦子本來就不完美的人,怎麼被這些越來越強的技術加速。

她提到一本她喜歡的書,《獻給阿爾吉儂的花束》(Flowers for Algernon)。病人得到一個奇蹟般的療法,大腦被改變,忽然有了全新的生活,某些事做得比以前好得多,另一些事則差得多。

這種計算機增強的認知,你可以去設想它開啟的想象空間。就像汽車帶我們去了從未去過的地方,我們能不能換個方式思考?能不能想得更快?(雷吉娜·巴爾齊萊)

她說這已經在發生了,但還有很長的路。

跑步機上的積分與那個被記錄的注意力

訪談提到了 Neuralink 那類腦機介面的演示。巴爾齊萊沒有站隊,但她給了一個特別具體的觀察角度:很多時候我們並不清楚自己的感受和動機是什麼。

她舉的例子是注意力。有很多研究表明,一個人要花一段時間才能意識到自己已經不走神了。而有些人保持注意力的能力極強,另一端是有注意力缺陷的人,很難調節。假如你有個認知輔助工具,它根據你的視線提醒你:你的注意力已經不在手頭的事上了,你正在寫論文,但你在想晚上要幹什麼。

然後她講了自己的一段經歷,很自嘲。

她家有個空著的健身房,裝置會記錄你跑了多少,給你積分、給狀態等級。她當時的想法是:這太荒唐了,誰會關心某個裝置裡的狀態等級?

結果為了保住狀態,每個月必須攢夠一定積分,而且是每個月都算。過去十八個月裡,事情發展到了她帶著傷還在跑。等傷好了能跑了,她兩天內跑了一個巨大的量,就為了把積分補上。她說,這明顯不安全,但我不想丟掉我的狀態。

你已經能看到,直接的測量加反饋有多大力量。我們看電子遊戲,會討論它的成癮性。同樣的思路可以擴充套件到生活的很多其他領域,只要我們真的能拿到反饋。(雷吉娜·巴爾齊萊)

她甚至把這個想法延伸到了關係上:在關鍵詞匹配的時候,如果那個正在生成關鍵詞的人,能在整件事爆掉之前收到直接反饋,也許在那一刻我們就會知道方向錯了。這當然是個微妙的地帶。

教了六年機器學習課,她發現學生的障礙不在程式設計

巴爾齊萊在 MIT 教機器學習,大課很受歡迎。六年前她開始教這門課,隨著這個領域越來越熱,選課的人越來越多,課程是給計算機專業的學生設計的。結果有很多人真心想學,但背景跟不上,學得很痛苦,很多人把機器學習跟掙扎和失敗聯絡在一起,尤其是非本專業的學生。

所以她開了門新課,叫“機器學習:從演算法到建模”,重點放在建模上,面向本專業和非本專業的學生。她說,標準機器學習課上教二十個分類器,這件事本身就值得商榷。

有意思的是第一批學生實習回來之後的反饋。他們會說,我居然可以把機器學習用到某件事上,而這件事她之前完全沒想到。現在什麼都成了“機器學習奇蹟”。

訪談追問:那這些非專業的學生,缺的到底是什麼技能?

答案不在程式設計。他們有 Python 基礎,課本身對程式設計要求也不高。卡住的是數學。課程一開始沿用給本專業學生的那套記號,比如說大 O 表示複雜度,其他背景來的人,這些符號根本不在他們的詞彙表裡。概念本身不難,他們只是從沒見過。

她說,線性代數、機率、微積分基礎、多元微積分,這些能幫上忙。

她給想進來的人的建議

第一條是好訊息:現在資源太多了,各種層次都有,線上課程、學校課程,偏數學的、偏應用的都有。你可以找到用你熟悉的語言講課的那一檔,從那裡進場。而且根據你的長處,你能做出很多不同型別的貢獻。

第二條更重要:找一個你真正在乎的領域,它能給你的學習提供動機。這個領域可以是治癒癌症,可以是自動駕駛,什麼都行。但要找一個有資料、你相信裡面存在強模式、而且我們還沒做或者能做得更好的領域,然後就站在那兒看看它能帶你到哪。

關於意義,她沒有宏大答案

訪談最後問了一個不可能的問題:這一切的意義是什麼。

她說自己沒有全球性的答案。也許正因為這個,她本科時沒去上人文相關的課。

她的說法是:每個人內心裡都有一套自己認為重要的東西。只是我們太忙於達成各種目標,太忙於聽別人說話、努力去順應、去成為人群的一部分,以至於不去聽自己內心那部分。我們都該找出一些時間,搞清楚自己個人的使命是什麼。而每個人的使命可能非常不同。要確保在同時跑一萬件事的時候,我們知道自己在錯過什麼,並且把資源投到自己使命的滿足上。

回頭看年輕時候的我,大部分使命是被外部刺激驅動的:去達成這個,去成為那個。現在我做的很多事,驅動力是我認為什麼對自己重要,跟外部的認可無關。我不介意別人怎麼看我,對我來說最重要的是對自己誠實,忠於我認為對的東西。(雷吉娜·巴爾齊萊)

這個過程花了多久?她說要時間。而且即便現在,虛榮和瑣碎的東西還是能佔據你一分鐘。虛榮在不同地方有不同的形態,但每個人都有自己那一份。

對她來說,回到自己的方式,常常是獨處的時候,還有讀書的時候。選對了書,你就能得到對的問題,然後從讀的東西里學到東西。

她說,當然這不完美,跟別的事一樣,總會有東西壓過來。

可操作的建議

  • 如果你在技術領域想找一個值得投身的應用方向,優先選一個有真實資料、有強模式、但現有方法還很粗糙的領域。巴爾齊萊的判斷標準很樸素:你相信這裡存在強模式,我們還沒做,或者能做得更好。癌症早期篩查符合這個標準,很多別的領域也符合。
  • 別把“演算法更好”當成能落地的充分條件。密度指標那個例子擺在那兒:深度學習模型好上幾個數量級,仍然換不掉一個 1967 年憑肉眼歸納的四分類指標。真要做成事,必須花時間搞懂那個系統的激勵結構,誰有動力、誰有損失、誰需要被說服。
  • 如果你在做醫療或其他受監管領域的資料工作,把預期管理好:她花了兩年才拿到資料。提前規劃 IRB 流程、找到願意合作的臨床方,不要假設資料是現成的。同時關注編碼域學習這類技術路徑,它可能繞開一部分隱私阻力。
  • 如果你在教機器學習,先檢查你的記號。卡住非專業學生的往往不在程式設計,在大 O、線性代數、機率這些你以為人人都有的詞彙。分層教學、把建模和應用分開講,比多教幾個分類器有用。
  • 定期花時間問自己一個問題:我現在忙的這一萬件事裡,哪幾件是我真的在乎的?巴爾齊萊的原話是,很多使命在年輕時是被外部刺激驅動的,而意識到這一點、主動往自己認為重要的方向調資源,需要刻意練習。她自己回到這個問題的方式是獨處和讀書。
  • 如果你要用測量和反饋來推動行為改變,先想清楚副作用。她自己帶著傷跑步去湊積分,就是活生生的例子。任何積分、等級、連續打卡的設計,都會激發人去最佳化指標而不是最佳化目標。設計的時候就要預判這一點。
文稿由本站用語音識別模型(基於官方釋出音訊)機器轉寫,可能有識別錯誤,人名與數字請以音訊為準。
[00:00:00] The following is a conversation with Regina Barzelay. She's a professor at MIT and a world class researcher in natural language processing and applications of deep learning to chemistry and oncology or the use of deep learning for early diagnosis, prevention and treatment of cancer. She's also been recognized for teaching of several successful A.I. related courses at MIT, including the popular Introduction to Machine Learning Course. This is the Artificial Intelligence Podcast. If you enjoy, subscribe on YouTube, give it five stars in iTunes supported on Patron or simply connect with me on Twitter. [00:00:39] Allex Friedman spelled F r Idi Amin. And now here's my conversation with Regina Barzelay. In an interview, you've mentioned that if there's one course you would take, it would be a literature course with a friend of yours that a friend of yours teaches just out of curiosity, because I couldn't find anything on it. [00:01:17] Are there books or ideas that had a profound impact on your life journey books and ideas, perhaps outside of computer science and the technical fields? [00:01:28] I think because I'm spending a lot of my time at Amitay and previously in other institutions where I was a student, I have a limited ability to interact with people. So a lot of what I know about the world actually comes from books. And there were quite a number of books that had profound impact on me and how I view the world. Let me just give you one example of such a book. I've maybe a year ago read a book called The Emperor of All Maladies. [00:01:59] It's a book about it's kind of a history of science book on how the treatments and drugs for cancer were developed and. That despite the fact that I am in the business of science, really opened my eyes on how imprecise and imperfect the discovery process is and how imperfect our current solutions and what makes science succeed and be implemented. [00:02:28] And sometimes it's actually not the strengths of the idea, but devotion of the person who wants to see it implemented. So this is one of the goals that, you know, at least for the last year, quite changed the way I'm thinking about scientific process, just from the historical perspective. And what do I need to do to make my ideas really implemented? Let me give you an example of a book which is known to kind of which is a fiction book. [00:02:57] Is a book called Americana. And this is a book about a young female student who comes from Africa to study in the United States, and it describes her path, you know, within her studies and her life transformation that, you know, in a new country and kind of adaptation to a new culture. And when I read this book, I saw myself in many different points of it. But it also kind of gave me the lens on different events and some of it that I never actually paid attention. [00:03:39] When the funny stories in this book is how she arrives to go to new college and she starts speaking in English and she has this beautiful British accent because that's how she was educated in her country. This is not my case. And then she notices the person who talks to her. You don't talk to her in a very funny way, in a very slow way. And she's thinking that this woman is disabled and she's also trying to kind of accommodate her. [00:04:11] And then after a while, when she finishes her discussion with this officer from her college. She sees how she interacts with the other students, with American students, and she discovers that actually she talked to her this way because she thought she doesn't understand English. And I thought, wow, this is a fun experience. And literally within a few weeks I went. [00:04:37] To to L.A. to a conference, and I ask somebody in an airport, you don't have to find a cab or something, and then I notice that this person is talking in a very strange way. And my first thought was that this person have some, you know, pronunciation issues or something. And I'm trying to talk very slowly to him. And I was with another professor, James Franco, and he's like laughing because it's funny that I don't get that the guys talking in this way because I think that I could speak. [00:05:04] So it was really kind of mirror an experience that you'd let me think a lot about my own experiences moving, you know, from different countries. So think that books play a big role in my understanding of the world. [00:05:19] On the on the science question, you mentioned that it made you discover that personalities of human beings are more important than perhaps ideas. [00:05:29] Is that what I heard so necessarily that they are more important than ideas? But I think that ideas on their own are not sufficient. And many times, at least in the local horizon, it's the personalities and their devotion to their ideas is really that locally changes the landscape. Now, if you're looking at I like let's say some years ago, you know, decades of civil, whatever was the symbolic times, you can use any anyone you know, there is some people now we're looking at a lot of that work and we're kind of thinking this was not really maybe a relevant work, but you could see that some people managed to take it in to make it so shiny and dominated the, you know, the academic world and make it to be the standard if you look at the area of natural language processing. [00:06:23] It is well known fact and the reason the statistics in NLB took such a long time to be came to become mainstream because there were quite a number of personalities which they didn't believe in this idea and didn't stop research progress in this area. So I do not think that, you know, kind of asymptotically maybe personality matters, but I think locally it does make quite a bit of impact. And it's OK generally, you know, speeds speeds up the rate of adoption of the new ideas. [00:06:58] Yeah. [00:06:58] And and the other interesting question is, in the early days of particular discipline, I think you mentioned in that book was is Otomi a book of cancer? [00:07:09] It's called The Emperor of All Maladies. [00:07:12] Yeah, yeah. And those maladies included the trying to the medicine was it centred around. [00:07:17] So it was actually centred on, you know, how people sort of curing cancer like it. Like for me it was really a discovery. How people what was the science of chemistry behind drug development that it actually grew up out of that dying like colouring industry, that people who develop chemistry in 19th century in Germany and Britain to do, you know, the really new dyes, they looked at the molecules and identify they to do certain things to cells. And from there, the process started. [00:07:51] And, you know, like historians say, yeah, this is fascinating that they managed to make the connection and look under the microscope to and do all this discovery. But as you continue reading about it and you read about how chemotherapy drugs, which were developed in Boston and some of them were developed and Farber, Dr Pharma from Dana Farber, you know how the experiments were done, that, you know, there was some miscalculation, let's put it this way. [00:08:21] And they tried it on the patients and they just and those were children with leukaemia and they died and then they tried another modification. You look at the process, how imperfect is this process? And, you know, like if we're, again, looking back like 60 years ago, 70 years ago, you can kind of understand it. But some of the stories in this book, which were really shocking to me, were really happening, you know, maybe decades ago. [00:08:45] And we still don't have a vehicle to do it much more fast and effective. And, you know, a scientific way of thinking, computer science, scientific. [00:08:55] So from the perspective of computer science, you've gotten a chance to work the application to cancer and to medicine in general from a perspective of an engineer and a computer scientist, how far along are we from understanding the human body biology of being able to manipulate it in a way we can cure some of the maladies, some of the diseases. [00:09:16] So this is a very interesting question. [00:09:20] And if your thinking is a computer scientist about this problem, I think one of the reasons that we succeeded in the areas we as a computer scientist succeeded is because we don't have we are not trying to understand in some ways, like if you're thinking about like ecommerce with Amazon doesn't really understand you. And that's why it recommends you certain books or certain products. Correct. And in you know, traditionally when people were thinking about marketing, you know, they divided the population to different kind of subgroups, identify the features of this subgroup and come up with a strategy which is specific to that subgroup. [00:10:02] If you're looking at what recommendations, they're not claiming that they're understanding somebody, they're just managing to from the patterns of your behavior to recommend your product. Now, if you look at the traditional biology, and obviously I wouldn't say that I am any way, you know, educated in this field, but what I see there is really a lot of emphasis on mechanistic understanding. And it was very surprising to me, coming from computer science, how much emphasis is on this understanding. [00:10:34] And given the complexity of the system, maybe the deterministic, full understanding of these processes is beyond our capacity and the same way as in computer science. When we do recognition, when you recommendation in many other areas, it's just probabilistic matching process. And in some way, maybe in certain cases, we shouldn't even attempt to understand or we can attempt to understand. But in parallel, we can actually do this kind of matching that would help us to find Curole, to do early diagnostics and so on. [00:11:11] And I know that in these communities it's really important to understand. But I'm sometimes wondering, what exactly does it mean to understand here? [00:11:20] Well, there's stuff that works and but that can be, like you said, separate from this deep human desire to uncover the mysteries of the universe, of of science, of the way the body works, the way the mind works. It's the dream of symbolic A.I. of being able to reduce human knowledge into into logic and be able to play with that logic in a way that's very explainable and understandable for us humans. I mean, that's a beautiful dream. [00:11:48] So I understand it. But it seems that what seems to work today and we'll talk about it more is as much as possible. Reduce stuff into data, reduce whatever problem you're interested in data, and try to apply statistical methods, apply machine learning to that. On a personal note, you were diagnosed with breast cancer in 2014. Would it, facing your mortality, make you think about how did it change? You know, this is a great question, and I think that I was interviewed many times and nobody actually asked me this question and think I was forty three at a time. [00:12:26] And the first time I realized in my life that I may die and they never thought about it before. And and there was a long time since your diagnosis. Did you actually know what you have and how severe disease? [00:12:37] For me it was like maybe two and a half months and I didn't know where I am during this time because it was getting different tests. And one would say it's bad and it was you know, it it's not. So until I knew where I am, I really was thinking about all these different possible outcomes. Were you imagining the worst or were you trying to be optimistic or it would be to really. [00:13:00] I don't remember. You know, what was it? My thinking? It was really a mixture with many components at the time speaking, you know, in our terms and. One thing that I remember and, you know, every test comes out and you think, oh, it could be there, so it may not be the case and you're hopeful and then you're desperate. I mean, it's like there is a whole slew of emotions that go through. [00:13:26] But what I remember is that when I came back to M.I.T., I was kind of going the whole time through the treatment with my it was brain. It was not really there. But when I came back, I finished my treatment. That was here teaching and everything. [00:13:41] You know, I look back at what my group was doing, what other groups was doing, and I saw these trivialities. It's like people are building their careers on improving some parts around two or three percent or whatever. I like seriously, I did a work on how to decipher eukaryotic like a language that nobody speak. And they were like, what is significance? When I was sad and, you know, I walked out of M.I.T., which is, you know, when people really do care, you know, what happened to your eye clear paper? [00:14:11] You know, what is your next obligation to ECL, to the world where people, you know, people you see a lot of suffering that I'm kind of totally shielded on it on a daily basis. [00:14:22] And it's like the first time I've seen, like, real life and real suffering. And I was thinking, why are we trying to improve the past or deal with trivialities when we have capacity to really make change? And it was really challenging to me because on one hand, you know, I have my graduate students who really want to do their papers and their work and they want to continue to do what they were doing, which was great. And then it was me who really kind of re-evaluated what is the importance. [00:14:54] And also that point because I had to take some break. [00:14:59] I look back into like my years in science, and I was thinking, you know, like 10 years ago, this was the biggest thing, I don't know, topic models that we have, like millions of papers on topic models and variations on topics, small amounts like irrelevant. [00:15:15] And you start looking at this, you know, what do you perceive as important a different point of time and how, you know, it fades all the time. And since we have a limited time, all of us have limited time when? S it's really important to prioritize things that really matter to you, maybe mattered to you at that particular point. But it is important to take some time and understand what matters to you, which may not necessarily be the same as what matters to the rest of your scientific community and pursue that vision. [00:15:51] So that moment, did it make you cognizant? You mentioned suffering of just the general amount of suffering in the world. Is that what you're referring to? So as opposed to topic models and specific detail problems in the ALP? Did did you start to think about other people who have been diagnosed with cancer, the way you sort of started to see the world, perhaps? [00:16:17] Oh, absolutely. [00:16:17] And it actually increased because like, for instance, you know, the response of the treatment really need to go to the hospital every day. And you see the community of people that you see, and many of them are much worse than I I was at a time. [00:16:33] And you're all of a sudden see to all and people who are happy as somebody just because they feel better. [00:16:42] And for people who are in our normal reale, you take it totally for granted that you feel well, that if you decide to go running, you can go running and you can, you know, you pretty much free to do whatever you want with your body. Like I saw, like a community, my community became those people. And I remember one of my friends, Dina Katab, took me to Prudential to buy me a gift for my birthday. [00:17:07] And it was like the first time in months that I went to kind of to see other people. And I was like, wow, first of all, these people, you know, they're happy and they're laughing and they're very different from this other mind people. And they're going to see, I think, totally crazy. They're like laughing and wasting their money on some stupid gifts and. [00:17:28] You know, they may die, they already may have cancer and they don't understand it, so you can really see how the mind changes that you can see it. You know, before that, you can ask, didn't you know that you're going to die? And of course, they knew. But it was kind of a theoretical notion and it wasn't something which was concrete. And at that point, when you really see it and see how lethal means sometimes the system has to harm, then you really feel that we need to take a lot of our brilliance that we have here at home in and translate it into something useful. [00:18:05] Yeah, and you can have a lot of definitions, but of course, alleviating suffering, alleviating trying to cure cancer is a beautiful mission. So I, of course, know the theory, theoretically, the notion of cancer. But just reading more and more about it, at one point, seven million new cancer cases in the United States every year. Six hundred thousand cancer related deaths every year. So this has a huge impact. United States globally, when broadly, before we talk about how machine learning, how Ammit can help, when do you think we as a civilization will cure cancer? [00:18:49] How hard of a problem is it from everything you've learned from it recently? [00:18:54] I cannot really assess it. What I do believe will happen with the advancement in machine learning is that a lot of types of cancer we will be able to predict way early and more effectively utilize existing treatments. I think I hope at least that with all the advancements in AI and drug discovery, we would be able to much faster find relevant molecules. What I'm not sure about is how long it will take the medical establishment and regulatory bodies to kind of catch up and to implement it. [00:19:31] And they think this is a very big piece of puzzle that is currently not addressed. That's the really interesting question. The first, a small detail that I think the answer is yes. But is cancer one of one of the diseases that when detected earlier, that's a significantly improves the outcomes? So like because we'll talk about this, the cure and then there is detection. And I think one machine learning can really help us early detection. So the detection help prediction is crucial. [00:20:06] For instance, the vast majority of pancreatic cancer patients are detected at this stage of their incurable. That's why they have such a, you know, terrible survival rate. It's like just a few percent over five years is pretty much a death sentence, but if you can discover this disease early. There are mechanisms to treat it, and in fact, I know a number of people who were diagnosed and saved just because they had food poisoning, they had terrible food poisoning, they went to the Coskun. [00:20:45] There were early signs on the scan and that would save their lives. But this wasn't really an accidental case. So as we become better, we would be able to help to many more people that have, you know, that are likely to develop diseases. And they just want to say that as I got more into this field, I realized that, you know, cancer is, of course, a terrible disease. There will be a whole slew of terrible diseases out there, like neurodegenerative diseases and others. [00:21:18] So we of course, a lot of us are fixated on cancer just because it's so prevalent in our society. And you see these people with a lot of patients with neurodegenerative diseases and that kind of aging diseases that we still don't have a good solution for. [00:21:34] And we you know, and I felt as a computer scientist, we kind of decided that it's other people's job to treat these diseases because it's like traditionally people in biology or in chemistry or MDs are the ones who are thinking about it. And that's the kind of start paying attention. I think that it's really wrong assumption and we all need to join the battle. [00:22:00] So how it seems like in cancer specifically, that there's a lot of ways that machine learning can help. So what's what's the role of machine learning in the diagnosis of cancer? [00:22:12] So for many cancers today, we really don't know what is your likelihood to get cancer. [00:22:20] And for the vast majority of patients, especially on the younger patients, it really comes as a surprise, like, for instance, for breast cancer, 80 percent of the patients are first in their families. It's like me. And I never saw that I had any increased risk because, you know, nobody had it in my family. And for some reason in my head, it was kind of inherited disease. But even if I would pay attention to the models that currently is very simplistic statistical models that are currently used in clinical practice, they really don't give you an answer. [00:22:52] So you don't know. And the same true for pancreatic cancer at the same trial for non smoking, lung cancer and many others. So what machine learning can do here is utilize all this data to tell us, Ali, who is likely to be susceptible and using all the information that is already there by the imaging being your other tests and, you know, eventually liquid biopsies and others where the signal itself is not sufficiently strong for human eye to do good discrimination because the signal may be weak. [00:23:30] But by combining many sources, a machine which is trained on large volumes of data can really be detected early. And that's what we've seen with breast cancer and people are reporting it in other diseases as well. [00:23:43] That really boils down to data, right. And the different kinds of sources of data. And you mentioned regulatory challenges. So what are the challenges in gathering large data sets in this space? [00:23:57] Again, another great question. So it took me after I decided that I want to walk only two years to get access to data. [00:24:05] And you did like a significant amount. [00:24:08] Like right now in this country, there is no publicly available data set of modern mammogram that you can just go on your computer, sign a document and get it. It just doesn't exist. I mean, obviously, every hospital has its own collection of mammograms. There are data that come out that came out of clinical trials. But we're talking about you as a computer scientist who just want to run his or her model and see how it works. This data like imaging that doesn't exist. [00:24:40] And the you know, there is and you said, which is called like Florida data set, which is a field mammogram from 93, which is really not representative of the current developments. Whatever you're leaning on them doesn't scale up. This is the only resource that is available. And today there are many agencies that govern access to data like the hospital holds your data and the hospital decides whether they would give it to the researcher to walk with this data on an individual hospital. [00:25:10] So, yeah, I mean, the hospital may, you know, assuming that you're doing a surgical operation, you can submit, you know, there is a proper approval process guided by IRP. And you if you go through all the processes, you can eventually get access to the data. [00:25:27] But if you yourself Nyamweya community that are not that many people who actually have a good access to data because it's a very challenging process and sandwiches and a quick comment, mortgage or any kind of hospital, are they scanning the data that they digitally storing it? [00:25:46] Oh, it is already digitally stored. You don't need to do any extra processing steps. It's already there in the right format. Is that right now? There are a lot of issues that govern access to the data because the hospital is legally responsible for. [00:26:02] For the data and. You know, they have a lot to lose if they give the data to the wrong person, but they may not have a lot to gain if they gave it as a hospital, as a legal entity is giving it to you. And the way you know, what I would imagine happening in the future is the same thing that happens when you're getting your driving license. You can decide whether you want to donate your organs. So you can imagine that whenever a person goes to the hospital, they it should be easy for them to Disney then data for research. [00:26:35] And it can be a different kind of. Do they only give you a test results or only mammogram only imaging data or the whole medical record? Because at the end. We all will benefit from all this insights, and it's the only thing I want to keep my data private. But I would really love to get it, you know, from other people because other people are thinking the same way. So if there is a mechanism to do this, the nation and the patient has an ability to see how they want to use their data for research, it would be really a game changer. [00:27:11] People, when they think about this problem, there's depends on the population, depends on the demographics. But there's some privacy concerns generally when not just medical data, just any kind of data. It's what you said, my data, it should belong kind of to me. I'm worried how it's going to be misused. [00:27:30] How do we alleviate those concerns? [00:27:34] Because that seems like a problem. That needs to be that problem of trust, that transparency needs to be solved before we build large datasets that help detect cancer, helps save those very people and their in the future. [00:27:47] So he only had two things that could be done. That is a technical solutions and there are societal solutions. So on the technical and. We today have ability to improve disambiguation. [00:28:04] Yeah, like, for instance, for imaging, it's for you know, for imaging you can do it pretty well was disambiguation and removing the case and removing the names of the people. [00:28:19] There are other data like if it is in or text, you cannot really achieve ninety nine point nine percent. But there are all these techniques that actually some of them are developed at MIT. How you can do learning on the encoded data where you locally encode the image you train on network, which only works on the encoded encoded images, and then you send the outcome back to the hospital and you can open it up. So those are the technical solutions that a lot of people who are walking in the space where the learning happens in the encoded form, we're still early. [00:28:53] But this is an interesting research area where I think we'll make more progress. There is a lot of work in language processing community how to do and better. But even today, there are already a lot of data which can be done perfectly like your test data, for instance, correct, where you can just, you know, the name of the patient, you just want to extract the part with the numbers. The big problem here is again. [00:29:25] Hospitals don't see much incentive to give this data away. On one hand, and then there is general concern now when I'm talking about societal benefits and about the education the public needs to understand. And I think that there are situations and I still remember myself when I really needed an answer, I had to make a choice. There was no information to make a choice. You're just guessing. And at that moment, you feel that your life is at stake, but you just don't have information to make the choice. [00:30:01] And many times when I give talks, I get emails from women who say, you know, I'm in this situation, can you please run statistic and see what are the outcomes? We get almost every week a mammogram that comes by mail to my office. I'm serious that people ask to run because they need to make life changing decisions. And, of course, you know, I'm not planning to open a clinic here, but we do run and give them the results for their doctors. [00:30:33] But the point that I'm trying to make that we all at some point or our loved ones will be in the situation where you need the information to make the best choice. And if this information is not available, you would feel vulnerable and unprotected. [00:30:52] And then the question is, what do I care more? Because at the end, everything's a trade off, correct? Yeah, exactly. [00:30:58] Just out of curiosity, what it seems like one possible solution. I'd like to see what you think of it. Based on what you just said, based on wanting to know answers for you, when you yourself in that situation, is it possible for patients to own their data as opposed to the hospitals owning their data? [00:31:18] Of course, theoretically, I guess patients own their data, but can you walk out there with the USB stick? Containing everything or uploaded to the cloud where company, you know, I remember Microsoft had a service like I tried I was really excited about and Google Health was there. I tried to give I was excited about it. Basically, companies helping you upload your data to the cloud so that you can move from hospital to hospital, from doctor to doctor. [00:31:46] Do you see a promise of that kind of possibility? I absolutely think this is the right way to to exchange the data. I don't know now who is the biggest player in this field, but I can clearly see that even for even for totally selfish health reasons, when you are going to a new facility and many of us are sent to some specialized treatment, they don't easily have access to your data. And today, you, if we want to send a mammogram, need to go to the hospital, find some small office which give them the soup. [00:32:21] As you can imagine, we're looking at the kind of decades old mechanism of data exchange. [00:32:28] So I definitely think this is an area where hopefully all the right regulatory and technical forces will align and we will see it actually implemented. [00:32:40] It's sad because unfortunately, you don't have a need to research why that happened. But I'm pretty sure Google Health and Microsoft Health Vault or whatever it's called, both closed down, which means that there was either regulatory pressure or there's not a business case or there's challenges from hospitals, which is very disappointing. So when you say you don't know what the biggest players are, the two biggest that I was aware of and close the doors. [00:33:07] So I'm hoping I'd love to see why and I'd love to see who else can come up. That seems like a one of those Elon Musk style problems that are obvious needs to be solved and somebody needs to step up and actually do this large scale data, you know, data collection. [00:33:24] So I know there is an initiative in Massachusetts, this English, who led by the governor to try to create this kind of health exchange system or at least to help people who are kind of when you show up in emergency room and there is no information about what are your allergies and other things. So I don't know how far it will go. [00:33:43] But another thing, as you said, and I find it very interesting, is actually who are the successful players in this phase and the whole implementation? How does it go? To me? It is from the anthropological perspective. It's more fascinating that I that today goes in health care. You know, we've seen so many, you know, attempts and so very little successes. And it's interesting to understand that I'm by no means, you know, have knowledge to assess why we are in the position where we are. [00:34:16] Yeah, it's interesting because, um, data is really fuel for a lot of successful applications. [00:34:22] And when that data requires regulatory approval, like the FDA or any kind of approval, it's seems that the computer scientists are not quite there yet in being able to play the regulatory a game, understanding the fundamentals of it. [00:34:38] I think that in many cases, when even people do have data, we still don't know. What exactly do you need to demonstrate to to change the standard of care? [00:34:52] Like, let me give you an example related to my breast cancer message so traditional in traditional breast cancer risk assessment, there is something called density which determines the likelihood of a woman to get cancer. And this is pretty much this. How much weight do you see on the mammogram? The white that is the more likely the tissue is dense and the idea behind density is not embedded. [00:35:20] In 1967 and radiologist called Wolfe decided to look back at women who were diagnosed and see what, especially in the images, can we look back and say that they're likely to develop? So he come up with some parts and it was the best that he's human. I can, you know, can identify. Then it was kind of formalized and coded into four categories. And that what we are using today and today, this density assessment is actually a federal law from 2019 approved by President Trump and for the previous FDA commissioner, where women are supposed to be advised by their providers if they have high density, putting them into high risk category. [00:36:04] And in some states, you can actually get supplementary screening paid by your insurance because you in this category now you can say how much science do we have behind whatever biological science or epidemiological evidence? So it turns out that between 40 and 50 percent of women have dense breast. So about 40 percent of patients are coming out of this screening and somebody tell them you are in high risk, high risk. Now, what exactly does that mean? If you ask half of the population high risk, it may maybe I'm not, you know, or what do I really need to do with it? [00:36:40] Because the system doesn't provide me a lot of the solutions, because there are so many people like me, we cannot really provide very expensive solutions for them. And the reason this whole density became this big deal, it's actually advocated by the patients who felt very unprotected because many women when did the mammograms, which were normal, and then it turns out that they already had cancer, quite developed cancer. So they didn't have a way to know who is really at risk and what is the likelihood that when the doctor tells you you're OK, you are not OK. [00:37:15] So at the time and it was, you know, 15 years ago, this maybe was the best piece of science that we had. And I thought, you know, quite 15, 16. Yes, to make it federal law, but now that this is this is a standard now it is a deep learning model, we can so much more accurately predict who is going to develop breast cancer just because you are trained on a logical thing. And instead of describing how much weight and what kind of weight machine can systematically identify the patterns, which was the original idea behind the sort of the radiologist machine, it can do it much more systematically and predict the risk when you're training the machine to look at the image and to see the risk in one to five years. [00:37:59] Now, you can ask me how long it will take to substitute this density, which is broadly used across the country. And it really is not helping to bring this new models. And I would say it's not a matter of the algorithm algorithms already orders of magnitude better. The thought is currently in practice. I think it's really the question, who do you need to convince? How many hospitals do you need to run the experiment? Well, you know, all this mechanism of adoption and how do you explain to patients and to women across the country that this is really a better measure? [00:38:37] And again, I don't think it's a question we can walk more and make the algorithm even better. But I don't think that this is a current you know, the barrier the barrier is really this other piece that for some reason is not really explored. It's like anthropological piece. And come back to a question about books. That is a book that I'm reading. It's called American Sickness By. Elisabeth Rosenthal and I got this book from my clinical collaborator, Dr. [00:39:09] Connie Lehman, and I said, I know everything that I need to know about American health system. But, you know, every page doesn't fail to surprise me. And I think it is a lot of interesting and very deep lessons for people like us from computer science who are coming into this field to really understand how complex is a system of incentives in the system to understand how you really need to play to drive adoption. [00:39:36] But you just said it's complex. But if we're trying to simplify it, who do you think most likely would be successful if we push on this group of people? Is that the doctors at the hospitals? Is that the governments are policy makers? Is it the individual patients, consumers? Who needs to be inspired to most likely lead to adoption, or is there no simple answer? [00:40:04] There's no simple answer, but I think there is a lot of good people in medical system who do want, you know, to make a change. And I think a lot of power will come from us as a consumers because we all are consumers or future consumers of health care services and. [00:40:26] I think we can do so much more in explaining the potential and not in the hype terms and not saying that we now killed all and time. And, you know, I'm really sick of reading these kind of articles which make these claims 20 to show with some examples what this implementation does and how it changes the care. Because I can't imagine it doesn't matter what kind of politician it is. You know, we all are susceptible to these diseases. There is no one who is free. [00:40:54] And eventually, you know, we all are humans and we are looking for a way to alleviate the suffering. [00:41:01] And this is one possible way where we currently underutilizing, which I think can help, though it sounds like the biggest problems outside of EHI in terms of the biggest impact at this point. [00:41:15] But are there any of them problems in the application of Emelle to oncology in general? [00:41:20] So improving the detection or any other creative methods, whether it's on the detection segmentations or the vision perception side or some other clever of inference that, yeah, what what in general and in your view are the open problems in this space? [00:41:37] I just want to mention that beside detection of the any event, I am kind of quite active. And I think it's really an increasingly important area in health care is drug design. Absolutely, because, you know, it's fine if you detect something early, but you still need to get, you know, to get drugs and new drugs for these conditions. And today, all of the drug design and mallees nonexistent, that we don't have any drug that was developed by the male model or even developed by at least even the animal model, plus some significant role. [00:42:16] I think this area was all the new ability to generate molecules with desired properties to do in screening is really a big open area, to be totally honest with. You know what we are doing diagnostics and imaging, primarily taking the ideas that were developed for other areas and applying them with some of the station, the area of, you know. Drug design is very technically interesting and exciting area, you need to walk a lot with graphs and capture various 3-D properties. [00:42:51] There are lots and lots of opportunities to be technically creative, and I think there are a lot of open questions in this area. You know, we're already getting a lot of successes even with that kind of the first generation of this model. But there is much more new creative things that you can do. And it's very nice to see. Is that actually the you know, the more powerful. The more interesting models actually do do better. So there is a place to go to innovate in the machine learning in this area, and some of these techniques are really unique to, let's say to, you know, grow up generation and other things. [00:43:36] So what? Just to interrupt real quick. I'm sorry. Grauwe generation or Graff's drug discovery in general? What's what how do you discover a drug? Is this chemistry? Is this trying to predict different chemical reactions or is it some kind of what Graff's even represented in this piece or something? [00:44:01] And what's a drug? OK, so let's say you're thinking there are many different types of drugs, but let's say you're going to talk about small molecules, because I think today the majority of drugs are small molecules. So small molecules that graph the molecule is just where the node in the graph is an atom and then you have the bonds. So it's really a graph representation if you're looking at it in 2D. Correct? You can do in 3D, but let's say let's keep it simple and stick into the um. [00:44:28] So pretty much my understanding today how it is done in scale in the companies you're without machine letting you have high throughput screening. So you know that you are interested to get certain biological activity of the compound so you can a lot of compounds like maybe hundreds of thousands of really big number of compounds. You identify some compounds which have the right activity. And then at this point, you know, the chemists come and they are trying to now to optimize this original here to different properties. [00:45:02] If you wanted to be maybe soluble, you want to decrease the CCD, you want to decrease the side effects. [00:45:08] So those are so again, to drop a can that be done in simulation or just by looking at the molecules or do you need to actually run reactions in real labs in the lab? [00:45:19] So when you do high throughput screening, you really do screening. It's in the lab. It's it's really the lab screening. You screen the molecules. Correct. Screening is screening. You just check them for certain property in the physical space. [00:45:33] In the physical world, actually, there's a machine probably that's doing some that actually running the of actually running the reactions. [00:45:39] Yeah. So so so that is a process where you can run and it's basically high throughput of the unit become cheaper and faster to do it in a very big number of molecules. You run the screening, you identify potential, you know, potential good starts and then where the chemists come in who have done it many times and then they can try to look at it and say, how can it change the molecule to get the desired, uh, profile in terms of all other properties? [00:46:10] So maybe how do we make it more bioactive and so on? And then, you know, the creativity of the chemists really is the one that determines the success of this design, because, again, they have a lot of domain knowledge of, you know, what works, how do you decrease toxicity and so on. And that's what they do. So all the drugs that are currently, you know, in the FDA approved, there are seven drugs that are in clinical trials. [00:46:39] They design using these domain experts, which goes through this combinatorial space of molecules of graphs or whatever, and find the right one or adjusted to be the right ones. [00:46:52] Sounds like the the the breast density heuristic from 67 the same, because it's not necessarily that it's really you know, it's really driven by deep understanding. [00:47:02] It's not like they just observed it. I mean, they do deeply understand chemistry and they do understand how different groups and how does it change the properties. So there is a lot of science that gets into it and a lot of kind of simulation. How do you want it to behave? It's very, very complex. [00:47:21] They're quite effective at the design of now. Effective. Yeah, we have drugs. And I thinking, how do you measure effect? If you measure it in terms of cost, it's prohibitive. If you mention instead of the times, you know, we have lots of diseases for which we don't have any drugs and we don't even know how to approach and don't need to mention a few drugs on degenerative disease drugs that fail. [00:47:43] You know, so there are lots of, you know, trials will fail, you know, in later stages, which is really catastrophic from the financial perspective. So, you know, is it is it the effective the most effective mechanism? Absolutely. No, but this is the only one that currently works. [00:48:01] And I would you know, I was close to interacting with people in pharmaceutical industry. I was really fascinating on how sharp and and what a deep understanding of the domain do they have. It's an observation driven and there is really a lot of science behind what they do. But if you asked me to change it, I firmly believe yes, because even the most experienced chemists cannot, you know, hold in their memory and understanding everything that you can learn, you know, from millions of molecules and reactions. [00:48:33] And and this piece of grass is a totally new space. I mean, it's a it's a really interesting space for machine learning to explore grav generation. Yeah. [00:48:41] So so they did a lot of things that you can do here. So we do a lot of work. So the first tool that we started with was the tool that can predict properties of the molecules. So you can just give them little molecule and the property it can be by activity property or it can be some other property and you train the molecules and you can now take a new molecule and predict this property. Now, when people started working in this area, they did something very simple, do kind of existing, you know, fingerprints, which is kind of handcrafted features of the molecule when you break the graft to substructures and then you run it forward neural network. [00:49:23] And what was interesting to see that clearly, you know, this was not the most effective way to proceed. And you need to have much more complex models that can induce the representation which can translate this graph into the embedding and do these predictions. So this is one direction, that another direction, which is kind of related is not only to stall by looking at the embedding itself, but to actually modify it to produce better molecules. So you can think about it as the machine translation that you can start with a molecule and then there is an improved version of molecule and you can again with encoded translated into the headspace and then learn how to modify to improve the in some ways version of the molecules. [00:50:06] So that's it's kind of really exciting. We've already seen that the property prediction works pretty well and now we are generating molecules and that is actually loves Watchem manufacturing this molecule. So we'll see where it will get us. OK, that's really exciting. It has a lot of promise. Speaking of machine translation and embedding, if you do, you have done a lot of really great research in Alpay natural language processing. Uh, can you tell me your journey through an LP? [00:50:38] What ideas, problems, approaches were you working on? Were you fascinated with did you explore before this magic of deep learning reemerged and after. [00:50:51] So when I started my work in LP, it was in 97. This is very interesting time. It was exactly the time that it came to ACL. [00:51:00] And damage could barely understand English, but it was exactly like the transition point, because half of the papers were really, you know, rule based approaches where people took more kind of heavy linguistic approaches for small domains and tried to build up from there. And then there were the first generation of papers which were corpus based papers, and they were very simple in our terms. When you collect some statistics and do prediction based on them. And I found it really fascinating that, you know, one community can think so very differently about, you know, about the problem. [00:51:36] And I remember my first paper that I wrote it in a single formula. They didn't have evaluation. They just had examples of outputs. And this was the standard of the field at the time. In some ways, I mean, people maybe just started emphasizing the empirical evaluation. But for many applications like summarization, you just saw some examples of outputs. And then increasingly you can see that how the statistical approaches dominated the field. And we've seen increased performance across many basic tasks. [00:52:13] The sad part of the story may be that if you look again through this journey, we see the role of linguistics in some ways greatly diminishes and. I think that you really need to look through the whole proceeding to do to find what do babies, which make some interesting linguistic references today, today, today, this was the exact same tactic. Trees just even basically against our conversation about human understanding of language, which I guess what linguists would be structured or representing language in a way that's human explainable, understandable, is missing today. [00:52:57] No, if it is, what is explainable and understandable in the end, you know, we perform functions and it's OK to have a machine which performs a function. Like when you're thinking about your calculator, correct. Your calculator can do calculation very different from you do the calculation, but it's very effective. And this is fine. If we can achieve certain tasks with high accuracy doesn't necessarily mean that it has to understand in the same way as we understand in some ways, it's even the eve to request because you have so many other sources of information that are absent when you are training your system. [00:53:35] So it's OK is it delivers it. And I would tell you one application that is really fascinating. In 97, when it came to Israel, there were some people, some machine translation. There were like primitive like people were trying really, really simple. And the feeling my feeling was that, you know, to make real machine translation system, it's like to fly and the moon and build a house in the garden and live happily ever after. And it's like impossible. [00:53:59] I never could imagine that within, you know, 10 years we would already see the system working. And now, you know, nobody is even surprised to utilize the system on a daily basis. So this was like a huge, huge progress that people for a very long time tried to solve using other mechanisms and they were unable to solve it this way. Coming back to a question about biology, then involved in linguistics, people try to go this way and try to write the syntactic trees and try to abstracted them to find the right representation. [00:54:34] And, you know, they couldn't get very far with this understanding while this models using, you know, other sources actually able to make a lot of progress. Now, I'm not naive to think that we are in this paradise space in an LP and shows, you know, that when we slightly change the domain and when we decrease the amount of training, it can do, like really bizarre and funny thing. But I think it's just a matter of improving generalization capacity, which is just a technical question. [00:55:08] Well, so that's that's the question. How much of language understanding can be solved with deep neural networks in your intuition? I mean, it's unknown, I suppose. But as we start to creep towards romantic notions of the spirit of the Turing test and conversation and dialogue and something that may be true to me or to us silly humans feels like it needs real understanding. How much can that be achieved with these new on? That works with statistical methods. [00:55:45] So I guess I am very much driven by the the outcome is going to achieve the performance, which would be satisfactory for for us for different tasks. Now, if you again look at machine translation systems here, you know, train them large amounts of data, they really can do a remarkable job relative to where they've been a few years ago. And if you, you know, from a project into the future, if it would be the same speed of improvement. [00:56:16] You know, this is great now, does it bother me that it's not doing the same translation as we are doing now? If you go to cognitive science, we still don't really understand what we are doing. I mean, there are a lot of theories and obviously a lot of progress in studying. But our understanding what exactly goes on, you know, in our brains when we process language is still not crystal clear and precise that we can translate it into machines. [00:56:42] What does bother me is and, you know, again, the machines can be extremely brittle when you go out of your comfort zone of that. And when they do the distributional shift between training and testing and they have been years and years of the year when they teach A.P. class, not show them some examples of translation from some newspaper in Hebrew or whatever, it was perfect. And then they have a recipe that Tomiko system send me a while ago, and it was written in Finnish of Carillion Pies and. [00:57:14] It's just a terrible translation, you cannot understand anything what it does, it not like something tactical mistakes is just terrible in year after year, trying to translate in the end of the year. It does is terrible because it gets, you know, the recipes and a big part of their training repertoire. [00:57:32] So but in terms of outcomes, that's sort of the clean good way to look at it. I guess the question I was asking is, do you think imagine a future. [00:57:44] Do you think the current approaches can pass the Turing test in the way the, um, in the best possible formulation of the Turing test, which is would you want to have a conversation with a neural network for an hour? [00:57:59] Oh, God, no. No, there are not that many people that would now. [00:58:05] But there are some people in this world, alive or not, that you would like to talk to for an hour. Could a neural network of achieve that outcome? [00:58:13] So I think it would be really hard to create a successful training set to enable it to have a conversation point to contextual conversation for an hour. [00:58:23] I think it's the problem of data. [00:58:25] I think in some ways it's important. It's a problem, both of data and the problem of the way we're training our systems and their ability to truly to generalise, to be very compositional. In some ways it's limited, you know, in the current capacity at least. You know, we can translate well, we can, you know, find information well, we can extract information. So there are many capacities in which is doing very well. And you can ask me, would you trust the machine to translate for you and use it as a source and say, absolutely, especially if we are talking about newspaper data, was the data, which is in the realm of its own training that I would say yes. [00:59:05] But, you know, having conversations with the machine is not something that I would choose to do. But, you know, I would tell you something, talking about Turing Test and about all this kind of Elize conversations, I remember visiting Transend in China and they have this chat board and they claim it is like really humongous amount of the local population, which like four hours talks to the chad. What to me was I cannot believe it, but apparently it's like documented that there are some people who enjoy this conversation. [00:59:37] And, you know, it brought to me the another Amitay story about Iliza and Weizenbaum. I don't know if you're familiar with the story. So Weizenbaum was a professor at MIT. And when he developed this, Iliza, which was just doing string matching, very trivial, like restating of what you said with very few rules, no syntax. Apparently there was Secretary Sitta Mittie that would sit for hours and converse with a trivial thing. And at the time there was no beautiful interface. [01:00:07] So you need to go through the pain of communicating. And with Zimbo himself was so horrified by this phenomena that people can believe in after the machine. You just need to give them the hint that machine understands you and you can complete the rest, that he kind of stopped this research and went into kind of trying to understand what this artificial intelligence can do to our brains. [01:00:29] So my point is how much it's not how good is the technology is how ready we are to believe that it delivers the goods that we are trying to get. [01:00:42] That's a really beautiful way to put it. I by the way, I'm not horrified by that possibility, but inspired by it, because I mean the human connection, whether it's through language or through love, it it it seems like it's very amenable to machine learning. And the rest is just the challenges of psychology. Like you said, the secretaries who enjoy spending hours, I would say I would describe most of our lives as enjoying spending hours with those we love for very silly reasons. [01:01:17] All we're doing is key word matching as well. So I'm not sure how much intelligence we exhibit to each other in with the people we love that we're close with. [01:01:27] That's a very interesting point of what it means to pass the Turing test. What language? I think you're right in terms of conversation, I think machine translation is a has very clear performance and improvement. Right. What it means to have a fulfilling conversation is very, very person dependent and context dependent and so on. [01:01:50] That's very well put. So but in your view, what's a benchmark in natural language, a test that's just out of reach right now, but we might be able to. That's exciting. Is it is in perfecting machine translation or is there other zied summarisation what's what's out there? [01:02:10] It just goes across specific application. It's more about the ability to learn from few examples for real, what we call future planning and all these cases. Because, you know, the way we publish this paper today, we say if we have even if we get 55, but then we had a few sample and we can move to 65. None of these methods actually realistically doing anything useful. You can all use them today and their ability to be able to generalize and to move or to be autonomous in finding the dataset. [01:02:46] You need to learn to be able to perfect new task or new language. This is an area where I think we really need to to move forward to and we are not yet there. Are you at all excited, curious by the possibility of creating human level intelligence? [01:03:07] Is this because you've been very in your discussion? So if we look at ecology, you're trying to use machine learning to help the world in terms of alleviating suffering. If you look at natural language processing, you focus on the outcomes of improving practical things like machine translation. But, you know, human level intelligence is the thing that our civilization has dreamed about creating super human level intelligence. Do you think about this? Do you think it's at all within our reach there? [01:03:37] As you said yourself, the area talking about. You know, how do you perceive, you know, our communications with each other, with, you know, we're matching keywords and certain behaviors and so so and then whenever one assesses, let's say, relations with another person, you have separate kind of measurements and outcomes inside your head that determine, you know, what the status of the relation. So one way, this is this classic dilemma. What is the intelligence? [01:04:06] Is it the fact that now we are going to do the same with humans is doing when we don't even understand what the human is doing or we now have an ability to deliver these outcomes, but not in one area, not in and not just to translate or just answer questions, but across many, many areas that we can achieve the functionalities that humans can achieve with the ability to learn and do other things. I think this is and this we can actually measure how far we are. [01:04:34] And that's what makes me excited that we you know, in my lifetime, at least so far, what we've seen is tremendous progress across the different functionalities. And I think it will be really exciting to see where we will be. And again, one way to think about it is the machines which are improving their functionality. Another one is to think about us with our brains, which are imperfect, how they can be accelerated by these technology as it becomes stronger and stronger. [01:05:12] And coming back to another book that I love, flowers for Algernon. Have you read this book? Yes. So that is point that then the patient gets this miracle cure, which changes his brain and all of a sudden this new life in a different way and can do certain things better, but certain things much worse. So you can imagine this kind of computer augmented cognition where it can bring you that now the same way as you know, the cards enable us to get to places where we've never been before. [01:05:47] Can we think differently? Can we think faster? So and we already see a lot of it happening in how it impacts us, but I think we have a long way to go there. [01:05:59] So that's sort of artificial intelligence and technology affecting our augmenting our intelligence as humans. Yesterday, a company called NewLink announced they did this whole demonstration of you saw it. It's the demonstrated brain computer brain machine interface where there's a sewing machine for the brain. [01:06:23] Do you, uh, you know, a lot of that is quite out there in terms of things that some people would say are impossible, but they're dreamers and want to engineer systems like that. Do you see with what you just said, I hope for that more direct interaction with the brain. [01:06:42] I think there are different ways. One is a direct interaction with the brain. And again, there are lots of companies that work in this space. And I think there will be a lot of developments when I'm just thinking that many times we are not aware of our feelings of motivation, what drives us. And like, let me give you a trivial example, our attention. Are a lot of studies to demonstrate that it takes a while to a person to understand that they are not attentive anymore, and we know that there are people who really have strong capacity to hold attention. [01:07:11] The other end of the spectrum, people with AIDS and other issues that they have problem to regulate their attention. Imagine to somebody that you have like a cognitive aid that just alerts you based on your gaze, that your attention is now not on what you are doing. And instead of writing a paper, you are now dreaming of what you are going to do in the evening. So even this kind of simple measurement things how they continuous and they see simple ways with myself. [01:07:39] I have my own bathroom that I go to an empty gym. It kind of records, you know, how much did you run? And you have some points that you can get, some status, whatever. [01:07:50] I said, what is this ridiculous? Think who will ever care about some status in some guess what? So to maintain the status, you have to set a number of points every month. And not only that, they do it every single month. For the last 18 months, it went to the point that I was running, that I was injured. [01:08:11] And when I could run again, I in two days I did like some humongous amount of tests to complete the point. I was clearly not safe because, like, I'm not going to lose my status because I want to get there. So you can already see that this direct measurement and the feedback is, you know, we're looking at video games and see why, you know, the addiction aspect of it. But you can imagine that the same idea can be expanded to many other areas of our life when we really can get feedback. [01:08:43] And imagine, in your case, in relations, when are doing Keywood? Imagine that the person who is generating the key wants that person gets direct feedback before the whole thing explodes. It may be at that point we are going in the wrong direction. We will be really behaving in a defining moment. [01:09:05] So, yes, relationship management is so yeah. That's a fascinating whole area of psychology actually, as well of seeing how our behavior has changed with basically all human relations now have other non-human entities helping us out. So you've you teach a large a huge machine learning course here at MIT. I could ask a million questions, but you've seen a lot of students, what ideas do students struggle with the most as they first enter this world of machine learning? Actually, this year was the first time I started teaching a small machine learning varsity team the results of what I saw in my big machine learning classes to me, Åkerlund, I build maybe six years ago what we've seen that as this area become more and more popular, more and more people might want to take this class and design it for computer science majors. [01:10:07] There were a lot of people who really are interested to learn, but unfortunately their background was not enabling them to do well in the class. And many of them associated machine learning was a struggle and failure primarily for non majors. And that's why we actually started the new class, which we call machine learning from algorithms to modeling, which emphasizes more the modeling aspects of it and focuses on it, has majors and known majors. So we kind of try to extract the relevant parts and make it more accessible because the fact that we're teaching 20 classifiers in standard machine learning class is really a big question really needed. [01:10:51] But it was interesting to see this from first generation of students. You know, when they came back from the internships and from their jobs, what was different and exciting things they can do is that I would never say that you can even apply machine learning to some of them are like Muchin, you know, the deletions and other things like that. I everything everything is a miracle machine learning. You know, that actually brings up an interesting point of computer science in general. [01:11:19] It almost seems maybe I'm crazy, but it almost seems like everybody needs to learn how to program these days. If you're 20 years old or you're starting school, even if you're an English major, it seems it seems like programming unlocks so much possibility in this world. [01:11:38] So when you interact with those non majors, is there skills that they were simply. Lacking at the time that you wish they had and that they learned in high school and so on, like how will it how should education change in this computer computerized world that we live in? [01:11:58] See, because they knew that it is a python component in the class. You know, their python skills were OK. And the class is not really heavy on programming the primitive kind of and parts to the programs. I think it was more of the mathematical barriers and the class begins with the design on the majors was using the notation like big old for complexity and other people who come from different backgrounds just don't have it in the lexicon. And certainly very challenging notion, but they were just not aware. [01:12:29] So I think that, you know, kind of linear algebra and probability, the basics of calculus, multivariate calculus are things that can help. [01:12:37] What advice would you give to students interested in machine learning? Interested. You talked about detecting curing cancer drug design. If they want to get into their field, what what should they do? Get into it and succeed? [01:12:55] As researchers and entrepreneurs are the first good piece of news that right now there are lots of resources that, you know, are treated at different levels and you can find online on your school classes, which are more mathematical and more applied and so on. So you can find a kind of a preacher which preaches in your own language where you can enter the field and you can make many different types of contribution depending of, you know, what is your strengths. [01:13:27] And the second point, I think it's really important to find some area which you would you really care about, and it can motivate your learning and it can be for somebody curing cancer or doing self-driving cars or whatever. But to find an area where, you know, there is data where you believe there are strong patterns and we should be doing it and we're still not doing it, or you can do it better and just stand there and see where it can bring you. [01:13:57] So you've you've been very successful in many directions in life. But you also mentioned Flowers of Organon. And I think I read or listen to you mentioned somewhere that researchers often get lost in the details of their work. This is per our original discussion with cancer and so on. And don't look at the bigger picture, bigger questions of meaning and so on. So let me ask you the impossible question of what's the meaning of this thing, of life, of all of your life, of research. [01:14:33] Why do you think we descendent of great apes are here on this spinning ball? You know, I don't think that I have really a global concern. You know, maybe that's why I didn't go to humanities and they didn't think universities classes in my undergrad. [01:14:56] But the way I'm thinking about each one of us inside of them have their own set of, you know, things that we believe are important. And it just happens that we are busy with achieving various goal of busy listening to others and to kind of try to conform and to be part of the crowd that we don't listen to that part. And, you know, we all should find some time to understand what is our own individual missions and we may have very different missions and to make sure that while we are running 10000 things, we know that, um, you know, missing out and putting all the resources to to satisfy our own mission. [01:15:45] And if I look over my time when I was younger, most of these missions, you know, I was primarily driven by the external stimulus, you know, to to achieve these, to be that. [01:15:58] And now a lot of what they do is driven by really think in what is important for me to to achieve independently of the external recognition. And, you know, I don't mind to be viewed in certain ways. The most important thing for me is to be true to myself, to what I think is right. [01:16:24] How long did it take? How hard was it to find the you the to be true to. [01:16:31] So it takes time. And even now, sometimes, you know, the vanity and the triviality can take a minute. Yeah, it can everywhere. You know, it's just the vanity of them. It's different, the vanity in different places. But we all have our piece of vanity but. [01:16:49] I think actually for me, the many times. The place to to get back to it is, um, when I when I'm alone and also when I read and I think by selecting the right books, you can get the right questions. And learn from what you read. So but again, it's not perfect like anything else dominates or that's a beautiful way to end. [01:17:21] Thank you so much for talking today. Thank you. That's fun. It was fun.

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