第 286 期·中文精讀

奧利弗·斯通:弗拉基米爾·普京與烏克蘭戰爭

Oliver Stone: Vladimir Putin and War in Ukraine

導演回顧多次採訪普京的經歷,談俄烏戰爭、美國媒體敘事與地緣政治中的宣傳與真相。

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中文精讀由 AI 基於原始訪談改寫,非官方翻譯,可能存在偏差或錯誤;表述以原音訊與官方文稿為準。說明

全世界死於核能事故的人數,加起來不到一百。這個數字出自奧利弗·斯通(Oliver Stone)正在剪輯的一部紀錄片。同一場對話裡,他還說了另一句話:美國有可能在頓巴斯引爆一顆一萬噸級的核裝置,再把責任推給俄羅斯。

兩件事放在一起,能看出這個人打量世界的方式。官方給出的敘事版本,他大多不接受,無論物件是原子能,還是戰爭。

斯通拿過三座奧斯卡,提名過十一次,《野戰排》《華爾街》《生於七月四日》《疤面煞星》《刺殺肯尼迪》《尼克松》《斯諾登》都出自他手。他也拍紀錄片,採訪過卡斯特羅、查韋斯、普京。這一次,他和 Lex Fridman 聊了兩個多小時,從核能一路聊到烏克蘭、宣傳機器、共情的技術,最後聊到死亡。

一本讓他焦慮的書

轉機出現在幾年前。他讀到喬舒亞·戈德斯坦(Joshua Goldstein)和一位瑞典合作者合寫的《光明的未來》(A Bright Future),一口氣讀完。書不厚,不繞彎,也不堆術語。

書裡的核心判斷很直接:風能、太陽能該做,但缺口大得嚇人。到 2050 年及以後,全世界的用電量要漲到現在的兩倍、三倍甚至四倍。印度、中國、非洲、亞洲都在往電網裡擠。

讓斯通印象最深的是書裡對美國視角的批評。美國人均能耗全球第一,卻習慣用"我們做得不錯"來安慰自己,很少有人願意看全球這張完整的圖。

填補那個缺口的辦法,兩位作者只給出一個:核能。未來三十年要大規模建反應堆,而且現在就得動工。

斯通用的詞是"嚇到我了"。

他不認為美國會走這條路,因為美國缺少那種政治意志,而恐懼是最大的障礙。反核的禁忌和神話把這片戰場攪得一團亂。環保主義者做過很多好事,救過鯨魚,救過各種物種,與此同時他們也把核能的危險誇大了。

於是就有了這部紀錄片。片長一小時四十分鐘,是從三個半小時的素材裡硬剪出來的。拍攝地點包括俄羅斯、法國、美國,還有愛達荷國家實驗室,跟那裡的科學家和能源部的人聊了很久。

俄羅斯給了他們不少料。烏拉爾山脈的別洛亞爾斯克(Beloyarsk)核電站,斯通認為那裡有全世界最先進的反應堆之一,而且俄方相當配合。

法國是另一個樣本。綠黨成為政治力量之後,奧朗德時期法國一度打算關掉部分反應堆。幸好在馬克龍任內這個方向被扭轉了,現在法國正在儘可能快地建。烏克蘭戰爭又加了一把火,歐洲開始意識到俄羅斯的天然氣未必靠得住。

中國是第三個變數。速度驚人,同時在煤電上也沒停手。印度、中國是全世界最大的煤炭使用者,德國幾年前也回頭去燒煤。

核能到底殺過多少人

斯通擺出的資料是這樣的:在所有發電方式裡,核能造成的傷亡率最低,大約 0.002,低於煤,也低於石油。

切爾諾貝利是最嚴重的一次事故,死亡人數大約五十人。福島沒有人死於輻射。三里島同樣沒有人死亡。

但公眾聽到的版本不是這樣。環保運動幾十年裡反覆強化核能危險的印象,現在開始有人公開改口,承認當年判斷有誤。

斯通把這條敘事的源頭追到了 1956 年。那一年洛克菲勒基金會出了一份關於輻射的研究,發表在《紐約時報》上,而《紐約時報》的發行人蘇茲伯格本人就是基金會董事。那份報告點出的輻射水平按今天的科學標準看非常輕微,但它成功地給核能貼上了危險標籤,改變了五六十年代的輿論走向。

他不覺得這是陰謀,更願意把它叫作競爭。核能會終結石油的統治地位,這一點他毫不懷疑。

"我不覺得那是陰謀,我更願意說是競爭。核能會終結石油的統治地位,這一點毫無疑問。"(奧利弗·斯通)

誰會在核能上領跑?斯通的判斷是不指望聯合國那種全球統一行動,京都那樣的會議開完就散,協議簽了也沒人真正執行。最後一定是各國各幹各的,為了自己的利益往前跑。中國一旦看到核能大規模可行,自然會把煤炭退掉,印度也一樣,因為那些城市裡的空氣實在沒法呼吸。

從 2014 年說起

斯通身上有烏克蘭和俄羅斯的血統。1983 年他去過蘇聯,基輔當時很美,是那一趟裡最好的城市之一,只是整個社會被體制壓得死氣沉沉。他後來說,他在俄羅斯遇到的普通人對他非常特別,開放、慷慨。

他從小接受的是另一套教育。1950 年代的美國,反蘇是一種職業生存條件。他的父親是共和黨人、股票經紀人、二戰上校,聰明過人,也沒能跳出那套世界觀。你想在生意場上混得開,就得在蘇聯問題上站得足夠硬,稍微流露出"要不我們結束冷戰吧"的意思,你就會被當成親共分子邊緣化。

他把這類比到自己的處境上。今天在美國,賬號被封、被限流、被封殺,會影響你的生意,那種壓力和 1950 年代沒有本質區別。

他提到肯尼迪。1962 年古巴導彈危機,肯尼迪在很多人眼裡是好戰派,實際上他最後是和赫魯曉夫談成的,把人類從一場可能波及所有人的戰爭中拉了回來。這件事給他的評價太少了。

然後是 2014 年。斯通在這一年的判斷,和西方主流的版本幾乎處處相左。

他說烏克蘭自 2014 年之後就變成了一個恐怖國家。任何表達對俄烏和解持理解態度的烏克蘭人,都會受到國家層面的威脅。2014 到 2022 年之間,有一批西方人根本不知道的兇殺案,死者裡有記者,有自由派,有敢說話的人。

他採訪過維克托·梅德韋丘克(Viktor Medvedchuk)。這個人被西方媒體塑造成惡棍,但在斯通眼裡,梅德韋丘克是九十年代烏克蘭首任總理庫奇馬政府裡的重要人物,經濟上幹得不錯,而且想得很清楚:他不希望烏克蘭回到俄羅斯,他希望烏克蘭是一個獨立的中立國家,一個能運轉的經濟民主體。中立這兩個字很關鍵。1991 年到 2014 年,烏克蘭一直是中立的。

波羅申科上臺之後,烏克蘭立刻轉向了反蘇的冷戰位置,成了美國的盟友。澤連斯基是以和平綱領當選的,當時全國七成的人希望他和俄羅斯談和。斯通說,他上任之後幾乎什麼都沒做:沒去參加過明斯克協議的執行會談,沒去過俄羅斯,也沒對普京的話做出過任何回應。在斯通看來,烏克蘭右翼的軍事派系在上任之初就把話說清楚了,不許和俄羅斯做任何交易,不許做任何讓步。

他還把賬算到了 2014 到 2022 年這八年上:一萬四千人死亡,其中相當一部分要算在烏克蘭軍隊和那些帶有納粹色彩的營級武裝頭上。他拍過關於薩爾瓦多的電影,對死亡小隊這套東西不陌生。美國在南美、中美扶持右翼準軍事組織的記錄擺在那裡,輪到烏克蘭,美國的主流媒體一句話都不說。

如果那一步沒有走出去

斯通在訪談裡提出過一個反事實推演,這段推演值得單獨拎出來看。

假設 2 月 23 日那天,俄羅斯不出兵。頓巴斯方向上有烏克蘭軍隊的炮火在持續加碼,當地有親俄的武裝準備打。俄羅斯可以怎麼選?

第一種,告訴頓巴斯的人,我們幫不了你,你們自己想辦法,最終會被基輔吸收,拿不到自治,還要付出代價。這條路能走通,但代價是國內的民族主義者會說普京軟弱。"軟弱"這個詞對俄羅斯領導人來說是最重的指控,比什麼都重。

第二種,開啟國門,歡迎頓巴斯的難民進來,幫他們安置。斯通認為這是最理性的方案。問題在於,這麼做等於把球踢給美國,而美國的目標從一開始就是俄羅斯的政權更迭,換上一個新的葉利欽。烏克蘭只是中間那一步,後面還有中國。

"這相當於二戰時德國的目標,世界統治。這一點我心裡毫無疑問,只是我們用的是我們自己的方式,不是希特勒的方式。"(奧利弗·斯通)

Lex 在這個點上追問:如果俄羅斯真的這麼做了,會怎樣?斯通的回答是,那就進入了另一個棋局。頓巴斯回到烏克蘭,大批人死亡,明斯克協議徹底作廢,俄羅斯等下一次挑釁上門,可能是喬治亞。美國找不到任何理由說俄羅斯動了武。制裁不會來,譴責不會來。俄羅斯還握著核武器,牌局重開。

他的問題是:普京能不能接受這樣的結果?

然後他自己承認,這個問題他答不了。我們不知道普京當時拿到了什麼樣的情報評估。他在 3 月 3 日寫過一篇分析,裡面列了俄羅斯犯下的錯誤,那份清單值得原樣記下來。

  1. 低估了烏克蘭的抵抗意志。
  2. 高估了自身軍力實現目標的能力。
  3. 低估了歐洲的反應,尤其是德國,二十年不肯加軍費,一夜之間提高了對北約的貢獻。
  4. 低估了北約被啟用之後的力量,接下來北約會在俄羅斯邊境施加更大壓力。
  5. 很可能把烏克蘭推進了北約。
  6. 低估了對自身經濟的傷害,以及在國內製造的反彈。
  7. 造成了寡頭階層內部一次重大的權力重組。
  8. 把集束炸彈和真空彈投入了戰場。
  9. 低估了社交媒體在全球的傳播力。

他自己在同一篇文章裡寫得很清楚:美國自己賬上有一堆侵略戰爭,這構不成普京侵略烏克蘭的理由。十幾個錯加在一起也不等於一個對。俄羅斯入侵烏克蘭,是錯的。

2 月 23 日那天在發生什麼

斯通提到了一個被西方媒體略過的細節。

2 月 24 日之前的那些天,在烏克蘭當地監督停火的歐洲安全與合作組織觀察員,記錄到了從烏克蘭一側射向頓巴斯的炮火在持續加重。按他的說法,烏克蘭在邊境上集結了十一萬兵力,計劃是要打進頓巴斯。俄羅斯在對面集結了大約十三萬。

雙方都在增兵。但你在西方媒體上讀不到這個,你讀到的版本是俄羅斯單方面把軍隊堆上去,目標不只是頓巴斯,還包括推翻基輔政府。斯通說,這些都是假設。

所以普京為什麼要在那個時候動手?斯通給了三種可能:瘋狂、誤判,或者一次冷靜的戰略計算然後算錯了。

他傾向於相信是計算過的。他認識的那個人在訪談裡從來沒有失態過,從來不發脾氣,用的是"我們的夥伴"這樣的措辭來形容美國,斯通當時還勸他別再這麼說了。

但過去幾個月,他感覺這個人身上有些東西變了。可能是癌症,可能是新冠期間的隔離。斯通提到普京那段時間要隔著十碼、上百碼的距離和人開會,長期脫離正常的人類接觸,這會影響判斷。

如果還能再問普京一次,他會問什麼?他說他會問:2 月 23 日那天,你到底在想什麼?如果走第二條路,把頓巴斯放下,開啟邊境接納難民,美國下一步會做什麼?這個問題的答案,可能是我們這個時代最關鍵的一件事。

《奇愛博士》和一萬噸級的可能性

斯通給普京放過《奇愛博士》(Dr. Strangelove)。

他想讓普京看看,庫布里克鏡頭下的美國決策層是什麼樣子:升級的荒誕、戰爭的荒誕、核戰爭的荒誕。他說庫布里克在這部片和《光榮之路》裡都表現出了一種反戰的和平主義立場,這部電影在美國歷史上是里程碑式的。

為什麼放這部片?因為他從六十年代走過來,那時候離核戰爭真的很近。

1983 年裡根的"優秀射手"(Able Archer)演習,差點把蘇聯拖進誤判。大韓航空 007 號班機被擊落。八十年代這類事件不止一次。

再往前,1962 年肯尼迪和參謀長聯席會議、中情局開會討論過一份計劃:對蘇聯和中國發動先發制人的核打擊。那份計劃叫 SIOP-62,源頭可以追溯到艾森豪威爾時期。斯通說,美國從來沒有放棄先發制人的選項,俄羅斯的核政策姿態反而更偏防禦。

1997 年前後,新保守派寫下了那份"美國新世紀計劃",核心句子是:不允許出現任何能與美國匹敵的力量。這句話範圍極寬,什麼都能裝進去,包括核武器。

美國退出的條約可以排一串。2002 年退出反導條約,2019 年退出中導條約。在斯通看來,跟這樣一個國家做外交談判,幾乎不可能。

接下來是他的推斷裡最刺人的一段。

  • 如果頓巴斯爆了一顆一萬噸級的核裝置,死幾千人,第一時間沒人知道是誰幹的。
  • 但輿論會立刻指向俄羅斯,哪怕俄羅斯沒有任何動機。
  • 美國做這種假旗行動,並非不可能。這會是一次把戰爭一筆勾銷、宣佈重大勝利的戲劇性方案。

Lex 的回應是"這太可怕了"。斯通的回答是:是的,但它可能發生。

他接著講了敘利亞。那幾年,在阿薩德和俄羅斯身上,類似的化武指控反覆出現,每一次都指向同一個結論。可俄羅斯早在幾年前就銷燬了化學武器庫存並簽署了協議。白頭盔組織名聲很大,但裡面有腐敗。羅伯特·帕裡(Robert Parry)等一批記者做過溯源,指出指控裡的矛盾,而禁止化學武器組織的調查組內部有人辭職,公開說那份報告不合法。

特朗普任內有一次敘利亞化武事件之後沒有發動打擊,美國電視臺的主播們公開說他"終於像個真正的總統了",意思是該投導彈了。斯通認為這條鏈條一直沒有斷過。

他點名了維多利亞·紐蘭(Victoria Nuland)。"我們的人上臺了""去他的歐盟",這些都是她留下的名言。斯通說她現在又回來了,還放話說如果俄羅斯動用任何核武器,會付出可怕的代價。這句話出來之後,美國各大電視臺的節目突然集體開始談核。

"如果你仔細想想,美國讓我害怕。"(奧利弗·斯通)

能不能從核戰爭的邊緣走回來?斯通的答案是能。靠什麼?理性,加上外交。他給拜登的建議很樸素:別激動,飛去莫斯科,和普京坐在同一張桌子前面,試著談一次,不要一開口就掉進意識形態裡。

牆的問題

Lex 把話題拉到宣傳上:西方有牆,俄羅斯有牆,中國有牆,印度也有牆。這些牆怎麼辦?

斯通的回答從委內瑞拉講起。當年美國說查韋斯控制媒體,他飛過去一看,報紙上全是罵查韋斯的,因為那些報紙屬於恨他的寡頭。查韋斯這才搞了國家電視臺,自己買版面說話。

在俄羅斯,他看到的是批評存在,但有一條線:你不能公開呼籲推翻政府。他把這條線類比到美國,在美國呼籲推翻政府,你同樣會惹上大麻煩。

Lex 在這裡給出了不同的觀察。他在俄羅斯有家人,他說他接觸到的俄羅斯人身上有一種恐懼和麻木,質地和美國不一樣。他想要的是所有人都能活得舒展,其中包括俄羅斯人。

斯通的回應是,他印象裡俄羅斯媒體的自由度比西方描繪的高得多,觀點是多元的。他說俄羅斯人是世界上最愛爭論的民族,莫斯科的知識分子多到你想不到,從 1870 年代沙皇時期就在和政府鬥,知識階層反政府是一條歷史傳統。

但他對中國的判斷更重。防火牆把網際網路切斷,他在中國也遇到過麻煩,因為他早年說過要拍毛澤東,要拍他的負面,要有勇氣面對自己的歷史。他說中國對批評的敏感程度遠高於俄羅斯。

然後他調轉槍口指向西方自己。英國當年對付愛爾蘭共和軍,把格里·亞當斯徹底從英國的電波里抹掉。法國在阿爾及利亞戰爭期間禁掉了庫布里克的《光榮之路》,一禁就是二十年。他得出的結論是:民主國家一旦感覺受到威脅,審查就會立刻變成生活方式。

"一個健康的民主,應該能接住全世界的批評,聳聳肩說,這就是我們的國家好在哪裡。"(奧利弗·斯通)

他也談了馬斯克收購推特。他說推特已經變成了審查之城,所有大平臺都是,馬斯克至少是一種抵抗。他對馬斯克的評價是"他是個說真話的人",不管這個人有多少錢,說真話本身就是好東西。

主權這個詞

2007 年慕尼黑安全會議,普京做了一場關於世界平衡的演講。斯通記得那個畫面:約翰·麥凱恩坐在臺下,臉上掛著一種輕蔑的笑。他把那個笑當作一個象徵,象徵美國對俄羅斯態度的轉折點。

普京在那次演講裡講的是一個詞:主權。中國的主權,俄羅斯的主權,伊朗、委內瑞拉、古巴的主權。斯通認為這個概念對新世界的平衡至關重要,而美國從來不接受它。你要麼服從美國定義的民主與自由,要麼就是問題。

這套邏輯的背後,就是那句"不允許出現匹敵的力量"。誰開始變得有力量,就敲掉誰。斯通認為這條路走不通,也不相信它能走通,但它確實是美國正在執行的政策。

他拍了四年普京,前後四五次對話,總計四個小時。他說普京從來沒有提過一個限制條件,沒要求過審片,沒要求過刪減,想問什麼都可以。卡斯特羅和查韋斯也是這樣。

權力會不會腐蝕人?Lex 問得很直接。斯通的回答是他沒看到腐蝕。他看到的是一個平衡、冷靜的人,從不發火。他提到普京的兩個女兒,一個做科研,一個在另一個專業裡做得很好,家裡保持著相當的尊重。他還提到普京對葉利欽的態度:不管外界怎麼嘲諷葉利欽酗酒、無能,普京在訪談裡一句壞話都不肯說。葉利欽為什麼把權力交給他?因為看重他的工作倫理和成熟度。

那麼他是不是一個誠實的人?斯通的回答是"我認為是"。關於"他是全世界最富有的人"這種指控,他覺得很荒唐,因為那個人既不那樣生活,也不那樣行事。

他反覆強調一個區分:人們說"普京做了這個""普京做了那個",其實做事的是俄羅斯。把國家人格化成一個人,再加上三十年不間斷的負面描寫,這個人在公眾心裡就會變成一個奧威爾式的固定形象:他當然是個壞人。

他舉了一個技術性的例子。美國電視臺播普京的訪談時,用的是配音,找一個俄語口音更狠的配音演員,讓他聽起來像個隨時要拿鞋敲桌子的人。斯通自己的版本保留了原聲和同傳。他說克里姆林宮的翻譯水平極高,受過幾個月甚至幾年的專門訓練。但就算有最好的翻譯,俄語裡那種乾澀的、帶點悲傷的幽默還是會流失,同傳只能傳達事實,傳不了字裡行間的東西。

共情不是同情

Lex 拿出了一個最難的假設:如果讓你採訪 1939 年的希特勒,你會怎麼做?

斯通的回答很乾脆:坐下來,共情。"你有什麼怨氣?你經歷過什麼?你為什麼恨猶太人?"所有這些問題都該問。一戰之後的屈辱感是他的心理基礎,這些背景需要被理解。

他補充了一段歷史。1938 年,張伯倫在談,丘吉爾也在試圖和德國達成某種交易。丘吉爾真正想要的是讓希特勒掉頭去打俄羅斯,用他去消滅布林什維克。希特勒拿下法國之後沒有立刻去打英國,因為他心裡始終有一個東方目標。

斯通的電影方法論就在這裡。他拍《尼克松》不是因為喜歡尼克松,他拍《W.》也不是因為認可小布什。他用的詞是共情,共情和同情是兩回事。

"劇作家沒有政治立場,他只是在別人的鞋子裡走路。反派通常把自己看成英雄,你必須去想,活在一個把自己當英雄的世界裡,是什麼感覺。"(奧利弗·斯通)

他說美國記者採訪普京的方式剛好相反。一上來就是"普京先生,你為什麼毒死這個人?""你為什麼殺人?"這種提問是在給自己掙積分,不是想弄明白任何事情。他想看到的是那層共情,哪怕提問很尖銳,底色上也該是"我想理解你這個人"。

他的這套方法也被反噬過。普京訪談播出後,美國輿論一片敵意,很多人沒看過就開罵。他上過一個著名深夜節目,主持人四個小時的內容一分鐘沒看,就把他當成"普京的支持者"當場批判,觀眾跟著鼓掌。他說那是他做過最糟糕的電視節目之一,最後只能閉嘴下臺。

肯尼迪之後的那條線

訪談裡有一段關於肯尼迪的延伸,值得單獨拿出來。

斯通認為,肯尼迪活下來,冷戰可能不會發生。他拍過《刺殺肯尼迪》,2021 年又出了紀錄片《重訪 JFK》。他的判斷是,肯尼迪一死,林登·約翰遜立刻回到了艾森豪威爾和杜魯門那條老路上,那是二戰以來美國預設的思維方式。

他往前追到羅斯福。羅斯福從 1945 年開始,有十五年左右的視窗期,他承認了蘇聯,派了友善的大使,和斯大林建立了關係。到肯尼迪這裡,一個愛爾蘭裔天主教徒開始嘗試改變帝國主義的思維定式:在中東和內賽爾打交道,在印尼和蘇加諾打交道,在拉美推"進步聯盟",在非洲為盧蒙巴的死在聯合國奔走,和達格·哈馬舍爾德一起維護剛果的完整。結果是哈馬舍爾德死了,肯尼迪也死了,剛果掉進蒙博託的獨裁裡。

再往後是卡特。卡特一度重啟了對話,然後布熱津斯基來了。斯通說布熱津斯基是洛克菲勒安排進去的,是個波蘭人,他把 1979 年蘇聯入侵阿富汗當成一個設好的陷阱,而且早在 1978 年就說過這個陷阱的存在。

然後里根喊出了"邪惡帝國",氣氛再次收緊。1986 年到 1991 年是斯通記憶裡最好的幾年,戈爾巴喬夫帶來的鬆動讓世界重新開始相信和平紅利。但 1991 年蘇聯解體時,大約三千萬俄羅斯人留在了國境之外,他們一夜之間失去了歸屬。這個數字至今還在影響今天的一切。

愛與死亡

話題最後落到兩個最基礎的問題上。

愛在人生裡是什麼位置?斯通的回答是,沒有愛他撐不下去。愛的能力是人能擁有的最大美德,它讓你把自己延伸出去,延伸到家人、孩子、伴侶身上,也延伸到整個人類。他說這是偉大作家和偉大藝術家的力量來源。

他對科學家有一種警惕。他接觸過一些科學家,身上帶著傲慢,圈子是封閉的,你不懂他的世界他就不和你說話。這種傲慢讓他害怕,因為它離封閉只有一步之遙,而封閉的心智碰上蠱惑人心的領袖,就會變成歷史上最壞的那些事。科學家也可能成為殘酷棋局裡的棋子。

給年輕人什麼建議?他說他不太夠格,三個孩子都是自由長大的,孩子的人生終究是他們自己的。如果讓他在課堂上講課,他會先說一句:要去接受教育,不能只看電影,電影撐不起一個人的完整視野。

他講了自己在紐約大學上過的一門希臘古典課。他是拿了退伍軍人法案的老兵,比同學都大,那門課在電影學院之外。老師叫利希,讓他第一次讀懂荷馬的世界。他在回憶錄《追逐光明》裡專門寫了這位老師教給他的兩個詞:一個是意識,來自《奧德賽》的主題;另一個是 lethe,意思是沉睡和遺忘。奧德修斯船上大部分水手都在 lethe 裡,唯一重要的事情是保持清醒。

死亡呢?怕嗎?怕,但比年輕時怕得少。他在越南待過,當時以為自己已經把這件事想通了,回來之後才發現,他還想活著。他說那種感受很具體:活著就是比躺在叢林裡的那些屍體更好。

生命的意義是什麼?他的回答帶著佛教的調子。生命是一盞在強風裡燃燒的燈,四周全是導致死亡的原因。在這段短暫的時間裡,人能做的就是意識到自己是什麼,意識到生命有多珍貴,然後去珍惜它,去增長它。

"生命如此珍貴,死亡又如此迫近。而在這段人生裡,要醒來,看到它的珍貴。"(奧利弗·斯通)

訪談的結尾,Lex 引了斯通在《美國不為人知的歷史》裡的一句話:失敗並不悲慘,生而為人,才悲慘。

可以從這場對話裡帶走的幾件事

  • 遇到一個和你立場相反的人,先問他具體情境下會怎麼選,別先問他做得對不對。斯通給希特勒設計的問題句式是"你有什麼怨氣",這套思路可以搬到很多場合。
  • 把共情和同情分開放。理解一個人的處境和認同他的行為,是兩件事,混在一起就什麼都談不下去。
  • 讀衝突類新聞時,主動去找被略過的那段背景。俄烏這件事上,2014 到 2022 年的八年是理解整件事的鑰匙,只看 2022 年 2 月 24 日之後的報道,前後對不上。
  • 當一個話題上所有媒體口徑完全一致,把它標記為可疑。一致性本身需要解釋。這可能意味著共識紮實,也可能意味著另一方發不出聲。
  • 區分事實和框架。同一個資料可以裝進完全不同的敘事裡,核能傷亡率是 0.002,這個數字在不同人嘴裡會變成完全不同的結論。
  • 聽核武器相關表態時,留意是誰先說、什麼時候說、說完之後媒體怎麼跟。斯通的觀察是,討論某個話題本身有時就是在做準備。
  • 對能源問題少談立場,多看數字。誰的人均能耗最高,誰在建反應堆,誰的煤電在增長,這些比口號有用。
  • 保持幾種立場不同的信源。斯通的做法是找一位真正讀過原始文獻的專家,比如已故的斯蒂芬·科恩,而不是靠網上二手資訊拼圖。
  • 警惕圈子化的專業傲慢,無論它來自科學界、金融界還是技術圈。封閉的圈子碰上權力,代價通常由外面的人承擔。
  • 保持清醒,這是斯通從《奧德賽》裡帶出來的那個詞。大部分水手在沉睡,醒著的那個負責把船開回去。
文稿來自公開 Kaggle 資料集(rajneesh231/lex-fridman-podcast-transcript),為早期自動轉錄存檔,可能存在識別錯誤。
If you could talk to Vladimir Putin once again now, what kind of things would you talk about here? What kind of questions would you ask? The following is a conversation with Oliver Stone. He's one of the greatest filmmakers of all time with three Oscar wins and 11 Oscar nominations. His films tell stories of war and power, fearlessly and often controversially, shining a light on the dark parts of American and global history. His films include Platoon, Wall Street, Born on the 4th of July, Scarface, JFK, Nixon, Alexander, W, Snowden, and documentaries where he has interviewed some of the most powerful and consequential people in the world, including Fidel Castro, Hugo Chavez, and Vladimir Putin. And in this conversation, Oliver and I mostly focus our discussion on Vladimir Putin, Russia, and the war in Ukraine. My goal with these conversations is to understand the human being before me, to understand not just what they think, but how they think, to steel man their ideas, and to steel man the devil's advocate, all in service of understanding, not derision. I have done this poorly in the past. I'm still struggling with this, but I'm working hard to do better. I believe the moment we draw lines between good people and evil people will lose our ability to see that we're all one people in the most fundamental of ways, and will lose track of the deep truth expressed by the old Solzhenitsyn line that I return to time and time again, that the line between good and evil runs through the heart of every man. Oliver Stone has a perspective that he extensively documents in his powerful controversial series, The Untold History of the United States, that imperialism and the military industrial complex paved the path to absolute power, and thus corrupt the minds of the leaders and institutions that wield it. From this perspective, the way out of the humanitarian crisis and human suffering in Ukraine, and the way out from the pull of the beating drums of nuclear war is not simple to understand, but we must, because all of humanity hangs in the balance. I will talk to many people who seek to understand the way out of this growing catastrophe, including to historians, to leaders, and perhaps most importantly, to people on the ground in Ukraine and Russia, not just about war and suffering, but about life, friendship, family, love, and hope. This is the Lex Friedman podcast. To support it, please check out our sponsors in the description, and now, dear friends, here's Oliver Stone. You're working on a documentary now about nuclear energy. Yes. So it's interesting to talk about this. Energy is such a big part of the world, about geopolitics of the world, about the way the world is. What do you think is the role of nuclear energy in the 21st century? Good question, and first of all, obviously everyone's talking about climate change, right? So here I wake up to that a few years ago, and clearly were concerned. I picked up a book by Josh Goldstein and his coauthor, who's Swedish. Those two wrote a book called A Bright Future. It came out a few years ago, and I lapped it up. It was a book, fact based, clear, not too long, and not too technical, and it was very clear that they were in favor of all kinds of renewables, renewable energy, yes. They made it very clear how dangerous oil and gas were, methane, and made it very clear to the layman like me, and at the same time said that these renewables could work so far, but the gap is enormous as to how much electricity the world is gonna need in 2050 and beyond, two, three, four times. We don't even know the damage, but we have India, we have China, we have Africa, we have Asia coming onto the scene wanting more and more electricity. So they address the problem as a global one, not just as often in the United States. You get the ethnocentric United States point of view that we know we're doing well, blah, blah, blah. We're not doing well, but we sell that to people that we're comfortable. We spend more energy than anybody, this country per capita, than anybody, and at the same time, we don't seem to understand the global picture, so that's what they did, and they made me very worried. So the only way to close that gap, the only way in their mind is nuclear energy, and talking about a gap of building a huge amount of reactors over the next 30 years, and starting now, they make that point over and over again. So obviously this country, the United States, is not gonna go in that direction, because it just is incapable of having that kind of will, political will, and fear is a huge factor, and still a lot of shibboleths, a lot of myths about nuclear energy have confused and confounded the landscape. The environmentalists have played a huge role in doing good things, many good things, but also confusing and confounding the landscape, and making accusations against nuclear energy that were exaggerated. So taking all these things into consideration, we set about making this documentary, which is about finished now, almost finishing. It's an hour and 40 minutes, and that was a hard part, getting it down from about three and a half hours to about this, something more manageable, and is it interviews? It's interviews, among others, but essentially we went to Russia, we went to France, which is the most, perhaps, advanced nuclear country in the world, Russia, and the United States. We went to the Idaho laboratory, and talked to the scientists there, as well as the Department of Energy people that are handling this. Idaho is one of the experimental labs, the United States is probably one of the most advanced, and they're doing a lot of advanced nuclear there. We also, we studied, well, Russia gave us a lot of insight. We're very cooperative, because they have some of the most advanced nuclear, actually the probably most advanced nuclear reactor in the world, at Beloyarsk, at the Ural Mountains. So we did an investigation there, and in France they have some very advanced nuclear reactors and they're building, and now they're building again. The Green Party came into power, just not into power, but became a factor in France, and there was a motion when Hollande was president, they started to move away from it. Actually, they were beginning to just abandon, they let, not complete, in other words, close down some of the nuclear reactors, there was talk of that, but thank God, France did not do that, and Macron came in and recently reversed it, reversed it, and they're building as fast as they can now, especially with the Ukraine war going on, there's an awareness that Russia will not be providing, may not be providing the energy Europe needs. So, and then China is the other one too, that's the other factor, I'm talking about the big boys. They have, doing tremendous work and fast, which is very hopeful, but of course, China is building in all directions at once, coal continues to be huge in China, and methane too, but basically coal, coal in India, in China, have the biggest users of coal, and as you know, Germany went back to coal a few years ago, so all these factors, it's a fascinating picture globally, so we try to achieve a consensus that where nuclear can work and where it will be working, where it will be used more and more, the question is how much carbon dioxide China and Russia will be putting out. France is the only one that's not putting it out. The United States has not changed, with all the talk and all the nonsense about renewables and the new lifestyle and all this, it's great for your guilt complex, but it doesn't do anything for the total accumulation of carbon dioxide in the world. Who's gonna lead the way on nuclear, do you think? You mentioned Russia, France, China, United States, who's gonna lead? Yeah, I don't think it's gonna be a United Nations kind of thing, because the world doesn't seem capable of uniting. We go to these conferences, Kyoto, and we talk and we agree, but then we don't actually enforce, so I don't think it can happen that way. I think it's gonna be an individual race with countries. They're gonna just do it for their own self interest, like China's doing it. China, the thing is, if it works, and I'm praying that it will really work on a big scale, China will back away from coal naturally. The same thing will be true of India. They will see the benefits, because if you go to India, you see the cities, the pollution. You walk around in that stuff, and you get, it's not, there's no hope in this, and you sense it. So people will move in this direction naturally, because nuclear is clean energy. And the amount of casualties of nuclear is the lowest on the industrial scale for energy producing, from coal down to oil, everything. The lowest casualty rate, very lowest, .002 or something, is nuclear. So not that many people have died from nuclear. Not that many, I think 50 people at Chernobyl, which was the worst accident. Nobody had died at Fukushima. Nobody died at Three Mile Island, and that's what you hear all over and over again, these accidents. The environmentalists have sold us the idea that they're dangerous. And it's, a lot of environmentalists, thank God, are changing, they've come off that routine, and they've saying, this, we were wrong. We've done a lot of good work. Greenpeace did a lot of good work. Whale, whales, saving this, saving that. But they admit themselves, not they don't, but people who have been in the organization have said, we were wrong. In 1956, we show the articles in the New York Times that came out, the Rockefeller Foundation, which of course is a big producer of oil, the Rockefeller family, and the foundation came out with a study, which was weighted. They tipped the scale, put a thumb on the scale, but it was a scientific expose of radiation in the study that came out, printed in the New York Times, because the New York Times publisher, Salzburger, was on their board, he was one of the board members. So they got a lot of strong publicity condemning radiation, which killed, started the process of doubting nuclear energy. The radiation levels that they pointed out were very minor, and of course, if you go into a scientific analysis of this now with what we know, it's just not true. But it tilted the scale back in the 50s, 60s, and started the questioning the nuclear business. Do you think that was malevolence or incompetence? No, I think it was competition. I don't think it was conspiracy as much as it was essentially, we don't want this, nuclear energy's gonna end the dominance of oil, absolutely, and it will. And it will anyway, because it's the only sane way for the world to proceed. But the world will have to learn through adversity. So in other words, this situation could get worse, much worse, and certain countries are just gonna have to adapt, like we always do. When things become too hard, you've got to go, you have to change your thinking. And humans are pretty good at that. Yes, talking about human nature, they're very adept at that, Germany, for example. I mean, they were, when the Fukushima happened, they went out of the nuclear business. That was shocking to me. They just pulled out and they destroyed, destructed several of their nuclear reactors who were still functioning, and put up coal, or yeah, put up coal and oil, replaced it. And as a result, Germany drifted into this place next to France, their electricity bills went up, and France stayed the same. They don't have that, they have a different system in Europe, but more or less, no question that France was doing a lot better than Germany. And now, with this Ukraine issue, it's a very interesting fulcrum point, whether Germany is, what direction they're gonna go now. How can they, how can they keep going with coal? They just can't. What's the connection between oil, coal, nuclear, and war? Sort of energy and conflict. When you look at the 21st century, when you were doing this documentary, were you thinking of nuclear as a way to power the world, but is it also to avoid conflict over resources? Is there some aspect to energy being a source of conflict that we're trying to avoid? I don't have the energy, the history of energy at my fingertips, and it's a very long history here. But I would say, apparently not. It does seem that individually, each country can answer its needs by building. And up until now, we haven't had conflict, except in this issue of Russia supplying Europe. Obviously, the pipeline, Nord Stream 2 has been closed, and Nord Stream 1 is also probably gonna be phased out. And the concept of Russia supplying gas to Europe is now up in the air, and who knows what's gonna happen. I just don't see how Europe can get away from using Russian gas. But Russian gas is not the solution, because it's methane, too, and it goes up into the atmosphere. Methane, in the short term, is worse than coal, worse. There's all kinds of charts we show in the film. We try not to be too overfactual, but methane is not the answer. It's a short term answer. Will countries go to war over energy is a question that I'm trying to think of all the wars that happened. You could say Germany, of course, during World War II needed oil very badly, and it dictated their strategy with Romania, et cetera, and getting the oil fields open. But I haven't thought that one through. I'd have to make a documentary on it to really understand how energy and war interface. It's always part of the calculation, but it's a question of how much. Right, that's the question. I just have to ask, because you mentioned your mom was from France, you've traveled for this documentary, and you traveled in general throughout the world in Russia, Ukraine. What are the defining characteristics of these cultures? Let's go with Russia. So as I told you, I'm half Ukrainian, half Russian. I came from that part of the world. What are some interesting, beautiful aspects of the culture of Russia and Ukraine? I can't really speak honestly of Ukraine. I was there only in 1983 when I visited the Soviet Union under the communism, and Kiev was beautiful and was one of the nicer places I went, but they were very much stultified by the communist system, they all were. The best places to visit in Russia were always in the South, whether Georgia or the Muslim countries, it was always a better culture in terms of comfort. But communism was rough, and that was the end of it, pretty much Brezhnev regime, and then Andropov. Gorbachev was three years in the future when I was there. So I can't talk about Ukraine, and they've not been friendly to me since ISIS, of course, since I made the Putin interviews, you know, Ukraine has banned me, I believe, they've been very tough on people who are critical. I think the Russian people have been very special to me, and perhaps because of my European upbringing, but I enjoy talking to them, I find them very open, very generous, and they appreciate support, they appreciate people who say, you know, I understand why your government is doing this or this or this, I've tried to stay open minded and listen to both sides. The thing that I have seen as an American is, of course, this American enmity towards Russia from the very beginning. I grew up in 1940, 46, I was born in the 50s, it was so anti Russian, they were everywhere, they were in our schools, they were in our State Department, they were spying on us, they were stealing the country from us, that was the way the American right wing, not even the right wing, I'd say the Republican party, pictured the Russians, they were actively engaged in infiltrating America and changing our thinking. And television shows were based on this, it was very much the J. Edgar Hoover mentality that communism was even behind the student protests of the 1960s, this was the direction in which the FBI and the CIA were thinking. So I grew up with a prejudice, and it took me many years, my father was a Republican and he was a stockbroker and he was a very intelligent man, but even he, because he was a World War II soldier, he was a colonel, had fallen under the influence. In order to be successful in American business in the 1950s, you had to have a very strong anti Soviet line, very strong, you wouldn't get ahead. If you expressed any kind of, let's end this Cold War, any kind of activity of that nature, you'd be cast aside as a pinko or somebody who was not completely on the board with the American way of doing business, which was capitalism works, communism doesn't. And in particular, communism was embodied by the Soviet Union as the enemy. So hence the narrative behind the Cold War. Behind the Cold War, that's correct, and it basically lasted, I mean, you saw the ups and downs of it. When Reagan came in, I was, well, first of all, we had the crisis of 1962 with the Cuban Missile Crisis, and Kennedy proved himself to be a warrior for peace. He resolved that with Khrushchev. That was a big moment, huge moment, and people don't give him credit enough for really saving us from a war that could have affected all of mankind. But it still didn't avert. he didn't assess the operation correctly. Remember this. Mr. Putin has had this cancer, and I think he's licked it, but he's also been isolated because of COVID. And some people would argue that the isolation from normal activity, which he was meeting people face to face, but all of a sudden he was meeting people across the table 100 yards away, or whatever, 10 yards away, it was very hard. Perhaps he lost touch with, contact with people. So it's not just power, it's the very simple fact that you're just distant from humans. As I say, I'm speculating, I don't know. I see that, and I also, perhaps he thought in his mind that there would be a faster resolution that the Ukrainian, because the evidence had been that the Ukrainian Russians, the Ukrainian army had folded so many times, and that they were only backed up and they were stiffened by the resistance of the Nazi oriented Azov battalions. That was a factor, of course. And that is a big factor for the Russians because these people are very tough, they rush. See, what people don't understand is that Ukraine, since 2014, has been a terror state. They've been run, anytime a Ukrainian has expressed any understanding of the Russian Ukrainian position, they've been threatened by the state. From 2014 to 2022, there's been a set of hideous murders that people don't even know about in the West. Journalists, people who speak out, liberals, people who, I interviewed Viktor Medvedev, who they make out to be some kind of horrible person, but Medvedev was a very important figure in the administration of Khushma, the first Ukrainian Prime Minister in the 1990s, and he did a great job on the economy. He was a very thoughtful man. If you'll see my interview, it's called Ukraine Revealed. He's very thoughtful about the future of Ukraine. He doesn't want to go back and join Russia. He wants it to be an independent country. Ukraine is independent, and he wants it to be a functioning economic democracy, more or less, a democracy, if you can get that, that exists in a neutral state, a neutral state, which Ukraine used to be before 2014. It was neutral from 1991 to 2014, neutral, very important. Under Poroshenko, it just immediately went into an anti Soviet Cold War position as an ally of the United States, and my point was that it was a very dangerous place in Ukraine. People were being killed, death squads were out there. Medvedev, they stripped him of his television stations very suddenly, this is Zelensky, the new president. Zelensky was elected on a peace platform, remember that. 70% of the country was for him to make peace with Russia. Did he ever even try to make peace with Russia? Did he attend any of the Minsk Two agreements? Did he visit, did he pay any attention to the Minsk? Did he pay attention to Putin? Did he go to Russia? No, not at all. The moment he got into office, I'm convinced that the militant sector of the right sector parties of Ukraine let him know that you will not make a deal with Russia, there'll be no concessions to Russia. This is very dangerous. This is where this attitude that's very, very hostile to Russia has hurt us. The whole world is being hurt by this, and no one calls them out. No one calls them out. Zelensky backed off from his platform as running for president, and as president, has been ineffective, did nothing to promote it. On the contrary, went the other way, and seemed to support the Ukrainian aggression. Well, he found his support in this war. You've revealed through your work some of the most honest and dark aspects of war. Nevertheless, this is a war, and there's a humanitarian crisis. Millions of people, refugees, escape in Ukraine. What do you think about the human cost of this war, initiated by whoever, just as you write, whatever the context, whatever NATO, whatever pressure, as you wrote, Russia was wrong to invade. Okay, yeah, let's get back to that original question. You said, what was he thinking at that time? We never answered that. Now, by the way, among those people who've been ruined by this war, you have to include the 2014 to 2022 Ukrainian Russians. 14,000 were killed, not necessarily by, some of them by maybe accident and this and that, but certainly a large number of that is responsible to the Ukrainian military and the Nazi related battalions who have done a good job of death squatting that whole area. And remember, I did a film about Salvador. I know a little bit about death squads and how they work, and I know about paramilitaries, because in South America, they're all over the place. America supports, hates Venezuela, goes on about Venezuela, but do they tell you anything about Colombia, its next door neighbor? Colombia for years has been plagued by paramilitaries that are right wing, and the United States has said, nothing about them except occasionally, there's a newspaper report now. So this support of death squads by the United States is all over the world. It's not just in South America and Central America where we see plenty of evidence of it. It's here too, and this is what's horrible about this whole thing, this hypocrisy of America that they can support such evil, such evil. Now, going back to your larger question about, yeah, it's a terrible refugee disaster, but again, we have to get the numbers. Let's get the numbers and get the evidence, because I would ask you, I'm not sure at this point whether more civilians were killed before 2022 in Donbass than have been killed in this latest. So we can't talk about this without, we can't talk about the invasion of Ukraine without considering the full war between Russia and Ukraine since 2014. That's correct, absolutely, and take the toll on both sides, and you might be surprised by the result. I think the Russian military, of course, I'm not there, and I'm not, this is speculation. The Russian military has slowed down, and part of that reason is not to keep the civilian corridors open, and I think the Ukrainian military has made it more difficult on purpose, especially some of these battalions that are death squad battalions have gone out of their way to keep the civilians locked into these cities in danger because it's in their interest to do so. So there's no reason why Ukrainian military, who have killed Ukrainian civilians for years, would change their policies. They would have no compunctions about wiping out, for example, people with white armbands in Bukha. Okay, as to what Putin was thinking at the time, I wondered this, and I still do. I said, okay, so Putin can say, let's say the Ukrainian government wants to now invade Donbass. This is on February 23, and they have artillery, they're peppering the whole place. They're gonna go in, and they're gonna get Donbass back. What do you do? And you have Russian separatists, who are Russian Ukrainians who are on, who are gonna fight. How far do you go in supporting them? Can Russia at this point say, well, we can't help you. You have to get along, you have to somehow, you have to be absorbed by the Kiev, you're gonna be absorbed by them, and they're not gonna give you autonomy, and you have to live with them, and there's gonna be a price to pay. You could do that, and you could also say, well, we open our borders to Donbass. You can come in to our country, you can leave, and we will help you to resettle. And that would be a reasonable approach. So you take it to the next stage, as Putin's thinking. You take it to the next stage. You stall, it's harder for your, of course, there's this pressure on Putin from inside his own government to say, what are you gonna do? I mean, you can't do this, there's a lot of nationalists in Russia. They would certainly bring, it would be to his, they'd say Putin is weak, and that's the biggest rap you can ever give a Russian leader, is you're weak, you can't get anything done. So there would have been some damage, but let's say he goes with that, and he says, okay, we know what the United States intention is. It's to get rid of me, regime change, and to get another Yeltsin in. That's what they want. And they will go to any ends, they will destroy Ukraine if necessary, but they want regime change in Russia. And then after they do that, of course, they'll go after China, but that's the ultimate policy of the United States. This is a country that has no compunctions about going all the way, and it will use hypocrisy and all the news propaganda in the world to get what it wants. This is the equivalent, frankly, of Germany's goals in World War II, world domination. There's no question in my mind, but we're going about it in our way as opposed to Hitler's way. So just to finish your thought, where do they go? What's stage two? Okay, let's say they take, Ukraine takes back Donbas. Let's say people get killed in large quantities. So we now to the next stage, we're finished with the Minsk II agreements that were never adhered to. So what does Russia do? They wait for the next aggression, which is gonna come in one form or another. Perhaps in Georgia, I don't know what happened, what the US is thinking, but the US cannot say Russia has done anything. They have not used violence to stop Donbas from belonging back to Ukraine, right? So you're in a new setup now. It's a whole thing rearranges. Now you have, but you still have nuclear weapons, and you still have a Russian nuclear weapons, and they're serious weapons. They're very well developed, crude, but not as refined as the American nuclear force, but powerful. That becomes another game. Then you open another chess board, and you still haven't been condemned. The sanctions haven't been imposed. That's a new, it's a new game. Could he have done, could he have lived with that? That's the question I ask myself. So you see ultimately Ukraine today as a battleground for the proxy war between Russia and the United States. The United States would have then NATOized Ukraine, or certainly put more weapons in. The United States has already done a lot in Ukraine with intelligence, with training advisors. The intelligence aspect of the Ukrainian army has been raised enormously by the United States contribution. Is it possible for you to steal man, to play devil's advocate against yourself, and say that Vladimir Zelensky is fighting for the sovereignty of his nation? And in a way against Russia, but also against the United States, it just happens that for now, the United States is a useful ally. But ultimately, the man, the leader, is fighting for the sovereignty of his nation. I would think, he thinks so. Yes, and he could say that. But he's not acknowledging that the sovereignty of his nation was stolen in 2014 with the coup d'tat that brought this right sector into power, and they have controlled the country since then. It's thuggery, what they've done. The Medvedev case is a case in point. They just take what they need. They go to a house, and they have a, how many people have been killed? Serious people, journalists killed by these battalions. That's what people don't realize. In other words, you can't speak out. A person like me would have been on the death list on day five. There's no opposition to Zelensky, so he doesn't have a real sovereignty. It was a stolen sovereignty. Do you think President Zelensky would accept an interview with you today? Actually, since I made Ukraine on Fire, a documentary which perhaps you've seen, which records the incidents of 2014 and the Maidan demonstrations, and shows you the dishonesty behind it, no, I think that they've been very negative, and they would kill me if I was in Ukraine. I mean, they don't have any, these people are very tough. These are as rough as they come, in my opinion, and I've seen rough in my life. I mean, these guys are not playing fair at all. These are death squads. No, I don't think, and Zelensky would have nothing to do with it, but of course, it would be dangerous for me, and they've been very hostile in their policies to any Ukrainians abroad who are also threatened. In other words, you could be in Paris, but if you speak out too much, I think Ukrainians know that they're gonna be targeted, and I think that's part of the reason they don't talk. A lot of them, you have to take the anti Russian line, but I think a lot of them are divided. So you think you would be killed, and Zelensky wouldn't even know about it, so there is? Well, I don't think, if I was killed certainly abroad, no, they wouldn't kill me abroad. I think they'd figure out a way. No, no, no, no, if you traveled to Ukraine, I mean. I wouldn't get in, I wouldn't get in, except through Donbass, I'd come through. There are some Americans in Donbass who are reporting on the war there, and I read their reports, actually. They're pretty interesting, because they show you the cruelty of what's going on, but never mentioned in the West, never. That's what's so strange about this. This is a modern world that we're living in, and yet this information is not coming out to the mass of the people, and on the contrary, the United States has closed down all the information centers that are possible to alternative news getting to the American people. They've seriously made an effort, and the BBC, English, and France. I was shocked when France closed RT down, because RT is actually pretty good. Yes, they may, it's called, there are distortions, but you know as well as I do, because you hear, you speak that RT has done a very brave job of putting correspondents into the field in very dangerous positions, and they've gotten great footage of some of the violence that's going on. Well, given the wall of propaganda in the West, I also see the wall of propaganda in Russia, the wall of propaganda in China, the wall of propaganda in India. What do we do with these walls of propaganda? Yes, let's talk about Russia, because you would know more about it, but my last experience there, newspapers, it was more interesting, put it this way, when I went to Venezuela, the United States was saying back then that Chavez controlled the press. I get to Venezuela, and there's nothing but criticism of Chavez in the press. It was owned by the oligarchs of Venezuela, and who hated him, so it was across the board. That's why Chavez opened the state television, spent more money on it, and advertised his point of view through state television. But in Russia, there is, what I saw was criticism. I met with a publisher who got the Nobel Prize of that famous newspaper, and his point of view at that time when I spoke to him a few years ago was we're operating, there is criticism of him, but you can't call for the overthrow of the government, nor in Venezuela, nor in the United States for that matter. If you call for the overthrow of the government of the United States, you're gonna be in deep trouble. Well, all right, so to push back on that, it's interesting, it's so interesting, because we mentioned Elon Musk, and there's a way that people sound when they speak freely. When I speak to, I have family in Ukraine, I have family in Russia. When I speak to people in Russia, let's put my family aside, when I speak to people in Russia, I think there's fear. I think they don't, sometimes when you call for the overthrow of government, that's important, not because you necessarily believe for the overthrow of the government, but you just need to test the power centers and make sure they're responsive to the people. And I feel like there's a mix of fear and apathy that has a different texture than it does in the United States. That worries me, because I would like to see the flourishing of a people in all places. Well, as I said, my impression was that there's far more freedom in the press than was pictured by the West, and that means different points of view, because the Russians are always arguing with themselves. I've never seen a country that's so contentious. There's more intellectuals in Moscow and the cities than you can believe, and you know the Russian people there. They've been fighting government for years, back from the 1870s, it was czarist times, they're always plotting against the government, and the intelligentsia has known through history as being contentious and anti government in many ways. And we see the same thing, educated people turning against Russia. I don't appreciate those people, because I think they're very spoiled, and they don't understand some of the stuff that's going on in the West. But we have a lot of Russians in Europe and America that attack Russia and sometimes don't understand that they are under pressure from the United States, and they don't understand the size of the pressure. And that's why Putin connects with the people, because he represents the common, more the common man who's saying to you, your interests are threatened, Russia is threatened. We are representing only the interests of Russia, not, we're not an empire, we're not gonna expand. He has no empire intentions, although the West paints it as empire. I see no evidence of it. Why didn't he do something in all these years? Nothing, he did nothing except defend the country in Georgia and in Chechnya. So the imperialist imperative is coming more from the West. It's the imperialist, it's the imperialist agenda. Going back to, I'm sorry, where we left our discussion off, I mean, I was gonna go on with America not only being censored, closed down now, closed down. And you say it's not fear, well, it is fear. I am scared, because if you get your Facebook page suspended or your YouTube, your Twitter account thrown off, a lot of good people are getting there, thrown off. You can't speak out, it affects your business. It goes back to the 1950s when my father's world, when you could not express any sympathy for a Soviet Union without endangering your job, without basically being not trusted. You had to be part of the program to get along, to go along. Same thing when the United Kingdom, I mean, for all their talk, this Boris Johnson is an idiot. But all their talk about, do you remember their policies with the IRA in Ireland when Ireland was threatening them? They cut off the IRA completely. Gerry Adams, who was a wonderful guy, I met him, was not allowed to even be heard in Britain during certain years. In France, all constantly through the Algerian War, the Algerians were not allowed to be heard. The Algerian War for Independence divided France greatly. You could not even show Paths of Glory, World War I film in France for, I don't know, 20 years after it came out. Censorship is a way of life when democracies also feel threatened. They are much more fragile than they pretend to be. A healthy democracy would take all the criticism in the world and shrug it off and say, okay, that's what's good about our country. Well, I'd like to see that in America. There are times that it's been like that, but it's so scary now. So it is scary, that's what I was trying to say. It's not unscary to me. In China, I would say to you, yes, it's much scarier to me because there is the internet wall that they cut off, and I got into problems in China too because I said something years ago about you have to discover your own history. You have to be honest about Mao. You have to go back and let's make a movie about Mao. That upset them and show his negatives. So China has been much more sensitive than Russia about criticism, much more. And it is a source of problems, but on the other hand, China has a lot of grievances, a lot going back to the 19th century and the British imperialism of that era and the American imperialism. If you could talk to Vladimir Putin once again now, what kind of things would you talk about here? What kind of questions would you ask? Huh, well, one thing I would certainly ask is what you were thinking on February 23, and I would ask him to reply to my question about what if you took this to phase two. You surrendered in Donbass. You had no ego about it. You just surrendered. It's in your interest to your country, and you invited all the refugees from Donbass into Russia as much as they can. What would you do now? What's the US next move in your opinion? How are you gonna, okay, where are we gonna go? That would be the key question because it's, but he didn't go that way. He chose to take the sanctions and to go this way. Why he did that is a key question for our time. Perhaps it was a mistake. Perhaps it was his judgment. Perhaps, as I said, but I don't, knowing the man I did, I don't think so. I think it was calculated. Now this is projection and speculation, but there's something different about him in the past several months. It could be the COVID thing, the isolation that you mentioned. I listen to a lot of interviews and speeches in Russian, and there's something about power over time that can change you, that can isolate you. Well, when I was there, no, he'd been in office for already 15 years. He had power. He didn't misuse it in my opinion. He was very even. I saw him go on television and talk to his fellows the same way he always talked to them. He grew in intelligence and knowledge because he had dealings with the whole world. Now people had come to him. He was very well known in Africa and Middle East, certainly Syria, and I just never saw misuse of his power. I saw humility in him, actually. So perhaps there was a calculation and he calculated wrong in terms of what happens if he doesn't invade. Perhaps there was a calculation, perhaps he had a calm and clear mind, and he calculated wrong. Well, he also made the point that he, the talk of Zelensky saying, well, nuclear weapons were gonna come into Ukraine. There was talk about that right before the invasion too, and certainly that would have set off alarms. You know, the United States is already kind of doing that by not only putting its intelligence and its heavy weaponry into Ukraine, but you've got to deal with the question, the next question that comes up, the most immediate question is, is the United States gonna start? And I'm saying this is good. They're making a lot of noise in United States press about Russia using nuclear weapons and chemical weapons. That's a lot of noise. Again, going back to my analogy, when the United States starts that, it starts the conversation going. It's in the interest of the United States for Russia to be pinned with any kind of chemical or nuclear incident. Except, for example, it'd be very, not simple, but it would be possible to explode a nuclear device in Donbass and kill thousands of people. And we would not know right away who did it, but of course the blame would go right to Russia, right to Russia, even if it didn't make sense, if there was no motivation for it. It would just be blamed on Russia. The United States might well be the one who does that false flag operation. It would not be beyond them. It would be a very dramatic solution to sealing this war off as a major victory for the United States. That's terrifying. No, but it can happen. It can happen. A one kiloton device, low yield, it's possible. So when you walk across that line, you can potentially never walk back. Well, I think the United States is calculating that it's a dangerous, yes, I agree, but I think the neoconservative arrogance is such that they really believe they can push their advantage to the max now because of all these propaganda successes up to now. The Ukrainian army could be wiped out for all we know. There's all this leftists or neo, Nazi brigades, but they're being advised very well by US and they're sending the weapons in, are huge amounts of weapons. What about American budget? No one talks about how much money we're giving to Ukraine. It's a billion dollars already in weaponry and not most of it just poured in. What about, you know, the Russian budget is, defense budget is 60 some billion dollars a year. It's nothing compared to the United States, 1 15th of it. But yet we've put so much weaponry into Ukraine. The money we've spent on Ukraine is equivalent almost to what we spent on COVID in our own country. It's astounding the distortion of our priorities. There's also chemical. Don't forget chemical is probably the easier way to go. But in Syria, there was far too many incidents of America in its quest to demonize Assad and the Russians of all these chemical attacks that were happening that they were vowing came from Russia. And in spite of the fact that Russia just pulled out of the, signed the agreement on chemical arms and apparently destroyed its stock several years ago, it's strange that the strangest incidents happened in Syria. You go back to them, trace every one, good journalism was done. The White Helmets got a lot of fame, but they were corrupted. And many good journalists tried to point out the inconsistencies in the American accusations. Robert Parry among them, who was one of my mentors at Consortium Press. A lot of good, you'd have to go back, but trace each, like you would trace each time they made an accusation against Putin of murder. You need that same kind of Sherlock Holmes intensity, investigation, and they don't do it because the United Nations or the chemical, not the United Nations as much as the chemical people, the organization has been tampered with. If you remember correctly, there was accusations that the chemical investigative unit, I don't know the name of it, was tampered with. And people quit, people who were working on that commission quit and said that this is not legit. So very interesting, that Syria story is wacko. So the United States is willing to use chemical in Syria freely. It did it three, four times. If you remember correctly, Trump was challenged that he did not attack after a chemical incident in Syria. All these newscasters in the United States, the most heaviest of them were saying, well, President Trump is now finally acting like a real president when he attacks, when he drops missiles in Syria. They actually said that. In other words, they wanted Trump to go to war on Syria, but he didn't. Chemical weapons and nuclear is really terrifying. Do you think, now combine this with the fascinating choice in your interviews with Vladimir Putin to watch Stanley Kubrick's Dr. Strangelove or How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Bomb. And given the fact that you did that, now looking at the fact that the word nuclear, and it feels like the world hangs on the brink of nuclear war, do you think that that's overstating the case? No, that's what worried me from the beginning, and that's probably why I got involved in all this stuff, because I go back to the 60s when we were so close to nuclear war. I lived through that period, and I thought, as many people did, that this was, it was gonna come now. So I've lived through that, and I didn't sense the period in 83 when Reagan took us to the edge, if you remember correctly. Able Archer was an exercise that almost brought us to, because the Russians were really paranoid at that point, and they were responding to our military exercise on Able Archer. There was also the Korean airliner, they went down. There were numerous incidents in the 80s, but I never felt the fear. I thought Reagan was testing the limits, but perhaps if I'd been younger, I would've felt it. But anyway, no, we come close. The United States has risked this several times. If I told you, it would be hard for you to believe, if I could set a scene for you in a drama in 1962 when Kennedy has a meeting with the Joint Chiefs of Staff and the CIA, and they talk about a plan, a military plan, to first strike the Soviet Union and China. It was an Eisenhower plan that had been put into potential operation in early 60s or 50s, late 50s, SIOP 62. This was an attack on the Soviet Union, first strike. That's why the United States has never given up the concept of first strike. It's interesting that the Russian nuclear policy posture is more defensive than the American one, which leaves options open. The same options are open in neoconservative agreements that we see from the late 90s, where they say, the emergence of a rival power will not be tolerated. That's a very broad statement, and it allows you to do a lot, including nuclear. So you have to understand the United States is always, first of all, it breaks so many treaties. We know that from the Putin story about the Anti Ballistic Missile Treaty in 2002, and then the INF Treaty of, they broke that one. That was the intermediate missiles. That was 2019. I don't know when they broke it off, but the United States has not been very faithful on its nuclear agreements, and so I don't know that we can even deal with the United States diplomatically. It seems to be impossible. Now, it brings me to Biden. And this is the opposite of Kennedy. Kennedy was a Catholic Irish anti imperialist. Biden seems to be the opposite. He seems to be a get along, go along guy who's been not only old, but he's also gone along with this program, which I voted for Biden because I feared Trump, but I thought Biden at a certain age would mellow. I really did. He's not mellowed, apparently. He's still listening to these people, and he believes them. And it seems that his, that horrible woman, Victoria Nuland, who was Under Secretary of State, he appointed her to this sector of the world. She's very influential, and she's been one of the worst people on Ukraine. Obviously, she's behind the coup. She was the one who boasted that, you know, we got our man in, Yats, whatever it is, Yatsenuk. And also, remember the famous statement, fuck the EU? All these things, but she's back, and she said the other day about if the Soviets, if the Russians use nuclear weaponry of any kind, there's gonna be a horrible price to pay. She was out of the blue. I said, what the hell is she doing? She's talking nuclear all of a sudden. And then since that day, everybody in the US press, all the shows have gone, talk nuclear, nuclear, nuclear. Secretary of State has done it, Blinken, it scares you. If you think about it, the United States scares me. So that's the military industrial complex machine, fully functional, fully operational behind this whole thing. Certainly is. Is that what's to blame? Certainly is. That's why I showed him Strangelove, because I wanted him to show him. I wanted Mr. Putin to say, look at this film. You never saw it. How can you not say, you know, it's a seminal film in American history to those people who care. And it shows you the Kubrick had a pacifist, thank God, antiwar mentality, which he showed in Bows of Glory as well as Strangelove. And it's such a dire, well done scenario that I wanted Mr. Putin to be aware of the way the United States thinks. Yeah, the absurdity of escalation, the absurdity of war at the largest scale, the absurdity of nuclear war, especially. Can we walk back from the brink of nuclear war? Can we? Can we? Yes, yes we can. What's the path to walk back? Reason. Reason. Between who and whom? Reason and diplomacy. There's no reason. I mean, talk to the guy. Mr. Biden, why don't you calm down and go and talk to Mr. Putin in Moscow? Why don't you just sit across the table from him and try to have a discussion without falling into ideologies and stuff like that? Can I ask you for advice? You did some of the most difficult interviews ever. Do you have advice that you can give to someone like me or anyone hoping to understand something about a human being sitting across from them about what it takes to do a good interview? You're doing one. Well, no, but there's a, listen, there's levels to this game. And interviewing somebody like Vladimir Putin, also language barrier, sit across from the man, try to keep an open mind, try to also ask challenging questions, but not challenging with an agenda, but seeking to understand and understand deeply. How do you do that? Seeking the truth. It's very simple. Seeking the truth, being a questioner like you are. You wanna know what is really going on. I could not get anywhere with Biden or Bush or for that matter, Obama. They'd be opaque with me. There's no interview possible with the president of the United States because he's got to stand for all the stuff that they stand for, which is imperialism, which is control of the world. How can you defend that? No one's gonna come out and say that. They're always gonna blame the enemy. They're gonna blame Iran. They're gonna blame China. So with some people, it may not be possible to break through the opaqueness. You can't, you can't. I mean, have you ever seen an interview with the president besides being personable, where he actually discussed American policy? Yeah, I mean, not really, but maybe after their president. I could see Obama being able to do such an interview. I could see George W. being able to do such an interview. Or are they not able to reflect at all on the? George W. hasn't shown much conscience in terms of thinking about what he's done. You've seen that. You ever see my movie, W.? I think that's one of my best movies because it shows a man who's just out of his depth and has no, he has a conscience at the end of the movie. If you remember correctly, he talks to his wife and he says, I don't get it. I'm trying to do good in the world. I've done, I believe in good and right. And why do people not understand that kind of complaint as if he can't get outside himself to understand the way other people think? Empathies, walking like a dramatist is what I do. You walk in the footsteps of other people. When I did a movie about Richard Nixon, it wasn't because I liked him. It was because I wanted to, I think I understood a part of him because of my father and I think I wanted to walk in his footsteps. That's not to say I sympathize with him because I didn't. I don't think he helped the American cause at all, but it was empathize as opposed to sympathize. Same thing with Bush. People were shocked when I did the Bush movie. They said, how can you be in any way receptive to this guy? That's wrong. Dramatists don't have political positions. They walk in the shoes of. That's why Bush movie perhaps was surprising and many people didn't care for it. Maybe that's what, but that's, you've got to go there. If you did a movie about a villain, you have to go there. You have to walk in their shoes. Yes. So see them, cause they usually, villains usually see themselves as the hero. Yes. So you have to consider what is it like to live in a world where this person is the hero? Yes. Is that a burden? Is that hard? Not for George W. Bush. He's bitching because they didn't understand him, but he had a good vision he said of democracy and you know, democracy forgives a lot of sins. Can I ask you a hard question on that? Yes, sure. So because empathy is so important to a great interview, let's ask the most challenging version of empathy, which is when you're sitting across from a man on the brink of war that leads to tens of millions of deaths, which is Hitler. So if you could interview Hitler in 1939, as the drums of war start to beat or 1941 when they're already full on war, but there's still a lot of pacifists, there's still a lot of people unsure what are the motivations behind what Hitler's doing. How would you do that interview? Well it depends when you do it. If you do it in 38, I certainly would have, no you have to, if you sit down across from Hitler, you empathize. What is your beef? Where have you been? What is your consciousness? Why do you hate Jewish people? Why, what is, all these questions that come up. His sense of grievance as a result of World War I. There's justifications there, et cetera. But if I, and by the way, Churchill was trying to make a deal with him in 38. That's a fact that people don't know. Churchill himself, there was still the desire in England to make peace with Germany. And it was seen as a possible, what Churchill really wanted was Hitler to go against Russia. And anything to destroy the Bolsheviks. So he was using Hitler as much as he could to go after Russia, but Hitler was too elusive to get, to pin him down. But if you remember, Hitler was very kind at the end of, kind is not the right word, was, did not go after the British Empire when he had France. And he could have. He had another objective, which was obviously the East. So Hitler's goal, I think, he always had an admiration for England. It's an interesting story, always. And the empire. Yes, and certainly Churchill, we have no doubts now from history revisionism that Churchill's interest, main interest, was not Germany. It was the British Empire. And to preserve it to India, the road to India and all that, and Middle East. Churchill fought the entire war with the concept of preserving the British Empire. All his goals, he sent America on a goose chase into Italy, you could argue, instead of establishing a sincere second front in Western Europe. Interesting man. So I would have tried to get, you know, I think I would have approached it the same way. In 1939, it would have been a different story because at that point, he'd attacked Poland, and in 1940, France. So it's another ball game. But certainly, at whatever point you talk to him, I would try to understand his point. I'm not judging you, Hitler. I'm saying to you, tell me what you're thinking. Why are you invading Russia? What's your thought? That's all an interviewer should do. He shouldn't be expressing his contempt for Hitler, which like an American journalist interviewing Putin, I'm getting brownie points for expressing my contempt for you. That doesn't wash with me. That's ugly. Seek to understand. Yes. This is a technical question, but was language a barrier as an interviewer? To some degree. It's very hard to learn Russian. But I had very, they have excellent translators in the Kremlin, excellent. They are people who are trained very seriously for months or years before they, these people are young and they're very bright. I was very impressed with the Russian translators. It's interesting. I mean, I'm impressed as well, but there's a humor that's lost. There's a wit, a dry wit. There's stuff said between the lines. That's not actually how much content, but it's more kind of the things that make communication more frictionless. It's the, there's a kind of sadness to a Russian humor that permeates all things. And that sometimes is lost in translation. The translation is a little bit colder, meaning it just conveys the facts. Would you call it sardonic humor? I would say so, yeah. And so it's interesting. But I think you could see that from facial expressions when you're sitting across from the person and you can feel it. I feel it, yeah. You can feel it. Let me ask you in general, what's the role of love in the human condition, in your life, in life in general? You've talked, you looked at some of the darkest aspect of human nature. What's the role of this, one of the more beautiful aspects of human nature? I think without love, I wouldn't, I don't think I'd be able to carry on. I think that love is my, love is the greatest, the ability to love is the greatest virtue you can have. It's the ability to share with another, with your family, with your children, with your wife, with your lover, your partner. It's an ability to extend yourself into the world and it brings empathy with it. If you love well, I think you expand it to the human race too. And it's the strength behind the great novelists, the great artists of our time. I think part of the reason I suppose we're scared of science sometimes is because the scientists sometimes don't express that clearly. You can lose that when you focus on the facts, on empirical data, on the science of things. You can lose the humanity that's between the lines. I'm often struck by when I talk to scientists and I've talked to a few, that how arrogant they can be about, they don't talk to you if you don't understand their world and they talk to each other and there's an arrogance, a closed circle kind of thing. Oh, he's not at my level, I can't, there's no discussion to be had with this person, he's a human being. That arrogance is terrifying to me because it's next door neighbor to closed mindedness which then can be used by charismatic leaders as it was in Nazi Germany to commit some of the worst atrocities. The scientists can be used as pawns in a very cruel game. What advice would you give to young people? You've done, first of all, some of the greatest films ever. You've lived a heck of a life. You've, were fearless and bold in asking some really difficult questions of this world. What advice would you give to young people today, high school, college, about career? How to have a career they can be proud of or how to have a life they can be proud of? Well, I have three children so obviously I'm not necessarily the best advisor in the world and I do find that the children, I've raised them with a sense of freedom and they do what they want. In the end, it's their life, their destiny, their character. That's what comes out. You can try to influence it but you can try to get your daughter to wake up at a certain hour in the day but it never works. So I long ago gave up on that and my children are all grown now but aside from that, I think if I was a teacher in a school and teaching film, I'd say to the students, get an education. You can't just look at film because it's not a full education, it's not the spectrum. I don't think you should teach film as a, I think you need a base in other worlds. One of the greatest courses I took at NYU was, and I was a war veteran on the GI Bill so I was older than the other students. One of the great, I took a class outside the film school in Greek classics because I hadn't had much history and I wanted to know more about the world of Homer and so forth and the teacher opened my eyes to so much in that class and I wrote about it in my memoir, it's called Chasing the Light about Professor Leahy and what he did to me. He gave me the concepts clearly of consciousness which is the Homeric theme of Odysseus and also lethe, L E T H E, which is sleep and how most of the crew, Odysseus's crew, were experiencing lethe and how necessary it was to stay awake. So it's not just film, it's just you have to learn the world as much as you can when you're young and so that I think is the basis of a good education and a classic one is important, a basis. I think then you go on and you can learn computer if you want but that's specialization. If you're a computer geek, is that a life? Does that give you enough satisfaction? Do you get the joy out of people? No, just like filmmaking is a skill. Yes, right. You have the broad background to understand the world, literature, history. Absolutely. So one of the things about being human is life is finite. It ends. Do you think about your death? Are you afraid of your death? Yeah, sure. Absolutely, you have to come to terms with death and that's a tough one for many people. It's always there. I'm older than you, obviously, and I'm getting closer to it. Couldn't happen any day, actually. When you get to a certain age, you can't assume that you're gonna be alive tomorrow. So I try to deal with that. Are you afraid of it? Much less so than I was when I was younger. Remember, I was in Vietnam but I thought I dealt with it there but when I came back, I realized that I wanted to live. So yes, I've learned over time to get more and more used to it and get ready for it. What's a good answer to the question of why live? So the realization that you wanted to live. What was the reason to live? Because it was better than being one of those corpses that I saw in the jungle. I saw how finite death is. Are there things in your life you regret? Oh, sure. Too many. Is there something you wish you could have done differently? Like if you could go back to do one thing differently or that it regrets all of it. Did you ask Musk this? I'm curious. What did he say? Offline all the time. No, no. You'd be curious to know. And he's an engineer too and engineers really value mistakes. Engineers value mistakes. Value mistakes and errors because that's an opportunity to learn. I mean, this is what you do with systems is you test them, then test them, then test them and errors is just information. He did that with the rockets. That is true in its way of filmmaking. There are certain things you learn as you build films and you make mistakes. It's like putting an engine together and you, oh, the film is flawed in that way, you know it. Other people may or may not see it, but the car runs or it made money or it didn't make money. It can be good and it didn't make money, but the point is that everything is a build. Every film is a construction. Same thing as he goes through on a Tesla, we go through on each film. But films are art. It's a little tricky. Yeah, the thing is one film does not lead to a lifetime guarantee of copyright. Well, yeah, you have the movie game as you've called it. Yeah. It's a complicated and cruel game. But it takes enormous amount of work, enormous amount of work to make a film. People underestimate that. It's extremely complicated to have something be successful because it has so many elements of luck involved and reception and so forth. What do you think, I apologize for the absurd question, but what do you think is the meaning of life? Why are we here? The why. I think to realize ourselves, to realize more of what you are, to realize what life is, to appreciate it, to grow, to honor our life, to honor the concept of life and to understand how precious life is. The preciousness of life, as the Buddhists say. And of course, the immediacy of death all around us. The causes of death are all around us. And our life is like, as they say, is like a lantern in a strong breeze existing among the causes of death. So life is so precious. And at the same time, the immediacy of death and then of course, the continuation of life in whatever form it's gonna take. But in this life, to wake up to the preciousness of it. To the preciousness. Yeah, that's a wonderful thing, by the way. I didn't have that when I was young. I took it for granted. Oliver, like I said, I'm a huge fan. You're an incredible human being, one of the greatest artists ever. So it's a huge honor that you sit with me and talk so deeply and honestly about some very difficult topics. Again, you're an inspiration and it's an honor that you will spend your valuable time with me. Thank you very much. Thanks for talking to me. Fun being here. Thanks for listening to this conversation with Oliver Stone. To support this podcast, please check out our sponsors in the description. And now, let me leave you with some words from Oliver Stone in the untold history of the United States. To fail is not tragic. To be human is. Thank you for listening and hope to see you next time. No, because the moment he was killed, honestly, there was a lot of, we can talk about that, and as you know, I've made a film, JFK Revisited is a documentary we released this year about the movie I made in 1991. But the moment he was killed, I would argue that Lyndon Johnson went back immediately to the old way of thinking, the old way of doing business, which was the Eisenhower, Truman way, which we had adapted since World War II. That was an interim. You have to think about it from, Roosevelt dies in 45. Roosevelt has an interim of 15 years where he, he has more of a democratic regime, more liberal. He establishes, he recognizes the Soviet Union for the first time since the revolution, and he actually has a relationship with them. He sends ambassadors who are friendly, and he has a relationship with Stalin, et cetera, and at Yalta, or no, at Tehran, rather, that's where he had the relationship. Do you think if JFK lived, we would not have a Cold War? No, absolutely not, and we go into great depth on that in the film, and I'd urge you to see it, because it goes into all the issues around the world. Kennedy was being very much an anti imperialist. It turns out, and many people just don't understand that, but you have to look at all his policies in Middle East with Nasser, he had a relationship with Sukarno in Indonesia, with Latin America, he made a big effort with the Alliance for Progress, and when Africa, above all, with Lumumba, he was very shocked at his death, and tried to defend the right, the integrity of the Belgian Congo with Dag Hammarskjold of the UN. He made a big effort. Unfortunately, it didn't work out, because Dag Hammarskjold was killed, and then Kennedy was killed, and Congo descended into the chaos of Joseph Mobutu's dictatorship. But Kennedy was very active in terms of, as an Irishman, not as an Englishman, he was an Irishman. And I say that because, well, we'll come back to that, because Mr. Joe Biden is an Irishman, but it's a different kind of an Irishman. They're both Catholic Irish, but Kennedy really made an effort to change the imperialist mindset that still was very strong in America and Europe. Lyndon Johnson changed back to the old policy, and we were never able to really keep big talk going with the Russians. Briefly had it with Carter, but then Brzezinski came in. Brzezinski was his national security advisor. He was put there by Rockefeller, and Brzezinski was a Pole, he got revenge from Poland. Poland has always been attacking Russia, as far as I remember, back to another century. I mean, the two world wars that occupied Russia, so tragically, entry points were always through Poland and Ukraine. So Brzezinski got his revenge, and Carter ended up being an enemy of the Soviet Union, and creating, as Brzezinski took pride in it, he created the atmosphere of the trap for the Soviets to go into Afghanistan in 79. That trap was set, he says, he said, in 1978. So there was never, except for brief moments, periods of detente with the Soviets, and I grew up under that. I didn't really know anything of this going on, because I was learning, I was educating myself as I was going, learning movies, and trying to be a dramatist, and this and that, so I wasn't thinking about this. Then, when Reagan came in, I was worried again, because it was the beat of the old beat, which was there, the most evil empire. I mean, it goes on in American history, it doesn't end. Reagan got a lot of points for that, and of course, when Gorbachev came in, it was a beautiful moment for the world. It was a great surprise. It was probably the best years for America, at least from my point of view, in terms of this relaxation in the mood. 1986 to 1991 were great years in terms of ability to believe, once again, that there could be a peace dividend, but the world changed again in 1991, 92. There's an internal mechanism, who knows? You could blame the United States, you could blame Russia for... Gorbachev was perhaps not the right man to try to administer that country at that point. He had great visions, he was a man of peace, but it was very difficult to hold together such a huge empire. So vision is not enough to hold together the Soviet Union? I think the details are interesting. I followed up on that a little bit, because I was recently in countries like Kazakhstan, talked about the negotiations that were going on, and the breakup of the Soviet Union. It's a very interesting story, because it involves everything, Ukraine, of course, everything that's going on now. Some, what is it, 30 million Russians were left outside of the Soviet Union when it collapsed. They had no home anymore, they were homes in other countries, such as in Ukraine. So it's an interesting story, and with repercussions today, Kazakhstan is a good example of keeping a balance, keeping it neutral. He played both sides, and because Yeltsin wanted him to join the Russian Confederation in a certain way where he'd be supporting, against Gorbachev, there's a whole inward battle there. I think the Ukraine came along with Yeltsin, as well as, I'm sorry, I don't remember now, but two other regions came with him, and that was a block that broke up the Soviet Union. It was Yeltsin's plan to, and it wasn't make the Russian Federation, and they did. I would love to return back to JFK eventually, because he's such a fascinating figure in the history of human civilization, but let me ask you, fast forward. In 2000, Yeltsin was no longer president, and Vladimir Putin became president. You did a series of interviews with Vladimir Putin, as you mentioned, over a period of two years, from 2015 to 2017. Let me ask with a high level question. What was your goal with that conversation? Oh, came out in 2017, I guess I started them in 2014. At that point, the Snowden affair had happened, and I was working on a movie on Snowden. That happened in 13, Ukraine happened in 14, and one thing after another. By 14, Putin was enemy number, again, becoming a wanted man on the American list. He was enemy, he was certainly in the top five. But the animosity towards Putin had been growing since 2007 at Munich. I remember that speech when he made it. It's in my documentary, that's a four hour documentary, four different conversations. I mean, we talked over two years, two and a half years, but I remember that image of him at Munich making a very important speech about world harmony, about the balance necessary in the world, and I remember the sneer, the sneer on John McCain's face. He was in Munich, obviously eyeballing Putin and hating him, and it was so evident that McCain had no belief whatsoever that this, he was almost treating him like these are the communists are back, and we know that Putin was not a communist. We know that Putin is very much a market man, and he made it very clear and tried to keep an open climate, a new relationship with Europe, but the United States always, certain people in the United States always saw that as a threat, like Putin is trying to take Europe away from us as if we own it, as if we have the right to own it. But Putin was making the point, it's very important, about sovereignty, and sovereignty for countries is crucial for this new world to have balance. That's sovereignty for China, sovereignty for Russia, sovereignty for Iran, sovereignty for Venezuela, sovereignty for Cuba. This is an idea that's crucial to the new world, and I think the United States has never accepted that. Sovereignty is not an idea that they can allow. You have to be obedient to the United States idea of so called democracy and freedom, but much more important is sovereignty for these countries, and the United States has not obeyed that, has not even acknowledged it, and it never comes up. So from the perspective of the United States, when power centers arise in the world, you start to oppose those, not because of the ideas, but merely because they have power. Isn't that at the heart of the doctrine of the neoconservatives, and the pact for the new American century they wrote down in 1996, seven, they said there shall be no emergence of a rival power. It was very clear it was about power, and they've stuck to that doctrine, which is if you start to get dangerous in any way or have power, we're gonna knock you out. Now that won't work, and I don't believe it can work, and that is unfortunately a policy the United States is following, and the neoconservatives group, which is very small, but it's very strong apparently, and their idea has resonated. It was behind the George Bush's invasion of Iraq. It was part of not only Iraq, but cleaning out the whole world, draining the swamp, going to Afghanistan first, and then although Iraq had nothing to do with al Qaeda's attack, going after Iraq. And of course 60 some other countries that were terrorism had some signs of, wherever America judged would be a dangerous country. We had the right, you're either with us or against us. Now that is a disastrous policy, and led to one thing after another. The Iraq war never learned a lesson. The neoconservatives were never fired, never thrown out of office. The people who prosecuted that war are still around. Many of them are still around, and they're obviously guiding America now. Let me return to this question of power. Don't forget the sneer that I saw there. That emblemized the United States reaction. Also there were several other American representatives who were laughing, kind of mocking Putin. It was very serious. I felt there was a divide there. So since then, I mean in a certain sense, the Europe reaction to Putin is crucial, and they were more with him back then. And a big thing for America was always to keep NATO, to keep Europe in its pocket as a satellite. And with this recent war, of course they've succeeded in beyond their dreams. The Russians have fulfilled the fantasy of the United States, to finally be this aggressor that they have pictured for years. We can talk about that later. But at that time, Europe had significant support for Putin, and the United States was sneering at Putin. That's correct, you can say that. And then, so there was this, there was uncertainty as to the direction, as to the future of Russia. And that's exactly when you interviewed Vladimir Putin. I wanted to know what they thought, because we couldn't get the information war that the United States was fighting against Russia. It was in evidence back then. It was full out. The condemnation of Russia on all fronts. I never saw a positive article about Putin. Although when I traveled in the world, and I traveled a lot doing documentaries, it was very clear in the Middle East, in Africa, in Asia, there was respect for him. That he was a man who was getting his job done in the interest of Russia. He was, as I said in the documentary, a son of Russia. Very much so, in the positive sense, a son of Russia. Not that he's out there trying to destroy the interests of other countries, no. That he was out there to promote the interests of Russia, but at the same time, keep a balance. Keep the world into a harmony. This has always been his picture. Peace was always his idea. In other words, he always referred to the United States in all these interviews as our partners. And I said, will you stop using that word? They're not. And he was a little bit slow in waking up to what the United States was doing. Well, that said, he's one of the most powerful men in the world. He was at that time. And let me ask you the human question. As the old adage goes, power corrupts and absolute power corrupts absolutely. Did you see any corroding effects of power on the man? Forget the political leader, on just the human being that carries that power on his shoulders for so many years. Keep in mind that he's been, unlike most modern leaders, he's been in office off and on, because Medvedev was president and he was not literally in charge. He took another appointment at that point, but he was still very much involved. But for 20 years, more or less, he's been at the administrator of the state, the protector of the state. And he's apparently done a good enough job that the Russian people have kept him there. Because contrary to what many people think, I really believe that if the Russian people didn't want him, he would be out. I firmly believe that. I don't think you can go against the will of the people. Now, it expresses itself in many ways, at the ballot box and so forth, but also in other ways in Russia. There's a strong currents of opinion. So contrary to what the position of him as a dictator, he wouldn't last if he was unpopular, number one. Number two, Russia is much more divided than people know. There's other factors in Russia. There are always tensions around the Kremlin, who has power, who doesn't have power. That's been going on for 100 years. But the factions in Russia are very much there. So when people refer to Russia as Putin, they're mistaken. And they do this regularly in the New York papers and all this. They say, Putin did this, Putin did that, Putin's doing that, but it's Russia that's doing it. And that's what, there's a distinction there that I, it's changed. In the old days, I would read about Khrushchev, but it was never Khrushchev personally. It was about the Soviet Union. There was respect for a country. And now when it started to get personal with Putin, it changed and our thinking changed in a negative way. We no longer respected it as a country, we were seeing it as a man. And the man we had trashed repeatedly, repeatedly as a poisoner, as a murderer, and none of which has ever been proven, but which has always been repeated and repeated to the point at which it becomes like an Orwell mantra. It becomes like, he is of course a bad guy. Can I just ask you, as a great filmmaker, as a human being, what was it like talking to one of the most powerful men in the world? For honestly, and I'm not naive, I've talked to a lot of powerful people. In the movie business, there are powerful people and many of them are corrupted. I've talked to many people in my life. I've been in the military, I've seen, I've had other jobs. I have to say, I found him to be a human being. I just found him to be reasonable, calm. I never saw him lose his temper. And I mean, you have to understand that most people, most people in the Western way of doing business get emotional. I don't see that. I saw him as a balanced man, as a man who had studied this like you have. There's a calmness to you. It comes from studying the world and having a rational response to it. It's interesting, his two daughters, one of them is very scientific and the other one's doing very well in another profession, but they're a thinking family. His wife too was. I can't talk for the new wife because I don't know about it, but he kept his family with great respect. He's raised his daughter's right. He served Yeltsin the way he looked at it. He served Yeltsin well, and he never trashed Yeltsin. Certainly a lot of people did, but I asked him repeatedly was he an alcoholic, this or that, but he wouldn't even go that far. Just respect. And this man, Yeltsin, was in many ways ridiculed by the Russians, and he turned over the power because he felt like he was overwhelmed. He turned over the power to this man because why? How many people had he fired before him? Several, several prime ministers, this, that. Why did he turn power over to Mr. Putin? Because he respected him for his work ethic and his balance, his maturity. And that's what I can say is I saw in him. A poor person from a poor family who worked his way up through the KGB, Americans keep saying he's a KGB agent, but it's like saying George Bush was a CIA agent, but he became, you grow, you grow in your life. And he went from the KGB to this technocratic position. He dealt with many problems, including the Chechnyan War, which is a very difficult situation, as well as the Russian submarine problem. Several things happened early in his, that gave him a lot of experience, and he handled them all pretty well. Do you think he was an honest man? I do. Now, of course, the question of money, the charge is that he's the richest man in the world, or ludicrous, certainly doesn't live like it or act like it. If you're rich, I've been around a lot of rich people in my life. You'd probably have, too. In America, you run into them. So many of them are arrogant. I'm actually good friends now with the richest man in the world. Of course, I saw your interview with Mr. Musk, who I appreciate. At least he speaks freely. I'm positive about him owning Twitter, because Twitter has become censorship city, as has all the major tech. I mean, the censorship that we are now seeing in the United States is so unAmerican and shocking to me. And he is a resistance to that, that is true. Yeah, I like Musk for that. Just for that only. But I also appreciate him, his adventuresome, his nature and his desire to explore the world and to ask questions. Yeah, there's certain ways you sound when you speak freely. There's certain ways you sound, a man sounds when he speaks freely, and he speaks freely. And it's refreshing. No matter whether you're rich or not, it doesn't matter. When you speak freely, it's a beautiful thing. Actually, Musk, in a major point on going back to nuclear energy, he never believed in it at first, apparently. He was going for batteries, right? And he put a lot of money into batteries. He made them bigger and bigger batteries. But it just, as Bill Gates has said, it's just, it's not gonna get us there. And now I think Musk is on another path. He understands the need for nuclear. Yeah, he's a supporter of nuclear. We're jumping around. Putin never asked for one thing, never. It was an interview, it was free form. Ask anything you want. No restrictions, no rules. As with Castro, frankly, Castro did the same thing as did Chavez. So I've had good luck in interviewing free ranging subjects, people willing to express themselves. He's much more guarded than Castro or Chavez, because as you know, he's setting government policy when he speaks. Anything he says is gonna be taken out of context. But there was no restrictions on what to talk about, none of that. Nor any desire to see anything before we published it. No need to check it with him. It was a completely. Do you think he watched the final product? Yes, I do, but I don't think he made judgments on it. I think he was pleased. He doesn't go either way. You see, he's pleased. I mean, it went well and he's happy for us. But I don't think he had great enthusiasm expressed it to me. He trusted me. And you can see the way he dealt with me each time. He warmed up to me four times. The first time I might've been a little stiff. You're asking, you don't know who you're dealing with and so forth. I understand that. But he's used to it now. He's done a lot of press. The worst press he's done, frankly, has been the American press. And not because of his fault, but because of the way they have treated him. If you look at the interviews, they're awful. First of all, I noticed one thing as a filmmaker, right away, they use an overdub. They put a Russian speaker for everything he says, who's much harsher. He speaks Russian in a much harsher manner than actually Putin does. On my interview, I left him in his original language with translator, and I think that's important because he expresses himself very clearly and calmly. When you listen to the American broadcast, it's a belligerent person who looks like he's about to bang his shoe on the table. And secondly, the questions are highly aggressive from the beginning. There's no sense of rapport, there's no sense of, well, it's why, Mr. Putin, did you poison this person? Why, Mr. Putin, did you kill this person? Why are you a murderer? I mean, it's blunt, blunt negative television. Yeah, it's not just aggressive. So I obviously speak Russian, so I get to appreciate both the original and the translation. And it's not just aggressive, it's very shallow. They're not looking to understand. To me, aggression is okay if that's the way you wanna approach it, but it should be, there should be underlying kind of empathy for another human being in order to be able to understand. And so some of the worst interviews I've ever listened to is by American press of Vladimir Putin. So NBC and all those kinds of organizations, it's very painful to watch. And you saw the reception to the Putin interviews in America was hostile without seeing it. So many people criticized my series without having seen it. Even, I went on a show, a television show with this famous coal bearer. You know, he's very famous in America. And I was shocked on the show to find out that he hadn't seen anything of the four hours. He was just attacking Putin. And he threw me, I was complicit, therefore I was a Putin supporter. And the show was a disaster. It's one of my worst television shows. I actually, I had to just shut up and get off the air. I mean, at some point, it was embarrassing. Because the audience, too, was clapping for Kobe on anything he said. Well, as an interviewer in that situation, because between you and Vladimir Putin, there was camaraderie, there was joking, there was... Are you worried, do you put that into the calculation when you're making a film with somebody that could be lying to you, that could be evil? When you talk about Castro, you talk about, so are you worried about how charisma of a man across the table from you can... Do I take that into account? I absolutely take that into account. I mean, doing Castro, he's a wonderful speaker, he's charismatic, so is Chavez. Look at those interviews. I took it into account. But Putin doesn't play that game. He doesn't charm you, he doesn't try to overwhelm you with his bon ami at all. He just says, okay, ask your question, I'll give you my answer straight. Here it is, and he analyzes it. This is the history of NATO, this is the history of our relationship with the United States. How many times have we tried to talk to them about such and such and such and such, and each time, we get nowhere. In fact, it's a very... I would like to get along with the United States so much, he's saying it so clearly in all his words. So to play devil's advocate. But he's not making a big deal about it. But there is a charisma in the calmness. Yes, there is. So let's just calm everything down, it's simple facts. That you can call, so there's like the Hitler thing, which is screaming, being very loud, charismatic, strong message and so on. And then there's a Putin style, I'm not comparing those two, there's the Putin style communication of calmness. And that, at least to me, my personality, that can be very captivating, is bringing everything down, the facts are simple. But then when you say the facts are simple, you can now start lying. And you don't know what's true and what's lies. It behooves you to do some research. Yes. And frankly, when it comes to research, you're gonna have a problem. Because if you go to the Americanized versions of Russian history, you're gonna run into a problem. And that includes even Wikipedia. They will tell you things that are just not factually supported. So it was a problem in terms of, if you read all the books in the American library about Putin, there's nothing positive about it. They're awful, they're awful. And a lot of them, I had a good relationship with Professor Stephen Cohen, who's the most, I think, one of the most informed men on Russia, he'd done a lot of research all his life. And knew Gorbachev very well. And was very analytical about all these situations that happened before his death in 2019. I'm not quite sure when Stephen died, but I knew him well. And he gave me the best information I could get. I would go to Stephen and I'd say, I'm confused here, tell me the history of this accusation of poisoning against this person and so forth. And he'd explain it to me in, I think, the clearest ways that I understood. And he said to me once, he said, most of these people who go to Russia and write this stuff about Putin are going off internet. The internet has really been a source of a lot of fractured facts here. He said, pure analysis. You have to go back to the texts, all the documents, and to really fully understand. But he spoke Russian. And his wife and him, Katerina Vanhoovle, who's an editor, publisher of The Nation magazine, would go to Russia several times a year and talk to their friend Gorbachev. And Gorbachev's an interesting character. I talked to him, interviewed him, not interviewed him, but talked to him at length, and I like him very much. And I saw the divide, as you saw in the Putin interviews, between Gorbachev and Putin. Early on in the interviews, you sense Putin doesn't particularly care for Gorbachev because in his point of view, he screwed up the administration of Russia and is responsible for so much of the disaster of leaving all those people outside the Soviet Union. So these are problems that continue into the future. But they see each other at the, or he knows he's there at the May Day Parade, we filmed, and his attitude is funny, it's very human. He says, you know, he's welcome, he's got his pension, he's a pensioneer, he's done his duty. There's no animus towards him. Even when Gorbachev, in the early days, as you remember, criticized for his manners in terms of democracy, but I don't know that that becomes a quarrel. But frankly, by the end of the situation, it's very clear that Gorbachev has now moved closer and closer to the, says that Russia is now really under attack. This is, he sees where the United States has made a concerted effort to undermine Putin. And he's repeated this several times about Ukraine. I think you've seen what he said. You can quote it. And Gorbachev is, we have no respect for Gorbachev even, even at this juncture. When can you see Gorbachev's ideas printed in most American newspapers? Very rarely, very rarely, and recently not at all. So Gorbachev, who was our hero back in, an American hero back in the 1980s, has now been condemned to the garbage can, so to speak, of history. Well, in this complicated geopolitical picture you just outlined, can we talk about the recent invasion of Ukraine? So you wrote on Facebook a pretty eloquent analysis, I think on March 3rd. Let me just read a small section of that, just to give context, and maybe we can talk a little bit more about both Russia and the man Putin. You wrote, although the United States has many wars of aggression on its conscience, it doesn't justify Mr. Putin's aggression in Ukraine. A dozen wrongs don't make a right. Russia was wrong to invade. It has made too many mistakes. One, underestimating Ukraine resistance. Two, overestimating the military ability to achieve its objective. Three, underestimating Europe's reaction, especially Germany, upping its military contribution to NATO, which they've resisted for some 20 years. Even Switzerland has joined the cause. Russia will be more isolated than ever from the West. Four, underestimating the enhanced power of NATO, which will now put more pressure on Russia's borders. Five, probably putting Ukraine into NATO. Six, underestimating the damage to its own economy, and certainly creating more internal resistance in Russia. Seven, creating a major readjustment of power in its oligarch class. Eight, putting cluster and vacuum bombs into play. Nine, and underestimating the power of social media worldwide. And you go on for a while giving a much broader picture of the history and the geopolitics of all of this. So now, a little bit later, two months later, what are your thoughts about the invasion of Ukraine? Well, it's very hard to be honest in this regard because the West has brought down a curtain here and anyone who questions the invasion of Ukraine and its consequences is an enemy of the people. It's become so difficult. I've never seen in my lifetime ever such a wall of propaganda as I've seen in the West. And that includes France too because I was there recently and England. England is of course really vociferous. It's shocking to me how quickly Europe moved in this direction and that includes Germany. I have German friends who express to me their shock over Ukraine. I have Italian friends, same thing. And Italy of course has been perhaps the most understanding and compassionate of countries. So it's quite evident that there's a united, and this attests to the power of the United States. And of course you have Finland and Svinland which has generally been reasonable jumping in, talking about joining NATO and Sweden too. Generally there's been some more restraint in Europe. That's what surprised me the most, Europe. How quickly they fell into this NATO basket which is very dangerous for Europe, very dangerous. This goes back to my idea what I was saying earlier about sovereignty. These countries don't really give me a sense that they have sovereignty over their own countries. They don't feel, to me I'm obviously intuition here is working, I just don't feel that they have freedom to say what they really think and they're scared to say it. When the United States invaded Iraq in 2003, I remember with great in a sense satisfaction that at least France, Chirac who I had not really known much about, stood up and said the United States we're not gonna join you in this expedition, basically into madness. Schroeder in Germany, same thing. Of course Putin condemned the invasion and Putin had been an ally of the United States since 9 11 if you remember correctly. And had called Bush and they were getting along. So even Putin said I won't go, don't go into Iraq. This is not the solution. He didn't oppose Afghanistan but he opposed Iraq. So Chirac and Schroeder stood for the old Europe. I remember de Gaulle, Charles de Gaulle, he was independent of the United States. Charles de Gaulle pulled France out of NATO because he saw the dangers of NATO, which is to say you have to fight an American war. When they say and they put nuclear weapons on your territory in England and France and Italy and Germany, when they do that, you're hitched to this superpower and you have no say in what they're gonna do. If they declare war and they use your territory, you're gonna be involved in a major conflict. I'm talking about sovereignty. Where is that sovereignty? They don't have it. And that has influenced their mindset for years now. Since 1940, well de Gaulle was the 60s. He actually reversed the whole flow and I think it was Sarkozy who put France back into NATO and now it's Macron. I hope because he was talking to Putin would at least have an independent viewpoint that could be helpful here, so he rolled it up. He may have told Putin something else, but within days he had rolled it up and gone along with the United States position, which was enforced by the United States in a very fierce way. The propaganda, as I say, I don't know how much time you spend in America, but it was vicious and everything was anti Russian. Russia were killing all these people, were shooting down civilians, although there was no proof of it. There was just, these are the accidents of war, but all of a sudden it was a campaign of criminality and they were talking about bringing Putin into war crime trial. Well, why didn't they talk like that when Iraq was going on and Bush was killing far more people? Or for that matter, why were they not talking about the killings in Donbass and Lugansk during that 2014 to 2022 period? That is what, it's a crime. There were so many people that were killed, many of them innocent, many of them innocent. What would be the way for Vladimir Putin to stop the killing in Donbass without the invasion of Ukraine? That's a very good question and I've asked that several times and I don't have the, I have not talked to him since about two years now. It's a very good question. What's the mistakes, what the human mistakes and the leadership mistakes made by Vladimir Putin? It's a very good question. You see, what the American press has not said and the Western press has not said is that on February 24, was it, that was, on that day when they invaded, the day before, if you check the logs of the European organization that was supervising, was in the field in Ukraine. These are neutral observers. They were seeing heavier and heavier artillery fire going into Donbass from the Ukrainian side. So they had, apparently, Ukraine had 110,000 troops on the border. They were about to invade Donbass, that was the plan. That's what I think. Russia, because of the buildup on the border of Donbass, brought 130, they say 130,000 troops to the area near Donbass, right? So you have buildup of forces on both sides, but you wouldn't know that from reading the press in the West. You'd believe that the Russians suddenly put all these men into the situation with the idea of invading Ukraine, not only Donbass, but invading all of Ukraine and getting rid of the, decapitating the government there, which is all assumption. We don't know what they would intend it to do. But you, at the time, as in a lot of people, thought that all the talk of the invasion, Russian invasion of Ukraine, is just propaganda. It's not gonna happen. It's very unlikely to happen. I think many of us thought that the United States is building this up into an invasion. In other words, that is the nature of false flag operations, when you create this propaganda. They are gonna invade. They are gonna invade. And then, when they invaded, the United States was completely ready, and all their allies were completely ready for the invasion, correct? So why did Putin do that? He fell into this, theoretically, into this trap set by the United States. Here you're telling all your allies across the board they're gonna invade. But you. Why do you think he did it? So here, is it madness, or is it common strategic calculation, perhaps? This one I cannot answer you faithfully, because, first of all, we don't know what he was told. If he was indeed getting the right intelligence estimates, from what I said earlier in that essay I wrote, you would think he was not well informed, perhaps, about the degree of cooperation he would get from the Ukrainian Russians in Ukraine. That would be one factor, that he wasn't,

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