第 266 期·中文精讀

妮科爾·珀爾羅思:網路安全與網路戰武器

Nicole Perlroth: Cybersecurity and the Weapons of Cyberwar

安全記者講述網路武器軍備競賽的內幕、零日漏洞交易與國家之間的數字攻防。

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中文精讀由 AI 基於原始訪談改寫,非官方翻譯,可能存在偏差或錯誤;表述以原音訊與官方文稿為準。說明

一個遠端零點選的 iOS 漏洞利用程式,2015 年前後在暗網上能賣到 250 萬美元。買家付錢時會附上一個條件:你永遠不能跟任何人提起它。只要走漏一個字,蘋果就會知道,幾天內釋出補丁,這筆投入立刻變成廢鐵。這門生意的價值,完全建立在"漏洞不被修復"之上。

妮科爾·珀爾羅思(Nicole Perlroth)在《紐約時報》跑了近十年網路安全報道,後來把調查寫成《世界是如何終結的》(This Is How They Tell Me the World Ends)。她跟 Lex Fridman 聊了三個多小時,談零日漏洞、網路戰、勒索軟體,以及一個更根本的問題:當一種能力可以悄無聲息地控制任何人的手機,人類的道德計算還撐不撐得住?

零日:名字就是字面意思

零日(zero day)這個叫法很直白。一個漏洞被發現的當天,軟體廠商有"零天"時間去修復它。在這之前,誰先發現,誰就擁有它。

發現漏洞只是第一步。真正危險的動作,是把它變成一個可執行的攻擊程式,也就是零日利用(zero day exploit)。在 iOS 上,駭客夢寐以求的是"遠端零點選":不用碰到目標手機,不用誘騙對方點開連結,只要知道號碼,就能把程式植進去,讀取位置、聯絡人、通話記錄,遠端開啟攝像頭,對方毫無察覺。

"基本上,你等於給對方戴上了一隻隱形腳環,而他自己完全不知道。"(妮科爾·珀爾羅思)

這種能力對間諜機構太有用。它可以監控異見人士、記者、政敵、外交官。過去十年,這個市場從暗處走到明處,價格一路水漲船高。

價格反轉:安卓為什麼超過蘋果

很長一段時間裡,iOS 遠端零點選漏洞是這條市場上的皇冠。它的價格天花板在 250 萬美元左右,原因有兩個。蘋果的安全做得更密實,挖到這種級別的漏洞極其困難;iPhone 的使用者裡有大量政商精英,買一個有戰略價值。

就在 2020 年前後,安卓的遠端零點選利用在暗網上第一次超過了 iOS。很多人的第一反應是:蘋果的安全是不是在退步?妮科爾給了另一個解釋,市場份額。全球用安卓的人更多,願意出高價的國家也換了。現在最捨得掏錢的是海灣國家,他們要監控的目標,是本國那些在 Twitter 上抱怨政權的人,或者正在策劃下一次"阿拉伯之春"的人。安卓基數大得多,撞上"這些人"的機率自然更高。

攻擊目標分兩類。一類高度定向:美方情報機構判斷有一場恐怖襲擊迫在眉睫,需要在 24 小時內進入某個人的手機,他們會直接找駭客開價幾百萬美元,要求"現在就要"。另一類是大面積覆蓋。幾年前有一個水坑攻擊(watering hole attack),針對維吾爾人:某個介紹維吾爾族資訊的網站,訪客只要開啟頁面,iOS 零日利用就自動落進手機。全球維吾爾僑民,以及任何對這個議題感興趣的人,包括一個正在寫作業的美國高中生,都會中招。

這段歷史是被大公司親手推出去的

妮科爾寫這本書,最想搞明白的是一個心理問題:什麼樣的人,會把一個能攻破核電站安全聯鎖的漏洞賣出去?

她一路追溯到了 1980 年代和 1990 年代。那時候的駭客,多數是出於好奇的修補匠,就像鄰居家那個成天掀開父親車蓋搗鼓的小孩。他們找到微軟、Sun、甲骨文軟體裡的漏洞,會主動跑去告訴公司:嘿,我發現你們軟體裡有個洞,我能用它進 NASA。

公司的回應幾乎千篇一律:法務函、警告、別再碰我們的軟體。感謝這類話很少出現。

"駭客本來是想做正確的事,結果被一遍遍地告知:閉嘴,別幹了。"(妮科爾·珀爾羅思)

被堵死的善意往下走,就變成了地下交易。駭客開始在論壇上私下交換漏洞。90 年代那場關於"要不要公開漏洞"的激烈爭論,就是這麼來的。公開了,任何指令碼小子都能拿去搞破壞;不公開,就等於朝那些天天威脅你的公司豎中指。

真正把這件事推向產業化的,是政府和它的承包商。他們悄悄在論壇上找到這些駭客,說:你剛才扔出來的那個漏洞,能不能給我做一個定製版?六位數,條件是永遠不告訴任何人。90 年代一批小型承包商開始幹這件事,政府的錢就這樣流進了駭客的口袋。

最初,這些漏洞只用於傳統的情報蒐集。當 Windows、施耐德電氣、西門子的工業軟體被嵌進核電站、工廠、電網、石化和管道系統之後,同一個漏洞的用途就變了。它可以用來偷看,也可以用來破壞、用來做戰爭規劃。

蘋果為什麼不該出 250 萬美元

有人會問:既然政府願意出 250 萬美元買漏洞,科技公司為什麼不也出這個價?把漏洞買回來修掉,不就完了?

妮科爾的回答是:它們不應該這麼出價。蘋果如果給一個零日開價 250 萬美元,第二天它自己的工程師就會問:我每天朝九晚五寫程式碼,憑什麼拿得比這個少?這會製造一種反向激勵,把防守方的人才往進攻端趕。出價越高,越是在給進攻做廣告。

公司手裡有政府沒有的東西:名聲。拿公司的漏洞賞金,你可以公開說,可以寫進簡歷,可以在安全會議上演講,可以拿到"我發現了那個沒人發現的漏洞"的江湖地位。賣給中間商,這些全部歸零。妮科爾說,這種"不能說出來"的憋屈,會實實在在地消耗人。

過去十年,Google、Facebook、微軟,以及抗拒了很久的蘋果,陸續建立了漏洞賞金計劃。同時冒出一批中介:HackerOne、Bugcrowd、Synack。Synack 的模式是付費的私有賞金計劃,你付錢,它組織全球駭客來打你的系統,然後私下告訴你結果。美國國防部把這三種模式都用了。妮科爾也承認,真正涉密的高階系統,五角大樓還是不太敢讓外部駭客碰,她說這算小步前進。

至今仍常有駭客私信她:某個國家正在利用一個漏洞,我兩年前就告訴過微軟,他們只肯給點零頭,所以這東西一直沒修。

阿根廷:扔塊石頭就能砸到一個賣漏洞的

書裡最讓人印象深刻的段落之一,是妮科爾去阿根廷的調查。2015 年前後,阿根廷還買不到 iPhone,沒有亞馬遜 Prime,那些全世界習以為常的應用,當地人根本用不上。一個孩子想拿到這些東西,唯一的方法就是破解出來。整個文化就是"MacGyver 式的文化":用鐵絲和膠帶把東西撬開。

結果就是,阿根廷聚集了大量頂尖的零日漏洞開發者。她去了布宜諾斯艾利斯一個叫 Eko Party 的駭客大會,問組織者:能不能介紹一個向政府出售零日的人?對方說:隨便扔塊石頭,就能砸到一個。會場裡到處是隻講阿拉伯語、一看就是從海灣國家來的人。

她請當地駭客圈一位"教父"吃飯,問了一個後來自己都覺得丟人的問題:這些人是不是隻把零日賣給西方的好政府?

"妮科爾,我上次查的時候,美國可不是什麼'好政府'。上一個把別國炸成廢墟的國家,不是中國,也不是伊朗,是美國。"(阿根廷駭客)

然後他說:按你這套道德計算,我們這兒用的是另一套演算法。我們可能更願意賣給伊朗、俄羅斯或者中國。

妮科爾說,那一刻她意識到,這個市場的第一規則是搏擊俱樂部的第一規則:沒人談論搏擊俱樂部。駭客不談,怕丟了 250 萬美元的賞金;政府不談,因為漏洞被捲進機密專案。在這麼暗的地方待久了,道德感會被一點點磨掉。

一個叫 Gruck 的中間商,和說錯話的代價

這個圈子有個著名的反面教材。一個南非人,住在泰國,做零日中間商,外號 Gruck。妮科爾剛接手這個選題時,他接受了《福布斯》採訪,還抱著一隻裝滿現金的大旅行袋拍了照。後來他聲稱那是"非正式談話",不懂規則。

根據跟他做過生意的人的說法,報道一出,他立刻被拉黑,生意至少腰斬。沒人願意跟一個會上鏡頭談自己怎麼把零日賣給政府的人打交道。她還聽說,有幾位"安全方面的人"上門拜訪過他。

這件事的教訓有兩層。公開說話在這個行業裡等於自斷財路。更要緊的一層,如果外界知道你手裡握著零日,你本人就成了各國情報機構的目標。你的操作安全(opsec)必須完美無缺,否則連自己都保不住。

這讓妮科爾很矛盾。透明對教育公眾有用,對吸引更多工程師去做防守也有用。可這個行業的激勵機制,恰好把透明這條路堵死了。她能做的,只有自己當記者,把資訊寫出來,同時把訊息源藏好。

社會工程:那個每天來上班的"John"

技術之外,更難防的是人。所有首席資訊保安官最怕的就是社會工程。

幾年前有個帖子在網上瘋傳:一家公司招了個叫 John 的員工,入職之後,每天來上班的那個"John",行為舉止跟面試時的 John 完全不像。一個人可以僱個演員去面試,拿到工作,進入組織內部,接觸全部資料。想想這條路徑的價效比。

沙特在 Twitter 內部安插過間諜。他們想知道,在 Twitter 上批評本國政權的到底是些什麼人。從外部黑不進去,那就從內部放人。

這種攻擊還有一個惡劣的副作用,它會在組織裡催生排外情緒。如果公司必須考慮"這個人會不會是間諜",一個從中國來應聘的工程師就會被格外審視。美國商務部出過這種事:把不是間諜的人當成間諜來查。

妮科爾說,這是最難解的問題,而且現在是最難解的時點,遠端辦公的壓力空前大。她提到一位曾在 NSA 做過頂級駭客的朋友的段子:每次去俄羅斯,都有十分美女來搭訕。回國跟朋友一說,朋友回答:抱歉,你不是十分。

元宇宙:三歲兒子問她什麼是網際網路

Lex 提到,扎克伯格在設想元宇宙。未來人們最有意義的體驗,戀愛、求職、跟朋友分享快樂的瞬間,可能越來越多地發生線上上。那個世界裡有一個數字化身,它本身就是一個入侵人心的介面。

妮科爾說,她腦子裡全是她三歲的兒子。有一天他問她:媽媽,網際網路是什麼?她差點哭出來。她不希望兒子一生中最有意義的事情都發生在網上。等那一天到來,你怎麼知道螢幕對面那個化身是人?

"我支援言論自由。我不支援給機器人和水軍言論自由。"(妮科爾·珀爾羅思)

過去六年,我們見過假裝"黑人的命也是命"活動家的機器人,見過假裝德州獨立支持者的機器人,見過組織反希拉里抗議的機器人。它們的目的只有一個:把我們困在自己的政治鬥爭裡,癱瘓到什麼都做不成,更沒法應付那些在做長期規劃的外部對手。

她也承認,人類從來沒有因為一項新技術有風險就停下過。我們一直的說法是:這項技術的前景值得繼續往前走,我們只需要想辦法管理風險。加密貨幣就是眼下的例子。

加密貨幣:勒索的助推器,也是追蹤器

報道勒索軟體的那段時間,妮科爾一度以為加密貨幣要完了。五年前,駭客劫持你的電腦,會讓你去附近藥店買張禮品卡,報出密碼,換 200 美元。現在他們會說:給我們五個比特幣。加密貨幣毫無疑問助推了勒索軟體。

Colonial Pipeline 的贖金被追回之後,她的看法變了。FBI 從 DarkSide 手裡拿回了一部分。她採訪了 TRM Labs 的人,那是一家區塊鏈情報公司,很多員工來自財政部。對方告訴她:換成法幣,要找到塞席爾某家空殼公司的某個賬戶,需要好幾年;有了區塊鏈,資金流動可以實時追蹤。這些支付遠沒有人們想的那麼匿名,老一套的情報手段加上零日,照樣能查出私鑰錢包的主人是誰。

"我們從來沒有因為一項有前景的新技術帶來風險就關掉它。我們只是想辦法管理風險。"(TRM Labs 員工,轉述)

順著這個邏輯,她對元宇宙的態度是:問題在於怎麼在裡面把身份問題解決掉。也許是一個"真人認證",一個能證明"你是你"的標記,同時又不把資料全部交給某一家公司。她提到一家叫 PII Ono(發音近似 Piano)的公司,想法是在每個組織裡為你的個人資訊建一個保險庫。你打電話給達美航空訂票,對方不需要知道你的社保號、生日,只需要你手機或 FIDO 金鑰發回一個一次性令牌:對,是她。航空公司只跟一個隨機令牌打交道,拿不到你的個人資訊。

Lex 接過話頭,說他受夠了每次註冊服務都要填手機號郵箱,被迫用一堆假號碼假郵箱,因為不知道哪個網站哪天會被黑,然後一路擴散。他希望能一鍵訂閱、一鍵退訂、一鍵授權必要資訊。妮科爾說這些都是舉手之勞,國會至今沒動作是失職。老年人每天被"汽車延保"詐騙電話轟炸,她父親住院時手機在旁邊不停響,全是想套社保號和個人資訊的。她說,應該把這些人判終身監禁,也應該追問:憑什麼每個零售商都有權索要你的社保號、家庭住址和護照?

Snowden:既不是英雄,也不是叛徒

Lex 問,在歷史的長河裡,斯諾登是英雄還是反派?妮科爾的回答是:都不是,她的感受很複雜。

她是記者,相信透明是好的。她感激後斯諾登時代那場關於監控邊界和隱私價值的討論。秘密法庭在做什麼你完全不知道的時候,你憑什麼相信這個國家真的在乎公民自由?

另一面,她走進那間存放 NSA 機密檔案的儲藏室時,剛花了兩年時間報道中國的網路間諜活動,也一直在追蹤俄羅斯越來越具破壞性的攻擊。中國對本國公民的監控沒有邊界,俄羅斯在網路攻擊上、乃至暗殺記者上,似乎也沒有邊界。所以走進那個房間時,她坦白說,有一部分她鬆了一口氣:NSA 確實像她希望的那樣強。據她所知,美國沒有拿這些能力去暗殺記者,也沒有去搞垮製藥公司,大部分還是用於傳統間諜活動。

她最大的不滿是報道方式。當時幾乎所有報道都在說"NSA 有這個專案""NSA 進了默克爾的手機",沒人同時說:順便一提,中國一直在黑我們的管道,偷走我們的智慧財產權;俄羅斯一直在黑我們的能源基礎設施,用同樣的手段監控、追蹤,很多時候還殺害本國記者;沙特也在對本國批評者做同樣的事。你不能把這些國家孤立起來談。

"你不能只報道我們這邊的越界,卻對另一邊正在發生的事保持沉默。"(妮科爾·珀爾羅思)

她還提到一個細節。那幾千份檔案裡,大部分是沒什麼價值的 PPT,上面卻有具體的人名。她希望當時的披露能更有針對性、更剋制一些。

Lex 追問:那一個吹哨人應該怎麼做才更好?妮科爾說這是真正的難題。她拿 Facebook 前員工洩露 Instagram 內部研究的事舉例。站在公司角度,開放文化是好事;可如果任何一個吹哨人都能把一份研究從上下文裡抽出來交給媒體,媒體照單全收,然後形成一個"Facebook 顯然很邪惡"的敘事,公司只會變得更保守、更保密,這就是一場比爛的競賽。

她心目中做得對的例子,是舉報特朗普與澤連斯基通話的那位吹哨人。走了正規渠道,沒有出書,沒有靠這個賺錢,也沒有住在莫斯科。

情報機構:官僚氣,也有例外

Lex 問了一個有點危險的問題:這些情報機構,到底是有能力的,還是邪惡的?

妮科爾說,得看是哪家。摩薩德這些年在伊朗暗殺核科學家,它有沒有推遲伊朗造出核彈的時間?有。它有沒有阻止針對本國公民的恐怖襲擊?大機率也有。情報就是情報,簡單貼標籤沒意義。

她在這一行遇到的人,大多不是國慶節海灘上那種捶胸頓足的愛國者,很多人對老東家感情複雜。在 NSA,要做一件外界以為他們在做的事,比如監控美國人,需要填的表格、走的流程、繞的官僚體系多得嚇人。Snowden 檔案裡也爆出一個叫 LOVEINT 的專案:少數 NSA 分析師用許可權去監控前女友。每個規則都有例外。

她也承認自己有西方視角的偏向。她認為西方情報機構和某些國家幾乎沒法相提並論。中國對維吾爾人的監控規模和對外輸出程度,是另一回事。前面提到的水坑攻擊,不只打擊境內維吾爾人,也打擊境外任何關心這個問題的人。

"維吾爾人是中國監控技術的試驗田。就像烏克蘭對俄羅斯來說是網路攻擊的試驗廚房。"(妮科爾·珀爾羅思)

2015 年奧巴馬與習近平達成協議,雙方承諾不為商業利益互相攻擊。之後大約 18 個月,中國對美國企業的網路攻擊大幅下降。有些攻擊沒停,針對的是航空公司和萬豪這樣的酒店集團。為什麼?在中國看來這不算竊取智慧財產權,屬於"反間諜",是合法的。他們想知道某個時間住在這座城市的中國公民是誰,好交叉比對,找出可能被策反的人。妮科爾說,美國大概也在做類似的事,反間諜就是反間諜,在規則之內算公平遊戲。

她認為真正越界的是把監控用於審查、壓制異見。阿聯酋的批評者 Ahmed Mansour 在 Twitter 上呼籲更多投票權,結果護照被沒收,手機被入侵,連嬰兒監視器都被黑了,孩子在被人盯著,車也被偷了。後來阿聯酋專門立法,禁止在 Twitter 上批評統治家族。Mansour 從此被單獨監禁,一直在絕食。

"那是邪惡。那種事我們不幹。我們這裡有規則,我們不越那條線。"(妮科爾·珀爾羅思)

她說自己不會去迪拜,也不會去阿布扎比。如果想去馬爾地夫,那也沒辦法,大部分航班要經停迪拜。有些線,她不跨。

卡舒吉之後,"隱形盾牌"碎了

Lex 問她:調查過世界上最有權勢的一些人和組織,會不會害怕?

她說有過幾個瞬間。《紐約時報》的安全團隊曾打電話告訴她:暗網上有人出價,誰能黑進她的手機或筆記本,就能拿錢。阿根廷那場駭客大會之後,她帶回來一臺"一次性"筆記本,鎖在保險櫃裡,裡面什麼都沒存。回來一看,保險櫃被人開啟過,電腦被挪了位置。

也有走向另一個極端的時刻。她寫過中國入侵《紐約時報》的報道,也寫過好幾起中國駭客攻擊事件,有人家裡的恆溫器被黑,各種裝置被控制。那時她一個人住在舊金山,某天半夜,電視的機頂盒發出怪聲。她爬起來,一把把線從牆上扯下來,好像還罵了一句"去你的,中國"。第二天早上醒來,晨光正好照在那個被扯下來、扔在地板上的機頂盒上。她對自己說:不行,我不能走這條路。

她形容那一刻站在一個岔路口。要麼戴上錫箔帽,徹底離開網路,不開帶導航的車,不用谷歌地圖,不買 iPhone,不在亞馬遜買尿布,用假身份生活;要麼就儘自己所能,在這個新的數字世界裡正常活著。

她給所有人的建議是:想清楚你的"皇冠珠寶"是什麼。你不可能什麼都保護,你可以保護最重要的那部分。對她來說,很長一段時間裡,皇冠珠寶是訊息源。她會跟訊息源約在同一家早茶店,或者同一個季度的同一天、換一家餐廳,雙方都不開車、不打 Uber、不帶任何電子裝置,她只帶一支鉛筆和一本筆記本。有幾次對方沒來,但她們從不透過數字方式聯絡。

"但你不能對所有人都這樣。"(妮科爾·珀爾羅思)

對其他人,就是 Signal、雙因素認證、及時更新裝置、不點釣魚郵件、用密碼管理器,那些我們全都知道應該做的事。她說,別走火入魔,因為那才是終極的入侵:他們黑進了你的腦子。盡你所能就好。

她有個在冷戰時期擔任《紐約時報》莫斯科分社社長的導師。她寫完中國網路間諜的系列報道後,他請她吃午飯,講自己當年送孩子去幼兒園,克格勃會跟著他,還故意按喇叭、弄出很大動靜,就是要讓他知道被盯著。他說:他們其實什麼也沒做,但我要讓你知道我們在跟著你,然後我據此行事。在數字世界裡也一樣:知道大概有人在跟著你,有時候他們會弄出點聲音。

他還告訴她:你在《紐約時報》,身上有一層隱形盾牌。真出了事,那是國際事件,是很大的事。她帶著這層盾牌活了很多年。

然後卡舒吉遇害了。他是沙特人,也是《華盛頓郵報》的專欄作家,大部分時間住在美國,是記者。對方几乎公開地做了那件事,而且沒付出代價。美國為了維持與沙特的邦交,也讓它過去了。那一刻,她的世界觀被掀翻了。她說,那等於向很多國家發出訊號:記者可以隨便動了。她認為那是上一屆美國政府任內最具破壞性的事情之一。

"我現在不知道該怎麼看待我那層隱形盾牌了。"(妮科爾·珀爾羅思)

自我審查才是真正的攻擊面

Lex 提出了一套自己的"安全哲學":不藏秘密,公開地做個怪人。他說,如果有什麼東西你特別想藏,先問問自己為什麼要藏、到底在怕什麼。網際網路熱愛真實,它想看你怪,那就怪到底。那種"這句話別人會怎麼解讀""這會不會被拿來對付我"的小聲音,才是創造力的殺手。

妮科爾同意,並且把這件事上升到了隱私層面。她說蒂姆·庫克之所以在隱私上寸步不讓,就是因為那個自我審查的小聲音。長期來看,它對自由思考和創新的傷害是什麼?

她引用了《紐約時報》頭版的經典說法:不要往郵件裡寫任何你不希望出現在《紐約時報》頭版的東西。她也承認這套做法有代價。你不能偷偷當個混蛋,這算好事;可同時,那個"別人會怎麼讀"的念頭,也會一點點掐死創意。

Lex 說 Twitter 的設計就是為了激起皮質醇反應,每天開啟手機看熱搜,全是"今天什麼話題最能讓人憤怒"。妮科爾說,這就是為什麼她一半時間在 Twitter 上就會對人類失去希望。一旦去超市、去徒步、有人對她笑一下、有人說句好話,她又會想起來:人本質上是好的,只是這些人的聲音我們聽得太少。

給年輕人的建議:去當駭客,然後做防守

Lex 問,對今天在高中、大學裡思考未來的年輕人,有什麼建議?

妮科爾的回答很直接:如果你對技術有興趣,去當駭客,然後去做防守。

美國有一些很好的獎學金專案,很早就找到你,幫你付大學學費,條件是畢業後要為聯邦機構做一段時間的網路安全工作。每年這些人最想去哪兒?NSA,或者網路司令部。他們想去做進攻,想做那些"性感"的活。招人做防守極其困難。

"當海盜永遠比當海岸警衛隊有趣。"(妮科爾·珀爾羅思)

結果是全球有 350 萬個網路安全崗位空缺。她把這稱為終極的職業保障:去當駭客,做網路安全,你永遠有工作。自由市場經濟在這一行是吃虧的,政府開不出 Palantir、Facebook、Google、微軟那樣的薪水。

有些國家用另一種方式解決這個問題:某種程度的強制徵召。中國會告訴駭客:你白天該幹嘛幹嘛,在阿里上班也行,接點勒索軟體的活也行,但哪天我們拍拍你的肩膀,要你來做一次敏感行動,答案必須是"是"。俄羅斯也一樣。幾年前雅虎被黑,起訴書裡寫得很清楚:兩個網路罪犯,加兩個聯邦安全域性(FSB)的人。罪犯可以隨便玩,但他們一旦撞見某個在白宮、國務院或軍方工作的人的個人雅虎賬號密碼,就必須交給 FSB。

美國不這麼幹,所以防守端的人手缺口更大。

她說,如果你是個修補匠,對程式碼有興趣,去學怎麼黑。SANS 等機構有各種駭客競賽。然後把這些技能用在正道上:把那些被威權政權用來把別人的生活變成監獄的漏洞堵上;保護工業系統;保護水處理廠,別讓人進來把水給投毒。這份工作在好幾個層面都成立:智力上刺激,你可以告訴自己是在報效國家、是在救人,而且永遠不缺工作。如果你想要那份年薪兩百萬的工作,你也可以去。

她還提到一個反直覺的點:在網路安全這行,很多時候最有意思的威脅在私營部門,因為攻擊都打向那裡。網路罪犯和國家對手來打美國,不會直接去打網路司令部或 NSA,他們打銀行、打 Google、打微軟、打關鍵基礎設施。這些私營公司能見到最先進的攻擊。你在 FireEye 工作,第一個喊出 SolarWinds 攻擊,你救下的系統數量難以估量。

Lex 自己的勒索軟體遭遇

採訪前,Lex 第一次成了網路攻擊的受害者。他有一臺 QNAP 的 NAS,大約 60TB,RAID 5,裝了 50TB 資料。一個叫 Deadbolt 的勒索軟體攻擊了大約 4000 到 5000 臺 QNAP 裝置,逐個檔案加密,然後彈出一個措辭禮貌得驚人的頁面。

頁面上寫著:你所有的檔案已被加密,包括但不限於照片、文件和表格。為什麼是我?這不是針對你個人的攻擊。你成為目標,是因為你的裝置供應商 QNAP 提供的安全不足。現在怎麼辦?向以下地址支付 0.03 個比特幣(約 1000 美元),我們會給你解密金鑰。頁面裡還附了一段給 QNAP 的話:你們所有受影響的客戶都是透過你們產品中的一個零日漏洞被攻擊的。給你們兩個選項,支付 5 個比特幣,我們告訴你們漏洞在哪;或者支付 50 個比特幣(約 180 萬美元),我們給你所有客戶的萬能解密金鑰。

Lex 說,這一下挺疼。他沒給這些資料做備份,因為他覺得這些資料丟了也無所謂。裡面有一堆 4K 的個人影片,有采訪的原始素材,不涉及任何見不得人的東西,只是捨不得。他以為 RAID 5 能保護他。

妮科爾接著分析:這次的特別之處在於,勒索軟體開始利用零日漏洞了。這在過去 18 個月才成為現實。在此之前,大約 80% 的勒索軟體入侵,根子上都是沒開雙因素認證、員工用了弱密碼。那種情況以後可以防。這一次,QNAP 自己恐怕都還不知道漏洞在哪。就算付了錢,如果漏洞沒被找到,誰能保證他們不會再來一次,再打你一次?

她提到一個挪威的案例。一家心理診所被攻破,罪犯直接去找病人,說:付錢,不然我們公開你的精神科病歷。

該不該付錢,她說這遠不是一句"別付"能解決的。臺灣一家蘋果供應商被勒索 5000 萬美元。Baltimore 市被攻擊時,最初的贖金要求大概只有 7.6 萬美元,市政府硬扛著沒付,最後重建系統的成本是 1800 萬美元。那是本該用於公立教育、道路和公共衛生的錢。很多市民事後質問:為什麼不付那 7.6 萬?

更被低估的是 Colonial Pipeline。公司被攻擊後主動關停管道,因為計費系統凍住了,沒法向下遊收費。妮科爾和同事 David Sanger 拿到一份機密評估:作為國家,我們最多還能承受兩到三天的停運。她原以為是汽油和航空燃油的問題,其實不是,真正要命的是柴油。沒有柴油,煉油廠就轉不動,整個經濟會被拖垮。那次付贖金,背後幾乎有國家經濟安全的考量。

她寫過的最觸目驚心的案例,是佛蒙特州一家醫院被攻擊。你可能會想,大不了就是 IT 系統癱了,病人總還能看吧。事實是,癌症病人做不了化療了。因為"誰該用哪種藥"的方案極其複雜,系統一停,護士和醫生查不到。有位護士說:我見過的唯一能跟眼前這一幕相比的,是波士頓馬拉松爆炸案之後我在燒傷病房工作的那幾天。

去年《華爾街日報》還有一篇報道,把一名嬰兒的死亡歸因於勒索軟體攻擊。母親入院後,監測胎兒的裝置因攻擊而失靈。

規模更大、離個人更遠的是 NotPetya。那是俄羅斯對烏克蘭的攻擊,透過一家烏克蘭稅務軟體公司投遞,不只打烏克蘭的政府機構和企業,還打到了全世界任何一家有員工在烏克蘭遠端辦公的公司:馬士基、輝瑞、FedEx,還有 Merck。Merck 的工廠全部癱瘓,公司陷入生存危機,那年不得不動用 CDC 的 Gardasil 疫苗應急儲備,因為整條疫苗生產線被這次攻擊凍住了。

"如果這件事發生在今天的輝瑞、Moderna 或者強生身上,那就是一場全球性的網路恐怖襲擊。"(妮科爾·珀爾羅思)

她過去一直把這類後果稱為"附帶損害"(collateral damage)。就在採訪當天,思科旗下威脅情報部門 Talos 的一位研究員說:別再叫它附帶損害了。他們在投放惡意軟體之前,就能看到誰會中招。那不是附帶損害,那是故意的。他們就是要打任何跟烏克蘭有生意往來的公司,也是要給他們發一個訊號。

中國、臺灣,和美國柔軟的腹部

Lex 問,中美之間會不會打一場純粹發生在網路空間的戰爭?

妮科爾的判斷是:從現在起,任何地緣政治衝突都必然帶有網路成分。美國司法部最近解密了一份報告,說中國一直在入侵美國的管道系統。目的不在竊取智慧財產權,是預先埋點:一旦臺海局勢升級,他們已經在需要的位置上,可以隨時關掉管道。

Colonial Pipeline 那次,讓所有人瞥見了那會是什麼樣子:恐慌性搶購、航空燃油短缺,還有那份關於柴油的評估。

"每次我讀到中國戰機在臺灣附近、俄羅斯在烏克蘭邊境集結的新聞,我都是戴著網路的透鏡去看的。讓我不安的是,別人不這麼看。"(妮科爾·珀爾羅思)

她現在兼任美國國土安全部網路安全與基礎設施安全域性(CISA)的顧問。她強調自己沒在講任何機密,但認為公眾必須理解:這些衝突一旦升級,美國企業和關鍵基礎設施會承受什麼樣的連帶損害。

對手們已經想明白了一件事。在傳統軍費和戰鬥機數量上,他們也許永遠追不上美國,但美國在網路空間有一個非常柔軟的腹部美國 80% 以上的關鍵基礎設施,包括管道、電網、核電站、供水系統,由私營部門擁有和運營。絕大多數情況下,沒有任何法律要求這些公司上報入侵情況,它們甚至不必告訴政府自己被攻擊了,也沒有任何法律強制它們達到最低的網路安全標準。

"如果你要設計一個儘可能盲目、儘可能脆弱的系統,那差不多就是我們現在這個樣子。"(妮科爾·珀爾羅思)

她的批評落在一個詞上,軟體吃掉世界(software eats the world)。所有人都在講連線、講便利、講成本,沒人停下來問過一句:這些系統到底該不該連上網際網路?大家只問"能不能",然後就說"那就幹吧"。

僅去年一年,公開披露的零日攻擊就創下紀錄,大約 80 起,可能是 2019 年的兩倍多,其中很多來自國家行為體。當今世界熱點密佈的地方,恰恰是這些國家過去幾年在進攻性網路工具上砸錢最多的地方。它們的算盤很直接:手裡握著別人不知道的零日,就等於握著一張隨時可以打的牌。

相互確保的數字毀滅

核武器在某種意義上阻止了核戰爭。網路武器會不會也形成某種"相互確保的數字毀滅"?

妮科爾說,核類比經常站不住腳,有兩個關鍵原因。

第一,門檻太低。你不需要裂變材料,一臺筆記本加技能就能上桌。除南極洲之外,現在每個國家都在找進攻性工具和零日。不會的國家可以直接買,250 萬美元對不少國家來說是零錢,比造下一代戰鬥機便宜太多。

第二,歸因太難。國家會故意攪渾水。俄羅斯黑進過伊朗的指揮控制伺服器;還攻擊過沙特一家石化廠,把工廠的安全聯鎖給廢掉了。所有人第一反應都認定是伊朗乾的,因為伊朗常年盯著沙特石油公司。結果不是,出手的是莫斯科郊外一家研究生院。國家在歸因上動手腳,動機很簡單:我得讓這件事看起來不像是我乾的,我承擔不起對方的報復。

還有一個勉強成形的默契,叫"對等回應"。你打了我,我可以在自己選定的時間和地點做出相稱的反擊。奧巴馬在朝鮮攻擊索尼之後就是這麼說的:我們會在自己選擇的時間和地點回應。沒人真的知道那個回應長什麼樣。於是大量攻擊停在了"差一點就是戰爭"的位置上。俄羅斯在烏克蘭關過兩次電,沒讓燈滅上一整星期,只滅了幾個小時。NotPetya 把那些公司打得極慘,沒有人死。

"問題是:當真的有人死了,會發生什麼?"(妮科爾·珀爾羅思)

更麻煩的一層:國家行為體能不能偽裝成一個網路犯罪團伙、一個勒索軟體組織?這一點幾乎堵死了通往"數字日內瓦公約"的路。微軟的布拉德·史密斯一直在呼籲籤這麼一個公約,表面上看毫無爭議,大家不都該同意不去攻擊對方的民用醫院、選舉系統、電網和管道嗎?跟西方官員聊,他們會說:我們當然願意籤,跟普京、跟金正恩籤沒有意義。他們經常把行動外包給網路罪犯。中國很多攻擊來自一批鬆散的個人,他們在國家安全部的授意下幹活。你怎麼跟跨國行為體和罪犯談國家間的協議?你怎麼確認那個人是單幹,還是受了國安部或聯邦安全域性的指派?

她記得普京說過一句話:駭客就像藝術家,早上醒來心情好,就開始畫畫。言下之意,我管不了他們幹什麼。而他剛剛把 Merck、輝瑞和另外幾千家公司打得稀爛。

如果只能修一件事

Lex 問:假設不許動威權政體,不許改人性,只讓你在網路安全的層面上啪一下手指修好一件事,修什麼?

答案乾脆:雙因素認證,多因素認證。

Colonial Pipeline 斷掉了通往美國東海岸的汽油、航空燃油和柴油的最大通道,起因是什麼?一個離職員工的舊賬號沒被停用,密碼在暗網上被人交易過,他們從來沒開過雙因素認證。佛羅里達州那家水處理廠被入侵,起因是什麼?還在用十幾年前、根本打不上補丁的 Windows XP,同樣沒有雙因素認證。這樣的例子一遍又一遍。

她解釋這兩個因素是什麼。第一個是你知道的密碼,第二個是另一臺裝置或另一個渠道,確認"是我"。通常是簡訊驗證碼,更好的做法是花二十美元在亞馬遜買個 FIDO 硬體金鑰,那東西不在你手上,你就進不去。

她在《紐約時報》頭五年報道的全是資料洩露,家得寶、塔吉特、內曼·馬庫斯,那五年裡誰沒被黑過?這些公司被拿走了什麼?憑證,密碼。密碼能在暗網上賣個好價錢,而人們到處複用同一個密碼。駭客從某個不知名的地方搞到一組密碼,拿去試你的郵箱、你的券商賬戶、你的冷錢包。你開了多因素認證,他有密碼也沒用,他沒有你的手機,沒有你的 FIDO 金鑰。

"我經常收到提醒,說有人在試圖登入我的 Instagram 或者 Twitter 或者郵箱。我不慌,因為我開了多因素認證。他們可以試一整天。"(妮科爾·珀爾羅思)

眼下的遊戲規則跟"做到完美安全"無關,完美安全不存在。規則是:讓你比你的同行、比其他人稍微難打一點,攻擊者就會放棄,換個目標。如果你真的是某個先進國家或者 SVR 的目標,那不管怎樣都會被黑。你可以讓 Deadbolt 這種犯罪團伙的活變得難得多,代價只是做點最基本的功課。

然後她說了一句聽起來很掃興但很實在的話:安全最大的問題,是它很煩人。它給我們這個無摩擦社會帶來了摩擦。我們需要一個安全界的史蒂夫·喬布斯,把它做得毫無痛感。

她認為蘋果在這一點上的貢獻比誰都大,先是指紋,然後是面容 ID。八年前,人們手機上要麼沒密碼,要麼可選密碼,要麼四位數密碼,隨便誰撿到你的 iPhone 都能看到一切。那一步並不完美,跨得很大。

接下來該邁出下一步。她說:我想看到密碼死掉。它已經走到了它能走的盡頭。

Lex 提到自己在 Google 做過這方面的研究,叫主動認證或被動認證。不止用指紋,還用你的身體本身:走路姿態、從口袋裡掏出手機的姿勢、聲音、帶活體檢測的面部識別,一層層疊上去,讓別人難以偽造。他也承認,在安全強度上要贏過密碼非常難。

妮科爾舉了一家叫 Abnormal Security 的公司,做郵件攻擊防護。創始人之前在 Twitter 做廣告技術,如今廣告技術對人的瞭解已經到了荒唐的地步,總有人開玩笑說,你多看了一眼某雙鞋,它就出現在你手機上。他們把這套能力搬到了防守端。正常人的郵件往來有固定的模式,對 Lex 和妮科爾這種天天給陌生人發郵件的人未必適用,對大多數人而言高度可預測。一旦有東西偏離模式,就攔下來查。用精準廣告的技術來保護人,這個方向她覺得對。

希望來自不上網的地方

Lex 最後問,如果世界沒有終結,希望在哪裡?

她說她必須有希望,因為她有一個孩子,另一個還在路上,沒有希望就不會要孩子。這也是個讓人害怕的時點:疫情、氣候、虛假資訊、越來越先進、可能致命的網路攻擊。

讓她有希望的是,她跟 Lex 持同樣的世界觀:人本質上是好的。提醒她想起這一點的時刻,幾乎從不發生在網上。在 Twitter 上泡上半天,你會對人類失去信心。去趟超市、去爬次山、有人衝你笑一下、有人說句好話,你就想起來了:人是好的,只是這些人不常發出聲音。

她還有一個判斷:當前的糟糕政治氣候已經觸底,這是最糟的狀態了。她把希望放在代際更替上。她自稱"高齡千禧一代"或者"年輕 X 世代",這個群體有一種獨特的責任。成長時沒有網際網路、沒有社交媒體,又是數字原生代,好與壞都見過。這一代人小時候沒有氣候焦慮,現在有了,也就知道氣候並非註定如此;虛假資訊也一樣。

"很多我們面對的問題,只是把長期以來的惰性暴露出來了。我覺得需要一次代際交接。"(妮科爾·珀爾羅思)

她期待新一代人進來說:我們不按你們那套做事了,我們不會再去掠奪地球,不會再去挑動人們互相對立、玩髒手段,也不會再讓遊說集團決定這個國家做什麼、不做什麼。

Lex 順著說,每當那些年長的政客和領導者表現糟糕,他反而看到積極的一面,他們在激勵大量年輕人來取代他們。你甚至需要有人表現得足夠糟糕,才能提醒大家:我們需要好的領導者,需要偉大的創造者、建設者、企業家、科學家、工程師、記者。關於"新聞業已經壞了"的那些討論,本身就是激勵新機構、新記者站出來把新聞做得更好的動力。

真實是最後一道防線

妮科爾接過"真實"這個詞。沒人再能靠塑膠感往上爬了,人們渴望真實。網際網路的好處是,你在每個平臺上都很難長期藏住自己是誰,某種程度上它總會露出來。她希望等她的孩子長大時,沒人在乎他們在網上犯過一次錯,只要他們是真實的。

她講了自己的一個轉變。她侄子在她大學畢業那天出生,一出生就活在 Facebook 裡。她一直想:這樣的孩子怎麼可能當上美國總統?如果她上大學時有 Facebook,天啊,那些孩子怎麼辦?總會有一張照片,記錄下某個錯誤,然後一切就完了。後來她把這個想法收回去了。不對,每個人都會犯錯,每個人都會有一張照片,我們只能一起長大,接受一個事實:作為人,我們會犯大錯,只希望這些錯沒有大到毀掉餘生。

她希望我們走到這樣一個共識:判斷一個人的標準變成他是否真誠,一張舊照片不再等於永久判決。這需要整個社會一起變得更寬容一點,也更謙遜一點。否則每個人都會被取消,而沒人能活在一個所有人都在互相取消的世界裡。

這個行業為什麼沒人願意出鏡

Lex 問她,採訪這種題材有什麼經驗,為什麼幾乎沒人願意露臉。她笑著說,這就是她當紙媒記者的原因。她見過有人做到,鏡頭前永遠是躲在陰影裡的人,聲音被處理過。

她講了 Gruck 的例子作為反面教材。她剛開始跑這個選題時,他接受了《福布斯》採訪,談自己做中間商的生意,還抱著一個裝滿現金的大旅行袋擺了姿勢拍照。後來他說那是"非正式談話",不懂規矩。她從他生意夥伴那裡聽說:報道一出來,他立刻被拉黑,沒人跟他往來,生意至少砍半。沒人願意跟一個會上電視談自己怎麼把零日賣給政府的人做買賣。她還聽說,有幾位安全方面的人上門拜訪過他。

更要緊的一層:如果外界知道你手裡握著零日,你本人就是各國情報機構的靶子。你的操作安全必須完美無缺,否則連自己都保不住。這讓她很矛盾。透明在這裡本可以教育世界,也能激勵更多工程師去做正事;可一旦有人在陰影裡幹活,資訊就不流動,防守端就永遠招不到人。她能做的,是自己當記者,把採訪到的資訊整理出來,同時把訊息源藏好。

她提到 HackerOne 給她的一個啟發。先別管那些整天靠漏洞吃飯的人,想想全世界還有幾百萬程式設計師,從來都沒聽說過"零日漏洞"這個詞。為什麼不去找他們?告訴他們:只要能在美聯航的軟體、施耐德電氣的裝置、福特或特斯拉的系統裡找出一個漏洞,我們就付錢給你。這是一支沒被動員過的軍隊,讓他們在那些會把漏洞賣給政府的人之前,先把漏洞補掉。

把代價算進來

妮科爾在這期訪談裡反覆回到一個詞:代價。她講 Baltimore 市那 7.6 萬美元的贖金,和最後 1800 萬美元的重建費用。講 Colonial Pipeline 那兩三天柴油斷供的臨界點。講 Merck 那年要靠 CDC 的應急疫苗儲備撐住。講佛蒙特那家醫院裡做不了化療的癌症患者。講挪威那家被罪犯直接上門威脅病人的心理診所。

她也在講另一件事:那些被當成"附帶損害"的東西,可能從來就不是附帶的。思科 Talos 的研究員說得直白,投放惡意軟體之前,他們就能看到誰會中招。這不是手滑,這是故意的。

那麼個人能做什麼?她給出的思路是做有重點的安全,不做完美主義的安全。想清楚你的皇冠珠寶是什麼,把它護住;其他部分做到基本動作,不要讓摩擦大到你會把防護關掉;剩下的時間,去過線下生活。

節目最後,放了一段她書裡的話:我們把整個數字生活,密碼、簡訊、情書、銀行記錄、健康檔案、信用卡、訊息源、最深的想法,全部託付給一個神秘盒子。盒子裡的電路,我們大多數人一輩子都不會去檢查;驅動它的程式碼,寫在我們大多數人一輩子都不會完全理解的語言裡。

這段話放在整期訪談的末尾,讀起來像墓誌銘,也像提醒。我們對這個盒子的依賴,已經遠遠超出了我們對它的理解。

可以馬上做的事

  • 今天就開啟雙因素認證,先開郵箱、銀行、券商和主要社交賬號。能用 FIDO 硬體金鑰的地方就用硬體金鑰,簡訊驗證碼是次優選項,因為 SIM 卡可以被劫持。
  • 停止複用密碼,上一個密碼管理器,讓它為每個站點生成獨立的隨機密碼。你唯一需要記住的,是管理器的那一個主密碼。
  • 列一份皇冠珠寶清單,不超過五樣:訊息源、客戶資料、家庭照片、私鑰、身份憑證。這幾樣做離線或異地備份,並且接受"保護不了全部"這件事。
  • 把 NAS、路由器、攝像頭這類裝置劃到獨立網路,不要和主力電腦混在一起。關掉不用的遠端訪問埠,廠商補丁出來的第一週就打上。記住 RAID 不是備份,它只防硬碟壞,防不住勒索軟體逐個檔案加密。
  • 假設你的郵箱和密碼已經在某個洩露庫裡,去 Have I Been Pwned 查一遍,把出現過的密碼全部換掉,並檢查這些賬號是否已經開啟多因素認證。
  • 給自己定一條公開發言標準,不往郵件和私信裡寫任何不願被人截圖的內容。把公開的你和私下的你儘量變成同一個人,這樣你既沒有可以被勒索的把柄,也不用每天消耗精力做自我審查。
  • 搞清楚你所在組織被攻擊時的上報路徑和責任人。如果你在一家擁有工業裝置、醫療系統或基礎設施的公司工作,問清楚:出了事誰決策、要不要付贖金、備份多久恢復一次。這些問題在平靜的日子裡問,成本最低。
  • 如果你在考慮職業方向,網路安全全球有三四百萬個空缺,去學攻防,然後選擇防守端。這個方向永遠缺人,尤其缺願意做基礎工作的人。
文稿來自公開 Kaggle 資料集(rajneesh231/lex-fridman-podcast-transcript),為早期自動轉錄存檔,可能存在識別錯誤。
If one site is hacked, you can just unleash all hell. We have stumbled into this new era of mutually assured digital destruction. How far are people willing to go? You can capture their location, you can capture their contacts that record their telephone calls, record their camera without them knowing about it. Basically, you can put an invisible ankle bracelet on someone without them knowing. You could sell that to a zero day broker for $2 million. The following is a conversation with Nicole Perlroth, cybersecurity journalist and author of This Is How They Tell Me The World Ends, The Cyber Weapons Arm Race. This is the Lex Friedman podcast. To support it, please check out our sponsors in the description. And now, dear friends, here's Nicole Perlroth. You've interviewed hundreds of cybersecurity hackers, activists, dissidents, computer scientists, government officials, forensic investigators, and mercenaries. So let's talk about cybersecurity and cyber war. Start with the basics. What is a zero day vulnerability? And then a zero day exploit or attack? So at the most basic level, let's say I'm a hacker and I find a bug in your iPhone iOS software that no one else knows about, especially Apple. That's called a zero day because the minute it's discovered, engineers have had zero days to fix it. If I can study that zero day, I could potentially write a program to exploit it. And that program would be called a zero day exploit. And for iOS, the dream is that you craft a zero day exploit that can remotely exploit someone else's iPhone without them ever knowing about it. And you can capture their location, you can capture their contacts that record their telephone calls, record their camera without them knowing about it. Basically, you can put an invisible ankle bracelet on someone without them knowing. And you can see why that capability, that zero day exploit would have immense value for a spy agency or a government that wants to monitor its critics or dissidents. And so there's a very lucrative market now for zero day exploits. So you said a few things there. One is iOS, why iOS, which operating system, which one is the sexier thing to try to get to or the most impactful thing? And the other thing you mentioned is remote versus like having to actually come in physical contact with it. Is that the distinction? So iPhone exploits have just been a government's number one priority. Recently, actually the price of an Android remote zero day exploit, something that can get you into Android phones is actually higher. The value of that is now higher on this underground market for zero day exploits than an iPhone iOS exploit. So things are changing. So there's probably more Android devices, so that's why it's better. But then the iPhone side, so I'm an Android person, because I'm a man of the people. But it seems like all the elites use iPhone, all the people at nice dinner parties. So is that the reason that the more powerful people use iPhones, is that why? I don't think so. I actually, so it was about two years ago that the prices flipped. It used to be that if you could craft a remote zero click exploit for iOS, then that was about as good as it gets. You could sell that to a zero day broker for $2 million. The caveat is you can never tell anyone about it, because the minute you tell someone about it, Apple learns about it, they patch it in that $2.5 million investment that that zero day broker just made goes to dust. So a couple of years ago, and don't quote me on the prices, but an Android zero click remote exploit for the first time topped the iOS. And actually a lot of people's read on that was that it might be a sign that Apple security was falling, and that it might actually be easier to find an iOS zero day exploit than find an Android zero day exploit. The other thing is market share. There are just more people around the world that use Android. And a lot of governments that are paying top dollar for zero day exploits these days are deep pocketed governments in the Gulf that wanna use these exploits to monitor their own citizens, monitor their critics. And so it's not necessarily that they're trying to find elites, it's that they wanna find out who these people are that are criticizing them or perhaps planning the next Arab Spring. So in your experience, are most of these attacks targeted to cover a large population, or is there attacks that are targeted towards specific individuals? So I think it's both. Some of the zero day exploits that have fetched top dollar that I've heard of in my reporting in the United States were highly targeted. There was a potential terrorist attack. They wanted to get into this person's phone. It had to be done in the next 24 hours. They approached hackers and say, we'll pay you X millions of dollars if you can do this. But then you look at, when we've discovered iOS zero day exploits in the wild, some of them have been targeting large populations like Uyghurs. So a couple of years ago, there was a watering hole attack. Okay, what's a watering hole attack? There's a website, it was actually had information aimed at Uyghurs and you could access it all over the world. And if you visited this website, it would drop an iOS zero day exploit onto your phone. And so anyone that visited this website that was about Uyghurs anywhere, I mean, Uyghurs, Uyghurs living abroad, basically the Uyghur diaspora would have gotten infected with this zero day exploit. So in that case, they were targeting huge swaths of this one population or people interested in this one population, basically in real time. So who are these attackers? From the individual level to the group level, psychologically speaking, what's their motivation? Is it purely money? Is it the challenge? Are they malevolent? Is it power? These are big philosophical human questions, I guess. So these are the questions I set out to answer for my book. I wanted to know, are these people that are just after money? If they're just after money, how do they sleep at night? Not knowing whether that zero day exploit they just sold to a broker is being used to basically make someone's life a living hell. And what I found was there's kind of this long sorted history to this question. It started out in the 80s and 90s when hackers were just finding holes and bugs and software for curiosity's sake, really as a hobby. And some of them would go to the tech companies like Microsoft or Sun Microsystems at the time or Oracle. And they'd say, hey, I just found this zero day in your software and I can use it to break into NASA. And the general response at the time wasn't, thank you so much for pointing out this flaw and our software, we'll get it fixed as soon as possible. It was, don't ever poke around our software ever again or we'll stick our general counsel on you. And that was really sort of the common thread for years. And so hackers who set out to do the right thing were basically told to shut up and stop doing what you're doing. And what happened next was they basically started trading this information online. Now, when you go back and interview people from those early days, they all tell a very similar story, which is they're curious, they're tinkerers. They remind me of like the kid down the block that was constantly poking around the hood of his dad's car. They just couldn't help themselves. They wanted to figure out how a system is designed and how they could potentially exploit it for some other purpose. It doesn't have to be good or bad. But they were basically kind of beat down for so long by these big tech companies that they started just silently trading them with other hackers. And that's how you got these really heated debates in the 90s about disclosure. Should you just dump these things online because any script kitty can pick them up and use it for all kinds of mischief. But don't you wanna just stick a middle finger to all these companies that are basically threatening you all the time. So there was this really interesting dynamic at play. And what I learned in the course of doing my book was that government agencies and their contractors sort of tapped into that frustration and that resentment. And they started quietly reaching out to hackers on these forums. And they said, hey, you know that zero day you just dropped online, could you come up with something custom for me? And I'll pay you six figures for it so long as you shut up and never tell anyone that I paid you for this. And that's what happened. So throughout the 90s, there was a bunch of boutique contractors that started reaching out to hackers on these forums and saying, hey, I'll pay you six figures for that bug you were trying to get Microsoft to fix for free. And sort of so began or so catalyzed this market where governments and their intermediaries started reaching out to these hackers and buying their bugs for free. And in those early days, I think a lot of it was just for quiet counterintelligence, traditional espionage. But as we started baking the software, Windows software, Schneider Electric, Siemens industrial software into our nuclear plants and our factories and our power grid and our petrochemical facilities and our pipelines, those same zero days came to be just as valuable for sabotage and war planning. Does the fact that the market sprung up and you can now make a lot of money change the nature of the attackers that came to the table or grow the number of attackers? I mean, what is, I guess, you told the psychology of the hackers in the 90s, what is the culture today and where is it heading? So I think there are people who will tell you they would never sell a zero day to a zero day broker or a government. One, because they don't know how it's gonna get used when they throw it over the fence. Most of these get rolled into classified programs and you don't know how they get used. If you sell it to a zero day broker, you don't even know which nation state might use it or potentially which criminal group might use it if you sell it on the dark web. The other thing that they say is that they wanna be able to sleep at night. And they lose a lot of sleep if they found out their zero day was being used to make a dissident's life living hell. But there are a lot of people, good people, who also say, no, this is not my problem. This is the technology company's problem. If they weren't writing new bugs into their software every day, then there wouldn't be a market. Then there wouldn't be a problem. But they continue to write bugs into their software all the time and they continue to profit off that software. So why shouldn't I profit off my labor too? And one of the things that has happened, which is I think a positive development over the last 10 years, are bug bounty programs. Companies like Google and Facebook and then Microsoft and finally Apple, which resisted it for a really long time, have said, okay, we are gonna shift our perspective about hackers. We're no longer going to treat them as the enemy here. We're going to start paying them for what it's essentially free quality assurance. And we're gonna pay them good money in some cases, six figures in some cases. We're never gonna be able to bid against a zero day broker who sells to government agencies. But we can reward them and hopefully get to that bug earlier where we can neutralize it so that they don't have to spend another year developing the zero day exploit. And in that way, we can keep our software more secure. But every week I get messages from some hacker that says, you know, I tried to see this zero day exploit that was just found in the wild, being used by this nation state. I tried to tell Microsoft about this two years ago and they were gonna pay me peanuts so it never got fixed. There are all sorts of those stories that can continue on. And I think just generally, hackers are not very good at diplomacy. They tend to be pretty snipey, technical crowd. And very philosophical in my experience. But diplomacy is not their strong suit. Oh, there almost has to be a broker between companies and hackers. We can translate effectively, just like you have a zero day broker between governments and hackers. You have to speak their language. Yeah, and there have been some of those companies who've risen up to meet that demand. And HackerOne is one of them. Bugcrowd is another. Cynak has an interesting model, so that's a company that you pay for a private bug bounty program essentially. So you pay this company, they tap hackers all over the world to come hack your software, hack your system. And then they'll quietly tell you what they found. And I think that's a really positive development. And actually, the Department of Defense hired all three of those companies I just mentioned to help secure their systems. Now I think they're still a little timid in terms of letting those hackers into the really sensitive, high side classified stuff. But you know, baby steps. Just to understand what you were saying, you think it's impossible for companies to financially compete with the zero day brokers, with governments. So like the defense can't outpay the hackers? It's interesting, they shouldn't outpay them. Because what would happen if they started offering $2.5 million at Apple for any zero day exploit that governments would pay that much for, is their own engineers would say, why the hell am I working for less than that and doing my nine to five every day? So you would create a perverse incentive. And I didn't think about that until I started this research and I realized, okay, yeah, that makes sense. You don't want to incentivize offense so much that it's to your own detriment. And so I think what they have though, what the companies have on government agencies, is if they pay you, you get to talk about it. You know, you get the street cred. You get to brag about the fact you just found that $2.5 million, you know, iOS zero day that no one else did. And if you sell it to a broker, you never get to talk about it. And I think that really does eat at people. Can I ask you a big philosophical question about human nature here? So if you have, I mean, what you've seen, if a human being has a zero day, they found a zero day vulnerability that can hack into, I don't know, what's the worst thing you can hack into? Something that could launch nuclear weapons. Which percentage of the people in the world that have the skill would not share that with anyone, with any bad party? I guess how many people are completely devoid of ethical concerns in your sense? So my belief is all the ultra competent people or very, very high percentage of ultra competent people are also ethical people. That's been my experience. But then again, my experience is narrow. What's your experience been like? So this was another question I wanted to answer. Who are these people who would sell a zero day exploit that would neutralize a Schneider Electric safety lock at a petrochemical plant? Basically the last thing you would need to neutralize before you trigger some kind of explosion. Who would sell that? And I got my answer, well, the answer was different. A lot of people said, I would never even look there because I don't even wanna know. I don't even wanna have that capability. I don't even wanna have to make that decision about whether I'm gonna profit off of that knowledge. I went down to Argentina and this whole kind of moral calculus I had in my head was completely flipped around. So just to back up for a moment. So Argentina actually is a real hacker's paradise. People grew up in Argentina and I went down there, I guess I was there around 2015, 2016, but you still couldn't get an iPhone. They didn't have Amazon Prime. You couldn't get access to any of the apps we all take for granted. To get those things in Argentina as a kid, you have to find a way to hack them. And the whole culture is really like a hacker culture. They say it's really like a MacGyver culture. You have to figure out how to break into something with wire and tape. And that means that there are a lot of really good hackers in Argentina who specialize in developing zero to exploits. And I went down to this Argentina conference called Echo Party. And I asked the organizer, okay, can you introduce me to someone who's selling zero to exploits to governments? And he was like, just throw a stone. Throw a stone anywhere and you're gonna hit someone. And all over this conference, you saw these guys who were clearly from these Gulf States who only spoke Arabic. What are they doing at a young hacking conference in Buenos Aires? in a really seamless way because it doesn't matter if you have the perfect security solution if no one uses it. I mean, when I started at the times when I was trying to be really good about protecting sources, I was trying to use PGP encryption and it's like, it didn't work. The number of mistakes I would probably make just trying to email someone with PGP just wasn't worth it. And then Signal came along and Signal made it wicker. They made it a lot easier to send someone an encrypted text message. So we have to start investing in creative minds, in good security design. I really think that's the hack that's gonna get us out of where we are today. What about social engineering? Do you worry about this sort of hacking people? Yes, I mean, this is the worst nightmare of every chief information security officer out there. Social engineering, we work from home now. I saw this woman posted online about how her husband, it went viral today, but it was her husband had this problem at work. They hired a guy named John and now the guy that shows up for work every day doesn't act like John. I mean, think about that. Like think about the potential for social engineering in that context. You apply for a job and you put on a pretty face, you hire an actor or something, and then you just get inside the organization and get access to all that organization's data. A couple of years ago, Saudi Arabia planted spies inside Twitter. Why? Probably because they were trying to figure out who these people were who were criticizing the regime on Twitter. They couldn't do it with a hack from the outside, so why not plant people on the inside? And that's like the worst nightmare. And it also, unfortunately, creates all kinds of xenophobia at a lot of these organizations. I mean, if you're gonna have to take that into consideration, then organizations are gonna start looking really skeptically and suspiciously at someone who applies for that job from China. And we've seen that go really badly at places like the Department of Commerce, where they basically accuse people of being spies that aren't spies. So it is the hardest problem to solve, and it's never been harder to solve than right at this very moment when there's so much pressure for companies to let people work remotely. That's actually why I'm single. I'm suspicious that China and Russia, every time I meet somebody, are trying to plant and get insider information, so I'm very, very suspicious. I keep putting the touring test in front, no. No, I have a friend who worked inside NSA and was one of their top hackers, and he's like, every time I go to Russia, I get hit on by these 10s. And I come home, my friends are like, I'm sorry, you're not a 10. Like, it's a common story. I mean, it's difficult to trust humans in this day and age online. So we're working remotely, that's one thing, but just interacting with people on the internet, sounds ridiculous, but because of this podcast in part, I've gotten to meet some incredible people, but it makes you nervous to trust folks, and I don't know how to solve that problem. So I'm talking with Mark Zuckerberg, who dreams about creating the metaverse. What do you do about that world where more and more our lives is in the digital sphere? Like, one way to phrase it is, most of our meaningful experiences at some point will be online, like falling in love, getting a job, or experiencing a moment of happiness with a friend, with a new friend made online, all of those things. Like, more and more, the fun we do, the things that make us love life will happen online, and if those things have an avatar that's digital, that's like a way to hack into people's minds, whether it's with AI or kind of troll farms or something like that. I don't know if there's a way to protect against that. That might fundamentally rely on our faith in how good human nature is. So if most people are good, we're going to be okay, but if people will tend towards manipulation and malevolent behavior in search of power, then we're screwed. So I don't know if you can comment on how to keep the metaverse secure. Yeah, I mean, all I thought about when you were talking just now was my three year old son. Yeah. He asked me the other day, what's the internet, mom? And I just almost wanted to cry. You know, I don't want that for him. I don't want all of his most meaningful experiences to be online. You know, by the time that happens, how do you know that person's human, that avatar's human? You know, I believe in free speech. I don't believe in free speech for robots and bots. And like, look what just happened over the last six years. You know, we had bots pretending to be Black Lives Matter activists just to sow some division, or, you know, Texas secessionists, or, you know, organizing anti Hillary protests, or just to sow more division, to tie us up in our own politics so that we're so paralyzed we can't get anything done. We can't make any progress and we definitely can't handle our adversaries and their longterm thinking. It really scares me. And here's where I just come back to. Just because we can create the metaverse, you know, just because it sounds like the next logical step in our digital revolution, do I really want my child's most significant moments to be online? They weren't for me, you know? So maybe I'm just stuck in that old school thinking, or maybe I've seen too much. And I'm really sick of being the guinea pig parent generation for these things. I mean, it's hard enough with screen time. Like thinking about how to manage the metaverse as a parent to a young boy, like I can't even let my head go there. That's so terrifying for me. But we've never stopped any new technology just because it introduces risks. We've always said, okay, the promise of this technology means we should keep going, keep pressing ahead. We just need to figure out new ways to manage that risk. And you know, that's the blockchain right now. Like when I was covering all of these ransomware attacks, I thought, okay, this is gonna be it for cryptocurrency. You know, governments are gonna put the kibosh down. They're gonna put the hammer down and say enough is enough. Like we have to put this genie back in the bottle because it's enabled ransomware. I mean, five years ago, they would hijack your PC and they'd say, go to the local pharmacy, get a eGift card and tell us what the pin is. And then we'll get your $200. Now it's pay us, you know, five Bitcoin. And so there's no doubt cryptocurrencies enabled ransomware attacks, but after the Colonial Pipeline ransom was seized, because if you remember, the FBI was actually able to go in and claw some of it back from DarkSide, which was the ransomware group that hid it. And I spoke to these guys at TRM Labs. So they're one of these blockchain intelligence companies. And a lot of people that work there used to work at the treasury. And what they said to me was, yeah, cryptocurrency has enabled ransomware, but to track down that ransom payment would have taken, you know, if we were dealing with fiat currency, would have taken us years to get to that one bank account or belonging to that one front company in the Seychelles. And now thanks to the blockchain, we can track the movement of those funds in real time. And you know what? You know, these payments are not as anonymous as people think. Like we still can use our old hacking ways and zero days and, you know, old school intelligence methods to find out who owns that private wallet and how to get to it. So it's a curse in some ways and that it's an enabler, but it's also a blessing. And they said that same thing to me that I just said to you. They said, we've never shut down a promising new technology because it introduced risk. We just figured out how to manage that risk. And I think that's where the conversation unfortunately has to go, is how do we in the metaverse use technology to fix things? So maybe we'll finally be able to, not finally, but figure out a way to solve the identity problem on the internet, meaning like a blue check mark for actual human and connect it to identity or like a fingerprint so you can prove your you. And yet do it in a way that doesn't involve the company having all your data. So giving you, allowing you to maintain control over your data, or if you don't, then there's a complete transparency of how that data is being used, all those kinds of things. And maybe as you educate more and more people, they would demand in a capitalist society that the companies that they give their data to will respect that data. Yeah, I mean, there is this company, and I hope they succeed, their name's PII Ono, Piano. And they wanna create a vault for your personal information inside every organization. And ultimately, if I'm gonna call Delta Airlines to book a flight, they don't need to know my social security number. They don't need to know my birth date. They're just gonna send me a one time token to my phone. My phone's gonna say, or my Fido key is gonna say, yep, it's her. And then we're gonna talk about my identity like a token, some random token. They don't need to know exactly who I am. They just need to know the system trust that I am, who I say I am, but they don't get access to my PII data. They don't get access to my social security number, my location, or the fact I'm a Times journalist. I think that's the way the world's gonna go. We have, enough is enough on sort of losing our personal information everywhere, letting data marketing companies track our every move. They don't need to know who I am. Okay, I get it. We're stuck in this world where the internet runs on ads. So ads are not gonna go away, but they don't need to know I'm Nicole Perlora. They can know that I am token number, you know, X567. And they can let you know what they know and give you control about removing the things they know. Yeah, right to be forgotten. To me, you should be able to walk away with a single press of a button. And I also believe that most people, given the choice to walk away, won't walk away. They'll just feel better about having the option to walk away when they understand the trade offs. If you walk away, you're not gonna get some of the personalized experiences that you would otherwise get, like a personalized feed and all those kinds of things. But the freedom to walk away is, I think, really powerful. And obviously, what you're saying, it's definitely, there's all of these HTML forms where you have to enter your phone number and email and private information from Delta, every single airline. New York Times. I have so many opinions on this. Just the friction and the sign up and all of those kinds of things. I should be able to, this has to do with everything. This has to do with payment, too. Payment should be trivial. It should be one click, and one click to unsubscribe and subscribe, and one click to provide all of your information that's necessary for the subscription service, for the transaction service, whatever that is, getting a ticket, as opposed to, I have all of these fake phone numbers and emails that I use in Alta Sign Up, because you never know if one site is hacked, then it's just going to propagate to everything else. Yeah. And there's low hanging fruit, and I hope Congress does something. And frankly, I think it's negligent they haven't on the fact that elderly people are getting spammed to death on their phones these days with fake car warranty scams. And I mean, my dad was in the hospital last year, and I was in the hospital room, and his phone kept buzzing, and I look at it, and it's just spam attack after spam attack, people nonstop calling about his freaking car warranty, why they're trying to get his social security number, they're trying to get his PII, they're trying to get this information. We need to figure out how to put those people in jail for life, and we need to figure out why in the hell we are being required or asked to hand over our social security number and our home address and our passport, all of that information to every retailer who asks. I mean, that's insanity. And there's no question they're not protecting it because it keeps showing up in spam or identity theft or credit card theft or worse. Well, spam is getting better, and maybe I need to, as a side note, make a public announcement. Please clip this out, which is if you get an email or a message from Lex Friedman saying how much I, Lex, appreciate you and love you and so on, and please connect with me on my WhatsApp number and I will give you Bitcoin or something like that, please do not click. And I'm aware that there's a lot of this going on, a very large amount. I can't do anything about it. This is on every single platform. It's happening more and more and more, which I've been recently informed that they're not emailing. So it's cross platform. They're taking people's, they're somehow, this is fascinating to me because they are taking people who comment on various social platforms and they somehow reverse engineer. They figure out what their email is and they send an email to that person saying, from Lex Friedman, and it's like a heartfelt email with links. It's fascinating because it's cross platform now. It's not just a spam bot that's messaging and a comment that's in a reply. They are saying, okay, this person cares about this other person on social media. So I'm going to find another channel, which in their mind probably increases and it does the likelihood that they'll get the people to click and they do. I don't know what to do about that. It makes me really, really sad, especially with podcasting. There's an intimacy that people feel connected and they get really excited. Okay, cool, I wanna talk to Lex. And they click. And I get angry at the people that do this. I mean, it's like the John that gets hired, the fake employee. I mean, I don't know what to do about that. I mean, I suppose the solution is education. It's telling people to be skeptical on the stuff they click. That balance with the technology solution of creating maybe like two factor authentication and maybe helping identify things that are likely to be spam, I don't know. But then the machine learning there is tricky because you don't wanna add a lot of extra friction that just annoys people because they'll turn it off. Because you have the accept cookies thing, right? That everybody has to click on now, so now they completely ignore the accept cookies. This is very difficult to find that frictionless security. You mentioned Snowden. You've talked about looking through the NSA documents he leaked and doing the hard work of that. What do you make of Edward Snowden? What have you learned from those documents? What do you think of him? In the long arc of history, is Edward Snowden a hero or a villain? I think he's neither. I have really complicated feelings about Edward Snowden. On the one hand, I'm a journalist at heart and more transparency is good. And I'm grateful for the conversations that we had in the post Snowden era about the limits to surveillance and how critical privacy is. And when you have no transparency and you don't really know in that case what our secret courts were doing, how can you truly believe that our country is taking our civil liberties seriously? So on the one hand, I'm grateful that he cracked open these debates. On the other hand, when I walked into the storage closet of classified NSA secrets, I had just spent two years covering Chinese cyber espionage almost every day. And the sort of advancement of Russian attacks that were just getting worse and worse and more destructive. And there were no limits to Chinese cyber espionage and Chinese surveillance of its own citizens. And there seemed to be no limit to what Russia was willing to do in terms of cyber attacks and also in some cases assassinating journalists. So when I walked into that room, there was a part of me quite honestly that was relieved to know that the NSA was as good as I hoped they were. And we weren't using that knowledge to, as far as I know, assassinate journalists. We weren't using our access to take out pharmaceutical companies. For the most part, we were using it for traditional espionage. Now, that set of documents also set me on the journey of my book because to me, the American people's reaction to the Snowden documents was a little bit misplaced. They were upset about the phone call metadata collection program. Angela Merkel, I think rightfully was upset that we were hacking her cell phone. But in sort of the spy eat spy world, hacking world leaders cell phones is pretty much what most spy agencies do. And there wasn't a lot that I saw in those documents that was beyond what I thought a spy agency does. And I think if there was another 9 11 tomorrow, God forbid, we would all say, how did the NSA miss this? Why weren't they spying on those terrorists? Why weren't they spying on those world leaders? And there's some of that too. But I think that there was great damage done to the US's reputation. I think we really lost our halo in terms of a protector of civil liberties. And I think a lot of what was reported was unfortunately reported in a vacuum. That was my biggest gripe that we were always reporting, the NSA has this program and here's what it does. And the NSA is in Angela Merkel's cell phone and the NSA can do this. And no one was saying, and by the way, China has been hacking into our pipelines and they've been making off with all of our intellectual property. And Russia has been hacking into our energy infrastructure and they've been using the same methods to spy on track. And in many cases, kill their own journalists. And the Saudis have been doing this to their own critics and dissidents. And so you can't talk about any of these countries in isolation. It is really like spy out there. And so I just have complicated feelings. And the other thing is, and I'm sorry, this is a little bit of a tangent, but the amount of documents that we had, like thousands of documents, most of which were just crap, but had people's names on them. Part of me wishes that those documents had been released in a much more targeted, limited way. It's just a lot of it just felt like a PowerPoint that was taken out of context. And you just sort of wish that there had been a little bit more thought into what was released. Because I think a lot of the impact from someone was just the volume of the reporting. But I think based on what I saw personally, there was a lot of stuff that I just, I don't know why that particular thing got released. As a whistleblower, what's a better way to do it? Because I mean, there's fear, it takes a lot of effort to do a more targeted release. If there's proper channels, you're afraid that those channels will be manipulated by who do you trust. What's a better way to do this, do you think? As a journalist, this is almost like a journalistic question. Reveal some fundamental flaw in the system without destroying the system. I bring up, again, Mark Zuckerberg and Metta, there was a whistleblower that came out about Instagram internal studies. And I also torn about how to feel about that whistleblower. Because from a company perspective, that's an open culture. How can you operate successfully if you have an open culture where any one whistleblower can come out, out of context, take a study, whether it represents a larger context or not, and the press eats it up. And then that creates a narrative that is just like with the NSA, you said it's out of context, very targeted, to where, well, Facebook is evil, clearly, because of this one leak. It's really hard to know what to do there, because we're now in a society that's deeply distrust institutions. And so narratives by whistleblowers make that whistleblower and their forthcoming book very popular. And so there's a huge incentive to take stuff out of context and to tell stories that don't represent the full context, the full truth. It's hard to know what to do with that, because then that forces Facebook and Meta and governments to be much more conservative, much more secretive. It's like a race to the bottom, I don't know. I don't know if you can comment on any of that, how to be a whistleblower ethically and properly. I don't know, I mean, these are hard questions. And even for myself, in some ways, I think of my book as sort of blowing the whistle on the underground zero day market. But it's not like I was in the market myself. It's not like I had access to classified data when I was reporting out that book. As I say in the book, listen, I'm just trying to scrape the surface here, so we can have these conversations before it's too late. And I'm sure there's plenty in there that someone who's US intelligence agencies preeminent zero day broker probably has some voodoo doll of me out there. And you're never gonna get it 100%. But I really applaud whistleblowers like the whistleblower who blew the whistle on the Trump call with Zelensky. I mean, people needed to know about that, that we were basically, in some ways, blackmailing an ally to try to influence an election. I mean, they went through the proper channels. They weren't trying to profit off of it, right? There was no book that came out afterwards from that whistleblower. That whistleblower's not like, they went through the channels. They're not living in Moscow, let's put it that way. Can I ask you a question, you mentioned NSA, one of the things that showed is they're pretty good at what they do. Again, this is a touchy subject, I suppose, but there's a lot of conspiracy theories about intelligence agencies. From your understanding of intelligence agencies, the CIA, NSA, and the equivalent of in other countries, are they, one question, this could be a dangerous question, are they competent, are they good at what they do? And two, are they malevolent in any way? Sort of, I recently had a conversation about tobacco companies. They kind of see their customers as dupes, like they can just play games with people. Conspiracy theories tell that similar story about intelligence agencies, that they're interested in manipulating the populace for whatever ends the powerful, in dark rooms, cigarette smoke, cigar smoke filled rooms. What's your sense? Do these conspiracy theories have any truth to them? Or are intelligence agencies, for the most part, good for society? Okay, well, that's an easy one. Is it? No, I think it depends which intelligence agency. Think about the Mossad. They're killing every Iranian nuclear scientist they can over the years, but have they delayed the time horizon before Iran gets the bomb? Yeah. Have they probably staved off terror attacks on their own citizens? Yeah. You know, none of these, intelligence is intelligence. You know, you can't just say like they're malevolent or they're heroes. You know, everyone I have met in this space is not like the pound your chest patriot that you see on the beach on the 4th of July. A lot of them have complicated feelings about their former employers. Well, at least at the NSA reminded me to do what we were accused of doing after Snowden, to spy on Americans. You have no idea the amount of red tape and paperwork and bureaucracy it would have taken to do what everyone thinks that we were supposedly doing. But then, you know, we find out in the course of the Snowden reporting about a program called Lovin', where a couple of the NSA analysts were using their access to spy on their ex girlfriends. So, you know, there's an exception to every case. Generally, I will probably get, you know, accused of my Western bias here again, but I think you can almost barely compare some of these Western intelligence agencies to China, for instance. And the surveillance that they're deploying on the Uyghurs to the level they're deploying it. And the surveillance they're starting to export abroad with some of the programs, like the watering hole attack I mentioned earlier, where it's not just hitting the Uyghurs inside China, it's hitting anyone interested in the Uyghur plight outside China. I mean, it could be an American high school student writing a paper on the Uyghurs. They wanna spy on that person too. You know, there's no rules in China really limiting the extent of that surveillance. And we all better pay attention to what's happening with the Uyghurs because just as Ukraine has been to Russia in terms of a test kitchen for its cyber attacks, the Uyghurs are China's test kitchen for surveillance. And there's no doubt in my mind that they're testing them on the Uyghurs. Uyghurs are their Petri dish, and eventually they will export that level of surveillance overseas. I mean, in 2015, Obama and Xi Jinping reached a deal where basically the White House said, you better cut it out on intellectual property theft. And so they made this agreement that they would not hack each other for commercial benefit. And for a period of about 18 months, we saw this huge drop off in Chinese cyber attacks on American companies. But some of them continued. Where did they continue? They continued on aviation companies, on hospitality companies like Marriott. Why? Because that was still considered fair game to China. It wasn't IP theft they were after. They wanted to know who was staying in this city at this time when Chinese citizens were staying there so they could cross match for counterintelligence who might be a likely Chinese spy. I'm sure we're doing some of that too. Counterintelligence is counterintelligence. It's considered fair game. But where I think it gets evil is when you use it for censorship, to suppress any dissent, to do what I've seen the UAE do to its citizens where people who've gone on Twitter just to advocate for better voting rights, more enfranchisement, suddenly find their passports confiscated. You know, I talked to one critic, Ahmed Mansour, and he told me, you know, you might find yourself a terrorist, labeled a terrorist one day, you don't even know how to operate a gun. I mean, he had been beaten up every time he tried to go somewhere. His passport had been confiscated. By that point, it turned out they'd already hacked into his phone so they were listening to us talking. They'd hacked into his baby monitor so they're spying on his child. And they stole his car. And then they created a new law that you couldn't criticize the ruling family or the ruling party on Twitter. And he's been in solitary confinement every day since on hunger strike. So that's evil, you know, that's evil. And we still, we don't do that here. You know, we have rules here. We don't cross that line. So yeah, in some cases, like I won't go to Dubai. You know, I won't go to Abu Dhabi. If I ever want to go to the Maldives, like too bad, like most of the flights go through Dubai. So there's some lines we're not willing to cross. But then again, just like you said, there's individuals within NSA, within CIA, and they may have power. And to me, there's levels of evil. To me personally, this is the stuff of conspiracy theories, is the things you've mentioned as evil are more direct attacks. But there's also psychological warfare. So blackmail. So what does spying allow you to do? Allow you to collect information if you have something that's embarrassing. Or if you have like Jeffrey Epstein conspiracy theories, active, what is it, manufacture of embarrassing things. And then use blackmail to manipulate the population or all the powerful people involved. It troubles me deeply that MIT allowed somebody like Jeffrey Epstein in their midst, especially some of the scientists I admire that they would hang out with that person at all. And so I'll talk about it sometimes. And then a lot of people tell me, well, obviously Jeffrey Epstein is a front for intelligence. And I just, I struggle to see that level of competence and malevolence. But, you know, who the hell am I? And I guess I was trying to get to that point. You said that there's bureaucracy and so on, which makes some of these things very difficult. I wonder how much malevolence, how much competence there is in these institutions. Like how far, this takes us back to the hacking question. How far are people willing to go if they have the power? This has to do with social engineering. This has to do with hacking. This has to do with manipulating people, attacking people, doing evil onto people, psychological warfare and stuff like that. I don't know. I believe that most people are good. And I don't think that's possible in a free society. There's something that happens when you have a centralized government where power corrupts over time and you start surveillance programs kind of, it's like a slippery slope that over time starts to both use fear and direct manipulation to control the populace. But in a free society, I just, it's difficult for me to imagine that you can have like somebody like a Jeffrey Epstein in the front for intelligence. I don't know what I'm asking you, but I'm just, I have a hope that for the most part, intelligence agencies are trying to do good and are actually doing good for the world when you view it in the full context of the complexities of the world. But then again, if they're not, would we know? That's why Edward Snowden might be a good thing. Let me ask you on a personal question. You have investigated some of the most powerful organizations and people in the world of cyber warfare, cyber security. Are you ever afraid for your own life, your own wellbeing, digital or physical? I mean, I've had my moments. You know, I've had our security team at the times called me at one point and said, someone's on the dark web offering good money to anyone who can hack your phone or your laptop. I describe in my book how when I was at that hacking conference in Argentina and I came back and I brought a burner laptop with me, but I'd kept it in the safe anyway and it didn't have anything on it, but someone had broken in and it was moved. You know, I've had all sorts of sort of scary moments. And then I've had moments where I think I went just way too far into the paranoid side. I mean, I remember writing about the Times hack by China and I just covered a number of Chinese cyber attacks where they'd gotten into the thermostat at someone's corporate apartment and they'd gotten into all sorts of stuff. And I was living by myself. I was single in San Francisco and my cable box on my television started making some weird noises in the middle of the night. And I got up and I ripped it out of the wall and I think I said something like embarrassing, like, fuck you China, you know. And then I went back to bed and I woke up and it's like beautiful morning light. I mean, I'll never forget it. Like this is like glimmering morning light is shining on my cable box, which has now been ripped out and is sitting on my floor and like the morning light. And I was just like, no, no, no, like I'm not going down that road. Like you basically, I came to a fork in the road where I could either go full tinfoil hat, go live off the grid, never have a car with navigation, never use Google maps, never own an iPhone, never order diapers off Amazon, you know, create an alias or I could just do the best I can and live in this new digital world we're living in. And what does that look like for me? I mean, what are my crown jewels? This is what I tell people, what are your crown jewels? Cause just focus on that. You can't protect everything, but you can protect your crown jewels. For me, for the longest time, my crown jewels were my sources. I was nothing without my sources. So I had some sources, I would meet the same dim sum place or maybe it was a different restaurant on the same date, you know, every quarter and we would never drive there. We would never Uber there. We wouldn't bring any devices. I could bring a pencil and a notepad. And if someone wasn't in town, like there were a couple of times where I'd show up and the source never came, but we never communicated digitally. And those were the links I was willing to go to protect that source, but you can't do it for everyone. So for everyone else, you know, it was signal, using two factor authentication, you know, keeping my devices up to date, not clicking on phishing emails, using a password manager, all the things that we know we're supposed to do. And that's what I tell everyone, like don't go crazy because then that's like the ultimate hack. Then they've hacked your mind, whoever they is for you. But just do the best you can. Now, my whole risk model changed when I had a kid. You know, now it's, oh God, you know, if anyone threatened my family, God help them. But it changes you. And, you know, unfortunately there are some things, like I was really scared to go deep on, like Russian cyber crime, you know, like Putin himself, you know, and it's interesting. Like I have a mentor who's an incredible person who was the Times Moscow Bureau Chief during the Cold War. And after I wrote a series of stories about Chinese cyber espionage, he took me out to lunch. And he told me that when he was living in Moscow, he would drop his kids off at preschool when they were my son's age now. And the KGB would follow him and they would make a really like loud show of it. You know, they'd tail him, they'd, you know, honk, they'd just be, make a ruckus. And he said, you know what, they never actually did anything but they wanted me to know that they were following me and I operated accordingly. And he says, that's how you should operate in the digital world. Know that there are probably people following you. Sometimes they'll make a little bit of noise. But one thing you need to know is that while you're at the New York Times, you have a little bit of an invisible shield on you. You know, if something were to happen to you, that would be a really big deal. That would be an international incident. So I kind of carried that invisible shield with me for years. And then Jamal Khashoggi happened. And that destroyed my vision of my invisible shield. You know, sure, you know, he was a Saudi but he was a Washington Post columnist. You know, for the most part, he was living in the United States. He was a journalist. And for them to do what they did to him, pretty much in the open and get away with it, and for the United States to let them get away with it because we wanted to preserve diplomatic relations with the Saudis, that really threw my worldview upside down. And, you know, I think that sent a message to a lot of countries that it was sort of open season on journalists. And to me, that was one of the most destructive things that happened under the previous administration. And, you know, I don't really know what to think of my invisible shield anymore. Like you said, that really worries me on the journalism side that people would be afraid to dig deep on fascinating topics. And, you know, I have my own, part of the reason, like I would love to have kids, I would love to have a family. Part of the reason I'm a little bit afraid, there's many ways to phrase this, but the loss of freedom in the way of doing all the crazy shit that I naturally do, which I would say the ethic of journalism is kind of not, is doing crazy shit without really thinking about it. This is letting your curiosity really allow you to be free and explore. It's, I mean, whether it's stupidity or fearlessness, whatever it is, that's what great journalism is. And all the concerns about security risks have made me like become a better person. The way I approach it is just make sure you don't have anything to hide. I know this is not a thing. This is not a, this is not an approach to security. I'm just, this is like a motivational speech or something. It's just like, if you can lose, you can be hacked at any moment. Just don't be a douchebag secretly. Just be like a good person. Because then, I see this actually with social media in general. Just present yourself in the most authentic way possible, meaning be the same person online as you are privately. Have nothing to hide. That's one, not the only, but one of the ways to achieve security. Maybe I'm totally wrong on this, but don't be secretly weird. If you're weird, be publicly weird so it's impossible to blackmail you. That's my approach to security. Yeah, well, they call it the New York Times front page phenomenon. Don't put anything in email or I guess social media these days that you wouldn't want to read on the front page of the New York Times. And that works, but sometimes I even get carried, I mean, I have not as many followers as you, but a lot of followers, and sometimes even I get carried away. Just be emotional and stuff and say something. Yeah, I mean, just the cortisol response on Twitter. Twitter is basically designed to elicit those responses. I mean, every day I turn on my computer, I look at my phone, I look at what's trending on Twitter, and it's like, what are the topics that are gonna make people the most angry today? You know? And you know, it's easy to get carried away, but it's also just, that sucks too, that you have to be constantly censoring yourself. And maybe it's for the better. Maybe you can't be a secret asshole, and we can put that in the good bucket. But at the same time, you know, there is a danger to that other voice, to creativity, you know, to being weird. There's a danger to that little whispered voice that's like, well, how would people read that? You know, how could that be manipulated? How could that be used against you? And that stifles creativity and innovation and free thought. And you know, that is on a very micro level. And that's something I think about a lot. And that's actually something that Tim Cook has talked about a lot, and why he has said he goes full force on privacy is it's just that little voice that is at some level censoring you. And what is sort of the long term impact of that little voice over time? I think there's a ways, I think that self censorship is an attack factor that there's solutions to. The way I'm really inspired by Elon Musk, the solution to that is just be privately and publicly the same person and be ridiculous. Embrace the full weirdness and show it more and more. So, you know, that's memes that has like ridiculous humor. And I think, and if there is something you really wanna hide, deeply consider if that you wanna be that. Like, why are you hiding it? What exactly are you afraid of? Because I think my hopeful vision for the internet is the internet loves authenticity. They wanna see you weird, so be that and like live that fully because I think that gray area where you're kind of censoring yourself, that's where the destruction is. You have to go all the way, step over, be weird. And then it feels, it can be painful because people can attack you and so on, but just ride it. I mean, that's just like a skill on the social psychological level that ends up being an approach to security, which is like remove the attack vector of having private information by being your full weird self publicly. What advice would you give to young folks today, you know, operating in this complicated space about how to have a successful life, a life they can be proud of, a career they can be proud of? Maybe somebody in high school and college thinking about what they're going to do. Be a hacker, you know, if you have any interest, become a hacker and apply yourself to defense, you know. Every time, like we do have these amazing scholarship programs, for instance, where, you know, they find you early, they'll pay your college as long as you commit to some kind of federal commitment to sort of help federal agencies with cybersecurity. And where does everyone wanna go every year from the scholarship program? They wanna go work at the NSA or Cyber Command, you know. They wanna go work on offense. They wanna go do the sexy stuff. It's really hard to get people to work on defense. It's just, it's always been more fun to be a pirate than be in the Coast Guard, you know. And so we have a huge deficit when it comes to filling those roles. There's 3.5 million unfilled cybersecurity positions around the world. I mean, talk about job security, like be a hacker and work on cybersecurity. You will always have a job. And we're actually at a huge deficit and disadvantage as a free market economy because we can't match cybersecurity salaries at Palantir or Facebook or Google or Microsoft. And so it's really hard for the United States to fill those roles. And, you know, other countries have had this work around where they basically have forced conscription on some level. You know, China tells people, like you do whatever you're gonna do during the day, work at Alibaba. You know, if you need to do some ransomware, okay. But the minute we tap you on the shoulder and ask you to come do this sensitive operation for us, the answer is yes. You know, same with Russia. You know, a couple of years ago when Yahoo was hacked and they laid it all out in an indictment, it came down to two cyber criminals and two guys from the FSB. Cyber criminals were allowed to have their fun, but the minute they came across the username and password for someone's personal Yahoo account that worked at the White House or the State Department or military, they were expected to pass that over to the FSB. So we don't do that here. And it's even worse on defense. We really can't fill these positions. So, you know, if you are a hacker, if you're interested in code, if you're a tinker, you know, learn how to hack. There are all sorts of amazing hacking competitions you can do through the SANS org, for example, S A N S. And then use those skills for good. You know, neuter the bugs in that code that get used by autocratic regimes to make people's life, you know, a living prison. You know, plug those holes. You know, defend industrial systems, defend our water treatment facilities from hacks where people are trying to come in and poison the water. You know, that I think is just an amazing, it's an amazing job on so many levels. It's intellectually stimulating. You can tell yourself you're serving your country. You can tell yourself you're saving lives and keeping people safe. And you'll always have amazing job security. And if you need to go get that job that pays you, you know, 2 million bucks a year, you can do that too. And you can have a public profile, more so of a public profile, you can be a public rockstar. I mean, it's the same thing as sort of the military. There's a lot of, there's a lot of well known sort of people commenting on the fact that veterans are not treated as well as they should be. But it's still the fact that soldiers are deeply respected for defending the country, the freedoms, the ideals that we stand for. And in the same way, I mean, in some ways, the cybersecurity defense are the soldiers of the future. Yeah, and you know what's interesting, I mean, in cybersecurity, the difference is, oftentimes you see the more interesting threats in the private sector, because that's where the attacks come. You know, when cyber criminals and nation state adversaries come for the United States, they don't go directly for Cyber Command or the NSA. You know, they go for banks, they go for Google, they go for Microsoft, they go for critical infrastructure. And so those companies, those private sector companies get to see some of the most advanced, sophisticated attacks out there. And you know, if you're working at FireEye and you're calling out the SolarWinds attack, for instance, I mean, you just saved God knows how many systems from, you know, that compromise turning into something that more closely resembles sabotage. So, you know, go be a hacker, or go be a journalist. So you wrote the book, This Is How They Tell Me The World Ends, as we've been talking about, of course, referring to cyber war, cybersecurity. What gives you hope about the future of our world if it doesn't end? How will it not end? That's a good question. I mean, I have to have hope, right? Because I have a kid and I have another on the way, and if I didn't have hope, I wouldn't be having kids. But it's a scary time to be having kids. And you know, it's like pandemic, climate change, disinformation, increasingly advanced, perhaps deadly cyber attacks. What gives me hope is that I share your worldview that I think people are fundamentally good. And sometimes, and this is why the metaverse scares me to death, but when I'm reminded of that is not online. Like online, I get the opposite. You know, you start to lose hope and humanity when you're on Twitter half your day. It's like when I go to the grocery store or I go on a hike or like someone smiles at me or you know, or someone just says something nice. You know, people are fundamentally good. We just don't hear from those people enough. And my hope is, I just think our current political climate, like we've hit rock bottom. This is as bad as it gets. We can't do anything. Don't jinx it. But I think it's a generational thing. You know, I think baby boomers, like it's time to move along. I think it's time for a new generation to come in. And I actually have a lot of hope when I look at you. I'm sort of like this, I guess they call me a geriatric millennial or a young gen X. But like we have this unique responsibility because I grew up without the internet and without social media, but I'm native to it. So I know the good and I know the bad. And that's true on so many different things. You know, I grew up without climate change anxiety and now I'm feeling it and I know it's not a given. We don't have to just resign ourselves to climate change. You know, same with disinformation. And I think a lot of the problems we face today have just exposed the sort of inertia that there has been on so many of these issues. And I really think it's a generational shift that has to happen. And I think this next generation is gonna come in and say like, we're not doing business like you guys did it anymore. You know, we're not just gonna like rape and pillage the earth and try and turn everyone against each other and play dirty tricks and let lobbyists dictate what we do or don't do as a country anymore. And that's really where I see the hope. It feels like there's a lot of low hanging fruit for young minds to step up and create solutions and lead. So whenever like politicians or leaders that are older, like you said, are acting shitty, I see that as a positive. They're inspiring a large number of young people to replace them. And so I think you're right, there's going to be, it's almost like you need people to act shitty to remind them, oh, wow, we need good leaders. We need great creators and builders and entrepreneurs and scientists and engineers and journalists. You know, all the discussions about how the journalism is quote unquote broken and so on, that's just an inspiration for new institutions to rise up that do journalism better, new journalists to step up and do journalism better. So I, and I've been constantly, when I talk to young people, I'm constantly impressed by the ones that dream to build solutions. And so that's ultimately why I put the hope. But the world is a messy place, like we've been talking about, it's a scary place. Yeah, and I think you hit something, hit on something earlier, which is authenticity. Like no one is going to rise above that is plastic anymore. You know, people are craving authenticity. You know, the benefit of the internet is it's really hard to hide who you are on every single platform. You know, on some level it's gonna come out who you really are. And so you hope that, you know, by the time my kids are grown, like no one's gonna care if they made one mistake online, so long as they're authentic, you know? And I used to worry about this. My nephew was born the day I graduated from college. And I just always, you know, he's like born into Facebook. And I just think like, how is a kid like that ever gonna be president of the United States of America? Because if Facebook had been around when I was in college, you know, like Jesus, you know, how are those kids are gonna ever be president? There's gonna be some photo of them at some point making some mistake, and that's gonna be all over for them. And now I take that back. Now it's like, no, everyone's gonna make mistakes. There's gonna be a picture for everyone. And we're all gonna have to come and grow up to the view that as humans, we're gonna make huge mistakes. And hopefully they're not so big that they're gonna ruin the rest of your life. And so I went out to lunch with kind of this godfather of the hacking scene there. And I asked this really dumb question and I'm still embarrassed about how I phrased it. But I said, so will these guys only sell these zero to exploits to good Western governments? And he said, Nicole, last time I checked, the United States wasn't a good Western government. The last country that bombed another country into oblivion wasn't China or Iran, it was the United States. So if we're gonna go by your whole moral calculus, just know that we have a very different calculus down here and we'd actually rather sell to Iran or Russia or China maybe than the United States. And that just blew me away. Like, wow, he's like, we'll just sell to whoever brings us the biggest bag of cash. Have you checked into our inflation situation recently? So I had some of those like reality checks along the way. We tend to think of things as is this moral, is this ethical, especially as journalists. And we kind of sit on our high horse sometimes and write about a lot of things that seem to push the moral bounds. But in this market, which is essentially an underground market that the one rule is like fight club. No one talks about fight club. First rule of the zero day market, nobody talks about the zero day market on both sides because the hacker doesn't wanna lose their $2.5 million bounty. And governments roll these into classified programs and they don't want anyone to know what they have. So no one talks about this thing. And when you're operating in the dark like that, it's really easy to put aside your morals sometimes. Can I, as a small tangent, ask you, by way of advice, you must have done some incredible interviews. And you've also spoken about how serious you take protecting your sources. If you were to give me advice for interviewing when you're recording on mic with a video camera, how is it possible to get into this world? Like is it basically impossible? So you've spoken with a few people, what is it like the godfather of cyber war, cyber security? So people that are already out. And they still have to be pretty brave to speak publicly. But is it virtually impossible to really talk to anybody who is a current hacker? Are you always like 10, 20 years behind? It's a good question. And this is why I'm a print journalist. But when I've seen people do it, it's always the guy who's behind the shadows, whose voice has been altered. When they've gotten someone on camera, that's usually how they do it. Very, very few people talk in this space. And there's actually a pretty well known case study in why you don't talk publicly in this space and you don't get photographed. And that's the gruck. So the gruck is or was this zero day broker, South African guy, lives in Thailand. And right when I was starting on this subject at the New York Times, he'd given an interview to Forbes. And he talked about being a zero day broker. And he even posed next to this giant duffel bag filled with cash, ostensibly. And later he would say he was speaking off the record. He didn't understand the rules of the game. But what I heard from people who did business with him was that the minute that that story came out, he became PNG'd. No one did business with him. His business plummeted by at least half. No one wants to do business with anyone who's going to get on camera and talk about how they're selling zero days to governments. It puts you at danger. And I did hear that he got some visits from some security folks. And that's another thing for these people to consider. If they have those zero day exploits at their disposal, they become a huge target for nation states all over the world. Talk about having perfect opsec. You better have some perfect opsec if people know that you have access to those zero day exploits. Which sucks because, I mean, transparency here would be really powerful for educating the world and also inspiring other engineers to do good. It just feels like when you operate in the shadows, it doesn't help us move in the positive direction in terms of getting more people on the defense side versus on the attack side. But of course, what can you do? I mean, the best you can possibly do is have great journalists, just like you did, interview and write books about it, and integrate the information you get while hiding the sources. Yeah, and I think what HackerOne has told me was, OK, let's just put away the people that are finding and developing zero day exploits all day long. Let's put that aside. What about however many millions of programmers all over the world who've never even heard of a zero day exploit? Why not tap into them and say, hey, we'll start paying you if you can find a bug in United Airlines software or in Schneider Electric or in Ford or Tesla? And I think that is a really smart approach. Let's go find this untapped army of programmers to neutralize these bugs before the people who will continue to sell these to governments can find them and exploit them. OK, I have to ask you about this. From a personal side, it's funny enough, after we agreed to talk, I've gotten, for the first time in my life, was a victim of a cyber attack. So this is ransomware. It's called Deadbolt. People can look it up. I have a QNAP device for basically kind of coldish storage. So it's about 60 terabytes with 50 terabytes of data on it in RAID 5. And apparently, about 4,000 to 5,000 QNAP devices were hacked and taken over with this ransomware. And what ransomware does there is it goes file by file, almost all the files on the QNAP storage device, and encrypts them. And then there's this very eloquently and politely written page that pops up, describes what happened. All your files have been encrypted. This includes but is not limited to photos, documents, and spreadsheets. Why me? This is a lot of people commented about how friendly and eloquent this is. And I have to commend them. It is, and it's pretty user friendly. Why me? This is not a personal attack. You have been targeted because of the inadequate security provided by your vendor, QNAP. What now? You can make a payment of exactly 0.03 Bitcoin, which is about $1,000, to the following address. Once the payment has been made, we'll follow up with transaction to the same address, blah, blah, blah. They give you instructions of what happens next, and they'll give you a decryption key that you can then use. And then there's another message for QNAP that says, all your affected customers have been targeted using a zero day vulnerability in your product. We offer you two options to mitigate this and future damage. One, make a Bitcoin payment of 5 Bitcoin to the following address, and that will reveal to QNAP the, I'm summarizing things here, what the actual vulnerability is. Or you can make a Bitcoin payment of 50 Bitcoin to get a master decryption key for all your customers. 50 Bitcoin is about $1.8 million. OK. So first of all, on a personal level, this one hurt for me. There's, I mean, I learned a lot because I wasn't, for the most part, backing up much of that data because I thought I can afford to lose that data. It's not horrible. I mean, I think you've spoken about the crown jewels, like making sure there's things you really protect. And I have, you know, I'm very conscious, security wise, on the crown jewels. But there's a bunch of stuff, like, you know, personal videos that are not, like, I don't have anything creepy, but just, like, fun things I did that because they're very large or 4K or something like that, I kept them on there, thinking RAID 5 will protect it. You know, just I lost a bunch of stuff, including raw footage from interviews and all that kind of stuff. So it's painful. And I'm sure there's a lot of painful stuff like that for the 4,000 to 5,000 people that use QNAP. And there's a lot of interesting ethical questions here. Do you pay them? Does QNAP pay them? Do the individuals pay them, especially when you don't know if it's going to work or not? Do you wait? So QNAP said that, please don't pay them. We're working very hard day and night to solve this. It's so philosophically interesting to me because I also project onto them thinking, what is their motivation? Because the way they phrased it, on purpose, perhaps, but I'm not sure if that actually reflects their real motivation, is maybe they're trying to help themselves sleep at night, basically saying, this is not about you. But we're gonna have to come around to this view that we're all human. And we're gonna have to be a little bit more forgiving and a little bit more tolerant when people mess up. And we're gonna have to be a little bit more humble when we do, and like keep moving forward. Otherwise you can't like cancel everyone, you know? Nicole, this is an incredible, hopeful conversation. Also, one that reveals that in the shadows there's a lot of challenges to be solved. So I really appreciate that you took on this really difficult subject with your book. That's journalism at its best. So I'm really grateful that you took the risk that you took that on, and that you plugged the cable box back in. That means you have hope. And thank you so much for spending your valuable time with me today. Thank you, thanks for having me. Thanks for listening to this conversation with Nicole Perlroth. To support this podcast, please check out our sponsors in the description. And now let me leave you with some words from Nicole herself. Here we are, entrusting our entire digital lives, passwords, texts, love letters, banking records, health records, credit cards, sources, and deepest thoughts to this mystery box whose inner circuitry most of us would never vet. Run by code written in a language most of us will never fully understand. Thank you for listening and hope to see you next time. This is about the company with the vulnerabilities. Just like you mentioned, this is the justification they have. But they're hurting real people. They hurt me. But I'm sure there's a few others that are really hurt. And the zero day factor is a big one. Their QNAP right now is trying to figure out what the hell is wrong with their system that would let this in. And even if they pay, if they still don't know where the zero day is, what's to say that they won't just hit them again and hit you again? So that really complicates things. And that is a huge advancement for ransomware. It's really only been, I think, in the last 18 months that we've ever really seen ransomware exploit zero days to pull these off. Usually, 80% of them, I think the data shows 80% of them come down to a lack of two factor authentication. So when someone gets hit by a ransomware attack, they don't have two factor authentication on. Their employees were using stupid passwords. You can mitigate that in the future. This one, they don't know. They probably don't know. Yeah. And I guess it's zero click because I didn't have to do anything. The only thing, well, here's the thing. I did basics of I put it behind a firewall. I followed instructions. But I didn't really pay attention. So maybe there's a misconfiguration of some sort that's easy to make. It's difficult. We have a personal NAS. So I'm not willing to say that I did everything I possibly could. But I did a lot of reasonable stuff. And they still hit it with zero clicks. I didn't have to do anything. Yeah, well, it's like a zero day. And it's a supply chain attack. You're getting hit from your supplier. You're getting hit because of your vendor. And it's also a new thing for ransomware groups to go to the individuals to pressure them to pay. There was this really interesting case. I think it was in Norway where there was a mental health clinic that got hit. And the cybercriminals were going to the patients themselves to say, pay this, or we're going to release your psychiatric records. I mean, talk about hell. In terms of whether to pay, that is on the cheaper end of the spectrum. From the individual or from the company? Both. We've seen, for instance, there was an Apple supplier in Taiwan. They got hit. And the ransom demand was $50 million. I'm surprised it's only $1.8 million. I'm sure it's going to go up. And it's hard. There's obviously governments, and maybe in this case, the company are going to tell you, we recommend you don't pay or please don't pay. But the reality on the ground is that some businesses can't operate. Some countries can't function. I mean, the underreported storyline of Colonial Pipeline was after the company got hit and took the preemptive step of shutting down the pipeline because their billing systems were frozen, they couldn't charge customers downstream. My colleague David Zanger and I got our hands on a classified assessment that said that as a country, we could have only afforded two to three more days of Colonial Pipeline being down. And it was really interesting. I thought it was the gas and the jet fuel, but it wasn't. We were sort of prepared for that. It was the diesel. Without the diesel, the refineries couldn't function, and it would have totally screwed up the economy. And so there was almost this national security economic impetus for them to pay this ransom. And the other one I always think about is Baltimore. When the city of Baltimore got hit, I think the initial ransom demand was something around $76,000. It may have even started smaller than that. And Baltimore stood its ground and didn't pay. But ultimately, the cost to remediate was $18 million. That's a lot for the city of Baltimore. That's money that could have gone to public school education and roads and public health. And instead, it just went to rebuilding these systems from scratch. And so a lot of residents in Baltimore were like, why the hell didn't you pay the $76,000? So it's not obvious. It's easy to say, don't pay. Because why? You're funding their R&D for the next go round. But it's too often, it's too complicated. So on the individual level, just like the way I feel personally from this attack, have you talked to people that were kind of victims in the same way I was, but maybe more dramatic ways or so on, in the same way that violence hurts people? How much does this hurt people in your sense and the way you researched it? The worst ransomware attack I've covered on a personal level was an attack on a hospital in Vermont. And you think of this as like, OK, it's hitting their IT networks. They should still be able to treat patients. But it turns out that cancer patients couldn't get their chemo anymore. Because the protocol of who gets what is very complicated. And without it, nurses and doctors couldn't access it. So they were turning chemo patients away, cancer patients away. One nurse told us, I don't know why people aren't screaming about this, that the only thing I've seen that even compares to what we're seeing at this hospital right now was when I worked in the burn unit after the Boston Marathon bombing. They really put it in these super dramatic terms. And last year there was a report in the Wall Street Journal where they attributed an infant death to a ransomware attack because a mom came in and whatever device they were using to monitor the fetus wasn't working because of the ransomware attack. And so they attributed this infant death to the ransomware attack. Now on a bigger scale but less personal, when there was the NotPetya attack. So this was an attack by Russia on Ukraine that came at them through a supplier, a tax software company in that case, that didn't just hit any government agency or business in Ukraine that used this tax software. It actually hit any business all over the world that had even a single employee working remotely in Ukraine. So it hit Maersk, the shipping company, hit Pfizer, hit FedEx, but the one I will never forget is Merck. It paralyzed Merck's factories. I mean, it really created an existential crisis for the company. Merck had to tap into the CDC's emergency supplies of the Gardasil vaccine that year because their whole vaccine production line had been paralyzed in that attack. Imagine if that was going to happen right now to Pfizer or Moderna or Johnson and Johnson. Imagine. I mean, that would really create a global cyber terrorist attack, essentially. And that's almost unintentional. I thought for a long time, I always labeled it as collateral damage. But actually, just today, there was a really impressive threat researcher at Cisco, which has this threat intelligence division called Talos, who said, stop calling it collateral damage. They could see who was going to get hit before they deployed that malware. It wasn't collateral damage. It was intentional. They meant to hit any business that did business with Ukraine. It was to send a message to them, too. So I don't know if that's accurate. I always thought of it as sort of the sloppy collateral damage, but it definitely made me think. So how much of this between states is going to be a part of war, these kinds of attacks on Ukraine between Russia and US, Russia and China, China and US? Let's look at China and US. Do you think China and US are going to escalate something that would be called a war purely in the space of cyber? I believe any geopolitical conflict from now on is guaranteed to have some cyber element to it. The Department of Justice recently declassified a report that said China has been hacking into our pipelines, and it's not for intellectual property theft. It's to get a foothold so that if things escalate in Taiwan, for example, they are where they need to be to shut our pipelines down. And we just got a little glimpse of what that looked like with Colonial Pipeline and the panic buying and the jet fuel shortages and that assessment I just mentioned about the diesel. So they're there. They've gotten there. Anytime I read a report about new aggression from fighter jets, Chinese fighter jets in Taiwan, or what's happening right now with Russia's buildup on the Ukraine border, or India, Pakistan, I'm always looking at it through a cyber lens. And it really bothers me that other people aren't, because there is no way that these governments and these nation states are not going to use their access to gain some advantage in those conflicts. And I'm now in a position where I'm an advisor to the Cybersecurity Infrastructure Security Agency at DHS. So I'm not saying anything classified here. But I just think that it's really important to understand just generally what the collateral damage could be for American businesses and critical infrastructure in any of these escalated conflicts around the world. Because just generally, our adversaries have learned that they might never be able to match us in terms of our traditional military spending on traditional weapons and fighter jets. But we have a very soft underbelly when it comes to cyber. 80% or more of America's critical infrastructure, so pipelines, power grid, nuclear plants, water systems, is owned and operated by the private sector. And for the most part, there is nothing out there legislating that those companies share the fact they've been breached. They don't even have to tell the government they've been hit. There's nothing mandating that they even meet a bare minimum standard of cybersecurity. And that's it. So even when there are these attacks, most of the time, we don't even know about it. So that is, if you were going to design a system to be as blind and vulnerable as possible, that's pretty good. That's what it looks like is what we have here in the United States. And everyone here is just operating like, let's just keep hooking up everything for convenience. Software eats the world. Let's just keep going for cost, for convenience sake, just because we can. And when you study these issues and you study these attacks and you study the advancement and the uptick in frequency and the lower barrier to entry that we see every single year, you realize just how dumb software eats world is. And no one has ever stopped to pause and think, should we be hooking up these systems to the internet? They've just been saying, can we? Let's do it. And that's a real problem. And just in the last year, we've seen a record number of zero day attacks. I think there were 80 last year, which is probably more than double what it was in 2019. A lot of those were nation states. We live in a world with a lot of geopolitical hot points right now. And where those geopolitical hot points are are places where countries have been investing heavily in offensive cyber tools. If you're a nation state, the goal would be to maximize the footprint of zero day, like super secret zero day that nobody is aware of. And whenever war is initiated, the huge negative effects of shutting down infrastructure or any kind of zero day is the chaos it creates. So if you just, there's a certain threshold when you create the chaos. The market's plummeted. Just everything goes to hell. I mean, it's not just zero days. We make it so easy for threat actors. I mean, we're not using two factor authentication. We're not patching. There was the shell shock vulnerability that was discovered a couple of years ago. It's still being exploited because so many people haven't fixed it. So the zero days are really the sexy stuff. And what really drew me to the zero day market was the moral calculus we talked about, particularly from the US government's point of view. How do they justify leaving these systems so vulnerable when we use them here and we're baking more of our critical infrastructure with this vulnerable software? It's not like we're using one set of technology and Russia is using another and China is using this. We're all using the same technology. So when you find a zero day in Windows, you're not just leaving it open so you can spy on Russia or implant yourself in the Russian grid. You're leaving Americans vulnerable too. But zero days are like, that is the secret sauce. That's the superpower. And I always say every country now, with the exception of Antarctica, someone added the Vatican to my list, is trying to find offensive hacking tools and zero days to make them work. And those that don't have the skills now have this market that they can tap into, where $2.5 million, that's chump change for a lot of these nation states. It's a hell of a lot less than trying to build the next fighter jet. But yeah, the goal is chaos. I mean, why did Russia turn off the lights twice in Ukraine? I think part of it is chaos. I think part of it is to sow the seeds of doubt in their current government. Your government can't even keep your lights on. Why are you sticking with them? Come over here and we'll keep your lights on at least. There's like a little bit of that. Nuclear weapons seems to have helped prevent nuclear war. Is it possible that we have so many vulnerabilities and so many attack vectors on each other that you will kind of achieve the same kind of equilibrium like mutually shared destruction? Yeah. That's one hopeful solution to this. Do you have any hope for this particular solution? You know, nuclear analogies always tend to fall apart when it comes to cyber, mainly because you don't need fissile material. You know, you just need a laptop and the skills and you're in the game. So it's a really low barrier to entry. The other thing is attribution is harder. And we've seen countries muck around with attribution. We've seen, you know, nation states piggyback on other countries spy operations and just sit there and siphon out whatever they're getting. We learned some of that from the Snowden documents. We've seen Russia hack into Iran's command and control attack servers. We've seen them hit a Saudi petrochemical plant where they did neutralize the safety locks at the plant and everyone assumed that it was Iran, given Iran had been targeting Saudi oil companies forever. But nope, it turned out that it was a graduate research institute outside Moscow. So you see countries kind of playing around with attribution. Why? I think because they think, okay, if I do this, like how am I gonna cover up that it came from me because I don't wanna risk the response. So people are sort of dancing around this. It's just in a very different way. And, you know, at the times I'd covered the Chinese hacks of infrastructure companies like pipelines. I'd covered the Russian probes of nuclear plants. I'd covered the Russian attacks on the Ukraine grid. And then in 2018, my colleague David Sanger and I covered the fact that US Cyber Command had been hacking into the Russian grid and making a pretty loud show of it. And when we went to the National Security Council, because that's what journalists do before they publish a story, they give the other side a chance to respond, I assumed we would be in for that really awkward, painful conversation where they would say, you will have blood on your hands if you publish this story. And instead they gave us the opposite answer. They said, we have no problem with you publishing this story. Why? Well, they didn't say it out loud, but it was pretty obvious they wanted Russia to know that we're hacking into their power grid too, and they better think twice before they do to us what they had done to Ukraine. So yeah, you know, we have stumbled into this new era of mutually assured digital destruction. I think another sort of quasi norm we've stumbled into is proportional responses. There's this idea that if you get hit, you're allowed to respond proportionally at a time and place of your choosing. That is how the language always goes. That's what Obama said after North Korea hit Sony. We will respond at a time and place of our choosing. But no one really knows like what that response looks like. And so what you see a lot of the time are just these like, just short of war attacks. You know, Russia turned off the power in Ukraine, but it wasn't like it stayed off for a week. You know, it stayed off for a number of hours. You know, NotPetya hit those companies pretty hard, but no one died, you know? And the question is, what's gonna happen when someone dies? And can a nation state masquerade as a cyber criminal group, as a ransomware group? And that's what really complicates coming to some sort of digital Geneva convention. Like there's been a push from Brad Smith at Microsoft. We need a digital Geneva convention. And on its face, it sounds like a no brainer. Yeah, why wouldn't we all agree to stop hacking into each other's civilian hospital systems, elections, power grid, pipelines? But when you talk to people in the West, officials in the West, they'll say, we would never, we'd love to agree to it, but we'd never do it when you're dealing with Xi or Putin or Kim Jong Un. Because a lot of times, they outsource these operations to cyber criminals. In China, we see a lot of these attacks come from this loose satellite network of private citizens that work at the behest of the Ministry of State Security. So how do you come to some sort of state to state agreement when you're dealing with transnational actors and cyber criminals, where it's really hard to pin down whether that person was acting alone or whether they were acting at the behest of the MSS or the FSB. And a couple of years ago, I remember, can't remember if it was before or after NotPetya, but Putin said, hackers are like artists who wake up in the morning in a good mood and start painting. In other words, I have no say over what they do or don't do. So how do you come to some kind of norm when that's how he's talking about these issues and he's just decimated Merck and Pfizer and another however many thousand companies? That is the fundamental difference between nuclear weapons and cyber attacks is the attribution or one of the fundamental differences. If you can fix one thing in the world in terms of cybersecurity that would make the world a better place, what would you fix? So you're not allowed to fix like authoritarian regimes and you can't. You have to keep that, you have to keep human nature as it is. In terms of on the security side, technologically speaking, you mentioned there's no regulation on companies in United States. What if you could just fix with the snap of a finger, what would you fix? Two factor authentication, multifactor authentication. It's ridiculous how many of these attacks come in because someone didn't turn on multifactor authentication. I mean, Colonial Pipeline, okay? They took down the biggest conduit for gas, jet fuel and diesel to the East Coast of the United States of America, how? Because they forgot to deactivate an old employee account whose password had been traded on the dark web and they'd never turned on two factor authentication. This water treatment facility outside Florida was hacked last year. How did it happen? They were using Windows XP from like a decade ago that can't even get patches if you want it to and they didn't have two factor authentication. Time and time again, if they just switched on two factor authentication, some of these attacks wouldn't have been possible. Now, if I could snap my fingers, that's the thing I would do right now. But of course, this is a cat and mouse game and then the attackers onto the next thing. But I think right now that is like bar none. That is just, that is the easiest, simplest way to deflect the most attacks. And the name of the game right now isn't perfect security. Perfect security is impossible. They will always find a way in. The name of the game right now is make yourself a little bit harder to attack than your competitor than anyone else out there so that they just give up and move along. And maybe if you are a target for an advanced nation state or the SVR, you're gonna get hacked no matter what. But you can make cyber criminal groups deadbolt, is it? You can make their jobs a lot harder simply by doing the bare basics. And the other thing is stop reusing your passwords. But if I only get one, then two factor authentication. So what is two factor authentication? Factor one is what, logging in with a password. And factor two is like have another device or another channel through which you can confirm, yeah, that's me. Yes, usually this happens through some kind of text. You get your one time code from Bank of America or from Google. The better way to do it is spend $20 buying yourself a Fido key on Amazon. That's a hardware device. And if you don't have that hardware device with you, then you're not gonna get in. And the whole goal is, I mean, basically, my first half of my decade at The Times was spent covering like the copy. It was like Home Depot got breached, News at 11, Target, Neumann Marcus, like who wasn't hacked over the course of those five years? And a lot of those companies that got hacked, what did hackers take? They took the credentials, they took the passwords. They can make a pretty penny selling them on the dark web and people reuse their passwords. So you get one from God knows who, I don't know, LastPass, worst case example, actually LastPass. But you get one and then you go test it on their email account. And you go test it on their brokerage account and you test it on their cold storage account. That's how it works. But if you have multi factor authentication, then they can't get in because they might have your password, but they don't have your phone, they don't have your Fido key. So you keep them out. And I get a lot of alerts that tell me someone is trying to get into your Instagram account or your Twitter account or your email account. And I don't worry because I use multi factor authentication. They can try all day. Okay, I worry a little bit, but it's the simplest thing to do and we don't even do it. Well, there's an interface aspect to it because it's pretty annoying if it's implemented poorly. So actually bad implementation of two factor authentication, not just bad, but just something that adds friction is a security vulnerability, I guess, because it's really annoying. Like I think MIT for a while had two factor authentication. It was really annoying. I just, like the number of times it pings you, like it asks to reauthenticate across multiple subdomains. Like it just feels like a pain. I don't know what the right balance there. Yeah, it feels like friction in our frictionless society. It feels like friction, it's annoying. That's security's biggest problem, it's annoying. We need the Steve Jobs of security to come along and we need to make it painless. And actually on that point, Apple has probably done more for security than anyone else simply by introducing biometric authentication, first with the fingerprint and then with face ID. And it's not perfect, but if you think just eight years ago, everyone was running around with either no passcode and optional passcode or four digit passcode on their phone that anyone, think of what you can get when you get someone's iPhone, if you steal someone's iPhone and props to them for introducing the fingerprint and face ID. And again, it wasn't perfect, but it was a huge step forward. Now it's time to make another huge step forward. I wanna see the password die. I mean, it's gotten us as far as it was ever gonna get us. And I hope whatever we come up with next is not gonna be annoying, is gonna be seamless. When I was at Google, that's what we worked on is, and there's a lot of ways to call it active authentication, passive authentication. So basically you use biometric data, not just like a fingerprint, but everything from your body to identify who you are, like movement patterns. So it basically create a lot of layers of protection where it's very difficult to fake, including like face unlock, checking that it's your actual face, like the liveness tests. So like from video, so unlocking it with video, voice, the way you move the phone, the way you take it out of the pocket, that kind of thing. All of those factors. It's a really hard problem though. And ultimately, it's very difficult to beat the password in terms of security. Well, there's a company that I actually will call out and that's Abnormal Security. So they work on email attacks. And it was started by a couple of guys who were doing, I think, ad tech at Twitter. So ad technology now, like it's a joke how much they know about us. You always hear the conspiracy theories that you saw someone's shoes and next thing you know, it's on your phone. It's amazing what they know about you. And they're basically taking that and they're applying it to attacks. So they're saying, okay, if you're, this is what your email patterns are. It might be different for you and me because we're emailing strangers all the time. But for most people, their email patterns are pretty predictable. And if something strays from that pattern, that's abnormal and they'll block it, they'll investigate it. And that's great. Let's start using that kind of targeted ad technology to protect people. And yeah, I mean, it's not gonna get us away from the password and using multifactor authentication, but the technology is out there and we just have to figure out how to use it

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