第 403 期·中文精讀

麗莎·蘭道爾:暗物質、理論物理與物種滅絕事件

Lisa Randall: Dark Matter, Theoretical Physics, and Extinction Events

理論物理學家麗莎·蘭道爾談暗物質的本質、額外維度等前沿猜想,以及小行星撞擊與物種滅絕的關係。

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我們看到的,只是宇宙的5%。

麗莎·蘭道爾(Lisa Randall)是哈佛大學的理論物理學家和宇宙學家,研究覆蓋粒子物理、超對稱、重子生成、宇宙暴脹和暗物質。大多數人聽到"暗物質"這個詞,腦子裡浮現的是一種玄乎其玄的東西。蘭道爾真正在意的,是更基礎的一件事:人類的感官,從來就不是認識世界的可靠工具。

她說過一句樸素但分量很重的話:如果你只依賴直接看到的東西,你會錯過這個世界裡發生的大部分事情。暗物質就是最好的例子。我們看不見它,但宇宙裡有大量關於它存在的線索,至少八九種獨立的方法都指向同一個結論,而且這些方法算出來的數量彼此吻合。

暗物質只是另一種物質,談不上神秘

蘭道爾的第一個糾正,是別把暗物質想得太玄。它就是物質的一種,只是不和光發生相互作用。它有引力,會成團,會驅動星系形成。它和普通物質的區別只有一條:它感受不到電磁力,所以不發光,我們也看不見它。

這句話後面有一個容易被忽略的推論。普通物質因為能輻射、能冷卻、能失去能量,最後在角動量守恆的約束下塌縮成一個薄薄的盤,這就是我們看到的銀河系盤面。暗物質做不到,它沒有輻射機制,所以不會塌縮成盤,而是維持著大致球形的分佈。

但蘭道爾又提醒,別以為普通物質才是主角。暗物質實際上比普通物質更早開始塌縮,也更容易塌縮。普通物質在小尺度上因為輻射壓難以聚集,是暗物質先把結構的骨架搭起來,普通物質後來順著這個引力勢阱流進去,星系才得以形成。她給了一個很有意思的類比:我們看一棟樓,總想到建築師,想到那個最高層級的設計,卻忘了那些幹了所有粗活的工人。暗物質就是那些工人。

宇宙的能量密度裡,暗物質是普通物質的五倍。看到這裡你可能會想,那我們多慘,只是宇宙的邊角料。蘭道爾反過來看:我們熟知的物質能佔到宇宙能量密度的5%、佔到物質能量密度的約六分之一,這本身已經很了不起。宇宙裡什麼東西都可能有,偏偏我們能看到的那一部分,還佔了相當的比例。

她還順帶解釋了暗物質的密度為什麼在不同地方不一樣。因為它是物質,物質就會成團。星系裡的暗物質比星系之間多得多。在小尺度上,人們一直在找偏離,看看是不是存在別的相互作用、別的作用過程,或者和重子也就是普通物質之間存在我們還沒搞懂的聯絡。大尺度上,暗物質的分佈已經被模擬得相當清楚了。

恐龍滅絕,可能和暗物質有關

蘭道爾在《暗物質與恐龍》(Dark Matter and the Dinosaurs)一書裡提出過一個最出名、也最容易被誤讀的猜想。她把話說得很清楚:這個理論屬於推測性質,請不要當成已經證實的事實。

猜想本身很有意思。主流物理學界通常假設暗物質是單一的東西,除了引力之外幾乎不和其他任何東西作用。蘭道爾問了一句:我們憑什麼這麼篤定?我們自己的世界裡,物質有原子核、電子、中子,有強核力、弱核力、電磁力,結構非常豐富。為什麼暗物質就必須是簡單的一種?

她的設想是:暗物質裡可能有一小部分,有自己的相互作用,會輻射出一種我們看不見、但暗物質自己能"看見"的東西,她管它叫"暗光"(dark light)。如果這一小部分暗物質能像普通物質一樣輻射、冷卻,它就可能塌縮成一個非常薄、非常緻密的暗物質盤。

然後是最精妙的一步。太陽系在繞銀河系中心公轉的過程中,會像旋轉木馬上的馬一樣,週期性地上下穿越銀道面。每次穿越,如果那裡正好有一個緻密的暗物質盤,太陽系受到的引力擾動就會增強,邊緣奧爾特雲(Oort Cloud)裡的彗星和小天體就可能被"踢"出來,撞上地球的機率隨之上升。

而六千六百萬年前,確實有一顆巨大的小行星撞上了地球,造成了我們現在確切知道的最近一次大規模物種滅絕,恐龍就此退場。

蘭道爾自己都說,這個故事聽起來像五歲小孩編的:恐龍被一塊大石頭砸死了。可這件事後來真的長出了一套嚴肅的科學解釋。她喜歡暗物質盤這個猜想,原因也在這裡:無論聽起來多離譜,它都有可以被檢驗的觀測後果。透過測量恆星的位置和速度,可以直接去銀河系裡找那個盤到底存不存在。它能寫在論文裡好看,也能拿望遠鏡去查。一個猜想只要能被證偽,就值得認真對待。

至於外界的批評,說她的理論讓暗物質"變得更奇怪了",她的回應很乾脆:我們根本不知道暗物質本來是什麼樣子,也就沒有"更奇怪"這個參照系。大家總預設自己已經知道暗物質是什麼,可這個前提本身就是空的。

那場撞出人類的大災難

訪談裡有一個瞬間,蘭道爾少見地嚴肅起來。

她說,寫這本書的動機之一,是她真的認為我們在濫用這顆星球,在用太快的方式改變它。當你在改動一樣東西的時候,最好先回頭看看它是怎麼來的。

她講了一個尺度層層遞進的故事。宇宙要先形成結構,形成星系,形成太陽系,形成地球,然後才有生命的條件。而人類能出現在這裡,有一部分功勞要歸於那顆撞上地球的天體:恐龍滅絕,哺乳動物才有機會發展起來。這個故事的跨度有幾十億年,在無數個尺度上同時成立。

她的結論並不宿命論,反而很清醒:就算地球重來一次,也可能長出別的東西,但那不會是如果我們繼續折騰下去還能存在的"我們"。

人類有一部分是那場撞擊的結果。這個故事很驚人。如果因此演化出別的東西,那也不是我們,前提是我們沒有把它搞得太糟。(麗莎·蘭道爾)

大科學機器教給我們的兩件事

談到大型強子對撞機(LHC)時,蘭道爾給出了一個很有教育意義的判斷。

一方面,它是一次巨大的勝利。希格斯玻色子五十年前被提出,最後被真的找到了,粒子質量來源的機制被證實。人類能夠做到這件事,本身就是能力的最好證明。

另一方面,這也是一個教訓。她入行的時候,美國正在建一個叫超導超級對撞機(Superconducting Supercollider,SSC)的大傢伙。當時很多物理學家,尤其是歐洲的同行,信誓旦旦地說 LHC 的能量就足以發現標準模型之下的東西了。但歐洲人反而更謹慎,希望做一個能量更高、事件更多、能更徹底證實或排除新理論的機器。很多人當時都篤定,那裡一定有超對稱(supersymmetry)。結果呢?LHC 成了唯一在場的機器,SSC 被取消了。

蘭道爾的評價很剋制:你可以相信自己的理論,同時也要質疑它,用更可能接近真相的方式去質疑。別在證據還沒出現的時候,就假設答案已經在那兒等著了。

但她也特意為 LHC 說了另一面好話。這件事技術難度極高,工程上極難,還得幾十個國家一起合作才做得成。它是一個長期專案,人們把心血投進去,最後把它做成了。這本身就說明,當人類真正下定決心做一件事,是能做到很了不起的程度。

訪談裡她聊到 CERN 的起源。二戰之後,很多歐洲物理學家離開了歐洲,後來他們希望看到歐洲人重新合作、重建,於是有了 CERN。她說自己常想,人類最大的問題之一是遇到的人不夠多。當一個人被當成"他者",就更容易忘記他也是一個活生生的人。所以讓人為了一個具體的專案坐到一起,非常有價值。她提到一個叫 Sesame 的專案,讓巴勒斯坦人和以色列人一起做科研。忘掉政治,專注在一個具體的專案上,有時候真的能成。

她還補了一句很實在的觀察:科學讓進步發生,政治讓進步慢下來,可沒有政治,那臺機器也根本造不出來。這兩句話同時成立。

電子到底存在嗎:一場和羅韋利的爭論

訪談裡最有哲學味的段落,是蘭道爾和卡爾洛·羅韋利(Carlo Rovelli)的那場分歧。

羅韋利在他的書裡寫過一句話:電子並不總是存在。它在你和它互動的時候才存在,在碰撞到什麼東西的時候,才在一個位置上"顯形"。

蘭道爾不同意。她在書裡打了個比方:股票的價格在你交易之前,可能沒有一個精確的數值,但這並不意味著在那之前你不能估算它的價值。電子也一樣,它可能沒有確定的性質,但它存在。在位置被測量之前,電子確實不是以經典物體的方式擁有確定位置,可那裡有東西,物理學家用波函式去描述它。

我傾向於認為宇宙就在那裡,不管我看沒看到。如果只有當我觀測的時候,事物才開始存在,那也太奇怪了。我可以假裝中東不存在,因為我現在不在那兒,但這顯然很荒謬。(麗莎·蘭道爾)

她補充說,這個分歧甚至不涉及標準模型,它關乎怎麼解釋量子力學。量子場論告訴我們,電子可以被創造和湮滅,對撞機裡天天在發生這種事。但這不意味著原子裡那個電子不存在。它就在那兒,它的電荷就在那兒。

談到物理學的"底層",蘭道爾說自己比很多物理學家更謙遜:她不確定人類會不會有一天觸到那個最終極的底層,但她相信我們會一層一層往下走。她還講了一個特別好的觀察:也許在某個層次上,"距離"這個概念本身就會失效,到那時,連我們現在用來提問的語言都不再適用了。

這裡還牽扯到另一個常被混淆的點。當她說"我們幾乎測完了所有東西",她的意思是標準模型已經被測到了很高精度。可現象層面還有大量我們沒搞懂的東西,比如意識,比如湍流,比如生命。這些現象往往可以在已知的基本成分之上被描述,但那不等於我們已經理解它們。她舉了一個很樸素的例子:我扔一個球,不會告訴你每個原子在哪兒,我只說這裡有個球。不同層級有自己的語言,不能拿底層的完備性去否定上層問題的真實性。

但她也劃了一條線。遇到那種非常放飛的理論,比如認為意識是一種瀰漫在萬物之中的基本力,物理學家的做法是先窮盡現有框架內的所有可能性,不會一上來就跳到最離奇的那一個。你可以跳,但接下來你要麼找到證據,要麼證明沒有這個假設就說不通。而現在,我們離那一步還很遠。

自上而下,還是自下而上

蘭道爾把理論研究分成兩條路徑。

自上而下(top-down):先有一個自己認為足夠完美的理論,從這個理論推出預測,再去看它預言了什麼特徵。

自下而上(bottom-up):從具體問題出發,比如質量為什麼是這個值,先測量,再想辦法把測量結果拼起來。

她的判斷是,最好的做法通常是兩者結合。她很多最好的合作,都是和比自己更"自上而下"的人一起做出來的,因為只靠任何一邊,那些點子都想不出來。

這裡有個常被誤解的地方。很多人以為愛因斯坦是自上而下的典型天才。蘭道爾糾正說,不是。狹義相對論誕生的時候,愛因斯坦非常自下而上。他在琢磨麥克斯韋方程組的對稱性問題,試圖理解電磁定律為什麼在那種對稱下說得通,為此做了大量思想實驗。他甚至長時間抗拒自上而下的方法。後來做廣義相對論,需要把引力納進來,需要反饋,他是在一位懂微分幾何的數學家的幫助下才把方程寫下來的。再之後他才覺得自上而下才是正路,可惜那時候他反而沒做出太多東西。

所以她說,把科學進步簡單歸為某一條路徑是幼稚的。真正推動進展的人,大多紮在真實的測量裡。

順著這個話題,她也談了物理和數學的關係。兩邊的重疊比她預想的更多,但提問的方式不一樣。數學家著迷於結構本身,物理學家則始終盯著這個結構對真實世界意味著什麼。有些人能在兩個領域之間來回走,那種人往往能做出真正有意思的東西。她還說,美學在物理學裡確實起作用,但一個洞見之所以美,未必是因為它長得漂亮。愛因斯坦場方程如果拆成一個個分量寫出來,你不會覺得它美;寫成緊湊的形式,它才顯得優雅。

弦理論的成敗,不能這麼算

被問到弦理論的成功與失敗,蘭道爾先拆掉了問題的前提:用"成功"和"失敗"來談任何一門科學,經常抓不到要點,因為科學裡沒有那種絕對的終點。

她的批評很直接:弦理論家在起步階段有點過於自信,以為能解決很多問題,實際上那些問題他們解決不了。但她也承認,弦理論確實帶來了工具和洞見。問題後來變成了一個近乎社會學的問題:這些聰明頭腦該往哪邊分配,一個方向佔了多少資源,另一個方向就少了多少。

她說,人很容易陷進問題本身,也很容易陷進方法本身,然後一直在做別的例子。真正的物理洞見,往往來自那些同時在想物理和想數學的人。

暗物質裡會不會有生命

訪談裡最"放飛"的一個問題,蘭道爾的回答依然保持了物理學家的剋制。

Lex 問她:如果暗物質裡也有相互作用,會不會在某個我們看不見的角落裡,演化出類似化學、甚至類似生命那樣的複雜性?

她說:有可能。

緊接著補了一句重要限定。產生生命和複雜性的那些條件,本身就複雜而罕見,並不是隨隨便便就能發生。但同樣地,也沒有任何理由斷定它一定不會發生。值得去問的是:暗物質那一塊裡,是不是還有別的力存在?

這就引出一個更大的圖景。我們目前知道的那部分暗物質,似乎什麼力都沒有,只有引力。但也許它有自己的力,就像它可能擁有自己的"光"。甚至在我們自己這一塊裡,也可能存在我們還探測不到的力,只是因為它們太弱,或者存在於我們還沒探索過的能標和尺度上。我們造更大的對撞機,一部分原因就是想去那裡找找看。物理學家只探測那些和探測器作用足夠強的東西,剩下的全是盲區。

人工智慧能不能做出物理發現

蘭道爾對 AI 的態度,是這次訪談裡最微妙的部分。

她說自己曾經不像別人那麼擔心 AI,但現在理解了。邏輯很簡單:一旦你造出了自己失去控制的東西,那就很可怕。

AI 能不能發現新物理,她的判斷是現在還處在很早期。大語言模型在某種意義上是對已有東西的泛化,它們會給出看起來很有說服力、但我們分不清真假的內容,這在物理學上是個大麻煩。但她也承認,突破可能正在發生,也許很快。

她講了一句很值得琢磨的話:我們其實並不真正瞭解自己有多聰明,也不真正理解自己是怎麼思考的。但有一點確定,和計算機相比,人類在產生想法這件事上效率高得多,消耗的能量也少得多。如果有一天計算機也能做到這一點,那就是完全不同的遊戲了。

她還提醒,AI 不只是抽象的智慧問題,它會被嵌進真實的世界裡。它會被資本主義的邏輯推動,被地緣政治塑造。人們最初拿它做玩具問題,接下來它會被用來做什麼、會被最佳化去完成什麼目標,這些才是現在就該開始討論的事。誰來控制它,研究者還能保留多少自由去問那些不直接產生商業價值的問題,這些都不樂觀。

她還講了一個特別有意思的對比。她說如果沒有網際網路,她根本寫不出那些書,因為她沒有時間去圖書館一本一本查資料。網際網路實實在在地幫了她大忙。可網際網路的另一部分,正在毀掉政治,毀掉公共討論。AI 有可能走同樣的兩條路,一條是讓人類的效率再上一個臺階,另一條是變成我們控制不了的東西。現在還沒有答案。

脆弱的東西,和支撐我們活下去的東西

訪談裡有一段,蘭道爾談到了風險的邏輯,值得單獨拎出來。

她說,我們今天正在學到的一課是,只需要少數幾個壞人,就能把事情搞砸。要讓事情順利,需要所有人配合;要讓事情出錯,一件就夠了。

健康是這樣,民主也是這樣。一個系統要正常運轉,需要大量條件同時成立;要崩潰,只需要一個條件被打破。我們賴以生存的很多東西,都處在一種微妙的平衡態裡。我們試著給這些系統加一些冗餘,讓它們結實一點,但少數極端事件仍然足以改變一切。

她點了自己最擔心的事:核武器。她說這比人們意識到的更危險,而現在的警惕程度反而比二三十年前更低。她也擔心大流行病,覺得人們雖然比以前怕了一點,但還遠遠不夠。氣候變化和物種滅絕她同樣在意,她認為我們可能正處在一場滅絕事件的中途,只是過程太緩慢、太分散,不容易被感知到。

她還講了一個細節,特別能說明人性。她去參觀一個核武器歷史與技術博物館領獎,發現那裡展出的主要就是核武器。真正嚇人的地方在於:它們看起來真的很酷。你一邊覺得這東西很可怕,一邊又忍不住覺得它很酷。這種"東西本身就很吸引人"的衝動,有時會壓過對後果的思考。她說這有點像早期的矽谷,大家只想著"如果我們做這個會怎樣",沒人去追蹤邊緣的後果。AI 現在就是這種狀態,全速前進。

她引用了里爾克(Rilke)的一句詩:美無非是我們尚能承受的恐怖之開端。她說這話放在核武器上成立,放在科學探索的某些時刻上也成立。科學家常年站在"我還不知道答案"的懸崖邊上,那種不適感是真實的,雖然它毀不掉地球,但它確實折磨人。而真正能毀掉地球的那些東西,反而常常被我們覺得酷。

為什麼她不怕宇宙這麼大

Lex 問她,面對暗物質的量級、黑洞的引力、宇宙的尺度,會不會感到某種恐懼。

蘭道爾的回答很坦率,甚至有點反人類中心主義:她說自己某種程度上並不是人類的狂熱粉絲。如果人類就是全部,那也太無聊了。她喜歡的是這樣一個念頭:外面還有很多東西,還有很多可以發現的,我們並不是一切。

她說,如果宇宙裡只有我們,那才真的令人失望。

這種態度貫穿了整場訪談。她對科學的信心,根源不在"我們終將解決一切"的樂觀裡。真正托住她的是另一種東西:相信世界背後有邏輯,然後一層一層往下挖。她講到自己做研究時的驅動力,是那些說不通的地方,是那種"這事不對勁"的不適感。這種不適會逼著她往不同方向走,直到把它理順。她說這個習慣可以推廣到任何領域:遇到事情,先問它為什麼是這樣。

她還提到後來那本書《叩響天堂之門》(Knocking on Heaven's Door)裡講的有效理論。與其一上來就問那個最大的問題,不如先問眼前能測的東西。有時候你能判斷出某個方向一定會失敗,那就別把職業生涯押在上面。有時候從有效理論出發去逼近大問題,反而更容易走通。她還提到額外維度那部分工作,最讓她興奮的一點是發現高維可以只存在於區域性,我們以為自己生活在三維空間,也許只是區域性的真。

談到日落,她說自己不管看多少次,都還是會覺得美。她承認這大概是因為人類就是這麼演化出來的,那是關於我們自己的事,與宇宙本身無關。但她也說,人類已經走了很遠,發現了很多美妙的東西,而外面還有更多。她希望我們還有機會繼續走下去。

給年輕人的那句話

訪談最後,Lex 問她給高中生、大學生的建議。

蘭道爾的回答,可能是整期節目裡最實用的一段。

她說,做科學、做學術最彆扭的地方在於:你必須同時極度相信自己做的事,又必須不停地質疑它。這兩件事很難平衡。你要真的相信自己能想出好點子,同時又要清楚這些點子可能全都是錯的。這根鋼絲很難走,但你還得走,因為不走就沒法真正檢驗它們。

她的第二個建議更接地氣。有時候你抬頭看,覺得前面有那麼多東西、那麼多巨人,會覺得自己沒戲。這時候不妨把視野收回來一點,別去想"我要成為史上最偉大的物理學家",先想:我能不能想出一個和我旁邊這個人一樣好的點子?

她還引了物理學家羅伯特·威爾遜(Robert Wilson)在費米實驗室(Fermilab)聽證會上那句著名的話:這座加速器不會保衛國家,但它會讓這個國家值得被保衛。蘭道爾說,世界再亂,這些事依然重要,不要因為大事發生就忘了這一點,但也不要因為做科學就忘了世界。兩頭都要顧,這才是難的地方。

整場對話下來,她沒有給出任何一句"我們終將理解一切"的豪言。她給出的是另一套東西:把不確定性當成工作環境,把質疑當成日常動作,把能測出來的東西當成唯一可靠的錨點。這種態度放在物理裡成立,放在別的地方大概也成立。

  • 想理解暗物質,先從"我們的感官不可靠"這個前提出發,別從"神秘物質"這個想象出發。任何依賴"看得見才算存在"的判斷,在宇宙尺度上幾乎必然是錯的。
  • 評估一個新理論時,別隻問它聽起來是否合理,先問它有沒有可以被觀測檢驗的後果。蘭道爾的暗物質盤猜想值得認真對待,正因為它可以被測出來。
  • 當你對某個領域已經形成"我們都知道它是什麼"的共識時,主動去找那個共識的漏洞。她對暗物質"應該是什麼樣"的預設,評價只有一句:那本來就是空的。
  • 做長期專案時,把"相信"和"質疑"同時放在桌面上。相信你的方向值得投入,同時設計出能證偽自己的實驗。LHC 和 SSC 的故事說明,把賭注全押在一個未證實的理論上,代價相當高。
  • 看風險時,別隻盯著緩慢累積的那一類。系統的崩潰往往由單點觸發,核武器、失控的 AI、一次誤判,都屬於這一類,它不需要很多條件,只需要一個。
  • 如果你在做研究或創作,定期把視野從"史上最偉大"收回到"我旁邊這個人"。這個尺度的目標更容易讓你真正開始動手。
  • 找一件讓你覺得"這不對勁"的事,然後一直追下去。蘭道爾說,驅動她的從來不是宏大的願景。那些說不通的地方帶來的不適感,才是她一直追下去的原因。
文稿來自 Lex Fridman 官網公開發布的官方 Transcript(含說話人與時間戳)。
Lex Fridman (00:00:00): The following is a conversation with Lisa Randall, a theoretical physicist and cosmologist at Harvard. Her work involves improving our understanding of particle physics, supersymmetry, baryogenesis, cosmological inflation, and dark matter. Lex Fridman (00:00:15): This is the Lex Fridman podcast. To support it, please check out our sponsors in the description. Now, dear friends, here’s Lisa Randall. Lex Fridman (00:00:24): One of the things you work on and write about is dark matter. We can’t see it, but there’s a lot of it in the universe. You also end one of your books with a Beatles song quote, “‘Got to be good-looking because he’s so hard to see.” What is dark matter? How should we think about it given that we can’t see it? How should we visualize it in our mind’s eye? Lisa Randall (00:00:47): I think one of the really important things that physics teaches you is just our limitations, but also our abilities. The fact that we can deduce the existence of something that we don’t directly see is really a tribute to people that we can do that. It’s also something that tells you, you can’t overly rely on your direct senses. If you just relied on just what you see directly, you would miss so much of what’s happening in the world. Lisa Randall (00:01:15): We can generalize this, but just for now to focus on dark matter, it’s something we know is there, and it’s not just one way we know it’s there. In my book, Dark Matter and the Dinosaurs, I talk about the many different ways. There’s eight or nine that we deduce not just the existence of dark matter, but how much is there, and they all agree. Lisa Randall (00:01:36): Now, how do we know it’s there? Because of its gravitational force. Individually, a particle doesn’t have such a big gravitational force. In fact, gravity is an extremely weak force compared to other forces we know about in nature, but there’s a lot of dark matter out there. It carries a lot of energy. Five times the amount of energy as the matter. We know that’s in atoms, et cetera. Lisa Randall (00:02:00): You can ask, how should we think about it? It’s just another form of matter that doesn’t interact with light, or at least as far as we know. It interacts gravitationally, it clumps, it forms galaxies, but it doesn’t interact with light, which means we just don’t see it. Most of our detection, before gravitational wave detectors, we only saw things because of their interactions with light in some sense. Lex Fridman (00:02:25): In theory, it behaves just like any other matter, it just doesn’t interact with light. Lisa Randall (00:02:30): When we say it interacts just like any other form of matter, we have to be careful because gravitationally, it interacts like other forms of matter, but it doesn’t experience electromagnetism, which is why it has a different distribution. Lisa Randall (00:02:44): In our galaxy, it’s roughly spherical unless it has its own interactions, that’s another story. We know that it’s roughly spherical, whereas ordinary matter can radiate and clumps into a disk. That’s why we see the Milky Way disk. On large scales, in some sense, yes, all the matter is similar in some sense. Lisa Randall (00:03:06): In fact, dark matter is in some sense more important because it can collapse more readily than ordinary matter because ordinary matter has radiative forces, which makes it hard to collapse on small scales. Actually it’s dark matter that drives galaxy formation and then ordinary matter comes along with it. Lisa Randall (00:03:30): There’s also just more of it, and because there’s more of it can start collapsing sooner. That is to say the energy density in dark matter dominates over radiation earlier than you would if you just had an ordinary matter. Lex Fridman (00:03:43): It’s part of the story of the origin of the galaxy, part of the story of the end of the galaxy, and part of the story of all the various interactions throughout. Lisa Randall (00:03:50): Exactly. In my book, I make jokes about, it’s like when we think about a building, we think about the architect, we think about the high level, but we forget about all the workers that did all the grunt work. In fact, dark matter was really important in the formation of our universe, and we forget that sometimes. Lex Fridman (00:04:07): That’s a metaphor on top of a metaphor. Okay. The unheard voices that do the actual work. Lisa Randall (00:04:16): Exactly. No, but it is a metaphor, but it also captures something because the fact is we don’t directly see it, so we forget it’s there or we don’t understand it’s there, or we think it’s not. The fact that we don’t see it makes it no less legitimate, it just means that we have challenges in order to find out exactly what it is. Lex Fridman (00:04:35): Yeah, but the things we cannot see that nevertheless have a gravitational interaction with the things we can’t see is at the layman level, it’s just mind-blowing. Lisa Randall (00:04:49): It is and it isn’t because I think what it’s teaching us is that we’re human, the universe is what it is, and we’re trying to interact with that universe and discover what it is. We’ve discovered, amazing things. Lisa Randall (00:05:03): In fact, I would say it’s more surprising that the matter that we know about is constitutes as big a fraction of the universe as it does. We’re limited, we’re human. The fact that we see 5% of the energy density of the universe, about one sixth of the energy density in matter, that’s remarkable. Why should that be? Anything could be out there, yet the universe that we see is a significant fraction. Lex Fridman (00:05:30): Yeah, but a lot of our intuition, I think operates using visualizations in the mind. Lisa Randall (00:05:36): That’s absolutely true. Certainly writing books, I realized also how many of our words are based on how we see the world, and that’s true. That’s actually one of the fantastic things about physics is that it teaches you how to go beyond your immediate intuition to develop intuitions that apply at different distances, different scales, different ways of thinking about things. Lex Fridman (00:05:57): Yeah. How do you anthropomorphize dark matter? Lisa Randall (00:06:01): I just did, I think. I made it the grunt workers. Lex Fridman (00:06:04): Oh yeah, that’s good. You did. That’s why you get paid the big bucks and write the great books. Okay, you also write in that book about dark matter, having to do something with the extinction events, the extinction of the dinosaurs, which is a fascinating presentation of how everything is connected. Lex Fridman (00:06:28): I guess the disturbances from the dark matter, they create gravitational disturbances in the Oort Cloud at the edge of our solar system, and then that increases the rate of asteroids hitting earth. Lisa Randall (00:06:42): I want to be really clear, this was a speculative theory. Lex Fridman (00:06:44): I love it, though. Lisa Randall (00:06:48): I liked it too. We still don’t know for sure, but what we liked about it… Let me take a step back. We usually assume that dark matter, we being physicists, that it’s just one thing. It’s just basically non-interacting aside from gravity or very weakly interacting matter. Lisa Randall (00:07:11): Again, we have to get outside this mindset of just humans and ask what else could be there. What we suggested is that there’s a fraction of dark matter, not all the dark matter, but some of the dark matter, maybe it has interactions of its own just the same way in our universe, we have lots of different types of matter. We have nuclei, we have electrons, we have neutrons, we have forces. Lisa Randall (00:07:35): It’s not a simple model, the standard model, but it does have some basic ingredients, so maybe dark matter also has some interesting structure to it. Maybe there’s some small fraction. The interesting thing is that if some of the dark matter does radiate, and I like to call it dark light because it’s light that we don’t see, but dark matter would see. It could radiate that and then it could perhaps collapse into a disk the same way ordinary matter collapsed into the Milky Way disk. Lisa Randall (00:08:06): It’s not all the dark matter, it’s a fraction, but it could conceivably be a very thin disk of dark matter, thin, dense disk of dark matter. The question is do these exist? People have done studies now to think about whether they can find them. It’s an interesting target, it’s something you can measure. By measuring the positions and velocities of stars, you can find out what the structure of the Milky Way is, but the fun proposal was that the solar system orbits around the galaxy. Lisa Randall (00:08:36): As it does so, it goes a little bit up and down kind of horses on a carousel. The suggestion was every time it goes through, you have an enhanced probability that you would dislodge something from the edge of the solar system in something called the Oort Cloud. The idea was that at those times, you’re more likely to have these cataclysmic events such as the amazing one that actually caused the last extinction that we know of for sure. Lex Fridman (00:09:01): It wasn’t so amazing for the dinosaurs. Lisa Randall (00:09:04): Or for two thirds of the species on the planet. Lex Fridman (00:09:06): But it gets amazing for humans. It wouldn’t be- Lisa Randall (00:09:08): What really is amazing… I talk about this in Dark Matter and the Dinosaurs. It is just an amazing scientific story because it really is one of the real stories that combine together different fields of science. Geologists at the time or people thought that things happen slowly and this would be a cataclysmic event. Lisa Randall (00:09:27): Also, I have to say if you think about it, it sounds like a story a five-year-old would make up. Maybe the dinosaurs were killed by some big rock that came and hit the earth, but then there really was a scientific story behind it. That’s also why I like the dark disk because there’s a scientific story behind it. As far-fetched as it might sound, you could actually go and look for the experimental consequences, for the observational consequences to test whether it’s true. Lex Fridman (00:09:51): I wish you could know high-resolution details of where that asteroid came from, where in the Oort Cloud, why it happened, is it in fact because of dark matter? Just the full tracing back to the origin of the universe because humans seem to be somewhat special. It seems like so many fascinating events at all scales of physics had to happen for [inaudible 00:10:17]. Lisa Randall (00:10:16): I’m really, really glad you mentioned that because actually that was one of the main points of my book, Dark Matter and the Dinosaurs. One of the reasons I wrote it was because I really think we are abusing the planet, we’re changing the planet way too quickly. Just like anything else, when you alter things, it’s good to think about the history of what it took to get here. Lisa Randall (00:10:34): As you point out, it took many operations on many different scales. We had to have the formation of structure, the formation of galaxies, the formation of the solar system, the formation of our planet, the formation of humans. There’s so many steps that go into this. Humans in some part were the result of the fact that this big object hit the earth, made the dinosaurs go extinct, and mammals developed. It is an incredible story and yes, something else might come of it, but it won’t be us if we mess with it too much. Lex Fridman (00:11:05): But it is on a grand scale, earth is a pretty resilient system. Can you just clarify, just fascinating, the shape of things. The shape of the Milky Way’s… Of the observable stuff is mostly flat. You said dark matter tends to be spherical, but a subset of that might be a flat disk. Lisa Randall (00:11:31): You want to hear about the shape of things. Lex Fridman (00:11:34): Yes, please. Lisa Randall (00:11:36): Structure formed early on, and now our structure that we live in is… We know about the Milky Way galaxy. The Milky Way galaxy has the disk you can see in a dry dark place, that’s where stars and light is, but you can also measure in some ways the dark matter. We believe that dark matter is more or less spherically distributed. Like we said, there’s a lot of it, not necessarily in the disk, but just because it’s a sphere, there’s a lot of it sitting there. Lisa Randall (00:12:11): The reason it doesn’t collapse as far as we know is that it can’t radiate the same way. Because it can radiate ordinary matter collapses, and this actually, because of conservation of angular momentum, it stays a disk and it doesn’t just collapse to the center. Our suggestion was that maybe there are some components of dark matter that also radiate. Lisa Randall (00:12:31): Like I said, that’s far from proven. People have looked for a disk, they see some evidence of some disks of certain densities, but these are all questions that are worth asking. Basically if we can figure it out from existing measurements, why not try? Lex Fridman (00:12:44): Okay, so not all dark matter is made the same. Lisa Randall (00:12:48): That’s a possibility. We actually don’t know what dark matter is in the first place, we don’t know what most of it is, we don’t know what a fraction is. It’s hard to measure. Why is it hard to measure for exactly the reason you said earlier, we don’t see it. We want to think of possibilities for what it can be, especially if those give rise to some observational consequences. It’s a tough game because it’s not something that’s just there for the taking. You have to think about what it could be and how you might find it. Lex Fridman (00:13:16): The way you detect it is gravitational effects on things we can see. Lisa Randall (00:13:22): That would be the way you detect the type of dark matter. I’ve been talking about people have suggestions for other forms of dark matter. They could be particles called axions, they could be other types of particles, and then there are different ways of detecting it. Lisa Randall (00:13:34): The most popular candidate for dark matter probably until pretty recently because they haven’t found it, is something called WIMPs, Weakly Interacting Massive Particles, particles that have mass about the same as the Higgs boson mass, and it turns out then you would get about the right density of dark matter. Lisa Randall (00:13:52): People really like that, of course, because it is connected to the standard model, the particles that we know about, and if it’s connected to that, we have a better chance of actually seeing it. Fortunately or unfortunately, it’s also a better chance that you can rule it out because you can look for it. So far, no one has found it. We’re still looking for Lex Fridman (00:14:08): Is that one of the hopes of the Large Hadron Collider? Lisa Randall (00:14:11): That was originally one of the hopes of Large Hadron Collider. I’d say at this point, it would be very unlikely given what they’ve already accomplished, but there are these underground detectors, xenon detectors that look for dark matter coming in, and they are going to try to achieve a much stronger bound than exists today. Lex Fridman (00:14:35): Just to take that tangent, looking back now, what’s the biggest, to you, insight to humanity that the LHC has been able to provide? Lisa Randall (00:14:47): It’s interesting. It’s both a major victory. The Higgs boson was proposed 50 years ago, and it was discovered. The Higgs mechanism seemed to be the only way to explain elementary particle masses and it was right so on the one hand, it was a major victory. On the other hand, I’ve been in physics long enough to know it was also a cautionary tale in some sense because at the time I started out in physics, we had proposed something in the United States called the Superconducting Supercollider. Lisa Randall (00:15:15): A lot of physicists, I’ll say particularly in Europe, but I’d say a lot of physicists were saying when that the Large Hadron Collider would have the energy reach necessary to discover what underlies the standard model. We don’t want to just discover the standard model, we want to know what the next step is. Lisa Randall (00:15:31): I think here people were more cautious about that. They want to have a more comprehensive search that could get to higher energies, more events so that we could really more definitively rule it out. In that case, many people thought they knew what would be there. It happened to be a theory called supersymmetry. A lot of physicists thought it would be supersymmetry. Lisa Randall (00:15:51): It’s one of the many factors I think that went into the fact that the Large Hadron Collider became the only machine in town, and the Superconducting Supercollider would’ve just been a much… If it had really had achieved what it was supposed to, would’ve been a much more robust test of the space. Lisa Randall (00:16:07): I’d say for humanity, it’s both a tribute to the ability of discovery and the ability of really believing in things so that you have the confidence to go look for them, but it’s also a cautionary tale that you don’t want to assume things before they’ve been actually found. You want to believe in your theories, but you also want to question them at the same time in ways that you’re more likely to discover the truth. Lex Fridman (00:16:32): It’s also an illustration of grand engineering efforts that humanity can take on and maybe a lesson that you could go even bigger. Lisa Randall (00:16:43): I’m really glad you said that though too, because that’s absolutely true. It really is an impressive… It’s impressive in so many ways. It’s impressive technologically, it’s impressive at engineering level. Lisa Randall (00:16:55): It’s also impressive that so many countries work together to do this. It wasn’t just one country. It was also impressive in that it was a long-term project that people committed to and made it happen. It is a demonstration that when people set their minds to things and they commit to it, that they can do something amazing. Lex Fridman (00:17:18): Also in the United States, maybe a lesson that bureaucracy can slow things down to [inaudible 00:17:24]. Lisa Randall (00:17:24): Bureaucracy and politics. Lex Fridman (00:17:26): Politics. Lisa Randall (00:17:27): And economics. Many things can make them faster and make them slower. Lex Fridman (00:17:32): Science is the way to make progress, politics is the way to slow that progress down. And here we are. Lisa Randall (00:17:39): I don’t want to overstate that because without politics, the [inaudible 00:17:42] wouldn’t happen either. Lex Fridman (00:17:43): You need broccoli. Lisa Randall (00:17:49): Sometimes I do think… You’re not asking this question, but sometimes I do think when I think about some of these conflicts, sometimes it’s just good to have a project that people work on together. There were some efforts to do that in science too, to have Palestinians and Israelis work together, a project called Sesame. I think it’s not a bad idea when you can do that, when you can get… Forget the politics and just focus on some particular project. Sometimes that can work. Lex Fridman (00:18:25): Some kind of forcing function, some kind of deadline that gets people to sit in a room together and you’re working on a thing. As part of that, you realize the common humanity, that you all have the same concerns, the same hopes, the same fears, that you are all human. That’s an accidental side effect of working together on a thing. Lisa Randall (00:18:45): That’s absolutely true. It’s one of the reasons CERN was formed actually. It was post-World War II, and a lot of European physicists had actually left Europe and they wanted to see Europeans work together and rebuild, and it worked. They did. It’s true, I often think that, that one of the major problems is we just don’t meet enough people so that everyone… When they seem like the other, it’s more easy to forget their humanity. I think it is important to have these connections. Lex Fridman (00:19:16): Given the complexity, all cosmological scales involved here that led to the extinction of the dinosaurs, when you look out at the future of earth, do you worry about future extinction events? Lisa Randall (00:19:29): I do think that we might be in the middle of an extinction right now if you define it by the number of species that are getting killed off. It’s subtle, but it’s a complex system. The way things respond to events is sometimes things evolve, sometimes animals just move to another place. The way we’ve developed the earth, it’s very hard for species just to move somewhere else. Lisa Randall (00:19:54): We’re seeing that with people now, too. I know people are worried just about AI taking over, and that’s a totally different story. We just don’t think about the future very much. We think about what we’re doing now, and we certainly don’t think enough about all the animals that we’re destroying, all the things that are precursors to humans that we rely on. Lex Fridman (00:20:14): It’s interesting to think whether the things that threaten us is the stuff we see that’s happening gradually or the stuff we don’t really see that’s going to happen all of a sudden. I sometimes think about what should we be worried about? It seems like with the asteroids or nuclear war, it could be stuff that just happens one day. When I say one day meaning over a span of a few days or a few months, but not on a scale of decades and centuries. We sometimes mostly talk about stuff that’s happening gradually, but we can be really surprised. Lisa Randall (00:20:57): It’s actually really interesting. That was actually one of the reasons it took a while to determine what it was that it caused the last extinction because people did think at the time, many people thought that things were more gradual, and the idea of extinction was actually a novel concept at some point. Lisa Randall (00:21:14): These aren’t predictable events necessarily. They’re only predictable on a grand scale, but sometimes they are. I think people were pretty aware that nuclear weapons were dangerous. I’m not sure people are as aware now as they were say, 20 or 30 years ago, and that certainly worries me. I have to say I was not as worried about AI as other people, but now I understand. It’s more that as soon as you create things that we lose control over, it’s scary. Lisa Randall (00:21:50): The other thing that we’re learning from the events today is that it takes a few bad actors. It takes everyone to make things work well, it takes not that many things to make things go wrong. The issue with disease, we can find out what causes a disease, but to make things better is not necessarily that simple. Sometimes it is. But for things to be healthy, a lot of things have to work. For things to go wrong, only one thing has to go wrong. It’s amazing that we do it. Lisa Randall (00:22:19): The same is true for democracy. For democracy to work, a lot of people have to believe in it. A few bad actors can destroy things sometimes. A lot of the things that we really rely on are delicate equilibrium situations. There is some robustness in the systems, we try to build in robustness, but a few extreme events can sometimes alter things. I think that’s what people are scared of today in many ways. They’re scared of it for democracy, they’re scared of it for peace, they’re scared of it for AI. Lisa Randall (00:22:51): I think they’re not as scared as they should be about nuclear weapons, to be honest. I think that’s more serious danger than people realize. I think people are a little bit more scared about pandemics than they were before, but I still say they’re not super scared about it. So you’re right, there are these major events that can happen and we are setting things up so that they might happen, and we should be thinking about them. The question is who should be thinking about them? How should we be thinking about them? How do you make things happen on a global scale, because that’s really what we need. Lex Fridman (00:23:23): It certainly shouldn’t be a source of division, it should be a source of grand collaboration probably. Lisa Randall (00:23:29): Wouldn’t that be nice? Lex Fridman (00:23:30): Yeah. I just wonder what it’d be like to be a dinosaur. It must have been beautiful to look at that asteroid enter the atmosphere. Until everything…. Man, that would be one of the things I would travel back in time to just to watch it. Lisa Randall (00:23:50): That’s also one of the things that I think you probably could do with virtual reality. I don’t think you have to be there and get extinct. Lex Fridman (00:23:54): To just experience it. Lisa Randall (00:23:55): I think there’s something… It’s an event. You’re just watching. You’re not doing anything, you’re just looking at it, so maybe you could just recreate it. Lex Fridman (00:24:01): I actually heard that there’s a nuclear weapon explosion experience in virtual reality that’s good to remind you about what it would feel like. Lisa Randall (00:24:14): I have to say, I got an award from the Museum of Nuclear History and Technology in the Southwest, and I went to visit the museum, which turned out to be mostly a museum of nuclear weapons. The scary thing is that they look really cool. Lisa Randall (00:24:30): It’s true that you have that, yes, this is scary, but you also have, this is cool feeling and I think we have to get around that because I think that yes, you can be in that, but I’m not sure that’s going to make people scared. Have they actually asked afterwards, are you more or less scared? Lex Fridman (00:24:50): That’s a really good point. That’s a good summary of just humanity in general. We’re attracted to creating cool stuff, even though it can be dangerous. Lisa Randall (00:25:01): Actually, that was the really interesting thing about visiting that museum, actually. It was very nice because I had a tour from people who had been working there in the Cold War and actually one or two people from the Manhattan Project. It was a very cool tour. You just realize just how just the thing itself gets you so excited. Lisa Randall (00:25:16): I think that’s something sometimes these movies miss, just the thing itself. You’re not thinking about the overall consequences. In some ways it was like the early Silicon Valley. People were just thinking what if we did this? What if we did that? Not keeping track of what the peripheral consequences are. You definitely see that happening with AI now. I think that was the moral of the battle that just happened, that it’s just full speed ahead. Lex Fridman (00:25:43): Which gives me a really great transition to another quote in your book. You write about the experience of facing the sublime in physics, and you quote Rainer Rilke. “For beauty is nothing but the beginning of terror, which we are still just able to endure, and we’re so odd because it’s serenely disdains to annihilate us.” It’s pretty intense. It I think applies to nuclear weapons. Lisa Randall (00:26:14): At a more mundane, perhaps level, I think it applies… It’s really interesting. One of the things that I found when I wrote these books is some people love certainty. Scientists, many revel in uncertainty. It’s not that you want to be uncertain, you want to solve it, but you’re at this edge where it’s really frustrating because you don’t really want to not know the answer, but of course, if you knew the answer, it would be done. Lisa Randall (00:26:41): You’re always at this edge where you’re trying to sort things out and there is something scary. You don’t know if there’s going to be a solution, you don’t know if you’re going to find it. It’s not something that can destroy the earth, it’s just something that you do on your individual level. But then of course there are much bigger things like the ones you’re talking about where they could actually be dangerous. The stuff I do, I just want to be clear, I’m doing theoretical physics. Not very dangerous, but sometimes things end up having bigger consequences than you think. Lex Fridman (00:27:13): Dangerous in a very pragmatic sense. Isn’t it still in part terrifying when you think of just the size of things like the size of dark matter, the power of this thing in terms of its potential gravitational effects, just cosmological objects of a black hole at the center of our galaxy. Lisa Randall (00:27:36): This might be why I’m a physicist or why I differ from other people because I’m not such a big fan of humanity in some ways. Some ways I am, but the idea that we were everything would be really boring to me. I love the idea that there’s so much more out there, that there’s a bigger universe and there’s lots to discover and that we’re not all there is. Wouldn’t it be disappointing if we were all there is? Lex Fridman (00:27:57): Yeah, and the full diversity of other stuff is pretty interesting. Lisa Randall (00:28:04): We have no idea how much there is. We know what we can observe so far, so the idea that there’s other stuff out there that we yet have to figure out, it’s exciting. Lex Fridman (00:28:13): Let me ask you an out there question. If you think of humans on earth, life on earth as this pocket of complexity that emerged and there’s a bunch of conditions that came to be, and there’s Darwinian evolution and however life originated, do you think it’s possible there’s some pockets of complexity of that sort inside dark matter that we can’t see? Lisa Randall (00:28:42): That’s possible. Lex Fridman (00:28:47): Chemistry and biology evolving in different ways. Lisa Randall (00:28:49): That’s one of the reasons we suggest… It’s not the reason, but it would be true if there were the type of interactions we’d suggest, it would need more complex ones. We don’t know. I will say that the conditions that give rise to life and complexity, they’re complex, they’re unlikely. It’s not like there’s great odds that would happen, but there’s no reason to know that it doesn’t happen. It’s worth investigating are there other forces that exist in the dark matter sector? That’s exactly- Lex Fridman (00:29:20): So the dark matter sector doesn’t have all the forces of the standard model of physics? Lisa Randall (00:29:26): Right. As far as we know, it doesn’t have any. It might have it at some low level, but it could have its own forces, just like the dark matter might not experience our light. Maybe it has its light that we don’t experience. Lex Fridman (00:29:38): So there could be other kinds of forces. Lisa Randall (00:29:41): There could be other kinds of forces even within our sector that are too weak for us to have discovered so far or that exist at different scales than we know about. We detect what interacts strongly enough with our detectors to detect. It’s worth asking, and that’s one of the reasons we build big colliders to see are there other forces, other particles that exist say, at higher energies, at shorter distance scales than we’ve explored so far. It’s not just in the dark matter sector. Even in our sector, there could be a whole bunch of stuff we don’t yet know. Lex Fridman (00:30:17): Maybe let’s zoom out and look at the standard model of particle physics. How does dark matter fit into it? First of all, what is it? Can you explain what the standard model is? Lisa Randall (00:30:28): The standard model of particle physics is basically it tells us about nature’s most basic elements and their interactions. It’s the substructure as far as we understand it. If you look at atoms, we know they have nuclei and electrons, nuclei have protons and neutrons in them, protons and neutrons have particles called quarks that are held together by something called the strong force. Lisa Randall (00:30:54): They interact through the strong force, the strong nuclear force. There’s something called the weak nuclear force and electromagnetism. Basically, all those particles and their interactions describe many, many things we understand. That’s the standard model. We now know about the Higgs boson, which is associated with how elementary particles get their mass. That piece of the puzzle has also been completed. Lisa Randall (00:31:20): We also know that there are a weird array of masses of elementary particles. There’s not just the up and down quark, but there are heavier versions of the up and down quark. Charm and strange, top and bottom. There’s not just the electron, there’s a muon and a tau. There are particles called neutrinos, which are under intense study now, which are partnered with the leptons through the weak interactions. Lisa Randall (00:31:42): We really do know these basic elements and we know the forces. When we’re doing particle physics experiments, we can usually even ignore gravity except in exceptional cases that we can talk about. Those are the basic elements in their interactions. Lisa Randall (00:31:58): Dark matter stands outside that, it’s not interacting through those forces. When we look at the world around us, we don’t usually see the effects of dark matter. It’s because there’s so much of it that we do and it doesn’t have those forces that we know about. The standard model has worked spectacularly well. It’s been tested to a high degree of precision. People are still testing it. Lisa Randall (00:32:20): One of the things we do as physicists is we actually want it to break down at some level, we’re looking for the precision measurement or the energy or whatever it will take where the standard model is no longer working. Not that it’s not working approximately, but we’re looking for the deviations. Those deviations are critical because they can tell us what underlies the standard model, which is what we really want to see next. Lex Fridman (00:32:45): Where can you find the places where the standard model breaks down? What are the places you can see those tiny little deviations? Lisa Randall (00:32:53): We don’t know yet, but we know the kinds of things you wouldn’t want to look for. One obvious place to look is at higher energy. We’re looking at the Large Hadron Collider, but we’d love to go beyond that. Higher energy means shorter distances and it means things that we just couldn’t produce before. E=mc², so if you have a heavy particle and you don’t have enough energy to make it, you’ll never see it. That’s one place. Lisa Randall (00:33:17): The other place is precision measurements. The standard model has been tested exquisitely, so if it’s been tested 1%, you want to look at a 10th of a percent. There are some processes that we know shouldn’t even happen at all in the standard model or happen at very suppressed level, and those are other things that we look for. All of those things could indicate there’s something beyond what we know about, which of course would be very exciting. Lex Fridman (00:33:42): When you just step back and look at the standard model, the quarks and all the different particles and neutrinos, isn’t it wild how this little system came to be and underpins everything we see? Lisa Randall (00:33:59): Absolutely. That’s why we’d like to understand it better. We want to know is it part of some bigger sector? Why are these particles… Why do they have the masses they do? Why is the Higgs boson so light compared to the mass that could have had, which we might’ve even expected based on the principles of special relativity and quantum mechanics. That’s a really big question. Why are they what they are? Lex Fridman (00:34:21): And they originate, there’s some mechanism that created the whole thing? Lisa Randall (00:34:24): That’s one of the things we’re trying to study. Why is it what it is? Lex Fridman (00:34:29): Even just the mechanism that creates stuff, the way a human being is created from a single cell. It’s like embryogenesis, the whole thing, you build up this thing. All of it, this whole thing comes to be from just like a [inaudible 00:34:47]. Lisa Randall (00:34:46): Don’t forget it is interacting with the environment. Lex Fridman (00:34:49): For sure. Okay, right, right, right. Lisa Randall (00:34:51): It’s important. Lex Fridman (00:34:53): That’s a really good question is how much of it is the environment? Is it just the environment acting on a set of constraints? How much of it is just the information in the DNA or any information? How much is it in the initial conditions of the universe versus some other thing acting on it? Lisa Randall (00:35:14): These are big questions. These are big questions in pretty much every field. For the universe, we do consider it… It’s everything there is by definition. But people now think about it. Is it one of many universes? Of course it’s a misnomer, but could there be other places where there are self-contained gravitational systems that we don’t even interact with? Those are really important questions, and the only way we’re going to answer them is we go back as far as we can. We try to think theoretically, and we try to think about observational consequences. That’s all we can do. Lex Fridman (00:35:49): One interesting way to explore the standard model is to look at your fun, nuanced disagreement with Carlo Rovelli. When you talked about him writing in his book, “Electrons don’t always exist. They exist when they interact. They materialize in a place when they collide with something else.” You wrote that… I’ll just read the whole thing because it’s interesting. Lex Fridman (00:36:12): “Stocks may not achieve a precise value until they’re traded, but that doesn’t mean we can’t approximate their worth until they change hands. Similarly, electrons might not have definite properties, but they do exist. It’s true that the electron doesn’t exist as a classical object with definite position until the position is measured. But something was there – which physicists use a wave function to describe.” It’s a fascinating nuanced disagreement. Do electrons always exist or not? Does a tree fall in the forest if nobody’s there to see it? Lisa Randall (00:36:48): I like to think of the universe as being out there, whether or not… It would be really weird if the only time things came into existence was when I saw them or I measured them. Lex Fridman (00:36:57): There’s a lot of weird stuff in the works. Lisa Randall (00:36:58): I could believe that the Middle East doesn’t exist because I’m not there now. That would be kind of ridiculous, I think we would all agree on that. I think there’s only so much that we can attribute to our own powers of seeing. The whole system doesn’t come into being because I’m measuring it. What is weird, and this isn’t even a disagreement about the standard model, this is a disagreement about how you interpret quantum mechanics. Lisa Randall (00:37:22): I would say that those wave functions are real. One of the things that don’t forget that particle physics does that quantum field theory says is that electrons can be created and destroyed. It’s not that every electron has to be in the universe. That’s what happens at colliders, particles get created and destroyed, but that doesn’t mean that if I have electron in an atom, it’s not there. It’s certainly there, and we know about it. Its charge is there. Lex Fridman (00:37:47): Physics is a kind of way to see the world. At the bottom, what’s the bottom turtle? Do you have a sense that there’s a bottom reality that we’re trying to approximate with physics? Lisa Randall (00:38:01): I think we always have in our head maybe that we’d like to find that, but I have to… I might not seem so, but I think I’m more humble than a lot of physicists. I’m not sure that we’re ever going to get to that bottom level, but I do think we’re going to keep penetrating different layers and get further. Lex Fridman (00:38:16): I just wonder how far away we are. Lisa Randall (00:38:20): We all wonder that. What’s even the measure of how far away we are. One way you can measure it is just by our everyday lives. In terms of our everyday lives, we’ve measured everything. In terms of what underlies it. There’s a lot more to see. Part of it has to do with how far we think we can go. It might be that the nature of reality changes so much that even these terms are different. Maybe the notion of distance itself might break down at some point. Lex Fridman (00:38:49): Also to push back on the we’ve measured everything, maybe there’s stuff we haven’t even considered is measurable. For example, consciousness. There might be stuff, just like you said, forces unseen, undetected. Lisa Randall (00:39:03): It’s an interesting thing, and this is often a confusion that happens. There’s the fundamental stuff underlying it, and then there’s the higher levels, what we’ll call an effective theory at some level. We’re not always working… When I throw a ball, I don’t tell you where every atom is. I tell you there’s a ball. Lisa Randall (00:39:22): There might be different layers of reality that are built in terms of the matter that we know about in terms of the stuff we know about that. When I say we’ve measured everything, I say that with a grain of salt. I mean we’ve measured everything about the standard model. There’s lots of phenomena that we don’t understand, but often there are complex phenomena that will be given in terms of the fundamental ingredients that we know about. Lex Fridman (00:39:47): That is an interesting question because yes, there’s phenomena that are at the higher level of abstractions that emerge, but maybe with consciousness, there is far out people that think that consciousness is panpsychus, that there’s going to be almost like a fundamental force of physics. That’s consciousness that permeates all that matter. Lisa Randall (00:40:10): Usually when you have a crazy… Sorry, when you have a far out theory, the thing you do is you test all the possibilities within the constructs that exist. You don’t just jump to the most far out possibility. You can do that, but then to see if it’s true, you either have to find evidence of it or you have to show that it’s not possible without that, and we’re very far from that. Lex Fridman (00:40:32): I think one of the criticisms of your theory on the dinosaurs was that it requires, if I remember correctly, for dark matter to be weirder than it already is. I think you had a clever response to that. Can you remind… Lisa Randall (00:40:46): I’m not sure I remember what I said then, but we have no idea how weird dark matter is. It’s based on everyone thinking they know what dark matter is. Weirder than it already is, it’s not already anything. We don’t know what it is, so there’s no normalization here. Lex Fridman (00:40:59): Do we know if dark matter varies in density? Lisa Randall (00:41:05): It just certainly does in the universe, just like… For example, there’s more dark matter in galaxies than there’s between galaxies. It clumps. It’s matter, so it’s distributed like matter. It is matter. Lex Fridman (00:41:18): It does clump, but the full details of how it clumps and the complexity of the clumping… Lisa Randall (00:41:25): It’s understood pretty well. People do simulations… Where people are always looking for things, including us as particle physics, it’s at small scales, are the deviations on small scales so that indicating other interactions or other processes or interactions with baryons. That is to say normal matter that we don’t understand. But on large scales, we have a pretty good understanding of dark matter distribution. Lex Fridman (00:41:50): You were part of a recent debate on can science uncover reality. Let me ask you this question then, what do you think is the limits of science? Lisa Randall (00:42:00): I’m smart enough to know that I have no idea. Also it’s not even clear what science means because there’s the science that we do, which is particle physics. We try to find fundamental things and figure out what their effects are. There’s science like biology where at a higher level, the kind of questions you ask are different, the kind of measurements are different. Lisa Randall (00:42:21): The kind of science that’s going to happen in the more numerical age or even AI, what does it mean to answer a question? Does it mean that we can predict it? Does it mean that we can reproduce it? I think we’re coming up against the definition of what we mean by science as human beings. In terms of the science that we can do, I don’t think we’ll know it until we get there. We’re trying to solve hard problems and we’ve made progress. Lisa Randall (00:42:50): If you think of how much science has advanced in the last century or century and a half, it’s incredible. We didn’t even know the universe was expanding at the beginning of the 20th century. We didn’t know about quantum mechanics at the beginning of the century, we didn’t know about special relativity. That’s a lot in a relatively short time, depending on how you think of time. I think it would be premature to say we know limitations. Lex Fridman (00:43:14): At various points throughout the history, we thought we solved everything or at least various people declared- Lisa Randall (00:43:20): [inaudible 00:43:20] various people. Exactly. Lex Fridman (00:43:21): Declared that we’ve solved everything. This also a good place to… Maybe could you describe the difference between top-down and bottom-up approaches to theoretical physics that you talked about in the book? Lisa Randall (00:43:33): You could try to jump in and say I have a theory that I think is so perfect that I can predict everything from it or at least predict some salient features from it. Lex Fridman (00:43:46): Mm-hmm. That’s top-down. Lisa Randall (00:43:47): That would be a top-down. Bottom-up is more like the questions we just asked. Why are masses what they are? We measure things. We want to put them together. Usually a good approach is to combine the two. If you ask a very specific question but combine it with the methods of knowing that there could be a fundamental theory underlying it, sometimes you make progress. Lisa Randall (00:44:09): The community tends to get segmented or fragmented into people who do one or the other, but there are definitely times… Some of my best collaborations with people who are more top-down than I am, so that we come up with interesting ideas that we wouldn’t have thought of if either one of us was working individually. Lex Fridman (00:44:25): Would you say the truly big leaps happened top-down? Like Einstein? Lisa Randall (00:44:30): Einstein was not a top-down person in the beginning. Special relativity was very much him thinking about… They were thought experiments, but he was very much… The original theory about relativity is something like on the nature of electromagnetism. He was trying to understand how Maxwell’s laws could make sense when they seemed to have different symmetries than what we had thought they were. Lisa Randall (00:44:54): He was very much a bottom-up person, and in fact, he resisted top-down for a long time. Then when he tried to do the theory of general relativity or the general theory of relativity, whichever you want to call it, incorporating gravity into the system when you need some feedback, then he was helped by a mathematician who had developed some differential geometry and helped him figure out how to write down that. Lisa Randall (00:45:16): After that, he thought top-down was the way to go, but he actually didn’t make that much progress. I think it’s naive to think it was just one or the other. In fact, a lot of people who made real progress were rooted in actual measurements. Lex Fridman (00:45:31): Speaking of mathematicians, what do you is the difference, you’ve had a bit of foot in both, between physics and mathematics in the way it helps us understand the world? Lisa Randall (00:45:41): To be frank, there’s a lot more overlap in physics and math. I think that has been… Maybe not more, but there’s certainly a lot. I think, again, the kinds of questions you’re asking are usually different. Mathematicians like the structure itself, physicists are trying to concentrate on, to some extent, on the consequences for the world. But there is a lot of overlap. Lex Fridman (00:46:04): The string theory is an example. There’s certain theories where there’s a certain mathematical beauty to it. Lisa Randall (00:46:12): There’s also some really cool ideas that you get in particle physics where you can describe what’s going on and connect it to other ideas. That’s also really beautiful. I think basically insights can be beautiful. They might seem simple, and sometimes they genuinely are, and sometimes they’re built on a whole system that you have to understand before. If you actually saw Einstein’s equations written out in components, if you wouldn’t think it’s so beautiful. If you write in a compact way, it looks nice. Lex Fridman (00:46:43): What do you think about the successes and the failures of string theory? To what degree do you think it succeeded, to what degrees it not succeeded yet or has failed? Lisa Randall (00:46:54): I think to talk about any science in terms of success and failure often misses the point because there’s not some absolute thing. I do think that string theorists were a bit overly ambitious… Not overly ambitious, but a little bit overly arrogant in the beginning, thinking they could solve many problems that they weren’t going to solve. Lisa Randall (00:47:14): That’s not to say the methods and advances in strength theory don’t exist, but they certainly weren’t able to immediately solve all the problems they thought they could solve. It has given us tools, it has given us some insights, but it becomes almost a sociological question of how much it should be one or the other. Lisa Randall (00:47:35): I do think that you can get caught up in the problems themselves, and sometimes you can get caught up in the methods and just do other examples. The real physics insights often come from people who are thinking about physics as well as math. Lex Fridman (00:47:49): Because you mentioned AI, is there hope that AI might be able to help find some interesting insights? Another way to ask this question is how special are humans that we’re able to discover novel insights about the world? Lisa Randall (00:48:09): That’s a great question, and it depends on what kind of insights and what we’re going to find that out. Because it’s hard to think about something that doesn’t quite exist yet, I could just think about something, take a step back. It’s a little bit like I’m trying understand four dimensions so you go back to three dimensions. Go to something you can imagine. Lisa Randall (00:48:31): You can say a lot of the things in a very different level about the internet. You could say has the internet helped do things? It definitely took on a life of its own in some sense, but it’s also something that we’re able to tame. I know that I, myself wouldn’t have been able to write books if the internet didn’t exist because I wouldn’t have had the time to go to the library and look everything up. It helped me enormously. Lisa Randall (00:48:57): In some sense, AI could be that. In a very nice world, it could be a tool that helps us go a step further than we would and a lot more efficiently. It’s already done that to some extent. Or it could be like the parts of the internet that we can control that are ruining politics or whatever. There’s certainly a lot of indications that can do that. Then there are even bigger things that people speculate about AI being able to do its own things, but in terms of actually figuring things out, we’re in the early stages. Lex Fridman (00:49:33): Yeah, there’s several directions here. One is on the theorem prover side, Wolfram Alpha where everything’s much more precise, and we have large language model type of stuff. One of the limitations of those is it seems to come up with convincing looking things, which we don’t know if it’s true or not, and that’s a big problem for physics. Lisa Randall (00:49:54): Large language models are more or less generalizations of stuff that we have. There’s still breakthroughs in AI waiting to happen, and maybe they are happening and maybe they’ll be good, maybe not, but that’s not quite the same. Maybe in some cases, it’s just pattern recognition that leads to important things, but sometimes it could be something more insightful than that that I can’t even put my finger on. Lisa Randall (00:50:21): It forces us to… We don’t really understand how smart we are. We don’t understand how we think about things all that well, actually. But one thing is true though, we are a lot more efficient right now than computers and coming up with things, we require a lot less energy to do that. If computers figure out how to do that, then it’s going to be at a totally different ball game. Lisa Randall (00:50:42): Here are clearly kinds of connections that we don’t know how we’re making, but we are making them. That’s going to be interesting. I say we’re in early stages, but this is changing very rapidly. Right now, I don’t think that it’s actually discovered new laws of physics, but could it in the future? Maybe it can. Lex Fridman (00:51:06): It will raise big questions about what is special about humans that we don’t quite appreciate. There could be things that are like that leap of insight that happens, truly novel ideas, that could potentially be very difficult to do. Lisa Randall (00:51:26): There are abstract questions like that. There’s also questions of how is it that we can address to some extent, how will AI be used in the context of the world we live in? Which is based on at least our country’s based on capitalism in a certain political system. How will global politics deal with it? How will our capitalist system deal with it? What will be the things that we focus on doing with it? How much will researchers get control of it to be able to ask different sorts of questions? Lisa Randall (00:51:58): While it was starting out, people were doing these kinds of toy problems, but what will it actually be applied to and what will it be optimized to do? There’s a lot of questions out there that it’s really important we start addressing. Lex Fridman (00:52:11): What to you is the most beautiful unsolved problem in physics and cosmology, which is really exciting if we can unlock the mystery of in the next few decades? Lisa Randall (00:52:30): Is it what’s the most beautiful unsolved problem, or what is the most beautiful unsolved problem I think we can make progress on? Lex Fridman (00:52:35): Oh boy, we make progress on in the next few centuries. Lisa Randall (00:52:43): Most of the big questions have to do with what underlies things, how things started, what’s at the base of it. There’s also just basic questions like that you asked earlier, how far will science take us? How much can we understand? There are questions like how we got here, what underlies it, are there. Lisa Randall (00:53:02): Also, there’s really deep questions like what fraction are we actually seeing? If there are these other forces, if there is another way of seeing the world, are there universes beyond their own? If they’re so totally different, how do we even comprehend them? What would we even think about them? There’s a lot about trying to get beyond… It’s always just getting beyond our limited vision and limited experience and trying to see what underlies it, both at small scales and at large scales. Lisa Randall (00:53:35): We just don’t know the answers. I’d like to think that we understand more about dark matter, about dark energy, about are there extra dimensions, things that we actually work on, but there’s probably a lot beyond what we work on that’s yet to be discovered. Lex Fridman (00:53:50): Yeah, understanding the extra dimensions piece will be really interesting. Lisa Randall (00:53:55): Totally. If it is how the universe went from higher dimensions to what we see, are the extra dimensions present everywhere? One of the really interesting pieces of physics we did that I talk about in my first book, Warped Passages, is finding out that there can be a higher dimension, but only locally. Do you think there’s a gravity of a lower dimension? It could be like only locally do we think we live in three dimensions. It could be higher dimensions is different. Lisa Randall (00:54:25): That’s not actually the gravity we have, but there’s all sorts of phenomena that might be out there that we don’t know about. All sorts of evolution things, time dependence that we don’t know about. Of course, that’s from the point of view of particle physics, from the point of view of other kinds of physics, we’re just beginning, so who knows? Lex Fridman (00:54:40): Yeah, if the physics changes throughout is not homogeneous throughout the universe, that’ll be weird. Lisa Randall (00:54:48): I mean, for the observable universe, it’s the same. But beyond the observable universe, who knows? Lex Fridman (00:54:58): You’ve had an exceptional career. What advice would you give to young people, maybe high school, college, on how to have a career they can be proud of and a life they can be proud of? Lisa Randall (00:55:10): I think the weird thing about being a scientist or an academic in general is you have to believe really strongly what you do while questioning it all the time. That’s a hard balance to have. Sometimes it helps to collaborate with people, but to really believe that you could have good ideas at the same time, knowing they could all be wrong. That’s a tough tightrope to walk sometimes, but to really test them out. Lisa Randall (00:55:34): The other thing is sometimes if you get too far buried, you look out and you think there’s so much out there. Sometimes it’s just good to bring it back home and just think okay, can I have as good idea as the person next to me rather than the greatest physicist who ever lived? Right now, like you said, I think there’s lots of big issues out there, and it’s hard to balance that. Lisa Randall (00:55:55): Sometimes it’s hard to forget the role of physics, but I think Wilson said it really well when he said when they were building Fermilab, it was like this won’t defend the country, but it’ll make it worth defending. It’s just the idea that in all this chaos, it’s still important that we still make progress in these things. Sometimes when major world events are happening, it’s easy to forget that. I think those are important too. You don’t want to forget those, but to try to keep that balance because we don’t want to lose what it is that makes humans special. Lex Fridman (00:56:24): That’s the big picture. Do you also lose yourself in the simple joy of puzzle solving? Lisa Randall (00:56:29): Yeah. We all like solving puzzles. Actually one of the things that drives me in my research is the inconsistencies. When things don’t make sense, it really bugs me and it just will go into different directions to see how could these things fit together. Lex Fridman (00:56:46): It bugs you, but that motivates you? Lisa Randall (00:56:48): Yeah, totally. Lex Fridman (00:56:49): Until it doesn’t. You have to resolve it. Lisa Randall (00:56:52): I think I have this underlying belief that it should make sense, even though the world comes at you in many ways and tells you nothing should make sense, but if you believe that it makes sense and you look for underlying logic. I think that’s just good advice for everything to try to find why is it the way. Lisa Randall (00:57:08): I talk about effective theory in my second book, Knocking On Heaven’s Door, a lot. It’s rather than ask the big questions, sometimes we just ask the questions about the immediate things that we can measure and like I said, we can sometimes tell one that we’ll fail, but we can have these effective theories. Sometimes I think when we approach these big questions, it’s good to do it from an effective theory point. Why do I find this satisfying? Why is the world we have the way it is? Lisa Randall (00:57:31): We think things are beautiful that we live in. I’m not sure if we had different senses or different ways of looking at things, we wouldn’t necessarily find it beautiful. But I have to say, it is fantastic that no matter how many times I see a sunset, I will always find it beautiful. I don’t think I ever see a sunset as say whatever. It’s just always beautiful. Lisa Randall (00:57:54): There are things that as humans, clearly resonate with us, but we were maybe evolved that way. But that’s about us. In terms of figuring out the universe, it’s amazing how far we’ve gotten. We have discovered many, many wonderful things, but there’s a lot more out there and I hope we have the opportunity to keep going. Lex Fridman (00:58:14): With effective theories, one small step at a time, just keep unraveling the mystery. Lisa Randall (00:58:19): Also having in mind the big questions, but doing one small step at a time. Exactly. Lex Fridman (00:58:23): Yeah, looking out to the stars. You said the sunset. For me, it’s the sunset, the sunrise, and just looking at the stars. It’s wondering what’s all out there and having a lot of hope that humans will figure it out. Lisa Randall (00:58:39): Right. I like it. Lex Fridman (00:58:42): Lisa, thank you for being one of the humans in the world for having me here for that are pushing it forward and figuring out this beautiful puzzle of ours. Thank you for talking today. This was amazing. Lisa Randall (00:58:53): Thank you for having me here. Lex Fridman (00:58:55): Thanks for listening to this conversation with Lisa Randall. To support this podcast, please check out our sponsors in the description. Now, let me leave you with some words from Albert Einstein. The important thing is to not stop questioning. Curiosity has its own reason for existence. Thank you for listening, and hope to see you next time.

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