第 79 期·中文精讀

李·斯莫林:量子引力與愛因斯坦未完成的革命

Lee Smolin: Quantum Gravity and Einstein’s Unfinished Revolution

理論物理學家談量子引力諸路徑、時間是否真實存在,以及愛因斯坦留下的未解問題。

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李·斯莫林(Lee Smolin)不相信科學方法。

這話從一個理論物理學家嘴裡說出來,聽著刺耳。他參與發明了圈量子引力(Loop Quantum Gravity),在賓夕法尼亞州的圓周理論物理研究所(Perimeter Institute)待了很多年,寫過一本把弦論界攪得天翻地覆的書。但他引用哲學家保羅·費耶阿本德(Paul Feyerabend)的論證:你把任何一條聽起來天經地義的科學守則當成鐵律,他都能從科學史裡翻出反例,證明正是在某個時刻,某位科學家違背了這條守則,整個學科才往前走了一步。

最典型的一條守則是:你的理論必須與所有已有資料相符。費耶阿本德說,科學史上一定存在這樣的時刻,科學家不得不違背這條建議。斯莫林在研究生時期讀到這些,此後一輩子都沒把"科學方法"當成一個真實存在的東西。

這期訪談裡,他談的是比方法更底層的東西:世界到底是什麼,量子力學缺了什麼,時間為什麼是真的,空間為什麼不是,以及一個共同體靠什麼維持住它的誠實。

什麼是真實的

訪談從一個最樸素的問題開始:什麼是真實的,我們怎麼知道什麼是真實的,什麼只是人類感知和想象造出來的東西?

斯莫林的回答是"我們不知道"。緊接著他補上自己的立場:存在一個獨立於他的存在、經驗和知識的客觀世界,他把這個叫作真實世界。這就是實在論(realism)。

有個流行很廣的觀點認為,我們永遠觸碰不到那個真實世界。我們看到的是大腦構建出來的畫面,視覺皮層、認知結構加工之後的產物,"外面"的東西永遠無法真正把握。

斯莫林說,這個版本一點都不瘋狂。我們的經驗確實是被大腦主動構造出來的,大腦是極其精密的器官,我們看到的是被深度處理過的世界。

我們並沒有看到真實世界,我們看到的是一個被深度加工過的世界。但我仍然相信,在那層經驗、那層鏡子或紗幕背後,存在一個真實的世界。我對它很好奇。(李·斯莫林)

我們經常出錯,所以我們造工具互相檢查

那麼怎麼接近那個真實世界?靠物理學的工具,從理論到實驗,還是靠某種更接近猿類祖先的直覺?

斯莫林說,我們和山洞裡、山洞之前的祖先處在同一個位置。我們都好奇。搞清楚哪裡起火、哪些動植物能吃,這些當然重要,但人也會純粹因為好奇抬頭看太陽、月亮和星星。他把這當作人的天性:我們編故事,編解釋。

在他看來,人的天性裡有兩條幾乎是硬性繫結的。第一條,我們必須快速判斷,因為要活命。那是老虎還是不是老虎,沒時間做文獻綜述,必須在資訊不完整的情況下立刻行動。第二條,正因為快,我們經常出錯,至少有時候出錯。而"有時候"已經足夠解釋很多事情了:我們會騙自己,也會騙別人,而且騙得非常順手。

於是世界上有大量故事被生產出來,有些帶來了具體的好處,有些沒有。

這裡有個關鍵推論。如果人天生容易出錯,那麼科學的價值就落在別處:它建立一套讓錯誤暴露出來的機制,而不依賴某個人特別聰明。斯莫林對科學的定義更接近社會學:科學是一個共同體,一群人被某些倫理準則綁在一起。準則的內容很樸素,比如把你所有的結果都報告出來,不管它符不符合你的假設。

博士訓練的核心內容,在他看來,就是各種檢查方法的訓練。數學一側有,實驗一側有,檢查、複查、三重檢查。一個人不能從街上走進來說"嗨,我是科學家",他必須經過這套訓練。而訓練的結業考試只有一個:你能不能構造出一個令人信服的論證,讓同行沒法用"你檢查過這個嗎""那這個明顯的矛盾怎麼解釋"把它拆掉。你得對這些問題都有答案,否則沒人認真對待你。等你能拿出這種防禦性論證,他們才會給你學位。即便如此,你之後仍然會被質疑,仍然可能發表錯誤的東西,但共同體用來糾正你的時間會少一些。

這套機制的名字不叫科學方法,它更像科學的免疫系統。

伽利略從塔上扔球,兩種解釋都成立

實驗和理論之間沒有簡單的一對一關係。斯莫林舉了伽利略從塔頂扔球的例子。

球落下來,落在塔基附近。亞里士多德派會說:看,這正說明地球在球下落的過程中沒有移動。伽利略說:不對,慣性原理說球帶著地球運動方向上的慣性,塔、球、地球一起移動,所以球當然落在塔基。於是同一個觀察結果,支撐了兩套完全相反的理論。

斯莫林用這個例子說明,理論與觀察之間不存在自動的判決關係。你得攢出一大堆互相咬合的案例,然後花很大力氣把它們對齊。從亞里士多德物理到新物理,中間花了幾百年,一直到牛頓,1687 年。

但斯莫林並不因此變成相對主義者。他承認,如果你拉長時間尺度看,科學確實在進步。前一個世紀、後一個世紀地比,科學家搞出來的東西,工程師拿去就能造火箭、造計算機、造改善生活的東西。從牛頓之前到牛頓之後,一大堆積木被擺到了更接近真相的位置。

他把時間點說得很具體。那場部分成功的科學革命,大致從 19 世紀八九十年代延續到 20 世紀三四十年代,有些歷史線索甚至延伸進 70 年代。電磁學、物質由原子構成、原子核與電子、量子力學從 1900 年前後到 20 世紀 20 年代末基本定型。這些是 20 世紀技術的底座。電氣技術的發展與歐美城市電氣化的程序彼此纏繞,科學與工程在同一條路上互相餵養。

而從 20 世紀 70 年代初開始,基礎物理沒有這種故事。沒有一連串的勝利,沒有可用的實際應用。

實在論者相信每個過程都有客觀描述

物理學家說自己是實在論者,意思是什麼?

斯莫林的定義是:相信在基本層面上,每一個過程都存在某種完全客觀的描述,精確說明發生了什麼、為什麼發生。這個立場隱含了決定論,意思是沒有那種"你永遠探不到底"的模糊魔法,任何東西都能探到底、被完美描述。

有人會說,我不在乎決定論,我能接受一個本質上帶隨機性的世界。斯莫林說他也能接受。但被追問上帝擲不擲骰子時,他的回答更狠:實際情況可能比擲骰子糟得多。

糟在哪個方向?理論可以變,而且可以在沒有預警的情況下變。未來是開放的。

這句話聽起來輕,含義很重。如果基本物理定律本身會變,那就沒有一個靜態的終極定律清單等著被發現。這在物理學界是相當不主流的位置。

玻爾那派的說法:科學是我們與自然的對話

反實在論這一側最著名的代表是玻爾(Niels Bohr)。斯莫林先自謙,說自己不算研究玻爾的好學者。但他把玻爾那代人的處境講清楚了:那批次子物理的奠基者極為聰明,活在一個危險的年代,兩次世界大戰之間,文化裡有很多思潮正朝那個方向走。

他們說的大意是:科學的目的並不在於給出一個"在我們缺席時自然是什麼樣"的客觀描述。科學是我們彼此對話的延伸,用來描述我們與自然的互動。粒子、波、因果性、時間、空間這些詞,我們可以自由發明和使用,只要它們對我們有用、帶著某種直覺上的含義。但我們不該相信這些詞真的對應自然在我們缺席時的樣子,因為那件事我們無話可說。

這套立場對斯莫林有吸引力嗎?他承認有。人確實是講故事的存在,我們造出空間、時間、因果這些工具來講述我們的世界。

但他不肯停在這裡。他希望那些故事最終能把我們帶到"發現真實世界本來的樣子"那一步。被問到這件事是否可能,他說這是五千年後的人的問題,我們離那兒還遠得很。

行李箱的輪子等了幾百年

人的認知能力有沒有天花板?我們是猿的後代,是生物系統,會不會存在某個基本層面,就算有物理學的工具加持,我們也永遠抓不住?

斯莫林的回答還是那句:這是五千年後的問題。他提到戴維·多伊奇(David Deutsch),說他不完全同意多伊奇的每一個觀點,但欣賞他在書裡處理問題的方式。多伊奇談探索的角色,談某些語言、數學、計算的普遍性。他的論證大意是:這種普遍性是真實存在的東西,它來自符號系統本身是個數學系統、能夠自我指涉這一事實,由此可以推出我們的理解具有某種普遍的可能性,無論外面是什麼。

斯莫林欣賞這個論證,但不肯下結論。目前為止我們做得還行,有沒有上限得以後才知道。

然後他講了一個他反覆講的比喻,轉述自埃裡克·溫斯坦(Eric Weinstein):愛因斯坦自己拎行李,弗洛伊德自己拎行李,馬克思自己拎行李,瑪莎·格雷厄姆自己拎行李。所有這些天才都自己拎行李,而在不算太久之前,沒有人想到在行李上裝個輪子然後拉著走。那個輪子就在那兒,等了幾百年才被髮明出來。

斯莫林說他每天早上醒來都會想:為什麼我不是機場裡那個拖著箱子走的人?

什麼樣的人才能成為那個人?他讀過愛因斯坦、伽利略這些人的傳記,給出的答案分三層。有些是恰好在正確的時間出現在正確的地點。有些是固執和傲慢,這兩樣東西稍微偏一點就會毀掉人,速度不對、角度不對都會失敗。但如果恰好拿到那個對的量,就能撐住別人撐不住的東西。愛因斯坦能以遠超同代人的猛烈和投入去追問自然的本質,所以他問的問題更固執、更深。剩下的那一層是能力,而能力像音樂天賦一樣,有先天的部分,也能被開發。

被問到自信怎麼拿捏,他說自己也不知道。他已經貢獻了他能貢獻的東西,如果當年更自信一點會不會走得更遠,他沒有答案。他清楚的是,他認識一些自信遠超自己的人,其中有些人的自信是有依據的,有些不是。

未完成的革命有兩個戰場

《愛因斯坦未完成的革命》(Einstein's Unfinished Revolution)這本書的書名指向一場雙重革命:相對論(狹義,尤其是廣義)與量子理論。斯莫林說,愛因斯坦在 1935 年就意識到,必須有一個徹底不同的理論,才能解決光子身上波粒二象性的悖論。

人們不太把愛因斯坦和量子力學聯絡在一起,其實他是奠基者之一。他先是不相信這套理論,後來被說服它自洽,但堅持它不完備。這也是斯莫林的立場:量子力學需要額外的自由度、粒子、力,某種東西,才能達到對每個現象給出完整描述的階段。用他的話說,實在論要求的正是這個。

最讓他和愛因斯坦不安的是什麼?測量問題。

他解釋得很直白:量子力學的基本表述給了你兩種隨時間演化的方式。一種是沒有任何觀察、沒有測量發生時用的,另一種是測量和觀察發生時用的,兩者互相矛盾。這就是測量問題的通俗版本。

但革命未完成還有第二個原因。廣義相對論和量子理論之間的關係沒人搞得清。廣義相對論描述大的東西,量子理論描述小的東西,兩套工具都極其強大,卻是兩個完全分離的體系。

要補上這道裂縫,有兩條路。如果你相信現在的量子力學是對的,就把廣義相對論或它的某個擴充套件搬進量子領域,這叫量子化引力。如果你像愛因斯坦和斯莫林那樣,相信量子力學本身需要被補完,那麼找到正確補全方案的一部分工作,就是讓這個方案把時空和引力包含進去。

時空是智識構造,時間是真實的

斯莫林對時空的看法非常不主流。

他說時空是我們對宇宙中事件所做的智識構造。事件是真實的,事件之間的關係、因果關係是真實的。而"存在一個四維光滑幾何,帶著度規和聯絡,滿足愛因斯坦寫下的方程",這個圖景在某個尺度上是很好的描述、很好的近似,抓住了自然中正在發生的一部分東西。但他一分鐘都不相信它是基本的。

那麼什麼是基本的?他的回答是時間。時間一路到底,空間不是,廣義相對論裡那個我們把兩者合起來的"時空"也不是。

時間是什麼?在他那裡,時間的活動就是從已有事件中持續創生新的事件。沒有事件就沒有時間,再往前一步,什麼都沒有。宇宙的歷史有歷史,朝向過去。未來不存在。有當下的概念,有過去的概念,過去是關於發生在我們之前的事件的故事。

事件是什麼?他說這是個原始概念,不能用別的東西定義,就是某種基本的事情在發生,是空間中的一個時間瞬間。在廣義相對論裡,它表現為兩個粒子的世界線相交,或者粒子的路徑上發生了某種變化。這個層面的"發生"與能量有關,與能量的交換有關。

他和瑪麗娜·科爾特斯(Marina Cortez)從 2012、2013 年前後一起發展這套以因果為核心的理論,更早的時期則與哲學家、法學教授羅伯託·曼加貝拉·昂格爾(Roberto Mangabeira Unger)合作。他特意強調這兩位合作者的重要性不亞於他自己。

如果空間不是基本的,那是什麼?在這個圖景裡,事件創生事件,但事件不住在空間裡。它們彼此之間只有因果的順序,這個順序本身就是時間性質的一部分。空間是湧現出來的:在足夠複雜的宇宙裡,三維位置這種東西會作為更高層級的屬性出現,而這類屬性無法從基本層面的屬性直接推匯出來。他說,在幾個模型裡,他們用計算和解析兩種方式都具體看到了這件事怎麼發生。

兩種定域性,一種活著一種死了

定域性(locality)讓人安心:你能影響身邊的東西,影響不了遠處的東西。牛頓本人都對超距作用不舒服。

斯莫林說,討論物理裡的定域性,得先分清定義。

在量子場論裡,這個混合了狹義相對論和量子力學的框架裡,定域性有一個精確定義:對應時空間隔類空分離的場算符彼此對易。這個版本成立,而且被驗證得很好。它符合直覺:場裡的東西對附近的影響大於對遠處的影響。

但還有另一個定義,由愛因斯坦提出,被約翰·貝爾(John Bell)精確化。這個版本被實驗檢驗,結果是失敗的。

實驗的構造是這樣:讓兩個粒子相互作用,然後共享一個屬性,而這個屬性不屬於其中任何一個粒子單獨所有。這就是量子糾纏。把這對粒子分開,一個在你右邊,一個在很遠的地方。兩邊各自選擇測什麼。問的問題是:遠處那個粒子的實在性,會不會被這邊"選擇測什麼"這個決定所影響?注意,是選擇的種類,不是測量的結果。貝爾定域性假設兩個系統在空間上分離,這邊做出的選擇要過一段時間才能傳到那邊去影響那邊的實在。在這個假設下可以推出一個關於關聯函式的不等式,然後用光子對之類的系統做實驗直接檢驗。

結果是:不等式被違反,偏差達到很多個 sigma。距離不是問題,幾十公里的量級上測過,粒子以接近光速或光速飛行了那麼久,也不影響結論。

這意味著愛因斯坦玩的那個定域性定義是假的。無論兩個粒子分開多遠,粒子 B 身上真實的東西,都不獨立於觀察者對粒子 A 選擇測什麼。

所以,要完成那場革命,因果性是基本的、放棄定域性,在斯莫林看來是關鍵一步。

十幾種嘗試,全都在某處卡住

怎麼完成這場革命?斯莫林說他只能講自己在試什麼,以及放棄了什麼。他打了個比方:自己不過是蟻群裡的一隻螞蟻,這大概也夠了。

現狀是:已經有了一批不錯的理論,有跟量子力學相關的,有跟量子引力相關的,其中很多值得欣賞。但據他理解,沒有一個完全解決他關心的問題。這對應屆學生而言要麼極其可怕,要麼充滿機會。

已經有一打以上的嘗試,沒有一個像任何人預期的那樣走通:每一條都部分成功,然後卡在某個沒人知道怎麼繞過的地方。

他對這個局面的反應有兩層。第一層是努力把人聚起來。現在的社會學狀態很糟糕,圍繞不同進路形成了各自的圈子,借用埃裡克的比喻,各自站在理論地形的山頭上朝對方扔石頭。埃裡克說我們需要兩件事:讓人們從山上下來,走進山谷,一起玩、一起說話、變成朋友,學會不說"不",而說"是,你的想法能走到這一步,但如果和我的想法放在一起,也許能走得更遠"。

第二層是方法和原則的問題,後面再講。

多世界:它不回答我想問的問題

斯莫林和肖恩·卡羅爾(Sean Carroll)是朋友,兩人在很多問題上恰好站在對立面,而且都覺得這很有趣。卡羅爾是多世界詮釋的堅定支持者。

斯莫林的評價很直接:多世界對他沒有吸引力,因為它不回答他想問的問題。他在寫書尋找原則的時候,確立的第一條原則是:只有一個世界,而且只發生一次。多世界跟他的個人議程不對路。

但他不滿足於這個態度,他認真對待過。他承認自己在這上面想過很多、掙扎過很多。問題出在機率。

埃弗雷特(Hugh Everett)的多世界詮釋砍掉了量子力學兩種演化方式中的一個,砍掉的是與測量相關的那一個,只留下薛定諤方程那種平滑演化。可是機率這個概念只存在於被砍掉的那一邊。那麼機率從哪兒來?這個問題必須回答,因為實驗物理學家正是用機率來檢驗理論的。

初看之下這裡有個真問題。在多世界圖景裡,所有可能發生的事都以機率一發生。你也許會想,數一數哪些分支裡事情發生了、哪些沒發生,用分支的計數來定義類似頻率機率的東西。埃弗雷特有過這個方向的論證,但當可能性有無窮多個時,論證變得極其微妙,而多數量子系統正是這種情況。斯莫林的理解是,埃弗雷特自己那套方案在這裡沒有成功。

退相干是另一個重要概念,可能非常相關。埃弗雷特之後有一批人做出了各種版本的多世界量子力學,這是個很大的領域,也很微妙,不屬於他擅長的東西,所以他去請教專家。這也是他書裡第十章寫埃弗雷特、第十一章專門處理這個問題的原因。

牛津有一批很好的物理哲學家:西蒙·桑德斯(Simon Saunders)、戴維·華萊士(David Wallace)、哈維·布朗(Harvey Brown),還有戴維·多伊奇。他們做了大量精細工作,試圖回答機率從哪來。他們的論證帶有這樣的味道:也許根本不存在機率,但假如多世界故事是真的、你就住在那個多重宇宙裡,你會怎麼下注?他們用機率論和賭博理論裡的決策論,構造一個人在裡面會如何下注的故事。

專家之間對這些方案是否真的成功仍在爭論。斯莫林在寫書收尾時問過西蒙和華萊士,兩人都告訴他,他們也不確定其中任何一個方案已經正確。

至於卡羅爾自己的方案,涉及自指涉、自定位的觀察者這個概念。斯莫林試著讀了,沒讀懂,也沒有下功夫研究,沒有和卡羅爾溝通。所以他書裡對此無話可說,也不知道對不對。

愛因斯坦的第一份工作是發明原理

斯莫林說,每次在量子引力上感到沮喪,他就回去讀歷史。愛因斯坦的成就是巨大的教訓,接近於榜樣。有一點非常清楚:愛因斯坦認為,進入理論物理領域的第一件事,是發現、發明原理,然後構造模型,看這些原理在某個實驗情境下如何應用,數學是在這一步進來的。

在愛因斯坦之前,不存在統一的"時空"。時空這個觀念是他發明的,它是他的原理、他的公設的一個模型。

斯莫林由此得出自己的方法論立場:我們並不知道量子引力的原理是什麼。他可以列舉候選原理,也寫過論文討論,但他現在的信念是,那些部分成功的進路都是模型,它們可能在某個領域、某個側面描述了一些真實的量子引力物理,但它們最終的重要性在於它們是原理的模型。第一件工作是把原理立起來。

弦論的麻煩,和我自己的麻煩

2006 年那本《物理學的困惑》(The Trouble with Physics)讓他成了爭議人物。他說必須先說明自己是怎麼讀這本書的,因為很多沒有捲入爭論的評論者,包括一些做弦論的人,都告訴他,這本書是公正平衡的。

他寫這本書的原意,跟他後來被理解成的那個樣子不一樣。他當時關心的是那套基於共同體和倫理的科學運作理論,寫了一本書稿,前三分之一講科學方法論,相當學術。後面是一批案例研究,其中一個就是量子引力與弦論的探索。那本書沒能出版。有人建議他把結構翻過來,從弦論的故事開頭,而弦論在 2004、2005 年已經是爭議話題。

他強調自己小心地只批評論文,不批評人。

弦論當年的圖景是這樣的:有五個弦論,也許能統一成一個,然後找到破壞對稱性的辦法,從中發現標準模型,預言所有粒子的質量和電荷、耦合常數。後來找到了一堆解,每個解對應一套不同的粒子物理和不同的現象學,這些解叫卡拉比-丘流形(Calabi-Yau manifold)。再後來,沒人能確定,但解的數量達到幾十萬個。

他的朋友安迪·斯特羅明格(Andy Strominger)發現可以把一種叫撓率的數學曲率加進解裡,寫了一篇關於帶撓率的弦論的論文。他發現解的數目多到無法計數,也發明不出任何辦法給這些解分類。他在論文裡寫道,這很令人擔憂,因為用老辦法做現象學、靠解方程來預言是行不通的,解太多了,可以為任何東西提出一套現象學。斯莫林說,實驗恰好還沒走到那一步。他和安迪就此談過一兩次,之後他開始認真擔憂。

他試圖自己解決這個問題。那段時間他讀了很多生物學、很多演化理論,讀了分子生物學和古生物學。他想到:也許物理學像演化生物學,也許定律本身會演化。生物學裡有"適應度地形"(fitness landscape)這個概念,DNA 序列、蛋白質序列、物種都有各自的地形。

他把這個概念搬到宇宙學上,提出一個方案:整個宇宙如何演化,從而"發現"標準模型的引數。這就是宇宙學自然選擇(cosmological natural selection)。1988 或 1989 年寫出,1992 年發表,1997 年的第一本書《宇宙的生命》(The Life of the Cosmos)整本講這件事。

關鍵點在於可檢驗性。這個方案會得到一組有親緣關係的宇宙,它們透過自然選擇聯絡起來,幾乎每個宇宙都共享一個性質:它的適應度被最大化,或至少接近最大值。由此可以推出可檢驗的預言。他當時把這些都算出來了,並把它與人擇原理對比:人擇原理給不出可檢驗、可否證的東西。

這也解釋了他為什麼會同時做弦論和圈量子引力。他有一套很強的原則信念,其中一個要求是量子引力理論必須是關係性的、背景獨立的。他花了很大力氣想讓弦論變成背景獨立的,結果發展出一批工具,這些工具可以直接用到廣義相對論上,那批工具就成了圈量子引力。在他腦子裡,這兩件事一直緊密相關。所謂"弦論共同體"和"圈論共同體"是兩個陣營,這個劃分從來不是他的劃分。

那麼這本書真正的遺憾是什麼?

他說,據他所知,除了沒搞懂某些應用規模有多大之外,他在 2006 年對弦論所做的診斷,此後大體上站住了。他遺憾的是,他用來分析弦論的那套批評,同樣適用於科學裡許多其他共同體,包括他自己的共同體,也就是弦論之外做量子引力的那批人。

他考慮過在書裡明說。但那是個小而親密的圈子,一旦明說就要講具體的故事、點具體的名字,寫一種他沒資格寫的歷史。於是他避開了,然後被誤讀了。

年輕人已經不想聽我們吵了

訪談最後問到希望。斯莫林的希望很乾脆:解決那個未完成的科學問題。

不過他說了一件正在發生的事。在他合作過的年輕人裡,他經常聽到、也感覺到一種徹底的冷淡:他們對老一輩科學家之間的那些爭論毫無興趣,只關心彼此在做什麼。

這種變化已經出現在會議上了。對量子引力感興趣的年輕人辦會,會把圈論和絃論的人一起請來,還有因果動力學三角化那一派。下週在圓周研究所有個小工作坊,夏天有個更大的會,主題就是量子引力,不掛弦論的名,也不掛圈論的名,組織者和講者來自各個共同體。

在他看來這非常有幫助。不同想法開始匯合,至少人們表達出了對這個方向的興趣。

他自己對"上帝"那句話留在節目結尾:一種可能是,上帝不過是宇宙組織自身的那種力量。

給願意深想一層的人

斯莫林這期訪談資訊密度高,落到可操作層面,有幾件事值得拿走:

  • 下次看到"實驗證明了這個理論"這類說法,先停一秒,問一句:同一組資料還能被哪套理論解釋?伽利略從塔上扔球那個例子說明,觀察本身不投票,投票的是整套互相咬合的案例。
  • 把"我經常出錯"當成預設前提,而不是需要辯護的弱點。斯莫林對科學的定義裡,共同體的價值在於設計出讓你自己的錯誤更早暴露的流程。自己搭一套:重要結論至少找一個人專門負責拆。
  • 區分兩種定域性。量子場論意義上的定域性活著,貝爾定域性被實驗判死。以後在科普文章裡看到"量子力學證明世界是非定域的",先確認作者說的是哪一個,不然整段推理都建在混淆上。
  • 遇到一個卡了很多年的難題,先別急著換方法,先問原理層是不是空的。斯莫林的判斷是量子引力有十幾個部分成功的模型,缺的是原理。這個診斷方式可以遷移到任何長期停滯的領域。
  • 警惕自己被陣營綁住。他對弦論的那套批評,他自己承認同樣適用於自己的圈子。評估一個領域的健康程度時,用同一把尺子量自己人所在的圈子。
  • 如果想讀原始材料,《物理學的困惑》配《愛因斯坦未完成的革命》一起讀,前者講共同體的病理,後者講物理的內容,兩本合起來才是完整的方法論。
  • 對年輕人那一段可以當作訊號:當一個領域的老爭論不再吸引新人,往往說明真正的進展正從別的地方冒出來。判斷一個方向是否還有生命力,看年輕人跨不跨圈子開會,比看誰在辯論贏更有用。
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[00:00:00] The following is a conversation with these smolan, he's a theoretical physicist, co inventor of Loop Quantum Gravity and a contributor of many interesting ideas to cosmology, quantum field theory, the foundations of quantum mechanics, theoretical biology and the philosophy of science. He's the author of several books, including one that critiques the state of physics and string theory called The Trouble with Physics, and his latest book, Einstein's Unfinished Revolution The Search for What Lies Beyond the Quantum. He's an outspoken personality in the public debates on the nature of our universe among the top minds in theoretical physics community. [00:00:38] This community has its respected academics, its naked emperors, its outcasts and its revolutionaries, its madmen and its dreamers. This is why it's an exciting world to explore through a long form conversation. I recommend you listen back to the episodes of Leonard Susskind, Sean Carroll, Michio Kaku, Max Tegmark, Eric Weinstein and Jim Gates. You might be asking why talk to physicists if you're interested in in I. To me, creating artificial intelligence systems requires more than Python and deep learning, it requires that we return to exploring the fundamental nature of the universe and the human mind. [00:01:18] Theoretical physicists venture out into the dark, mysterious, psychologically challenging place of first principles more than almost any other discipline. This is the artificial intelligence podcast, if you enjoy it, subscribe on YouTube, get five stars, an Apple podcast supported on Patrón or simply connect with me on Twitter. Elex Friedman spelled F.R. Idi Amin. As usual, I'll do one or two minutes of ads now and never any ads in the middle that can break the flow of the conversation. [00:01:48] I hope that works for you and doesn't hurt the listening experience. The show is presented by Kashyap, the number one finance app in the App Store. When you get it, you Scolex podcast cash app lets you send money to friends, buy bitcoin and invest in the stock market with as little as one dollar since cash allows you to buy bitcoin. Let me mention that cryptocurrency in the context of the history of money is fascinating. I recommend Ascent of Money as a great book on this history. [00:02:18] Debits and credits on ledgers started around thirty thousand years ago. The US dollar, of course, created over 200 years ago, and Bitcoin, the first decentralized cryptocurrency, was released just over 10 years ago. So given that history, cryptocurrency is still very much in its early days of development, but it still is aiming to and just might redefine the nature of money to get cash out from the App Store or Google Play and use the Code Lux podcast. [00:02:47] You'll get ten dollars in cash, will also donate ten dollars. The first one of my favorite organizations that's helping to advance robotics and stem education for young people around the world. And now here's my conversation with Lee Smolin. [00:03:20] What is real? Let's start with an easy question, put another way, how do we know what is real and what is merely a creation of our human perception and imagination? [00:03:31] We don't know. We don't know. This is science, I presume we're talking about science. And we believe. Or I believe. That there is a world that is independent of my existence and my experience about my knowledge of it and this I call the real world. [00:03:53] So you said science, but even bigger than science? Well, sure, sure. I need not have said this is science. I just was, you know, warming up and warming up. [00:04:03] OK, now that we warmed up, let's take a brief step outside of science. Is it completely a crazy idea to you that everything that exists is merely a creation of our mind? So, like, there's a few, not many. This is outside of science. Now, people who believe sort of perception is is fundamentally what's in our human perception, the visual cortex and so on. The the cognitive constructs that's being formed there is the reality. And then anything outside is something that we can never really grasp. [00:04:39] That crazy idea to you. There's a version of that that is not crazy at all. What we experience is constructed by our brains and by our brains in an active mode. So we don't see the real world. We see a very processed world. We feel something is very processed through our brains and our brains are incredible. [00:05:07] But I still believe that behind that experience, that mirror, veil or whatever you want to call it, there is a real world. And I'm curious about it. [00:05:19] Can we truly how do we get a sense of that real world? Is it through the tools of physics, from theory to the experiments, or can we actually grasp it in in some intuitive way that's more connected to our ape ancestors? Or is it still fundamentally the tools of math and physics that really allow us to talk about what tools they are? What you say are the tools of math and physics. I mean, I think we're in the same position as our ancestors in the caves or before the caves or whatever we find ourselves in this world. [00:05:59] And we're curious. We also it's important to be able to explain what happens when there are fires, when they're in fires, where animals and plants are good to eat and all that stuff. But we're also just curious. We look up in the sky and we see the sun and the moon and the stars and we see some of those movies where we're very curious about that. I think we're just naturally curious. So we make this is my version of what wow. [00:06:32] We were we make up stories and explanations. And where there are two things which I think are just true of being human, we make judgments fast because we have to where to survive. Is that a tiger or is that not a tiger? And we go act we have to act fast on incomplete information. So we we judge quickly and we're often wrong, or at least sometimes wrong, which is all I need for this. We're often wrong. So we fool ourselves and we fool other people. [00:07:12] Readily and so there's lots of stories to get told and some of them. Result in a concrete benefit, and some of them don't to. So you said we're often wrong, but what does it mean to be right, right. [00:07:30] I said that's a that's an excellent question to be right. Well, since I'm I believe that there is a real world. I believe that you can challenge me on this if you're not a realist, realist, as somebody who believes in this real objective world, which is independent of our perception. If I'm a realist, I think that to be right is to come closer. I think, first of all, there's a relative scale is not right and wrong. [00:08:00] This writer more right and less right. And you're more right if you come closer to an exact true description of that real world. [00:08:10] Now, can we know that for sure now in the scientific method is ultimately what allows us to get a sense of how close we're getting to that real world? [00:08:20] No, on two counts. First of all, I don't believe in the scientific method. I'm I was very influenced when I was in graduate school. But the writings of Paul Firearm and who is an important philosopher of science who argue that there isn't a scientific method, there is or there is. [00:08:36] No, there's not. Can you elaborate? [00:08:39] If so, if you were going to go, can you elaborate on the what does it mean for there not to be a scientific method? [00:08:46] This notion that I think a lot of people believe in in this day and age, Sir Paul Farhi, when he was a student of Pomper who taught current, proper and far up and argued both by logic and by historical example that you name anything that should be part of the practice of science, say you should always make sure that your theories agree with all the data that's always been that's already been taken. And he'll prove to you that there have to be times when science contradicts when some scientist contradicts that advice. [00:09:29] For science to progress overall. So it's not a simple matter. I think that. [00:09:39] I think of science as a community and the people of people and as a community of people bound by certain ethical precepts, precepts, whatever, that say in that community, a set of ideas they operate under, meaning ethically of kind of the rules of the game they operate under, don't like report all your results, whether they agree or don't agree with your hypothesis. Check the training of a scientist mostly consists of methods of checking because, again, we make lots of mistakes, were very error prone, but there are tools both on the mathematics side, the experimental side, to check and double check and triple check. [00:10:28] And a scientist goes through a training and I think this is part of it. You can't just walk off the street and say, yo, I'm a scientist. You have to go through the training and the training, the test that lets you be done with the training is can you form a convincing case for something? That your colleagues will not be able to shut down because the last did you check this? Did you check that? Did you check this? [00:11:01] And what about this seeming contradiction with this? And you've got to have. Answers to all those things or you don't get taken seriously, and when you get to the point where you can produce that kind of defensive argument, then they give you a that's. And you're kind of licensed, you're still going to be questioned and you still may propose or publish mistakes, but the community is going to have to waste less time fixing your mistakes. [00:11:33] Yes, but if you can maybe linger on it a little longer, what's the gap between the thing that that community does and the ideal of the scientific method or the scientific method is you should be able to repeat an experiment. There's a lot of elements to what is the scientific method, but the final result, the hope of it is that you should be able to say with some confidence that a particular thing is close to the truth. [00:12:10] Right. But there's not a simple relationship between experiment and hypothesis or theory. For example, Galileo did this experiment of dropping a ball from the top of a tower and it falls right at the base of the tower. And an Aristotelian would say, wow, of course, it falls straight to the base of the tower that shows that the earth isn't moving while the ball is falling. And Galileo says no way. It is a principle of inertia and has an inertia in the direction with the earth is moving and the tower and the ball in the earth all move together. [00:12:44] When the principle of inertia tells you it is the bottom, it does look. Therefore, my principle of inertia is right. You sit here and says, no, Harristown science is right, the earth is stationary. And so you have to get an interconnected bunch of cases and. Work hard to line up, and it took centuries to make the transition from Aristotelian physics to the new physics. It wasn't until Newton and sixteen eighty something, eighty seven. [00:13:19] So what do you think is the nature of the process that seems to lead to progress? [00:13:25] If we at least look at the long arc of science, of all the community of scientists, they seem to do a better job of coming up with ideas that engineers can then take on and build rockets with or build computers with or build cool stuff with, I don't know, a better job than what. [00:13:47] Then the previous century, so century by century, we can talk about. We'll talk about string theory and so on and kind of possible what you might think of as dead ends and so on. [00:13:58] So not to I think history will string with. Right. [00:14:03] But there is nevertheless in science very often at least, temporary dead ends. [00:14:09] But if you look at all through centuries, you know, the century before Newton, in the century after Newton, it seems like a lot of ideas came closer to the truth that then could be usable by our civilization to build the iPhone right to build cool things that improve our quality of life. That's the progress I'm kind of referring to. Let me can I say that more precisely? Yes. I think it is important to get the time place right. [00:14:45] Yes, there was a scientific revolution that partly succeeded between about 1900, the late 80s, 90s and into the 20th, the 1930s, 1940s. And so and maybe some history stretched into the 1970s. And the technology this was the discovery of relativity. [00:15:11] And that includes a lot of developments of electromagnetism, the information which wasn't really well confirmed into the 20th century. That matter was made of atoms and the whole picture of nuclei with electrons going around and this early 20th century and then quantum mechanics was from 1985. It took a long time to develop to the late 1920s, and then it was basically in final form. [00:15:42] And the basis of this partial revolution that we can come back to, why it's only a partial revolution is the basis of the technologies you mentioned. [00:15:54] All of I mean, electrical technology was being developed slowly with this and in fact, there a close relation between the development of electric electricity and the electrification of cities in the United States and Europe and so forth, and the development of the science. The sigh, the fundamental physics since the early 1970s doesn't have a story like that so far, there's not a series of triumphs and progresses and there's not there's not any practical application. [00:16:38] So just to linger briefly on the early 20th century and the revolutions in science, I happen there. [00:16:47] What was the method by which the scientific community kept each other in check about? When you get something right, when you get something wrong, is experimental validation ultimately the final test? [00:17:00] It's absolutely necessary. And the key things were all validated. The key predictions of quantum mechanics and of the theory of electricity and magnetism. [00:17:11] So before we talk about Einstein, the new book before string theory, quantum mechanics, so let's take a step back at a higher level question. What is that you mentioned? What is realism? What is anti realism? And maybe why do you find realism, as you mentioned, so compelling? [00:17:34] Realism is you. Is the belief in the in an external world independent of our existence, our perception or belief or knowledge? A realist as a physicist is somebody who believes that there should be possible some completely objective description of each and every process at the fundamental level which which describes and explains exactly what happens and why it happens. That kind of implies that that system, in a realist view is deterministic, meaning there's no fuzzy magic going on that you can never get to the bottom. [00:18:19] You can get to the bottom of anything and perfectly describe it. Some people would say that I'm not interested in determinism, but I could live with the fundamental world which which had some chance in it. So do I. You said you could live with it, but do you think God plays dice in our universe? I think it's probably much worse than that. In which direction? [00:18:49] I think the theories can change and theories can change without warning. I think the future is open. [00:18:55] You mean the fundamental laws of physics can change the. OK, we'll get there. I thought I thought we would be able to find some solid ground, but apparently the ground of the entirety of it temporarily. So probably OK, let's. So realism is the idea that while the ground is solid, you can describe it. [00:19:20] What's the role of the human being, our beautiful, complex human mind in the in realism? Do we have. Are we just another set of molecules connected together in a clever way? [00:19:33] Or the observer, the observer, our human mind consciousness have a role in this realism view of the physical universe. [00:19:44] There's two ways there's two questions you could be asking. Does our conscious mind to our perceptions play a role in making things become, in making things realer since becoming? That's a question. One question. Two is, does this we can call a naturalist view of the world? That is based on realism, allow a place to understand the existence of and the nature of perceptions and consciousness in mind, and that's question to question, too. I do think a lot about and my answer, which is not an answer, is I hope so, but it certainly doesn't yet. [00:20:31] So what question one? I don't think so. But of course, the answer to the question one depends on question, too. Right? So I'm not up to question one. [00:20:41] The question, too, is the thing that you can kind of struggle with at this time. Yes, that's. What about the anti realist's? So what flavor what are the different camps of Anteriorly that you've talked about? [00:20:55] I think it would be nice if you can articulate of for the people for whom there is not a very concrete real world, that there's divisions or there's a it's messier than the realist view of the universe. What are the different camps for the different views? [00:21:11] I'm not I'm not sure I'm a I'm a good scholar and can talk about the different camps and analyze it with some many of the advantages of quantum physics were not really smart, weren't they really said? They're scholars. They lived in a very perilous time between the two world wars. And there were a lot of trends in culture which were going that way. But in any case, they said things like. The purpose of science is not to give an objective realist description of nature as it would be in our absence. [00:21:48] This made my peace kneels for the purpose of science is as an extension of our conversations with each other to describe our interactions with nature. And we're free to invent and use terms like particle or wave or a causality or time or space if they're useful to us and they carry some intuitive implication. [00:22:13] But we shouldn't believe that they actually have to do with what nature would be like in our absence, which we have nothing to say about. Do you find any aspect of that? Because you kind of said that we human beings tell stories. Do you find aspects of that kind of a. realist view of Niels Bohr compelling that we're fundamentally our storytellers and then we create tools of space and time and causality and whatever this fun quantum mechanics stuff is to help us tell the story of our world? [00:22:50] Sure. [00:22:50] I just would like to believe that is an aspiration for the other thing. I think being what, the realist point of view. Do you hope that the stories will eventually lead us to. Discovering. Yeah, discovering the real world as it is. Yeah, it's perfection possible, by the way. [00:23:16] So I. Well, that's. You mean will we ever get there, I know that we're there. Yeah, exactly. That's not my that's four people 5000 years in the future. We're certainly nowhere near there yet. [00:23:31] Do you think reality that exists outside of our mind. Do you think there's a limit to our cognitive abilities? Again, descendants of apes for just biological systems. Is there a limit to our mind capability to actually understand reality? Sort of there comes a point, even with the help of the tools of physics, that we just cannot grasp some fundamental aspects of that. [00:24:04] Again, I think that's a question for 5000 years in the future, even though I mean, I think there is a universality here, I don't agree with David Deutsch about everything, but I admire the way he put things in his last book. And he talked about the role of exploration and he talked about the universality of certain languages and the universality of mathematics or of computing and so forth. [00:24:32] And he believed that that universality, which is something real, which is somehow comes out of the fact that the symbolics is a mathematical system, can refer to itself and can I forget what that's called and reference back to itself and build in which he argued for a universality of possibility for our understanding, whatever is out there. But I'm I admire that argument. But it seems to me we're doing OK so far. But we'll have to see whether there is a limit or not. [00:25:12] For now, we've got we've got plenty to play with. [00:25:14] Yeah, there are things which are right there in front of us which we miss. And I'll quote my friend Eric Weinstein in saying, look, Einstein carried his luggage, Freude carried his luggage, Marks carried his luggage, Martha Graham carried her luggage, etc.. Ellison carried his luggage. All these geniuses carry the luggage in not once before, relatively recently did it occur to anybody to put a wheel on luggage and pull it off. And it was right there waiting to be invented for centuries. [00:25:53] So this is Eric Wilstein, yeah, what do the wheels represent? Are you basically saying that there's stuff right in front of our eyes that once we it just clicks, we put the wheels in the luggage, a lot of things will fall into place? [00:26:07] Yes, I do. I do. [00:26:09] And every day I wake up and think, why can't I be that guy who was walking through the airport? [00:26:18] What do you think it takes to be that guy, because, like you said, a lot of really smart people carried their luggage. Mm hmm. [00:26:27] What just psychologically speaking, so Eric Weinstein is a good example of a person who thinks outside the box. Yes. Who resists almost conventional thinking. You're an example of a person who by habit, by psychology, by upbringing, I don't know, but resists conventional thinking as well, just by nature. That's a that's a compliment. Good. [00:26:51] So what do you think it takes to do that? Is it something you were just born with? I doubt it fell from my study in some cases because I'm curious about that, obviously. And just in a more concrete way, when I started out in physics, because I started a long way from physics. So it took me a long, long time, but a lot of work to get to study it and get into it. I did wonder about that. [00:27:24] And. So I read the biographies and in fact, I started with the autobiography of Einstein and then Galileo and all those all those people. And I think there's a couple of things. Some of it is like being in the right place at the right time. Some of it is stubbornness and arrogance, which can easily go wrong. Yes. And I know I know all of these are tearaways, if you go through them slightly at the wrong speed or in the wrong angle, there are there ways to fail. [00:28:02] But if you somehow have the right, like the right confidence or arrogance, caring, I think Einstein can understand nature with ferocity and commitment that exceeded other people of his time. So he asked more stubborn questions. He asked deeper questions, I think. And there is a level of ability and whether ability is born in or can be developed in a sense to which can be developed like any of these things like musical talent, you mentioned ego. [00:28:44] What's the role of ego in that process? [00:28:46] Confidence. Confidence. But do you in your own life, have you found yourself walking that knife's edge of too much or too little to being overconfident and therefore leading yourself astray or not sufficiently confident to throw away the conventional thinking of whatever the theory of the death of theoretical physics? [00:29:08] I don't know if I mean, I've contributed what I've contributed. Whether if I had had more confidence in something, I would have gone further. I don't know. Well, certainly I. I'm sitting here at this moment with very much my own approach to everything and calm, I'm happy about that. But on the other hand, I know people. Whose self-confidence vastly exceeds mine. And sometimes I think it's justified and sometimes I think it's not justified. Your most recent book titled Einsteins Unfinished Revolution. [00:29:55] So I have to ask, what is Einstein's unfinished revolution and also how do we finish it? [00:30:02] Well, that's something I've been trying to do my whole life. But I understand the unfinished revolution is the twin revolutions, which invented relativity theory, special and especially general relativity and quantum theory, which he was the first person to realize in 1935 that they would have to be a radically different theory, which somehow realized to resolve the paradox of the duality of particle in a way for photons. [00:30:32] And he was I mean, people, I think don't always associate Einstein with quantum mechanics because I think his connection with it, founding as a one of the founders of quantum mechanics, he kind of put it in the closet. Is it? [00:30:48] Well, he didn't believe that the quantum mechanics, as it was developed in the late 19th May, late 1920s, was completely correct. At first, he didn't believe it at all. Then he was convinced that is consistent but incomplete. And that also is my view. It needs for various reasons, I can elucidate to have additional degrees of freedom particles, forces, something to reach the stage where it gives a complete description of each phenomenon. As I always say, realism demands. [00:31:24] So what aspect of quantum mechanics bothers you and Einstein the most? Is it some aspect of the wavefunction collapse discussions, the measurement problem? Is it the the the measurement problem? [00:31:41] I'm not going to speak for Einstein, but the measurement problem basically, and the fact that what is the measurement problem? [00:31:50] Sorry, the basic formulation of quantum mechanics gives you two ways to evolve situations in time. One of them is explicitly when no observer is observing a no measurement is taking place, and the other is when the measurements and observations take place and they can't, they basically contradict each other. But there is another reason why the revolution was incomplete, which is we don't understand the relationship between these two parts. General relativity, which became our best theory of space and time and gravitation and cosmology and quantum theory. [00:32:28] So for the most part, general relativity describes big things. Quantum theory describes little things. And that's the revolution that we found really powerful tools to describe big things and little things. And it's unfinished because we have two totally separate things. We need to figure out how to connect them so it can describe everything. Right. And we either do that if we believe quantum mechanics, as understood now is correct by bringing general relativity or some extension of general relativity that describes gravity and so forth into the quantum domain, that's called quantized, the theory of gravity, or if you believe with Einstein that quantum mechanics needs to be completed. [00:33:15] And this is my view, then part of the job of finding the correct completion or extension of quantum mechanics would be one that incorporates spacetime and gravity. So where do we begin? So first let me ask perhaps you give me a chance if I could ask you some just really basic questions or they're not at all the basic questions in the hardest. But you mentioned space time. What is space time? [00:33:46] Space time you talked about in construction. So I believe the space time is an intellectual construction that we make of the events in the universe. I believe the events are real and the relationships between the events which cause which are real to the idea that there is a four dimensional smooth geometry which has a metric and a connection and satisfies the equations that Einstein wrote. It's a good description to some scale. It's a good approximation. It captures some of what's really going on in nature. [00:34:22] But I don't believe it for a minute is fundamental. So, OK, let's we're going to allow me to linger on that. So the universe has events, events cause other events. This is idea of causality. OK, so that that's that's real. [00:34:39] That's that's in my in your view, Israel or hypothesis or the theories that I have been working to develop make that assumption. [00:34:49] So space time, he said four dimensional space is kind of the location of things and time is whatever the heck time is. And you're saying that space time is both space and time are emergent and not fundamental? No, sir. [00:35:10] Before you correct me, what does it mean to be fundamental or emergent fundamental means? [00:35:17] It's part of the description as far down as you go. We have a phrase, yes. [00:35:22] As real as real it could be. So I think the time is fundamental and quote goes all the way down and space does not. And the combination of them we use in general relativity that we call space time also does not. [00:35:38] But what is time that I think that time, the activity of time is the continual creation of events from existing events. So if there's no events, there's no time, then there's not only no time, there's no nothing. So so I believe the history of the universe has a history. Which goes to the past, I believe the future does not exist. There's a notion of a present and a notion of the past and the past consists of is a story about events that took place to our past. [00:36:20] She said the future doesn't exist. Yes. Could you say that again, can you try to give me a chance to understand that one more time so the events cause other events, what is this universe? Because we'll talk about locality and non locality. Good. [00:36:42] Because it's a crazy I mean, it's not crazy. It's a beautiful set of ideas that you you propose. But and if Kazal is fundamental, just like to understand it better, what is what is the past? What is the future? What is the flow of time, even the error of time in our universe, in your view? And maybe with an event. Right, oh, an event is where something changes, we're aware to it's hard to say because it's a primitive concept and the event is a moment of time within space. [00:37:25] This is the view in general relativity where two particles intersect in their paths or something changes in the path of a particle. Now we are postulating that there is at a fundamental level a notion which is an elementary notion. So it doesn't have a definition in terms of other things, but it is something elementary happening. And it's it doesn't have a connection to energy or matter. Exchange of energy does have a connection to energy that is at that level. [00:37:58] Yeah. That is involved. And that's why the version of a theory of events that I have developed with Marina Cortez and by the way, I want to mention my collaborators because they have been at least as important in this work as I have. Marina Cortez and all the work since about 2013, 2012, 2013, about causality for the search. And in the period before that, Roberto Manuever, who is a philosopher and a professor of law, and that's in your efforts, together with your collaborators, to finish the unfinished revolution. [00:38:37] So, yeah. And focus on causality and so fundamental. Yes. As fundamental to physics. [00:38:43] So and there are certainly other people we've worked with, but those two people's thinking had a huge influence on my own thinking. [00:38:52] So in the way you describe causality, that's what you mean of time being fundamental, that causality fundamentals. And what does it mean for space to not be fundamental, to be very good? It is a level description in which there are events, there are events, create other events. But there's no space, they don't live in space, they have an order in which they caused each other, and that is part of the nature of time for us. [00:39:25] So, no, but there is an emergent approximate description. And you asked me to the words version I did an emergent property is a property that arises at some level of complexity larger than and more complex than the fundamental level, which requires some property to describe it, which is not directly. Explicable or derivable is the word I want from the properties of the fundamental things, and space is one of those things in a sufficiently complex universe space, three dimensional position of things emerged. [00:40:15] Yes. [00:40:15] And we have this we saw how this happens in detail in some models, both computationally and analytically. [00:40:24] OK, so connected to space is the idea of locality. Yes. That so we talk about realism. So I, I live in this world that like sports, uh, you know, locality is a thing that, you know, you can affect things close to you and don't have an affect on things that are far away. Mm hmm. It's the thing that bothers me about gravity in general or action at a distance. [00:40:52] Same thing that probably bothered Newton or at least he said a little bit about it. [00:41:01] OK, so what do you think about locality's? It's just a construct. Is it us humans just like this idea and are connected to it because we exist and we need it for our survival. But it's not fundamental. I mean, it seems crazy for it not to be a fundamental aspect of reality. [00:41:19] It does comfort me. [00:41:21] And sort of as a therapist, like, how do I get a good therapist? I have, um. [00:41:30] There are several different definitions of locality when you come to talk about locality and physics in quantum field theory, which is a mixture of special relativity and quantum mechanics. There is a precise definition of locality of field apparatus corresponding to events in spacetime, which are spaced like separate commute with each other as operators. [00:41:58] So in quantum mechanics, you think about the nature of reality fields and things that are of course in a field have an impact on each other more than farther away. That's yes, that's very comforting. That makes sense. So that's a property of quantum field theory and it's well tested. Unfortunately, there is another definition of local which was expressed by Einstein and expressed more precisely by John Bell, which has been tested experimentally and found to fail. And this set up is you take two particles. [00:42:36] So one thing that's really weird about quantum mechanics is a property called entanglement. You can have two particles interact and then share a property without it being a property of either one of the two particles. And if you take such a system and then you merge, you make a measurement on particle A, which is over here on my right side and particle B, which is over here. And somebody else makes A measurement particle B, you can ask that wherever is the real reality of particle B it not be affected by the choice to observe a particle. [00:43:20] It makes about what to measure, not the outcome, just the choice of the different things they might measure. And that's the notion of locality, because it assumes that these things are very fast paced, like separated. And it's going to take a while for any information about the choice made by the people here today to affect reality. B But you make that assumption that's called Bell locality and you derive a certain inequality that some correlation, the functions of correlations have to satisfy. [00:43:53] And then you can test that pretty directly in experiments which create pairs of photons or other particles. And it's wrong by many sigma in experiment and it doesn't match. [00:44:07] So what what does that mean? [00:44:09] That means that that definition of vocality, I stated is false. The the one that Einstein was playing with and the one the one that I stated that is is not true, that whatever is real about Particle B is unaffected by the choice that the observer makes as to what to measure and particle, no matter how long they've been propagating at almost the speed of light or the speed of light away from each other, it doesn't matter. [00:44:36] So like the distance between them? [00:44:39] Well, it's been tested, of course, if you want to have hope for quantum mechanics being incomplete or wrong and corrected by something that changes this, it's been tested over a number of kilometers. I don't remember whether it's 25 kilometers or 170 kilometers per hour. [00:44:59] So in trying to solve the unsolved revolution, in trying to come up with the theory of everything, is causality fundamental and breaking away from locality? Absolutely a crucial step. So in your book, essentially, those are the two things we really need to think about as a community, especially the physics community has to think about this. So I guess my question is, how do we solve how do we finish the unfinished revolution? [00:45:36] Well, that I can only tell you what I'm trying to do and what I have abandoned. Yes. It's not working as one and smart ant in an ant colony, if maybe that's why it's enough. [00:45:53] But anyway, um, my view of the we've had some nice theories invented. There's a bunch of different ones, both related to quantum mechanics, related to quantum gravity. There's a lot to admire in many of these different approaches. But to my understanding, they none of them completely solve the problems that I care about. And so we're in a situation which is either terrifying for a student or full of opportunity. The rights to in which we've got more than a dozen attempts and I never thought I don't think anybody anticipated would work out this way, which work partly, and then at some point they have an issue that nobody can figure out how to go around, how to solve. [00:46:49] And that's the situation we're in. My reaction to that is twofold. One of them is to try to bring people we evolved into this unfortunate sociological situation in which their communities around some of these approaches. And to borrow a metaphor from Eric, to sit on top of hills in the landscape of theories and throw rocks at each other. And as Eric says, we need two things. We need people to get off the hills and come down into the valleys and party and talk and become friendly and learn to say not no, but but yes and yes, your idea goes this far. [00:47:37] But maybe if we put it together with my idea, we could go further. Yes. [00:47:42] So in that spirit of talked several times with Sean Carroll, who's also written an excellent book recently, and he kind of he plays around, is a big fan of the many worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics. [00:47:57] So I'm a troublemaker. So let me ask, what's your sense of Sean and the idea of many worlds interpretation? I've read many of the commentary back and forth. You guys you guys are friendly, respect each other, but have a lot of fun debating. [00:48:14] I love Sean and I. He no, I really he's. Now he's articulate and he's a great representative, an ambassador of science to the public and for different fields of science to each other. He also, like I do, takes philosophy seriously and. Unlike what I do in all cases, he has really done the homework, he's read a lot, he knows the people, he talks to them, he exposes his arguments to them. And I there's this mysterious thing that we so often end up on the opposite side of these issues. [00:48:59] It's fun, though. It's fun. [00:49:01] And I love to have a conversation about that, but I would want to include him. I see about me world as well. No, I can tell you what I think about. I'd love to, but actually explain that. Let me pause, Sean, as a podcast, you should definitely figure out how to talk to Sean. I actually told Sean I would love to hear you guys going back and forth. So I hope you can make that happen eventually. [00:49:24] You and I want I want to tell you what it is, but it's something that Sean said to me in June of 2016 that changed my whole approach to a problem. But I have to tell him first. [00:49:36] Yes. [00:49:36] And that that they'll be great to tell him on his podcast so I can invite myself to his podcast. Yeah, OK. We'll make it happen. So many worlds anyway. [00:49:48] What's your view? Many worlds we talk about, non locality, main worlds is also very. Uncomfortable idea or beautiful, depending on your perspective. It's. It's very nice in terms of I mean, there's a real estate aspect to it. I think you called it magical realism. [00:50:09] Yeah, it's just a beautiful line, but at the same time, it's very difficult to fire a human mind to comprehend. So what are your thoughts about it? [00:50:22] Let me start with the easy and obvious and then go to the scientific, OK? Um, it doesn't appeal to me. It doesn't answer the questions that I want answered. And it does so to such a strong case that when I wrote about anger and I began looking for principles and I want to come back and talk about the use of principles in science, because that's the other thing I was going to say. And I don't want to lose that. [00:50:49] When we started looking for principles, we made our first principle. There is just one world that happens once. But so it's it's not helpful to my personal approach, to my personal agenda. But of course, I'm part of a community and. My sense of the many worlds interpretation I have thought a lot about and struggled a lot with it is the following. First of all, this Everett himself, this was in Everett, and there are several issues there connected with the derivation of the bone, which is the rule that gives probabilities to events. [00:51:38] And the reasons why there is a problem with probability is that I mentioned the two ways that physical systems can involve the many worlds interpretation cuts of one, the one having to do with measurement and just has the other one, the Schrodinger revolution, which is the smooth revolution of the quantum state. But the notion of probability is only in the second row, which we've thrown away. So where does it come from? You have to answer the question because experimentalists use probabilities to check the theory. [00:52:17] Now. At first sight, you get very confused because there seems to be a real problem, because in the many worlds interpretation, this talk about Francis is not quite precise, but I'll use it. There is a branch in which everything that might happen does happen with probability one in that branch, you might think you could count the number of branches in which things do and don't happen and get numbers that you can define as something like frequenters probabilities. [00:52:52] And every two have an argument in that direction. But the argument gets very subtle when there are an infinite number of possibilities, as is the case in most quantum systems. And my understanding, although I'm not as much of an expert as some other people, is that ever its own proposal failed, did not work there. Then if it doesn't stop there, there is an important idea that everything everybody know about, which is decoherence and it is a phenomenon that might be very much relevant. [00:53:32] And so a number of people post Everet have tried to make versions of what you might call many worlds quantum mechanics. And this is a big area and it's subtle and it's not the kind of thing that I do well. So I consult. That's why there's two chapters on this. In the book I wrote Chapter Ten, which is about average first in Chapter 11. There is a very good group of philosophies of physics in Oxford Simon Sanders, David Wallace, Harvey Brown and a number of others. [00:54:10] And of course, there's David Deutsch who is there. And those people have developed and put a lot of work into a very sophisticated salivates years designed to come back and answer that question. They have the flavor of there are really no probabilities with that. But imagine if you if the average story was true and you were living in that multiverse, how would you make bets? [00:54:38] And so they they use decision theory from the theory of probability and gambling and so forth to shape a story of how you would bet if you were inside and everything in the universe and you knew that. And there is a debate among those experts as to whether they or somebody else has really succeeded. And when I checked in as I was finishing the book with some of those people like Simon, who's a good friend of mine, and David Wallace, they told me that they weren't sure that any of them was yet correct. [00:55:19] So that's why I in my book now to add to that, Sean has his own approach to that problem in what's called self referencing the self locating observers. And it doesn't I try to read it and it didn't make sense to me, but I didn't study it hard. I didn't communicate with Sean. I didn't do the things that I would do. So I had nothing to say about in the book. And I don't I don't know whether it's right or not. [00:55:51] Let's talk a little bit about science. [00:55:53] You mentioned these principles in science. What does it mean to have a principle and why is that important? [00:56:02] When I feel very frustrated about quantum gravity, I like to go back and read history. And of course, Einstein, his achievements are a huge lesson and hopefully something like a role model. And it's very clear that Einstein thought that the first job, when you want to enter the domain of theoretical physics is to discover, invent principles and then make models of how those principles might be applied in some experimental situation, which is where the mathematics comes in. So for Einstein, there was no unified space and time in class. [00:56:45] He invented this idea of space, time for Einstein. It was a model of his principle, sort of his postulates. And I've taken the view that we don't know the principles of quantum gravity. I can think about candidates and I have some papers where I discuss different candidates and I'm happy to discuss them. But my belief now is that those powers, partially successful approaches, are all models which might describe indeed some quantum gravity physics in some domain, in some aspect, but ultimately would be important because they model the principles. [00:57:33] The first job is to take down those principles, so that's the approach that I'm taking. So speaking of principles, in your 2006 book, The Trouble with Physics, you criticized the bit string theory for taking us away from the rigors of the scientific method or whatever you would call it. But what's the trouble with physics today and how do we fix it? Can I say how I read that book? Sure, because I and I'm not this, of course, has to be my fault because you can't, as an author claim after all the work you put in, that you were misread. [00:58:16] But I was I will say that many of the reviewers who were not personally involved in even many who were working on string theory were some of that opposed to quantum gravity, told me communicate with me and told me they thought that I was fair and balanced was was the way it was usually used. So let me tell you what my purpose was in writing that book, which clearly got diverted by because there was already a rather hard argument going on. And this is on which topic and string theory specifically or in general in physics know more specifically in string theory. [00:59:01] So since we're in Cambridge, can I say that we're doing this in Cambridge? [00:59:07] Just to be clear, Massachusetts and on Harvard campus. [00:59:12] Right. So Andy Strachman Jr. is a good friend of mine and has been for many, many years. And Andy. So originally, there was this beautiful idea that there were five string theories and maybe they would be unified into one and we would discover a way to break that symmetries of one of those string theories and discover the standard model and predict all the properties of standard model particles like their masses and charges and so forth, coupling constant. [00:59:48] And then there was a bunch of solutions to string theory found which led each of them to a different version of particle physics with a different phenomenology. These are called collabo manifolds named after. Yeah. Who is also here. Now, certainly we've been friends at some time in the past anyway. And then there were nobody was sure, but hundreds of thousands of different versions of string theory. And then Andy found there was a way to put a certain kind of mathematical curvature called tortured into the solutions. [01:00:27] And he wrote a paper string theory with Toreson in which he discovered there was not formally uncountable, but he was unable to invent any way to count the number of solutions that classify the diverse solutions. And he wrote that this is worrying because doing phenomenology the old fashioned way by solving the theory is not going to work, because there's going to be loads of solutions for everything, proposed phenomenology for anything. The experiment just hasn't quite worked out that way. But nonetheless, he took that word to me. [01:01:08] We spoke at least once, maybe two or three times about that. And I got seriously worried about that. And this is just a little anecdote that inspired your worry about string theory in general. [01:01:24] Well, I tried to solve the problem and I tried to solve the problem. I was reading at that time a lot of biology, a lot of evolutionary theory like the molecules and still cool and so forth and. I, I, I could take your time to go through the things that occurred to me, maybe physics was like evolutionary biology and maybe the laws of art. And there was the palace talked about a landscape, a fitness landscape of DNA sequences or proteins and sequences or species or something like that. [01:02:06] I took their concept in the word landscape from theoretical biology and made a scenario about how the universe as a whole could evolve to discover the parameters of the standard manner. And I'm happy to discuss called cosmological natural selection, cosmological natural selection and also the parameters of the standard model. So it's the laws of physics are changing. This this idea would say that the laws of physics are changing in some way that echoes that of natural selection or just it adjust in some way towards some goal. [01:02:46] Yes, and I published that. I wrote the paper in 88 or 89. The paper was published in 92, my first book in 1997. The Life of the Cosmos was explicitly about that. And I was very clear that what was important is that because you would develop an ensemble of universes, but they were related by descent to natural selection, almost every universe would share the property that was its fitness was maximized to some extent, at least close to maximum, like deduced predictions that could be tested from there. [01:03:33] And and I worked all of that out. And I compare it to the anthropic principle where you weren't able to make tests or make falsifications. All of this was in the late 80s and early 90s. That's a really compelling notion. [01:03:47] But how does that help you arrive and coming to a world where the book came from? Yes. So what got me, I worked on string theory. I also worked on Lupine Gravity. And I was one of the inventors of gravity. [01:04:07] And because of my strong belief in some other principles which led to this notion of wanting a quantum theory of gravity to be what we call relational or background independent, I tried very hard to make string theory back independent and ended up developing a bunch of tools which then could apply directly to general relativity, and that became lupine gravity. So the things were, of course, very closely related and have always been very closely related in my mind. The idea that there were two communities, one devoted to strings and one of our troops is not and so always been OK. [01:04:46] So so anyway, there's this Nutt's community of loops and strings that are all beautiful and compelling and mathematically speaking. And what's the trouble with all that? Why is that? Why is that such a problem so well? [01:04:59] So I was interested in developing that notion of how science works based on community and ethics that I told you about. And I wrote a draft of a book about that which had several chapters on methodology of science, and it was rather academically oriented, a book in those chapters where the first part of the book, the first third of it, and you didn't find the remnants in what's now the last chapter, the last part of the job that I described, a number of test cases, case studies, and one of them, which I knew was the search for quantum gravity and string theory and so forth. [01:05:42] And I wasn't able to get that book published. So somebody made the suggestion of flipping it around and starting with a story of string theory, which was already controversial. This was 2004, 2005. [01:05:59] But I was very careful to be detailed, to criticize papers, not people. You don't you won't find me criticizing individuals. You'll find me criticizing certain writing. But in any case. Here's what I regret that make the program worthwhile. Yes, I as far as I know, with the exception of not understanding how large the application is to convince them to say, hey, DMCA area, CFT Woodcourt, I think largely my diagnosis of string theory, as it was then, has stood up since 2006. [01:06:48] What I regret is that the same critique I was using string theory as an example in the same critique applies to many other communities in science and including and this is why I regret my own community. That is a community of people working on quantum gravity outside string theory. But I considered saying that explicitly. But he said explicitly, since it's a small, intimate community, I would be telling stories and naming names and making a kind of history that I have no right to right. [01:07:26] So I stayed away from that, but was misunderstood. [01:07:29] But if I may ask, is there a hopeful message for theoretical physics that we can take from that book, sort of that looks at the community, not just your or your own work and now with causality and on locality, but just broadly in understanding the fundamental nature of our reality. What's your hope for the 21st century in physics? [01:07:54] Well, we solve the problem that we solve the unfinished problem of science. [01:08:01] So that certainly the thing that I care about most of us. So let me say one thing. Among the young people that I work with, I hear very often and sense a total disinterest in these arguments that we older scientists have and an interest in where each other is doing. And this is starting to appear in conferences where the young people are interested in quantum gravity, make a conference. They invite loops and strings. And because of the natural triangulations and causal side people and we're having a conference like this next week, a small workshop at premolar and I guess I'm out of time. [01:08:45] And then in the summer, we're having a big full conference, which is just quantum gravity. It's not strings, it's not loops, but the organizers and the speakers will be from all the different communities. Yes. And this to me is very helpful. [01:09:02] That the different ideas are coming together, at least people are expressing interest in that is a huge honor talking to you. Lee, thanks so much for your time today. [01:09:14] Thank you. Thanks for listening to this conversation and thank you to our presenting sponsored cash app Download it is Scolex podcast. You'll get ten dollars and ten dollars will go to First, an organization that inspires and educates young minds to become science and technology innovators of tomorrow. If you enjoy this podcast, subscribe on YouTube. Give it five stars, an app, a podcast, follow on Spotify, supported on Patrón or simply connect with me on Twitter. Allex Friedemann. [01:09:44] And now let me leave you with some words from Lee Smolin. One possibility is God is nothing but the power of the universe to organize itself. Thanks for listening and hope to see you next time.

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