第 263 期·中文精讀

約翰·阿布拉姆森:大型製藥公司

John Abramson: Big Pharma

家庭醫生兼研究者批評製藥業的營銷與研究資料操縱,討論藥物監管與公眾信任問題。

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2010年,一場聯邦審判的陪審團裁定,輝瑞公司犯有欺詐和敲詐勒索罪。

從1991年到2017年,製藥公司累計支付了380億美元罰款。沒有一位高管因為篡改資料坐過牢,哪怕這些資料牽扯到成千上萬人的死亡,比如萬絡(Vioxx),比如奧施康定(OxyContin)。

哈佛醫學院教員、做了二十多年家庭醫生的約翰·阿布拉姆森(John Abramson)把這件事講得很乾脆:罰款從來沒有大到能改變行為,因為罰金幾乎總是小於造假帶來的利潤。

他還有另一組數字。美國醫療支出佔GDP的17.7%,比同類富裕國家平均的10.7%高出整整7個百分點,換算下來是每年多花1.5萬億美元。而美國人用這筆錢換來的健康預期壽命,排在全球第68位。2000年的時候,這個排名還是第38。

錢越花越多,位置越掉越低。這兩條曲線放在一張圖裡,交叉出來的那個點,就是阿布拉姆森想讓人看見的東西。

最要命的那一環:誰在決定醫生相信什麼

Lex Fridman 問阿布拉姆森:如果打一個響指就能修好大藥企的一個問題,你修哪個?

阿布拉姆森把價格、遊說、廣告都放在了一邊。他選的是知識。

最大的問題是,藥品公司決定了醫生所相信的知識的內容、準確性和完整性。當這些知識被商業利益接管,它的目的就變成了讓股東回報最大化,而不是讓美國人的健康最最佳化。(約翰·阿布拉姆森)

這段話的殺傷力在於,它質疑的是整套醫學知識的生產、稽核、傳播鏈條被裝進了一臺以利潤為燃料的發動機裡。某一款藥好壞,反倒是次要的。

他為此舉了個很生活化的例子。你想打一場職業籃球賽,但沒有裁判,讓球員自己吹自己的犯規。球員是被付錢去贏的,你不能指望他們自報犯規。美國醫療的問題在於,這個裁判根本不存在。

別的富裕國家有裁判。美國沒有。這就是它和同行的最大區別。

弗裡德曼說的三件事,美國三件全沒做到

阿布拉姆森提到了米爾頓·弗裡德曼(Milton Friedman)在《資本主義與自由》裡寫的,政府只有三個合法職能:維持法律與秩序,執行私人契約,保證私人市場正常運轉。這是自由市場資本主義的祖師爺給政府劃的最小邊界。

阿布拉姆森說,這三件事美國一件都沒做好。

維持法律與秩序這一條,他說得太清楚了:藥企在營銷和臨床試驗結果呈現上,是系統性地違法。他做過十年訴訟專家證人,把民事訴訟裡學到的東西呈給聯邦調查局和司法部,那起案子最終在2009年開出了當時美國歷史上最大的一筆刑事罰單。

當公司承認犯有重罪,通常的做法是讓子公司出來認罪,母公司保持距離,這樣就不至於被踢出聯邦醫療保險(Medicare)。監管看起來是存在的,實際上是一場精心設計的表演。

他做證的那場2010年審判,陪審團判輝瑞欺詐和敲詐勒索成立。判決之後,公司照常運轉。

人在會議室裡是怎麼變樣的

Lex 丟擲一個所有人都想問的問題:做這些事的人,是壞人嗎?

阿布拉姆森的回答分兩半。他相信大多數人本質是好的。進入大藥企的年輕人,多半也是滿懷理想、想減輕人類痛苦的。那問題出在哪?

你越往公司高層走,就越身處一個共享同一套遊戲規則的文化裡:讓投資人回報最大化就是被獎勵的行為。在這個環境裡,用某種方式處理科學資料是正常的、是被共享的價值觀。好人會自己評估自己,而評估標準已經被身邊人修改了。(約翰·阿布拉姆森)

於是就有了那個越走越遠的機制。會議室有一個氣泡,氣泡裡的道德座標和氣泡外不一樣。在氣泡裡,營銷是遊戲的一部分,交罰款是遊戲的一部分,把資料切得漂亮一點,也是遊戲的一部分。

如果你一直沒撞上護欄,你就會一直往同一個方向走。

Lex 順著往下講:如果一個CEO不做這件事,他會被換掉,下一個上來的會做。所以能升上去的、能加薪的、能留下來的,恰好是最會玩這個遊戲的那批人。遊戲就這樣自我加固。

廣告:一個完全合法、卻反社會的例子

Lex 之前問過輝瑞CEO阿爾伯特·博爾拉(Albert Bourla)關於激進廣告投放的問題,博爾拉的回答是:沒有,我們遵守規則,有時候規則還太嚴了。

阿布拉姆森的反應有點意思,他說你倆都對。

博爾拉在法理上是對的,廣告確實基本合法。而在阿布拉姆森看來,這恰恰說明了問題。一個藥企花重金請頂級媒介人才,把藥品資訊包裝成讓觀眾嚴重高估療效、低估風險的情緒體驗,從常識角度看這是反社會行為,但在博爾拉所處的文化裡,這是CEO該做的事。

阿布拉姆森舉了一個精準到可怕的例子。

度拉糖肽(Trulicity)是一款治療2型糖尿病的注射藥。降糖效果和二甲雙胍差不多。二甲雙胍一個月4美元,度拉糖肽一年6200美元。

度拉糖肽之所以能賣到這個價,是因為廠商做了一項大型研究,顯示它能顯著降低糖尿病患者的心血管風險。這項研究透過了統計學顯著性檢驗,廣告於是大講特講它的護心作用。

廣告沒說的是:要治療323個人,才能預防1例非致命心血管事件,成本270萬美元。

廣告更沒說的是:已經有一項研究表明,積極的生活方式干預在降低心血管風險上,效果遠大於度拉糖肽。

主持這項研究的公司沒做這個對比,這不算撒謊,因為從來沒有研究把度拉糖肽和生活方式做過頭對頭比較。而這項比較之所以沒做,是因為從商業角度看沒必要做。藥企花幾千萬美元做研究,問的問題是“我們怎麼多賣藥”,不是“我們怎麼幫2型糖尿病人預防心血管病”。

研究越做越大,差異越做越小,小到剛好顯著,然後就可以拿這個顯著性去做廣告。

三例被抹掉的心臟病

Lex 追問:資料的操縱到了什麼程度?是研究設計層面,還是乾脆改數字?

阿布拉姆森說三種都有。他講了一個具體案例。

2000年11月,《新英格蘭醫學雜誌》發表了一項由默克贊助的萬絡研究。研究結論是萬絡治療關節炎疼痛不比其他藥更有效,但更能減少嚴重的胃腸道併發症。這篇論文有12位作者,其中兩位是默克員工。

默克從這項研究裡抹掉了三例心臟病發作。

這三例被抹掉的心臟病,看起來像是在一萬人的研究裡微不足道。但把它們放回去,所有統計結果都會翻轉,唯一能得出的結論就變成:萬絡顯著增加心臟病發作風險。

更關鍵的是流程上的細節。2000年3月資料揭盲,默克的首席科學家在一封后來被《華爾街日報》公開的郵件裡寫道:遺憾的是心血管事件確實存在,但藥會賣得很好,我們也會很好。而在資料揭盲前,資料安全監查委員會的主席發了一封信,說試驗結束前一個月停止統計心血管事件,胃腸道事件繼續統計。

這封信發出後兩週內,這位主席和默克簽了一份諮詢合同,日薪5000美元。

2004年,萬絡成為美國歷史上最大規模的藥品召回。在那之前,《新英格蘭醫學雜誌》那篇論文從未被正式更正。

Lex 想知道那個人是誰,是男是女,長什麼樣,為什麼要這麼做。阿布拉姆森說他判斷不了。但 Lex 自己講了一段話,比很多學術討論都直白:他讀了很多關於納粹德國的書,他真正想弄明白的是那些“好的德國人”,極端惡人反而不在他的關注範圍裡。他想知道普通人是怎麼一步步走到那裡的。

FDA 推翻了自己顧問委員會的全票意見

阿布拉姆森把話題從藥企轉到了監管者身上。他說這個話題值得單獨講,因為它暴露了監管機構自己想什麼。

阿爾茨海默病藥物研發的靶點,一直是清除腦內澱粉樣蛋白斑塊。渤健(Biogen)做了兩項臨床試驗,證明自家藥物阿杜那單抗(Aduhelm)能清除斑塊,但兩項試驗都顯示沒有臨床獲益。同時,用藥組的症狀性腦水腫和腦出血比安慰劑組高33%。

這些事實雙方都不爭辯,全寫在渤健的幻燈片和FDA的檔案裡。

FDA 召集了顧問委員會。這個委員會經過多年清理,成員基本已經沒有經濟利益衝突。委員會投票:10票反對,1票棄權。接近全票反對批准。

FDA 推翻了顧問委員會的結論,批准了這款藥。

三位委員辭職,理由是:如果FDA連10比0的反對票都不聽,我們沒必要繼續參與。

更精彩的是後續。FDA 藥品評價與研究中心(CDER)的負責人,在製藥行業做過16年高管,發了一份公開宣告,說這種情況下的正確做法是放寬對藥企財務利益衝突的禁令,因為現在的人“太情緒化了”。

這句話白紙黑字印在那裡。10位投反對票的委員,被歸為“情緒化”。

這件事把FDA的思路照得很清楚:他們認為財務利益衝突在這種情況下不重要。而在我看來,顯然重要。(約翰·阿布拉姆森)

旋轉門,以及一扇更貴的門

Lex 問旋轉門,問FDA、CDC和輝瑞之間的人員往來。

阿布拉姆森的回答不只是“這是個問題”。他說應該禁止藥企員工進入監管機構,反過來也一樣,哪怕隔了30年。

他還有一個更狠的提名。

美國聯邦醫療保險被法律禁止和藥企直接談判藥價。藥企拿到專利,就可以在一種公共事業上定任何價格,因為沒人能生產同樣的藥,而聯邦醫保必須買單。

這個局面是怎麼來的?2003年聯邦醫保處方藥福利立法時,時任眾議院籌款委員會主席比利·陶辛(Billy Tauzin)在推動這項法案、尤其是其中“禁止談判”條款上起了關鍵作用。法案透過後,陶辛沒做完議員任期,去了製藥行業,年薪200萬美元。

阿布拉姆森說,禁止這種事,大概是個好主意。

疫苗:他站的位置很微妙

整場對話裡最重要的一段,是阿布拉姆森談新冠疫苗。

他反覆強調自己不是反疫苗者。他打了三針。他說疫苗有效,證據清楚,接種能把自己的新冠死亡風險降低約20倍。他支援所有人接種。

然後他說了另一半。

輝瑞和FDA在法庭上努力阻止一項資訊自由法案申請,那是關於疫苗臨床試驗原始資料的公開。FDA 給的理由是,他們每天只能處理500頁,全部公開需要55年,如果要加快,需要額外300萬美元。

300萬美元是什麼概念?輝瑞疫苗兩年賣了650億美元,300萬美元差不多是一小時的銷售額。而輝瑞後來做得更徹底:它沒有站到FDA對面。它站到了FDA身邊,一起去勸法官別催。

阿布拉姆森的判斷很明確:

我願意用十比一的賠率跟你打賭,那批資料裡一定有讓FDA或輝瑞,或者兩個都難堪的東西。(約翰·阿布拉姆森)

他沒有因此倒向反疫苗陣營。他給出的理由是:那只是幾千人的早期臨床試驗資料,而全世界已經打了數十億劑,真實世界資料在那裡擺著,目前為止沒有哪種副作用能抵消疫苗的收益。

但他也沒有放過這個矛盾。一家說自己產品有效的公司,為什麼要花那麼大力氣阻止資料的公開?

Lex 在這個問題上講了一段話,可能是整場對話裡最直接的一段。他說現在這個局面裡,反疫苗者也能賺很多錢,也能出名。科學家害怕說錯話毀掉聲譽。各方都有巨大的激勵。所有這些加在一起,唯一明確高興的只有輝瑞,它開足了資本主義機器的馬力,一路向前。

第三世界的變異株,是自己種出來的

阿布拉姆森講了一段很少被提起的歷史。

2016年,美國國立衛生研究院(NIH)做了 mRNA 疫苗的關鍵基礎研究。這段經常被漏掉。輝瑞-BioNTech 主動向 NIH 支付了專利使用費,金額不大,但足夠避免 Moderna 遇到的那類訴訟。

特朗普啟動“曲速行動”砸錢,美國人比歐洲人更早打上疫苗,人均花費是歐盟的五倍。這一步是對的。

聯邦政府犯的錯只有一個:它付了天價,卻沒要求企業參與全球接種計劃。於是企業按商業模式把疫苗投放到最賺錢的地方,早期大約85%的疫苗流向了第一世界。

2021年5月,世貿組織、世衛組織、國際貨幣基金組織和世界銀行聯合呼籲:拿出500億美元,讓第三世界在2021年底達到40%的接種率。沒人回應。

現在非洲的接種率大約是8.9%。

阿布拉姆森把因果講得很清楚:第三世界不接種,就會有源源不斷的新變異株迴流美國,傷害美國人,德爾塔和奧密克戎就是這麼來的。你不需要當國際主義者,只要自私一點,關心美國人的健康,你也應該支援全球疫苗分配。

而就在那四個組織發出呼籲的時候,32位億萬富翁從疫苗裡賺到了500億美元,裝進了私人財富。這筆錢,正好是那些組織說需要的數字。

把正常的悲傷醫學化

Lex 挑了一個很難的角度:抑鬱症是真的痛苦,抗抑鬱藥確實被過度開具,這兩件事同時成立,怎麼辦?

阿布拉姆森引用了《新英格蘭醫學雜誌》上 Eric Turner 的論文:把抗抑鬱藥的所有資料合在一起看,在沒有重度抑鬱的人身上,這些藥無效。重度抑鬱是嚴重的問題,人會失去正常功能,這類人用藥可能有效,大約四個人裡有一個明顯改善。

問題是,絕大多數抗抑鬱藥被開給了沒有重度抑鬱的人。

他提到了《百憂解之國》(Prozac Nation)那本書帶來的觀念:為什麼你要滿足於正常的快樂,當你可以擁有比正常更好的快樂?

這個觀念把正常範圍內的情緒波動醫學化了。“血清素代謝異常是抑鬱根源”這套說法,本身就有破壞性。藥確實能改變血清素代謝,但沒人知道這是不是它對重度抑鬱起效的原因。

那沒有重度抑鬱的人該怎麼辦?阿布拉姆森的回答樸素得讓人意外:先承認這個人在受苦,然後去搞清楚他為什麼受苦。

可能是婚姻問題,可能是過去的創傷,可能是找不到一份能帶來自尊和體面收入的工作。真正的診斷問句是“這個人為什麼比他想成為的樣子更悲傷”,“比想象中更悲傷”本身構不成診斷。

為什麼沒人給生活方式打廣告

90年代有一項聯邦資助的研究,叫糖尿病預防專案(Diabetes Prevention Program)。這是個設計得很好的隨機對照試驗,把糖尿病前期的人隨機分到三組:安慰劑、二甲雙胍、強化生活方式干預。

結果發表在《新英格蘭醫學雜誌》上。強化生活方式組平均減重約10磅,每週運動五次,並維持住了。他們的糖尿病發病風險下降了58%。二甲雙胍組下降31%。

醫學界的常識是“你沒法讓人改變”,這項研究直接把這個常識推翻了。

那為什麼這項研究沒有改變臨床實踐?

阿布拉姆森的回答是:因為沒有一個“生活方式產業”能出錢打廣告。

藥物研究有明確的商業主體,有幾千萬美元的預算,有專門的團隊把結果包裝成指南,有銷售代表一家一家敲門。生活方式研究沒有這些。它的結果就算發在頂級期刊上,也拿不到同等的分量。

Lex 在這裡插了一句,說他覺得這是個可以規模化的機會。如果做一個App,把行為科學和遊戲化結合起來,讓人堅持走路、按時睡覺,讓別人也能看到自己在做什麼,這可能是對抗藥企廣告的一種方式。而且做這種東西,本身不需要擁有製藥公司的利潤結構。

同行評審這道工序,其實沒看到資料

阿布拉姆森講了一段讓很多醫生不舒服的話。

醫生被訓練成相信“循證醫學”。他們相信,一篇論文能發在同行評審期刊上,就意味著審稿人看過資料、獨立複核過分析。這是醫生被反覆灌輸的信念。

而真相是:審稿人手裡只有投稿的稿件,沒有原始資料。他們沒法核實資料是不是完整、準確、有沒有被切過。他們能核對的,只有這篇稿子寫得通不通順、方法描述得完不完整、結論和摘要對不對得上。

然後是臨床實踐指南。指南作者幾乎完全依賴這些已經發表、但資料從未被獨立核實的論文,來制定全美醫生都要遵循的診療標準。

整條鏈條的每一環,看起來都在做質量控制,實際上每一環都沒看到原始資料。

阿布拉姆森說這件事不難解決。臨床試驗完成後會生成一份臨床研究報告,通常幾千頁,把原始病人資料按預先設定的方式列表統計,是可以在裡面檢索關鍵資訊的。他做訴訟專家證人時,二十到四十小時就能過一遍,檢查公司的分析和預設的統計分析計劃是否一致。這個工作量,遠到不了三個月。

他建議讓期刊僱專職統計學家,或者幾家期刊合聘,這些人不拿任何其他來源的錢,負責核驗方法學問題,再把結果交給志願審稿人。

關於審查,兩個人有分歧,但分歧很有意思

Lex 和 Joe Rogan 聊過這個話題,也在和扎克伯格聊。他明確說自己傾向於不審查反疫苗的聲音。

他的理由是:審查這項工作,真正做起來往往落到最沒能力、最愛抱怨的那批人手裡,而這些人往往出於情緒而不是理性。要打敗反疫苗言論,唯一的路是讓科學家成為更好的傳播者,把資料放到公眾面前,讓觀點在開放的思想市場上被打磨。

阿布拉姆森不完全同意。他承認自己沒答案,然後說了一句很關鍵的話:

每個人都可以有自己的觀點。我不認為每個人都可以有自己的科學事實。(約翰·阿布拉姆森)

他說他有一些反疫苗的朋友,關係很好。他們會給他發材料,他要花一小時去核實,通常發現站不住腳。而這些材料不是反疫苗論證的隨機樣本,是被挑出來的、最容易讓人相信的那部分。

他提出了一個折中方案:不審查,但在資訊釋出前做事實核查,獨立的人可以出來說明“這項研究當初是這麼設計的,結論是這樣的,所以那句話只對了一半”。

Lex 順著這個往下想,說也許播客可以在釋出前讓一批人審一遍,像論文的同行評審一樣,把評審意見一起發出去。他說他可能真的會試。

醫生的倦怠,是一種道德傷害

阿布拉姆森講了一個自己的故事。

2000年前後,他的一位同事給一位病人開了激素替代療法。這位病人恰好是阿布拉姆森的好朋友。他去看診時發現處方被續開了,就問病人有沒有潮熱之類的問題。病人說沒有,但某某醫生說這對健康好。阿布拉姆森說不是的,最新的研究顯示它對健康有害,建議停掉。

同事看到病歷後找他理論:“那是我的病人,也許是你朋友,但她是我的病人。”同事說她參加過母校醫學院的繼續教育會議,會上明確講健康人應該用激素替代療法。

阿布拉姆森問:你有會議手冊嗎?同事說有,去拿了。翻開一看,會議是藥企贊助的。

他引用托馬斯·庫恩(Thomas Kuhn)的理論來解釋這件事:一個專家群體共享一套不成文的假設,你想被這個群體接納,就得接受這套假設。醫生不是被某個壞人騙了,醫生是被一個系統性地塑造過的知識環境塑造了。

這也是他寫《Sickening》這本書的原因之一。他想給醫生提供一個“正常”之外的選擇。

他還提到了醫生倦怠。大約一半的醫生說自己倦怠。他沒有資料支援,但這是他自己的判斷:很多倦怠,本質上是道德傷害,是明知眼前這套做法不奏效,卻不得不繼續做下去的那種消耗。

關於死亡

Lex 問了那個問題:你怕死嗎?

阿布拉姆森說不怕。他說他最近離死亡很近,近到當時覺得大概就是這麼結束了。他回顧了一下,自己已經盡力了,不算完美,但如果就到這裡,那就到這裡。身邊的人也都在盡力。

然後他被拉回來了。

他說那次經歷讓他徹底擺脫了對死亡的焦慮。它傳遞的資訊很簡單:每天盡力,因為總有結束的一天。

Lex 問人生的意義是什麼。阿布拉姆森的回答沒有任何宏大敘事:

我認為是去在乎某樣東西,然後為它盡全力。可能是當醫生,讓儘可能多的人得到最好的醫療。可能是一個園丁想種出最美的植物。可能是一個祖父母想和孫輩有好的關係。只要是能給你意義感、又不傷害別人的事,就真正投入進去。(約翰·阿布拉姆森)

他提到了布考斯基的那首詩,《Go All the Way》。一路走到底。

如果你想把這場對話變成行動

這場對話提供的資訊量很大,但落到個人頭上,能做的事其實很具體。

  • 下次看到藥品廣告,先問三個問題:這個藥讓我受益的機率是多少?它和便宜的替代方案、和改變生活方式相比如何?它對社會的真實成本是多少?廣告本身不會回答這三個問題,但它們都有答案。
  • 把“我最近情緒不好”和“我得了抑鬱症”分開。前者是一個需要被理解的生活問題,後者是一個需要被診斷的臨床狀態。兩者不該用同一顆藥解決。找醫生時,優先找願意聽你講完生活處境的那一類。
  • 知道同行評審這個環節不核實原始資料,你就不會再把它當成質量保證。看到“發表在《新英格蘭醫學雜誌》上”這句話,可以多問一句:原始資料公開了嗎?有沒有被獨立複核?
  • 把運動、不吸菸、維持合理體重當成優先順序最高的處方。這三件事的健康回報高於絕大多數長期用藥,而且沒有廣告,也沒有銷售代表來提醒你,所以得自己記著。
  • 關心全球疫苗分配這類議程時,不必從道德出發,從自利出發就夠了。第三世界的低接種率會持續生產變異株,變異株會迴流。這屬於防疫問題,跟慈善無關。
  • 如果你是醫生或者在醫療系統裡工作,記得阿布拉姆森那句話:這個系統的常態看起來正常,但它不正常。如果哪天你覺得自己在做的某件事,患者的利益和系統的獎勵對不上,那份不對勁本身就是資訊,不要急著把它合理化掉。

阿布拉姆森在書裡、在課堂裡、在這場對話裡反覆在做同一件事:把那個氣泡戳破一點,讓裡面的人抬頭看一眼外面。

氣泡不會因為一場播客就消失。但只要有人還在抬頭看,氣泡就不是封閉的。

文稿來自公開 Kaggle 資料集(rajneesh231/lex-fridman-podcast-transcript),為早期自動轉錄存檔,可能存在識別錯誤。
The jury found Pfizer guilty of fraud and racketeering violations. How does Big Pharma affect your mind? Everyone's allowed their own opinion. I don't think everyone's allowed their own scientific facts. Does Pfizer play by the rules? Pfizer isn't battling the FDA. Pfizer has joined the FDA. The following is a conversation with John Abramson, faculty at Harvard Medical School, a family physician for over two decades, and author of the new book, Sickening, about how Big Pharma broke American healthcare and how we can fix it. This conversation with John Abramson is a critical exploration of the pharmaceutical industry. I wanted to talk to John in order to provide a countervailing perspective to the one expressed in my podcast episode with the CEO of Pfizer, Albert Borla. And here, please allow me to say a few additional words about this episode with the Pfizer CEO, and in general, about why I do these conversations and how I approach them. If this is not interesting to you, please skip ahead. What do I hope to do with this podcast? I want to understand human nature, the best and the worst of it. I want to understand how power, money, and fame changes people. I want to understand why atrocities are committed by crowds that believe they're doing good. All this, ultimately, because I want to understand how we can build a better world together, to find hope for the future, and to rediscover each time, through the exploration of ideas, just how beautiful this life is. This, our human civilization, in all of its full complexity, the forces of good and evil, of war and peace, of hate and love. I don't think I can do this with a heart and mind that is not open, fragile, and willing to empathize with all human beings, even those in the darkest corners of our world. To attack is easy. To understand is hard. And I choose the hard path. I have learned over the past few months that this path involves me getting more and more attacked from all sides. I will get attacked when I host people like Jay Bhattacharya or Francis Collins, Jamie Merzl or Vincent Ricanello, when I stand for my friend, Joe Rogan, when I host tech leaders like Mark Zuckerberg, Elon Musk, and others, when I eventually talk to Vladimir Putin, Barack Obama, and other figures that have turned the tides of history. I have and I will get called stupid, naive, weak, and I will take these words with respect, humility, and love, and I will get better. I will listen, think, learn, and improve. One thing I can promise is there's no amount of money or fame that can buy my opinion or make me go against my principles. There's no amount of pressure that can break my integrity. There's nothing in this world I need that I don't already have. Life itself is the fundamental gift. Everything else is just the bonus. That is freedom. That is happiness. If I die today, I will die a happy man. Now, a few comments about my approach and lessons learned from the Albert Bourla conversation. The goal was to reveal as much as I could about the human being before me and to give him the opportunity to contemplate in long form the complexities of his role, including the tension between making money and helping people, the corruption that so often permeates human institutions, the crafting of narratives through advertisements, and so on. I only had one hour, and so this wasn't the time to address these issues deeply but to show if Albert struggled with them in the privacy of his own mind, and if he would let down the veil of political speak for a time to let me connect with a man who decades ago chose to become a veterinarian, who wanted to help lessen the amount of suffering in the world. I had no pressure placed on me. There were no rules. The questions I was asking were all mine and not seen by Pfizer folks. I had no care whether I ever talked to another CEO again. None of this was part of the calculation in my limited brain computer. I didn't want to grill him. The way politicians grill CEOs in Congress, I thought that this approach is easy, self serving, dehumanizing, and it reveals nothing. I wanted to reveal the genuine intellectual struggle, vision, and motivation of a human being, and if that fails, I trusted the listener to draw their own conclusion and insights from the result, whether it's the words spoken or the words left unspoken or simply the silence. And that's just it. I fundamentally trust the intelligence of the listener, you. In fact, if I criticize the person too hard or celebrate the person too much, I feel I fail to give the listener a picture of the human being that is uncontaminated by my opinion or the opinion of the crowd. I trust that you have the fortitude and the courage to use your own mind, to empathize, and to think. Two practical lessons I took away. First, I will more strongly push for longer conversations of three, four, or more hours versus just one hour. 60 minutes is too short for the guest to relax and to think slowly and deeply, and for me to ask many follow up questions or follow interesting tangents. Ultimately, I think it's in the interest of everyone, including the guest, that we talk in true long form for many hours. Second, these conversations with leaders can be aided by further conversations with people who wrote books about those leaders or their industries. Those that can steel man each perspective and attempt to give an objective analysis. I think of Teddy Roosevelt's speech about the man in the arena. I want to talk to both the men and women in the arena and the critics and the supporters in the stands. For the former, I lean toward wanting to understand one human being's struggle with the ideas. For the latter, I lean towards understanding the ideas themselves. That's why I wanted to have this conversation with John Abramson, who is an outspoken critic of the pharmaceutical industry. I hope it helps add context and depth to the conversation I had with the Pfizer CEO. In the end, I may do worse than I could have or should have. Always, I will listen to the criticisms without ego and I promise I will work hard to improve. But let me say finally that cynicism is easy. Optimism, true optimism is hard. It is the belief that we can and we will build a better world and that we can only do it together. This is the fight worth fighting. So here we go. Once more into the breach, dear friends. I love you all. This is the Lex Friedman podcast. To support it, please check out our sponsors in the description. And now, here's my conversation with John Abramson. Your faculty at Harvard Medical School, your family physician for over two decades, rated one of the best family physicians in Massachusetts, you wrote the book, Overdose to America, and the new book coming out now called Sickening about how Big Pharma broke American healthcare, including science and research, and how we can fix it. First question, what is the biggest problem with Big Pharma that it fixed would be the most impactful? So if you can snap your fingers and fix one thing, what would be the most impactful, you think? The biggest problem is the way they determine the content, the accuracy, and the completeness of what doctors believe to be the full range of knowledge that they need to best take care of their patients. So that with the knowledge having been taken over by the commercial interests, primarily the pharmaceutical industry, the purpose of that knowledge is to maximize the profits that get returned to investors and shareholders, and not to optimize the health of the American people. So rebalancing that equation would be the most important thing to do to get our healthcare back aimed in the right direction. Okay, so there's a tension between helping people and making money, so if we look at particularly the task of helping people in medicine, in healthcare, is it possible if money is the primary sort of mechanism by which you achieve that as a motivator, is it possible to get that right? I think it is, Lex, but I think it is not possible without guardrails that maintain the integrity and the balance of the knowledge. Without those guardrails, it's like trying to play a professional basketball game without referees and having players call their own fouls. But the players are paid to win, and you can't count on them to call their own fouls, so we have referees who are in charge. We don't have those referees in American healthcare. That's the biggest way that American healthcare is distinguished from healthcare in other wealthy nations. So okay, you mentioned Milton Friedman, and you mentioned his book called Capitalism and Freedom. He writes that there are only three legitimate functions of government to preserve law and order, to enforce private contracts, and to ensure that private markets work. You said that that was a radical idea at the time, but we're failing on all three. How are we failing? And also maybe the bigger picture is what are the strengths and weaknesses of capitalism when it comes to medicine and healthcare? Can we separate those out? Because those are two huge questions. So how we're failing on all three, and these are the minimal functions that our guru of free market capitalism said the government should perform, so this is the absolute baseline. On preserving law and order, the drug companies routinely violate the law in terms of their marketing, and in terms of their presentation of the results of their trials. I know this because I was an expert in litigation for about 10 years. I presented some of what I learned in civil litigation to the FBI and the Department of Justice, and that case led to the biggest criminal fine in US history as of 2009. And I testified in a federal trial in 2010, and the jury found Pfizer guilty of fraud and racketeering violations. In terms of violating the law, it's a routine occurrence. The drug companies have paid $38 billion worth of fines from I think 1991 to 2017. It's never been enough to stop the misrepresentation of their data, and rarely are the fines greater than the profits that were made. Executives have not gone to jail for misrepresenting data that have involved even tens of thousands of deaths in the case of Vioxx, OxyContin as well. And when companies plead guilty to felonies, which is not an unusual occurrence, the government usually allows the companies, the parent companies, to allow subsidiaries to take the plea so that they are not one step closer to getting disbarred from Medicare, not being able to participate in Medicare. So in that sense, there is a mechanism that is appearing to impose law and order on drug company behavior, but it's clearly not enough. It's not working. Can you actually speak to human nature here? Are people corrupt? Are people malevolent? Are people ignorant that work at the low level and at the high level at Pfizer, for example, at big pharma companies, how is this possible? So I believe, just on a small tangent, that most people are good. And I actually believe if you join big pharma, so a company like Pfizer, your life trajectory often involves dreaming and wanting and enjoying helping people. Yes. And so, and then we look at the outcomes that you're describing, and it looks, and that's why the narrative takes hold that Pfizer CEO, Al Bobrola, who I talked to, is malevolent. The sense is these companies are evil. So if the different parts, the people, are good and they want to do good, how are we getting these outcomes? Yeah, I think it has to do with the cultural milieu that this is unfolding in. And we need to look at sociology to understand this, that when the cultural milieu is set up to maximize the returns on investment for shareholders and other venture capitalists and hedge funds and so forth, when that defines the culture and the higher up you are in the corporation, the more you're in on the game of getting rewarded for maximizing the profits of the investors, that's the culture they live in. And it becomes normative behavior to do things with science that look normal in that environment and are shared values within that environment by good people whose self evaluation becomes modified by the goals that are shared by the people around them. And within that milieu, you have one set of standards, and then the rest of good American people have the expectation that the drug companies are trying to make money, but that they're playing by rules that aren't part of the insider milieu. That's fascinating, the game they're playing modifies the culture of inside the meetings, inside the rooms, day to day, that there's a bubble that forms. Like we're all in bubbles of different sizes. And that bubble allows you to drift in terms of what you see as ethical and unethical. Because you see the game as just part of the game. So marketing is just part of the game. Paying the fines is just part of the game of science. And without guardrails, it becomes even more part of the game. You keep moving in that direction. If you're not bumping up against guardrails. And I think that's how we've gotten to the extreme situation we're in now. So, like I mentioned, I spoke with Pfizer CEO, Albert Berla, and I'd like to raise with you some of the concerns I raised with him. So one, you already mentioned, I raised the concern that Pfizer's engaged in aggressive advertising campaigns. As you can imagine, he said no. What do you think? I think you're both right. I think that the, I agree with you, that the aggressive advertising campaigns do not add value to society. And I agree with him that they're, for the most part, legal. And it's the way the game is played. Right, so, sorry to interrupt, but oftentimes his responses are, especially now, he's been CEO for only like two years, three years, he says Pfizer was a different company, we've made mistakes, right, in the past. We don't make mistakes anymore. That there's rules, and we play by the rules. So like, with every concern raised, there's very, very strict rules, as he says. In fact, he says sometimes way too strict. And we play by them. And so in that sense, advertisement, it doesn't seem like it's too aggressive, because it's playing by the rules. And relative to the other, again, it's the game. Relative to the other companies, it's actually not that aggressive. Relative to the other big pharma companies. Yes, yes, I hope we can quickly get back to whether or not they're playing by the rules, but in general. But let's just look at the question of advertising specifically. I think that's a good example of what it looks like from within that culture, and from outside that culture. He's saying that we follow the law on our advertising. We state the side effects, and we state the FDA approved indications, and we do what the law says we have to do for advertising. And I have not, I've not been an expert in litigation for a few years, and I don't know what's going on currently, but let's take him at his word. It could be true, it might not be, but it could be. But if that's true, in his world, in his culture, that's ethical business behavior. From a common sense person's point of view, a drug company paying highly skilled media folks to take the information about the drug and create the illusion, the emotional impact, and the takeaway message for viewers of advertisements that grossly exaggerate the benefit of the drug and minimize the harms, it's sociopathic behavior to have viewers of ads leave the ad with an unrealistic impression of the benefits and harms of the drug. And yet he's playing by the rules, he's doing his job as CEO And if we release it, surely the world will discover the embarrassing and to do a sort of the steel man their argument. They'll take the small, the press, the people will take the small embarrassing things and blow them up into big things. Yes, and support the anti vax campaign. I think that's all possible. Nonetheless, the data are about the original clinical trial. And the emergency use authorization was based on the first few months of the data from that trial. And it was a two year trial. The rest of that data has not been opened up and there was not an advisory committee meeting to look at that data when the FDA granted full authorization. Again, I am pro vaccine. I am not making an anti vax argument here. But I suspect that there's something pretty serious in that data. And the reason why I'm not an anti vaxxer, having not been able to see the data that the FDA and Pfizer seem to willing not just to put effort into preventing the release of, but seem to have quite a bit of energy into preventing, invest quite a bit of energy in not releasing that data. The reason why that doesn't tip me over into the anti vaxxer side is because that's clinical trial data, early clinical trial data that involved several thousand people. We now have millions of data points from people who have had the vaccine. This is real world data, showing the efficacy of the vaccines. And so far, knock on wood, there aren't side effects that overcome the benefits of vaccine. So I'm with you. I'm now, I guess, three shots of the vaccine. But there's a lot of people that are kind of saying, well, even the data on the real world use large scale data is messy. The way it's being reported, the way it's being interpreted. Well, one thing is clear to me that it is being politicized. I mean, if you just look objectively, don't have to go to at the shallow surface level. It seems like there's two groups that I can't even put a term to it because it's not really pro vaccine versus anti vaccine because it's pro vaccine, triple mask, Democrat, liberal, and then anti mandate, whatever those groups are. I can't quite, cause they're changing. Anti mask, but not really, but kind of. So those two groups that feel political in nature, not scientific in nature, they're bickering. And then it's clear that this data is being interpreted by the different groups differently. And it's very difficult for me as a human being to understand where the truth lies, especially given how much money is flying around on all sides. So the anti vaxxers can make a lot of money too. Let's not forget this. From the individual perspective, you can become famous being an anti vaxxer. And so there's a lot of incentives on all sides here. And there's real human emotion and fear and also credibility. Scientists don't wanna ruin their reputation if they speak out in whatever, like speak their opinion or they look at some slice of the data and begin to interpret it in some kind of way. They're very, it's clear that fear is dominating the discourse here, especially in the scientific community. So I don't know what to make of that. And the only happy people here is Pfizer. It's just plowing all ahead. I mean, with every single variant, there's very, I would say, outside of arguably a very flawed system, there's a lot of incredible scientific and engineering work being done in constantly developing new, like antiviral drugs, new vaccines to deal with the variants. So they're happily being a capitalist machine. And it's very difficult to know what to do with that. And let's just put this in perspective for folks. The best selling drug in the world has been Humira for a number of years. It's approved for the treatment of rheumatoid arthritis and eight other indications. And it's sold about $20 billion globally over the past few years. It peaked at that level. Pfizer expects to sell $65 billion of vaccine in the first two years of the pandemic. So this is by far the biggest selling and most profitable drug that's ever come along. I can ask you a difficult question here. In the fog that we're operating in here, on the Pfizer BioNTech vaccine, what was done well and what was done badly that you can see now, it seems like we'll know more decades from now. Yes. But now in the fog of today with the $65 billion flying around, where do you land? So we're gonna get to what I think is one of the key problems with the pharmaceutical industry model in the United States about being profit driven. So in 2016, the NIH did the key infrastructure work to make mRNA vaccines. That gets left out of the discussion a lot. And Pfizer BioNTech actually paid royalties voluntarily to the NIH. I don't know how much it was. I don't think it was a whole lot of money, but I think they wanted to avoid the litigation that Moderna got itself into by just taking that 2016 knowledge and having that be the foundation of their product. So Pfizer took that and they did their R&D, they paid for their R&D having received that technology. And when they got the genetic code from China about the virus, they very quickly made a vaccine and the vaccine works. And President Trump to his credit launched Operation Warp Speed and just threw money at the problem. They just said, we spent five times more per person than the EU early on, just pay them whatever they want. Let's just get this going. And Americans were vaccinated more quickly. We paid a lot of money. The one mistake that I think the federal government made was they were paying these guaranteed fortunes and they didn't require that the companies participate in a program to do global vaccinations. So the companies doing their business model distributed the vaccines where they would make the most money. And obviously they would make the most money in the first world. And almost I think 85% of the vaccines early on went to the first world and very, very few vaccinations went to the third world. So what happened is there was such a low vaccination rate in May of 2021, there was all hands on deck cry for help from the World Trade Organization, the World Health Organization, the IMF and the World Bank made a plea for $50 billion so that we could get to 40% vaccination rate in the third world by the end of 2021. And it was unrequited, nobody answered. And now Africa has about a 8.9% vaccination rate. India is coming up, but it's been very low. The problem with all this is I believe those mRNA vaccines are excellent vaccines. But if we leave the third world unvaccinated, we're gonna have a constant supply of variants of COVID that are gonna come back into the United States and harm Americans exactly like Delta and Omicron have. So we've made a great drug, it reduces the risk of mortality in Americans who get it by a lot. But we're not doing what we need to do to protect Americans from Omicron. You don't have to be an idealist and worry about global vaccine equity. If you're just ordinary selfish people like most of us are, and you're worried about the health of Americans, you would ensure global vaccine distribution. Let me just make one more point. That $50 billion that was requested by the four organizations back in May of 2021, 32 billionaires made $50 billion from the vaccines at that point, took it into their private wealth. So what had been taken, this enormous amounts of money that had been taken into private wealth was enough to do what those organizations said needed to be done to prevent the sub variants from coming back and doing what they're doing. So the money was there, but how does the motivation, the money driven motivation of Big Pharma lead to that, that kind of allocation of vaccines? Because they can make more money in the United States. They're gonna distribute their vaccines where they can make the most money. Right, is there a malevolent aspect to this where, boy, I don't like saying this, but that they don't see it as a huge problem that variants will come back to the United States. I think it's the issue we were talking about earlier on where they're in a different culture and their culture is that their moral obligation, as Milton Friedman would say, is to maximize the profits that they return to shareholders. And don't think about the bigger picture. The collateral damage, don't think about the collateral. And also kind of believe, convince yourself that if we give into this capitalist machine in this very narrow sense of capitalism, that in the end, they'll do the most good. This kind of belief that like, if we just maximize profits, we'll do the most good. Yeah, that's an orthodoxy of several decades ago. And I don't think people can really say that in good faith. When you're talking about vaccinating the third world so we don't get hurt, it's a little bit hard to make the argument that the world's a better place because the profits of the investors went up. Yeah, but at the same time, I think that's a belief you can hold. I mean, I've interacted with a bunch of folks that kinda, it's the, I don't wanna mischaracterize Ayn Rand, okay? I respect a lot of people, but there's a belief that can take hold. If I just focus on this particular maximization, it will do the most good for the world. The problem is when you choose what to maximize and you put blinders on, it's too easy to start making gigantic mistakes that have a big negative impact on society. So it's really matters what you're maximizing. Right, and if we had a true democracy and everybody had one vote, everybody got decent information and had one vote, Ayn Rand's position would get some votes, but not many, and it would be way outvoted by the common people. Let me ask you about this very difficult topic. I'm talking to Mark Zuckerberg of Metta, the topic of censorship. I don't know if you've heard, but there's a guy named Robert Malone and Peter McCullough that were removed from many platforms for speaking about the COVID vaccine as being risky. They were both on Joe Rogan's program. What do you think about censorship in this space? In this difficult space where so much is controlled by, not controlled, but influenced by advertisements from Big Pharma, and science can even be influenced by Big Pharma. Where do you lean on this? Should we lean towards freedom and just allow all the voices, even those that go against the scientific consensus? Is that one way to fight the science that is funded by Big Pharma, or is that do more harm than good, having too many voices that are contending here? Should the ultimate battle be fought in the space of scientific publications? And particularly in the era of COVID, where there are large public health ramifications to this public discourse, the ante is way up. So I don't have a simple answer to that. I think everyone's allowed their own opinion. I don't think everyone's allowed their own scientific facts. And how we develop a mechanism that's other than an open internet where whoever is shouting the loudest gets the most clicks and rage creates value on the internet, I think that's not a good mechanism for working this out. And I don't think we have one. I don't have a solution to this. I mean, ideally, if we had a philosopher king, we could have a panel of people who were not conflicted by rigid opinions decide on what the boundaries of public discourse might be. I don't think it should be fully open. I don't think people who are making, who are committed to an anti vaccine position and will tailor their interpretation of complex scientific data to support their opinion, I think that can be harmful. Constraining their speech can be harmful as well. So I don't have an answer here. But yeah. I tend to believe that it's more dangerous to censor anti vax messages. The way to defeat anti vax messages is by being great communicators, by being great scientific communicators. So it's not that we need to censor the things we don't like. We need to be better at communicating the things we do like, or the things that we do believe represent the deep scientific truth. Because I think if you censor, you get worse at doing science and you give the wrong people power. So I tend to believe that you should give power to the individual scientists and also give them the responsibility of being better educators, communicators, expressers of scientific ideas, put pressure on them to release data, to release that data in a way that's easily consumable, not just like very difficult to understand, but in a way that can be understood by a large number of people. So the battle should be fought in the open space of ideas versus in the quiet space of journals. I think we no longer have that comfort, especially at the highest of stakes. So this kind of idea that a couple of peer reviewers decide the fate of billions doesn't seem to be sustainable, especially given a very real observation now that the reason Robert Malone has a large following is there's a deep distrust of institutions, deep distrust of scientists, of science as an institution, of power centers, of companies, of everything, and perhaps rightfully so. But the way to defend against that is not for the powerful to build a bigger wall. It's for the powerful to be authentic and maybe a lot of them to get fired, and for new minds, for new fresh scientists, ones who are more authentic, more real, better communicators to step up. So I fear censorship because it feels like censorship is an even harder job to do it well than being good communicators. And it seems like it's always the C students that end up doing the censorship. It's always the incompetent people, and not just the incompetent, but the biggest whiners. So what happens is the people that get the most emotional and the most outraged will drive the censorship. And it doesn't seem like reason drives the censorship. That's just objectively observing how censorship seems to work in this current. So there's so many forms of censorship. You look at the Soviet Union or the propaganda or Nazi Germany, it's a very different level of censorship. People tend to conflate all of these things together. Social media trying desperately to have trillions or hundreds of billions of exchanges a day, and try to make sure that their platform has some semblance of, quote, healthy conversations. People just don't go insane. They actually like using the platform, and they censor based on that. That's a different level of censorship. But even there, you can really run afoul of the people that get the whiny C students controlling too much of the censorship. I believe you should actually put the responsibility on the self proclaimed holders of truth, AKA scientists, at being better communicators. I agree with that. I'm not advocating for any kind of censorship. But Marshall McLuhan was very influential when I was in college. And his, that meme, the medium is the message. It's a little bit hard to understand when you're comparing radio to TV and saying radio's hotter or TV's hotter or something. But we now have the medium as the message in a way that we've never seen, we've never imagined before, where rage and anger and polarization are what drives the traffic on the internet. And we don't, it's a question of building the commons. Ideally, I don't know how to get there, so I'm not pretending to have a solution. But the commons of discourse about this particular issue, about vaccines, has been largely destroyed by the edges, by the drug companies and the advocates on the one side and the people who just criticize and think that even though the data are flawed that there's no way vaccines can be beneficial. And to have those people screaming at each other does nothing to improve the health of the 95% of the people in the middle who want to know what the rational way to go forward is and protect their families from COVID and live a good life and be able to participate in the economy. And that's the problem. I don't have a solution. Well, there's a difficult problem for Spotify and YouTube. I don't know if you heard, this is a thing that Joe Rogan is currently going through. As a platform, whether to censor the conversation that, for example, Joe's having. So I don't know if you heard, but Neil Young and other musicians have kind of spoke out and saying they're going to leave the platform because Joe Rogan is allowed to be on this platform having these kinds of conversations with the likes of Robert Malone. And it's clear to me that Spotify and YouTube are being significantly influenced by these extreme voices, like you mentioned, on each side. And it's also clear to me that Facebook is the same and it was going back and forth. In fact, that's why Facebook has been oscillating on the censorship is like one group gets louder than the other, depending on whether it's an election year. There's several things to say here. So one, it does seem, I think you put it really well, it would be amazing if these platforms could find mechanisms to listen to the center, to the big center that's actually going to be affected by the results of our pursuit of scientific truth. And listen to those voices. I also believe that most people are intelligent enough to process information and to make up their own minds. Like they're not, in terms of, it's complicated, of course, because we've just been talking about advertisement and how people can be influenced. But I feel like if you have raw, long form podcasts or programs where people express their mind and express their argument in full, I think people can hear it to make up their own mind. And if those arguments have a platform on which they can live, then other people could provide better arguments if they disagree with it. And now we as human beings, as rational, as intelligent human beings, can look at both and make up our own minds. And that's where social media can be very good at this collective intelligence. We together listen to all of these voices and make up our own mind. Humble ourselves, actually, often. You think, you know, like you're an expert, say you have a PhD in a certain thing, so there's this confidence that comes with that. And the collective intelligence, uncensored, allows you to humble yourself eventually. Like as you discover, all it takes is a few times, you know, looking back five years later, realizing I was wrong. And that's really healthy for a scientist. That's really healthy for anybody to go through. And only through having that open discourse can you really have that. That said, Spotify also, just like Pfizer is a company, which is why this podcast, I don't know if you know what RSS feeds are, but podcasts can't be censored. So Joe's in the unfortunate position he only lives on Spotify. So Spotify has been actually very good at saying we're staying out of it for now. But RSS, this is pirate radio. Nobody can censor it, it's the internet. So financially, in terms of platforms, this cannot be censored, which is why podcasts are really beautiful. And so if Spotify or YouTube wants to be the host of podcasts, I think where they flourish is free expression, no matter how crazy. Yes, but I do wanna push back a little bit on what you're saying. I have anti fax friends who I love. They're dear, cherished friends. And they'll send me stuff. And it'll take me an hour to go through what they sent to see if it is credible. And usually it's not. It's not a random sample of the anti fax argument. I'm not saying I can disprove the anti fax argument. But I am saying that it's almost like we were talking about how medical science clinical trials, the presentation of clinical trials to physicians could be improved. And the first thing we came up with is to have pre publication transparency in the peer review process. So bad information, biased information doesn't get out as if it's legitimate, and you can't put it back, recapture it once it gets out. I think there's an element of that in the arguments that are going on about vaccines. And they're on both sides. But I think the anti fax side puts out more units of information claiming to show that the vaccines don't work. And I guess in an ideal situation, there would be real time fact checking by independent people, not to censor it, but to just say that study was set up to do this, and this is what the conclusions were. So the way it was stated is on one side of this argument. But that's what I'm arguing. I agree with you. What I'm arguing is that this big network of humans that we have, that is the collective intelligence, can't do that real time if you allow it to, if you encourage people to do it. And the scientists, as opposed to, listen, I interact with a lot of colleagues, a lot of friends that are scientists, they roll their eyes. Their response is like, ugh. Like they don't want to interact with this. But that's just not the right response. When a huge number of people believe this, it is your job as communicators to defend your ideas. It is no longer the case that you go to a conference and defend your ideas to two other nerds that have been working on the same problem forever. I mean, sure, you can do that, but then you're rejecting the responsibility you have explicitly or implicitly accepted when you go into this field, that you will defend the ideas of truth. And the way to defend them is in the open battlefield of ideas, and become a better communicator. And I believe that when you have a lot, you said you invested one or two hours in this particular, but that's little ants interacting at scale, I think that allows us to progress towards truth. At least, you know, at least I hope so. I think you're an optimist. I want to work with you a little bit on this. Let's say a person like Joe Rogan, who, by the way, had me on his podcast and let me. It's an amazing conversation, I really enjoyed it. Well, thank you. I did too. And I didn't know Joe. I didn't know much about his podcast. He pushed back on Joe a bunch, which is great. And he was a gentleman, and we had it out. In fact, he put one clip, at one point, he said something that was a little bit wrong, and I corrected him. And he had the guy who. Jamie. Jamie, he had Jamie check it, and was very forthright in saying, yeah, you know, John's got a right here. We gotta modify this. In any event, in any event. You got him. Well, I wasn't trying to get him, I was just trying to. No, no, no, no. Totally, it was a beautiful exchange. There was so much respect in the room, pushing back and forth, it was great. Yeah, so I respect him. And I think when he has somebody on who's a dyed in the wool anti faxer, the question is, how can you balance, if it needs balance, in real time? I'm not talking about afterwards. I'm talking in real time. Maybe you record, well, he does record it, obviously. But maybe when there's a statement made that is made as if it's fact based, maybe that statement should be checked by some folks who, imaginary folks who are trustworthy. And in real time, as that discussion is being played on the podcast, to show what independent experts say about that claim. That's a really interesting idea. By the way, for some reason, this idea popped into my head now. I think real time is very difficult, and it's not difficult, but it kind of ruins the conversation because you want the idea to breathe. I think what's very possible is before it's published, it's the pre publication, before it's published, you let a bunch of people review it, and they can add their voices in post. Before it's published, they can add arguments, arguments against certain parts. That's very interesting to sort of, as one podcast, publish addendums. Publish the peer review together with the publication. That's very interesting. I might actually do that. That's really interesting. Because I've been doing more debates where at the same time have multiple people, which has a different dynamic because both people, I mean, it's really nice to have the time to pause just by yourself to fact check, to look at the study that was mentioned, to understand what's going on. So the peer review process, to have a little bit of time. That's really interesting. I actually would, I'd like to try that. To agree with you on some point in terms of anti vax, I've been fascinated by listening to arguments from this community of folks that's been quite large called the flat earthers, the people that believe the earth is flat. And I don't know if you've ever listened to them or read their arguments, but it's fascinating how consistent and convincing it all sounds when you just kind of take it in. Just like, just take it in like listening normally. It's all very logical. Like if you don't think very, well, no, so the thing is, the reality is at the very basic human level with our limited cognitive capabilities, the earth is pretty flat when you go outside and you look at flat. So like when you use common sense reasoning, it's very easy to play to that, to convince you that the earth is flat. Plus there's powerful organizations that want to manipulate you and so on. But then there's the whole progress of science and physics of the past, but that's difficult to integrate into your thought process. So it's very true that the people should listen to flat earthers because it was very revealing to me how easy it is to be convinced of basically anything by charismatic arguments. And if we're arguing about whether the earth is flat or not, as long as we're not navigating airplanes and doing other kinds of things, trying to get satellites to do transmission, it's not that important what I believe. But if we're arguing about how we approach the worst public health crisis in, I don't know how long, I think we're getting worse than the Spanish flu now. I don't know what the total global deaths with Spanish flu were, but in the United States, we certainly have more deaths than we had from Spanish flu. Plus the economic pain and suffering. Yes, yes, and the damage to the kids in school and so forth. We got a problem and it's not going away, unfortunately. So when we get a problem like that, it's not just an interesting bar room conversation about whether the earth is flat. There are millions of lives involved. Let me ask you yet another question, an issue I raised with Pfizer CO, Albert Burla. It's the question of revolving doors. That there seems to be a revolving door between Pfizer, FDA, and CDC. People that have worked at the FDA, now work at Pfizer, and vice versa, including the CDC and so on. What do you think about that? So first of all, his response, once again, is there's rules, there's very strict rules, and we follow them. Do you think that's a problem? Hoo ha. And also, maybe this is a good time to talk about this Pfizer play by the rules. One at a time? One at a time. Okay, and this isn't even about Pfizer, but it's an answer to the question. Yes. So there's this drug, Ajihelm, that was approved by the FDA maybe six months ago. It's a drug to prevent the progression of low grade Alzheimer's disease. The target for drug development for Alzheimer's disease has been reducing the amyloid plaques in the brain, which correlate with the progression of Alzheimer's. And Biogen showed that its drug, Ajihelm, reduces amyloid plaques in the brain. They did two clinical trials to determine the clinical efficacy, and they found that neither trial showed a meaningful benefit. And in those two trials, 33% more people in the Ajihelm group developed symptomatic brain swelling and bleeding than people in the placebo group. There was an advisory committee convened to debate and determine how they felt about the approvability of Ajihelm, given those facts. And those facts aren't in dispute. They're in Biogen slides, as well as FDA documents. The advisory committee voted 10 against approval and one abstain. So that's essentially universal, unanimous vote against approving Ajihelm. Now, the advisory committees have been pretty much cleansed of financial conflicts of interest. So this advisory committee votes 10 no, one abstention, and the FDA overrules the unanimous opinion of its advisory committee and approves the drug. Three of the members of the advisory committee resign. They say, we're not gonna be part, if the FDA is not gonna listen to a unanimous vote against approving this drug, which shows more harm than benefit, undisputed, we're not gonna participate in this. And the argument against approval is that the surrogate endpoint, the reduction of amyloid, the progression of amyloid plaques is known by the FDA not to be a valid clinical indicator. It doesn't correlate, 27 studies have shown, it doesn't correlate with clinical progression, interrupting the amyloid plaques doesn't mean that your Alzheimer's doesn't get worse. So it seems like it's a slam dunk and the FDA made a mistake and they should do whatever they do to protect their bureaucratic reputation. So the head of the Bureau of the FDA, the Center for Drug Evaluation and Research that approves new drugs, who had spent 16 years as an executive in the pharmaceutical industry, issued a statement and said, "'What we should do in this situation "'is to loosen the prohibition of financial ties of interest "'with the drug companies, "'so we get less emotional responses.'" Said this, it's in print. People are just too emotional about this. People were just too emotional. The 10 people who voted against it and the no people who voted for it, it's all too emotional. So this gets back, this is a long answer to your short question. I think this is a wonderful window into the thinking of the FDA that financial conflicts of interest don't matter in a situation when I think it's obvious that they would matter. But there's not a direct financial conflict of interest. It's kinda, like it's not, like Albert said, there's rules. I mean, you're not allowed to have direct financial conflicts of interest. It's indirect. Right, but what I'm saying is, I'm not denying what he said is true, but the FDA, a high official in the FDA, is saying that we need to allow conflicts of interest in our advisory committee meetings. Wow. And that, she wants to change the rules. Right. So Albert Borla would still be playing by the rules, but it just shows how one side of the thinking here is. But you think that's influenced by the fact that there were pharmaceutical executives working at the FDA and vice versa? And they think that's a great idea. Who gets to fix this? Do you think it should be just banned? Like if you worked. I don't know, two separate questions. One is should the officials at the FDA come from pharma and vice versa? Yes. That's one question. And the other question is should advisory committee members be allowed to have financial conflicts of interest? Yes. I think, in my opinion, and people might say I'm biased, I think advisory committee people should not have conflicts of interest. I think their only interest ought to be the public interest. And that was true from my understanding of the situation. It's the afterword in my book. I spent some time studying it about Ajihelm. I think it's a slam dunk that there ought to be no conflicts of interest. Now the head of CDER, Center for Drug Evaluation Research, thinks that that's gonna give you a biased result because we don't have company influence. And that, I think, shows how biased their thinking is. That not having company influence is a bias. Let me try to load that in. I'm trying to empathize with the belief that companies should have a voice at the table. I mean, yeah, it's part of the game. They've convinced themselves that this is how it should be played. But they have a voice at the table. They've designed the studies. Right. That's their voice. That's the whole point. They analyze the data. I mean, what bigger voice do you deserve? But I do also think, on the more challenging question, I do think that there should be a ban. If you work at a pharmaceutical company, you should not be allowed to work at any regulatory agency. Yes. You should not. I mean, that, going back and forth, it just, even if it's 30 years later. Yeah, I agree. And I have another nomination for a ban. We're in this crazy situation where Medicare is not allowed to negotiate the price of drugs with the drug companies. So the drug companies get a patent on a new drug. Unlike every other developed country, they can charge whatever they want so they have a monopoly on a utility because no one else can make the drug. Charge whatever they want and Medicare has to pay for it. And you say, how did we get in this crazy situation? So how we got here is that in 2003, when Medicare Part D was passed, Billy Towson was head of the Ways and Means Committee in the House, played a key role in ushering this through with the nonnegotiation clause of it. And after it was passed, Billy Towson did not finish out his term in Congress. He went to pharma for a $2 million a year job. This is incredible. You might think that a ban on that would be a good idea. I spoke with Francis Collins, head of the NIH, on this podcast. He and NIH have a lot of power over funding in science. What are they doing right, what are they doing wrong in this interplay with big pharma? How connected are they? Again, returning to the question, what are they doing right, what are they doing wrong in your view? So my knowledge of the NIH is not as granular as my knowledge of pharma. That said, in broad brushstrokes, the NIH is doing the infrastructure work for all drug development. I think they've participated in 100% of the drugs that have been approved by the FDA over the past 10 years or so. They've done infrastructure work. And what they do is not work on particular drugs, but they develop work on drug targets, on targets in the human body that can be affected by drugs and might be beneficial to turn on or off. And then the drug companies, when they find a target that is mutable and potentially beneficial, then the drug companies can take the research and choose to invest in the development of the drugs, specific drug. That's our model. Now, 96% of the research that's done in clinical trials in the United States is about drugs and devices. And only a fraction of the 4% that's left over is about preventive medicine and how to make Americans healthier. I think, again, from the satellite view, the NIH is investing more in science that can lead to commercial development rather than, as you said at the beginning of the podcast, there's no big fitness and lifestyle industry that can counter pharma. So I think at the NIH level, that countering can be done. And the diabetes prevention program study that we talked about before where lifestyle was part of a randomized trial and was shown to be more effective than metformin at preventing the development of diabetes, that is absolute proof positive that investing in that kind of science can produce good results. So I think that we're aimed at drug development and what we ought to be aimed at is an epidemiological approach to improving the health of all Americans. We rank 68th in the world in healthy life expectancy despite spending an extra trillion and a half dollars a year. And I believe strongly that the reason why we've gotten in this crazy position is because the knowledge that we're producing is about new drugs and devices and it's not about improving population health. In this problem, the NIH is the perfect institution to play a role in rebalancing our research agenda. And some of that is on the leadership side with Francis Collins and Anthony Fauci, not just speaking about basically everything that just leads to drug development, vaccine development, but also speaking about healthy lifestyles and speaking about health, not just sickness. Yes, and investing, investing in health. I mean, it's like one feeds the other. One, you have to communicate to the public the importance of investing in health and that leads to you getting props for investing in health and then you can invest in health more and more and that communicates, I mean, everything that Anthony Fauci says or Francis Collins says has an impact on scientists. I mean, it sets the priorities. I don't think they, it's the sad thing about leaders, forgive me for saying the word, but mediocre leaders is they don't see themselves as part of a game. They don't see the momentum. It's like a fish in the water. They don't see the water. Great leaders stand up and reverse the direction of how things are going. And I actually put a lot of responsibility, some people say too much, but whatever. I think leaders carry the responsibility. I put a lot of responsibility on Anthony Fauci and Francis Collins for not actually speaking a lot more about health, not, and bigger, inspiring people in the power and the trustworthiness of science. You know, that's on the shoulders of Anthony Fauci. I'm gonna abstain from that because I'm not expert enough, but. Neither am I, but I'm opinionated. I am too, but not on camera. Yes. No, but seriously, the problem is pretty simple, that we're investing 96% of our funding of clinical research in drugs and devices and 80% of our health is determined by how we live our lives. Yes. And this is ridiculous. The United States is going further and further behind the other wealthy countries in terms of our health. We ranked 38th in healthy life expectancy in 2000 and now we're spending a trillion and a half dollars extra and we rank 68th. We've gone down. You have this excellent, there's a few charts that I'll overlay that tell this story in really powerful ways. So one is the healthcare spending is percentage of GDP that on the X axis is years and the Y axis is percentage and the United States as compared to other countries on average has been much larger and growing. Right, we are now spending 7% more of our GDP, 17.7% versus 10.7% on healthcare. 7% and I think GDP is the fairest way to compare healthcare spending. Where per person in dollars we're spending even, the difference is even greater but other costs vary with GDP. So let's stick with the conservative way to do it. 17.7 or 18% of GDP, 18% of GDP spent on healthcare, 7% higher than the comparable country average. Right. 17.7% versus 10.7, 7% higher. Right and 7% of $23 trillion GDP is more than $1.5 trillion a year in excess. And then you have another chart that shows healthcare system performance compared to spending. And there's a cloud, a point cloud of different countries. The X axis being healthcare spending is a percentage of GDP which we just talked about. That US is 7% higher than everyone, the average. And then on the Y axis is performance. So X axis spending, Y axis performance. And there's a point cloud, we'll overlay this if you're watching on YouTube, of a bunch of countries that have high performance for what they're spending and then US is all alone on the right bottom side of the chart where it's low performance and high spending. Correct. So this is a system that is abiding by spending that is directed by the most profitable ways to deliver healthcare. So you put that in the hands of big pharma. As you maximize for profit, you're going to decrease performance and increase spending. Yes, but I wanna qualify that and say it's not all big pharma's fault. They're not responsible for all the problems in our healthcare system. They're not responsible for the administrative costs for example. But they are the largest component of the rising, our rising healthcare costs. And it has to do with this knowledge issue. Controlling the knowledge that doctors have makes it so that doctors can live with this situation believing that it's optimal when it's a wreck. Yeah. Let me ask you the big, so as a physician, so everything you've seen, we've talked about 80% of the impact on health is lifestyle. How do we live longer? What advice would you give to general people? What space of ideas result in living longer and higher quality lives? Right, this is a very simple question to answer. Exercise for at least a half hour at least five times a week. Number one. Number two, don't smoke. Number three, maintain a reasonably healthy body weight. Some people argue that being lower than a BMI of 25 is healthy. I think that may be true, but I think getting above 30 is unhealthy and that ought to be. Now that's largely impacted by socioeconomic status and we don't wanna blame the victims here. So we gotta understand that when we talk about all of these things, not cigarettes, but exercise and a good diet and maintaining a healthy body weight, we have to include in doing those things the impediments to people of lower socioeconomic status being able to make those changes. We've got to understand that personal responsibility accounts for some of this, but also social circumstances accounts for some of it. And back to your fish bowl analogy, if you're swimming in a fish bowl, if you live in a fish tank that's not being properly maintained, the approach wouldn't be to treat individual sick fish, it would be to fix your fish tank to get the bacteria out of it and whatever bad stuff is in there and make your fish tank healthier. Well, we invest far less than the other wealthy countries do. We're flipped, we have the mirror image in the spending on social determinants of health and medical determinants of health. We have exactly the wrong order. And not only does that choke off social determinants of health, which are very important, but actually just the ratio, even if you were spending, if we raise the social spending and raise our medical spending in proportion, it's the ratio of social spending to medical spending that's the problem. So, and why do we do that? Well, the answer is perfectly obvious that the way to transfer money from working Americans to investors is through the biomedical model, not through the social health model. And that's the problem for, and I'd like to discuss this because the market isn't gonna get us to a reasonable allocation. All the other wealthy countries that are so much healthier than we are and spending so much less than we are have some form of government intervention in the quality of the health data that's available, in the budgeting of health and social factors. And we don't, we're kind of the Wild West and we let the market determine those allocations. And it's an awful failure. It's a horrendous failure. So one argument against government, or sorry, an alternative to the government intervention is the market can work better if the citizenry has better information. So one argument is that communicators like podcasts and so on, but other channels of communication will be the way to fight big pharma. Your book is the way to, by providing information. The alternative to the government intervention on every aspect of this, including communication with the doctors is to provide them other information and not allow the market to provide that information by basically making it exciting to buy books, to make better and better communicators on Twitter, through books, through op eds, through podcasts, through so on. So basically, cause there's a lot of incentive to communicate against the messages of big pharma. There's incentive because people want to understand what's good for their lives and they're willing to listen to charismatic people that are able to clearly explain what is good for them. And they do, and more than 80% of people think that drugs cost too much and the drug industry is too interested in profits. But they still get influenced. They can't, you can't get the vote through Congress. You know, Democrats and Republicans alike are taking money from Congress and somehow it just doesn't work out that these even small changes. I mean, the pared down part of Medicare, the plan for increasing Medicare negotiation drug costs in Build Back Better, it's literally gonna reduce the number of new drugs that are beneficial, uniquely beneficial by about one new drug or two new drugs over 30 years. It will have virtually an indecipherable impact. And yet pharma is talking about the impact on innovation. And if you vote for this, if you let your Congressman vote for this, you're gonna severely slow down drug innovation and that's gonna affect the quality of your life. Let me ask you about over medication that we've been talking about from different angles. But one difficult question for me, I'll just, I'll pick one of the difficult topics, depression. So depression is a serious, painful condition that leads to a lot of people suffering in the world. And yet it is likely they were over prescribing antidepressants. So as a doctor, as a patient, as a healthcare system, as a society, what do we do with that fact that people suffer? There's a lot of people suffering from depression and there's also people suffering from over prescribing of antidepressants. Right. So a paper in the New England Journal by Eric Turner showed that the data, if you put all the data together from antidepressants, you find out that antidepressants are not effective for people who are depressed but don't have a major depression. Major depression is a serious problem. People can't function normally. They have a hard time getting out, performing their normal social roles. But what's happened is that the publicity, I mean, Prozac Nation was a good example of making the argument that why should people settle for normal happiness when they can have better than normal happiness? And if you're not having normal happiness, you should take a drug. Well, that concept that serotonin metabolism is the root cause of depression is really a destructive one. We have drugs that change serotonin metabolism but we don't know if that's why antidepressants work on major depression. And they certainly don't work on everybody with major depression. I forget what the number needed a treat is. I think it's around four, one out of four people have significant improvement. But the people without major depression don't get better. And the vast majority of these drugs are used for people without major depression. So what's happened is that the feelings of life satisfaction of happiness and not sadness have been medicalized. The normal range of feelings have been medicalized. And that's not to say that they shouldn't be attended to. But the evidence shows that attending to them by giving somebody a medicine doesn't help except that they feel like somebody cares about them and believes that they're suffering. to maximize the effect of his advertising, and if he doesn't do it, this is a key point, if he doesn't do it, he'll get fired and the next guy will. So the people that survive in the company, the people that get raises in the company, move up in the company are the ones that play by the rules, and that's how the game solidifies itself. But the game is within the bounds of the law. Sometimes, most of the time, not always. We'll return to that question. I'm actually more concerned about the effect of advertisement in a kind of much larger scale on the people that are getting funded by the advertisement in self censorship, just like more subtle, more passive pressure to not say anything negative. Because I've seen this, and I've been saddened by it, that people sacrifice integrity in small ways when they're being funded by a particular company. They don't see themselves as doing so, but you can just clearly see that the space of opinions that they're willing to engage in, or a space of ideas they're willing to play with, is one that doesn't include negative, anything that could possibly be negative about the company. They just choose not to. Because, you know, why? And that's really sad to me, that if you give me a hundred bucks, I'm less likely to say something negative about you. That makes me sad. Because the reason I wouldn't say something negative about you, I prefer, is the pressure of friendship and human connection, those kinds of things. So I understand that. That's also a problem, by the way, sort of having dinners and shaking hands, and oh, aren't we friends? But the fact that money has that effect is really sad to me. On the news media, on the journalists, on scientists, that's scary to me. But of course, the direct advertisement to consumers, like you said, is a potentially very negative effect. I wanted to ask if what you think is the most negative impact of advertisement, is it that direct to consumer on television? Is it advertisement of the doctors? Which I'm surprised to learn, I was vaguely looking at, is more spent on advertising to doctors than to consumers. That's really confusing to me. It's fascinating, actually. And then also, obviously, the law side of things is the lobbying dollars, which I think is less than all of those. But anyway, it's in the ballpark. What concerns you most? Well, it's the whole nexus of influence. There's not one thing, and they don't invest all their, they don't put all their eggs in one basket. It's a whole surround sound program here. But in terms of advertisements, let's take the advertisement. Trulicity is a diabetes drug, for type two diabetes, an injectable drug. And it lowers blood sugar just about as well as Metformin does. Metformin costs about $4 a month. Trulicity costs, I think, $6,200 a year. So $48 a year versus $6,200. Trulicity has distinguished itself because the manufacturer did a study that showed that it significantly reduces the risk of cardiovascular disease in diabetics. And they got approval on the basis of that study, that very large study being statistically significant. So the ads obviously extol the virtues of Trulicity because it reduces the risk of heart disease and stroke, and that's one of the major morbidities, risks of type two diabetes. What the ad doesn't say is that you have to treat 323 people to prevent one nonfatal event at a cost of $2.7 million. And even more importantly than that, what the ad doesn't say is that the evidence shows that engaging in an active, healthy lifestyle program reduces the risk of heart disease and strokes far more than Trulicity does. Now, to be fair to the company, the sponsor, there's never been a study that compared Trulicity to lifestyle changes. But that's part of the problem of our advertising. You would think in a rational society that was way out on a limb as a lone country besides New Zealand that allows direct to consumer advertising, that part of allowing direct to consumer advertising would be to mandate that the companies establish whether their drug is better than, say, healthy lifestyle adoption to prevent the problems that they claim to be preventing. But we don't require that. So the companies can afford to do very large studies so that very small differences become statistically significant. And their studies are asking the question, how can we sell more drug? They're not asking the question, how can we prevent cardiovascular disease in people with type 2 diabetes? And that's how we get off in this, we're now in the extreme arm of this distortion of our medical knowledge of studying how to sell more drugs than how to make people more healthy. That's a really great thing to compare to, is lifestyle changes. Because that should be the bar. If you do some basic diet, exercise, all those kinds of things, how does this drug compare to that? Right, right. And that study was done, actually, in the 90s. It's called the Diabetes Prevention Program. It was federally funded by the NIH so that there wasn't this drug company imperative to just try to prove your drug was better than nothing. And it was a very well designed study, randomized controlled trial in people who were at high risk of diabetes, so called pre diabetics. And they were randomized to three different groups, a placebo group, a group that got treated with metformin, and a group that got treated with intensive lifestyle counseling. So this study really tested whether you can get people in a randomized controlled trial assigned to intensive lifestyle changes, whether that works. Now the common wisdom amongst physicians, and I think in general, is that you can't get people to change. You know, you can do whatever you want, you can stand on your head, you can beg and plead, people won't change. So give it up and let's just move on with the drugs and not waste any time. Except this study that was published in the New England Journal, I think in 2002, shows that's wrong. That the people who were in the intensive lifestyle group ended up losing 10 pounds, exercising five times a week, maintaining it, and reduced their risk of getting diabetes by 58%, compared to the metformin group, which reduced its risk of getting diabetes by 31%. So that exact study was done and it showed that lifestyle intervention is the winner. Who, as a small tangent, is the leader, who is supposed to fight for the side of lifestyle changes? Where's the big pharma version of lifestyle changes? Who's supposed to have the big bully pulpit, the big money behind lifestyle changes? In your sense, because that seems to be missing in a lot of our discussions about health policy. Right, that's exactly right. And the answer is that we assume that the market has to solve all of these problems. And the market can't solve all of these problems. There needs to be some way of protecting the public interest for things that aren't financially driven. So that the overriding question has to be how best to improve Americans health, not companies funding studies to try and prove that their new inexpensive drug is better and should be used. Well, some of that is also people sort of like yourself. I mean, it's funny, you spoke with Joe Rogan. He constantly espouses lifestyle changes. So some of it is almost like understanding the problems that big pharma is creating in society and then sort of these influential voices speaking up against it. So whether they're scientists or just regular communicators. Yeah, I think you gotta tip your hat to Joe for getting that message out. And he clearly believes it and does his best. But it's not coming out in the legitimate avenues, in the legitimate channels that are evidence based medicine and from the sources that the docs are trained to listen to and modify their patient care on. Now, it's not 100%. I mean, there are articles in the big journals about the benefits of lifestyle, but they don't carry the same gravitas as the randomized controlled trials that test this drug against placebo or this drug against another drug. So the Joe Rogans of the world keep going. I tip my hat. But it's not gonna carry the day for most of the people But there are problems in living that give rise to much of this symptomatology of less than major depression. And let's call it what it is and figure out a way to help people in visual therapy, group therapy. Maybe lifestyle modification would work. We gotta try that. But let's call it what it is instead of saying, oh, you're in this vast basket of people who are depressed so we'll give you an antidepressant even though the evidence shows that people who are suffering from your level of depression don't get better. And that's a consequence of not focusing on preventative medicine, the lifestyle changes, all that kind of stuff. Well, yes, but it's really a consequence of the drug companies creating the impression that if you're sad, take a pill. If you're nonmajor depression, how do you overcome depression? Well, you have to talk about what the problem is. So talk therapy, lifestyle changes. Well, no, I'm not jumping to that. I'm saying that you ought to, A, the way you feel must be respected. Yeah, acknowledge that you're suffering. Acknowledge that you're suffering and deal with healthcare providers who acknowledge that you're suffering. So let's take that first step. And then. Big first step also. Big first step, yeah. Family docs are pretty good at that. That's kind of the arena that caused me to go into family medicine. The subjective experience of the patient. Okay, so you're a person who is not getting the enjoyment out of their life that they feel they ought to be getting. Now let's figure out why and whether that means some time with a social worker, some time with a psychiatrist, some time with a psychiatric nurse. I'm not sure how you'd best do that most effectively and efficiently, but that's what you need to do. And it may be that there's a marital problem and there's something going on and one of the spouses can't find satisfaction in the life they have to live within their relationship. Maybe there's a past history of trauma or abuse that somebody is projecting onto their current situation. Maybe there's socioeconomic circumstances where they can't find a job that gives them self respect and enough money to live. All, you know, an infinite range of things. But let's figure out, make a diagnosis first. The diagnosis isn't that the person feels sadder than they feel, than they want to feel. The diagnosis is why does the person feel sadder than they want to feel? You mentioned this is what made you want to get into family medicine. As a doctor, what do you think about the saying, save one life, save the world? This was always moving to me about doctors because you have like this human in front of you and your time is worth money. Your, what you prescribe and your efforts after the visit are worth money. And it seems like the task of the doctor is to not think about any of that. Or not the task, but it seems like a great doctor, despite all that, just forgets it all and just cares about the one human. And somehow that feels like the love and effort you put into helping one person is the thing that will save the world. It's not like some economic argument or some political argument or financial argument. It's a very human drive that ultimately is behind all of this that will do good for the world. Yes, I think that's true. And at the same time, I think it's equally true that all physicians need to have a sense of responsibility about how the common resources are allocated to serve the whole population's interest best. That's a tension that you have as a physician. Let's take the extreme example. Let's say you had a patient in front of you who if you gave one $10 billion pill to, you would save their life. I would just be tortured by that as a physician because I know that $10 billion spent properly in an epidemiologically guided way is gonna save a whole lot more lives than one life. So it's also your responsibility as a physician to walk away from that patient. I wouldn't say that. I think it's your responsibility to be tortured by it. That's exactly right. The human condition. That's a tough job, but yeah, yeah. To maintain your humanity through it all. Yeah, but you've been asking at different points in this conversation, why are doctors so complacent about the tremendous amount of money we're spending? Why do they accept knowledge from different sources that may not pan out when they really know the truth? And the answer is that they're trying to do their best for their patients. And there's this, it's the same kind of torture to figure out what the hell is going on with the data. And that's a sort of future project. And maybe people will read my book and maybe they'll get a little more excited about it, become more legitimate in practice. I would feel like my life was worthwhile if that happened. But at the same time, they've got to do something with the patient in front of them. They've got to make a decision. And they probably, there are not many weirdos like me who invest their life in figuring out what's behind the data. They're trying to get through the day and do the right thing for their patient. So they're tortured by that decision too. And so if you're not careful, big pharma can manipulate that drive to try to help the patient, that humanity of dealing with the uncertainty of it all. Like what is the best thing to do? Big pharma can step in and use money to manipulate that humanity. Yeah, I would state it quite differently. It's sort of an opt out rather than an opt in. Big pharma will do that. And you need to opt out of it. What advice would you give to a young person today in high school or college stepping into this complicated world full of advertisements, of big powerful institutions, of big rich companies, how to have a positive impact in the world, how to live a life they can be proud of? I would say should that person who has only good motives go into medicine. They have an inclination to go into medicine and they've asked me what I think about that given what I know about the undermining of American healthcare at this point. And my answer is if you've got the calling, you should do it. You should do it because nobody's gonna do it better than you. And if you don't have the calling and you're in it for the money, you're not gonna be proud of yourself. How do you prevent yourself from doing, from letting the system change you over years and years, like letting the game of pharmaceutical influence affect you? It's a very hard question because the sociologic norms are to be affected and to trust the sources of information that are largely controlled by the drug industry. And that's why I wrote Sickening, is to try and help those people in the medical profession to understand that what's going on right now looks normal but it's not. The health of Americans is going downhill. Our society's getting ruined by the money that's getting pulled out of other socially beneficial uses to pay for health care that is not helping us. So fundamentally, the thing that is normal, now question the normal, don't. If you conform, conform hesitantly. Well, you have to conform. You can't become a doctor without conforming. I just made it through. But there aren't many and it's hard work. But you have to conform. And even with my colleagues in my own practice, I couldn't convince them that some of the beliefs they had about how best to practice weren't accurate. There's one scene, a younger physician had prescribed hormone replacement therapy. This is back in 2000, 2001. Had prescribed hormone replacement therapy for one of my patients who happened to be a really good personal friend. And I saw that patient covering for my colleague at one point and I saw that her hormone replacement therapy had been renewed. And I said, are you having hot flashes or any problem? No, no, no, no. But Dr. So and So said it's better for my health. And I said, no, it's not. The research is showing that it's not, it's harmful for your health and I think you should stop it. So my colleague approached me when she saw the chart and said, wait a minute, that's my patient. Maybe your friend, but it's my patient. And I went to a conference from my alma mater, medical school, and they said that healthy people should be given hormone replacement. And I said, there's got to be a way to get rid of it. And I said, there's got to be drug companies involved in this. And she said, no, no, no, it was at my university. It was not a drug company thing. We didn't go to a Caribbean island. I said, do you have the syllabus? She said, yeah. And she went and got the syllabus and sure enough, it was sponsored by a drug company. They're everywhere. They're everywhere. And it's back to Kuhn that groups of experts share unspoken assumptions, and in order to be included in that group of experts, you have to share those unspoken assumptions. And what I'm hoping to do with my book, Sickening, and being here having this wonderful conversation with you is to create an alternative to this normal that people can pursue and practice better medicine and also prevent burnout. I mean, about half the doctors complain that they're burned out and they've had it. And I think that this is subjective. I don't have data on this. This is just my opinion. But I think that a lot of that burnout is so called moral injury from practicing in a way that the docs know isn't working. It's not actually providing an alternative to the normals, expanding the normals, shifting the normal, just like with Kuhn. You're basically looking to shift the way medicine is done to the original, to the intent that it represents the ideal of medicine, of health care. Yeah, in Kuhnian terms, to have a revolution. And that revolution would be to practice medicine in a way that will be epidemiologically most effective, not most profitable for the people who are providing you with what's called knowledge. You helped a lot of people, as a doctor, as an educator, live better lives, live longer. But you yourself are a mortal being. Do you think about your own mortality? Do you think about your death? Are you afraid of death? I'm not. I've faced it, been close. Yourself? Yeah, yeah. How do you think about it? What wisdom do you gain from having come close to death, the fact that the whole thing ends? It's liberating. It's very liberating. I'm serious. I was close, and not too long ago. And it was a sense of, this may be the way it ends. And I've done my best. It's not been perfect. And if it ends here, it ends here. The people around me are trying to do their best. And in fact, I got pulled out of it. But it didn't look like I was going to get pulled out of it. Are you ultimately grateful for the ride, even though it ends? Well, it's a little odd. I think so. If I know you can't take the ride if you know it's going to end well. It's not the real ride. It's just a ride. But having gone through the whole thing, I definitely freed me of a sense of anxiety about death. And it said to me, do your best every day, because it's going to end sometime. I apologize for the ridiculously big question. But what do you think is the meaning of life, of our human existence? I think it's to care about something and do your best with it. Whether it's being a doctor and trying to make sure that the greatest number of people get the best health care. Or it's a gardener who wants to have the most beautiful plants. Or it's a grandparent who wants to have a good relationship with their grandchildren. But whatever it is that gives you a sense of meaning, as long as it doesn't hurt other people, to really commit yourself to it. That commitment, being in that commitment for me is the meaning of life. Put your whole heart and soul into the thing. What is it, the Bukowski poem, go all the way. John, you're an incredible human being, incredible educator. Like I said, I recommend people listen to your lectures. It's so refreshing to see that clarity of thought and brilliance. And obviously, your criticism of Big Pharma or your illumination of the mechanisms of Big Pharma is really important at this time. So I really hope people read your book, Sickening, that's out today, or depending on when this comes out. Thank you so much for spending your extremely valuable time with me today. It was amazing. Well, Lex, I wanted back to you. Thanks for engaging in this conversation, for creating the space to have it, and creating a listenership that is interested in understanding serious ideas. And I really appreciate the conversation. And I should mention that offline, you told me you listened to the Gilbert Strang episode. So for anyone who don't know Gilbert Strang, another epic human being that you should check out. If you don't know anything about mathematics or linear algebra, go look him up. He's one of the great mathematics educators of all time. So of all the people you mentioned to me, I appreciate that you mentioned him, because he is a rockstar of mathematics. John, thank you so much for talking to us, it was awesome. Great, thank you. Thanks for listening to this conversation with John Abramson. To support this podcast, please check out our sponsors in the description. And now, let me leave you some words from Marcus Aurelius. "'Waste no time arguing about what a good man should be. Be one." Thank you for listening and hope to see you next time. until it has the legitimacy of the medical establishment. Yeah, like something that the doctors really pay attention to. Well, there's an entire mechanism established for testing drugs. There's not an entire mechanism established in terms of scientific rigor of testing lifestyle changes. I mean, it's more difficult. I mean, everything's difficult in science. That science that involves humans, especially. But it's just, these studies are very expensive. They're difficult. It's difficult to find conclusions and to control all the variables. And so it's very easy to dismiss them unless you really do a huge study that's very well funded. And so maybe the doctors just lean towards the simpler studies over and over, which is what the drug companies fund. They can control more variables. See, but the control there is sometimes by hiding things too, right? So sometimes you can just say that this is a well controlled study by pretending there's a bunch of other stuff. It's just ignoring the stuff that could be correlated. It could be the real cause of the effects you're seeing, all that kind of stuff. So money can buy ignorance, I suppose, in science. It buys the kind of blinders that are on that don't look outside the reductionist model. And that's another issue is that we kind of, nobody says to doctors in training, only listen to reductionist studies and conclusions and methods of promoting health. Nobody says that explicitly. But the respectable science has to do with controlling the factors. And I mean, it just doesn't make sense to me. I'm gonna pick on trulicity because it's such an obvious example, but it's not more egregious than many others. It doesn't make sense to me to allow a drug to be advertised as preventing cardiovascular disease when you haven't included lifestyle changes as an arm in the study. It's just so crystal clear that the purpose of that study is to sell trulicity. It's not to prevent cardiovascular disease. If we were in charge, I would try to convince you that anywhere that study, the results of that study were presented to physicians, it would be stamped in big red letters, this study did not compare trulicity to lifestyle changes. They need to know that. And the docs are kind of trained, these blinders get put on, and they're trained to kind of forget that that's not there. Do you think, so first of all, that's a small or big change to advertisement that seems obvious to say, like in force that it should be compared to lifestyle changes. Do you think advertisements, period, in the United States for pharmaceutical drugs should be banned? I think they can't be banned. So it doesn't matter what I think. Okay, let's say you were a dictator, and two, why can't they be banned? Okay. Answer either one. I believe, I've been told by lawyers who I trust, that the freedom of speech in the U.S. Constitution is such that you can't ban them, that you could ban cigarettes and alcohol, which have no therapeutic use, but drugs have a therapeutic use, and advertisements about them can't be banned. Let's assume that they can't be, because we know they won't be anyway, but let's assume they can't be, and especially our Supreme Court now would be unlikely to take that seriously. But that's not the issue. The issue is that if the drug companies want to spend their money advertising, they should have to have independent analysis of the message that the viewers are left with about the drug, so that it's realistic. What's the chance the drug will help them? Well, in true city, it's one out of 323. 322 people aren't gonna benefit from the cardiovascular reduction, risk reduction. What's the true cost? When drugs advertise that you may be able to get this for a $25 copay or something, tens of thousands of dollars a year drug, for a $25 copay, what an enormous disservice that is to misrepresent the cost to society. That should not be allowed. So you should have to make it clear to the viewers how many people are gonna benefit, what's your chance of benefiting? How does it compare to lifestyle changes or less expensive therapies? What do you give up if you use a less expensive therapy or gain, perhaps? And how much it costs. How much it costs. Now, that can go either way, because if you say Humira costs $72,000 and it's no more effective as a first line drug than methotrexate, which costs $480, people might say, I want the expensive drug because I can get it for a $25 copay. So you'd have to temper that a little bit. Oh, you mean people are so, they don't care. They don't care. Their insurance is gonna cover it and it's a $25 copay, but we could figure out how to deal with that. The main point is that if we assume that advertisements are gonna keep going, and they are, we could require that there be outside evaluation of the message that reasonable, unbiased viewers take away from the ads, and the ads would have to tell the truth about the drug. And the truth should have sub truth guardrails, meaning like the cost that we talked about, the effects compared to things that actually, lifestyle changes, just these details, very strict guardrails of what actually has to be specified. And I would make it against the law to have family picnics or dogs catching Frisbees in the ads. So, you mean 95% of the ads, yes. I mean, there's something dark and inauthentic about those advertisements, but they seem, I mean, I'm sure they're being done because they work for the target audience. And then the doctors too. Can you really buy a doctor's opinion? Why does it have such an effect on doctors? Advertisement to doctors, like you as a physician, again, like from everything I've seen, people love you. And I've just, people should definitely look you up from, there's a bunch of videos of you giving talks on YouTube, and it's just, it's so refreshing to hear just the clarity of thought about health policy, about healthcare, just the way you think throughout the years. Thank you. So like, it's easy to think about like, maybe you're criticizing Big Pharma, that's one part of the message that you're talking about, but that's not like, your brilliance actually shines in the positive, in the solutions and how to do it. So as a doctor, what affects your mind? And how does Big Pharma affect your mind? Number one, the information that comes through legitimate sources that doctors have been taught to rely on, evidence based medicine, the articles in peer reviewed journals, the guidelines that are issued. Now, those are problematic, because when an article is peer reviewed and published in a respected journal, people and doctors obviously assume that the peer reviewers have had access to the data and they've independently analyzed the data, and they corroborate the findings in the manuscript that was submitted, or they give feedback to the authors and say, we disagree with you on this point, and would you please check our analysis and if you agree with us, make it. That's what they assume the peer review process is, but it's not. The peer reviewers don't have the data. The peer reviewers have the manuscript that's been submitted by the, usually in conjunction with or by the drug company that manufactures the drug. So peer reviewers are unable to perform the job that doctors think they're performing to vet the data to assure that it's accurate and reasonably complete. They can't do it. And then we have the clinical practice guidelines, which are increasingly more important as the information, the flow of information keeps getting brisker and brisker, and docs need to get to the bottom line quickly. Clinical practice guidelines become much more important. And we assume that the authors of those clinical practice guidelines have independently analyzed the data from the clinical trials and make their recommendations that set the standards of care based on their analysis. That's not what happens. The experts who write the clinical trials rely almost entirely on the publications presenting the results of the clinical trials, which are peer reviewed, but the peer reviewers haven't had access to the data. So we've got a system of the highest level of evidence that doctors have been trained over and over again to rely on to practice evidence based medicine to be good doctors that has not been verified. Do you think that data that's coming from the pharma companies, do you think there, what level of manipulation is going on with that data? Is it at the study design level? Is it at literally there's some data that you just keep off, keep out of the charts, keep out of the aggregate analysis that you then publish? Or is it the worst case, which is just change some of the numbers? It happened. All three happened. I can't, I don't know what the denominator is, but I spent about 10 years in litigation. And for example, in Vioxx, which was withdrawn from the market in 2004 in the biggest drug recall in American history, the problem was that it got recalled when a study that Merck sponsored showed that Vioxx doubled the risk, more than doubled the risk of heart attacks, strokes, and blood clots, serious blood clots. It got pulled then. But there was a study, a bigger study that had been published in 2000 in the New England Journal of Medicine that showed that Vioxx was a better drug for arthritis and pain, not because it was more effective. It's no more effective than Aleve or Advil, but because it was less likely to cause serious GI complications, bleeds and perforations in the gut. Now, in that study that was published in the New England Journal that was never corrected, it was a little bit modified 15 months after the drug was taken off the market, but never corrected, Merck left out three heart attacks. And the FDA knew that Merck left out three heart attacks, and the FDA's analysis of the data from that study said that the FDA wasn't gonna do the analysis without the three heart attacks in it. And the important part of this story is that there were 12 authors listed on that study in the New England Journal. Two were Merck employees. They knew about the three heart attacks that had been omitted. The other 10 authors, the academic authors, didn't know about it. They hadn't seen that data. So Merck just, they had an excuse. It's complicated, and the FDA didn't accept it, so there's no reason to go into it. But Merck just left out the three heart attacks. And the three heart attacks, it may seem three heart attacks in a 10,000 person study may seem like nothing, except they completely changed the statistics so that had the three heart attacks been included, the only conclusion that Merck could have made was that Vioxx significantly increased the risk of heart attack. And they abbreviated their endpoint from heart attack, strokes, and blood clots to just heart attacks. Yeah. So those are, maybe in their mind, they're also playing by the rules because of some technical excuse that you mentioned that was rejected. How can this, because this is crossing the line. No, no, let me interrupt. No, that's not true. The study was completed. The blind was broken, meaning they looked at the data. In March of 2000, the article was published in the New England Journal in November of 2000. In March of 2000, there was an email by the head scientist that was published in the Wall Street Journal that said the day that the data were unblinded, that it's a shame that the cardiovascular events are there, but the drug will do well and we will do well. But removing the three heart attacks, how does that happen? Like who has to convince themselves? Is this pure malevolence? You have to be the judge of that, but the person who was in charge of the Data Safety Monitoring Board issued a letter that said they'll stop counting cardiovascular events a month before the trial is over and they'll continue counting GI events. And that person got a contract to consult with Merck for $5,000 a day, I think for 12 days a year, for one or two years that was signed, that contract was signed within two weeks of the decision to stop counting heart attacks. I wanna understand that man or woman. I wanna, I want, it's the, I've been reading a lot about Nazi Germany and thinking a lot about the good Germans because I want to understand so that we can each encourage each other to take the small heroic actions that prevents that. Because it feels to me, removing malevolence from the table where it's just a pure psychopathic person, that there's just a momentum created by the game like you mentioned. And so it takes reversing the momentum within the company, I think requires many small acts of heroism. Not gigantic, I'm going to leave and become a whistleblower and publish a book about it. But small, quiet acts of pressuring against this. Like, what are we doing here? We're trying to help people. Is this the right thing to do? Looking in the mirror constantly asking, is this the right thing to do? I mean, that's how, that's what integrity is. Acknowledging the pressures you're under and then still be able to zoom out and think what is the right thing to do here. But the data, hiding the data makes it too easy to live in ignorance. So like within those, inside those companies. So your idea is that the reviewers should see the data. That's one step. So to even push back on that idea is, I assume you mean the data remains private except to the peer reviews, reviewers. The problem with, of course, as you probably know is the peer review process is not perfect. You know, it's individuals. It feels like there should be a lot more eyes on the data than just the peer reviewers. Yes, this is not a hard problem to solve. When a study is completed, a clinical study report is made. And it's usually several thousand pages. And what it does is it takes the raw patient data and it tabulates it in the ways it's supposedly and usually in the ways that the company has pre specified. So that you then end up with a searchable, let's say 3000 page document. As I became more experienced as an expert in litigation, I could go through those documents pretty quickly. Quickly may mean 20 hours or 40 hours, but it doesn't mean three months of my work. And see if the companies, if the way the company has analyzed the data is consistent with the way, with their statistical analysis plan and their pre specified outcome measures. It's not hard. And I think you're right. Peer reviewers, I don't peer review clinical trials, but I peer review other kinds of articles. I have to do one on the airplane on the way home. And it's hard. I mean, we're just ordinary mortal people volunteering to. Unpaid, the motivation is not clear. The motivation is to keep, to be a good citizen in the medical community and to be on friendly terms with the journals so that if you wanna get published, there's sort of an unspoken incentive. As somebody who enjoys game theory, I feel like that motivation is good, but it could be a lot better. Yes, you should get more recognition or in some way academic credit for it. It should go to your career advancement. If it's an important paper and you recognize it's an important paper as a great peer reviewer, that this is not in that area where it's like clearly a piece of crap paper or clearly an awesome paper that doesn't have controversial aspects to it and it's just a beautiful piece of work. Okay, those are easy. And then there is like the very difficult gray area, which may require many, many days of work on your part as a peer reviewer. So it's not just a couple hours, but really seriously reading. Like some papers can take months to really understand. So if you really wanna struggle, there has to be an incentive for that struggle. Yes, and billions of dollars ride on some of these studies. And lives, right, not to mention. Right, but it would be easy to have full time statisticians hired by the journals or shared by the journals who were independent of any other financial incentive to go over these kind of methodological issues and take responsibility for certifying the analyses that are done and then pass it on to the volunteer peer reviewers. See, I believe even in this, in the sort of capitalism or even social capital, after watching Twitter in the time of COVID and just looking at people that investigate themselves, I believe in the citizenry. People, if you give them access to the data, like these like citizen scientists arise. A lot of them on the, it's kind of funny, a lot of people that are just really used to working with data, they don't know anything about medicine and they don't have actually the biases that a lot of doctors and medical and a lot of the people that read these papers, they'll just go raw into the data and look at it with like they're bored almost and they do incredible analysis. So I, you know, there's some argument to be made for a lot of this data to become public, like deanonymized, no, sorry, anonymized, all that kind of stuff, but for a lot of it to be public, especially when you're talking about things as impactful as some of these drugs. I agree 100%, so let's turn the micro, let's get a little bit more granular. On the peer review issue, we're talking about pre publication transparencies and that is critically important. Once a paper is published, the horses are out of the barn and docs are gonna read it, take it as evidence based medicine. The economists call what then happens as stickiness that the docs hold on to their beliefs and my own voice inside says, once doctors start doing things to their patients bodies, they're really not too enthusiastic about hearing it was wrong. Yeah, that's the stickiness of human nature. Wow, so that bar, once it's published, the doctors, that's when the stickiness emerges, wow. Yeah, it's hard to put that toothpaste back in the tube. Now, that's pre publication transparency, which is essential and you could have, whoever saw that data pre publication could sign confidentiality agreements so that the drug companies couldn't argue that we're just opening the spigots of our data and people can copy it and blah, all the excuses they make. You could argue that you didn't have to but let's just let them do it. Let the peer reviewers sign confidentiality agreements and they won't leak the data but then you have to go to post publication transparency, which is what you were just getting at to let the data free and let citizens and citizen scientists and other doctors who are interested have at it. Kind of like Wiki, Wikipedia, have at it. Let it out and let people criticize each other. Okay, so speaking of the data, the FDA asked 55 years to release Pfizer vaccine data. This is also something I raised with Albert Bourla. What did he say? There's several things I didn't like about what he said. So some things are expected and some of it is just revealing the human being, which is what I'm interested in doing. But he said he wasn't aware of the 75 and the 55. I'm sorry, wait a minute. He wasn't aware of? The how long, so here I'll explain what he. Do you know that since you spoke to him, Pfizer has petitioned the judge to join the suit in behalf of the FDA's request to release that data over 55 or 75 years? Pfizer's fully aware of what's going on. He's aware. I'm sure he's aware in some formulation. The exact years he might have not been aware. But the point is that there is, that is the FDA, the relationship of Pfizer and the FDA in terms of me being able to read human beings was the thing he was most uncomfortable with, that he didn't wanna talk about the FDA. And that really, it was clear that there was a relationship there that if the words you use may do a lot of harm, potentially because like you're saying, there might be lawsuits going on, there's litigation, there's legal stuff, all that kind of stuff. And then there's a lot of games being played in this space. So I don't know how to interpret it if he's actually aware or not, but the deeper truth is that he's deeply uncomfortable bringing light to this part of the game. Yes, and I'm gonna read between the lines and Albert Borla certainly didn't ask me to speak for him. But I think, but when did you speak to him? How long ago? Wow, time flies when you're having fun. Two months ago. Two months ago. So that was just recently it's come out, just in the past week it's come out that Pfizer isn't battling the FDA. Pfizer has joined the FDA in the opposition to the request to release these documents in the same amount of time that the FDA took to evaluate them. Yeah. So Pfizer is offering to help the FDA to petition the judge to not enforce the timeline that he seems to be moving towards. So for people who are not familiar, we're talking about the Freedom of Information Act request to release the Pfizer vaccine data, study data to release as much of the data as possible, like the raw data, the details, or actually not even the raw data, it's data, doesn't matter, there's details to it. And I think the response from the FDA is that of course, yes, of course, but we can only publish we can only publish like some X number of pages a day. 500 pages. 500 pages of data. It's not a day though, it's a week I think. The point is whatever they're able to publish is ridiculous. It's like my printer can only print three pages a day and we cannot afford a second printer. So it's some kind of bureaucratic language for, there's a process to this, and now you're saying that Pfizer is obviously more engaged in helping this kind of bureaucratic process prosper in its full absurdity, Kafkaesque absurdity. So what is this? This really bothered people. This really. This is really troublesome. And just to put it in just plain English terms, Pfizer's making the case that it can't, the FDA and Pfizer together are making the case that they can't go through the documents. It's gonna take them some number of hundredfold, hundreds of folds more time to go through the documents than the FDA required to go through the documents to approve the vaccines, to give the vaccines full FDA approval. And the FDA's argument, talk about Kafkaesque, is that to do it more rapidly would cost them $3 million. $3 million equals one hour of vaccine sales over two years. One hour of sales. And they can't come up with the money. And now Pfizer has joined the suit to help the FDA fight off this judge, this mean judge, who thinks they ought to release the data. But evidently Pfizer isn't offering to come up with the $3 million either. So, but for $3 million, I mean, maybe, maybe the FDA should do a GoFundMe campaign. Well, obviously the money thing, I mean, I'm sure if Elon Musk comes along and says, I'll give you $100 million, publish it now, I think they'll come up with another. So, I mean, it's clear that there's cautiousness. I don't know the source of it from the FDA. There's only one explanation that I can think of, which is that the FDA and Pfizer don't wanna release the data. They don't wanna release the three or 500,000 pages of documents. And I don't know what's in there. I wanna say one thing very clearly. I am not an anti faxer. I believe the vaccines work. I believe everybody should get vaccinated. The evidence is clear that if you're vaccinated, you reduce your risk of dying of COVID by 20 fold. And we've got new sub variants coming along. And I just wanna be very clear about this. That said, there's something I would give you 10 to one odds on a bet that there's something in that data that is gonna be embarrassing to either FDA or Pfizer or both. So there's two options. I agree with you 100%. One is they know of embarrassing things. That's option one. And option two, they haven't invested enough to truly understand the data. Like, I mean, it's a lot of data that they have a sense that might be something embarrassing in there.

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