第 280 期·中文精讀

克里斯蒂亞諾·阿蒙:高通 CEO

Cristiano Amon: Qualcomm CEO

高通掌門人談晶片與移動計算、AI 在終端的落地,以及半導體行業的競爭與供應鏈格局。

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中文精讀由 AI 基於原始訪談改寫,非官方翻譯,可能存在偏差或錯誤;表述以原音訊與官方文稿為準。說明

飛在火星上的那臺小直升機 Ingenuity,相機、飛控、全部計算,用的是一顆驍龍。裝進三星 Galaxy 手機裡的也是同一顆,量產的同一顆,沒有為太空做特殊版本。

高通 CEO 克里斯蒂亞諾·阿蒙(Cristiano Amon)講到這件事的時候,語氣裡帶著工程師特有的那種得意:“對一個工程師來說,最興奮的地方在於,同一顆驍龍可以進 Galaxy 手機,也可以一路飛到火星。”

這顆晶片在火星上要找外星生命。阿蒙開玩笑說,萬一真是它第一個看見外星人,那就麻煩了,“我們的計算機視覺裡可沒編這個過程”。

他是巴西人,2021 年 6 月接任高通 CEO,之前在這家公司待了 26 年。這場對話從足球開始,一路聊到 5G、頻譜、晶片設計、汽車、機器人、晶片短缺、反壟斷訴訟,最後落在人生意義上。

100 億電晶體,比 50 年前全世界最強的計算機強一百萬倍

Lex 丟擲的第一個技術問題很樸素:你手上這臺手機,100 億個電晶體,比 50 年前最好的計算機強一百萬倍,你作為一個人類,看到這件事會不會覺得不可思議?

阿蒙的回答繞開了算力本身:“除了算力和寬頻連線,智慧手機還是人類有史以來最大的開發平臺。沒有第二個東西能比。”

人們習慣把手機理解成消費品,一臺用來刷影片、拍照、發訊息的裝置。換個角度看,它是歷史上第一次讓幾十億人同時擁有可程式設計的計算終端,而且這些人還在上面寫東西、做生意、組織生活。硬體和軟體都要尊重,阿蒙說,兩個都要。

Lex 問了一個假設:如果外星人觀察地球過去 50 到 70 年,會怎麼描述這顆星球上發生的事?

阿蒙的回答沒有停留在技術奇觀上:“你會看到技術發展的巨大反差,然後你會看到今天正在發生的一些事,比如烏克蘭正在發生的事,你會覺得這不該發生在 21 世紀。對外星人來說,這可能是更讓人困惑的問題。”

Lex 補了一句:這也許並不困惑,這只是人性在重複它一貫的樣子。

每一代行動通訊都在解決一個具體問題

高通是 5G 標準的主要推動者之一。阿蒙把五代技術排成一條線,每一代對應一個當年真實存在的難題。

2G 要回答的是能不能讓地球上每個人都有手機,CDMA 乾的就是這件事。

3G 要回答的是能不能把這臺手機連上網際網路。

4G 要回答的是能不能把一臺電腦放進你的手心,也就是寬頻。

5G 的問題換了性質。它要為一個 100% 連線雲端的社會設計技術底座,要成為萬物的“最後一公里”。阿蒙列了幾件具體的事:

  • 消除資料擁塞。你在球場裡,幾萬人同時線上,每個人都要能拿到寬頻。
  • 要連的不止幾十億人,還有幾百億個物。
  • 無線通訊第一次能提供關鍵任務級服務。4G 及以前是“盡力而為”,5G 可以保證你連上雲。
  • 織出一張網,讓社會看到不聯網的東西時,第一反應是“這是例外”。

他拿電做類比。今天沒人再討論電有什麼用例,你只是預設插座裡有電。高通希望 5G 走到同一個位置:不再有人問 5G 能幹什麼,只問為什麼這東西還沒連上。

“抵抗是徒勞的”

聊到頻譜的時候,阿蒙說了一句讓對話氣氛變了的話。他見各國監管機構時是這麼講的:

抵抗是徒勞的。把每一段頻譜都分配給無線通訊。(阿蒙)

這句臺詞出自《星際迷航》裡的博格人,用在這裡有種奇怪的貼切。他的邏輯很硬:從 CDMA 走到 OFDMA,整個行業挖了幾十年的每赫茲位元數,能挖的基本挖完了。容量和速率的需求還在指數增長,唯一的出路是更多頻譜。

他算了一筆賬。運營商從 2G 時代開始參加拍賣,把 2G、3G、4G 累積下來的所有頻譜加起來,最多湊出一兩個 sub-6 的通道,而一個通道不過 100 到 200 兆赫茲。

所以 5G 從設計之初就要求跨全部頻段工作:從 450 兆赫茲,到 600、700 兆赫茲,一路到 42 吉赫茲。最後這一段,就是毫米波。

毫米波卡在城市許可上,不卡在物理上

5G 覆蓋有兩條路徑,快的那條是先幹 sub-6。

全球拍賣的 sub-6 頻段集中在 3.5 吉赫茲附近。阿蒙說這個頻段本身沒什麼特別,純粹因為它是唯一還空著的,其餘都被 4G 佔用了。在 sub-6 上部署最省事,直接上現有基站換個裝置,不用新建鐵塔。全球 sub-6 的覆蓋因此推得很快,美國也是。

慢的那條是毫米波。毫米波的部署形態更像 WiFi:需要大量密集的接入點,需要許可證,需要鋪光纖,一個城市一個城市談。Verizon 在美國是毫米波的領跑者,芝加哥、曼哈頓開始有覆蓋,鋪開要花好幾年。

Lex 問,那到底誰是最大的阻力?政客、監管者、消費者、還是錢?

阿蒙把監管者摘了出去:“我沒見過哪個監管者說,晚一點上 5G 很重要。沒人想在這件事上落後。”他認定的真正問題是基礎設施建設的時間。毫米波網路的性質接近修路和建港口,屬關鍵基礎設施,這類東西天生就慢。

運營商抱怨最多的頭號障礙是站址許可,有時候得一個市一個市地談。

方向是確定的。頻譜不夠,所以每個 5G 運營商遲早都要上毫米波。阿蒙那句“抵抗是徒勞的”,在這裡又用了一遍。

功率在下降,這是 5G 安全討論裡最實在的一段

Lex 問了一個會讓 CEO 緊張的問題:有人擔心關於 5G 對人體影響的研究不夠,5G 安全嗎?

阿蒙的回答從物理講起,沒有繞。“網路越密集,單個基站的功率就越低。你的手機離基站越近,需要的發射功率就越小。從 4G 走到 5G,關閉這條無線鏈路所需的功率是下降的。”

然後是制度層面:FCC 有一套嚴格的測試專案來驗證裝置安全性,這套做法被不少國家參照。蜂窩通訊已經存在幾十年,智慧手機是今天人們最離不開的裝置。3G 和 4G 時代那些最初的擔憂,後來的資料並沒有支援它們。

他沒有停在這裡。他把話題拆成兩層:一層是射頻功率與生物學,有物理和生物學的證據;另一層是當技術以指數速度擴張時,它會把人類文明帶向哪裡。後一層問題對 5G 成立,對任何技術都成立。

Lex 順著說了一句:智慧手機是最受喜愛的裝置,但愛有時候會傷人。

數字世界裡也需要一套權利

阿蒙把話題引到“數字孿生”。當一個社會里每個人、每件物都在雲端有對應物,人自然會開始問:

我在物理世界裡擁有的那些權利、要承擔的義務、保護我完整性的那些東西,在數字世界裡對應什麼?

他認為這種追問是健康的本能反應,也是必然的演化路徑。他點名歐洲走在前面:GDPR 之後是《數字市場法》(DMA),後者的思路是保證數字市場裡有創新和競爭,不讓某一家公司握有全部資料、再單方面決定數字世界的規則。

Lex 在這段插了一段自己的吐槽,說監管者常常不理解技術,寫法規的時候很笨拙,出發點是好的,卻能造成大量無意的傷害,尤其是不懂機器學習怎麼工作的時候。

阿蒙接得很有分寸。他同意歐洲的框架不錯,把重點放在另一側:“我們依賴創新的能力,依賴自由市場,依賴做出顛覆性技術的能力。同時科技公司也應該花時間幫政府提前理解這些東西,讓他們準備得更充分。”

這段話聽起來溫和,骨子裡是一家標準必要專利持有者的處境:既要靠規則吃飯,又怕規則寫歪。

把八核、光線追蹤、千兆和一天續航塞進一塊貼著臉的玻璃

聊到驍龍,阿蒙先解釋了這顆晶片的存在方式:一塊單晶片上,同時整合你需要的全部計算能力。

  • 所有連線技術:蜂窩、WiFi、藍芽,以及用於定位的每一套衛星星座。
  • 高能效的單執行緒與多執行緒 CPU。
  • GPU,負責圖形和遊戲,移動遊戲是增長最快的遊戲細分市場。
  • AI 處理器,高通叫它 NPU。
  • 影片引擎和多媒體引擎,音訊、影像,一項不落。

他講了這顆晶片的約束條件,這段是整場對話裡最像工程現場的描述。手機很小,要拿在手裡;你會把它貼在臉上,所以它不能燙;你必須管住散熱;使用者要求一天續航;同時還要千兆而不是十兆百兆的速率;還要八核;還要帶光線追蹤的 GPU。這些都是過去只有桌上型電腦才敢想的東西。

還有一件事被反覆提到:很多技術的進步現在最先發生在手機上,攝像頭和計算機視覺就是例子。手機是全世界出貨量最大、競爭最激烈、迭代最快的計算平臺,它反過來定義了很多技術的形態。

Lex 感慨說,手機晶片裡有 100 億電晶體,人腦大約 1000 億個神經元,11 臺三星 Galaxy S22 就已經比他聰明瞭,而且在往客氣裡說。

火車要開了,每一節車廂都得在站臺上

設計這樣一顆晶片,難在什麼地方?

阿蒙說,難在每個技術都按自己的節奏演進,而你必須在同一時刻把它們全部做到最好,還得讓它們協同工作。這要求一種極強的協作文化。

他打了個比方:

火車要開了,每一節車廂都必須在它開走的時候掛上。而且要準時開。(阿蒙)

手機行業的截止日期是硬的:“你不能改聖誕節,不能改黑色星期五,不能改任何銷售季。”釋出會的時間定下來就不會動,每一項技術都得趕上。

第二件事是紀律。系統太複雜,很多時候晶片還沒從產線回來,就要開始爬坡量產,只能靠模擬模型,靠設計時就按商用標準來約束。這裡面幾乎沒有犯錯的餘地。

Lex 在這裡發現了一個名字上的巧合,說從來沒想過 Qualcomm 裡那個 qual 是什麼意思。阿蒙接得很順:“所以我們的名字叫 quality communications。”

三星從 50% 變成 75%,這個數字比任何釋出會都有說服力

Google 用自研 Tensor 晶片做 Pixel 6,蘋果用自研晶片。Lex 問,高通怎麼打贏這兩家?

阿蒙先糾正了問題的前提:“我們不需要打贏 Google。我們的移動戰略非常清楚,就是讓驍龍等同於高階 Android 體驗。”

他給了幾個事實。

Google 在生態裡扮演的角色是最大的合作伙伴之一。真正最大的客戶是三星。三星一直有自己的晶片,過去長期五五開:美國、中國、日本、韓國這些最先進的市場交給高通,新興市場和自己渠道控制力強的市場用自研晶片。

然後在 Galaxy S22 上,比例變成了 75% 是高通。

再往下是中國的整批 OEM。小米在 2021 年某個時點做到了歐洲第一,後面跟著 OPPO、一加、vivo。這些是高通最大的客戶群,也是推動 Android 生態往前走的力量。阿蒙承認,華為因制裁收縮之後,這批廠商接手了市場,尤其是中國國內市場,它們集體往高階走,走的都是驍龍的路線。

至於蘋果,關係是另一回事:高通給蘋果供 modem,是多年的合作,蘋果也公開說過要自研 modem。阿蒙的表述是,高通的移動戰略不由“給蘋果供 modem”這件事定義。戰略是驍龍這顆 SoC 把全部技術整合在一起,提供高階體驗,服務 Android 生態。

Lex 追問他自己用什麼手機。阿蒙說有好幾臺,主力是 Galaxy S22。

影片電話這個殺手應用,等了四十年

話題轉到 PC。阿蒙先糾正了一個前提:高通早就不只是一家手機晶片公司了,那套為手機設計出來的連線與處理技術,正在進入幾乎所有行業。

他講了一個被疫情揭開的真相:今天個人電腦上排名第一的用例是通訊。

這件事在電信業有個漫長的前史。阿蒙回憶,從固網時代的 ISDN 開始,AT&T 那種帶小螢幕的桌面電話就在賣視訊通話,那時候連 IP 都還沒普及;《回到未來 2》裡也在演這個。到 3G,人們問手機有了資料能幹什麼,答案是影片電話;到 4G,人們問要這麼寬的頻寬幹什麼,答案還是影片電話。

四十年過去,是疫情讓視訊通話真的成了殺手應用。

結果就是買 PC 的標準變了。以前人們不太在意攝像頭,現在在意;還有麥克風、連線能力、有沒有最新的 WiFi 和蜂窩、續航怎麼樣、便攜性如何,因為你要在任何地方工作,有時候那個地方你事先並不知道。

再往下推一層,是算力位置的變化。一個做 CAD 的工程師,辦公室裡有臺工作站,某天要在家幹活,他不會把工作站搬回家,那就讓工作負載跑在雲上。這時候 5G 的角色是兩個計算機之間的鏈路,頻寬要高到讓雲端的機器用起來和本地差不多。CIO 們的訴求也在往同一個方向推:員工有些天在家,所有資料都該放在雲上,協作工具需要頻寬。

產品已經出來了。聯想在 MWC 上釋出了基於驍龍的 ThinkPad,5G 開著,28 小時續航。

還有一件小事被提到,但挺有意思:Windows 11 上用驍龍的 NPU 做 Teams 通話時的眼神校正,讓你在開會時看起來一直盯著攝像頭。Lex 說這件事很難做好,他自己堅持面對面做訪談就是這個原因。阿蒙說,正因為難,才是機會。

高通不造車,但想當汽車的大腦

Lex 問得很大膽:幾十年後,外星人寫 21 世紀的人類史,會怎麼記高通?會不會變成一家機器人公司或者汽車公司?

阿蒙的回答是:“我認為我們今天就已經是一家汽車公司了。”

高通現在與 26 個全球汽車品牌合作。邏輯不復雜:汽車正在變成一臺帶輪子的聯網計算機,但你不能在後備箱裡塞一臺伺服器,散熱、功耗、體積的限制和手機是同一套,而這正是高通擅長的領域。他們提供的是算力和感測器能力,支撐輔助駕駛;提供數字座艙的體驗;把車連到雲上。產品名字叫 Snapdragon 數字底盤。

他講了一個判斷:傳統車企必須變成科技公司,但它們不會消失,它們需要一個技術夥伴。新勢力的市值對比老牌車廠確實刺眼,但賭車廠會消失是個錯誤。高通想做的,是那個被優先選擇的技術夥伴。

“你能買到一輛高通牌的車嗎?”不能。但會成為車的大腦。

機器人這塊,高通 IoT 業務是增長最快的板塊之一。亞馬遜的 Astro 機器人裡裝了兩顆驍龍。工業機器人、無人機都在推進,工廠、倉庫的未來形態裡,5G 加上大量機器人應用是標配。

然後他繞回火星那臺直升機:全世界最有名的那臺機器人,整機、相機、所有東西,都是驍龍驅動的。

晶片短缺的主因不是疫情

談到全球缺芯,阿蒙把它拆成兩層。

第一層是主因:幾乎所有行業都在做數字化改造,需要的半導體數量級不一樣了。他給了一個具體例子:今天釋出的一款新車,晶片用量大概是上一代車型的 10 倍;正在研發、下一款要上的車,可能是這一代的再 10 倍。再加上幾百億個裝置變智慧、更多資料湧向雲端、資料中心擴張,整個半導體消費的地板被抬高了很大一截。

第二層才是疫情,它是加劇因素,不是根本原因。居家辦公讓家庭變成了企業,寬頻和 IoT 大規模升級;辦公方式變了,協作工具和影片要撐住;大家關在家裡要聯網,手機、平板、電腦、遊戲機的需求一起湧上來。

出路在供給側。行業計劃在未來五年把半導體制造總產能翻一倍,高通的供應商已經在擴產。另一條線是政策:美國 CHIPS 法案大約 520 億美元,歐洲的版本大約 430 億歐元,兩者合起來的目標是讓美歐本土製造覆蓋至少 50% 的本地消費量。阿蒙認為這是好事,不只是產能變多,還意味著產能在地理上分散開,而供應鏈本來就是這麼規劃的。

他說這場危機至少教會了一件事:半導體很重要,半導體公司很重要,要往半導體裡投錢。

授權模式被每個司法轄區審了一遍

Lex 提了一個不太好問的問題:高通在反壟斷訴訟裡付過、也收過幾十億美元的和解金和罰款,這個行業裡有大量巨型訴訟,這些事是妨礙創新還是促進創新?

阿蒙把時態改了:“是曾經有大量訴訟。”

然後他解釋高通的商業模式有兩塊。一塊是半導體,設計晶片、造出產品、賣給客戶,不授權技術。另一塊是 licensing,從公司創立就有:高通在 2G、3G、4G、5G 裡是最主要的必要技術貢獻者,把這些技術貢獻給標準,然後授權給所有人生產,自己收標準必要專利(SEP)的許可費。這個模式的選擇是刻意的:與其自己發明自己獨家生產,不如讓所有人都能生產。

和蘋果的那場糾紛已經結束。“他們現在是我的客戶。”這場官司的意義在於,這套授權模式在每一個司法轄區都被檢驗了一遍,結果是每一地都認可了它的競爭合規性,認可了公平、合理、無歧視(FRAND)原則。阿蒙的說法是,這是這個行業裡至今最成功、也被打得最狠、因而最穩定的一套授權模式,因為已經沒有哪個司法轄區沒審過它了。

公司未來的增長在半導體那邊。這個區分很重要:授權是賣想法,半導體是賣產品。

當 CEO 快一年,學到的是“我需要更多時間”

阿蒙是 2021 年 6 月上任的,訪談時還沒滿一年。Lex 問他在這個位置上對自己有什麼新認識。

第一條几乎每個 CEO 都會說,但他講得很實在:如果時間能多一點就好了。高通同時在好幾個方向擴張,要學的東西多、要建的關係多、要花時間鑽的技術多。這本身反映了機會的體量。

第二條跟他的性格有關:“歸根到底,商業夥伴關係是由人做成的。長期可信的關係極其重要。我們不是做短期的公司,建新夥伴關係的時候,我們預期的是幾十年。”

第三條是節奏。他遇上的時間點很好,很多趨勢都指向高通的技術:物理空間與數字空間的融合、汽車的轉型、計算與移動的合併、家庭的企業化。這些趨勢給了高通提供底層技術的機會。“所以我們在趕時間。”

Lex 問了一個很少有人問 CEO 的問題:這麼多工作本質上是維繫關係、說服別人、描繪一個自己也不完全確定的未來,同時還要表現出自信和謙遜,對一個內向、有社交焦慮的人來說是不是很累?

阿蒙承認累,但說自己喜歡做。這件事也不只對外,對內一樣:要讓員工對齊願景、相信願景、把它執行出來。好在公司裡聰明人很多,只要對齊了,他們知道該怎麼做。剩下還有一件,是讓投資人相信這個方向是對的。

先劃清自己能力的邊界

Lex 請他給高中生和大學生一些建議。阿蒙從巴西出發,中間做了個有點冒險的決定去日本,最後成了一家全球性公司的 CEO。

他的第一條建議是:

我加入高通的時候是工程師,沒有任何當 CEO 的計劃。但我知道作為工程師我想做什麼、想在哪貢獻、想做什麼東西,然後從那個點開始不斷演化。(阿蒙)

第二條是他早年收到、後來一直轉贈給別人的建議,這段值得完整抄下來:花時間搞清楚你擅長什麼、不擅長什麼,你能力圈的邊界到底在哪裡。一旦看清了,你就知道自己下一步要補什麼,也能說出“我想去那兒,差距在這兒”。在別人告訴你之前自己先看清,速度會快很多。

配套的動作是:把那些你不擅長的事上很強的人聚到身邊,同時對自己不擅長什麼保持徹底的誠實。

Lex 追問,你做的計劃有多少真的實現了?阿蒙說,成功率保持在 50% 以上,儘量別掉下去。

聊到父親,他說父親是電氣工程師,在電力公司工作,希望他學傳統的電氣工程,發電、配電那一套。他喜歡電子與通訊,最後兩個都學了。第一份工作是在巴西的 NEC,進去大約一年後被調到東京總部,那是他第一次離開巴西,地球的另一邊,文化全然不同。

父親今天還在給他建議。他說父親講他還是原來那個人,一直沒變。他也承認自己身上有一份責任:做到這個位置的巴西人很少,對拉美社群來說,他得是個好榜樣。

“我虔誠地相信,這裡只是一個過渡”

對話最後落到人生。Lex 問他會不會想到死亡。

阿蒙說自己是虔誠的基督徒,相信此生只是一個過渡,但不會花太多時間想這件事。他給自己的定位是“儘量活在當下”,讓此時此地變得更好一點。

Lex 提了一個角度:有些技術和想法是另一種意義上的不朽,它們穿過時間,以最好的方式影響後來的人。技術會讓人害怕,也會有破壞性,但最後能做的善事更多。阿蒙同意,善大於惡。

問到人生的意義,他說這個問題每個人得自己回答,但他相信人來到這裡是有目的的。他祈禱的內容,是讓自己保持在通往那個目的的路上。

Lex 問愛在人類處境裡扮演什麼角色。阿蒙說愛非常重要,是生而為人的基本配置,“如果你看看那些弱勢群體的處境,看看無家可歸的人,我們都需要更多的愛”。

Lex 接了一句:造出驚人技術的人,有時候會忘了愛那一部分。他相信人同時有能力作惡和行善,所以要造出能激發我們連線內心中善的那一部分的技術、社會、政府和社群。

這場對話以斯蒂芬·霍金的一段話收尾:人類最偉大的成就是透過交談實現的,最大的失敗是不交談。我們最偉大的希望可以成為現實,以手上的技術,可能性沒有邊界,我們要做的只是確保繼續談下去。

從這場對話裡能拿走什麼

把技術細節剝掉,阿蒙講的其實是一套方法論。一個工程師出身的 CEO,怎麼看技術演進的節奏,怎麼在硬截止日期下組織幾千人做一顆晶片,怎麼在標準、監管、競爭和合作之間找位置。

他自己給年輕人的那條建議,是整場對話裡最可操作的部分。大多數人對自己擅長什麼、不擅長什麼的判斷是模糊的,靠感覺,靠別人偶爾的反饋。把它當成一件正經事來做,畫出那條邊界線,比多做幾個專案有用得多。

如果要落地,可以這麼做:

  • 拿一張紙,分成兩欄。左邊寫你做得比周圍人明顯好的事,右邊寫你反覆吃力、反覆求助別人的事。要求具體到任務層面,別寫“溝通能力”這種大詞。
  • 右邊那一欄裡,挑出三件和你目標直接相關的,列出補課路徑;剩下的不要硬補,去找人。
  • 把“找人”當成正經的招聘動作:明確你需要什麼樣的人,然後主動去認識,別指望運氣。
  • 給自己定一個明確的近期目標,拆成“還差什麼”的清單。阿蒙說的那道差距,必須寫下來才成立。
  • 每個季度回顧一次這張紙。能力的邊界會移動,你不重畫,它就自動作廢。
  • 計劃成功率的目標設在 50% 以上。低於這個數,說明計劃太虛;高太多,說明你沒在冒險。
  • 如果你做技術產品,去看一眼你手上那臺裝置的第一大用例到底是什麼。高通的 CEO 說 PC 的第一用例是通訊,這個答案在十年前沒人會寫。使用者真實的行為,經常和產品團隊的假設差得很遠。
文稿來自公開 Kaggle 資料集(rajneesh231/lex-fridman-podcast-transcript),為早期自動轉錄存檔,可能存在識別錯誤。
Talking about an exciting thing for an engineer, the same Snapdragon that goes to a phone and it can go to a Galaxy phone, for example, Samsung, the same, not a special one, went all the way to Mars. You expect to have a full day of battery life, but then you want it to not be sending data into 10 or 100 megabits. You want gigabits. You want it to be able to have eight core processors. You want to have a GPU with ray tracing. You want to have all of those things that you can only get into sometimes a desktop PC. To do all of that in your phone is an incredible thing. Some people raise concerns about there not being enough studies about the effects of 5G on the human body. Is 5G safe? The following is a conversation with Cristiano Aman, the CEO of Qualcomm. The company that's one of the leaders in the world in the space of mobile communication and computation. That's 2G, 3G, 4G, and 5G that connects billions of phones, and the Snapdragon processor and system on a chip that is the brain of most of the premium Android phones in the world. This is the Lex Friedman podcast. To support it, please check out our sponsors in the description. And now, dear friends, here's Cristiano Aman. You are originally from Brazil, so let me ask the most important question, the most profound question, the biggest question. Who's the greatest football soccer player of all time? Look, everybody's gonna say Pele, and actually I was born during the game of Brazil and Italy that Pele gave Brazil the championship. Actually it was, my dad tells me that the doctor had a TV on at the delivery room. But, so everybody will say Pele, but I really like Ronaldo. The first, not Ronaldinho, the first Ronaldo. I really like him. That's my favorite player. By the way, not everybody would say Pele. But we shall leave that on the table and agree to disagree. Brazilians will say Pele. Yes. There's other countries around that region that may disagree a little bit. I'm very aware. Qualcomm is largely responsible for 5G and some of the greatest processors in our smartphones ever built. So we got communication and computation tech that impacts probably billions of people. So if you zoom out, you as a human, we'll look at humans on Earth in general, does it blow your mind that we have these billions of smartphones communicating and each of them have the computational power? You know, you talk about 10 billion transistors. That's a million times more than 50 years ago in the best computers in the world. Like if you just zoom out as a human, does that blow your mind? Absolutely. Look, one of the reasons I think I love this company is we know that the technology we develop can change the world. And I'll tell you one more thing. Beyond the amount of processing power that you have now in the palm of your hands and being every one of the world is connected with broadband technology, the smartphone is also mankind largest development platform. There's nothing like it. So you respect both the hardware and the software? Both. Both. If aliens were observing Earth over the past 50 to 70 years, how do you think they would describe this particular turmoil, fun things going on on the surface of this particular little planet? We live in interesting times. In one time, we see incredible development of technology for mankind just what happened in the last century. You know, from 1900 to 2000, it was incredible development. Just look, 2000 was 22 years ago, how far we're coming and where we're going with technology. It's incredible. What do you think they would notice? So there's road networks, there's all kinds of networks. There's lights that keep popping up, cities springing up, like from an alien perspective, you're observing. Well, what I'm gonna tell you is you have this contrast of incredible development of technology, but then you see some of the things that are happening right now, which is probably you would not expect them to happen on the 21st century, just what happened in Ukraine. So I think that will be a more puzzling question for the aliens, I would imagine. The new technology is kind of impressive. Actually, that might not be so puzzling because that's just human nature revealing itself as it has throughout human history. That's correct. Let's talk about wireless communication. So Qualcomm was instrumental in developing 5G. Now you were with Qualcomm since the early days, the good old 90s with the 2G, but what is 5G, including sub six gigahertz 5G and millimeter wave 5G? How does it work? And maybe the most important question is how will it change the world in the coming years? When we set ourselves to develop 5G, and we look at this, every generation of technology had a problem to be solved, right? So you mentioned 2G, 2G challenge, the challenge of CDMA was can we give every person on earth a cell phone? That was, can you get to a technology that you can basically allow everyone to have a mobile phone? 3G was about the ability to connect that to the internet. I think 4G was broadband and with 4G was about have the ability for you to have a computer in the palm of your hand. We'll just talk about that. 5G, the challenge was a little bit different. It's how do we build a technology for a society that is gonna be 100% connected to the cloud? How do we provide a technology that is going to be the last mile connectivity for everything? So 5G has basically been designed, eliminate all issues with data congestion, whether you are in stadium, we talk about soccer, you were in a stadium and everyone should be ability to have access to broadband. So deal with congestion. Deal with the fact that not only people, but billions of things need to be connected. Create a technology that for the first time in wireless, you could deliver mission critical services. Wireless used to up to 4G is its best effort. In 5G, it can guarantee that you are connected with the cloud. And then the last point of that is provide this fabric that will allow us as a society to look at things that are not connected and say, that's the exception. That's why we made a comparison in the early days of 5G that that's gonna be like electricity. Right now, you don't have a discussion about what is the use cases for electricity. You don't talk about that anymore. You just assume it's there. And that's how we think about everything connected to the cloud. That's what 5G is and that's the role of 5G. So first of all, everything connected to the cloud is interesting because the space of everything is constantly increasing. That is correct. I don't think the refrigerator over there, it looks kind of smart, but I don't think it's connected yet to the cloud. So this includes internet of things. What is the full space of everything? The full space of everything is, it's maybe going back to where you start defining Qualcomm. Qualcomm is about communications and advanced computers for low power devices. And can we make everything smart? It can range from the robot you have right now on the floor to your refrigerator, to a camera, to machines in manufacturing, to retail, et cetera. I can give you some examples. When we think of something as simple as going to the grocery shop, we see technology now with something, the stuff we've been working with companies like Walmart. Electronic shelf labels. The ability for you to have smart cameras, they can look at shelves and the camera is smart enough to say some product needs to be replenished. Ability to see what's trashed. So it's about really providing processor connectivity, artificial intelligence to everything. And I think that's one of the largest addressable markets we have for technology because you can't really define everything. Right, exactly. It's a nice market because it keeps growing potentially exponentially in speed. What about coverage? So how are we doing on the everything part? So there is, like I mentioned, sub six gigahertz 5G and there's a millimeter wave 5G. So not all 5G is made the same. So there's a speed, there's a bandwidth thing. And then there's coverage. How many people get to enjoy today and how does the progress in the next five, 10, 20, 30, 50 years you think looks like in terms of coverage? Great topic of conversation. So let's talk about this. When I meet with regulators across the globe, I tell them resistance is futile. Allocate every spectrum to wireless. Every spectrum needs to be allocated to wireless. The reality is when we start moving from CDMA to OFDMA, we knew that this industry has done a lot to get more bits per Hertz. But the reality is the massive amount of improvements that is required in capacity and in speed, you need more spectrum. There's not so much we can rely on more bits per Hertz. You just need more spectrum. And if you look, for example, what carriers since the 2G era, they participate in different license and auctions and every spectrum they accumulated from 2G or 3G or 4G, all of that, you may be able to get one or two channels max of sub six, which is a channel is about 100 megahertz or 200 megahertz, and that's it. So we need more spectrum. So 5G has been designed to work across every spectrum from the low frequency bands, that's what we call the sub six, but you needed more, you needed to go to the millimeter wave. So that's why 5G is a technology that you can deploy from 450 megahertz as an example, or 600 or 700, all the way to in the 42 gigahertz. And that's where millimeter wave comes into the picture. Now, let's now connect this to your question about coverage of 5G. The easiest thing to do is to deploy 5G in the new spectrum you can get, which is in the sub six, you see bands being auctioned across the globe into 3.5 gigahertz. There's nothing special about the band, it's just the only one that was available because everything else has been useful for 4G. And you can deploy on that, go into existing cell towers and just put a new equipment without having to build new towers. But when we go to technologies such as millimeter wave, then you have to build more dense networks. You need to build more stations because a deployment in that case look like a wifi deployment, it's almost like wifi access points. When you need to build more stations, you need permits, you need to build fiber, so it takes more time to densify. So what you see happening is coverage has been built fast with sub six across the globe, but now the United States also have the sub six. So that gets you to coverage very fast. But millimeter wave, it's moving. And if I will say, for example, Verizon, United States has had a leadership in building millimeter wave, it takes time. I'll say cities like Chicago, Manhattan starting to get coverage. It will be a process over a number of years as you build those different access points type networks, but it's inevitable. There's not enough spectrum. So every 5G operators just a matter of time will have millimeter wave as well. Resistance is futile. Okay, so for millimeter wave, we need density of access points. And what's the biggest resistance for Qualcomm for human civilization? Is it politicians, regulators, federal regulators? Is it individual humans? Is it not enough money from the consumer perspective? Like who is the biggest pain in the butt? From a Qualcomm standpoint, but answering the question about what it takes to build all this technology. I think regulators across the board understood the importance of 5G. I have not met a regulator that said, it's really important to be late on 5G. I don't think anybody wants to be late on 5G. And as a result, we've seen enormous amount of progress in getting spectrum allocated to 5G. I think the real issue is the time that it takes to build infrastructure. You know, investment in 5G infrastructure, special millimeter wave is like building roads and ports. It's critical infrastructure. And those things take time. Like one of the number one obstacle you're gonna hear from operators is site permit. You know, sometimes they have to negotiate municipality by municipality about permits to get new cell sites. But you know, the networks will be densified and you're gonna need all of that capacity for the promise of the fully immersive augmented reality that will replace phones and everything being connected 100% of the time. This would not be a conversation with the CEO if I did not ask questions that make you nervous. Some people raise concerns about there not being enough studies about the effects of 5G on the human body. Is 5G safe? Look, I have a very simple answer to this question. As we build new capabilities, such as 5G, power is going down, especially when you think about reducing the number of base stations, the network's becoming more dense. So as you do that, the power becomes lower. If your phone radiated from the phone and from the tower, as you get closer to the tower, you don't need that much power to reach the tower. So as we move from 4G to 5G, I think we see a reduction in the amount of power is required to close the radio link. Now, also you have a number of organizations, the FCC, for example, has rigorous programs, which they do a lot of tests to validate, you know, the safety of those devices. And I think we have, has been a model for other countries to also to adopt the same things. Cellular has been around for a number of decades now. I think smartphone is our most beloved device today. And I would argue how it's difficult to answer those questions, but I'll argue that the data to date have we seen in 3G and 4G, you know, has shown that a lot of the initial concerns were not valid. We look at 5G, even though it's new, it's just less power. So we look at it from a physics standpoint. So from a physics, from a biology perspective, there's a lot of evidence, there's studies that show that it's not dangerous, that it is in fact safe. However, the concern that people have is when you scale technology exponentially, how will that change human civilization? I mean, that doesn't apply to 5G, that applies to every technology. How, you said smartphone is the most beloved device, but love sometimes hurts. That's the impact on society we don't know. And there's a little bit of fear, there's both excitement and fear. It's a great topic of conversation actually. So let me give you my perspective on this. And you started to see some things actually happening right now. So let me step back and let's talk about the fact that we are in a fully interconnected society. That when you look of the situation today, we talk about smartphones, largest development platform, so much now of our life, we are connected to the smartphone. And we are all connected and we're connected. And then we're building digital twins of everything, right? So when you look at that picture, when you look at the picture of this connected society, you started to have the following thoughts, which I think are very healthy, which means in the same way that in the physical world, you're entitled to some rights, you have obligations, and there's a lot of things that protect your integrity. I think as a rule, we're gonna see the society evolving. So those things extend to your digital being of people and things. And I think it's just natural. It's just natural. It's just a natural path. And you started to see things like that. For example, the Europeans has done a lot in this area. I'll say the Europeans probably ahead in the United States thinking about privacy laws, digital privacy laws. Most recently, the DMA, the Digital Markets Act, which I think is a great thing. I think we believe there's incredible thought into enable ability to regulate the digital markets so that there's innovation and competitions and not a single company can control all the data and then decide how things are gonna be work on the digital realm. And even if we think about the potential things like the metaverse, as we're connecting physical and digital spaces. So I think it's a natural evolution. Of course, regulation and laws always follow technology. But the fact that we're moving to an interconnected society, there's no going back. We are a fully interconnected society. But there is opportunity to think about how the digital twin should, people and government should think about it so that we get the best of a technology without any downside. Yeah, so when you say digital twin, that's one of the other things you're excited about, which is the metaverse, or basically building worlds in the digital space. And you have to start to think about all the basic human rights that transfer from our physical meat vehicles out to the digital copies of ourselves, representations of ourselves. It's really important to think about. The thing you mentioned about regulators that has been, this is me speaking frustrating, is like you said, they follow technology. So sometimes they don't get the technology at all. So they're very clumsy in writing laws that censor that technology in interesting ways. They mean good, but they can do a lot of unintended damage. Now, both, it's a dance. It's a beautiful dance, but I just wish governments were better dance partners. I just see what they're kind of writing now about regulating social media and platforms like YouTube, is just what I'm gonna do in the next two years, but what do I want to do? Where do I wanna go? And I think it's important for people, especially young people, is to really have a dream and go pursue it. I mean, have a dream does not go back to bed to sleep. It's really what do you want to accomplish and then what it's gonna take to do that. And then believe in yourself. Like I said, I joined Qualcomm as an engineer and I didn't have any plans when I joined to be CEO, but I do want, as an engineer, what I wanted to do, where I wanna contribute, what I wanted to work on, and then keep evolving from that point in time. The other thing is, this is an advice, it's more of like career advice that I got early in my career was extremely helpful for me and I will give that advice to everyone that is interested. Spend time understanding what are the things you're good at and what are the things you're not. Like what is the real border between your area of competence and your area of incompetence? And once you see that, once you see that you know exactly what you have to work on and you can say, that's where I wanna go next, this is the gap, I need to do it. And it's faster when you can identify yourself before other people can tell you. Then it leads to automatically the next step. Surround yourself, the people that are very good at the things that you're not. So you have to be radically honest about the things that you're not good at, but given what you're passionate about, you need to get good at, or you would like to get good at, and surround yourself by those people. How often did the plans you make actually work out? So you said it's important to make plans. You didn't say anything about it's important to execute on those plans. More than 50% success rate. Try to keep it above 50. Try to keep it above 50. What was the whole, why did you end up in Japan? I've been fortunate enough to work in cellular and wireless my entire career. So I always liked communications. When I entered engineering school, my dad was electrical engineer, but he worked with the utility company. He wanted me to graduate in traditional electrical engineering, like energy generation, distribution. But I like electronics communication, so I ended up doing both. And I always liked communication. I was fascinated by wireless communication. So my first job at a college, I started working for a Japanese company down in Brazil, was NEC, and within about a year in, they transferred me to Tokyo. They asked me to go to their headquarters, and it was the first time I left Brazil. A little bit different from Brazil. Culturally. Very different. It is in the other side of the planet. And that's how I started. You said your father's an electrical engineer. Do you think what you're doing now makes your father proud? I think he's very proud. I think especially, you know, he tells me that I'm still the same person that never changed. Does he give you advice? Does he criticize what you're doing? Tell you how to improve? My mom and dad still give me advice today. I'm very fortunate for that. But he's proud. I'm also proud because there are very few Brazilians that have achieved a position as CEO of a company the size of Qualcomm. And I do know that also I carry a burden, especially for the Latino community, to be an inspiration for them and make sure I set a good example. So not just your mom and dad, but the culture, the people that were originally your home. Do you, you know, life is finite. Do you think about your own mortality? Look, I'm a devout Christian, and so I'm a big believer that there's, this is just a transition. But don't spend a lot of time thinking about that. I am somebody good, better, and different that try as much as possible to leave the present, and that's what I do. And try to make the present better on this place here on Earth. Absolutely. And that some of these technologies, some of these ideas are kind of a different kind of immortality as well, because they propagate through time and have impact on people in the best possible way. So technology can be scary, technology can be destructive, but it seems like in the end it can do a lot of good. More good, there's more good than bad. What do you think is the meaning of this whole thing? I asked you about aliens observing us. What's the meaning of life? Cristiano, what's the meaning of life? Easy questions. That's not an easy question at all. I think that's a question, at least for me, you have to answer individually. But I do believe we're all here for a purpose. In my prayers I always ask that I stay on track to whatever my purpose is, but I do believe we're here for a purpose, and we need to do the best we can during the time we have on this Earth. So that means create beautiful things for you as an engineer? Yes, and create beautiful things, yes. What about love? What's the role of love in the human condition? Love's very important, and it's an essential part of being human. It comes in the package. And I think if you look at the situation, what's happening right now, I think if you look at the situation with some of the underprivileged communities, you look at the homeless situation, I think we all need more love. Yeah, and I think people that build incredible technology sometimes forget the love part. Those are all, it's all integrated. There's no, thinking about humanity is really important when you build tools that empower that humanity. Because there's, I think, at least I personally believe we're all capable of both evil and good. And we have to build technology, build societies, build governments, build communities that inspire us to connect with the good part within all of us. I'm a big believer that technology is, at the end, the force for good. And if you just look, you know, not trying to move away from a deep discussion to a more specific, technical one. But we started a conversation talking about smartphones. And smartphones really, the first time that you could say that everybody in the world was able to connect to the internet and connect to each other. And I think what that empowerment that that provided, it's an incredible force for good. Well, the company you lead, the technology you've created, one of them that I'm especially excited about, which is Snapdragon, the whole line of processors there. Currently, I would say at about 10 billion transistors. If you think about the human brain, it's about 100 billion neurons. So I think 11 Samsung Galaxy S22s are already smarter than me. And that's being nice to me. I'm really honored that you spent your extremely valuable time with me, even though you said Pele is the favorite player. Beyond all of that, I think you're an incredible person, incredible leader, and you lead an incredible engineering company. So thank you for doing that. Oh, thank you so much. Thanks for the kind words. Really a pleasure having this conversation. I really had a lot of fun doing it. And thank you for having me in your podcast. Thanks for listening to this conversation with Christiano Aman. To support this podcast, please check out our sponsors in the description. And now, let me leave you with some words from Stephen Hawking. For millions of years, mankind lived just like the animals. Then something happened, which unleashed the power of our imagination. We learned to talk, and we learned to listen. Speech has allowed the communication of ideas, enabling human beings to work together to build the impossible. Mankind's greatest achievements have come about by talking, and its greatest failures by not talking. It doesn't have to be like this. Our greatest hopes could become reality in the future. With the technology at our disposal, the possibilities are unbounded. All we need to do is make sure we keep talking. Thank you for listening, and hope to see you next time. and it's just really, really clumsy. They don't understand how machine learning works. I recommend their systems work. And I just wish they kind of caught up a little more because it's really important to be great at regulation, but also it's important to let companies flourish and embrace this new wave of technology. That weird dance, I am more and more learning looking at public policy, how much positive government can do and how much clumsy negative it can do, unintentionally, just out of sheer incompetence or lack of curiosity about tech. That's my rant about regulators. I think it's a valid point. As I said before, I think the Europeans probably have a very good framework, but the way I'll think about it, we depend on having the ability to innovate. We depend on the free markets. We depend on the ability to create technology that will be disruptive. But at the same time, I think the tech companies probably should spend time helping governments understand, helping understand ahead of time so that they can be better prepared. Let's talk about one of my favorite topics, Snapdragon. So Snapdragon is a system on a chip. This processor has probably powered billions of smartphones over its pretty long history now, a decade and a half maybe. So it's constantly iterating. There's constantly just like a turmoil of beautiful innovations happening. So last year it was Snapdragon 888 was the main one with the five nanometer, and this year it's Snapdragon 8Gen1. It's a new naming scheme. Okay, what's the sexiest, most beautiful idea or concept to you about Snapdragon? Start there. The way I would describe it, and I think the reason we have been successful with it, is to really understand how to build a platform, a single chip, like a single chip, that will have every single capability if you wanna make this smartphone in the palm of your hand, something that has all of your computing needs. And it was the ability to get, from an engineering standpoint, ability to get into a single chip of not only all possible connectivity technology, from cellular to wifi to Bluetooth to every single constellation of satellites for position location. But at the same time, a very power efficient single thread and multi threaded CPU. A GPU for all of your graphic demands, gaming, fastest growing segment for gaming, is mobile gaming. An artificial intelligence processor, which we call the neuro processor unit. And then a video engine, and a multimedia engine for every single application, audio, everything. So it's a single chip that has every single computing technology you need in the phone. And what's exciting about it is what we already knew. For example, when you think about camera or computer vision, you see that the advancements in the technology now happens in the smartphone first versus additional camera. So the beauty about the Snapdragon is we always have this thing within Qualcomm. The phone, it's small. You have to be able to hold it. You're gonna touch your face so you cannot be hot. You have to manage thermals. You expect to have a full day of battery life. But then you want it to not be sending data into 10 or 100 megabits. You want gigabits. You want it to be able to have eight core processors. You want to have a GPU with ray tracing. You want to have all of the things that you can only get into sometimes a desktop PC. And to do all of that in your phone and be able to be in the leadership position generation after generation is an incredible thing. And we're very proud of that at Qualcomm. Yeah, so you have to do the WiFi, 5G, all of the... And you have to be good to everyone of those technologies. And pack it all in. And there's also pressure to make the thing faster and faster and faster. And then there's more and more applications you're supposed to be effortlessly using. And then you mentioned the NPU, GPU, CPU. They have to also dance together somehow. They have to communicate well, share memory or not, depending on what the application is. And your battery has to last all day. So think about that. From a company like Qualcomm, we have to be good in each and every one of those technologies. We can't just say, oh, we're a CPU company or a GPU company or we're AI company. We have to do everything. What does it take to design a great processor? So design this system on a chip that you mentioned. Is there some insight you can provide in this chaos of engineers, designers, leaders, the people that think about how much this is all gonna cost, the whole mess of it? I'm, of course, very partial about it. I've been in this company for probably more than 26 years. But I will argue that there are a couple things that are ingredients for success. So we talk about the fact that they have all those different technologies. They evolve at their own pace. And you have to be good in each one of them. And you need to then to make them working together. So you need to have an engineering organization that's with an incredible collaboration culture because everybody has to be working. The train's gonna leave the station. Every cart needs to be there when it leaves the station. It needs to leave on time, especially in the phone business. You can't change Christmas. You cannot change Black Friday. You cannot change all of the selling seasons. So the phones are gonna launch on time. And every technology needs to be there. The engineer needs to work as one. And we do have that at Qualcomm. The other thing, you have to have incredible discipline because those are very complex systems. So in one way, you have to design with quality because in many cases, we're gonna be ramping production. And even before we have the silicon back and you have to rely on our simulation models and you have to rely on the fact that you design for commercial applications. That takes a while to build. And it's probably been the history of a semiconductor business at Qualcomm. So you mean like the framework of how many people can use simulation software and all that kind of stuff to build the thing with a hard deadline that you might not even get back from like manufacturer before. You're not allowed to have any mistakes. No wonder our name is quality communications. Oh, I never even thought about the qual part. Quality. So quality and there's a bar that's high and you're not allowed to mess up. I mean, to me as an engineer, that's exciting. Hard deadlines, no room for mistakes. I love it. Super stressful, but I love it. So there's a couple of other small companies called Google and Apple. So Google is now using its own chip for the Pixel 6. Apple using its own. How does Qualcomm out compete Google and Apple? How does it beat them? We don't have to out compete Google. Actually, if you look at our mobile strategy today, and then one thing I was very clear when I became CEO, I think there's a lot of confusion in the market. Our mobile strategy is very clear. We are focused of making Snapdragon synonymous with premium Android experience. That's what Snapdragon is. Android, the phone of the people. Yes. I just have a love for Android. I'm constantly talking trash to iPhone people. Sorry, go ahead. Premium Android experiences. So we do produce Snapdragon in multiple tier for every price point, but every year, you mentioned the HN1, and every year we'll provide the flagship product. And then the other series that is trying to get the best of every possible technology at that time. And it's really focused on enabling the Android ecosystem. So I'll give an example. So you asked me the question, how to compete with Google. It's not about competing with Google. We're the number one enabler of the Google Android ecosystem. And the largest, the number one customer there is actually Samsung. And if you look what happened to Samsung, Samsung, I always said, since I began my relationship with them, that cause they always had their own chip. They always had their own chip. And if you'll just look at what happened right now with the Galaxy S22 that just launched, they used to balance their business about 50% Qualcomm. They will get the most advanced markets like the United States and China and Japan and Korea, they will assign to Qualcomm. And then they'll have their own chip for the markets that they would be like more emerging markets, open markets, markets that they have a control on the channel because they sell a lot of appliances and other things. If you look what happened right now, GS22, 75% is Qualcomm. And then the next large OEMs and Android ecosystem are the Chinese ones. Companies like Xiaomi, one of the fastest growing. It was number one in Europe at some point last year, then followed by Oppo and OnePlus and Vivo. So those are some of the largest Qualcomm customers. And they actually drive the Android ecosystem. And that's our mobile strategy and fully aligned with Google and it's working. And not to get into a lot of the investor conversation, but we're also happy we became a beneficiary of the shifts that we saw in the marketplace. As Huawei became a smaller OEM as a result of the sanctions, we saw the rise of a lot of the other OEMs from China, especially for China domestic market, Xiaomi, Oppo, Vivo. They moved to the premium category and they're all doing that with Qualcomm. So we're actually very fortunate and happy with the position we are in mobile business. We do have an Apple relationship. We provide modem technology to Apple. It's a multi year relationship. Apple has been very public that they are investing to develop their own modem. But the Qualcomm strategy has been clear. We're really focused on Snapdragon. Our mobile strategy is not defined by providing a cellular modem to Apple. Our mobile strategy is this that we just talked about it. It's about the unique thing of Snapdragon that has every single technology integrated into a single SOC. And provides a premium experience. And that's what we're doing and focusing on the Android ecosystem. I don't know if I can ask you this kind of question. It's like picking your children or something like this. But what smartphone with a Snapdragon? You mentioned Samsung Galaxy S22, OnePlus. Those are phones I personally really enjoy. What phone do you currently use? Or do you have multiple phones? I do have multiple phones but I do use Galaxy S22. That's your favorite one? All right, well you heard it here first folks. Okay, so excellent. Can Qualcomm also, let's take a brief step away from mobile. And take on Intel and Apple and other such companies in the laptop and desktop space. So the nature of what a computer is seems to be changing. It's like smartphones like merging. It's all being a smartphone just with the biggest screen or something like this. So what does the future of that look like? Before I answer that question, let me just step back a little bit. Because, and I'm sure we can talk more about those things. But the reality is Qualcomm is changing a lot. And we use, I know we spend a lot of time talking about 5G and smartphone and Snapdragon. And I think that has been what had defined Qualcomm for many years. But the reality is, even consistent with that 5G conversation, which is a technology to connect everything, Qualcomm is also changing. Our technology that was in many cases designed for phones. And we said at the beginning, connectivity and processing. It's going to virtually every industry. And as a result, Qualcomm is really changing with it and expanding to a number of different addressable markets. Some of those markets is the PC, as you talk about it. The conversions of mobile and PC. And the reason I'm excited about this, because you see a lot of things happening that bring this right front and center when you think about the future technology. So what we learn with the pandemic is that the number one use case of personal computers is communications. It is interesting when you think about that. That's the number one use case on a PC today is communications. It's actually funny because in the cellular industry, actually I'll say, let me step back. In the telecom industry, we've been chasing this killer application of video telephony for decades. I remember back then in the wire line, even before the internet and IP, ISDN, you remember those AT&T desk phones with a little screen and they said, you can do video telephony. We don't watch that in Back to the Future 2. Then when we started developing 3G, people said, what's the application for having data to a cell phone? All video telephony. Then we started doing 4G. And in the beginning, people said, well, why do you need all of this broadband? All video telephony. But it took a pandemic to make video telephony the killer application. And that's now the number one use case on a PC. So now think about that for a second. Personal computers now, they're technologies that people when they were gonna buy a PC, they didn't care much about it. Now they do, camera. Camera, how good is the camera? The audio, is that connected? How good is the connectivity? Do you have the latest and greatest wifi and cellular? What's the battery life? Because you're gonna be working from anywhere. Sometimes you know that, sometimes you're not. So all those things, what's the portability like? So those things started to change how we should think about the PC. But I won't stop there. Let me talk about another trend. So, and all come as a result of what we saw the pandemic. Let's say that you are, you're an engineer, you do computer aided design. You have an advanced desktop computer or workstation in your office. But you wanna work from home someday. So you're not gonna move that to your home. So what do you need to do? You're gonna have to rely on that. You're gonna run that on the cloud. And you're gonna run it on the cloud. You need high bandwidth because you almost wanted the cloud to be the same as your computer for that use case. That's the 5G on demand computing use case. The use 5G is almost a link between two computers. But then, you know, CIOs are saying, well, my workforce is going home for certain days. I want all the data to be in the cloud. You look at, for example, Microsoft OneDrive or the ability to collaborate, you need the bandwidth. So when you put all of those things together, you start thinking about what is the next generation PC? And that's the opportunity for Qualcomm. I'll just give an example. Back in Mobile World Congress recently, Lenovo, they have a line of enterprise laptops called the ThinkPad. I'm sure you're familiar with it. So they announced the ThinkPad based on Snapdragon. With 5G on, 28 hours of battery life. So that's next generation. It's just a nice screen with extremely high, nice screen and keyboard, and extremely high connectivity to maybe an even more, like a more powerful machine in the cloud. Something more, the data, connecting to the data, connecting to compute, all that kind of stuff. You have the camera capabilities, and let me go one step more. Microsoft talking about some of the other features they're doing now using, on Windows 11, using Snapdragon. Remember, we talk about it, Snapdragon has an AI processor inside there. So one of the cool features Microsoft's talking about it is you can be on a Teams call, and you can make sure your eyes are looking at the camera 100% of the time. Well, that's an interesting, so they can be talking about that. And you do that with AI. Yes, that's really tricky to pull off. For example, the reason I'm a huge stickler for doing these in person, these conversations in person, it's really tough to get right. But it's a worthy challenge. So that's where the metaverse hopes to, so like, I just, because you said the importance of this telephony of humans connecting, teleporting themselves, getting that right is really difficult. There's a lot of people hate Zoom meetings, but that doesn't mean you can't improve that experience and get rid of the hate. A lot of people hate talking to their car too, because the voice, the natural language processing is terrible, but when it's not, it's a beautiful thing. So getting that right is. This is an opportunity, this is an opportunity. Think about it, it starts with the PC, making the PC giving you a better experience for teams, but then it goes right back into this trend of connecting physical and digital spaces. And all the work we're doing with the metaverse and virtual reality and metareality in the future is why not call somebody or connect with somebody with a hologram, it's possible. And also to mention some increasing amount of intelligence in our cars. So semi autonomous, autonomous cars, and the interactivity between human and car, which for me, things are really exciting. Let me ask you a big question. So when aliens again now on the other side, right, and humans destroy themselves through nuclear war centuries from now. Let's hope not. Let's hope not. But in case, you know, let's just hypothetical thought experiment. And they write a history of humanity in the 21st century. What would they remember Qualcomm in the 21st century as a company? Would it be a car company? Like think of all the crazy pivots that might happen in the next like 50 years. Because you're thinking, you said Qualcomm enables all of these things with 5G and there'll be probably other Gs, it keeps increasing. So basically connectivity and computation and everything becomes connected and everything is capable of computation. Might you become a robotics and car company? I will argue we're already an automotive company today. But let me tell you what I would like Qualcomm to be, remember and recognize for. I think everyone that knows Qualcomm immediately, you know, connect us, pun intended, to connectivity and wireless. But the reality is we're being actually the company providing intelligence and processing to everything on the edge, everything outside the data center that we're doing. Those billions of devices that are gonna be connected. And that's kind of explained when we talk about the connected intelligent edge, the beyond phones, cars, species, and all of those. And the broader IOTs, we talk about everything will be connected and intelligent. And that's what we want Qualcomm to be recognized for. So by the way, for people who are not familiar, there's some technical jargon. People use the word edge, like edge computing. It's, by the way, that's probably changing what that even means. But it's basically everything that's not a giant thing that's making a lot of noise in a building somewhere. So it's mobile devices and the mobile devices of all kinds, well, a refrigerator's not mobile, but it would be edge. So it's like what's a sandwich, that kind of discussion. But basically edge computing is the edge of that expanding space that you mentioned that Qualcomm is trying to connect and enable with computation. Here's a simple way to describe what the edge is and edge computing is. I think as we think about the evolution of the data center, you need to bring the computational closer to where the device is. Also, when you put the computation together with the connectivity at the same time, you're gonna see a lot of advancement of artificial intelligence happening closer or at the device. Look, it's a very, I have a simple way to describe it. Remember in the beginning of this conversation, we talk about in the 4G era, broadband and mobile computing evolved side by side. If you're gonna have broadband, you might as well have a computer in the palm of your hand. So we needed to invest in those two technologies. In 5G, AI develops side by side. You're connected to the cloud 100% of the time. You have a high bandwidth and you have now a smart and intelligent thing that can make decision in real time, provide context information to the cloud to make the models more accurate and as well compare and contrast to the cloud. So there's gonna be an exponential development of AI happening with all the edge devices, the devices that are outside the data center and computation is gonna go alongside that. And a great example of that is the car. The car, we haven't talked much about the car, but Qualcomm is now, you could argue was as much as an automotive company as wireless company, working 26 global brands. And it's easy to see, if you look at our mobile heritage and we talk about form factors, thermal, battery life, you're not gonna put a server in a trunk of a car, but you need as much computational capabilities. And that's we see Qualcomm providing, as the car become a connected computer on wheels, we provide the computational and all the sensors for you to do assisted driving for the new digital cockpit experience connecting the car to the cloud and it's all of that's happening at the edge. Does Qualcomm want to be the brain of a lot of autonomous vehicles in the future of different, you said brands, like Mercedes, BMW, I don't know, whatever, just whatever car. Cars have the sexy thing they do and then it defines their brand and so on. And then there's the brain that doesn't need to have branding supposedly. So does Qualcomm see that or will I be able to buy a Qualcomm car? Like literally it'll be Qualcomm. No, you're not gonna be able to buy a Qualcomm car, but we are ready on our way to become the brains of the car. The way you should think about Qualcomm automotive strategy is the car companies realize they need to become technology companies. You just look, for example, of the market cap of some of the new electrical commerce and compare them with the legacy car companies. Which one is that? I heard of, one of them lives in Austin. Let's say Rivian, right? Rivian. Oh, that one too, yes. You know, the car companies are not going away. It's actually a mistake not to bet in the car companies. The car companies need a technology partner. They will provide the digital chassis for them. And that's what we're doing. So if you look at Qualcomm, we talk about a Snapdragon digital chassis. So we want to be the preferred technology partner of the car companies, and I think it's working. Strategy is working right now. So basically helping the car companies accelerate into becoming technology companies. Connecting the car to the cloud, redesign the interior of the digital cockpit experience, and provide the computation and sensor capabilities for autonomy and assisted driving. On the topic of robots, when millions or billions of robots roam the earth in the future among us humans, and I am for one concerned in a small percentage, but largely I'm excited about that future, will Qualcomm be the thing that powers their brain? We have in our IoT business, which has been one of the fastest growing business for us, a number of robotics engagement. So I'll give you some example. If you look of the Amazon Astro, you familiar with that? There's two Snapdragon in there. There is? This is really exciting. They're supposed to ship it to me. Where is it? Okay, but anyway, that's really cool. I didn't know it was Snapdragon. Yeah, we're working with robotics in industrial. Of course, drones. We're getting more and more traction for robotics. Sorry to interrupt. Industrial robotics, too, you said? Industrial, especially when you think about what's gonna happen with the factory of the future, the industrial side of the future, the warehouse of the future, when you bring 5G, for example, to it, and you have a number of different use cases, and then you see a lot of robotics application. And of course, drones. And the most famous, I will consider that a robot, the most famous robot in the world right now, it's powered by Snapdragon, which is the Mars Ingenuity helicopter. The whole helicopter, the cameras and everything, it's powered by Snapdragon. And talking about exciting thing for an engineer, the same Snapdragon that goes to a phone, and it can go to a Galaxy phone, for example, Samsung, the same, not a special one, went all the way to Mars. Is exploring other planets, looking for alien life, and maybe gets to meet them. Wouldn't that be interesting, if a Snapdragon is the thing that first sees an alien? It's like, what the hell? We did not program this in the computer vision. I once used the example to go back to the conversation we had about quality. As an engineer, you need to make sure it works. Can you imagine if it gets over there on Mars and it doesn't work? Listen, this is very stressful. What NASA, what SpaceX, what all those companies are doing is extremely stressful. The room for mistakes is tiny. But that's super exciting for an engineer, once again. There's been a global semiconductor chip shortage. So from your perspective, just it'd be interesting to get your expert analysis of the situation. What do you think are the main reasons and how has Qualcomm been affected and how can it help? In this, in the future, things like it. Okay, that's a big topic of conversation. And we only have five minutes. So I'll try to be as objective as I can. So first, let's talk about what caused it. And you hear a lot of different things. I will try to put it within the right context. The first thing that caused it, really, is the acceleration of digital transformation of pretty much everything in every industry. Every industry has been digitally transformed. And as such, the amount of semiconductors that are required is much larger. Just to give you a practical example, if you think about the automotive as an example, the cars that are, there's cars that are launched, a new model launching today. The new model launching today most likely has 10X the amount of chips of the prior model. And the model that people are working on that's coming in next, probably 10X that one. So you see the amount of silicon and then billions of things become smart. More and more data goes to the cloud. The data center grows. So the floor for semiconductor consumptions went up by a lot. Then you have things that aggravated this. The pandemic aggravated this. There is a couple of trends from the pandemic. The enterprise transformation of the home. The home became an enterprise. Massive amounts of upgrades on broadband and IoT. The office has changed to the way we work now, including the ability to support collaboration tools and video. Then you have the higher demand for products during the pandemic because people wanted to be connected. People bought new phones and new tablets and new computers, new gaming. So all of those things came on top of that as the aggravated issue, but they're not the main issue. The main issue is it's actually a long term growth of digital. So what I'm hearing you say is the pandemic was not the cause, it was an aggravation. It was an aggravation. So is there a way we can support as a human civilization in terms of manufacture, in terms of supply, the kind of growth that you're talking about in devices and so on? Is there high level ideas you can say of what that's required there? Yes, and I think that's the second part of the answer. So what's happening now? How are we gonna get out of this? So we see a lot of capacity investments put into place by the industry. We had invested a lot with our suppliers. A lot of the suppliers had made plans about increasing the capacity. The industry is planning to double its total semiconductor manufacturing capacity within the next five years, an example. So that's already happening. And then you see things which are actually good. They're good. The initiative such as the United States CHIPS Act and now the European CHIPS Act. The United States CHIPS Act's about $52 billion. The European's about 43. Their goal combined is to get at least 50% of the consumption with manufacturing installed within the US and European geographies. And that's also very good. That's yet another incentive for more manufacturing capacity to be built and to be built with a geographic distributed way, which that's how you plan supply chain. So those I think are good things. So if anything we learn through the crisis is that semiconductor is important. Semiconductor companies are important and we need to invest in semiconductors. We're turning to the grilling of the CEO with the hard questions. This is almost from my own education of the space. You mentioned regulators. Qualcomm paid out and received payment of billions of dollars in settlement and fines. There seems to be a lot of huge lawsuits in this space. How do you explain that? Does this get in the way of innovation or does it promote it? I will rephrase it by saying there used to be a lot of lawsuits in this space. In addition of what we do in semiconductors, our processors and our modems, the Snapdragon platform, we also have a licensing business, which has been a part of the company since the beginning. As the largest inventors of the essential technology in 2G, CDMA, 3G, 4G and 5G, and Qualcomm contribute that to the standards. So we always had this model that rather than invent the technology and be the only one producing the products, we license so everyone can produce it. And as such, we receive intellectual property for the standard essential patents. As part of our past dispute with Apple, that's behind us now. Your friends now. They're my customers. And as part of that, I think the licensing model got tested, I think, in every geography. And we succeeded in every single geography to validate the pro competitiveness of this model. I think the fair, reasonable, non discriminatory aspect of this model. And I would argue that besides being the most successful licensing business to date in the industry, probably the one that's been battle tested and is most stable because there's not a single jurisdiction that we have not had to validate that model. So it's part of our past and what it creates is probably create a lot of stability in our licensing business. But having said that, the growth of the company is in the semiconductor space. And the semiconductor, so licensing is, you come up with a pretty good idea, you have a bunch of smart people coming up with cool ideas, and then once you come up with that idea, you sell that idea to others, they get to use it. That's essentially what a license. The license revenue we have is for the, what we call the SCP, standard essential patents, that are part of the 2G, 3G, 4G, and 5G standards. So if you want to build anything with 5G, you need to get a license from Qualcomm because it uses Qualcomm essential technology as part of the standard. And a slightly different model, or a lot different model with the semiconductor is you design, you inject a bunch of fascinating ideas, how to build the Snapdragon, and then there's, because it's a fabulous company, you have somebody build the chip and then goes into a phone with the branding and all that kind of stuff. And that has less kind of players involved, it's not a license. We sell the product. We don't license semiconductor technology, we build products and we sell products. This is your first year as a CEO. Not one year yet. Not one year yet. Let's hope it'll be in June, it'll be one year. Okay. This is a company that's involved with a lot of fascinating technologies and it's touching the lives of billions of people. A lot of complicated stuff. Like I said, licensing technologies. You have to collaborate with manufacturers. You have to then work with, however many you said, car companies and all these clients and so on. And you have to, with tech companies, Apple and so on. What's that like? What lessons have you learned about leadership and maybe about yourself as a human being from this first, almost a year, soon to be a year as a CEO of this incredible, this complex, this large company? That's a loaded question. Let me answer in reverse order. First thing that I learned, and I think it's probably common across CEOs, especially in our industry, is it will be great if I had more time. I think there's, especially because we grow in so many areas and there's so many things to learn, so many relationships to build, time to spend with a number of different technologies. But it kind of reflects really the size of the opportunity that exists for Qualcomm. Qualcomm, it is really growing in a number of different directions all at the same time. And so it did got busier. And part of this is because I'm spending a lot of time understanding the new industries we're going in and building relationships. Second thing, which is a lot to do with how I think about things and a little bit of my personality. At the end of the day, business partnerships are really done by people. And I think the importance of having trusted relationships for the long term is extremely important. And I've been dedicated to do that as CEO. We're not a company that plays for the short term. We don't. And when we build new partnerships, we expect that to be for decades. And so I spend time doing that and think that's important for Qualcomm. The other part of your question is, we do have a lot of opportunities in all different areas. What we like, and I've been fortunate enough to become CEO at a time, that a lot of the trends are pointing to our technology. We talk about some of them. We talk about merger of physical and digital spaces. We talk about the transformation of the automobile. We talk about the merge of computing and mobile, the enterprise transformation of the home. There are many of those trends. And those trends create opportunities for Qualcomm to be providing technology first. And as such, we're in a hurry. So I'm in a little bit of a hurry because I think the opportunity is incredible for technology, but having fun and enjoying the job. Is there a burden because of so much of what you said is partnerships and almost like friendships, connections with other human beings? Me as an introvert that has a lot of social anxiety, that seems extremely stressful. So is there that burden on your shoulders? You have to wake up every day and talk to friends you've had for many years. It can be, and then convince them and make partnerships with them, talk with them, describe to them the future, sell them an idea, and then yourself grow because you don't know what the heck the future is gonna be like. And you have to project both confidence and humility, all those kinds of things. Is that exhausting? It is exhausting, but it's something I do like to do. And it's not only with partners, really. It's also internally to your employees, I think, to get alignment on the vision and faith in the vision and execute. And at the end of the day, we're very fortunate. We have a lot of smart people. So people, if they're aligned with the vision, they know what to do. And then, of course, as CEO, you have to convince your investors that that's the right idea as well. If you can put on your wise sage hat, do you have a device for young people in high school and college? You yourself started from the humble beginnings in Brazil, maybe a bit of a wild, risky decision to go to Japan, and now are the head of one of the biggest, most successful, most impactful companies in the world. Given that story, can you give advice to young people today that they can have a career or just a life they can be proud of? I think the first thing, and of course, all of those answers are gonna relate to my own experience, right? The first thing is it always worked for me to have a plan, even if the plan

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